Tuesday Jan 24, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

Just a quick chart update and that is it for today! All signals and levels remain the same! Refer to recent reports for levels to trade, targets etc!

$USOIL, Oil, Chart, Algo, Epic

Crude algo intra work sheet 423 AM Jan 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

 

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/cE1G2gOY-Member-Oil-Trade-Tues-Jan-24-Chart-Algo-FX-USOIL-WTIC-USO/

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday Jan 24, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

$SPY is still in the same trading range so this will only be a quick report. Until trade establishes a trend we cannot publish projected algorithmic charting that will include targets, time/price cycles, and trading quadrants (all based on the trend). In the meantime intra-day trade charting our traders are using for Tuesday is below.

It’s a mixed message in $SPY right now because equal weight is showing weakness on key pivots (bearish) but this is an intense earnings week and that can send $SPY upward quick. So stay nimble.

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 24 3:51 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The chart below is a “rough” chart of levels our traders are using until a trend is established in $SPY (along with the others previously posted). At which time a trend is established (trade exits current sideways trading) you will receive detailed algorithmic charting (per above). So for now we are using the rough quads and Fibonacci levels below.

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Tues Jan 24 3:51 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/WA3S4HoE-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Tues-Jan-24-3-51-AM-ES-F-SPXL-S/

 

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Monday Jan 23, 2017 $MRNS, $SSH, $GALE, $NVLS, $MDGS – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Two Week Account Double Challenge: It ended today (Monday) because there was a holiday last week (so ten trading days). I didn’t double, I think I was closer to 41% and our techs will do review vids and publish P&L soon for review. It started out really strong and as inauguration got closer market got less aggressive and has been since. The momo plays lacked follow through the last five or six trading days. Oh well! 41% ish isn’t bad. I’ll be looking to get my double up before the end of the month now and I’ll be targeting a double up per month going forward. Remember – all live in the room, recorded, transcript etc… no calling things after the fact – totally transparent room.

Daily Trading Results. I apologize, I haven’t had time to do last Wed, Thur and Fri yet – I will post them. To be honest they were so uneventful for me that I prioritized other work – but I’ll get them out soon.

A Special Note to Newer Traders or Folks Looking in to our Services: I don’t have a lot of time right now to explain this, you certainly don’t have a lot of time to hear it and I won’t single anyone out – but I do again find myself having to set something straight. There is a newer trader that admittedly has not been consistent in his/her oil related trading – so he/she has been in our room for the last four or so weeks and getting Epic the Oil Algo reports in the morning. Recent renewal comes up and he/she says there hasn’t been enough action, market weak etc… long story and I won’t give all the detail. Anyway, important notes for new traders are as follows;

First, if you are following my trades or anyone else’s that is very bad. Not good. Trade a plan. Learn from the room and reports – but learn to develop a plan and trade it.

Second, in the last four to six weeks there has been enough margin in oil related trade (if, like this newer trader of topic here you only trade oil related) that had I traded only oil related I would have increased my account 20 % or more. It’s all relative. I chose not to trade oil related because I trade what will bring me (in my advance assessment) the highest return for the least amount of effort in the shortest amount of time. So I have been trading momo stocks since Epic the Algo gave us clear indication that the oil related trade was at an inflection (which was spot on obviously with the trade of oil the last six weeks). BUT HAD I TRADED oil related, I can guarantee a minimum 20% return. And why can I say that? Because I’m totally transparent so I can – my trades stand on their own so there’s no arguing that. And, I can also say it because I actually care. Yup, that’s novel. We care about newer traders in our room so if you’re doing something stupid I gotta say it. And maybe by saying this others can benefit also.

