Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Nov 25, 2016. $NAVB, $JUNO, $SKLN, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was a super calm day. Not a lot to report but there were some important trading lessons.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

I took a long trade on $UWTI (yes I know it is delisting). My play is a 6 to 1 risk reward (considering OPEC meetings) that as of writing (3:41 am Monday) my trade is going against me. I may enter again long or cut – I haven’t decided. I entered also thinking I may get a bounce at diagonal trend line (blue) just below my trade (chart below) but it didn’t bounce – but I held thinking I may re-enter another long early in week. Interestingly price did hit one of Epic the Oil Algo’s price targets. Anyway, looks like I’m on wrong side of it so we’ll see.

$JUNO (chart below) I got out of my swing trade for a profit and will watch for a possible re-enter. My pre market blog post will have technicals and what to watch for.

$SKLN – the 200 day got under stock price on the 3 minute AND I MISSED IT! A BIG MISTAKE! And what made it worse is GSCT in the room even alerted us…. ugh. YOU NEVER WANT TO MISS THE 200 Day on the 3 min 5 or 15 getting under price on these wash-outs – huge mistake.

And I completed my video uploads from my $SKLN trade last week – lots of indicator lessons packed in to these videos!

Announcements in Trading Room:

Room Alert: https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-friday-nov-25-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-natgas/ Gainers: $NAVB 34%, $CTRP 9%, $IPCI 9%, $CXRX 8%, $DCIX $WPRT $SPEX $GSL $BZQ $JKS $INFY $DRYS $DWTI $GFI $NOK $AZN $AU $UN

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:51 am GSCT . : /CL downtrending
08:53 am GSCT . : A rejection of 47.57 anyway
09:13 am Curtis M : http://www.benzinga.com/news/16/11/8738781/20-stocks-moving-in-fridays-pre-market-session?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#/null
09:24 am Curtis M : Lkely going to exit $JUNO Swing here soon 3%
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at JNUG and NUG T for plays today
09:25 am Curtis M : Gainers: CTRP +10%. CXRX +8%. IPCI +9%. GBR +5%. ESEA +5%.Losers: MTU -6%.
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : In JNUG 6.69 out new LOD
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Playing JNUG close here. Up to 6.85 looking for an exit for a quick pullback and reenter
09:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Out @.81
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in JNUG at 6.67
10:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Out. damnit
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in if gold breaks 1185
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : All my usual suspects are way quiet today. Cleaning up some positions and thinking of reentering a /es short though Im not too excited about shorting a dull market here
10:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Taking off a portion of my CLF Jan 10c’s. .96 fomr .47. Keeping half
11:05 am GSCT . : /NG unreal today and hit 3.10s
11:05 am Curtis M : Loading $UWTI
11:05 am Curtis M : Yes IC
11:11 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.96 1200 shares

$USOIL, $WTI, $UWTI

FX $USOIL $WTI – entered $UWTI trade looking for bounce at diagonal trendline (blue) holding

11:14 am GSCT . : $SKLN breakout
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Filled the gap which should be some support here for /cl
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Gap was last sunday open gap up
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold acting a fool and nothing else exciting. I’m out to the gym before some rivalry college football. Have a good weekend all next week should be fireworks!
12:31 pm Curtis M : ok thanks Mathew
12:31 pm Curtis M : cya
12:37 pm GSCT . : $SKLN popping

$SKLN, 200 Day Moving Average

$SKLN 200 day on the 3 minute got under price last Friday and popped – I missed it.

12:54 pm Curtis M : Out $JUNO 24.925 avg from 22.31 buy

$JUNO Swing Trade

$JUNO Swing Trade closed 3000 shares 22.31 out at 22.945 today live in trading room

01:00 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $NAVB, $JUNO, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Nov 25, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Friday Wall Street trading short day session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we have posted updates for EPIC the Oil Algo and Rosie the Gold Algo on this blog and some updates on SuperNova Silver Twitter Feed (blog post in process) and we are working on $SPY, $VIX, $DXY algo blog posts over weekend. Sorry we’re running a little behind, but there’s been a massive to-do list getting room up and running properly and quite frankly these are not normal markets.

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (wash-out on news), $SKLN (wash-out on news), $JUNO (wash-out on news) $URBN (wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – but a pull-back will come soon – so watch close now.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Volatility is becoming a cheap insurance – so watch carefully now. I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: The real story here right now obviously is the $USD/JPY trade and various other currencies being pounded by the US Dollar. Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO. It did also hit a Fib extension and bounced off a Fib support and is sitting between two Fib points.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

As you likely know Gold hit Rosie the Gold Algo price target she predicted months back! Yeehaw! So watch it close now. Take a look at her Gold Twitter feed and Gold blog post update from this morning.

My Trading Plan for Gold: I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

$GOLD

$GOLD Algo intra work sheet charting. Nov 25 754 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold our Silver algo SuperNova the Silver Algo nailed the price target! Yeehaw x 2!

There are a number of posts on his Twitter feed and a full blog post will be out this weekend.

My Plan for Trading Silver: Same as Gold, I’m going to start chewing around the edges of stocks like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: We have been successfully trading the range with various instruments in the trading room.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Natural gas IMO isn’t ready until it breaks 3.10 on back-test. So that’s what I’m watching for.

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

na

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $SKLN, $JUNE, $ANF, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS


Gold Trading Chart Update Nov 25 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

November 25, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Gold Trading Report.

Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1187.51. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$GOLD, Algo, Stock

$GOLD Algo intra work sheet – charting. Nov 25 531 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Oct 9, 2016 my algorithm designer sent out this tweet about the price target for Gold he was waiting for before looking at a possible long position. Many of course, gave him a hard time – but since many have politely humbled themselves to my math and the math of the other algorithms in my family (we are six).

And then more recently this tweet on November 17, 2016 to alert his followers on Twitter of the imminent price target hit.

Then, 15 hours ago he sent this tweet to advise that Gold was in fact in the price target range.

Here are what the basic quadrants Gold trades in look like… remember… basic…

Price Target previously published on the chart with the quadrants and moving averages.

Here is your MAIN CONCERN with taking a long position right now. The bottom of the quadrant hasn’t been hit.

So what do you do? You wait for price – target – trigger. What is a trigger? When price and all the indicators line up. Until then you can snipe trades if you know your indicators well enough. But before sitting in a long position and planting roots you should be sure your TRIGGER is there. More in our trading room about this.

