S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Thursday Jan 26, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

$SPY trading has now ascended and is forming a new trading range. We are running calculations that will over the coming days become more refined for lower and higher ranges, targets, time / cycles and more.

As with the earlier developed algorithmic modeling (such as with EPIC and Rosie) we will share much of our early work as this trend forms. This process does however require that you take the work very lightly until the math proves itself out. In other words, the work below DO NOT ASSUME by any stretch that it will be correct – there is a high probability until in this new trend forms for a number of days that our calculations will not deliver results with a high probability of accuracy. We are however confident that over the coming days the math will become more and more precise because we understand the math of $SPY trade but need to confirm trajectory of time cycles and more.

So we will begin sharing the raw charting below and our comments. If you have any questions email us anytime. Also, you will find much of the charting messy and difficult to sort – but the bottom line thesis will be summarized as we move along in the process and will be reflected in the reports.

Calculating Probabilities – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Thursday Jan 26 5:29 AM EST $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Below is the first attempt at probabilities in this new trend.

Here is the live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/SJe5eC7X-Calculating-Probability-Scenarios-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-W/

Scenario 1, 2 and 3 for Friday trade of over thirty scenarios we are examining. The likelihood of any of the three scenarios occurring as charted is near 0% at this point (that will get more predictable as we go). We are just sharing the early “guesses” of which “scenarios” will play out.

1 – High of Day 230.15 Target Time 9:05 AM. Low of Day 229.65 Target Time 10:45 AM.

2 – High of Day 230.65 Target Time 11:45 AM. Low of Day 230.46 Target Time 3:20 PM.

3 – High of Day 229.08 Target Time 11:50 AM. Low of Day 228.83 10:55 AM.

$SPY, Algo, Charting, Probabilities

Calculating Probability Scenarios. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 529 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Our traders’ chart with targets, trading quadrants, Fibonacci levels. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The chart below is a different scenario, it represents the trading rough trading quadrants our traders will be using in Thursday trade and the extension trade to the predicted high of 230.71 in this current move and a pull back to 230.46. The trajectory ignore (the red dotted line) as this isn’t a predicted trajectory. What is important are the fibonacci levels, the trading quadrants and the projected high for this move and the pullback. The high could take a day, hours or weeks and it can change (at which time we would republish for you). This also assumes trade trends up and not down. But all in all, this is the chart our traders will be using all the while having an eye on the first chart in this report to see what math is playing out.

Live Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2fwv6rye-Our-traders-chart-with-targets-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Wed/

$SPY, Algo, Traders, Chart

Our traders chart with targets. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 26 608 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

So that’s it for today – we’ll watch this new trend and be running thousands of calculations over the coming days. We estimate that by early next week we’ll have a good handle on the levels we need for predictable targeting etc.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Jan 25, 2017 in Trading Chat room.$URRE $GSAT $BIOC $ACAT, $LOGI, $NEWR  – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

All very small positions – $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Looks like Gold is trying to get up off the mat – yet to be confirmed. $DXY and $USDJPY still wildcard. $VIX is getting crushed to lows as I expected. $SPY got lift as expected. $GDX surprisingly resilient – careful, if market gets idea that Trump not going to help miner’s like market thinks whoompf.

Rosie the Gold Algo, EPIC the Oil Algo and the others couldn’t be more dialed in so that’s fantastic.

Per yesterday;

This could be start of turn in many areas. Looks like some bio runner momos and Gold, Silver and other metals active and close to test. $SPY rangebound but with earnings we could go here. $DXY could be at interim support.

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Watch:  $URRE $GSAT $BIOC $ACAT, $LOGI, $STX, NEWR

$NEWR, Stocks, Trading Plan, Premarket

$NEWR PREMARKET – Stock Market Trading Plan

General Motors a top pick at Morgan Stanley http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237358-general-motors-top-pick-morgan-stanley?source=feed_f … #premarket $GM

PetroChina issues profit warning, names new CFO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237353-petrochina-issues-profit-warning-names-new-cfo?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $PTR

LendingClub +1% as Morgan Stanley sees 35% upside http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237344-lendingclub-plus-1-percent-morgan-stanley-sees-35-percent-upside?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $LC

Disappointing quarter from Textron http://seekingalpha.com/news/3237360-disappointing-quarter-textron?source=feed_f … #premarket $TXT

