20
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Friday Jan 20 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Friday Jan 20, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Friday Jan 20 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Friday Jan 20, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Our technicians for the first time have locked in the math for $VIX ($SPY and $VIX both actually) – this work was completed by about 4 AM this morning. So that leaves us without time to publish the whole report so the report below does not include but will include for Monday’s report all advanced algorithmic charting including algo targets, trendlines, time price cycle expirations etc. The charting provided in the meantime is the charting our traders are using for levels for their trade.

So this is good news at minimum as we have been processing the math / data for $VIX and $SPY algorithmic modeling now for about four months – so this is a break through. Again, come Monday, the $VIX and $SPY reporting will be as detailed as EPIC the Oil Algo reporting (for example).

Also of note for this report, we have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

So we are getting some upward trading momentum in the $VIX (the $VIX is up 2.4% as of 5:17 AM), below are the levels our traders are using for Friday. I know it is difficult to see as there are a number of levels on the chart, but they are the levels we are working with. We are using the diagonal dotted lines and fib lines as support and resistance. The algorithmic modeling you will see on Monday will have all quadrants included for ease of trade. We are also using the quadrants and fib levels on the $SPY charting (you will have a copy in your email) – we know it isn’t a direct correlation between them however, when $SPY loses important support the volatility naturally correlates as an indicator. Also, we see 13.40 and 14.60 the primary intraday resistace areas (not that $VIX resistance is relative to or the same as with traditional resistance but I think you get my point).

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Charting in Progress

 

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX, 200 Day, Chart, MA

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX, Chart, Resistance

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX,, TSI, RSI, Oscillator

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX, $SPX, Bollinger

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

20
Jan 2017
$SPY, Chart

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Fri Jan 20 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Friday Jan 20, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

Member S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Fri Jan 20 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Friday Jan 20, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

Notices:

Charting Below: I am going to leave in much of recent reports below because the trade in $SPY is still within a defined range and until it trends the algorithmic modeling cannot be processed in full for all your trading ranges etc. Nonetheless, below is charting to assist you intra-day until we lock in  on a trend either up or down.

Per previous;

The one bonus, if there is one while we await price movement up or down, is that our technicians have now locked in the math for the $SPY algorithm model. In other words, as soon as we get movement up or down we will be able to provide detailed modeling for members.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of the S&P500 (more specifically $SPY). Early 2017 I will also provide algo indicators and charting for $ES_F.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

$SPY Trading Observations:

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/CX2a7Oex-Freedom-SPY-Algo-Member-Charting/

Support and Resistance Lines / Fibonacci Levels and Algo Trading Quadrants Based on Algorithmic Modeling Available Until Trade Trends Upward or Down.

Below is the chart our traders have prepared based on algorithmic calculations using Fibonacci to prepare for trade on Friday. If trade gets upward or lower momentum and price reacts to these levels use the levels – if trade does not respect the Fib lines and the algo quadrants (dotted lines) in this chart abandon the chart signals until the next report is issued.

If you are trading futures / ES_F our new modeling early 2017 (February) will also include this charting – until then you would have to transpose these quadrants to the ES_F chart.

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Support Resistance Fib Algo Quadrant Calcs 30 Min Fri Jan 20 317 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Fib Levels Our Traders Will Watch in Event Trade Moves Downward

I know the chart becomes messy, but these are the levels our traders will trade against (in addition to the quadrants above) should price move downward. Yes, I know the use of Fib levels below is not conventional, but we use algorithmic modeling scenarios and you will find them to be very accurate.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/RA0bYRSi-SPY-Simple-Levels-for-Downward-Trade/

$SPY, Chart

$SPY Simple Levels for Downward Trade

Fib Levels Our Traders Will Watch in Event Trade Moves Upward

And yes, I know it’s messy, far from conventional and looks like mad science – but check the levels with intra day trade and you will find them accurate should the trade trend upward.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/Sfxrm7QK-SPY-Simple-Levels-for-Upward-Trade/

$SPY, Chart

Fib Levels Our Traders Will Watch in Event Trade Moves Upward

Building the Probabilities for Buy Sell Signals in Algorithmic Model – We Start With Simple MA’s

With our algorithmic modeling our development philosophy has been to keep it simple. One way we do this is to start with the MA’s and how they might become predictable buy and sell triggers on various time-frames – once we have reviewed them all (which I won’t include all in these posts because there are many hundreds of variations and these posts would become books) we then calculate the win rate % for each win / loss for each time frame for each MA. Simple right? It actually is – the more difficult part is actually processing the information.

Once we have the MA data processed for all time frames we then have buy / sell triggers with probabilities attached to each for our buy / sell alerts. We can then move on to other indicators such a Fibonacci and many more (all of which become part of our probability set for algorithmic targets).

Please refer to recent reports for applicable MA’s, and once again once price moves up or down we will continue this part of the work. As soon as price trends up or down we will provide a series of MA charts for reference for the trend and associated trade.

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting for $SPY to trend up or down to establish.

Conclusion:

Over-all, we are bullish. This can change at any moment – but all indicators we watch are indicating higher prices. We will update as the week goes on or as signals allow for updates.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

20
Jan 2017
Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Member Oil Trade Fri Jan 20 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Friday Jan 20, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Member Oil Trade Fri Jan 20 Chart Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

Friday Jan 20, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

Big News Below Members! Time / Price Cycle has 92% chance of terminating before Tues 4:30 to upside trend! We cannot confirm this trend change until Wednesday at 10:30 AM as 100% so trade cautiously optimistic.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday Jan 20, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/X3PhOXFT-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Live-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.20 at 2:11 AM ET Jan 20, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

As mentioned above my algorithm has calculated a 92% chance that a time/price cycle is terminating at latest Tuesday next week at 4:30 to the upside. The new algo targets are in red circles (follow red dotted alpha algo lines for targets not represented on chart). Remember that the Friday targets are not as probable as Tues and Wed each week. The purple lines and arrow pointing to one are horizontal support and resistance (that are not as important as the blue diagonal trend-lines and red dotted alpha trend-lines). Use the purple lines for intra trade reference only. More recently the yellow lines (which are significant horizontal support and resistance from other time price cycles) are not holding price action and the diagonal blue trendlines are acting as alpha. Note the blue diagonal trend-line price is currently using as support – this is critical. Our traders will be trading this as support while it holds. Also, above (off chart) there is a very significant downtrending diagonal trendline (blue) that is very thick (means it comes from previous time cycles) and it is at 56.35 intra-day but is trending down so be careful (this was previously pointed out in reports that I have left inserted in this report further down). That overhead diagonal trendline our traders will use as resistance in their trading. There are two alpha algo lines in this time price cycle and they are represented on the chart – the algo targets run along them. Target probabilities are listed below.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Per previous;

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely.

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments (see previous posts).

Fibonacci Levels:

This chart does not represent the current fib lines but the weekend update will include them.

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Current Algo Targets Should Time / Price Cycle Change Confirm:

Friday Jan 20 EST 13:00 – 52.43 (53%)

Tuesday Jan 24 EST 4:30 – 52.88 (47%), 54.94 (11%)

Wednesday Jan 25 EST 10:30 – 53.03 (31%), 55.12 (7%)

Friday Jan 27 EST 13:00 – 53.46 (14%), 55.50 (2%)

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

These will be included in Monday report with Fib levels.

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci, Algo

18
Jan 2017

Two-Week Stock Trading Challenge: Day 4 Chart Review, $URRE $APOP $TBIO $BVXV

Trading Challenge , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Welcome to the fourth day’s review of our two-week trading challenge, where our lead trader’s aim is to double his large account. Our lead trader’s record for January 12 was 4 wins, 2 losses, and 2 holds.

Today’s focus shifted back to biopharma stocks, although markets have continued to be relatively flat as the week has progressed.The potential for intraday scalps was not as promising as Monday. No recap video was recorded for this day.

The first play of the morning was exiting long positions from the previous day in $URRE. This began at 9:34 AM, with half of the 9000 shares being scaled out for 3.82. Finally, all remaining shares were scaled out at 9:45 AM for 3.90.

There was one morning momentum play at 9:40 AM in $APOP, which leveraged a pop in a one minute time-frame. Our lead trader was long at 9:40 AM for 1000 shares at 5.54, and exited at 9:41 AM for 5.86. This was the second win of the day.

There was a small loss at 10:15 AM, going long in $TBIO for 5000 shares at 0.78. Exit was at 10:18 AM, for 0.73.

The next two wins were intraday scalps in $BVXV after 11:00 AM. The first trade was a long position entered at 11:15 AM, for 2000 shares at 5.02. These shares were sold off at 11:21 AM for 5.80. The second scalp was entered at 11:33 AM, going long for 6000 shares at 6.48. This position was exited at 11:38 AM, with all shares sold for 7.17.

The final loss of the day was in $TBIO near end-of-day. The lead trader entered a long position at 3:06 PM, 5000 shares at 1.217, and exited at 3:30 PM at 1.182 (all shares).

18
Jan 2017

Two-Week Stock Trading Challenge: Day 3 Chart Review, $BIOC $URRE $TVIX $FFHL $TCCO

Trading Challenge , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Welcome to the third day’s review of our two-week trading challenge, where our lead trader’s aim is to double his large account. Our lead trader’s record for January 11 was 2 wins, 2 losses, and 2 holds.

The first loss of the day was during a morning momentum play. Entry was a bit too late, going long at 3.16, 1000 shares on $BIOC (9:36 AM). Exit was four minutes later, at 2.95 for 1000 shares.

The first win of the day came from $URRE in the morning, going long for 1000 shares at 3.13 (9:56 AM), and adding another block at 10:19 AM at 3.05, 1000 more shares. This position was held for 22 minutes, and all 2000 shares were sold for 3.33 at 10:41 AM.

There was another set of block adds, the first at 10:57 AM for 3000 shares at 3.86, and then another 6000 for 3.38 at 12:10 PM. This set of 9000 shares entered an overnight hold position, given by the light blue arrow in the image below.

The second loss of the day was a volatility play in $TVIX. The lead trader entered in after lunch for 1000 shares at 7.07 (1:17 PM) and was out at 2:12 PM at 6.89.

The second win of today was a hold for 7000 shares in $FFH, where blocks of 1000 shares each were scaled in between 2:52 PM and 2:54 PM, with a final add for 5000 shares at 2:54 PM. By 3:10 PM, our lead trader scaled out the entire set of 7000 shares for 4.10.

There last overnight hold for today came right before end-of-day, with 1000 shares scaled in between 3:38 PM and 3:54 PM on $TCCO.

General market sentiment for January 11 was not as promising as the previous day, where many of our lead trader’s profits came from a series of intraday scalps. As such, no video recap was captured.

18
Jan 2017

Two-Week Stock Trading Challenge: Day 2 Chart Review and Recap Video, $GNVC $ETRM $SGNL $XGTI $UWT

Trading Challenge , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Welcome to the second day’s review of our two-week trading challenge, where our lead trader’s aim is to double his large account. My name’s Sartaj, a software engineer at Compound Trading. Following our original format, the first part of this series is a chart review. Our lead trader’s record for January 10 was 6 wins, 2 small losses, and 1 hold from a previous swing trade.

Overall, the general sentiment of the market has been relatively flat pending Donald Trump’s inauguration. Much of the chatter since Monday has indeed been about medical-related fields, and $ETRM showed itself to be a scalper’s paradise today. More on this later.

Hence, the focus was largely on biopharma stocks, with one hold in oil based on the results of our oil algorithm.

The first play was in $GNVC, which leveraged morning momentum one minute after the opening bell. Entry was at 9:31 am going long at 8.23, 1000 shares. Exit was one minute later. The original plan was to hold in the 8.70 area after the initial momo pike, but there was a pull back after price moved to 10. Price action came off a bit faster than it should have after the initial spike, in our lead trader’s estimation. This validated his concern with respect to pulling out very early.

This example also highlights the importance of seeing indicators line up. While the stochastic oscillator and Osmond
metrics were lining up well, there were not enough checkmarks to justify a hold.

Moving on, we see that $ETRM continued to be a scalper’s paradise, following Monday’s trends. We made one play at 10:22 am, with entry at 19.04, and exit 4 minutes later out 3000 shares at 19.59. As we can see, an extended hold until lunch time may have worked out in retrospect, but our lead trader worked off his plan and exited before the downdraft between 10:30 am and 10:40 am.

 


The next stock we looked at was $SGNL. This was technically interesting, as the volume has been low here for quite some time. Most of our wins were came from this stock, leveraging gap-ups. The orange arrows highlights a halt, which we had pinned down right to the minute. Note that there pops in price nearly every time a halt came in.


The first loss of the day came near end-of-day in $BIOC. While the entry was sound, leveraging a reversal at 2:42, there was not enough price action during the pop at 3:28.


Our second loss came from $XGTI, a technology company. Similar to the previous loss, there was an expectation of a pivot where the exit point was, building price action at a previous resistance level. However, after the reversal at 3:09 pm, the downdraft continued. A better play may have been to exit right before the reversal, although the price action here was quite dramatic.

Finally, our lead trader entered one hold. Further to these momentum and scalping plays, our flagship algorithm, EPIC, had the following observations: On January 9, price fell out of its lower resistance, which we represent as a “lower width” in terms of our algorithmic charting. It was posited around a 50% probability that price would reach 53.16.

Using $UWT as a primary trading instrument against $USOIL (where we represent our algorithm), our lead trader went long at 24.10, 1000 shares. There was slight lift over the support width, with evidence of a price action moving towards one of the primary algo targets in the afternoon.

Oil output being cut, a couple of trade and environmental agreements in the works. General sentiment is to wait until the US presidential inauguration. Not really anything impressive in terms of price actions, but algo targets are still on mark pending re-calculations.

Given these geo-indicators, our lead trader entered a hold.

18
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Wed Jan 18 $REXX $CLCD $DCTH – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $REXX $CLCD $DCTH – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Per previous;

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Watching our swing plays close now for entries around the inauguration.

Per previous;

My general bias (as a trader – not algo math) is for the market to be somewhat flat or deflate prior to Jan 20 inauguration, Gold and Silver to get further lift but back off between Wednesday afternoon and Monday. After the inauguration my bias is toward Gold and Silver getting punished when the Trump train gets moving again (no telling if this will be days or weeks or even a few short months). But I do think Trump will crush Gold, Silver etc and the $VIX at some point. The $VIX I will be watching close. Oil I think has headwinds. Natural Gas I am continuing to watch. Smaller Gold / Silver / Oil companies and Shippers / Greece I am watching very close also. But of course with Brexit in the news, the OPEC situation and inauguration I am going to stay very nimble and likely trade volatility and Gold related most of the week.

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $REXX $CLCD $DCTH 

Gap: $CLCD $JAZZ $ASML $GIMO $TGT $PSO $APRI $ETRM $CCJ $CSX $REXX

7am
Mortgage Apps

8:30
Consumer Index

8:55
Chain Store Sales

9:15
Indus Production

10a
Housing Index

2p
Beige Book

4p
Treasury Cap

10:00
Fed’s Kashkari speaks

3:00 PM
Janet Yellen speaks

Upcoming #earnings – $GS $C $CSX $USB $UAL $FAST $ASML $AMTD $IBKR $NTRS $ADTN $SCHW $CBSH $PNFP $HBHC $LLTC $CTBI http://eps.sh/cal

$GNVC on watch today; presents 10:50am @ Phacilitate Cell & Gene Therapy World 2017

Lilly to buy CoLucid for $960M in cash http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235682-lilly-buy-colucid-960m-cash?source=feed_f … #premarket $LLY $CLCD

Wal-Mart falls after Target cuts profit guidance http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235684-wal-mart-falls-target-cuts-profit-guidance?source=feed_f … #premarket $WMT

$APRI
Apricus Biosciences Announces Approval of Vitaros For Treatment Of Erectile Dysfunction, Will Launch In Mexico & Argentina In Q2

TomTom acquires Autonomos http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235689-tomtom-acquires-autonomos?source=feed_f … #premarket $TMOAF

Deckers Outdoor +2% after Buckingham upgrade http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235690-deckers-outdoor-plus-2-percent-buckingham-upgrade?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $DECK

$DIS BMO Capital Downgrades Walt Disney to Underperform, Lowers Target to $88.00

Credit Suisse positive on JWN, downgrades for JCP and KSS http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235696-credit-suisse-positive-jwn-downgrades-jcp-kss?source=feed_f … #premarket $JWN $JCP $KSS

Freeport McMoran reaches settlement on uranium mine cleanup http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235700-freeport-mcmoran-reaches-settlement-uranium-mine-cleanup?source=feed_f … #premarket $FCX

Citi latest to top bottom line numbers; market yawns http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235720-citi-latest-top-bottom-line-numbers-market-yawns?source=feed_f … #premarket $C

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $CLCD 32%, $APRI 28%, $REXX 20%, $SHLO 15%, $TBIO $CRNT $JAZZ $DWT $ASML $MHG $SCO $LFC $JDST $SBGL $QGEN $BTI $F

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Novagold $NG, $ESEA, $DRYS, $TRCH, $GREK and $BLPH $OVAS $HLF $FSLR $INFI are on my watchlist.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $MCK $TRU $JWN $EDU $DECK $SALT as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  $VRSK $EFX $KSS $JCP $BURL $DIS $TIF $GSBD $FTAI $ADHD $XLNX $DCP $DYN $IHG $DPM $VWR $RAI $DIS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $REXX $CLCD $DCTH , $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

18
Jan 2017
$TRCH Swing Trade

Weekly Swing Trade Member Update Jan 18, 2017

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16,

Weekly Swing Trade Member Update Jan 18, 2017

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Below only one new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. It’s $TRCH and it’s a doozie!

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Google $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

18
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Wed Jan 18 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Wed Jan 18 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

$VIX is trading within lower range still so this is just a quick chart update with Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intra-day! As soon as we get movement we will provide members with algorithmic modeling charts for targets in the move.

$VIX Trading Observations:

$VIX Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/77vGVfie-VIX-Fibonacci-levels-our-traders-are-watching-intraday-Jan-18/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday Jan 18

 

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

18
Jan 2017
$SPY, Chart, Algo

S&P 500 $SPY Member Trading Chart Updates Wed Jan 18 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

S&P 500 $SPY Member Trading Chart Updates Wed Jan 18 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

Notices:

Just a quick chart update and live chart link as price is still trading within previous range. When the range changes we will update you with all new algorithmic model charting and targets for the trend.

$SPY Trading Observations:

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/6Fbs5oTc-S-P-500-SPY-Support-Resistance-Fib-Algo-Quadrants-Calcs-Wed-Jan/

Support and Resistance Lines and Fibonacci Levels Based on Algorithmic Modeling Available

Below is the 30 min chart our traders have prepared based on algorithmic calculations using Fibonacci to prepare for trade this week. If trade gets upward or lower momentum and price reacts to these levels use the levels – if not, do not. Trade the range in the quadrants and between Fibonacci lines until trend changes.

$SPY, Chart, Algo

S&P 500 $SPY Support Resistance Fib Algo Quadrants Calcs Wed Jan 18 252 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

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