For those that don’t know our trading room I trade $DXY US Dollar related (like $UUP early in the recent break-out last fall when our algo nailed it), Gold $GLD and related (which I missed at this turn but in past with our algo nailing it I trade and likely will trade again if our algo says another turn soon), Silver $SLV (same as Gold our algo nailed the turn and I do trade it), OIL $USOIL $WTI (and as many know I trade oil related intensely when EPIC our oil algo signals a trend reversal), $SPY and related and $VIX related such as $XIV, $TVIX, $UVXY and more. So I trade all those and the momentum stocks. You will find me in the ones specific to what I believe will return the highest ROI in the shortest amount of time – but that doesn’t mean you can’t trade something I am not. In fact, in the most recent turn that Rosie the Gold Algo called months in advance and SuperNova Silver Algo called many of our members have been banking DAILY on that move – but I haven’t traded it once. I missed the turn – I knew it was there of course because of the algos – but I didn’t execute in it. But the majority of the room has.

Hope that helps more than just one person. I sent out a tweet in honor of this interaction. If you’re a new trader my best suggestion is to really reflect on what this says. And if you ever need a bit of encouragement with it let me know please.

Promo Code Discounts are Ending: The 38.2% inaugural opening discounts end Jan 31, 2017 and we won’t be a promo driven type room – so if you’re thinking of jumping do it now. Also, the promo codes are technically all used up (we were only going to offer discount for first 200) so if you get an error message when typing in your promo code that’s on the website then let us know and a tech will sort it for you.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$MRNS, $SHH, $GALE, $NVLS. Today was all about momentum plays that had no follow through so I couldn’t size in – which has been my challenge the last eight trading days. Learning how to size in to trades is critical to trading success – you’ll notice even though the last eight days the momos have not allowed for significant size legging I didn’t get chopped to crap. So please, please don’t do this at home until you’ve practiced the discipline on paper trading first. Even a pro coach is a good idea – he/she at minimum should review your paper trades before you start in this process. It can be an account killer – or a blessing – it’s got a sharp edge and it’s fine the difference between the killing of your account and the blessed account.

$MRNS PREMARKET, Trading Plan

$MRNS PREMARKET

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
DRYS 5.40 434.65% 13764768 Top Gainers
BOXC 23.42 18.60% 40723 Top Gainers
VRAY 4.97 18.33% 307920 Top Gainers
MRNS 1.37 18.10% 27035209 Top Gainers
SMLR 2.00 16.28% 35201 Top Gainers
ACST 1.45 15.08% 1635711 Top Gainers
GIGM 3.52 13.18% 217716 New High
TCX 47.90 11.01% 331576 New High
CCLP 12.23 9.20% 324104 New High
VOC 4.14 7.53% 191201 New High
UVV 75.45 0.60% 501891 Overbought
WOOF 90.75 0.00% 2399633 Overbought
BIOL 1.68 14.29% 3857715 Unusual Volume
EMSD 24.40 0.62% 80763 Unusual Volume
BMLA 28.07 2.00% 18201 Unusual Volume
MRNS 1.37 18.10% 27035209 Unusual Volume
ADMA 5.46 7.91% 157277 Upgrades
AUBN 31.25 0.35% 4349 Earnings Before
MCC 7.51 0.27% 261367 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $ROKA, $ESEA, $TRCH

Looking Forward:

In overnight trade it looks like commodities are cooling a bit so I may look at inverse Gold or Miner’s ETN’s ETF’s Tuesday, also market has been calm since inauguration so I would expect a bit of a pop or drop here soon and I’m thinking a pop. So I’m looking forward to the last six days of trading in January.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:28 am Curtis Melonopoly : Gainers: $MDGS 27%, $MRNS 25%, $GLBS 21%, $ETRM 16%, $BIOL 14%, $CYNO 8%, $NAK 8%, $DCIX, $HTBX $UNXL $SBGL $JNUG $BNCN $AU

09:17 am Curtis M : Morning! I will trade morning momos first and then review Swing Trades and standard algo plays OIL, GOLD, Etc after. Upgrades $ESS $COG $CVRR $TSU $CSX $WPZ $WMB $TGH $AVD $FLS $MSI $CMCO $BBT Downgrades $LXP $CLCD $CPT $HSTM $CVE $TVPT $WK $QCOM $VZ $KSU $RF

11:26 am Curtis M : Back at 1140 EST

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Not in love with the movement of gold usd/jpy over night. Im watching and waiting before hloading up anymore on the metals and miners. Also dumped my $TVIX small weekend hold as we didn’t get much action there into the open and want it gone
09:18 am caide x : mornin guys
09:18 am Jon R : bank time
09:20 am Steve S : $BIOL +15%
09:27 am Mathew Waterfall : $BIOL looks nice here over pre market high
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Sold some $ESEA upo at 2 right off of open. Will restock below 1.8. Have a runner if it decides it wants more
09:34 am Curtis M : Long $MRNS 1.48 5000 out 1.58
09:37 am Gurpreet S : L $BIOL tiny start
09:38 am Curtis M : Long $MRNS 1.58 5000
09:43 am Jon R : Long $BIOL here looks good
09:44 am Curtis M : Long $MRNS 1.71 5000
09:48 am Curtis M : Long $MRNS 176 5000
09:50 am Curtis M : Out 174 15000
09:50 am Curtis M : Sorry 1.754 avg
09:53 am Shafique M : Sold $MRNS 1000 thanks Curt still praying for $BIOL 1000 shares
09:54 am Kari S : Looking at $NUGT here?
09:55 am Gunnar T : Long $CBMX for a swinger!
09:56 am Curtis M : Hey that;s my swing lol good luck!
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Im in there as well from last week. It sees spikes sooner or later,just have to have mucho patience with it
09:57 am Lenny K : $MRNS looks great
09:57 am Sandy S : $MRNS visits VWAP IMO
09:58 am Carol B : Love $GOOGL action – in long since last week Wed
10:01 am Curtis M : VWAP on $MRNS
10:01 am Curtis M : $TRGP halt
10:03 am Curtis M : Long $MRNS 1.73 3000
10:05 am Curtis M : Out $MRNS flat
10:08 am Curtis M : $ASM halt
10:08 am Curtis M : $TGRP resumed
10:14 am Greg L : I am long nfec here for a starter
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : nfec
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Sorry looks good low volume if it can get above the weekly highs should run a bit
10:16 am Mathew Waterfall : 1.6 area resistance
10:18 am Curtis M : Rough morning – a lot of pfff vs momo
10:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. pump and dump off of the open market wide
10:22 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic
10:24 am Greg L : ya! thanks for $TLT mat! winner for me
10:28 am Curtis M : Thanks Mathew. If anyone needs me to run through any algorithmic modeling charts let me know but it all looks within range from updates to me. No surprises.
10:29 am Curtis M : Had someone giving me a hard ime for no update $SPY today – how do you update that?
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Long $TVIX 6.18 for a run here
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $SPY update: up down up down up down. Back to the same place we started
10:33 am Mathew Waterfall : Stop at 6.2 on $TVIX. aiming for 6.4 if things really get going
10:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Out some 6.28
10:35 am Mathew Waterfall : I expect this dip in /ES to get bought per usual
10:35 am luis s : I have my eye on $TVIX all day so far haha
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : In this current chop I like it for small scalps but i have no confidence in it putting it outsized moves as of yet
10:36 am luis s : ya
10:39 am Curtis M : $MRNS 1.685 avg 2000 L
10:52 am Curtis M : out 1.70
10:54 am Kari S : $QCOM for a bounce
10:56 am Curtis M : $DRYS in deep
10:56 am Curtis M : sinking that is
10:59 am Mathew Waterfall : $DRYS is hilarious in a sad way to watch from the sidelines lol
10:59 am Mathew Waterfall : Taking a quick break. Back ina few after scanning
10:59 am Curtis M : k
11:27 am luis s : I;ll hold down the fort lol
11:28 am Curtis M : back in 15 mins
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Choppy across the board today. Most of my scans aren’t favorable set ups. No edge, no trade for me
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Bearish overall across my indicators. $TVIX still grinding higher here as well with the VIX spike. Would be out at 6.4 to take a fresh look
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : And just like that. Out here expecting a small buy oppin the overall market
11:49 am Mathew Waterfall : *buy opp. Vix should settle down befor another run if it has one
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT HOD. Thinking of selling another batch here. USD/JPY will probably ramp sooner or later if history is an indicator. Last wek they loved the afternoon ramps
12:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here;s my VIX pull though not in a huge rush to get back in. Watching /ES to see how it behaves but the dip is being bought with very mild strength so far
12:41 pm Curtis M : $TVIX VWAP
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gonna slice through it IMP
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : *IMO
12:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Was just looking at $GALE thanks to AC lol decent set up against the low right below
12:58 pm Curtis M : $GALE Long 2000 avg 1.77 ish for break
01:00 pm Jon R : Long $GDX
01:02 pm Shafique M : Long $URRE
01:17 pm Curtis M : LOng $SSH
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trimmed some $SLW. Up over a buck a share form entry. Will add on pullbacks
01:20 pm Curtis M : Oil spike
01:29 pm Curtis M : Sold $SSH .20 gain 3000
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GALE beasting here. Good call there.
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NQ grinding all day
01:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im in $TVIX againt lows for cheap tester
01:48 pm Curtis M : No momo just pops
01:48 pm Curtis M : follow thru bites
01:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : So tought to time that stuff. No consistant names on the scanners and no real market direction. We should be at the beach
01:48 pm Curtis M : lol
01:57 pm Curtis M : poppin $GALE
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX stop set at 6.2 again. Hate watching these when they’re moving slow so I’ll let it do it’s thing
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Either way small win
02:11 pm Curtis M : stops wacked
02:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX went again without me after getting stopped. Need more eyes or more alerts I guess
02:18 pm Curtis M : out $GALE small profit .06
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Market again trending towards downside with dollar also giving it up and retesting the lows
02:19 pm Curtis M : Out $GALE 1.83 zzzz small gain sorry late alert was on phone
02:23 pm Curtis M : Theres buyers theyre just buying at support and scalping quick time on surges
02:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. Catching those surges is key lol
02:25 pm Curtis M : I have never seen that word used so much as today its all over twitter surge this surge that wtf
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Almost like media sources are lazy…
02:26 pm wei w : you’re right I searched it! shiiiit
02:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Financial media Monday Jan23 memo: Please use following format for your headlines. “Prices surge to new_______. Could see further surges coming”
02:28 pm Curtis M : daytraders need surge protection
02:29 pm Curtis M : My guess … the daytraders are gonna run at least one here out of frustration
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Becomes a bit of a guessing game at this point to try to front run something though. We have about an hour left is something is going to make a move for it
02:32 pm Curtis M : ya wack a mole
02:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NVLS making a move
02:36 pm Shafique M : $NVLS with strong close is a gap candidate for pre market imo
02:37 pm Kari S : add $NUGT
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners lookins strong here.
02:38 pm Curtis M : yup
02:39 pm Curtis M : so did my first marriage
02:39 pm Curtis M : joke
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : hahaha
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners will also drive you to the poor house and take your sports car just like a first wife so I see the similarities
02:39 pm wei w : in $NUGT too here guys
02:40 pm Curtis M : Wei active today
02:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $MAGS crushing here as well
02:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT avoiding the lte day selloff that it saw most of last week. Showing good strength still like that play
02:43 pm Curtis M : LOng $NVLS for break out 2.20 2000 shares really tight – out flat mins later
02:45 pm Curtis M : doesnt look good
02:46 pm Curtis M : Stoch RSI turning down
02:55 pm Curtis M : common theme today
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rope a dope left and right. Maybe we just need to settle this arguement about how many people were actually at trumps inauguration and things will move again
03:06 pm Curtis M : can I just get one? one little supernova pls
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here we were all mad when granny yellen would pull her ramps out of thin air to prop the market
03:07 pm Curtis M : lol
03:07 pm Curtis M : not me man i lved it
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : She’s now punishing us with sideways chop
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea those afternoon ramps were great plays
03:07 pm Curtis M : omg theyre gonna run mags on a stupid little contract
03:08 pm Curtis M : the one I don’t play watch kaboom
03:09 pm Curtis M : Gold and Miners the place to be lately
03:09 pm Curtis M : algo right Curt asleep at wheel
03:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp only constant action which is why I’ve been glued to them
03:09 pm wei w : I listened to Rosie !!!
03:10 pm Curtis M : haha
03:10 pm Kari S : a lot of us did
03:11 pm Curtis M : hmm
03:12 pm Curtis M : I think I hardly made wages today – ugly lol oh well…. the cards keep coming
03:13 pm Curtis M : US drilling might wack oil
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been assuming that it’s a self defeeting set up with the higher oil goes the more we will pump here and bring it back down
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : You would know better than most but I thought 55-60 would be the lid
03:15 pm Curtis M : They’re gonna wack it imo no win possible unles Trump has an ace card
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trump should want more US production so when he goes to war with everyone we won’t be dependant
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Until the US takes over oil production in IRAQ or something. I could see him stealing that somehow
03:19 pm Curtis M : he maight partner and steal it all lol
03:19 pm Curtis M : join us or pay the price lol
03:21 pm Curtis M : back in 5
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : He’ll do something weird that’s for sure
03:31 pm Curtis M : buy at support sell the pop
03:33 pm Jon R : Sold $HMNY on pop
03:35 pm OILK K : Unloading $MAGS and $NVLS bags dont want to hold overnight holding $NUGT
03:37 pm Jack D : $BLIN looking like a momentum play for tomorrow
03:38 pm Curtis M : u may b right
03:43 pm Shafique M : in more $NUGT for overnight pajama sell off
03:44 pm Curtis M : $GOOGL running the show
03:46 pm Gurpreet S : hey mat
03:48 pm Curtis M : Thanks Mat – I’m done for day – room will stay open till 4
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Same here. Will be around bu no more trades for me
03:49 pm luis s : me too catcha guys
03:50 pm Kari S : Curt your Amazon and Google swings on
03:52 pm OILK K : $CF rocking
03:54 pm John M : have a great night!~
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : See yall in the AM.
04:00 pm Jack D : cya Mathew

Article Topics: $MRNS, $SSH, $GALE, $NVLS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 23, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $MDGS, $MRNS, $GLBS, $ETRM, $BIOL – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

Goal: Double account in two week challenge – today is last day.

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

All very small positions – $ROKA, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

First day of Trump enomics – we’ll see. This could be start of turn in many areas. Looks like some bio runner momos and Gold, Silver and other metals active. $SPY rangebound. $DXY could be at interim support.

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $MDGS, $MRNS, $GLBS, $ETRM, $BIOL

$MRNS Breaking news: Marinus Announces Positive Preliminary Data From Children With CDKL5 Genetic Disorder http://ir.marinuspharma.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=1008690

$MRNS PREMARKET, Trading Plan

$MRNS PREMARKET

$MDGS PREMARKET

$MDGS PREMARKET

$ETRM PREMARKET

$ETRM PREMARKET

20 Stocks Moving In Monday’s PreMarket https://benzinga.com/z/8932417 $BOX $CBMX $CF $MRNS $NQ $GLBS $CYNO $INFI $IDSA $NAK $SBGL $DVAX $QCOM $RDHL

Premarket: 4 Things to Know Before the Opening Bell.
http://money.cnn.com/2017/01/23/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html …

ADMA Biologics to acquire certain assets from Biotest Pharmaceuticals http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236624-adma-biologics-acquire-certain-assets-biotest-pharmaceuticals?source=feed_f … #premarket $ADMA $BIESF

McDonald’s shares edge lower in premarket after earnings, sales top targets http://on.mktw.net/2j56lI9

#Clovis Oncology reiterated at buy at Stifel.
Price target raised from $52 to $86.
$CLVS +2.71% at 59.87 premarket
#biotech #stocks

TerraForm Global’s stock rallies 1.3% premarket after disclosing Brookfield Asset Management talks http://ift.tt/1MpFMtW

Kate Spade +5% as sale speculation picks up http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236631-kate-spade-plus-5-percent-sale-speculation-picks?source=feed_f … #premarket $KATE $KORS $COH

NCI’s stock plunges 10% premarket after controller terminated for embezzlement, internal investigation http://dlvr.it/NB5x8k MARKETWATCH

Delivery of first F-35 to Turkey expected in 2019 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236626-delivery-first-fminus-35-turkey-expected-2019?source=feed_f … #premarket $LMT

Forbes Energy files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236625-forbes-energy-files-chapter-11-bankruptcy?source=feed_f … #premarket $FES $FESL

Qualcomm -3.6% premarket; two downgrades hit

Halliburton’s stock falls 0.8% premarket after Q4 results http://ift.tt/1rvBshV

 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: Gainers: $MDGS 27%, $MRNS 25%, $GLBS 21%, $ETRM 16%, $BIOL 14%, $CYNO 8%, $NAK 8%, $DCIX, $HTBX $UNXL $SBGL $JNUG $BNCN $AU

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Novagold $NG, $URRE, $GREK are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $MDGS, $MRNS, $GLBS, $ETRM, $BIOL, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 23 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Jan 23, 2017 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

Gold! Make it a double for good measure?

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here and the Jan 9, 2017 Gold Trade Update Here. It is really important to know the history of calls and how my calls and recent trade apply to the information below.

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/DCFIQ0j8-Member-GOLD-Trade-Update-Mon-Jan-23-GC-F-XAUUSD-GLD/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Gold, Algo, Rosie, Chart

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Observations 337 AM Sept 23, 17 $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Trade Considerations to Increase Your Trading Edge

The main question now, is whether or not Gold trade will reach the level of a “double for good measure”. In recent reports I charted this as a possibility. On the chart above this would put the price of Gold at around 1244.80. What do I mean by a double for good measure? Well, when I presented the Gold chart recently (after calling the bottom and turn) with that white arrow on it (above) – I explained that this was your first upside target (it was a symmetrical move that I was confident in). I also gave you an additional target for consideration which is the double for good measure. It is simply a double sized symmetrical move.

Or, could the move be a math based move with a reversal at the 1251.11 mark? It is possible – so if price does reach the double up mark at about 1244.80 – be sure to watch 1251.11 very close. It is very difficult for trade to beat the math. So, if trade does get to 1251.11 you can (at minimum) expect a pull-back. Whether price continues in an ascending trend thereafter is up to the market. If price hits 1251.11 and it pulls back you can expect a decision at the 1223.79 area (which corresponds with a fib and the top of an algo quadrant – blue line).

It is important to note, that the current price is trading right around the top of a quadrant line (they are blue) – these are significant support and resistance marks by the way. Careful with them – especially when they line up with a symmetrical move and/or a fib mark.

If / when price is above 1251.11 and above that algo quadrant line in the same trading area I would then consider that a confirmed trend reversal with near 100% certainty.

At each decision with upward trending trade on the chart above the probability of a confirmed trend change to the upside increases as the resistance areas are breached and held.

By the way, the purple horizontal trendlines lines will act as support and resistance but with the trade of Gold they are not anywhere near as important as the algo quadrant lines (the blue lines), the marked Fibonacci lines and the symmetrical moves noted in this and recent reports.

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

 

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 23, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

We have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal info@compoundtrading.com within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

The VIX has gotten crushed once again. We expected to be able to publish all levels for trading quadrants today (when we reported last week), however, with-out upward trade this is impossible. The manner in which VIX trades we require an upward trend to publish specific trading quadrants and targets specific to the move because each move comes with its own specific velocity. So that leaves us waiting for another upward trending trade move before we can update the trading targets. So for now the report below includes current charting and recent report excerpts (for the newest members to review).

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday. Down -9.75% and at 11.5.

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Down 9.7% at 11.5

Important consideration should be given to below (even though powers that be have continued to crush the $VIX)

$VIX

$VIX vs. TDC

Also for consideration, $VIX futures net short positioning at all time highs.

$VIX, Short

$VIX Net Short via StockBoardAsset

Previous Report Excerpts:

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Charting in Progress

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX, 200 Day, Chart, MA

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX, Chart, Resistance

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX,, TSI, RSI, Oscillator

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX, $SPX, Bollinger

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV


Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 22, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

One new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. The new add is Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL. They report earnings this Thursday!

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX


Monday Jan 23, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

Big News Below Members! Time / Price Cycle has 92% chance of terminating before Tues 4:30 to upside trend! We cannot confirm this trend change until Wednesday at 10:30 AM as 100% – so trade cautiously optimistic.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday Jan 23, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/YgAk8s8a-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 53.28 at 9:38 PM ET Jan 22, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Per previous;

As mentioned above my algorithm has calculated a 92% chance that a time/price cycle is terminating at latest Tuesday next week at 4:30 to the upside. The new algo targets are in red circles (follow red dotted alpha algo lines for targets not represented on chart). Remember that the Friday targets are not as probable as Tues and Wed each week. The purple lines and arrow pointing to one are horizontal support and resistance (that are not as important as the blue diagonal trend-lines and red dotted alpha trend-lines). Use the purple lines for intra trade reference only. More recently the yellow lines (which are significant horizontal support and resistance from other time price cycles) are not holding price action and the diagonal blue trendlines are acting as alpha. Note the blue diagonal trend-line price is currently using as support – this is critical. Our traders will be trading this as support while it holds. Also, above (off chart) there is a very significant downtrending diagonal trendline (blue) that is very thick (means it comes from previous time cycles) and it is at 56.35 intra-day but is trending down so be careful (this was previously pointed out in reports that I have left inserted in this report further down). That overhead diagonal trendline our traders will use as resistance in their trading. There are two alpha algo lines in this time price cycle and they are represented on the chart – the algo targets run along them. Target probabilities are listed below.

 

Current observations (represented in two charts below):

There is a new alpha algo line added to this chart FYI. Algo targets updated below also.

The recent test of the diagonal trendline (blue arrow) is significant – this is considered primary support. It will hold support more than 70% of the time.

There is a significant probability of upside resistance (yellow arrow) test coming. This has been tested / breached to upside once in recent trade (on Jan 3) and it did not hold.

The white arrows (dotted white lines) represent your current trading range. Although trade has been sideways in a range for a number of weeks the recent price action is giving our algorithm significant indication of upside trend continuation (which of course has to be confirmed).

In the second chart below there is a blue arrow pointing out significant resistance with a downtrending diagonal trendline (blue). This is a significant resistance – considered the most significant possible. The probability of price action breaking through to upside is less than 10%. If trade does break to upside and holds on back-test then a new trend is established with a probability of more than 90%. A trendline of its significance is rarely tested. Our traders will short oil if and when price action nears this trendline and of course if breached to upside our traders will go long oil.

On Jan 9, 2017 the price of crude dropped out of upward channel and has not regained the resistance upside to establish new uptrend at 54.32 (yellow arrow) since. As above we expect a test very soon. When / if trade is to upside of this resistance our traders will long oil.

Support breached at diagonal trendline (blue arrow) with back test confirmed would be very bearish should this occur. My algorithm shows a low probability of this occurring before upside primary resistance areas are tested first.

Confirmation of the high probability of upside momentum will occur based on targets Tuesday at 4:30 PM and Wednesday at 10:30 AM. Stay tuned for updates around these important target times this week.

$USOIL, Chart, Algo, Epic

Current trade at 53.28 Crude algo intra work sheet 933 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, Resistance, Chart

Significant resistance at 56.35. Crude algo intra work sheet 933 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

See notes ad charts above for swing trade ranges.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Per previous;

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely.

 

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments (see previous posts).

Fibonacci Levels:

Below are the Fibonacci levels to watch with crude oil trade.

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

Fibonacci levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 1138 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Epic, Algo, Fibonacci, Oil, $USOIL

Fibonacci levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 1138 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Live oil chart with Fibonacci Levels:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/FrxbwAK6-Fibonacci-levels-Crude-algo-intra-work-sheet-1138-PM-Jan-22-FX/

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Time price cycle terminations. Crude algo intra work sheet 1146 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

The chart below shows the three time price cycle terminations coming soon (orange arrows). All of which are not significant but significant enough to note and be aware of.

Time, Price, Oil, Chart

Time price cycle terminations. Crude algo intra work sheet 1146 PM Jan 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Current Algo Targets Should Time / Price Cycle Change Confirm:

Tuesday Jan 24 EST 4:30 – 52.88 (56%), 53.47 (59%), 54.94 (11%)

Wednesday Jan 25 EST 10:30 – 53.03 (51%), 53.58 (54%), 55.12 (7%)

Friday Jan 27 EST 13:00 – 53.46 (14%), 53.90 (19%), 55.50 (2%) – Friday Targets are least Predictable.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 20, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $IDXG, $LODE, $NURO, $BLPH, $TNDM, $CYTX – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

If you haven’t reviewed the oil charting from last evening now would be a good time!

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $IDXG, $LODE, $NURO, $BLPH, $TNDM, $CYTX

$IDXG Premarket

$IDXG Premarket

$IDXG Premarket

S&P +0.13%.

10-yr -0.18%.

Euro -0.26% vs. dollar.

Crude +0.98% to $52.63.

Gold -0.11% to $1,200.15.

Lockheed Martin up nearly $3 in #premarket. $LMT #defense #F35

General Dynamics up 1 7/8ths in #premarket $GD #mil #defense #mkts

Northrop Grumman up about 2 1/4 in #premarket $NOC #mkts #Defense

$IDXG Interpace Diagnostics Announces New Partnership with Israeli Specialty Services Provider

$CRTN Cartesian Reports Continued Growth in Network Transformation http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cartesian-reports-continued-growth-network-130100696.html …

Visa stock upgraded to outperform at Wedbush as mobile payments becomes a catalyst http://on.mktw.net/2jGA7ag

Las Vegas Sands settles with DOJ on FCPA violations http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236364-las-vegas-sands-settles-doj-fcpa-violations?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $LVS

$FSNN Fusion to Present at the Noble Capital Markets Thirteenth Annual Investor Conference

Alphabet, Facebook rated new Overweight at Pacific Crest Securities, Twitter Se… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236365-alphabet-facebook-rated-new-overweight-pacific-crest-securities-twitter-sector-weight?source=feed_f … #premarket $FB $TWTR $GOOG $GOOGL

MKM Partners sees 27% upside fo Priceline http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236352-mkm-partners-sees-27-percent-upside-fo-priceline?source=feed_f … #premarket $PCLN

$GE missed on sales. Stock down 1% #premarket. Nothing from CEO Immelt about Trump in the earnings release.

NGL Energy Partners +4% on upward distribution guidance http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236350-ngl-energy-partners-plus-4-percent-upward-distribution-guidance?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $NGL

#Premarket Losers: $STML $AXAS $BMY $HMY $KGC $DWT $JNUG $MTL $AXP $AZN $GFI $IBM $RIO $NUGT $CSX $GE $CCL

Chesapeake issues 18.8M shares to buy preferred shares http://seekingalpha.com/news/3236336-chesapeake-issues-18_8m-shares-buy-preferred-shares?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $CHK

Schlumberger posts a loss as slump weighs on oil services. Report: http://www.worldoil.com/news/2017/1/20/schlumberger-posts-a-loss-as-slump-weighs-on-oil-services …

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Novagold $NG, $URRE, $GREK are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $IDXG, $LODE, $NURO, $BLPH, $TNDM, $CYTX, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Below only one new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. It’s $USOIL $WTI that can be traded also with $UWT $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $SCO etc… Anyway, oil has established a support area that would be decent as a swing trade – see below for details.

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Google $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX