Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday Jan 4, 2019.
In this premarket trading edition: Trade Talks, China RRR,Tesla, Intel, GameStop, Flex Pharma, LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC, #EIA, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Remaining Discount Codes to be released to Public Today:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
- Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Jan 4 – I will be in attendance in main trading room at market open, EIA at 11:00, mid day review, and futures overnight Sunday. The markets have been a mess over holiday season with completion of this massive time cycle and it was a short week. Early in our first full week of regular trade next week the reporting will be significant and trade alerts will ramp up. We expect an epic six months of trading here forward. Stay on top of it and lets catch the turns in to 2019!
- #EIA for week ending December 28, 2018 alternate release day January 4, 2019 Friday 11:00 a.m. due to New Year’s holiday. #OOTT $CLF $USOIL $USO #Oil #OOTT https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php …
- https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1080419058573631488
- Jan 4 – I will be in attendance in main trading room at market open, EIA at 11:00, mid day review, and futures overnight Sunday. The markets have been a mess over holiday season with completion of this massive time cycle and it was a short week. Early in our first full week of regular trade next week the reporting will be significant and trade alerts will ramp up. We expect an epic six months of trading here forward. Stay on top of it and lets catch the turns in to 2019!
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when API integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Jan 3 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review
Jan 3 – Protected: Gold Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Jan 3 – Protected: SP500 SPY Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Fri Jan 4 – If Fed pauses hikes and US-China trade relations improve oil should run in to May targets oil bundle members have (especially if OPEC cuts remain in play), the markets should run up in to May. Gold, Silver, VIX, DXY and Bitcoin may (are likely) to get soft and equities will be a stock pickers environment (traded properly within instrument structure) during that period (Q1 2019). Generally this is how it looks currently. But yet to be seen in to next week forward – this is one scenario. Reporting and alerts (either way) will become very active as next week rolls out and in to next 6 months. We will have the structure of trade for our coverage (the algorithm models and swing platform) so that we can trade either scenarios (up or down in each, including swing trading).
Thurs Jan 3 – Stay calm, only today and Friday left in this holiday / time cycle completion phase. Our trading alerts will be very active in to next week.
A note from Jeremy yesterday posted to oil server in Discord;
I have received a few questions about why our machine trade is quiet. Trade through holidays was not structured at all and not within our rule set. When structured trade returns (it always does), we will be higher frequency than last month (about 5 – 10 x). At latest we expect structure next week but it could be earlier.
Wed Jan 2 – Remaining cautious and patient, short week, post holiday in to first full trading week of year next week.
#EIA for week ending December 28, 2018 alternate release day January 4, 2019 Friday 11:00 a.m. due to New Year’s holiday. #OOTT $CLF $USOIL $USO #Oil #OOTT https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php …
Friday Dec 28 –
Closed DGAZ trade in premarket long 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade.
Per premarket note above: Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot is below in trades section. Will be more active now that I’m recovering from sick and Jan 1 near.
Near end of June we signaled to lighten up on equity longs and we brought our long trades in for a landing over the next 90 days (check our feeds). Since then we’ve consistently signaled caution in to end of time cycle in to end of Dec 2018. First two quarters 2019 we expect to be extremely active. Watch all reporting closely from recent forward.
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:01 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.27, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.16, Gold $GLD trading 1290.90, Silver $SLV trading 15.70, $SPY 247.61 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3783.00 and $VIX trading 23.9.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Esperion to receive $300 million in upfront payments in deal with Daiichi Sankyo #swingtrading $ESPR https://on.mktw.net/2GScYyB
Stocks – Tesla, Intel Gain in Premarket, GameStop, Flex Pharma Soar – https://invst.ly/9ox9g
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC & more –
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC & more – https://t.co/bjSequmXIs
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 4, 2019
News:
Flex Pharma to merge with Salarius to accelerate development of cancer treatments.
$MBVX and Oncotelic Enter into Merger Discussions.
Dow is set to rise more than 300 points on US-China trade talks –
China Cuts Bank’s Reserve Require Ratios $ES_F $USDCNY
-Cuts Reserve Ratio By Overall 100Bps
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 15
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 25
China Cuts Bank's Reserve Require Ratios $ES_F $USDCNY
-Cuts Reserve Ratio By Overall 100Bps
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 15
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 25— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 4, 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Earnings:
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.
$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN
http://eps.sh/cal
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rBfBzOCeAu
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 2, 2019
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Crude Oil. 240 Min Chart – we got the move up over trading box overnight. Jan 4 602 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil. 240 Min Chart – we got the move up over trading box overnight. Jan 4 602 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
If oil breaches top of this trading box today on simple model it should hit topside white arrow in today’s trade.
If oil breaches top of this trading box today on simple model it should hit topside white arrow in today’s trade.
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
China’s central bank moves to support growth with a 1 percentage point reserve ratio cut https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-04/pboc-cuts-banks-reserve-ratio-to-ratchet-up-support-for-2019 …
Here’s what will lead the new growth cycle after correction according to Alchemy’s Hiren Ved. #swingtrading #timecycles https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/alpha-moguls-alchemys-hiren-ved-predicts-the-winners-of-next-growth-cycle
Here’s what will lead the new growth cycle after correction according to Alchemy’s Hiren Ved. #swingtrading #timecycles https://t.co/s68ZPvTyaX
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) January 4, 2019
Dallas Fed Energy Survey
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $FLKS $HSGX $PTN $INFI $NVAX $ASNS $NBRV $DPW $DBVT $GME $YINN $UGAZ $GLPG $UXIN $UWT $KTOV
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $COTY $IEX $OFC $GDOT $HON $NOK $CPT $OHI $INTC $IMO $REGN $VAR $SFLY $IEX $KOS $CELG $QLYS $MYGN $SNDR $MAS $AWI $FBHS $NFLX $ETSY$EXPE $CBOE $AERS $VIRT $CG $AZPN $LEA $DAN $AZPN $SHW $CC $KOS
$NFLX upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at $GS (Malaysia division) w/ $400 PT.
BofA/Merrill prefers cloud and 5G exposure in semis, upgrades Intel to Buy $INTC $AMD http://dlvr.it/Qvy59y
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SWKS $AVNS $EMR $UTX $FLOW $COO $DEO $ADI $CYBR $VC $FTNT $ALV $VNE $ADNT $TXN $FTSI $EVRG $RES $PACB $EXC $HOLX $EBAY $CRTO $SNAP $TROW $FLXN $KKR $ICE $MRT $SESN
BofA downgrades TI, Analog Devices, Maxim Integrated in semi ratings shake-up $TXN $ADI $MXIM $INTC http://dlvr.it/Qvy5B6
BofA/Merrill Lynch Downgrades California Resources $CRC to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Trade Talks, China RRR,Tesla, Intel, GameStop, Flex Pharma, LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC, #EIA,
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 12, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December / January 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 12, 2018
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. We have majority of weekly reporting due out Mon – Wed evening.
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Reminder: The live trading room is partitioned in to 25 attendees per room each viewing the same charting. If you are moved room to room you will be down for at most 20 secs at a time.
Reminder: The live trading room is attended by mostly full time traders and funds. We appreciate interaction to be as actionable as possible for attendees. Chatter can be directed to Discord server specific to instrument. If you need a link to private discord server for chat let us know [email protected].
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas. Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
I may be off on Friday for a vet hospital operation (bulldog) YTBD.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:00 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.45, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 52.61, Gold $GLD trading 1244.75, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 266.77 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3394.00 and $VIX trading 21.1.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:$ABIL $LX $WPP $DBVT
Stocks – Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Aphria Gain in Premarket; American Eagle Plunges – https://twitter.com/newsinvesting/status/1072847307484348416
News:
Dow set to jump 250 points as Wall Street’s wild swings in reaction to the trade battle continue https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/12/stock-markets-dow-cheered-by-trumps-upbeat-trade-war-comments.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.PostToTwitter
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Ride-hailing startup Lyft files confidentially for U.S. IPO.
Read: https://goo.gl/jxpnxi
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $AEO $SFIX $COST $DSW $PLAY $CIEN $PVTL $ASNA $INSE $FRAN $GTIM $CDMO $ASPU $ARWR $DLHC $CASY $PLAB $VRA $NCS $NX $TLRD $SEAC $ROAD $CHKE $IRET $OXM $NDSN $FTI $VERU $PHX $CIVI $SKIS $SMMT $PURE $STRM $MMMB $AXNX
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
USOIL MACD turned up on daily testing 20 MA resistance area. Holding after recent sell-off. #oil #Chart #crude
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Higher Ahead Of Consumer Price Index https://benzinga.com/z/12836854 $AEO$BAC$PLAY$MRNS$SPY$DJIA$USO
Yields on 3-month Treasury bills match those on global bonds for the first time since the financial crisis. https://www.ft.com/content/2a6a0ccc-fd2d-11e8-aebf-99e208d3e521 …
Trump admin seeks to severely limit all biotech interactions with China involving joint ventures, investments into US companies, and manufacturing. Public comments are due by Dec 18 2018! Universities are already planning to curtail graduate programs/students. This is HUGE 🤯
Nice one: A flatter yield curve tends to boost volatility as we move into the later phase of the economic cycle.
Kremlin tells Russian banks to prepare for disconnection from international payment systems #Russia
The market’s biggest problem: Everyone Is Bearish But No-One Is Short
Don’t get too scared by flattening yield curve: S&P 500 didn’t peak for >19mths, on avg, after yield curve inverted. On avg, it gained >22% before reaching its high point. Time between inversion & recession arriving can be as long as 765 days.
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday November 28, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, WTI, OPEC, Volatility Trade Closed, $AMD, $NVDA, $GPIC, $NTNX, $CRMand more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Nov 28 – Lead trader in attendance to live trading room at market open, EIA, mid day review and as required through the day and in futures trading.
- Jen (office)Yesterday at 6:08 PM
This week: Curtis, Jeremy (Sr. machine tech) and Katie (new machine tech) will be monitoring machine trades in oil on rotation near 24 hours a day (and going fwd). When trades are active the live trading room will be opened for EPIC and trading room members. During low liquidity hours trades will be nominal and more frequent in higher liquidity hours through each week. The first generation of the software is complete. There will be continuous updates. A rules based machine trade protocol will be published soon for members. The next to be coded is Bitcoin then SPY. Member reports are being processed now for the week also. Thank you — Jen. - Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November / December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.
There is a volatility time-cyle (monthly) coming in at Dec 5 so we are looking for a possible bounce in to that date and shortly thereafter.
Watching EIA closely today for structure in the current trading quad, it has been constructive of late.
Possible short $DWT on the day based on rise in premarket.
Per previous;
Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.
If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket
If you're a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You'll learn a lot and you'll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won't get many opportunities like this. #premarket
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 20, 2018
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:51 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.36, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.45, Gold $GLD trading 1214.15, Silver $SLV trading 14.15, $SPY 269.70 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4017.00 and $VIX trading 18.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
22 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12763192 $GPIC $NTNX $CRM $BURL $SWPH $JILL $SINA $WB $CHS $SMRT $TIF $SJM $GWPH $GNL
News:
Wayfair shares soar premarket after company says direct retail sales rose 58% over holiday weekend.
AMD, Nvidia stocks rise after Mizuho says GPU prices are rebounding #swingtrading $AMD $NVDA
AMD, Nvidia stocks rise after Mizuho says GPU prices are rebounding #swingtrading $AMD $NVDA https://t.co/w5opqHarb8
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) November 28, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
$DKS Dick’s Sporting Goods’ stock surges after earnings beat, raised outlook https://on.mktw.net/2AuTNEz
Chico’s stock plummets toward 9 1/2-year low after earnings and sales miss, lowered outlook
#earnings for the week
$CRM $WB $SPLK $NTNX $DLTR $DKS $TIF $BURL $PANW $BOX $DSX $ZUO $BNS $JKS $SINA $GWPH $VEEV $ANF $CBRL $HIBB $KSHB $VMW $AMBA $HMLP $WDAY $DAVA $RY $SJM $GME $JILL $VJET $AMWD $ITRN $TD $PAGS $KNOP $TLYS $BKE $GSM $HPQ $TECD
#earnings for the week $CRM $WB $SPLK $NTNX $DLTR $DKS $TIF $BURL $PANW $BOX $DSX $ZUO $BNS $JKS $SINA $GWPH $VEEV $ANF $CBRL $HIBB $KSHB $VMW $AMBA $HMLP $WDAY $DAVA $RY $SJM $GME $JILL $VJET $AMWD $ITRN $TD $PAGS $KNOP $TLYS $BKE $GSM $HPQ $TECD https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/jLnh9OtyI6
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 26, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
There have been a few paper cuts executed on machine trading side in oil trade last few days – report will detail when released.
Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility
volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade pic.twitter.com/M4NDXkdoMi
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Futures higher on hopes of trade breakthrough; Powell speech in focus
Futures higher on hopes of trade breakthrough; Powell speech in focus https://t.co/IPZPh7IrIf
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 28, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $GPIC $IPCI $CMCM $MBRX $UGAZ $CRMD $NTNX $PXS $CRM $GSM $BURL $ANY $AFSI $WB $INFY $BITA $UNG
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $DVA $SWKS $AZPN $SIVB $ZAYO $SAVE $OOMA $IMO $ONDK $ALK $AMX $TGP $SIVB $AZPN
Stifel upgrades $TGP from Hold to Buy
$AMZN: EVERCORE ISI RAISES PRICE TARGET TO $1990 FROM $1970
(6) Recent Downgrades: $BECN $WHR $EV $ECA $CME $TLP $TI $CBRL $CRNT $WHR
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, #EIA, WTI, OPEC, Volatility Trade Closed, $AMD, $NVDA, $GPIC, $NTNX, $CRM
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday November 21, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Nov 21 – Lead trader in attendance to live trading room at open, EIA, mid day review and as required through the day.
- Nov 12 Member Update (click) Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- Live Trading Room (as lead trader is available) is a 24 hour trading room (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November / December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.
Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.
Per previous;
If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket
If you're a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You'll learn a lot and you'll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won't get many opportunities like this. #premarket
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 20, 2018
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.81, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 54.37, Gold $GLD trading 1223.40, Silver $SLV trading 14.41, $SPY 265.53 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4518.00 and $VIX trading 21.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
FAANG STOCKS EXTEND GAINS, NOW UP BETWEEN 1.2 PCT AND 3 PCT PREMARKET
FAANG STOCKS EXTEND GAINS, NOW UP BETWEEN 1.2 PCT AND 3 PCT PREMARKET
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) November 21, 2018
Low float on watch $ANY $INPX $GLBS $PXS
Momos on watch $ICTY $MDIN $NHPI $KRFG $PGUS $LCLP $WWIO $INKW
20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12737960 $FL $ABIL $BZUN $ADSK $BJ $LTM $HTBX $XRF $ANY $DE $CAL $BILI
News:
Equity contagion spreads to credit, deepening worries on growth. GE woes, rising Fed rates are weighing on bonds. Spreads probably haven’t widened enough, Goldman says. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-21/equity-contagion-spreads-to-credit-deepening-worries-on-growth …
Equity contagion spreads to credit, deepening worries on growth. GE woes, rising Fed rates are weighing on bonds. Spreads probably haven’t widened enough, Goldman says. https://t.co/HU22R0Ivfz pic.twitter.com/xvYFskWv9W
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) November 21, 2018
iPhone $AAPL Assembler Foxconn Warns of Difficult and Competitive Year, to Eliminate 10% of Non-Technical Staff – Bloomberg
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Deere’s stock drops after earnings and revenue rose less than expected
#earnings for the week
$JD $TGT $BBY $LOW $KSS $TJX $BZUN $LB $GWGH $DE $INTU $URBN $$ROST $MDT $SPB $ADSK $CPB $PSTG $JT $A $ADI $LEJU $JEC $SOL $JACK $HRL $BILI $FL $GPS $GHG $BJ $BECN $QD $KEYS $DY $BRKS $NUAN $VBLT $SSI $NM $SFL $NJR $MMS $KLIC
#earnings for the week $JD $TGT $BBY $LOW $KSS $TJX $BZUN $LB $GWGH $DE $INTU $URBN $$ROST $MDT $SPB $ADSK $CPB $PSTG $JT $A $ADI $LEJU $JEC $SOL $JACK $HRL $BILI $FL $GPS $GHG $BJ $BECN $QD $KEYS $DY $BRKS $NUAN $VBLT $SSI $NM $SFL $NJR $MMS $KLIC https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/Cb4X0ukwMC
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 19, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
There have been a few paper cuts executed on machine trading side in oil trade last few days – report will detail when released.
VIX MACD on close watch today, could cross up and we could see escalation quick $VIX $TVIX $UVXY
VIX MACD on close watch today, could cross up and we could see escalation quick $VIX $TVIX $UVXY
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade pic.twitter.com/M4NDXkdoMi
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5Things
-U.S. accuses China of IP theft
-OPEC’s Texas headache
-Markets rise
-Calls for fiscal coordination
-Data due…
https://bloom.bg/2DCiCBP
Morgan Stanley says bear market starting. GS says economy won’t go into a recession, but its research says bear market risks highest in decades. Wells Fargo says if you got cash use it.
“…the only place that people with Rolls Royce get advice from those who take the subway.”
https://twitter.com/TihoBrkan/status/1065229468166434816
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYN $ABIL $FL $QD $UGAZ $BRZU $BZUN $MBT $FIVE $UWT $YINN $UCO $VIPS $DB $NVDA $SNAP $AMD $SQ
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$FL Raised to $63 at Citi
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Jacobs Engineering $JEC PT Lowered to $90 Credit Suisse
Kohl’s $KSS PT Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse
$TGT Lowered to $79 Credit Suisse
$LOW Lowered to $101 Deutsche Bank
$JACK Lowered to $103 SunTrust Robinson
$CRM Lowered to $160 Piper Jaffray
$TJX Lowered to $58 Citi
$KSS Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday November 15, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $FB, $WMT, $AMZN, $JPM, $AAPL, Time Cycles, Inflections and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:
- Nov 12 Update, click – Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- Work in Progress:
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.
#EIA #WeeklyPetroleumStatusReport for week ending 11/09/18 to be posted on Thursday, 11/15/18, at 11:00am and 1:00pm ET https://go.usa.gov/xPvF2 #oil #gasoline #diesel #heatingoil #propane #OOTT $CL_F $USO USOIL WTI
Per previous;
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:54 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.98, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 56.33, Gold $GLD trading 1209.38, Silver $SLV trading 14.10, $SPY 270.29 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 5408.00 and $VIX trading 21.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: JPM, ORCL, WMT, CSCO & more –
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: JPM, ORCL, WMT, CSCO & more – https://t.co/1NOl9Md4gu
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 15, 2018
34 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session http://benzinga.com/z/12706969 $XSPA $CGA $IGT $VIPS $CSCO $ARNA $SFS $CDTI $MARK $PXS $ABIO $NVCN $SORL $IZEA $BZH $NTAP
News:
Shocking NYT Expose Reveals Facebook’s Scramble To Label Liberal Critics Soros-Operatives While Trashing Google & Apple | Zero Hedge $FB #swingtrading #premarket https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-15/nyt-details-facebooks-mercenary-scramble-label-liberal-critics-soros-operatives
https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1063056217747144704
Apple supplier AMS cuts forecast, indicating poor iPhone demand #SwingTrading $AAPL https://reut.rs/2Pu7Rs5
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
J.P. Morgan’s stock jumps after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway adds 1.1% stake $JPM #swingtrading #Premarket #WarrenBuffett https://on.mktw.net/2OKDzMt
J.P. Morgan's stock jumps after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway adds 1.1% stake $JPM #swingtrading #Premarket #WarrenBuffett https://t.co/wupfqUGd3D
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) November 15, 2018
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Walmart reported stronger-than-expected sales, putting https://amzn.to/8YFo on notice $WMT $AMZN #Swingtrading https://bloom.bg/2Tfwasb
Walmart reported stronger-than-expected sales, putting https://t.co/upqbaqjoca on notice $WMT $AMZN #Swingtrading https://t.co/yDkWYTfOqx
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) November 15, 2018
J.C. Penney shares sink 11.5% after sales miss.
Dillard’s profit falls in ‘disappointing’ quarter.
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $CGC $HD $TLRY $CRON $WMT $AMAT $CSCO $GOOS $JCP $YY $M $MNGA $APRN $ATHM $ACM $TTNP $DFRG $AAP $WIX $NAT $NTAP $TSN $VIAB $NTES $JWN $ARMK $PETQ $HP $NVCM $SWCH $SONO $GLNG $KMDA $VERI $URGN $VIPS $FOCS $BZH $IZEA $GWGH
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Crude oil trading in tight range in advance of EIA report #crudeoil #trading #EIA
Crude oil trading in tight range in advance of EIA report #crudeoil #trading #EIA
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade pic.twitter.com/M4NDXkdoMi
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
We did say the time cycle was going to be big #premarket #timecycles
“We’ve now had 27 down days over the 39 trading days since the index peaked on September 20, the longest such streak since November 2008 amid the post-Lehman fallout” – Deutsche
"We’ve now had 27 down days over the 39 trading days since the index peaked on September 20, the longest such streak since November 2008 amid the post-Lehman fallout" – Deutsche
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 15, 2018
For those who aren’t familiar with business cycles, high costs of labour usually occur in late cycles, just prior to a recession and stock sell-offs.
On the other hand, periods where labour costs aren’t a major issue, are usually seen near early cycles of expansion. $SPY
For those who aren't familiar with business cycles, high costs of labour usually occur in late cycles, just prior to a recession and stock sell-offs.
On the other hand, periods where labour costs aren't a major issue, are usually seen near early cycles of expansion. $SPY pic.twitter.com/1JSVP7a0KR
— Tiho Brkan (@TihoBrkan) November 15, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $QURE $XSPA $DGAZ $ARNA $NBEV $KOLD $TNK $VIPS $NTES $AMRN $CSCO $ATHM $GOGL $NIO
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $ATNX $ACBI $VYGR $COPY $TSE $MYL $FRO $SPTN $HGV $OAS $COTY $TSE $O $CUBE $SWCH $SBCF
(6) Recent Downgrades: $HZNP $PCG $CPA $LW $SRC $SAFE $EPRT $APRN $KBH $PAAS $ECC
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $FB, $WMT, $AMZN, $JPM, $AAPL, Time Cycles, Inflections
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 31, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, Credit Markets, Time-Cycles, $FB $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:
- Ask for a tour of our member swing trading alert feed – we’ve done well through this and expect it to get better through Q1 2019. Been through many downturns over 30 years. Check the feed and tell me I’m wrong. #swingtrading #premarket https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1057255452621324289
- Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email [email protected] – use [email protected] if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.
- Oct 31 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 10:30 EIA report, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress (week of Oct 29 we expect to clear this WIP list):
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room starting mid to late week of Oct 29.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 31 Trading Plan: Today is EIA day, oil is near support and resistance on most time frames on charts – should be a decision area on the charts. Credit markets on close watch as we near the Nov 11 time-cycle peak in to the next mid to end of December (large time cycle per previous reports).
Careful with the bounce, FANG stocks are on fire so of course they are on close watch (we have models for most tech related of substance).
FANG stocks making a comeback in the premarket following Facebook’s earnings beat $FB $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL pic.twitter.com/GFq7sx2FA7
— Trading Nation (@TradingNation) October 31, 2018
October 30 Trading Plan: I published a swing trading report (Part B of the special series) last night – from that report and Part A of the series I have many stocks on watch that I think are decent candidates for long swings soon. I am watching a major support area on oil transpire in premarket, if it fails it may be another ladder down, if not it may be a decent long. Gold, Silver, BTC are under pressure and likely to be so now until Nov 11 ish. Sell-off should calm for a bit soon, other side of Nov 11 time cycle unclear at this point. VIX likely short set-up here. Those are my general bias near term but let price do the talking.
In equities also watching WMT, MCD, AAOI closely for long positions.
October 29 Trading Plan: Watching. Looks like a bounce in equity markets possible. Watching.
October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.
October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.006, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.12, Gold $GLD trading 1213.56, Silver $SLV trading 14.28, $SPY 270.64 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6268.50 and $VIX trading 22.0.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12600756 $KMPH $LKSD $ACAD $GM $EXAS $FEYE $FB $CLVS $DDD $SFLY $TCS $IQ $SPWR $EA $CLX $WATT
38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session https://t.co/n1CP72xse6 $KMPH $LKSD $ACAD $GM $EXAS $FEYE $FB $CLVS $DDD $SFLY $TCS $IQ $SPWR $EA $CLX $WATT
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 31, 2018
The Dow poised to extend its rally from yesterday with futures implying a more than 200 point gain for the index
The Dow poised to extend its rally from yesterday with futures implying a more than 200 point gain for the index pic.twitter.com/aZ0wefkRn2
— CNBC Futures Outlook (@FuturesOutlook) October 31, 2018
Stock Market up more than 400 points yesterday. Today looks to be another good one. Companies earnings are great!
Stock Market up more than 400 points yesterday. Today looks to be another good one. Companies earnings are great!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 31, 2018
News:
Credit markets are showing more nervousness about defaults – not just higher rates – now than they did at the beginning of the month. Investors are now demanding the most extra yield to own U.S. junk bonds vs investment-grade ones since the beginning of February.
Credit markets are showing more nervousness about defaults – not just higher rates – now than they did at the beginning of the month. Investors are now demanding the most extra yield to own U.S. junk bonds vs investment-grade ones since the beginning of February. pic.twitter.com/fhgkA0jejR
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) October 31, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Facebook Misses Sales Estimates, Weighed Down by Scandals
Facebook Misses Sales Estimates, Weighed Down by Scandals https://t.co/3mcyvbrgNo
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
#earnings for the week
$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNT
http://eps.sh/cal
#earnings for the week$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNThttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/w6cD7uO3t7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Yesterday’s Trading Action in Crude Oil (see oil post for detail) – EIA day today.
Crude oil sells off in to open, bottoms 65.31 915 AM, 1046 AM pops out of consolidation, high of day 1207 PM 66.84 #crudeoil #trading
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil
Crude Oil – The only chart that matters today (beyond EPIC Oil Algorithm) FX USOIL WTI CL_F USO #crudeoil
Swing trading with technical analysis $BLDP
Swing trading with technical analysis $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/WURkhsEzCt
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
Swing trading with technical analysis $LEVB
Swing trading with technical analysis $LEVB #swingtrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tnYe1Cj7iO
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
Swing trading with technical analysis $PYX
Swing trading with technical analysis $PYX #swingtrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/36IfTDhB2Q
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
Swing trading with technical analysis. $NBEV
Swing trading with technical analysis. $NBEV #swingtrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/IKvPhqzOtk
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
Swing trading with technical analysis. $BOX
Swing trading with technical analysis. $BOX #swingtrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/CCyhDBJ135
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 30, 2018
Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1056884532408926208
Crude oil 4 hour chart. Trendlines. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #chart
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade pic.twitter.com/M4NDXkdoMi
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
On the daily oil chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.
On the daily chart price ended the week right above the 200 MA and above the primary pivot marked on the chart.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
W/good times about to end, mkts have grown ruthless to comps that fail to deliver earnings: Stocks that miss estimates being more punished than usual, Barclays says. Investors have little patience for underperformers who are getting more punished than outperformers are rewarded.
W/good times about to end, mkts have grown ruthless to comps that fail to deliver earnings: Stocks that miss estimates being more punished than usual, Barclays says. Investors have little patience for underperformers who are getting more punished than outperformers are rewarded. pic.twitter.com/3cw5qWORPf
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 30, 2018
I did not realize how little fundamental analysis is going on in individual stocks until today I investigated one opportunity. I’m just flabbergasted at how most of the volume is literally ETFs, quants and computers.
I did not realize how little fundamental analysis is going on in individual stocks until today I investigated one opportunity. I'm just flabbergasted at how most of the volume is literally ETFs, quants and computers.
— Aaron Edelheit (@aaronvalue) October 30, 2018
Between 2012 and 2016, almost two-thirds of crude oil contracts traded on CME’s futures exchange were automated, up from 54 per cent. #Oil #Algorithm #Trading #OOTT
Commodity trading enters the age of digitisation
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TNXP $AMRH $LKSD $KIN $KMPH $IGT $ABIL $PXS $GSL $ARNC $GM $YUM $S $EBAY $FEYE $ACAD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, Credit Markets, Time-Cycles, $FB $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 24, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.
October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.95, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.90, Gold $GLD trading 1229.05, Silver $SLV trading 14.69, $SPY 273.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 20.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $ESEA $PLAG $VBIV $TRVG
20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12556095 $PLAG $TRVG $NEO $ALXN $TRPX $STM $IRBT $TXN $SIX $OC $T
News:
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCU
What will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCUWhat will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 24, 2018
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading
MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That’s all I’ll say. They stealin’ from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That's all I'll say. They stealin' from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 24, 2018
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support!
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support! https://t.co/qlDiDR22PR pic.twitter.com/ArkDLgyegA
— Chris Kimble (@KimbleCharting) October 24, 2018
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://t.co/ZZeOGHrP1q via @YahooFinance
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 23, 2018
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility pic.twitter.com/lKOJwGSALd
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA $PLAG $TRVG $TTNP $GLBS $TRPX $SLS $DCIX $TROV $TOPS $BA $DDD $FCX $SIRI $TSLA $P
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 17, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Earnings, Market Guidance in Trading Plan Section, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 17 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 10;30 EIA, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 15 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Curt
Notes per recent remain.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Notes per recent…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.48, Gold $GLD trading 1226.09, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 280.02 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6431.00 and $VIX trading 17.9.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $VTVT $PLAG $UPL $SPEX $OGEN $MNGA
31 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12519204 $VTVT $OGEN $NFLX $WGO $LRCX $MCO $UAL $AAL $DAL $CREE $IQ $IBM $FMS $BLNK $YGYI $TACO
World stocks extend rise after blockbuster U.S. earnings #earnings #premarket
News:
Netflix has parlayed subscriber growth into huge gains for investors. https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/netflix-crushes-estimates-renewing-faith-after-july-letdown … #SwingTrading $NFLX #earnings
Netflix has parlayed subscriber growth into huge gains for investors. https://t.co/UiFDod8mWT #SwingTrading $NFLX #earnings
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 17, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREE
#earnings for the week$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREEhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/IZ2INc9jBn
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 15, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades
NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades
SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE
FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE
SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings
SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
De-Dollarisation continues. #China has cut US Treasury Holdings for a third straight month. Beijing reduced ownership by another $6bn to lowest level in >1yr.
De-Dollarisation continues. #China has cut US Treasury Holdings for a third straight month. Beijing reduced ownership by another $6bn to lowest level in >1yr. pic.twitter.com/FI7RmNTJcu
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 17, 2018
This chart suggests that S&P500 has to fall 20% as CenBank liquidity will dry up. (Chart via Standard Chartered)
This chart suggests that S&P500 has to fall 20% as CenBank liquidity will dry up. (Chart via Standard Chartered) pic.twitter.com/DwvMXIhMnI
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 17, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VTVT $EARS $NFLX $APHB $NURO $NMM $LRCX $UAL $AAL $ROKU $AKRX $AMAT $DAL $ASML $PLUG
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $PSTG $NTAP $UAL $DAL $ALL $CSTR $WDAY $ANET $AKRX $NMM $LOGI $ANET $DPZ
(6) Recent Downgrades: $LOW $HD $SLCA $CVIA $SND $HCLP $NFLX $WBC $VMC $MLM $CNHI $TACO $SALT $BLK $ACHC $KBH $OC $LLEX $NK $IBP
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 10, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, $WTI, #OIL, #Iran, #Sanctions, #Venezuela, #PetroDollar, Hurrican Mochael, $AKRX, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility, $SNAP, SoftBank, Recent Trades and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 10 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, EIA Petroleum Inventory Report 10:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Yes reports will fly today!
Last few days fighting off a fever so I’ve been sleeping at night and the crew fighting seasonal flu’s also, anyway, feeling a tad better and yes yes yes reports start flying tonight (starting with Gold Silver etc).
Top of monthly time cycle peak today so watching post EIA at 10:30 for sizeable entries legging in to trends between Oct 10 peak and Nov 11 peak in monthly time cycles. Between today and Tuesday should give us the trend indications to do so.
Don’t get caught in the chop at top of a time-cycle, it can be pivot driven and choppy.
VIX on super high watch here through Tuesday FYI.
Venezuela situation on SUPER HIGH WATCH also. #OOTT #OIL #Sanctions #PetroDollar.
Light report today being this is peak.
If you are a trade coaching client and you are tandem trading with me in private server communications I may be delayed at times over next few days pushing final edits out on these reports (we have to get them out).
Notes per Tuesday remain.
Last night Jen got me the new models, I was bagged and just couldn’t do final look, so the first thing I will do tonight is review and distribute them for GOLD, SILVER and SPY. DXY and VIX won’t be until tomorrow night (Wed) and new SWING Thursday. This weekend we will announce new Trade Coaching Boot Camp dates for in person 3 day session in Dominican Republic, and online 1 day sessions for Oil and other specific instruments (we are doing one day trade coaching for each of the models and swing, daytrading – 9 sessions in total).
Notes per Monday…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.68, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.76, Gold $GLD trading 1186.80, Silver $SLV trading 14.33, $SPY 286.75 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6514.00 and $VIX trading 16.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Akorn’s stock soars after FDA approves ANDA for hypotrichosis of eyelashes treatment. https://on.mktw.net/2C76rfh
30 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12483498 $NVCN $IDT $TRVN $VLRX $IGC $NIO $MYGN $NVLN $SHLD $OHGI $STNG $TSE $FAST $PYX
30 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session https://t.co/91wwwOQ9ur $NVCN $IDT $TRVN $VLRX $IGC $NIO $MYGN $NVLN $SHLD $OHGI $STNG $TSE $FAST $PYX https://t.co/UgsBKsn4PL
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 10, 2018
News:
Top oil traders say Iran sanctions hitting harder than expected https://bloom.bg/2A24QWH
Top oil traders say Iran sanctions hitting harder than expected https://t.co/vwf6f8HQNK pic.twitter.com/nGKcr8t6fW
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 10, 2018
Time to watch Venezuela close *A 2ND COALITION ARMADA SPOTTED ADVANCING ON SOUTH AMERICA(!) 40+ VESSEL… https://youtu.be/Bpy27YR24r8 #petrodollar #cryptocurrency #Venezuela
Time to watch Venezuela close *A 2ND COALITION ARMADA SPOTTED ADVANCING ON SOUTH AMERICA(!) 40+ VESSEL… https://t.co/Y94W8ufDxE #petrodollar #cryptocurrency #Venezuela
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 10, 2018
Snap launches first formal slate of scripted shows and docuseries.
SoftBank in talks to buy majority stake in loss-making WeWork: source https://reut.rs/2CAjNBI.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA
#earnings for the week $JPM $C $WFC $WBA $DAL $FAST $AZZ $PNC $HELE $CBSH $FRC $SAR $EXFO $VOXX $DAVA https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rCvvoZ5oRX
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading
Akorn (AKRX) stock premarket up 7.59% trading 6.95 on FDA approval ANDA for hypotrichosis eyelash treatment $AKRX #premarket #trading
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Holding trend support area-ish for long bias set-up in premarket $ARWR #swingtrading
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open.
FIREEYE (FEYE) premarket holding up channel structure for long bias, may take first entries in to open. #swingtrade $FEYE
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs. $AGN #swingtrading #tradealerts
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Snap will bring scripted shows to Snapchat $SNAP
– Sears reportedly hired advisors to prep for bankruptcy filing $SHLD
– #HurricaneMichael has strengthened into a Category 3 storm
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Snap will bring scripted shows to Snapchat $SNAP
– Sears reportedly hired advisors to prep for bankruptcy filing $SHLD
– #HurricaneMichael has strengthened into a Category 3 storm— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 10, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $NVLN $VLRX $IGC $TRVN $ACRX $FPAY $NIO $NBEV $AKRX $VTVT $QTT $BT $IBN $YGYI
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
McDonald’s stock gains after analyst upgrade on ‘unjustifiable’ valuation discount
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Alibaba price target lowered to $220 ahead of earnings at Morgan Stanley $BABA http://dlvr.it/QmtlD2
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, #EIA, $WTI, #OIL, #Iran, #Sanctions, #Venezuela, #PetroDollar, $AKRX, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC, Time Cycles, Volatility