$LOGI (+13.9% pre) Logitech Posts Striking Q3 Earnings Beat; Shares Up

BA Q4 revenue $23.29BN, Exp. $23.53BN,
EPS. $2.59, Exp. $2.34

MBA Mortgage Apps
7:00 AM ET

House Price Index
9:00 AM ET

Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $ACAT, $LOGI, $STX , $NEWR, $WDC $AA $SAN $RAD $FNSR $CENX 

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $NG, $URRE, $AUMN, $GLDD, $EGI, $UEC, $GSS, $GPL, $MNGA, $LTBR, $XRA, $AUY, $NAK  are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $AA $PKG $IP $MPEL $STAY $PSXP $HCP $ABB $I $VALE $JBLU $CTL $NE $RIG $AEO $CSX $OKSB $STAY as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $COH $JCOM $VZ $OKE $SFNC $COH $BT $LUV $AKS $KATE $BPOP $CONE $PII $TEN $FITB $H $VOD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $URRE $GSAT $BIOC $ACAT, $LOGI, $STX, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Jan 24, 2017 $TRP, $DUST ($GLD, $DUST, $NUGT, $JDST, $JNUG)  – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

New Member Processing: Because our promo expires at the end of the month we are processing more new members than normal and Sartaj is traveling in Europe so he is processing at each stop on his travels as he gets time – bear with us, we’re getting new members up and running with reports within 72 hours of check-out at this point! Thanks!

Per Yesterday;

Two Week Account Double Challenge: It ended today (Monday) because there was a holiday last week (so ten trading days). I didn’t double, I think I was closer to 41% and our techs will do review vids and publish P&L soon for review. It started out really strong and as inauguration got closer market got less aggressive and has been since. The momo plays lacked follow through the last five or six trading days. Oh well! 41% ish isn’t bad. I’ll be looking to get my double up before the end of the month now and I’ll be targeting a double up per month going forward. Remember – all live in the room, recorded, transcript etc… no calling things after the fact – totally transparent room.

Daily Trading Results. I apologize, I haven’t had time to do last Wed, Thur and Fri yet – I will post them. To be honest they were so uneventful for me that I prioritized other work – but I’ll get them out soon.

Promo Code Discounts are Ending: The 38.2% inaugural opening discounts end Jan 31, 2017 and we won’t be a promo driven type room – so if you’re thinking of jumping do it now. Also, the promo codes are technically all used up (we were only going to offer discount for first 200) so if you get an error message when typing in your promo code that’s on the website then let us know and a tech will sort it for you.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$TRP, $DUST ($GLD, $DUST, $NUGT, $JDST, $JNUG)

I didn’t take any morning momentum trades because the open was really weak for the premarket runners. Trust the indicators! Lots of my friends got chopped up bad at the open Tuesday.

My first trade was in TransCanada Pipeline on the Trump approval of the Keystone Pipeline. I will say that one of our advantages is technology, in that we have a lot of data that passes through our offices and we were on top of this one the second it broke. I brought up the chart right away but there wasn’t action so I thought I’ll just set the alarms and left it. That was a mistake (but I was watching Gold and Silver close at the time). Anyway, the alarms sounded and I took a small entry. Got a moderate win. It also looks like I exited early but Trump had conditions to the pipeline deal so I exited. Many of our members banked – thanks for the thank you notes guys and gals!

Trading Results in Chatroom. $TRP TransCanada Pipeline Stock Trade

Trading Results, $TRP, Stocks, Chatroom

Trading Results in Chatroom. $TRP TransCanada Pipeline Stock Trade

My second trade was an add to my swing in $DUST. This was specifically because our algorithm Rosie the Gold Algo the night before and in her morning report was clear about a high probability of failure in Gold on Tuesday – and sure enough it hit. I entered later than I should have but I still got a decent daytrade win. My exit was near perfect – again thanks to Rosie algorithmic modeling.

Trading Results in Chatroom. $DUST Stock Trade. $GLD, $NUGT, $JNUG, $JDST, GOLD

$DUST, Chatroom, Trading Results, Stocks, GOLD

Trading Results in Chatroom. $DUST Stock Trade. $GLD, $NUGT, $JNUG, $JDST, GOLD

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $ROKA, $ESEA, $TRCH – all small 1/5 to 1/10 sizing.

Looking Forward:

I’m excited for trade now. Yesterday I pointed out that I was looking at a trade in inverse Gold and that worked out and that it looked like commodities were going to cool some. Also noted yesterday that the market would likely pop and $SPY got some lift. So no surprises at all – going per plan. Epic the Oil algo, Rosie the Gold Algo, SuperNova Silver Algo and the rest of them are all dialed in and hitting well.

I can’t complain – I’ve had a good run, Mathew is hitting it regularly and the members are having a great year so far so it’s all systems a go!

Per yesterday;

In overnight trade it looks like commodities are cooling a bit so I may look at inverse Gold or Miner’s ETN’s ETF’s Tuesday, also market has been calm since inauguration so I would expect a bit of a pop or drop here soon and I’m thinking a pop. So I’m looking forward to the last six days of trading in January.

Also looking at the Trump “wall” trade 🙂

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:03 am Curtis M : Gainers: $MPSX, $IDXG, $NAK, $REXX, $TNXP, $RMD $GPRO, $PLX $PLUG $CTIC $FCAU $UGAZ $BABA $GLBS

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:03 am Curtis M : $GNVC Buy Out 7$
09:18 am OILQ K : $VZ not a good morning on guidance ugh
09:31 am Caide X : L $CLRB
09:36 am Gunnar T : Long $JDST for daytrade with tight stops
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a few moe $NUGT 11 calls for this friday. .66 from .33 entry. Still in very small porrtion for a moon shot but will stop out flat if we get that far south. Good trade and looking to reload on a pullback for farther out strikes
09:40 am Mathew Waterfall : eyes on $TVIX for a quickie here against the lows
09:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Out of $NG for small gain. Don’t like how it acted yesterday with all of the miners being way up and it was lagging hard. Will stick with $AUY and $IAG as main gold miners outside of etf’s
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Big $TLT call block just went through. Like the strength there today after the 30 year sold off ON
09:49 am gary y : How about $GV? At all time high now and you where in earlier.
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Out at this point. Not my favorite gold related. Move looks a bit tired on that one but that’s not to say it can
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : *can’t keep going
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : Not my favorite set up though buying at ATH’s when there’s other stocks in the sector that aren’t as extended
09:51 am John E : Long $GENE some
09:51 am gary y : Thanks.
09:52 am Moob B : ss $BGI
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Ugly chart of the day thus far goes to $IBB. I wouldn’t want to be long that sucker
09:57 am Curtis M : ll
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT calls ripping but Im going to let this play out until at least tomorrow on my remaining portion there
10:02 am Curtis M : aggressive
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Just BTO $AG Mar17 12’s at .34
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Little risky at this point in the move but have enough time to pay
10:11 am Curtis M : Long $TRP 48.07
10:11 am Curtis M : Scaling 1000 shares
10:11 am Curtis M : Look at more later
10:27 am Curtis M : Looking at another $TRP entry add
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic in a sec
10:30 am Caide X : Long $FH
10:31 am Gunnar T : Like $TRP play but what if Trump doesn’t sign?
10:35 am Curtis M : Thx Mathew’
10:37 am steve s : Long $CENX lets do this peeps
10:37 am Moob B : good call steve
10:40 am Gurpreet S : Thinking $XLF
10:43 am Caide X : Starter size in $URRE long here and add more on dips
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Quick break for coffee and scans. Back in a bit for some afternoon plays
10:52 am Curtis M : k
10:53 am Curtis M : Hope some of you are making money on this one.
10:53 am Kari S : Why of course!
10:54 am Kari S : It’s my homeland. haha
10:54 am Curtis M : nice
10:54 am Kari S : I beat you in tho Curt, when you first brought up chart and set alarm
10:54 am Curtis M : ha good one
10:55 am Curtis M : just be careful if bad news it will tank 3 bucks
10:55 am Kari S : yup
10:56 am Curtis M : Should be good for 50.00 without deal though but no deal would give it a challenge short term
10:57 am Jon R : on it
10:57 am Jon R : Just after you Curtis
10:57 am Curtis M : awesome
10:58 am Jon R : Really appreciate the work you guys do btw – really solid
10:58 am Curtis M : np
11:19 am Jon R : Long $LEU here 1/3 sizing it
11:19 am Kari S : That’s funny I was stalking it Jon
11:20 am Curtis M : Careful with the uptrend support on that one guys
11:20 am Curtis M : Looks good but respect that support
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX for a pop against LOD. /ES looks like it put in a bit of a tip
11:24 am Curtis M : Trump to renegotiate pipleline? Unconfirmed $TRP
11:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Added small $SLW on this pull as well
11:28 am Curtis M : pop or drop
11:32 am Curtis M : Sold 48.28 $TRP and then it bounces lol fark
11:32 am Curtis M : Small gain
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $TVIX for 2 cent/share loss. Not getting the response I was looking for
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $SLW back green with $SSRI holding solid all day. Lots of buying in the silder names
11:55 am Kari S : I actually understand what you just did 🙂 learning!
11:55 am Kari S : Bad ass charting
11:57 am Curtis M : lol
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : I think Curt might know a thing or two lol
12:00 pm wei w : yuppp
12:00 pm wei w : both of u gurus hahaha awesome room
12:01 pm Kari S : skill 4 sure very happy foubf u guys
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks. Always way more to learn and ways to better yourself every day. What I love about this game and what frustrates me at times to
12:01 pm Curtis M : blush
12:02 pm Curtis M : Wow what a battle
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp dollar yen is up YUGE today .82% currently so putting the gold bugs to the test here
12:03 pm Curtis M : That blue line at 1211.34 is the top of the algo quad. Very important. $GOLD $XAUUSD
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AUPH just popped up for me. Slow grinder all day. No trigger for me unless there’s a bit of a washout
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dollar looks like it wants sub 100 again here
12:38 pm wei w : I know that your charts are crazy good but how did you know there would be a triangle there lol before it traded in a triangle? Unreal.
12:38 pm Curtis M : pop or drop soon wei 🙂
12:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX 61.8 at 24.38 as well could be resistance there
12:40 pm Curtis M : I’m watching 24.24 for break out or resistance $GDX
12:40 pm Curtis M : Waiting for Gold to confirm to upside of resistance too and then wham $NUGT
12:41 pm Curtis M : Need Gold over 1214.22
12:43 pm Curtis M : Prob is algos see 1213.05 as decision pivotin Gold  so market has to decide
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out some $AUY here at HOD. Will add on pulbacks
12:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Taking some gains as that was up north of 10% for me
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES top of range. Breakout of break down?
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : *or. $SPY also over fridays high
01:12 pm Curtis M : Looking for entry in $GLDD over 5.04
01:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not much continuation thus far in /ES. No huge TICKs either. Still no confidence in these moves
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Another leg into $AG common right here. Got the pull I was talking about yesterday and this morning
02:07 pm Curtis M : Add to $DUST swing at 31.12 avg 1000
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : IMO miners just playing catch up here to weakness all day in gold
02:16 pm Curtis M : Looking for that breach of 100 day (blue) n 2 hour chart will sell if not
02:22 pm Gurpreet S : Trying $ASYS long
02:27 pm John E : Why’d you wait so long to add Curt?
02:27 pm Curtis M : Just playing the add for a break of 100 day on that chart thats it
02:28 pm John E : Any thoughts on $EEM?
02:28 pm Curtis M : Mathew would lkely know better
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like $EEM. Think it will outperform $SPX in 2017
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Played it last year but haven’t had my eye on the international ETFs much this year thus far though I do have some money there in my way long term account
02:30 pm John E : Thanks
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I haven’t broken down a chart lately though so I don’t know exactly what’s going on. From pulling it up rightnow it still ooks constructive and has room to go
02:31 pm Caide X : I like $EEM here too
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was aiming for the 45 swing high expecting that 8-12 months out
02:33 pm Caide X : good idea
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Choppy option flow all day today. Seeing some puts in the steel names. $AKS getting no love after its big move and seeing puts all day which thus far have been right. Still not buying a break out in the indexes here
02:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold some $OPXA on this bounce. Too bad I had a limit order for .9 the last couple days that never got filled
02:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will leave it there for the pullback that should happen sooner or later
03:10 pm Gunnar T : Long $NE I like the chart tiny starter
03:12 pm Shafique M : My $TSLA looking really good for 2017
03:13 pm Tyler H : I hold$TSLA too
03:14 pm Jon R : $OPXA in for EOD spike hopefully
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Knife catching some $SSRI down here. metals plays will have a tightish stop for my new entries
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA has been a rocket this year. Shorts getting burned so far it that one
03:24 pm Kari S : $TSLA love it in it to win it and $AMZN $GOOGL
03:33 pm Curtis M : Out $DUST 31.60
03:34 pm Curtis M : Daytrade portion only
03:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice play. I scalped a few in/outs on that weakness and wouldn’t be surprised to see a bit more weakness in the moners but for now I’m following the trend and that’s up IMO
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Damn and great timing on that exit lol $GDX turning up into the close
03:39 pm Curtis M : Was just tweeting about the Gold and Miners should be fun on both sides for a while here – back and forth is my plan
03:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : yepp great price aciton all around
03:41 pm Caide X : I would like to learn that art
03:42 pm Curtis M : Get t oknow your chartng Caide – we’ll show ya
03:43 pm Curtis M : We know where the ranges are now so it gets good
03:46 pm Gunnar T : Jacked for that – I’m in
03:47 pm Curtis M : Great
03:49 pm Curtis M : Wow remember I said break out $GLDD 5.04 jeez EOD
03:50 pm John E : See you guys again tomorrow
03:50 pm Curtis M : Catcha John
03:54 pm Moob B : later
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Frontrunning going on in $NUGT. Tell’s ya something right there
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Been going on all day. Lots of buying
03:54 pm Curtis M : Gold test here
03:56 pm Caide X : Thanks see ya all tmrw
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX green. Close the market lol
03:59 pm Curtis M : Have a great night – tomorrow gonna be good
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Night all. See ya in the AM

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Article Topics:  $TRP, $DUST – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 25, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

We have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal info@compoundtrading.com within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

Current Trade in Volatility

$VIX is almost at lowest possible levels so for today and until it starts to trend up we will not be able to provide algorithmic charting. We will however provide all charting details the moment it starts to trend upward.

Until then I have left the recent report data below and offer just a few insights;

1.9% of $VIX readings over the past 27 years have been lower than yesterday.

Second lowest $VIX ever for the 2nd day of the Feb OPEX cycle.

Lowest $VIX print in last 5 years was 10.28 on July 3, 2014. $VIX reached 17+ a month later. Tuesday hit 11.04. At print $VIX trading at 10.7.

Bloomberg Article: There’s Been a Big Spike in the Cost of Protecting Against a Market Crash https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-24/cost-of-tail-risk-hedges-spikes-while-vix-remains-calm-chart

Per Previous;

$VIX Trading Observations:

The VIX has gotten crushed once again. We expected to be able to publish all levels for trading quadrants today (when we reported last week), however, with-out upward trade this is impossible. The manner in which VIX trades we require an upward trend to publish specific trading quadrants and targets specific to the move because each move comes with its own specific velocity. So that leaves us waiting for another upward trending trade move before we can update the trading targets. So for now the report below includes current charting and recent report excerpts (for the newest members to review).

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday. Down -9.75% and at 11.5.

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Down 9.7% at 11.5

Important consideration should be given to below (even though powers that be have continued to crush the $VIX)

$VIX

$VIX vs. TDC

Also for consideration, $VIX futures net short positioning at all time highs.

$VIX, Short

$VIX Net Short via StockBoardAsset

Previous Report Excerpts:

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Charting in Progress

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX, 200 Day, Chart, MA

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX, Chart, Resistance

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX,, TSI, RSI, Oscillator

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX, $SPX, Bollinger

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday Jan 25, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

$SPY Break-Out?

$SPY trade was very positive yesterday. Another day of ascending trade above 227.89 area and we can confirm algorithmic modeling for trade in upward and downward trends. When this occurs the reports will be very extensive – so we are preparing for that possibility today and have booked lab time for Wednesday night for this.

Until then, below is an intraday chart update with the levels our traders will be using for trade. We received a message last night from one of our traders that we have known sometime that used this chart yesterday and the levels for his entries and exits were almost spot on to the penny – so for now it’s a decent range chart until the detailed algorithmic target charting can be produced. We’re getting close finally! Nice to see some range opening.

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 24 534 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Wed Jan 24 534 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Here is the Trading View link for the most recent live $SPY charting;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/aV1mfSwP-SPY-Freedom-the-Algo-Member-Charting/

Per Previous;

$SPY is still in the same trading range so this will only be a quick report. Until trade establishes a trend we cannot publish projected algorithmic charting that will include targets, time/price cycles, and trading quadrants (all based on the trend). In the meantime intra-day trade charting our traders are using for Tuesday is below.

It’s a mixed message in $SPY right now because equal weight is showing weakness on key pivots (bearish) but this is an intense earnings week and that can send $SPY upward quick. So stay nimble.

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 24 3:51 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The chart below is a “rough” chart of levels our traders are using until a trend is established in $SPY (along with the others previously posted). At which time a trend is established (trade exits current sideways trading) you will receive detailed algorithmic charting (per above). So for now we are using the rough quads and Fibonacci levels below.

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 24 3:51 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/WA3S4HoE-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Tues-Jan-24-3-51-AM-ES-F-SPXL-S/

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

 

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Wednesday Jan 25, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

A quick update as all signals and decisions remain the same as reports over last week.

NEW MEMBERS be sure to read reports going back at least five days so you know what to watch for. We are getting emails and DM’s with many questions that are answered in the reports! Do not trade if you do not know the support, resistance and signals I have provided for you in this trading range. To be in a trade and then ask, especially asking questions when the reports are provided for you specific to what has been hammered numerous time in reports is simply irresponsible trading and not fair to other members because our time should be used for questions and helping members with forward thinking decisions not what is already clearly laid out in reports. We know if you are reviewing the reports so if you ask questions that are already in the report and we know you haven’t reviewed the reports (internet is smart) and we know you have not looked at the algo charting provided (internet is smart) then we are going to have to start declining help to those that won’t do their homework first. Read the reports please. And for those that are doing their Study congratulations!

The Machines are Back!

How do we know? There are at least fifty indicators that we use and the consistency of those signals hitting are how we know. They are back. Why is this important? Because this enables my algorithmic charting to be precise and it also means there is a big move looking upside or down. Be ready.

Trade the Range

We get endless questions about whether you should go long or short. We can’t tell you. We can provide algorithmic charting that will increase your edge however. The recent reports tell you exactly where your trading range is – read them. If you’re trading mid range / halfway between range edges – then prepare for being chopped up or you better be an expert trader.

Below is a Chart Update for Current Trade. I will update algorithmic charting with targets, algo lines, time and price cycles etc in more detail when trade breaks out to upside or down from current range.

Trade the range. Blue arrow long bias and yellow arrow short bias until break out or break down in price. Crude algo intra work sheet 510 AM Jan 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

You also need to know what the other indicators on this chart tell you – sorry I’m a broken record in this report but do your homework, read my previous posts so you know exactly what each indicator on this chart is for.

Crude, Oil, Trade, EPIC, Algo, $USOIL

Trade the range. Blue arrow long yellow arrow short bias until break out or break down in price. Crude algo intra work sheet 510 AM Jan 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Here is the latest EPIC the Oil Algo Live Oil Chart;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/EVbbvjxF-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

The Targets are Ringing

Algo, Epic, Oil, Direct Hit, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI

Tues 430 Algo Targets Direct Hit! Crude algo intra work sheet 446 AM Jan 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per Previous;

Just a quick chart update and that is it for today! All signals and levels remain the same! Refer to recent reports for levels to trade, targets etc!

$USOIL, Oil, Chart, Algo, Epic

Crude algo intra work sheet 423 AM Jan 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/cE1G2gOY-Member-Oil-Trade-Tues-Jan-24-Chart-Algo-FX-USOIL-WTIC-USO/

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo


Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Wednsday Jan 25 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

Gold! Make it a double for good measure? Part III Gold Failed the test…. now what?

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here and the Jan 9, 2017 Gold Trade Update Here and Part I of my most recent Gold Report “Make it a Double…” here and yes one more; Gold “The Test”. It is really important to know the history of calls and how my calls and recent trade apply to the information below. And I know most of you aren’t doing your homework and congrats to those who do!

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

Here’s an intraday Gold chart update zoomed in with important levels:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/a8i6mlFN-Rosie-the-Gold-Algo-Member-Charting-GC-F-GLD-XAUUSD/

Here’e the previous zoomed out Gold chart with various important levels;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/SL1V91Ud-Rosie-the-Gold-Algorithm-Observations-445-AM-Sept-24-17-GC-F/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Trade Considerations in Gold to Increase Your Trading Edge

So Gold failed the test and the price traded much lower once trade lost the top of that algo quadrant (blue line in charts). Below, under each chart it describes what happened and what to look for next. Respect the quadrants – and then when price moves in to quadrants up or down respect the Fbonacci levels, horizontal trendlines (purple lines) and any other indicators I provide for you. Read the previous reports so you understand!!! And be sure to watch my Twitter feed intraday – yesterday was a banking day for members that listened and were ready!

Gold, Chart, Rosie, Algo, $GLD

The battle for Gold. $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Gold, Chart, Price, Battle

Battle for Gold continues. $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

 

Price, Alert, Gold, Chart, Algo, Rosie

What price did after my alert of algo quadrant test. 324 AM Sept 25, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Gold, Algo, Quadrant

Lower quadrant perimeters 1129.50 and 1126.78 intraday. 350 AM Sept 25, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Gold, Algo, Math

Quad math decision (red arrow) 1196 intra, Fib decision 1193.40 (orange arrow) Algo Quad 1191.30 (yellow arrrow). 353 AM Sept 25, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Watch my Twitter Feed close intraday – it will pay dividends for your account!

Per previous;

Do you see what I see? Trading has got up over the top of an algo quadrant and is about to back test the top of that quadrant! This is a big deal, why? Because Gold (broadly) is still in a downtrend and has not (as my algorithm is concerned) confirmed that it is in an uptrend. I know, I know, the rest of the world has confirmed a trend change – but not me. I’m waiting for confirmation (read previous reports).

If it fails and trades to downside of that quadrant top then watch for a test of that yellow Fibonacci line and the 100 day MA (blue) on 2 hour chart. Those three indicators all fail and there is a 90% or better chance Gold is going down next!

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 24, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $MPSX, $IDXG, $NAK, $REXX, $TNXP – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/823791504602710016

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

All very small positions – $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

This could be start of turn in many areas. Looks like some bio runner momos and Gold, Silver and other metals active and close to test. $SPY rangebound but with earnings we could go here. $DXY could be at interim support.

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: Gainers: $MPSX, $IDXG, $NAK, $REXX, $TNXP

$IDXG, PREMARKET, Trading Plan

$IDXG PREMARKET

Redbook
8:55 am

PMI Manufacturing Index
9:45 am

Existing Home Sales
10:00 AM

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 AM

Janus misses lowest estimate: 4Q adj. EPS 20c, est. 24c, range 22c-27c

Barclays downgrades AAPL to Equal Weight, cuts PT from $119 to $117

$PLUG Plug Power Exceeds 2016 GenDrive Deployment Goals https://globenewswire.com/news-release/2017/01/24/910309/0/en/Plug-Power-Exceeds-2016-GenDrive-Deployment-Goals.html …

Du Pont Q4 Revenue $5.2Bn, Exp. $5.25Bn;
GAAP EPS $0.29; Non-GAAP EPS $0.51, Exp. $0.42

Tableau Software upgraded to Buy at Citi http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236966-tableau-software-upgraded-buy-citi?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $DATA

KB Home downgraded to Underperform at Raymond James http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236965-kb-home-downgraded-underperform-raymond-james?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH

TG Therapeutics’ TG-1101/TG-1202 combo an Orphan Drug for DLBCL http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236962-tg-therapeutics-tgminus-1101-tgminus-1202-combo-orphan-drug-dlbcl?source=feed_f … #premarket $TGTX

D.R. Horton +2.6% after pleasing FQ1 results http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236959-d-r-horton-plus-2_6-percent-pleasing-fq1-results?source=feed_f … #premarket $DHI

Baird likes Amicus, sees 87% upside http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236952-baird-likes-amicus-sees-87-percent-upside?source=feed_f … #premarket $FOLD

$BABA up more than 4% #premarket on solid #s. Booming cloud revenue.

WestRock acquires Multi Packaging Solutions http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236948-westrock-acquires-multi-packaging-solutions?source=feed_f … #premarket $WRK $MPSX

Johnson & Johnson revenues up 2%; earnings up 20%, non-GAAP EPS up 10% in Q4 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236945-johnson-and-johnson-revenues-2-percent-earnings-20-percent-non-gaap-eps-10-percent-q4?source=feed_f … #premarket $JNJ

Lockheed Martin beat on earnings and revenue. Solid sales for F-35, Trump’s favorite plane. But lowered outlook. $LMT down 1.5% #premarket.

Verizon down 2.5%; earnings and postpaid net adds disappoint http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236940-verizon-2_5-percent-earnings-postpaid-net-adds-disappoint?source=feed_f … #premarket $VZ

Ford to launch auto parts brand for all cars http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236969-ford-launch-auto-parts-brand-cars?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $F

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: Gainers: Gainers: $MPSX 24%, $IDXG 18%, $NAK 11%, $REXX 11%, $TNXP 10%, $RMD 7%, $GPRO 5%, $PLX $PLUG $CTIC $FCAU $UGAZ $BABA $GLBS

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Novagold $NG, $URRE, $GREK are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:$CXP $DATA $ALSN $FOLD $CALA $OMAB $TV $MKSI $CF $MOS $POT $AGU $SLGN  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:$WATT $MSTR $CCRN $AMN $ESS $PFGC $KBH $DIN $AAPL $NK $HUM $LNT $SCG   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MPSX, $IDXG, $NAK, $REXX, $TNXP, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Silver Trading Chart Update Jan 24 $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV) Chart and Algorithm Observations

January 24, 2017 SuperNova Silver Algo Charting Trading Report.

My name is SuperNova the Silver Algo. Welcome to my new Silver trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here SuperNova Silver Algo Twitter Feed. IMPORTANT: Be sure to review my previous posts on this blog (and my Twitter feed) as these posts are a micro part of the whole picture required to use my work for a trading edge.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Silver.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process on our website.

Today’s Report:

Today we are only covering (presenting to you) some basic indicators for consideration as there is a decision lining up in Silver. When the decision is made toward ascending or descending direction of trade I will publish the algorithmic modeling including trading quadrants, time / price cycles, trade price targets and more.

A Quick Review:

The most recent turn from the bottom, I called – many weeks in advance. And now? I see a major imminent test to this uptrend.

SuperNova $SILVER Trading Chart Update $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Silver Trading Observations:

At time of writing Silver is trading at 17.11. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$SILVER, Algo, Chart

$SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 612 AM Nov 29 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

The Relationship Between the 20 MA and the Price of Silver

$SILVER, 20 MA, Chart

20 MA and Price Action. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 551 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

30 MA ,Close Up, Silver

20 MA and Price Action close-up. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 605 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

MACD, Chart Bot, 20 MA. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 617 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

MACD, Chart, Bot, SILVER, Algo

MACD, Chart Bot, 20 MA. $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 617 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

July 20 2016 100 MA loss on 4 Hour Chart $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 617 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

100 MA, 4 Hour, Chart, Silver, Algo

July 20 2016 100 MA loss on 4 Hour Chart $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 617 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

MACD, Silver

MACD on July 20 2016 vs now $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 617 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Simple Symmetry with an Anomaly – Election? $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 649 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

SILVER, CHart, Symmetry

Simple Symmetry with an Anomaly – Election? $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 649 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Simple Fibonacci, Symmetry and Anomaly – Election? $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 700 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Fibonacci, Symmetry, Silver, Algo

Simple Fibonacci, Symmetry and Anomaly – Election $SILVER intra-day algo chart worksheet 700 AM Jan 24 $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Indicators:

As I explained above, my Silver algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

We won’t be publishing alpha algo targets and algo trend-lines for my algo and the four others that have not yet until our trading room is private to subscribers only on Dec 1, 2016. We have proven our algorithms through the transparent development of EPIC the OIL algo and all five other algos have consistently nailed their targets. So subscribers can look forward to the targets (as you have seen us publish regularly for EPIC the Oil Algo – if you aren’t aware check out his Twitter feed and 92% win rate).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

SuperNova Silver Algo

Article Topics: SuperNova Silver Algo, Commodities, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Silver, Chart, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algorithms, $SILVER, $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV


Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Tuesday Jan 24 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Jan 24, 2017 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

Gold! Make it a double for good measure? Part II The test….

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here and the Jan 9, 2017 Gold Trade Update Here and Part I of my most recent Gold Report “Make it a Double…” here. It is really important to know the history of calls and how my calls and recent trade apply to the information below.

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/SL1V91Ud-Rosie-the-Gold-Algorithm-Observations-445-AM-Sept-24-17-GC-F/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Rosie, Gold, Algo, $GLD

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Observations 445 AM Jan 24, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Trade Considerations to Increase Your Trading Edge

Do you see what I see? Trading has got up over the top of an algo quadrant and is about to back test the top of that quadrant! This is a big deal, why? Because Gold (broadly) is still in a downtrend and has not (as my algorithm is concerned) confirmed that it is in an uptrend. I know, I know, the rest of the world has confirmed a trend change – but not me. I’m waiting for confirmation (read previous reports).

If it fails and trades to downside of that quadrant top then watch for a test of that yellow Fibonacci line and the 100 day MA (blue) on 2 hour chart. Those three indicators all fail and there is a 90% or better chance Gold is going down next!

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG