January 2017 - Compound Trading

Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Jan 31 $TENX $DRYS $RGSE $SINO $AEZS $XGTI – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

Trading Plan $AEZS, $DRYS, $RGSE, $SINO, $XGTI, Chatroom, Day-trading, Pre-Market, Stockmarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Watchlist Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $DRYS $RGSE $SINO $AEZS $XGTI – $GOOGL, $TRCH, $LGCY, $CBMX, $JUNO, $ROKA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$GOOGL, $LGCY, $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Volatility is here!!! Margin finally. Apple reports after market and Amazon Thursday – should get interesting. Morning chart reports show Gold, Silver near break outs, Oil near support, USDJPY near further break down and US Dollar confusing. VIX should be a good play today…. but most important is that margin has finally opened up! Thank you!

On the look out for great buys. Under Armour is interesting.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Watch: $DRYS $RGSE $SINO $AEZS $DCIX $SNAM $MNTA $XGTI

$OCRX HCW maintains Buy, PT lowered to $4

Exxon little changed as Q4 earnings miss, revenue rises http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239072-exxon-little-changed-q4-earnings-miss-revenue-rises?source=feed_f … #premarket $XOM

Fitbit downgraded to Sell at Citi, target $5 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239074-fitbit-downgraded-sell-citi-target-5?source=feed_f … #premarket $FIT

Dimension Therapeutics’ gene therapy candidate for hemophilia B shows treatment benefit in early… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239075-dimension-therapeutics-gene-therapy-candidate-hemophilia-b-shows-treatment-benefit-early?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $DMTX

$CLRB Announces Two Peer Reviewed Studies Demonstrating the Capabilities of the PDC Platform

MasterCard lower after revenue miss http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239045-mastercard-lower-revenue-miss?source=feed_f … #premarket $MA

$SDRL -18% #premarket Has not yet reached agreement among all counterparties in talks to restructure $8.2B in secured #debt.

$TEVA slumps 7% #premarket U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware has invalidated all asserted claims of four patents.

Weak guidance and earnings miss sends UPS lower http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239038-weak-guidance-earnings-miss-sends-ups-lower?source=feed_f … #premarket $UPS

Thermo Fisher Scientific revenues up 7%; non-GAAP EPS up 14% in Q4 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239036-thermo-fisher-scientific-revenues-7-percent-non-gaap-eps-14-percent-q4?source=feed_f … #premarket $TMO

Griffon EPS in-line, misses on revenue http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239034-griffon-eps-line-misses-revenue?source=feed_f … #premarket $GFF

Exxon Mobil EPS of $0.41 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239027-exxon-mobil-eps-0_41?source=feed_f … #premarket $XOM

Oak Ridge Financial Services reports Q4 results http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239066-oak-ridge-financial-services-reports-q4-results?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $BKOR

FedEx -1.7% after UPS disappointment http://seekingalpha.com/news/3239063-fedex-minus-1_7-percent-ups-disappointment?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $FDX

$SNE #SONY up in #premarket $30.49 earnings on Thursday $35.. stake in M3 should provide boost to earnings. Image sensors sales skyrocket

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $DRYS 43%, $JAGX 41%, $SINO 15%, $XGTI 13%, $AEZS 9%, $ESEA $TOPS $ATRS $DGAZ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Decliners: $UAA -26%, $UA -23%, $SDRL -15%, $SMLP -7%, $TEVA -6%, $JDST $UGAZ $DUST $DSLV I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $VSAT $PAGP $XGTI $PAA $KRNY $VNOM $FBNK $QTS $SHOO $TUP $BHLB $MNRO $MKTX $CBOE $NNN $AHP $TEVA $MPSX $CLR as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $IDTI $GOLD $NGVC $OCRX $CTSH $FIT $CLH $BWLD $XXIA $M $NGD $BH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Tweets by curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $DRYS, $RGSE, $SINO, $AEZS, $XGTI, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

Jan 2017

SuperNova $SILVER Member Trading Chart Update Tues Jan 31 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Silver Trading Chart Update Tuesday Jan 31 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations My name is SuperNova

SuperNova $SILVER Member Trading Chart Update Tues Jan 31 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

SuperNova Silver Algo $DSLV, $USLV, Algorithms, Article Topics: SuperNova Silver Algo, Chart, Chatroom, Commodities, Fibonacci, Indicators, Silver, SLV, Stocks, Trading, Wallstreet Supernova Silver

Silver Trading Chart Update Tuesday Jan 31 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations

My name is SuperNova the Silver Algo. Welcome to my new Silver trade report for Compound trading.

Current Silver Trade

A quick mid-week chart update to keep you in the loop with some of the levels our developers / traders are watching in the trade of Silver / and will be watching during trade on Tuesday.

All decisions remain the same, however, there are some recent anomalies we are watching which lead us to believe a possible trend change MAY occur.

The most interesting thing in Monday trade is that Silver did not get up over its current upside resistance – which could be a “tell”.

The various Fibonacci levels our traders are watching are included on the chart below also.

Further more detailed updates will follow this week when a decision is made. For current decisions and charting please refer to my previous post to get brought up to date.

Silver trading worksheet. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 547 AM Jan 31 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Live Silver Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/7mx8qDkH-SuperNova-Silver-Algo-Member-Chart-SLV-USLV-DSLV/

Silver trading anomoly worksheet. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 547 AM Jan 31 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

SuperNova Silver Algo

Tweets by SuperNovaAlgo

Article Topics: SuperNova Silver Algo, Commodities, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Silver, Chart, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algorithms, $SILVER, $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Jan 2017

GOLD Member Update Tues Jan 31 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Tuesday Jan 31 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST,

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Tuesday Jan 31 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.

Quick Mid-Week Gold Trade Update

Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Jan 31 515 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Important levels our traders will be watching; the blue arrows are the algorithm quadrants, the white dotted lines are the diagonal algo support and resistance lines based on Fibonacci levels, the yellow arrow is an important symmetry extension from the previous low in Gold trade, the green arrows are important Fibonacci support and resistance, and the other horizontal lines are Fibonacci levels of interest for intra-day trade.

Between the two blue algo lines on this chart (which represent the algo trading quadrant), we consider this a decision zone. Above the top blue line is considered bullish and below is considered bearish – ultimately the battle for Gold continues.

To understand the story behind my charting visit our blog and review recent posts for a better understanding.

Live Gold Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/a9Q5jmLC-Rosie-the-Gold-Algo-Member-Charting-GLD-AUXUSD/

Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Jan 31 515 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Tweets by ROSIEtheAlgo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

Jan 2017

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS, Algorithms, Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Chatroom, Fibonacci, Gold, SPY, Stocks, Trading, Wallstreet FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Midweek Update

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 533 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Price action is following this charting model perfectly so far – our traders will follow it until it doesn’t work.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/yBDAwxa9-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Mon-Jan/

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 533 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 437 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

This is still intact, until it isn’t.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/o4e66qIA-Sideways-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Tues-Jan/

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 437 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 440 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

This chart model is also intact, until it isn’t.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/elQYEchD-Price-Cycle-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Tues/

Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 31 440 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Tweets by FREEDOMtheAlgo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

Jan 2017

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Tues Jan 31 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Tues Jan 31 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Vexatious $VIX $VXX, Algorithms, Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Chatroom, Stocks, Trading, TVIX, UVXY, Volatility, Wallstreet, XIV Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Quick Mid Week Update

$VIX is finally out of the basement and as such below is charting our traders are using for the Fibonacci support and resistance levels to watch for when trading ascending or descending price action. All horizontal lines apply. Do your best to ignore the various colors, diagonal dotted lines and other distractions as this chart is a worksheet of various algorithmic modeling scenarios currently being worked on. All diagonals lines can be extended at any time and apply also.

And don’t forget the Bollinger Band short set up chart from the previous report!

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 31 411 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/6H8UcOHc-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 31 411 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Tweets by VexatiousVIX

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Jan 2017

Member Oil Trade Tues Jan 31 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Member Oil Trade Tues Jan 31 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, Fibonacci, Indicators Epic the Algo

Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

Quick Update – Critical Decisions!:

Below is a quick mid-week update, but VERY important nonetheless.

As my recent reports have noted, trade is now entering many areas of time/ price cycle terminations. These can continue for some time and cause trade to be sideways – while trade is above the diagonal blue trendline support at bottom right of chart. This time price cycle ultimately ends when that blue line terminates upward at the yellow overhead resistance. But between now and then there are many other time cycles terminating. The point is, I wrote that Friday’s algo targets were at risk – and trade overnight is confirming this suspicion (at least at this point).

Crude oil overnight is trading very close to a diagonal trendline support (blue arrow in bottom right hand corner) – that is very important. The yellow support line (which is a diagonal support line) is important, but not nearly as critical as the blue diagonal trendline. Our traders will trade long against that diagonal trendline support (blue line) with stops (if price action gets there).

If price action loses the primary support (diagonal blue trendline) then all my charting and algorithmic modeling will have to be reset as this would in effect cause the charting and trend of trade to be considered “broke”

If price action holds the support area then trade and charting signals per previous reports remains intact.

Crude algo intra work sheet 320 AM Jan 31 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Live Oil Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ufWN0PPT-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Crude algo intra work sheet 320 AM Jan 31 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Tweets by EPICtheAlgo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo

Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Jan 30 $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 30, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY,

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Jan 30 $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV

Trading Plan $CALA, $DHT, $ESES, $HMNY, $QURE, Chatroom, Day-trading, Pre-Market, Stocks, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Watchlist Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 30, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY, $GOOGL, $TRCH, $LGCY, $CBMX, $JUNO, $ROKA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

General Market Outlook:

The Trump crap is making things look bearish – but until $SPY chart broke it’s up and up. But we may get some volatility and who knows, maybe we’ll see a correction. We’ll know when and if it turns.

Gold and Silver still near the bottom range of our algo calls from last year, $USDJPY no decision yet as far as I’m concern (sure it’s off its highs but could it turn around and charge? Sure it could, not likely, but it could). $VIX is up a tad, but to be expected considering. Oil is near a considerable resistance and not far above that is a serious resistance that it rarely encounters.

$VIX Volatility finally… maybe this week? Trump, Fed, BOJ, BOE, ISM Global Manufacturing, Jan Jobs Report, Amazon, Apple Earnings…

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 29, 2017

Premarket Trading Plan, $VIX, Stocks, Chatroom

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Watch: $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY

Premarket: Global shares fall amid outcry over Trump travel curbs – The Globe and Mail

FDA OKs two new asthma products from Teva http://seekingalpha.com/news/3238651-fda-oks-two-new-asthma-products-teva?source=feed_f … #premarket $TEVA $GSK

Long Island Iced Tea announces increase in size of public offering http://seekingalpha.com/news/3238650-long-island-iced-tea-announces-increase-size-public-offering?source=feed_f … #premarket $LTEA

$QURE Announces FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for AMT-060 in Hemophilia

$CALA is up 35% premarket, in response to its announcement of a global collaboration and license agreement.

$XXIA +5.7% premarket after Keysight Technologies $KEYS agrees to acquire the company for ~$1.6B, or $19.65/share.

Zogenix nabs U.S. patent covering ZX008 in Dravet http://seekingalpha.com/news/3238653-zogenix-nabs-u-s-patent-covering-zx008-dravet?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $ZGNX

$FGEN is ahead 9% premarket, in response to its announcement of positive top-line results from two Phase 3 studies.

$PULM announced a direct offering premarket.

Tempur Sealy shares plunge 22% premarket as company loses Mattress Firm contract.

Cisco, others launch new blockchain consortium http://seekingalpha.com/news/3238637-cisco-others-launch-new-blockchain-consortium?source=feed_f … #premarket $CSCO $BSWQY $BK $FXCOF

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $CALA, $DHT, $QURE , $ESES, $HMNY, $DGAZ, $PULM, $PERI $XXIA

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: $TPX -30%, $RGLS -28%, $FIT -11%, $UGAZ -8%, $SCSS -5%, $HIMX -3%, $FCAU $UNG $BCS $SDRL $TS $DB $STM $DEO $TNA I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(5) Upgrades: $NTAP $MEP $GOL $THS $NGG $DIS $MSG $NEP $WBMD $CBL $DDR $HIBB $DKS $AXP $MELI $HBHC $CLD $NE $CBAY $MSG as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $CMRE $HIMX $APD $MTH $COLM $EEP $BCS $MBFI $TPX $PAYC $ARRY $RGLS $SEM $CL $RDC $SYMC $MTH $MDC $CNX $RICE $OKSB $DD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Tweets by curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: $CALA, $DHT, $QURE, $ESES, $HMNY, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

Jan 2017

SuperNova $SILVER Member Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Silver Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations January 30, 2017 SuperNova Silver

SuperNova $SILVER Member Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

SuperNova Silver Algo $DSLV, $USLV, Algorithms, Chart, Chatroom, Commodities, Fibonacci, Indicators, Silver, SLV, Stocks, SuperNova Silver Algo, Trading, Wallstreet Supernova Silver

Silver Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations

January 30, 2017 SuperNova Silver Algo Charting Trading Report.

My name is SuperNova the Silver Algo. Welcome to my new Silver trade report for Compound trading.

Current Silver Trade

This is just a quick chart update to keep you in the loop with some of the levels our developers / traders are watching in the trade of Silver / and will be watching during trade on Monday. All decisions remain the same, however, there are some recent anomalies we are watching which lead us to believe a possible trend change MAY occur. Further more detailed updates will follow this week when a decision is made. For current decisions and charting please refer to my previous Silver charting post to get brought up to date.

Silver Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Silver Trading Chart Update Jan 30 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/zlY1yWSq-Silver-trading-anomoly-worksheet-SILVER-intra-day-algo-chart-w/

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

SuperNova Silver Algo

Tweets by SuperNovaAlgo

Article Topics: SuperNova Silver Algo, Commodities, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Silver, Chart, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algorithms, $SILVER, $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Jan 2017

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Mon Jan 30 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 30, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Mon Jan 30 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Vexatious $VIX $VXX, Algorithms, Chatroom, Stocks, Trading, TVIX, UVXY, Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Wallstreet, XIV Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 30, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Notices:

We have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

Current Trade in Volatility

At time of writing the $VIX is up 6.62% and is at 11.3 on the back of the Trump border issues.

Trade Quadrants

Provide our traders a basic view of where their trading sits in relation to algorithmic models we are aware of.

Trading Quadrants. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 624 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/KNWR0jVW-Trading-Quadrants-Algorithmic-modeling-worksheet-Jan-30-624-AM/

Short Swing Considered Above Bollinger Bands. Jan 30 630 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Short Swing Considered Above Bollinger Bands. Jan 30 630 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/PbDX5myb-Short-Swing-Considered-Above-Bollinger-Bands-Jan-30-630-AM-VI/

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Be Using Today. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 637 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 637 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/duMspp72-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

Other Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Watch (Prospective). Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 642 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Other Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Watch. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 642 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Per Previous;

$VIX Trading Observations:

The VIX has gotten crushed once again. We expected to be able to publish all levels for trading quadrants today (when we reported last week), however, with-out upward trade this is impossible. The manner in which VIX trades we require an upward trend to publish specific trading quadrants and targets specific to the move because each move comes with its own specific velocity. So that leaves us waiting for another upward trending trade move before we can update the trading targets. So for now the report below includes current charting and recent report excerpts (for the newest members to review).

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday. Down -9.75% and at 11.5.

$VIX Down 9.7% at 11.5

Important consideration should be given to below (even though powers that be have continued to crush the $VIX)

$VIX vs. TDC

Also for consideration, $VIX futures net short positioning at all time highs.

$VIX Net Short via StockBoardAsset

Previous Report Excerpts:

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX Charting in Progress

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

Volatility indexes finished the first week of the year mostly in the red $VIX $TYVIX pic.twitter.com/ZAEAs9v55X

— Cboe (@CBOE) January 7, 2017

New all-time record for $VIX
futures – avg. daily volume of 238,773 in 2016 (up 16%) https://t.co/9VBEbMGsDo volatility pic.twitter.com/vDfTYIyqrJ

— Cboe (@CBOE) January 6, 2017

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Tweets by VexatiousVIX

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Jan 2017

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Jan 30, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS, Algorithms, Chatroom, Fibonacci, Freedom $SPY Algo, Gold, SPY, Stocks, Trading, Wallstreet FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Jan 30, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Monday Charting

Because our modeling was so lackluster last week (we have the trade quadrant math figured out for real tight time frames but not the predictable math – such as we do with EPIC the Oil Algo), we have decided to go back to the basics first, with simple trade scenarios (that have high probability based on historical trade) for ascending, sideways and descending scenarios, and then based on trading we will begin to lock in trading quadrants, time / price cycles and targets on subsequent reporting.

So for now, here are the simplified Fibonacci levels and trading scenarios our traders will be using and we will update this as we go onward through-out the week.

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 527 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 527 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/y4SN9780-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Mon-Jan/

Sideways Trade with bias to Upside Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 527 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 527 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/6YV5aGhC-Sideways-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Mon-Jan/

Descending with Fibonacci Target and Time Price Cycle Based on Previous High Probability Symmetry Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 555 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

$SPY, Chart, Symmetry, Fibonacci, Time, Price

Descending with Fib, Symmetry and Time Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Jan 30 555 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/fQY4Fyf1-Freedom-SPY-Algo-Fibonacci-Stocks-Wallstreet-Trading-Chatr/

Per previous;

Friday Charting.

If trade is ascending:

Lime green arrow on chart. We have a short term high target now of 230.15 (as of this evening, but yesterday model was 230.70 ish – keep that in the back of your mind) and it is projected to hit at 12:05 Friday (if trade is ascending). Our confidence in 230.15 is around 33% (33 times out of 100 if trade for day is ascending). Our confidence in 12:05 Friday is near 0%. If price does reach 230.15 (whenever it may) we would expect a backtest to 229.69 (pink arrow).

Aqua blue arrow on chart. We have an intraday target of 229.90 (35%) projected to hit at 10:35 AM Friday (0.12%).

Yellow arrow on chart. 229.66 target (36.2%) at 9:30 AM (0.19%).

If trade is descending:

The blue arrows give you the levels – at each level our traders will likely try a long with stops because we are long bias with upside targets as listed above.

If trade is sideways:

You range is 229.00 – 229.69. Tight intra day scalping trade quadrants we won’t start publishing until our algorithmic modeling targets / indicators are hitting properly for wider time-frames such as in chart below. But we will eventually do that also.

Try and ignore the messy chart.

Friday trading targets. S&P 500 $SPY Algorithmic Model Trade Charting Fri Jan 27 631 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/QpSBH502-SPY/

Other notes from a trader’s perspective:

Trade held above Wednesday’s pivot around $228.49 and achieved higher low of $229.01.

Current resistance is $229.70 – 229.76. If breached our trader’s are long with a sizeable entry.

Per Thursday Jan 26, 2017 report….

$SPY trading has now ascended and is forming a new trading range. We are running calculations that will over the coming days become more refined for lower and higher ranges, targets, time / cycles and more.

As with the earlier developed algorithmic modeling (such as with EPIC and Rosie) we will share much of our early work as this trend forms. This process does however require that you take the work very lightly until the math proves itself out. In other words, the work below DO NOT ASSUME by any stretch that it will be correct – there is a high probability until in this new trend forms for a number of days that our calculations will not deliver results with a high probability of accuracy. We are however confident that over the coming days the math will become more and more precise because we understand the math of $SPY trade but need to confirm trajectory of time cycles and more.

So we will begin sharing the raw charting below and our comments. If you have any questions email us anytime. Also, you will find much of the charting messy and difficult to sort – but the bottom line thesis will be summarized as we move along in the process and will be reflected in the reports.

Calculating Probabilities – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Thursday Jan 26 5:29 AM EST $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Below is the first attempt at probabilities in this new trend.

Here is the live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/SJe5eC7X-Calculating-Probability-Scenarios-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-W/

Scenario 1, 2 and 3 for Friday trade of over thirty scenarios we are examining. The likelihood of any of the three scenarios occurring as charted is near 0% at this point (that will get more predictable as we go). We are just sharing the early “guesses” of which “scenarios” will play out.

1 – High of Day 230.15 Target Time 9:05 AM. Low of Day 229.65 Target Time 10:45 AM.

2 – High of Day 230.65 Target Time 11:45 AM. Low of Day 230.46 Target Time 3:20 PM.

3 – High of Day 229.08 Target Time 11:50 AM. Low of Day 228.83 10:55 AM.

Calculating Probability Scenarios. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 529 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Our traders’ chart with targets, trading quadrants, Fibonacci levels. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The chart below is a different scenario, it represents the trading rough trading quadrants our traders will be using in Thursday trade and the extension trade to the predicted high of 230.71 in this current move and a pull back to 230.46. The trajectory ignore (the red dotted line) as this isn’t a predicted trajectory. What is important are the fibonacci levels, the trading quadrants and the projected high for this move and the pullback. The high could take a day, hours or weeks and it can change (at which time we would republish for you). This also assumes trade trends up and not down. But all in all, this is the chart our traders will be using all the while having an eye on the first chart in this report to see what math is playing out.

Live Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2fwv6rye-Our-traders-chart-with-targets-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Wed/

Our traders chart with targets. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

So that’s it for today – we’ll watch this new trend and be running thousands of calculations over the coming days. We estimate that by early next week we’ll have a good handle on the levels we need for predictable targeting etc.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

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Monthly Archives: January 2017