Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Friday Nov 4, 2016.

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat is deleted for this post) . Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade evidence (also in permanent archive).

In addition to chat (per below), this trade-room has live broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Before I get started on a review… I have to take this opportunity to apologize / follow-up on some unanswered questions in room from Friday:

Susan Woo – I didn’t see your questions in the chat room Friday… I get so involved in charts so my apology – my premarket today will cover though.

Mathew – Yes, go ahead and share charts until our room gets too busy. We’ll let you know when we all have to pull back on chatter etc. Until then… sure.

Here’s the trading room chat log with respect to my trades:

08:54 am george d : curt and I having coffee will be in room before open for morning momentum plays

09:18 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at morning momentum stocks

09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : Premarket $WTW $PBR $ARRY $TRUE $CBS $CLNE $CSOD Personal watch: $SPY $XIV $FXC $AAPL #premarket #watchlist #wallstreet #daytrading #stocks

09:35 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DCTH looking for 2.67 to hold and go

09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break over 3.27 and 2.67 to hold

09:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out on y $XIV Swing big win – daytrade still in.

So this was my win # 1 of the day – it was a large $XIV swing trade from the day before with large swing account.

At this point I am still holding from the day before the $XIV overnight hold on the small daytrade account.

09:40 am Curtis Melonopoly : I was all in there on that swing so that was a big win $XIV

09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at lower supports for more $XIV swings – out of large entry in swing but holding small account $XIV

09:48 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for bottom or top range on $SPY for volatility plays $TVIX or $XIV

09:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV on swing account 33..11

So this was a long for a scalp on the large trade account (my small account was still long and holding)

09:55 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trailing out $XIV 33,32 plus for scalp

So this was win #2 on the day – a scalp for .5% or so.

09:55 am Curtis Melonopoly : out

09:56 am Curtis Melonopoly : decent half a point

09:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : $TRUE break of 10.77 IMO decent but no go for me today

09:59 am Curtis Melonopoly : Snap back on $SPY could get really intense

10:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Should fail here soon and test lower before strong snap back

10:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CERS $CBK nice

10:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Market was wayyyy to irrational yesterday IMO with $VIX so I took the other side in $XIV

There’s my reiteration on my thesis for the large swing trade from the day prior.

10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CBK no increasing vol but vol good on day

10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CERS decent vol the day but… nope

10:16 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/gainers?e=US

10:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching close to get out of daytrade $XIV from yesterday, already out large swing on $XIV..When everyone gets happy I’ll go negative.

10:31 am Curtis Melonopoly : $EBIO and $CBK look great for EOD possibilities

10:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : back just in time for the test

10:43 am Curtis Melonopoly : So we’ll see how it handles turbulence here

 

10:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DXY lol surprise surpris

11:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : and I’m out $XIV for a yeehaw!

This was win #3 for the day. It was my exit on the small account swing in $XIV from the day before.

11:08 am Curtis Melonopoly : Party time wow what a great week

11:09 am Mathew Waterfall : !!!

11:09 am Mathew Waterfall : Got my $XIV exit filled at 34

11:10 am Curtis Melonopoly : Way to go Mathew!!!!

11:10 am Mathew Waterfall : Works for me

11:10 am Curtis Melonopoly : We may got a rocket ride here later IMO $XIV

11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Be 5 or 10 mins looking at BIO and other EOD plays

12:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SPY 210.20 and it’s a rocket – not saying it will

12:07 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS
12:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS over 9.83 I’d look again – but it’s strong – we’re late IMO
12:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS on a pull back I’d look at it for sure

12:21 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS, $CARA, $EBIO, $CBK, $XIV, $TVIX

12:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : looking at $XIV… may wait

12:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SPY break of 209.88 with vol long $XIV

12:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Needs considerable volume for my $XIV entry however

12:32 pm Curtis Melonopoly : And yes I know for anyone thinking it…. $XIV is not directly a $SPY play… I use it as an indicator

01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $XIV looking for expanding volume

01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV

01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Hoping for expanding volume $SPY
01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Hope is my plan now
01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’ll Cut quick tho $XIV
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m watching the VIX. If it can get <20.95 we should see the bottom start to drop out
01:19 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m in my small account here FYI
01:19 pm Curtis Melonopoly : In at 34.03 $XIV
01:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV flat out
01:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : the problem was expanding volume
01:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : non

01:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CARA watching for expanding volume
01:33 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $CARA
01:35 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long at 7.29 tight manual stop $CARA small account
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Target 7.38 for a 1% scalp but may hold
01:42 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Entry 7.29 exit 7.405 for a little better than 1% – that’s how you build a small account

This was win # 4 on the day.
01:59 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $X for break of HOD and expanding volume for entry on small account – I don’t think I would wait for backtest on support at 20.07 – 20.09
02:01 pm Curtis Melonopoly : if a touch of 20 on the 1 I’ll enter too if I can get it
02:04 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $X tight
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : No expanding volume out flat $X
02:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $GCI
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $GCI
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Likely a pain trade at first
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Didn’t want to miss
02:50 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out for now
02:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $GCI tiny gain will re-enter at HOD break of res

This was win #5 on the day.

03:10 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at a possible ping back trade on $XIV for a scalp
03:11 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 33.06
03:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Nice 1% compound scalp for the small account on $XIV

This was win #6 on the day.

This day could be summarized as me getting out of my overnight swing on $XIV that worked really well, coming back to $XIV with specific indicators that I explained by live broadcast as I moved in and out of each trade and I also used indicators to move in and out of momentum stocks. All trades were with low stress ease – not that I don’t get anxious – but I mean the “gamble” type stress – I had risk / reward on my side with solid indicators and when a trade didn’t go as planned I cut quick.

Any questions don’t hesitate to ask in a PM in room or DM in Twitter or on email… if you ask me in general chat in room it’s really hard for me to see because I’m scanning many many charts behind the scenes on monitors you don’t see… so my eyes are always there and not in chat.

Thanks

Curt


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 4, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! The election is near, it Payroll day… and will the market continue to sell-off? Even more importantly… can I get to the pool before the rain comes – soooo beautiful during trading hours and then lightening thunder and rain right when I get there – EVERYDAY.

My trading plan today (like my post market report last night) will be very brief… both because we were up all night with equipment and software upgrades and because from now until the election not much has changed….

EXCEPT…

I pivoted late day to a contrarian play and put my money where my mouth is on it and took $XIV trades with BOTH my small day trade account and large swing account. I may or may not move in and out of that position! Stay nimble!

THE MARKET CAN STAY….. you know the rest.

Morning Momentum / Yesterday Gainers:

Prior to election I doubt I will take a morning momo play… after election yes most days I do… but morning momo is going to be a tough play IMO – that is was I have mostly sat on my hands in the morning.

IF YOU WANT TO BLOW UP YOUR ACCOUNT… MESS UP MORNING MOMO!!!

It is a bit early to post momo plays so I will post them as I see them of interest in the room and on my Twitter feed as time allows.

Anyway, from yesterday I am following:

$IQNT, $MPG, $TCCO, $EVI, $ENOC, $DRYS – Shippers and Twitter and others…

Crude Oil – FX $USOIL, $WTI | $USO $DWTI $UWTI $CL_F Etc….

EPIC the Oil Algo new algorithmic calculations are not published yet for the new price / time zone… I wouldn’t expect them until before market open Monday because the price has done NOTHING since it dropped in to it’s new zone… it did slice right through a target on Wed at 10:30 AM (red circles) and looks like it will do the same for today’s 1:00 PM algo target. You can see on the chart how the algos are trading up to the algo trendline (red dotted line) and it has done not much else – but it is UNDER that red dotted line – caution IMO.

Gold, Silver, Miners, Metals… ($JNUG, $JDST, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $GLD, $SLV, $USLV etc…)

My position is intact… prior to election downdraft I was looking for downdraft (one) in Gold and Silver (if you go back to my posts you will see consistency there) and I also am prepared for Gold and Silver among others to take off… I am watching. Watch $FXY.

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ… etc)

No clue – no clue at all – it should be running. Just like silver should be IMO.

Volatility $VIX ($UVXY, $XIV, $TVIX etc)

I think $VIX insurance was a tad over-done yesterday… but of course I have been wrong before – so I took a contrarian trade in $XIV and we’ll see. RR was good and I have room in my win rate to fail once in a while:)

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP and $HYG, $TLT etc..

It is threatening support – I would be cautious. You never know what kind of manipulation is coming over next few trading days – I AM WATCHING IT like a hawk. The dollar, credit, $HYG, $TLT, $DXY, China $CNY and other currencies etc…. I am watching very close.

Twitter

This is such an interesting play for me now – I was interested until recently – but now I am ESPECIALLY with some big name tech companies TANKING.

In Summary… between now and the election it is all about being nimble for me.

The trade room could get really exciting or be the most boring few trading days on record!

Watch the room alerts and my Twitter feed for updates!

Good luck and stay blessed! And please… bank bank bank.

Curt

 

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Wednesday Nov 3, 2016.

Again this morning I will be very brief – yesterday and today have become one trading day as far as my account is concerned (and perhaps right up to election) – so I am going to do an in depth blog post this weekend explaining my reasoning. Also last night we worked until the wee hours in the morning on chatroom hardware and software upgrades so that took my time. So you can expect a detailed blog post this weekend.

Yesterday for me became all about whether support on $SPY and $SPX was going to hold (if touched). Folks in the chat room know I took a number of small scalp trades to build my small account. But later in the day I pivoted to a contrarian large entry in my swing account and also in my small account (day trade account). I pivoted to $XIV hold / swing.

If $SPY $SPX continue to down draft I will consider exiting. I took that trade late in the day.

So basically my risk to reward in my thinking is intact – more risky than I would normally be – but again…. look to a very detailed blog post on weekend.

Thanks

Curt


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 3, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! The election is near, we’re past FOMC, Facebook has turned face and Brexit… did it happen?

I got more than my 1% yesterday compound (goal is 1 – 3%) so I am happy. My trading plan is consistent with other posts this week – so please review them quick with the exception of any morning momentum stocks. So this will be short!

Momentum Stocks and Others

I am watching $FB Facebook close (because of the downdraft) and $IBB Biotech close (oversold).

I am also watching the British Pound with $GBB (long Pound to US Dollar) and $FXB.

$BMRN BioMarin Pharma has an upgrade at Deutsche I like so I will watch that.

Russell 2000 – This might really tank if Hillary wins so I am watching this close.

And watch my Twitter feed right before and during market open for any other momentum plays.

And of course our chat room will have them live.

$DXY – US Dollar

The US Dollar was close to a Fib at 97.07 earlier so this is an interesting watch for possible long in $UUP (long) and watching $UDN close (short a basket of currencies including British Pound).

Volatility and Metals

With the FOMC behind us, the election ahead and Brexit may not be an exit I’m still looking at volatility and metals – I still like $JNUG and will be watching close (for example – read last few days posts).

I took a late day trade in $TVIX yesterday that looks like will struggle today, but I will hold. I don’t think $VIX insurance buys are done and I don’t think volatility is near over.

Natural Gas

Still confuses me so I continue to watch for a bounce.

Crude Oil

Oil I was going to take a long swing in but haven’t – I’m waiting for things to settle there and EPIC the Oil Algo’s new algorithmic calculations (which we expect sometime before Monday open – could be as early as this morning). Each time there is a time / price cycle termination the new calculations can take 1 – 3 business days because the calculations are based on trading action in the new time cycle.

So if you have an interest in more in a more in depth idea of my plan this week please review previous posts this week and I am going to check in on EPIC the Oil Algo now and see if we can get an update.

See you in the room!

Curtis

 

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Wednesday Nov 2, 2016.

A real quick review of trades in our chat room – I will do an in depth recap this weekend on trades this week.

The day started with $UA chatter (possible buy-out) – I did take a trade with a tight stop and small loss -.2 cents.

I moved on to volatility with the upcoming election / FOMC minutes and didn’t trade Gold, Silver or crude oil on the day.

Our techs are figuring out a way to post the ledger daily (my Canadian broker is going to have to change for this purpose and other execution reasons). But the trades were live in the room for transparency and posted to Twitter (although on Twitter they are delayed to respect our subscribers).

$TVIX

1:02 Entry 19.74

1:09 Exit 19.86

$XIV

2:00 Entry 35.24

2:29 Exit 35.62

$TVIX

317 Entry Avg 19.51

341 Exit Avg 19.51

$TVIX

3:55 Entry 19.88 overnight hold (this is down in pre-market – however with election coming it’s a hold for me).

Other than those trades, I didn’t trade metals, any other momentum stocks other than Under Armour and I didn’t take a trade on crude oil (although I wanted to go long and didn’t).

So my small account for volatility compounded at about 1.5% for the day.

Best to you.

Curt

 


My Stock Trading Plan for November 2, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! Trade them well!

I have to admit, my trading plan today is a near carbon copy of yesterday with the exception of momentum stocks (of course have changed) and oil. So this will be short!

Most days this will be out much earlier – but our war room is bustling to say the least with algorithmic alarms firing off like never before (especially with time / price cycles terminating and proving that out in market trade in crude) and the election etc… and getting our trade room up bla bla. Yup busy – so soooon I’ll be more on top of it.

Below is a link to yesterday’s trading plan (recommended read ha) and if you haven’t visited EPIC the Oil Algo’s twitter feed you should – and try and listen better than I have to it lol.

Pre-Market Newsletter ($SPY, $VIX, Oil, $DXY, $JNUG, Gold, Silver, $UGAZ…more)

Today’s Momentum Stocks

I am looking at follow through possible with $VRX and watch my twitter feed or be in room for other momo’s.

Main Focus

My main focus will be to crude (finding a bottom for new time / price cycle)… so I will be very busy on my phone FYI with crude oil traders getting a feel for their positions (not that that has helped the last few days because they have taken a beating trying to catch the knife – EPIC laughs) and I will also be watching small cap metal stocks.

Of course we have the election and FOMC to watch out for too and the oil reports this morning and rigs on Friday.

FOMC is due at 2:00 EST http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/02/fomc-statement-earnings-deluge-in-the-spotlight-for-wall-street-us-election-eyed.html

Mortgage applications dropped and the ADP employment report wasn’t stellar to say the least.

And most importantly IMO is that (and I don’t know how many of you noticed) many YUGE traders on Wall Street (at least those in the public eye and online) had YUGE losses yesterday – so don’t buy the hype.

Watch the election momo – read my previous posts… I stand firm in that the dollar is strong but if Trump looks like he is going to win it could tank but against the MXN it will crush it… metals should rally… oil needs to find a bottom… natural gas needs to find a bottom soo and the market isn’t free (so watch out for the Fed WATCH CLOSE – oh and ya volatility – if you’re shorting (which is normally a decent play) I would think twice doing that soon – shorting volatility right now is a gamble (baccarat anyone? – BANKER!).

Ok, enough have a great day, review yesterday’s post and I’ll see you in the room. And don’t forget many of our technical issues will be sorted by Monday (read the daily room memo that updates that).

Stay blessed and bank and cut fast.

Curt

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday October 31, 2016.

A quick review of trades in our chat room…

Metals were up in pre-market and $DXY US Dollar was in downdraft. Crude was looking to test traditional neckline and previous support (both horizontal and diagonal supports) and I was also considering EPIC the Oil Algo’s targets (albeit I didn’t recall the numerous warnings about time / price cycles).

So I took trades in $JNUG.

I also took a $UWTI trade that was a small win – but only by luck.

My big should have for the day was $VRX – of course my scanners caught it (and very quick – so they are firing perfect) but I just didn’t pull the trigger. $NSPR I didn’t take a trade on that super-nova (next move on IMO).

Our pre-launch for chat trade room can be distracting, especially with technology that we’re dealing with – but we’re getting there.

Anyway, HERE ARE THE QUICK LESSONS:

$JNUG trade – It was a winner but I should have got in earlier… it was an easy call… days earlier actually… but with my compound discipline I won’t beat myself up because it is safe – very safe and obviously works.

FX: $USOIL $WTI trade –  It was a lucky winner because there was a massive futures buy right before pit close. Very lucky – especially considering what trading looks like in overnight session. Mistakes were that I did not cut losses quick – I went in on 1/3 trades expecting to get a bounce at supports and the neckline at worst. Second mistake (and the biggest one I am learning) is that EPIC the oil Algo TOLD ME AND THE WORLD that the time / price cycles HAD IN FACT CHANGED – SO THERE WAS NO REASON TO EXPECT A BOUNCE! Really bad mistake and I was lucky to get out.

$VRX – The lesson there is simple…. it was a simple news bounce on that play. Pure and simple. Don’t be distracted.

Look forward to seeing you in the trading chat room!

Best to you.

Curtis

 


Welcome to our Stock Trading Chat Room!

Below are memorandum notes important for our subscribers as we move from pre-launch to official launch Jan 1, 2107. Please check back regularly as many regular questions will have answers posted here along with various important updates. HERE is the link to enter our stock chat room (free to public until Dec 1, 2016).

Nov 4, 2016 Updates:

The screen sharing lag will either be completely better today or almost completely better – the equipment was installed last night and now it is just a matter of us working it all correctly:) So that may take a day or so.

The grey out should not be an issue now – fixed.

The onboarding and payments new members are dealing with we expect to have upgraded this weekend and for other room updates please review below.

Nov 3, 2106 Updates:

Screen sharing issue (grey out at times) and chart lags equipment being installed today so this will be a non issue Friday or Monday at latest.

Algorithm charting for all algorithms to be released next week (after election).

For other recent updates see below…

Nov 1, 2016 Updates:

PayPal subscriptions:

Some attendees are having difficulty with the Paypal function… especially from Europe, but also in other areas of the world. Sartaj (@hundalSHS on Twitter) is working on that and will have a secondary method available on our site this Sunday evening at latest.

On-boarding / signing in to room:

Some attendees are having difficulty with onboarding to the trading chat room itself… this is being sorted as I type. Any problem please email or DM us.

Screen sharing charts blanking out and throttling bandwidth:

So this has been solved and won’t occur by end of week. You will notice the chart screen grey out at times until Friday and the charts will take some time to load until then (causing us to have to re-boot).

Alerts in Twitter, Chat Room, Email, SMS:

Tweets on our personal feeds are delayed and will stay that way (to protect the integrity of premium subscriptions as we roll out). However, in room alerts in chat will get better as we progress. Again, Sartaj, Tyler, and Shawn are intermittently in the room between now and Jan 1 2017 and after Jan 1 2017 alerts, moderator functions, constant flow of market data etc will be much different at that point. As below, the email and SMS alerts will commence sometime next week.

Algorithms:

We have had some questions about algo roll-outs and how to use them for futures. All our algorithms are in development. They are all represented in a charted form until Sartaj and software engineers begin coding them in January with goal to eventually be probability indicators for the trader. Until then however, they are charted. They all have targets and indicators in the charting. We are rolling them out one at a time right now and starting with oil. We have limited the maximum attendees in the chat room for this reason because there will be a learning curve for subscribers (like any other indicator you may use to trade equities etc with). So you will see us introduce the charting with the algorithmic calculated indicators in the chat room and with each they will eventually be only available by subscription. For example, we are starting with oil, we are sharing the basic charting currently and soon we will move on to more advanced algorithmic indicators (intra-day) with our subscribers and then also be introducing the simplest form of the next algo and so on. The next step becomes coding. The process from introducing to the room to only being available as a subscription (and coding starting) we expect to be 30 – 60 days for each algo. In other words, oil is being introduced right now and 60 days from now at most we would expect that algorithmic charting to only be available to EPIC the Oil algo subscribers (and it will be the first to enter coding phase in the new year as a result).

With respect to using it in futures… sure, it can be used as an edge for futures. But you will need access 24 hours to the charting which we don’t expect for 60 or so days.

Thanks again for the support! You guys and gals have been great! Email anytime of DM please!

Best.

Oct 31, 2106 Updates:

For attendees that cannot get voice portion of broadcast I will do my best to get all alerts to chat room and Twitter. However, until our official launch our moderators and software engineers are not full-time in room until Jan 1, 2017 (for official launch). They’re running mad getting ready – so they will be in room some days but not all days.

Until Jan 1 questions in room will be answered after market hours. Message in room, DM my Twitter feed @curtmelonopoly or email [email protected].

We are also work with some other traders to get their rooms going early 2017 on our upcoming platform and also with traders that will be testing algorithms in 2017.

Algorithmic charts – we will start releasing them for $SPY, Silver, Oil, Gold, US Dollar, and Natural Gas slowly between now and Jan 1 to allow for proper time to work with our members and the disciplines therein.

We have a 300 limit in our room prior to Jan 1 at official launch. Paid members will take priority should limit be reached.

First 200 members receive 50% off regular rates. See website.

November is free to the public.

December is free to members paid and signed on for Jan 1 official launch.

Until we are in our new digs here over the next few weeks and the technology set-up… the screen sharing will be intermittent. We do however seem to have bandwidth for chat room, voice and moderate screen sharing. The SMS alerts and email alerts will be active within a week too.

Any questions email us [email protected].

In the meantime, welcome to our room and enjoy complimentary access until Dec 1, 2016!

Let’s bank!

 

 

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