Here is your SECOND BIGGEST PROBLEM WITH A LONG TRADE IN $GOLD

And here is an example of an intra-day trade snipe set-up to watch for. We will be trading various set-ups in the room.

Indicators

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

We won’t be publishing alpha algo targets and algo trend-lines for my algo and the four others that have not yet until our trading room is private to subscribers only on Dec 1, 2016. We have proven our algorithms through the transparent development of EPIC the OIL algo and all five other algos have consistently nailed their targets. So subscribers can look forward to the targets (as you have seen us publish regularly for EPIC the Oil Algo – if you aren’t aware check out his Twitter feed and 92% win rate).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

 

Article Topics: Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

 

 


Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F) Chart and Algorithm Observations

November 25, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report.

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX $USOIL $WTI).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations

At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 47.40 (1227 AM ET Nov 25, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$USOIL $WTI #OIL

Crude algo intra work sheet 1224 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude has been trading in eradic ways the last few weeks. Normally we can lock in the alpha algo targets and algo trendlines with little difficulty – but the last two weeks have not been easy and continue to be difficult. The geo political sphere is obviously affecting the natural trading range. SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO CONSIDER THE GEO POLITICAL SITUATION when triggering trades based on our algorithm targets – CAUTION is warranted.

In intra-trade crude (referring to chart above) has fallen below two intra diagonal trendlines (blue) and bounced off the third. The three alpha algo targets are represented in the chart in red circles for tomorrow. Other targets for next week have now been published to my Twitter feed https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo.

So the primary observation in this post is more geo political – use caution. Nonetheless, below is some detail.

Indicators

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

However, for now, here are some indicators that stand out:

1. 200 day on 1 hour relationship. Crude algo intra work sheet 104 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

200 day on 1 hour relationship. $USOIL $WTI #OIL

200 day on 1 hour relationship. Crude algo intra work sheet 104 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

This is obviously a great BUY TRIGGER.

2. Crude is most recently beginning to respond to algo line and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 110 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Algo, Targets, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

Recently responding to algo line and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 110 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So being that crude has more recently (because for a time there when oil meetings were in the air so to speak it didn’t) this is good. It is also responding to simple lines (simple diagonal trend-lines and horizontal support lines). This makes trading much more predictable. Visit us in our trading room for more information on how to trade these charts or subscribe to my daily posts if you cannot be in front of a monitor all day.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

We cover this in much more detail in the trading room and we will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on You Tube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Here are the most recent alpha algo targets published to Twitter:

Conclusion

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room!

EPIC the Oil Algo

 

Article Topics: Trading, Stocks, Wall Street, Chat Room, Algorithm, Charts, Indicators, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Wednesday Nov 23, 2016. $JUNO, $ANF, $SKLN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $XIV, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Kind of an odd day with Thanksgiving Day around the corner today. Market fade was heavy late day. Some small cap low floats were running a bit. Gold and Silver were the big watches for us because the price for both was either just entering the price target zone of our algos or really close.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$ANF Abercrombie trade lessons were two… #1 being most important and that is that 200 day on the 5 – once that 200 on the 5 got under the price it was rocket time (classic snap-back and gap fill). So waiting would have paid dividends. It just gets tough to stay on top of them over days. There is a recent wash-out on $SKLN that I should watch closer for this.

$JUNO Therapeutics was my #2 lesson… waiting for the proper set-up in terms of moving averages would have likely been safer – I’m in this swing 22.31 and it closed at 22.56.

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:55 am GSCT . : DRYS ESEA moving

09:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : Premarket newsletter https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-wednesday-nov-23-lli-juno-ibb-labu-labd-axon-skln-usoil-wti-natgas/
09:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : Gainers: $REXX 19%, $DE 12%, $LABD 7%, $ZBIO $TXMD $AVXL $VEEV $JDST $CNHI $MRNS $GME $OPTT
09:09 am Curtis M : Mornin!
09:12 am GSCT . : Your call on /GC coming into play here
09:12 am GSCT . : Heading to your target
09:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : nice
09:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : Anyone have audio on that can check my mic volume?
09:14 am GSCT . : Could be a bit louder
09:14 am Dave D : Sounds ok
09:20 am GSCT . : Ticker more visiible on your chart. Thank you.
09:23 am Curtis M : Looks like a good day.
09:23 am Curtis M : Your welcome.
09:26 am Curtis M : Open on deck
09:28 am Curtis M : $AVXL $DRYS $MNKD $SINO $DGLD $SHIP $GLBS
09:29 am mathew w : Still monitoring my /es short
09:29 am mathew w : trimming positions today overall most likely before tomorrows break
09:31 am Curtis M : $MDGS +58%
09:32 am Curtis M : $ESEA +36%
09:32 am GSCT . : SKLN off lows
09:39 am Curtis M : $SINO 19%
09:40 am Curtis M : $DCIX 13%
09:41 am Curtis M : $SHIP 8%
09:42 am Curtis M : $ESEA Looking for 3.75 then 4
09:50 am Curtis M : $RLOG watching tape on bids
10:01 am Curtis M : $GOLD algo targets 1163 – 1167
10:01 am GSCT . : Ignore the Twitter trolls
10:02 am GSCT . : What’s the time frame on Gold /GC algo?
10:02 am GSCT . : SKLN some momo
10:09 am mathew w : Adding a few UCO calls. Stalking NE and WLL though Im still deep in the money in WLL and NE at this point. likely roll up and out
10:10 am susan woo : Curtis, why wouldn’t you wait until AFTER Yellen this afternoon before touching gold/silver?
10:10 am susan woo : Just curious
10:10 am mathew w : also closing out of DUST calls. Had weely 57s that exploded up ON
10:10 am mathew w : *weekly
10:12 am susan woo : Gotcha, thanks Curtis
10:14 am GSCT . : /GC new LOD
10:15 am mathew w : Like lol
10:18 am mathew w : Totally out of DUST calls. Might regret that but easy money
10:18 am mathew w : yea
10:18 am mathew w : dude is a GDX bull all day
10:18 am mathew w : Smart guy for sure
10:22 am mathew w : In some CLF jan 10 calls. Rolling up and out basically after closing a big portion of my Dec 8’s yesterday
10:22 am mathew w : Lots of flow in this name, lots of sweepers all week
10:24 am susan woo : I love your Canadian accent. Sounds like mine lol!
10:28 am GSCT . : SKLN may be reversing here
10:30 am GSCT . : Gold lower still
10:36 am GSCT . : Gold algo hit may happen today!
10:40 am mathew w : Oil has been a tough ride this AM. Small scalps but I’m gonna take a break and let it even out a bit I think. Back in 30
10:41 am mathew w : Big resistance at 8.3 area
10:57 am Curtis M : Watching $JUNO for snap back, $GOLD getting close to algo PT, $SILVER in algo $PT high range $USD/JPY, $SINO

11:01 am Curtis M : Long $JUNO for second attempt 22.31 3000 shares 

$JUNO stock

$JUNO Therapeutics 5 minute stock chart

juno-therapeutics-5-minute-stock-chart

11:03 am Curtis M : Out $ANF 3000 shares swing 15.57 14.96 buy here https://compoundtrading.com/stock-trading-results-green-portfolio-day-post-market-fri-nov-18-anf-wash-trch/

$ANF Stock trade

$ANF Stock Trade on Wash-out – Abercrombie

11:06 am GSCT . : SKLN flirting with the 20
11:19 am Curtis M : Low float Shippers Bio Drillers
11:19 am Mathew Waterfall : wanting a 20 touch on the 1′ to reenter /cl here
11:19 am Mathew Waterfall : being cautious after this am’s moves
11:20 am Mathew Waterfall : And that’s why lol
11:28 am susan woo : Curtis, this signal you have for gold/silver, is it as strong as the algo trigger you got before the January lows, right before gold/silver ran big?
11:30 am susan woo : thanks
11:36 am GSCT . : /GC rallying back
11:37 am Curtis M : back in 20
11:43 am GSCT . : Stalking SKLN on IBB XBI possible pivot
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : CLF calls working. May add to CHK here depending on OIL. Still bouncing around making me earn my money on the /cl trade today
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : And I know im a broken record on this but WLL is still seeing a ton of buying. I will likely take jan calls shortly. Out 2/3rds of my Dec calls for a 3/4 bagger
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : In WLL jan 11.5c’s at .57 to add to me dec2 10’s
11:57 am Curtis M : Thanks for posting your trades Mathew
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : No problem. I’m also open to share. I don’t post every little trade I do as I’m in/out of some futures pretty quickly at times like this AM with /cl
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : Also closed my /es short this AM. Looking to reopen that but the action off of the open seemed bullish and it was even if I covered at 2195 instead of 2198 where we are now
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : *always open to share
12:01 pm GSCT . : SKLN volume
12:03 pm GSCT . : Top of the hour
12:06 pm GSCT . : Natty Gas new highs
12:06 pm GSCT . : /NG broke 3
12:06 pm GSCT . : Curtis what was you buy signal # on that again?
12:09 pm GSCT . : It’s owned my trading
12:09 pm GSCT . : Avoiding for now
12:09 pm GSCT . : SKLN going here
12:12 pm GSCT . : Not going perse but some bump
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolling more dec8 to jan 10’s in CLF for me. Taking profits and taking a bit of risk off of the table
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those went from .42 buy to 1.18 so solid win
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Using that cash for some lottos. FCX Dec2 18’s for more squeeze. Will have to be out of these buy mid next week
12:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : And Holy SH*t. 11000+ CLF Feb calls just BTO it looks like. Damn!
12:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out the rest of me NE Dec2 5.5. .57 from .21. Taking off risk and moving out
12:41 pm GSCT . : I can barely hear you. I got it ful volume.
12:41 pm GSCT . : full
12:45 pm Curtis M : Sorry I think I need to switch headsets
12:46 pm Curtis M : As soon as I get a break I’ll swtch headsets
12:46 pm GSCT . : Thanks boss.
12:49 pm Curtis M : can smell coffee gonna go get a refill
12:56 pm Curtis M : Rebooting headset so Ill be back
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Took a small started in USLV at 12.9. Front running this trend a bit so starting small
12:59 pm GSCT . : Thank you.
01:00 pm GSCT . : SKLN slow and steady
01:09 pm Curtis M : $ESEA + 53% SINO +39% SPEX + 27% GLBS +19.43 %
01:27 pm Curtis M : $DRYS action intense
01:27 pm Curtis M : $GOLD and $SILVER at tipping point… could get fun soon
01:28 pm GSCT . : Thoughts on DRYS here Curtis
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolled the rest of my CLF Dec16 8’s to Dec23 10s. Thing is a monster. Targeting 11’s short term
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I got a .93 credit for that move BTW so taking some profits
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry .96 credit
01:31 pm Curtis M : nice
01:33 pm GSCT . : Missed it. Even 6.50 to 6.85 worked
01:34 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Resetting charts
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : In some JNUG. Looking for 6.8. Out under 6.40ish recent swing low
01:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6.6 needs to break for more to the upside. May add more over that if we get there
01:53 pm Curtis M : This is all lke a replay of this time last year – spooky almost
01:55 pm GSCT . : Good to know.
01:56 pm GSCT . : TVIX rmaped in early January
01:56 pm GSCT . : ramped
01:57 pm Curtis M : January was my best month this year and Brexit 2nd
01:57 pm Curtis M : Markets quiet right now
01:57 pm Curtis M : running scans but quiet
01:57 pm GSCT . : DId you play TVIX on Brexit?
01:58 pm GSCT . : FOMC in 2 min
02:02 pm Curtis M : FOMC Rate Hike Could Happen in Dec
02:03 pm GSCT . : Priced in to Gold’s move today maybe already
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of JNUG for pennies overall. Will reenter if it can find footing over posted level
02:26 pm Curtis M : Very quiet
02:31 pm GSCT . : 0Do you have a link to access the room from an iPad. I’ve tried logging on 3x and it says ‘organizer has ended your session’.
02:31 pm Curtis M : interesting
02:31 pm Curtis M : Ill message Sartaj
02:32 pm GSCT . : The mobile version is awful btw.
02:32 pm Curtis M : ya i know
02:32 pm Curtis M : shopping
02:33 pm GSCT . : Good to know.
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I may go take a nap or something. Not much on my board to play here into EOD
02:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : GCST: Try to rejoin the room on your iPad
02:36 pm Curtis M : Naps r awesome lol
02:36 pm GSCT . : Same result
02:36 pm GSCT . : Can you post a link I can try Sartaj?
02:42 pm GSCT . : Never mind. I’ve tried all possible links
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seeing if I can get a pop in XIV as they push SPY back green
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Boredom trade
02:45 pm Curtis M : ya m catching up on work until a scanner pops
02:45 pm Curtis M : if one pops
02:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES rejecting at 2201. Out shortly of my XIV trade ~.12 share so not much there unless another pop
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of that trade for anyone wonder. Adding some FB Dec 125 calls as well. Still looking for a gap fill in next 2-3 weeks
02:53 pm Curtis M : $NAVB Halt news
02:55 pm GSCT . : SKLN maybe
02:55 pm GSCT . : A lot of selling this last candle though
02:57 pm GSCT . : SKLN VWAP pop
03:14 pm GSCT . : NTNX running
03:17 pm Curtis M : nice move
03:18 pm GSCT . : Mossed the meat of it
03:18 pm GSCT . : Feels late now
03:19 pm Curtis M : squeeze so who knows
03:22 pm GSCT . : NAVB our of halt
03:22 pm Curtis M : thx lol was in algo land
03:23 pm Jorge F : What is NAVB news?
03:23 pm GSCT . : I can Google it for you
03:23 pm GSCT . : DRYS perky
03:25 pm Curtis M : $NAVB News https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/801521806590910464
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : SN Jan 10’s. Bit of a stretch buy they’re cheap. Needs OIL to remain strong and they will pay nicely. Nice R/R
03:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6.6 is a big level for CHK #captainobvious
03:31 pm Curtis M : $CHK interesting but Im staying out
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good call. I looked at adding more this AM and didn’t. I’m already in Dec2 6.5c’s so I’ll stick in those in to next week. Positive for me so I’m in no hurry to add more
03:38 pm GSCT . : Friday could be wacky
03:51 pm susan woo : So, how does in look in gold/silver land? Still waiiting for more algo confirmation?
03:53 pm susan woo : Yeah, that’s why I got a bit confused re: your technique
03:53 pm susan woo : No problem
03:53 pm susan woo : Thanks for explaining
03:53 pm susan woo : Ewave guys saying it could go lower too
03:54 pm susan woo : I’m not into ewave
03:54 pm GSCT . : LABU what a day
03:59 pm GSCT . : Me neither
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a great turkey day all. Will likely be around Friday if the room is open. Not holding any futures into this break, I’m way too cautious
04:00 pm GSCT . : Thanks Curtis
04:00 pm Curtis M : No problem your welcome enjoy!

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $JUNO, $ANF, $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL


My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Nov 23, 2016 in Chatroom. $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $SKLN, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we are commencing publication of algo charting for the following charting starting this morning for: $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – any not completed before market open will be available prior to market open Thursday! Sorry we’re running a little behind, but there’s been a massive to-do list getting room up and running properly and quite frankly these are not normal markets.

Get ready for a huge day!

Market Outlook

$JUNO – 30 and $LLI Eli Lilly and others are getting smoked this morning – so the obvious watch is this basket / sector. $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON all on watch too.

EIA is at 10:30 EST

Gas as 12:00 EST

Urban outfitters down 10%

Durable goods higher than expected… treasury way up.

Weekly Jobless Claims as expected.

Generally speaking the markets obviously are in a Trump win rally (which we predicted and posted prior to the election – just keeping it real). BUT, now here’s the warning!

Our algorithms posted long time ago $DXY US Dollar price target of 100.50 (which it hit and continued to rally), $GOLD price target not far below where it is trading now, and a $SILVER price target not far below where it is trading now. Of course we published algo targets and various info for the others including $SPY, $VIX and FX: $USOIL $WTI – but for the purpose of this warning – this is about the dollar, gold, and silver.

The warning is that we fully expect a rip in Gold and Silver and for the $USD/JPY to back off. This will create a series of snap-back scenarios… too many to post right here right now. SO IN SHORT, I am saying that we don’t expect the broad global markets to continue on a bull train for much more than say about 10% ish at most more. NOW CAREFUL, I am not saying the S&P 500 for example only has 10% more to the upside – not at all (I posted long before the election we had targets for a face ripper rally in $SPY after the election). BUT WHAT I AM SAYING is that many sectors are going to have a snap-back.

So watch closely over the coming days and weeks for that in various areas of the market. We expect commodities like Gold and Silver to snap back, the $USD/JPY to back off, the price of oil to rally in to the spring and a number of other areas of markets.

SO THIS MEANS (for me) that I need to get on a complete exploratory of opportunities this will represent – I hope to have something consolidated this weekend.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $REXX $DE $LABD $ZBIO $TXMD $AVXL $VEEV $JDST $CNHI $MRNS $GME $OPTT – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:   – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (watching for exit on my swing), $SKLN for wash-out and snap-back, Steel $X, $AKS, $NUE, $CLF, .

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – but a pull-back will come – so watch close now.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: The real story here right now obviously is the $USD/JPY trade and various other currencies being pounded by the US Dollar. Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Friday I wrote and it still stands,

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As I wrote on Friday,

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: We have been successfully trading the range with various instruments in the trading room.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Healthcare on watch. Treasuries on watch.

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Tuesday Nov 22, 2016.  $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Well, today was the first day I slept in since high school… well maybe not quite that far back. I hadn’t reset my alarm for the new time zone (so I lost 2 hours lol). And worse yet, I missed a crazy good open. But we got in to the swing and had a great day.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

The $SKLN trade I took later in the day for a snap-back after the wash-out literally has fifty lessons in it. It was about an hour and a half trade that we recorded the audio and video trade room screen share with charting. So we have started to break up the video in to ten to twelve smaller videos detailing all the indicators, psychology and technicals involved in the trade. I am hoping to have these videos ready for Thursday night. Tonight we are working on publishing the algorithm updates – so depending on how long those take will depend on how long the videos take to come out – but they are, if I may say so gold for learning traders… a really, really technical trade with lots of commentary on the minute as the trade progressed.

The other trades on the day were textbook scalps. The one main lesson (because I was on top of the momentum stocks – late, but on top of it once in room) – the main lesson beyond the $SKLN lesson filled trade was the $USOIL $WTI wash-out on OPEC news before pit close – but that lesson also is on (included as a part) of the $SKLN trade because that was happening at the same time in the trading room today.

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

10:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Forgive me… my alarm on cell phone ws set to Panama time – I am two hours behind this morning! Geesh.
10:12 am susan woo : I’m in LABU swing
10:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Missed out on some good price action in oil
10:15 am Curtis M : ya embarrasing…geesh
10:16 am Curtis M : I’ll take a few mins and get screens done here
10:17 am GSCT . : You’re still in Beta! This is allowed.
10:18 am GSCT . : This is
10:18 am Curtis M : lol
10:19 am Curtis M : grabbing coffee back in 10 for biggest week in my life in market – revenge trading!
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a chunk of my WLL calls today and likely trimming up NE calls as well
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : WLL was .30 to .725
10:21 am GSCT . : Gold sliding hard
10:22 am Curtis M : wow
10:22 am Curtis M : Active morning
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Im gonna give this market some time to shake out before taking any more trades I think
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Need to see what kind of range we’re working with to be able to snipe any plays
10:26 am David Glenn : Morning!
10:30 am Curtis M : Many ranges today to work with
10:30 am Curtis M : scans will be ready in 5 mins
10:42 am Curtis M : $USD/JPY huge deflation issue $GOLD
10:43 am Curtis M : BTW All algo updates out tonight for all 6.
10:44 am Curtis M : Looking for bottom of range in creude for an entry.
10:51 am GSCT . : Holiday week though.
10:51 am GSCT . : Thanksgiving.
10:55 am GSCT . : Markets closing 1pm Friday.
10:57 am GSCT . : The red dotted one?
10:57 am GSCT . : Dashed
10:58 am GSCT . : That’s a busy chart.
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Long UWTI 21.3
11:24 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 9.77 200 share tight stop
11:31 am Curtis M : Out $UCO 9.67 loss looking fo re-entry
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : ouch
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : sold at 21.04
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : yikes
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : that was super weird
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just a heads up, on this move I got some really weird stuff from UWTI
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Orders not getting filled or delayed
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : liquidity seems to be drying up
12:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : We are performing more fault tolerance and load testing today. Currently splitting users into sub-rooms. Broadcasting will not be interrupted.
12:22 pm OIL K K : Watching Oli Close now… this may be bottom for a while $USOIL $WTI
12:30 pm Deb Clarin : Thank you
12:38 pm Dean P : .
12:40 pm David C : OIL LOD approaching
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : In UCO 9.6
12:56 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 43.28
01:03 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Sorry 800 shares
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : out of uco
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : looking for retest on 10/20 on 1′
01:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Or clear and hold of 200
01:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out $XIV 43.43
01:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $SKLN 4.77 3000 shares
01:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : oil getting nasty
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out $SKLN 4.54 loss
02:11 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SKLN Long 4.81 2000 shares
02:16 pm GSCT . : SCON similar set up right now
02:21 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SKLN out 4.90 looking for reenter
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im all out of my oil position. Don’t want to hold ON
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have a few in and outs
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : UCO originally was 9.6. Just sold when oil was at 48
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also traded straight /cl contracts
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I trade off of the /cl price more than the price of the other instraments
02:31 pm GSCT . : You were Tweeting in your sleep.
02:33 pm GSCT . : 🙂
02:34 pm GSCT . : LOL
02:40 pm GSCT . : REN what a pop
02:42 pm GSCT . : Oil rocking now
02:46 pm GSCT . : Gold going south
02:47 pm Curtis Melonopoly : LOng $SKLN 2000 4.82 late alert
02:59 pm GSCT . : This is awesome.
02:59 pm GSCT . : 5000 SKLN Long for Curtis
03:00 pm GSCT . : at 5.12
03:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : OUt $SKLN 5000 5.11 and 2000 5.09
03:08 pm GSCT . : Great play by play though
03:08 pm GSCT . : WIll that be a regular feature of the room?
03:10 pm GSCT . : Will you all be on mic?
03:15 pm GSCT . : High relative volume now SKLN
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Taking some FB calls here Dec 9 126s for the gap fill
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Decent consolidation today
03:18 pm GSCT . : You don’t sound old enough for retirement
03:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also reloading FH commons right here for a trip back to the 3s
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also looking at DUST weeklies for this week and next
03:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m liking the low float bios here as well. In TKAI and ADHD
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Short /ES. Think we see lower before we blast off higher. Nothing crazy but want to be ready for it
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : And that’s it for my end of day position dump lol
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : likely to take TZA calls as well
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : probably cheap weekly lottos
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think oil can move higher, but these outsized moves in names like X and AKS need to take a breather
03:45 pm GSCT . : What was the tell on the washout? So late?
03:45 pm GSCT . : SKLN
03:55 pm GSCT . : And waht originally caught youtr atention to enter it?
03:55 pm GSCT . : what originally
03:58 pm GSCT . : Thanks.
04:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Have a great night! Big morning on deck. Algos tonight come out.

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USF/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Monday Nov 21, 2016. $REN, $XIV, $UCO, $UWTI and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Monday was a textbook tight trading day with the market showing signs of perculating (which Tuesday morning transpired). So Monday I was tight with my scalps and ran text-book scalp trades in $XIV, $REN and $UCO – went well.

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

Monday actually was tight so there wasn’t any big lessons to learn… Tuesday however is a different story. I have an hour and a half video I am doing from the trading room (in edits now) of a trade I was in on the afternoon wash-out and snap-back on $SKLN that worked out well. Lots of technical details in that trade – look forward to posting the series of videos (about ten shorter length videos breaking up all the indicators and technicals I was working with).

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

 

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:12 am Curtis M : Premarket Gainers $SPU, $TNDM, $DCIX, $EGLE, $AMCC, $MAGS, $SAEX, $YY, $OCUL, $WB
09:12 am Curtis M : Premarket decliners $TRVN, $PPC, $HALO, $CEMP, $SAFM, $CETV, $CXRX, $TVIX, $CSIQ, $VIIX
09:16 am Curtis M : First day back 18 hours in airport and flights so no premarket newsletter this morning..
09:16 am Curtis M : Watching $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $NATGAS too
09:17 am Curtis M : Algo work will on all charts released over next 24 hours.
09:22 am Curtis M : DryShips Inc. Announces Agreement With One of Its Lenders http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/-2177368.htm … $DRYS
09:22 am Curtis M : SolarCity shares halted premarket pending additional information request from Nasdaq http://bit.ly/2gBHX4M
09:25 am GSCT . : Can you turn up the volume on your mic?
09:29 am Curtis M : $SPU $EYEG $COOL
09:30 am Curtis M : $USOIL $WTI 47.85 on back test – to confirm algo break-out
09:35 am Curtis M : BREAKING: Sunoco Logistics to acquire Energy Transfer Partners, the company behind the Dakota Access pipeline. $SXL $ETP
09:37 am Curtis M : $RIG $NE $SN Active
09:45 am Curtis M : China lowfloats $CHNR 61%
09:49 am Curtis M : $ORIG $CRC momo
09:49 am Curtis M : Offshore rigs likely run soon
09:50 am Curtis M : Watching 47.80 break-out in oil
09:50 am GSCT . : Great alerts this morning Curtis
09:55 am Curtis M : $AUDUSD proxy Silver
09:56 am Curtis M : $USDJPY proxy $GOLD Miners
09:59 am Curtis M : Scanning – back in a few mins
09:59 am Curtis M : Thanks GSCT!
10:01 am Curtis M : So small cap oil plays I will look at the day after a confirmed break-out over trendline resistance cluster 47.80 on intra FX $USOIL $WTI
10:03 am Curtis M : “The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street”
10:07 am Curtis M : Looking for 47.10 – 47.20 entry on $UCO from oil price $USOL $WTI
10:08 am Curtis M : $ORIG $CRC $HK $TK $PBR-A $EVEP $NADL on the move
10:19 am Curtis M : $CRC $ORIG $UC are my main watches… watching $GOLD $GDX $USDJPY and $SILVER $AUDUSD
10:25 am Curtis M : High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY.
10:28 am Curtis M : They’re going to squeeze oil shorts soon over that resistance at 47.80 on FX $USO $WTI – its just a matter of having a plan ready for tt.
10:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Like you I’ve been trying to be patient today. Took a couple stabs long /cl for small gains
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Also like CHK here with some calls, and still love WLL though trimmed a few this AM with that gap up
10:35 am susan woo : That JNUG’s going
10:35 am Curtis M : waiting on back test 47.80 patience looking at long $UCO
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : there we g
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : o
10:36 am GSCT . : Nice.
10:36 am GSCT . : Jetlag.
10:57 am GSCT . : It can pay 6 mos. in … 3 weeks of a move are you saying?
11:02 am GSCT . : Thank you!
11:16 am Curtis M : Going for morning coffee need 10 mins to regroup and get orders ready for afternoon session
11:21 am GSCT . : Amazing alert on REN.
11:23 am Curtis M : Long $REN 34.05 800 shares small account

$REN

$REN Alert to room for snipe trades on Monday Nov 23

$REN Alert to room for snipe trades on Monday Nov 23
11:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Thanks for the alert on that! PLayed in-out twice
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Paid for 6 months of your sub at least. I can’t afford not to be in the room lol
11:31 am Curtis M : Nice Mathew! lol good man
11:38 am Curtis M : Long $REN 34.43
11:40 am Curtis M : Out 34.615 $REN
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Seeing some call buying in UCO a few weeks out
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Decent size bets
12:12 pm Curtis M : Now we’re just wating for time of day on $USOIL $WTI for long positions – we may even get a bit of a wash-out with ol up 5.6% #OIL
12:26 pm Roy Kirk : what time of day are you referring to
12:27 pm Curtis M : Long $UCO 9.97 1000 shares small account in prep for afternoon waiting on $REN bulls
12:35 pm Curtis M : Holding $UCO for EOD and may take a small cap before pt close
12:39 pm Curtis M : FX $USOIL $WTI gets up over 48.38 and it’s rocket ride time
12:47 pm GSCT . : Odds of an intraday pullback oil? Stallking DWTI.
12:49 pm GSCT . : Fibre? My busiding was just hooled up.
12:49 pm GSCT . : building
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also have SPY on our side here so the overall market to move
12:51 pm GSCT . : hooked. Sorry for typos.
12:53 pm GSCT . : Downdraft unlikely?
12:56 pm GSCT . : I could see ti test the 200
12:56 pm GSCT . : it
01:06 pm Curtis M : Out $UCO 10.01 small win looking for reenter
01:10 pm GSCT . : What a move
01:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : WLL still seeing a ton of flow. Longer term play it looks like but solid so far
01:20 pm susan woo : Curtis, do you know ERF?
01:22 pm GSCT . : Very cool.
01:23 pm susan woo : EEF a great chart
01:24 pm susan woo : ERF I mean. Sorry fat fingers
01:24 pm susan woo : ERF I just played the swings, but missed this latest swing
01:25 pm susan woo : Also kept in mind that insiders bought around 3ish or something like that
01:25 pm Curtis M : ok
01:27 pm susan woo : Your charts look like Kankinsky gone amok:)
01:28 pm susan woo : Kandinsky
01:31 pm susan woo : CHK strong too
01:32 pm GSCT . : /NG feels highly manipulated
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : yepp Ive been trading it all day along with REN
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : popping right now
01:56 pm Curtis M : Mathew when you take orders in and out post em
01:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : OK
01:56 pm Curtis M : u guys all should
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m likely done for the day. Good day and find I push too hard when up but if I take any more I’ll pot
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : If anyone wants the options side I can detials those more as well over and above what I already post
01:58 pm Curtis M : yes pls
01:58 pm GSCT . : Would like that Matthew
01:58 pm Curtis M : Mathew… you trade like I did when I was younger – aggressive
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha that’s a life theme for me
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : I
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll post new opening options plays and give a run down of my positons after the bell for anyone interested
01:59 pm Curtis M : thx
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here I think we actually see some profit taking which is what has me sitting on my hands
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Poor lift on big volume means tons of sellers
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll take a stab at UWTI when the 20 crosses the 50 on the 1′. It will have a tight leashh
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bearish crosses on 1′ and bigger sell inventory. No trade for now
02:08 pm Curtis M : Low float stocks mving one after another FYI
02:08 pm Curtis M : I’m not in them
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : TKAI popping finally lol
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : picked that POS up in the .80s
02:10 pm GSCT . : Feels like a drop in oil here
02:10 pm Curtis M : $NSPR $CBMX $PZRX etc
02:10 pm GSCT . : Test 200 for sure
02:10 pm GSCT . : Just a gut feel
02:10 pm GSCT . : And some indicators too
02:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : In UWTI for a bounce
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : wrong under that recent low
02:12 pm GSCT . : Maybe drop and pit close pop
02:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out flat. Done for the day I think in OIL
02:13 pm GSCT . : 200 feels like it’s made of balsa wood
02:14 pm GSCT . : .75 on DWTI
02:15 pm GSCT . : Did not trrade but monitorred
02:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Quick run down for those interested. I currently hold calls in: CHK, CLF, NE, PBR, UCO, WLL, XOM
02:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hold others but those are the energy related names
02:18 pm Curtis M : thx
02:19 pm GSCT . : I’m going to miss U/DWTI
02:22 pm Curtis M : $BAS large order flow
02:24 pm GSCT . : /CL can not hold
02:25 pm GSCT . : And now it can
02:26 pm GSCT . : There she goes
02:27 pm GSCT . : USO your preferred Oil play?
02:28 pm GSCT . : Tenuous here.
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Maybe I missed it but it looks like BAS went chapter 11 and might get delisted. At least that was the fear
02:48 pm Curtis M : Long $XIV 43.41 800 swing acct
02:57 pm Curtis M : $XIV out 43.63
03:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Late in day and holiday week. I would expect volume to be a bit light all week
03:07 pm Curtis M : Long $XIV 43.66 800 swing account
03:12 pm Curtis M : Out $XIV 43.75 didn’t get pop I wanted
03:26 pm GSCT . : Would love if you said what you’re looking at as I can’t always have your screen up.
03:26 pm GSCT . : Thanks.
03:26 pm GSCT . : LEt me know if I can help.
03:27 pm GSCT . : I soemtimes just have your audio going as I monitor.
03:27 pm GSCT . : You ahve a great voice for this btw.
03:33 pm Curtis M : ok
03:33 pm Curtis M : will do
03:41 pm GSCT . : Great calls and commentary today Curtis. Thank you.
03:41 pm Curtis M : Thanks for the great day!

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $REN, $XIV, $UCO, $UWTI


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Friday Nov 18, 2016. $ANF Abercrombie wash-out, $TRCH and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was a really mellow day for me. Took two trades, one for a smal intra-day scalp and a swing on the downdraft in Abercrombie $ANF that is at time of writing three market days later going well. A favorite set-up of mine.

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

$TRCH was a momo stock that I took a scalp on that didn’t do much. And Abercrombie $ANF set-up is a simple one that I take over and over again in my swing account – morning wash-out on news with an institutional owned scenario and wham! The shippers I could have played and in hindsight didn’t – that’s the main lesson.

Announcements in Trading Room:

07:50 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DRYS 23%25, $SYUT 23%25, $DCIX 18%25, $OGXI 16%25, $SINO 15%25, $CBMX $ESEA $MRVL $URRE $PIP $FCEL $CRM $SCON $GLBS $ULTI

07:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Friday Premarket Newsletter Updated https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-wednesday-nov-16-gold-silver-usdjpy-iwm-rwm-faz-usoil-gdx/

07:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DRYS 23%25, $SYUT 23%25, $DCIX 18%25, $OGXI 16%25, $SINO 15%25, $CBMX $ESEA $MRVL $URRE $PIP $FCEL $CRM $SCON $GLBS $ULTI

 

Stock Chatroom Trading Transcript
09:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Decliners $SYUT 23%, $SMRT 16%, $DCIX 14%, $URRE 12%, $MRVL 11%, $DRYS $PIP $SHIP $FCEL $ESEA $SINO $GLBS $CRM $CBMX $UGAZ
09:02 am Curtis Melonopoly : oops gainers lol
09:03 am Curtis M : Decliners $HIBB, $KTOS, $GOLD, $FSLR, $AMAT, $PAAS, $SSRI, $RYAAY, $MU, $UGLD
09:23 am Curtis M : Watching $NATGAS $SILVER Near algo price target $GOLD Near algo price target $USOIL
09:24 am Curtis M : I think i will stay out of morning momos we will see
09:26 am Curtis M : Gainers: EYEG +28%. SYUT +22%. DCIX +13%. DRYS +13%. SINO +11%. SHIP +9%. MRVL +8%. NUAN +7%. URRE +7%. PIP +8%. CRM +6%. ESEA +5%. GLBS +5%. FCEL +5%.
09:26 am Curtis M : APRI -25%. ANF -12%. SCON -9%. KTOS -8%. RLOG -8%. GPS -8%. NEWM -7%. EMES -5%. VRTV -5%. RGC -6%. ON -4%.
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : What do you think about the UWTI delisting? Makes trading oil a bit tougher if you don’t do futures
09:29 am Curtis M : morning newsletter
09:29 am Curtis M : lots of ways to trade oil
09:34 am Curtis M : $SGNL halt
09:35 am Curtis M : Hey Mathew as far as oil Ill update before Monday
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : I was just curious to your thoughts on that. No rush
09:44 am Mathew Waterfall : games games games
09:44 am Curtis M : no prob mathew
09:45 am GSCT . : UWTI delisting? Had not heard.
09:46 am GSCT . : Sounds good.
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : options contracts get you a ton of leverage anyway. Each contract is $10 per cent move in the /cl price
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : that sounds right
09:48 am GSCT . : GUSH and DRIP
09:54 am Curtis M : mathew what are you in today
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m just kind of sitting on my hands. Opened a new position in X with calls. Trimmed a large amount of the FH I picked up yesterday
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Watching and waiting on most everything else
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : May add to XOP and XOM positions
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Waiting to see what oil and silver do. I like silver over gold right here as I think it will play catch up if gold heads north
09:56 am Curtis M : inflection everywhere except specific equities
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : yea. It really seems like people have been buyig just to buy and are now set to take a small breather
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Also watching AMD with small pos, PYPL, MU, CLF
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : those are all longer term swings that I’m alredy in
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Ive been saying that all week that the USD would pull back a bit soon lol it’s in crazy mode right now
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : CRMD getting some chatter to
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Some of those low float bios went straight up yesterday
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : IE CYCC yesterday. crazy
10:28 am Curtis M : long 3000 $ANF swing

Because I am publishing this now… I can post how this is going 3 market days later…

$ANF, Trade

$ANF Swing Trade trading at 15.49 Tuesday Nov 22, 2016 – entered at 14.96 3000 shares last Friday.

10:28 am Curtis M : 14.96 avg

So this $ANF swing is one of my favorite set-ups – give me a morning wash-out on earnings or whatever the reason (the less valid the better – like the recent $HTZ trade we did in the room) that institutional investors own and I’ll scoop the bottom every-time!

10:32 am Curtis M : http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/anf/institutional-holdings
10:51 am Curtis M : I have an early luncheon here in Panama to prep folks before i Leave for a few weeks so I am going to go do that and be back inside and hour – not a lot happening so may as well set up for afternoon
10:51 am Curtis M : catch ya in less than 1 hr back here
12:01 pm Curtis M : Watching $TRCH and $USDJPY to back off and $NATGAS
12:06 pm Curtis M : $TRCH scaling in 1000 shares at a time here to see if I can get an afternoon pop
12:06 pm Curtis M : $TRCH is in my swing account
12:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Picked up a couple shares to join ya in the fun. The oil trade was slow so this will due to keep me busy
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : oil getting some nice lift
12:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : 1.35 or TRCH and I’m probably out
12:47 pm susan woo : How do gold/silver look to you, Curtis?
12:48 pm Curtis M : gold and silver close to our buy trigger
12:48 pm Curtis M : newsletter kinda explains but ya getting close
12:48 pm susan woo : yeah, tempting:)
12:48 pm Curtis M : the USDJPY move should be almost over IMO
12:48 pm susan woo : Maybe by next week so that they can have the fun of crashing silver/gold Sunday evening first?
12:49 pm Curtis M : Getting really really close we had those buy triggers since end of july so I expect them to hit or get close, we had dxy nailed and the others os well see
12:49 pm Curtis M : ya
12:49 pm susan woo : ok thanks
12:49 pm Curtis M : very close so close the inflection point is near
12:50 pm Curtis M : back in a bit running scans make a few calls to other traders
12:53 pm Curtis M : If I loose ya ill sign back in im moving to pool deck nice day here
01:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : going back to my desk lol that didn’t work
01:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : be right back resigning in
01:12 pm Curtis M : so im accumullating a bit more here and going to cut here if it doesn´t hold
01:16 pm Curtis M : tough time in the market… likely no fireworks until monday morning ‘ but well see here shortly if anything good for afternoon
01:23 pm Curtis M : This could be where USDJPY lets out some air…. but…
01:39 pm Curtis M : $TRCH I am selling for tiny gains
01:40 pm Curtis M : Gonna call it a day market gonna be quiet till Monday
01:40 pm Curtis M : Room will stay open till 4
01:40 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend!!!
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend
01:41 pm Curtis M : thanks Mathew

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $TRCH, $ANF, Abercrombie


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday November 18, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Friday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – we’re running the algo updates now for $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – lots of updates coming for next week!

Market Outlook

The world markets in my opinion are at an inflection point. Sure the S&P 500 may go to all time highs and the US Dollar may really rocket and the various indices and international markets such as Japan will all fly high and even the metals will get curb-stomped. All of that I’ve been tweeting for months anyway in advance – so no surprise. The question is how to navigate it, trade the pull-backs and then really PROFIT on the other side of the inflection.

$GOLD and $SILVER are almost at our algorithm’s price targets – so I will be watching these closely. Japan’s stock market is in break-out mode with currency etc. S&P 500 $SPY is in mode to break new all time highs (I called prior to election), $VIX looks like it will be much lower (per our calls), $DXY US Dollar is in break-out mode (our algorithm nailed that with calls that extend back months ago) and $USOIL $WTI is sitting a new up range but not in break out (I am sure it is waiting for meetings to conclude).

I will say that our algorithm calls for Crude Oil, the US Dollar, S&P 500, Gold and Silver all took significant heat at the time they were made over the last few months. Interesting times – but our algorithms were right in every scenario – so that’s very positive, as such we’re releasing the initial charting of the algorithms over the next week.

On the small cap equity side…. shippers have run their course it seems and China low float issues got jiggy yesterday as I expected they would. This play book isn’t new. Low float oil could be next.

On the ETF / ETN side $UWTI $DWTI will be de-listed soon… so I will be looking to other instruments to trade crude oil. More to come on that soon.

So my plan in general is to watch for pull-backs and turns as the inflection points hit outside ranges. More detail below.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  $HIBB, $KTOS, $GOLD, $FSLR, $AMAT, $PAAS, $SSRI, $RYAAY, $MU, $UGLD – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYUT 23%, $SMRT 16%, $DCIX 14%, $URRE 12%, $MRVL 11%, $DRYS $PIP $SHIP $FCEL $ESEA $SINO $GLBS $CRM $CBMX $UGAZ – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Indices: $IWM $RWM $TZA S&P 500 $SPY ATH, International: Japan Stocks $DBJP, Currencies: $DXY $UUP Break-out $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials: $FAZ Inflection Point?

Other Watch-List(s): 

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs, I will be looking for long positions on pull-backs. I see a run in Gold, miners and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies Etc: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally so I’m looking at $UUP on pull-backs. Also looking at how the $USD/JPY relates to possible long in Japan with $DBJP.

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

$GOLD

$GOLD 530 AM EST Nov 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

$SILVER

$SILVER 548 AM November 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI $GUSH $ERX, $DWTI, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

First things first, $UWTI $DWTI are being de-listed (on Dec 9 I think?), anyway, that will cause me to choose a new instrument. I liked the idea of the 3x leveraged – I have a sneaking suspicion someone else will fill the void in short order anyway – but in meantime I’ll find other instruments. I really think the big story soon is going to be Gold and Silver anyway – so my bias is turning in that direction for daytrades anyway – but I’ll always trade oil.

In the short term we do have to be ready for rumors or even real news out of the oil meetings so I’m ready for that.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Natural gas… I’m not comfortable with at this time… I want a trade with at least 4 to 1 probability.. at least thats the plan – and with natural gas it seems hard to get better than 50 50 – but we’ll see.

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Watching $RWM Russell 2000 Short

Watching $SPY Long to All Time Highs

Watching Japan Stocks $DPJP

Watching Aluminum Long $FOIL

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

 

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom