My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM  – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

A quick rabbit trail… Terms of Use: Be sure to review the rules of the chatroom and our disclosure statement. We take these seriously. If you are following our trades (entering when we do and exiting when we do) then you are NOT in keeping with the spirit of our relationship. For example, I don’t follow Mathew in and out of every trade. I share with and learn from him and other considerable traders in our room. But I never follow in and out of trades. That is not the purpose, spirit, mission, etc… I am not a “stick a quarter in and out pops success bot”. If you are looking for that go to a different trading room. I cannot recommend you buy a stock, I am not a registered investment professional and you need your own trading plan. You are given the opportunity to watch how systematic traders execute a process. That is it. You can learn and share and develop your own trading plan. The algorithmic modeling / charts should be more than enough to assist a trader with a trading plan for that specific instrument. Many trading rooms don’t even share a chart let alone sophisticated modeling and reports. On the first occasion we likely won’t ban misuse, but we will ban misuse very quickly. We choose to do this because we love what we do and would like to share what we know and further democratize algorithmic modeling that would otherwise not be available to the public. This is about developing something of use, supporting each other and sharing in that process. Fall down as often as you like, and I’ll help you up, ask for help and I will help and I will never stop doing that, but you better be ready to get back in there. No diapers changed here – no crying – this isn’t grade school. Fair? Okay, now on to winning.

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Day 2 of two week double account challenge video recap:

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$URRE, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM

Twitter lowered to Hold at Pivotal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234884-twitter-lowered-hold-pivotal?source=feed_f … #premarket $TWTR

Callaway Golf acquires lifestyle brand OGIO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234872-callaway-golf-acquires-lifestyle-brand-ogio?source=feed_f … #premarket $ELY

KB Home turns lower post-earnings; Evercore downgrades http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234871-kb-home-turns-lower-post-earnings-evercore-downgrades?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH

BioLife Solutions sees 2016 top line up 24%; shares ahead 4% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234858-biolife-solutions-sees-2016-top-line-24-percent-shares-ahead-4-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $BLFS 

Canaccord cools on V.F. Corp http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234867-canaccord-cools-v-f-corp?source=feed_f … #premarket $VFC

FDA rejects TESARO’s marketing application for rolapitant IV; shares ease 3% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234875-fda-rejects-tesaros-marketing-application-rolapitant-iv-shares-ease-3-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $TSRO

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HSGX 37%, $RNVA 25%, $JNUG 9%, $NUGT 8%, $KGC $NJR $MPEL $AU $URRE $GOLD $GFI $SHIP $HMY $UGAZ $ABX $UWT $GDXJ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $TYPE $TRGP $ENLK $NGL $ETE $HEP $PII $MRK $GLOB $TEL $FAST $HII $CNI $CCJ $ABC $CAFD $RHT $BKD $FLR $VVC $CHH $KN $HII as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $NMRX $KBH $GATX $NSIT $ESL $NOC $AKS $STLD $X $DIS $TWTR $CRM $IPG $DISCA $ADBE $CBS $KALU $SC $VEEV $THG $ACM $AIV $HOV $WLH $VFC $GATX $MIXT $SWKS $OKE $SWX $ENLC $VLO $OGS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Thursday Jan 12, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday Jan 12, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/f8rbIkUk-Crude-algo-intra-work-sheet-325-AM-Jan-10-FX-USOIL-WTIC-OIL/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.28 at 3:25 AM ET Jan 12, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

The trading price of oil has fallen out to downside of upward trending channel. This is bearish, however, it seems geo is moderately bullish. Your trading ranges / indicators are marked on chart below. Trade between your margins. Long at supports and short at resistance. Arrows: Yellow – algo targets (although not currently in play – recalculating with recent price action). Aqua blue – red dotted algo trend-lines (same status as algo targets until updates). White – significant support and resistance. Orange – blue diagonal trend-lines. Light blue – quadrants (light dotted white lines).

EPIC, OIL< ALGO, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 325 AM Jan 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

As warned, the price has dropped out of the channel – trade the ranges per above.

Per yesterday;

The trading range is still intact, however, BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS OIL IS TRADING VERY NEAR KEY RESISTANCE, THE OUTSIDE OF THE UPWARD TRENDING CHANNEL AND THE END OF NUMEROUS TIME PRICE CYCLES.

Per Previous;

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely as we say in Monday trade.

Per previous;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Chart below shows what happened when 20 MA was lost in Monday trade. Previous reports have examined other MA’s for buy and sell triggers FYI.

Per previous;

With the trading price of oil up at key resistance the 20 MA has been challenged more and more. Red arrow below shows an example of what can occur when 20 MA lost with crude oil. As of time of writing 20 MA intact.

Crude oil, 20 MA, Chart

20 MA vs price. Crude algo intra work sheet 442 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

 

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Per warning in recent reports;

Between now and Jan 15 there are a series (cluster) of time price cycles terminating – so much that we see a significant move in the price of crude oil either up or down very soon. Any moment.

New time / price cycle calculations are underway and will take a day or two analyzing intraday trade now that price is outside of the upward trending channel.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

THE TARGETS BELOW ARE NOW VOID – as explained above it will take a few days of calculating to reset algorithm with new targets and trading ranges.

Per yesterday warning;

The targets below are VERY LIKELY to change as we are expecting a volatile move in oil within days (before Jan 15, 2017). WE WILL UPDATE MEMBERS WHEN THIS OCCURS.

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 53.07 (53%), 55.75 (24%), 57.01 (3%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 53.20 (41%), 55.95 (21%), 57.23 (1%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 53.62 (15%), 56.52 (9%), 57.81 (0.5%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

For now, trade the ranges described above and new algorithmic modeling will be out in the next few days.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 11, 2017 – $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE –  $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Official Launch: Three days down and on to day four! This Monday was our official launch! We’re out of beta phase and all algorithms published. If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

So much happening this week I can’t possibly review every trade. Watch videos as Sartaj releases them for detailed account. I was in $URRE, $TCCO and more.

We’re winning.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Top Gainers
FFHL 3.72 103.28% 665139 Top Gainers
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Top Gainers
URRE 3.19 41.78% 25526100 Top Gainers
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Top Gainers
ENPH 1.44 27.43% 3776300 Top Gainers
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 New High
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 New High
KRNT 16.80 20.43% 1760600 New High
DNN 0.78 13.04% 5179200 New High
WOOF 90.90 0.08% 6896700 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Unusual Volume
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Unusual Volume
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Unusual Volume
ABE 11.50 0.79% 314200 Unusual Volume
AEG 5.58 2.01% 1691900 Upgrades
ISRG 678.16 2.41% 631900 Earnings Before
MDSY 1.02 -0.97% 156600 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $URRE, $TCCO

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:00 am Curtis M : Gainers: $DSCI 40%25, $BIOC 35%25, $TGTX 10%25, $AKAO 8%25, $ARWR 6%25, $UEC $URRE $GSS $RAD $MRK….. $UGAZ jiggy as with airlines.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

Sartaj buy / sell alerts below are for Curtis.

09:22 am Curtis M : $KBH reports aft close
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $BIOC explosion. Think this will be the daily runner
09:25 am Curtis M : $BIOC +45$DSCI +40$ENPH +18$TGTX +12$SGMO +9$AKAO +8$ETRM -19$NVDQ -18$TRCO -16$IMUC -14$GNVC -9$XGTI -9$ROKA$BRG
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $GNVC also watching close
09:34 am darnel p : $BMY long
09:35 am MarketMaven M : $GNVC shorting
09:36 am Sartaj Hundal : $BIOC LONG 1000 SHARES 3.16
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Dumpster diving some $USLV here
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : That charting bot isn’t bad at all
09:40 am Curtis M : Stoppd $BIOC 2.95 loss 1000 shares
09:42 am Curtis M : That $BIOC stop I had sent over mic far before text in case anyone wondering
09:42 am Curtis M : I think its like minus 500 here outside
09:43 am Curtis M : Mathew Im lost – any ideas? Mic or on text fine lol
09:44 am Curtis M : $URRE wow I was in that ha
09:48 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat
09:48 am Curtis M : $BRG halt
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF red/green showing some strength
09:53 am Curtis M : $TECK what a champ
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Seriously strong
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Feels like the big morning moves only last 15′ today instead on the usual 30-45 but I could be proven wrong
09:55 am Curtis M : $BIOC going on to 3x float ha
09:56 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.13
09:59 am Curtis M : Going to hold 1000 shares $URRE through wash-out veyr likely because small order then rehit it
10:00 am Curtis M : Gold downdraft
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp gold is getting smoked right now
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Ramping usd/jpy like it’s going out of style
10:02 am Curtis M : Funny Gold touched exactly Rosie resistance and backed off – good algo
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Trimming some $MIRN here at 2.15 from 2. the other day
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Will keep a portion as a runner with a trialing stop
10:12 am Mathew Waterfall : $OLN trim/trail here. Watching $ON with stop raised as well
10:19 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.05
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF jan20 10c’s out half at .26 from .13. Keeping half for the run with a stop at entry
10:25 am Cara R : Long $ONTX
10:26 am Sartaj Hundal : Bit of mic echo, Curt
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Just a bit better
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Try option B
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Yes
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Oil didn’t seem to like the pre numbers there lol downdraft right before the report
10:32 am Sartaj Hundal : Looks like a lot of people are exiting their positions in anticipation of the Trump speech
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE OUT 1000 SHARES 3.33
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : CORRECTION 2000
10:43 am Rob D : too bad no oil trades today nice crude pop
10:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Gonna run some scans and get ready for this speach. Back in a few
10:45 am Curtis M : Im not trading that cluster f
10:57 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 3000 SHARES 3.86
10:59 am Dan Clarke : $urre long 6000 shares 3.84
11:01 am Curtis M : Thanks Dan appreciate the help
11:10 am Curtis M : going for coffee back in 15 min stops set in $URRE but doesn’t matter cause its going to 8.00
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX at some important levels here. Waiting for it to firm before I think about adding
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : And just like that lol
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF fire
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT rampage. Let’s go bonds next week 124’s need some juice
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a portion of $JNUG 8.5 from 8.11 looking for some pull
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF stop hit on common 9.77 from 9.0X. Still holding half the 10c’s
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $SLV watching for 16 level. Important here
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking for a pullback in gold and silver here. Not sure if we get it but I expect this pop to keep fading
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Right on time. Will look at $JNUG and $USLV around LOD
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : /ES run waek, I expect another short run or liquidation break
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : *weak
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Small order $JNUG 7.99 entry. Expect more weakness would be surprised if up from here
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX defending 22.1 as expected. Was hoping for a quick flush to lows
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $USLV 12.86 again starter. Metals showing more strength here than I planned on but still think we are more likely to see a dump than a rocket from here
12:10 pm Curtis M : Long $URRE 6000 3.38
12:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CBMX pull. I’ll grab a few shares to join ya there Curt
12:38 pm Tyler H : $OPGN HOD
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPX flush, metals bounce. $CLF holding strong and $AKS looking well. I guess we have our roatation for the time being
12:49 pm Curtis M : Assets compressed – pop coming market wide imo – looking at $VIX
12:50 pm Curtis M : PPT has to be on high watch next 9 days
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SLV HOD
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : I agree with compression, I’m not so sure about a pop up here though
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels heavy to me
12:51 pm Curtis M : pop or drop ya either way lol
12:51 pm Curtis M : $SLV I missed was going to enter yesterday
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been playing that through $USLV. Working well
12:52 pm Flash G : in $MYOS small
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will actually look for $USLV exit here. Still looking for a pull. Would reenter $USLV on $SLV clear and backtest of 16 or retest of LOD. I’m not in love with this range that we’re in
12:54 pm greg l : $TLT holding up excellent
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp Greg I’m a huge bond bull right now.
12:56 pm Michael P : $SNX 52 week highs
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : 12.86 to 13.15 on $USLV
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking for reentry across the metals and miners trying not to be blinded by my bias here and hold all day
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out $JNUG as well
12:58 pm Curtis M : %JNUG jig
12:58 pm Curtis M : $JNUG flashed on scanner – wierd action there
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea, couldn’t make a new high there though, either could $GDX which makes me think we go south
12:59 pm Curtis M : Heavy Res on seck for Gold
12:59 pm Curtis M : $OPGN tank
12:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy flush as well though. Assume it gets bought up we’ll see
01:01 pm Curtis M : Going to likely scap $TVIX $UVXY between now and Wed next week – we’ll see if thesis holds water
01:02 pm Curtis M : Gold res
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like that play. Should see plenty of vol in the coming weeks
01:03 pm Curtis M : If anyone in crude it is at apex of quadrant on daily which translates as serious resistance
01:04 pm Curtis M : If $USOIL gest thru apex next res is at 52.80
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well crap, wring about that metals and miners pullback
01:04 pm Curtis M : Gold thru symmetry res and at top of algo quadrant and fib res just above
01:07 pm Curtis M : If Gold gets thru here that is very bullish on back test or continuation – thesis for lift until next Tues Wed ish may play out
01:07 pm Curtis M : It sure looks angry
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea it doesnt and usd/jpy has no parachute
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Karoda will come along shortly I’m sure
01:08 pm Curtis M : Abe knows Trump angry too bahahaha
01:08 pm Curtis M : Kuroda yeah lol
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha couldn’t remember how to spell his name
01:09 pm Curtis M : Trump gonna have a goon squad – they all lawyered up today haha
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : He’s a smart guy, let the lawyer do the talking
01:09 pm Curtis M : oh my here goes Gold
01:09 pm Dan Clarke : Except Tillerson
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : WOW. $GDX major r/g move
01:09 pm Curtis M : Thesis in good order
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tillerson doesn’t care, he got a fat payout from $XOM
01:10 pm Curtis M : My $URRE ugh fark … kick truck
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just needed a Trump nuke comment to give it a push
01:11 pm Curtis M : lol
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT Jan20 124’s now over a 3 bagger
01:16 pm Curtis M : Yup Im actually holding
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : $TVIX LONG 7.07 1000 SHARES
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : oKAY
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Sounds good
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Will do
01:23 pm Curtis M : Not picking the right spots today jeez paying dues lol – u never stop paying entry
01:27 pm Curtis M : Wow Gold bounced off the top of that quad
01:28 pm Curtis M : This could get snakyyyy
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea that thing is scary strong. And I am now looking for reentry
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY bouncing off of lower band here
01:30 pm Curtis M : wow
01:30 pm Curtis M : I was thinking Silver would be better but it hasnt cleared res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nope. Still watching my $SLV levels and just sitting right under the 16 res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking for a backtest of 22.52-22.55 on $GDX. Not chasing right now
01:31 pm Curtis M : Silver gets up over 16.90 its gone
01:32 pm Curtis M : I might clear outta VIX play and go Gold or Silver snipes
01:33 pm Curtis M : $SPY sup 225.40
01:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : Be right back
01:36 pm Curtis M : You may not be able to see it on your monitor but there is a white dotted lne that green arrow is pinting too – $SPY is using that for drection / support intra
01:37 pm Curtis M : $SPY has a Fib res coming overhead
01:37 pm Curtis M : Thanks Sartaj enjoy lunch take your time
01:38 pm Curtis M : $SPY res here
01:43 pm Sartaj Hundal : Back for room alerts. Thanks
01:44 pm Curtis M : The trade that turns in to a swing lol fark
01:46 pm Curtis M : Quick lunch – its calm if you got “stuff” go at it u dont ned to be in here ts super slowww
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea this is kind of boring. Rule number 1-Don’t trade out of boredom. Easy way to get chopped up and lose money. Preserve capital over everything else
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds simple but somethng many newer traders don’t fully grasp, I know I didn’t
02:01 pm Cara R : truth there
02:01 pm Curtis M : $GDX price target – possible
02:01 pm Curtis M : White arrow
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX trapped between the 9 and the 15 on the 5′. aSqueeze play
02:02 pm Curtis M : yup
02:03 pm Curtis M : Had someone just ask me why I allow some trades to become swings – I always have a plan or I would never do that – a plan going in critical
02:03 pm Curtis M : for example TVIX I will cut there is no plan beyond a trade ever
02:04 pm Curtis M : $URRE $CBMX $JUNO all have a plan
02:05 pm Curtis M : $TVIX there is no hold plan beyond 3 or 4 days max that can make sense – even one day is tight
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Holding a levered Vix product is suicide
02:07 pm Curtis M : $JUNO I know what the plans for the company are – its undervalued. $URRE is a psychology play with a 6.67 PT and over shoot of 8 possible. And $CBMX has a nature. It spikes.
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : You need such an outsized move to get profits over any medium-long duration
02:07 pm Jack D : Thank you guys I was wondering too.
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : By that I mean a couple days max though I don’t even like holding ON
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:09 pm Curtis M : Fundamental 101 stufff but peeps need to kow – had someone admot to having no plan when coming in to room just following my trades – uh…. nope that happens and banned – one warning – you have to have a plan we can’t be responsible for your losses
02:10 pm Curtis M : If your a new trader and you don’t know how to develop a trade plan you have to know before trading real money – no ifs
02:12 pm Curtis M : out TVIX 6.89
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice wedge in $GDX. May make a stab here
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG small 8.58 against .48 stop
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : well that was quick lol no dice
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here’s my $GDX backtest I was expecting. Do or die
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like the respnse so far so I’m legging back in to $JNUG slowly
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice call out of $MYOS flash. Thing is a ripper
02:25 pm Curtis M : ripper lol love that term
02:28 pm Curtis M : $SPY halt
02:28 pm Curtis M : Flash got skill
02:28 pm Curtis M : Trading view charts lol
02:31 pm Curtis M : Watching $MYOS and $SPU on my other monitor sorry cant get it in here
02:32 pm Curtis M : Unless Mat you can get $MYOS in here – dont worry about it tho if busy
02:37 pm greg l : In some $MDGS
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry don’t have a free screen for that
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m down to two this week with computer issues
02:44 pm Curtis M : hey no prob lol
02:44 pm Curtis M : wow market rockin in some areas now scanners flashing everywhere
02:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I’m surprised after the lul we had this morning.
02:49 pm darnel p : $FFHL long here
02:52 pm Curtis M : Long $FFHL
02:53 pm Curtis M : Scaling in hard
02:54 pm Curtis M : Blocks of 1000 255 258 and 5000 average 259
02:54 pm Curtis M : Sartaj Ill confirm fills later
02:58 pm Curtis M : So Sartaj Im holding 7000 $FFHL and Ill have to wait until TD report after midnight for fills or call them in a bit
03:01 pm Curtis M : $MYOS could really gap in morning folks
03:02 pm Curtis M : Sorry $FFHL I mean
03:10 pm Curtis M : FFHL scaling out 7000
03:10 pm Curtis M : Looks like average 3.98 Sartaj will confirm
03:11 pm Curtis M : Free version $FFHL on tradingview works lol
03:12 pm Curtis M : But not pro
03:12 pm Curtis M : Gong to have to reset systems toight with alternate for broadcasting
03:13 pm Curtis M : Free chart delayed tho
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Guess they don’t want you to spend any money with them
03:16 pm Curtis M : Strangest thing – oh well I’ll set alternate monitors to another back up service tonight for tomorrow
03:17 pm Curtis M : TD fills on these low floats wow complicated and not clear at all and the cue seems fd
03:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was seeing a crazy spread on $FFHL so I didn’t pull the trigger
03:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m likely done for the day here. Watching the close in metals and miners as usual. No late momo plays as I don’t feel like donating any money this late in the day
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MYOS/e19qbtDa-myos-one-day-one-minute/
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FFHL/AJ5gT2Xc-FFHL-One-Day-One-Minute/
03:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TCCO/2ywwOkRr-tcco-one-minute/
03:38 pm Curtis M : Long $TCCO
03:39 pm Curtis M : 3.14 small scaliing in 500
03:39 pm Curtis M : having fill issues again
03:41 pm Curtis M : L2 on $TCCO is my catalyst for HOD EOD buy – so just small
03:42 pm Curtis M : $URRE holding tilil next Wed if I have too
03:44 pm Curtis M : $$GEVO Form SC 13C
03:50 pm Curtis M : $TCCO adding small again here 500
03:54 pm Curtis M : 2.80 sorry sartaj
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Would like a close over .53 here in $GDX. Would be very bullish IMO
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : North of .4 is fine though
03:56 pm Curtis M : I just discovered this fancy internet I have that’s lke 4 x cost may be chart prob
03:57 pm Curtis M : $GDX is not broken – nowhere near – bull imo
03:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp agreed.
04:00 pm greg l : peace kiddos
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not bad. Hope everyone killed it today. Back at it in the AM for more
04:00 pm Curtis M : Thanks for the help Mat Sartaj and others!
04:00 pm Curtis M : yup
04:00 pm Curtis M : night

Article Topics:  $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

 

 


My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter..

Notices:

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM

Pluristem gains premarket as FDA OKs trial for critical limb ischemia therapy.

Ascena Retail’s stock plunges 19% premarket after earnings outlook slashed.

DexCom sees 2016 top line up 42% to $570M.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $GNVC 41%, $DFFN 21%, $XGTI 21%, $ROKA 18%, $ETRM 15%, $NSPR $ILMN $MSTX $VRX $UGAZ $CUDA $VICL $ARRY $VALE $RIO

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

$ETRM, Trading, Results

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Overview

Morning Momentum

First win of the day: morning momentum play on $ETRM

Intraday Scalping

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:18 am   Mathew Waterfall : Back at it and ready to rock. in some $NUGT premarket and looking to close a protion of my $TLT Jan20 124 calls. Entered those at .13. Will look for exit on half this morning
09:19 am   Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT is small size at 9.91 to see what direction we get off the open. Will add depending on price action
09:27 am   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL within range of outside channel
09:28 am   Curtis M : $ETRM
09:31 am   Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ETRM 11.90 1000 SHARES
09:32 am   Mathew Waterfall : Out half $TLT Jan20 124’s at .45 from .13
09:32 am   Sartaj Hundal : OUT $ETRM 12.10 1000 SHARES
09:33 am   Mathew Waterfall : Think this goes higher but easy winner there and riding rest for free
09:36 am   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL in outside channel
09:37 am   Mathew Waterfall : out $NUGT. Small loss. Will revisit. Price action was horrible off the open
09:41 am   Mathew Waterfall : $BCEI another gapper. looking for a pull to enter
09:44 am   MarketMaven M : $BIOC ready
09:48 am   Mathew Waterfall : $MIRN for a swing. Trailing stop to ride 15 day on the way up. This will be a grinder
09:48 am   John M : $CVM expanding volume
09:55 am   Mathew Waterfall : $CTXS short cover. Cover at 90.17 from 91.25. Wanted to get it off the screen, not a great win but still a win
10:00 am   Sartaj Hundal : There is a stat holiday in Japan right now
10:06 am   Curtis M : 3000 shares $JNUG 7.967 avg long
10:11 am   Cara R : In some $CLF
10:13 am   Flash G : $CYBE 52 week highs
10:18 am   Flash G : $BIOS poppin
10:19 am   OILK K : $NG and $CL moving in unison
10:21 am   Mathew Waterfall : Back in $NUGT 9.39
10:23 am   Curtis M : Out $JNUG 3000 avg 7.99
10:24 am   Mathew Waterfall : I’m stopped out at LOD. Not super confident here in the miners
10:27 am   david z : $ARIA 500k block
10:28 am   Michael P : $NLNK jiggy
10:30 am   david z : $NFLX HOD
10:32 am   Mathew Waterfall : Not really in love with much right here. Might be mid morning lul or might be some rotation
10:37 am   Mathew Waterfall : And just like that $NUGT is back on the upswing
10:44 am   david z : 16.50 res $ETRM
11:22 am   OILK K : $EXEL HOD
11:23 am   Mathew Waterfall : Not much jumping out at me here. Looks like a lot of names pulling back a bit. $USLV getting some lift so I’ll trim a bit from adds last week
11:52 am   Curtis M : Long $ETRM 1000 shares
11:52 am   Curtis M : 17.00
11:54 am   Curtis M : Long $ETRM 3000 17.12
12:03 pm   Curtis M : Out 3000 18.04 1000 18.08
12:25 pm   Curtis M : $EGLT Halt news pending
12:25 pm   Mathew Waterfall : hearing drug approval
12:27 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Weird that the news was already out and now the halt
12:34 pm   greg l : $CF
12:36 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Trying to find an unhlat time for $EGLT. no luck
12:37 pm   Flash G : $ROKA jiggy!
12:38 pm   Curtis M : Benzinga released news b4 they were supposed to is the story I’m getting – or somehing lke that
12:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : That makes sense. No wonder news came out then it was halted
12:41 pm   Curtis M : Oils in trouble – they’ll need an intervention or its down
12:41 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Should see unhalf at 12:54 in $EGLT assuming the standard 30′ applies. Thought it might be quicker with the early news issues
12:56 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.69 3000 SHARES
01:10 pm   Flash G : $BCEI looking better today.
01:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : (01:16 pm) Sartaj Hundal: $ETRM LONG 17.83 1000 SHARES
01:18 pm   Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ETRM 17.93 3000 SHARES
01:21 pm   Mathew Waterfall : No clue what’s going on with $EGLT. hasn’t reached t2 status and we went right on by th 30′ mark for the half. Keeping an eye on it
01:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Looking for $JNUG entry here
01:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Watching to see if it makes a higher low and I will lag in
01:39 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Juniors look to be the play here. Starting small
01:46 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM 4000 SHARES 17.64
01:46 pm   Sartaj Hundal : SOLD
01:46 pm   Mathew Waterfall : In some $JNUG here at 8.66. Feels like chasing so small size. Playing for gap up into tomorrow on continued dollar weakness
01:52 pm   greg l : Block trades $ARIA
01:56 pm   Flash G : Mu $AAPL long hold is doing well – looks great for 2017 imo
02:00 pm   Curtis M : $BIOC in to the gap w unusual vol
02:02 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL Crossing 52.25
02:05 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1.81 3000 SHARES
02:14 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $URRE OUT 1.81 3000 SHARES
02:14 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 18.09 3000 SHARES
02:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 18.72 3000 SHARES
02:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : CORRECTION: 18.69
02:18 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Bull miners flow wiht some $AUY calls being hit
02:18 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $etrm long 18.84 3000 shares
02:19 pm   Sartaj Hundal : Correction: 18.70. Live alert was 18.84. Note to self: consider fills
02:20 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 19.02 6000 SHARES
02:23 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM out 19.13 9000 SHARes
02:40 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.63 3000 SHARES
02:48 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 17.91 3000 SHARES
03:02 pm   Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG add at 8.54 on that smack down. Still not even half size here
03:04 pm   Curtis M : $EGLT resumes 3:20 PM
03:06 pm   Curtis M : $DFFN $NSPR $WPCS money bags from $ETRM they say
03:08 pm   darnel p : $NVAX breaking out guys
03:11 pm   Sartaj Hundal : 20-30 minute run near EOD, maybe
03:11 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.71 AVG 1000 SHARES
03:21 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 17.75 1000 SHARES
03:31 pm   John M : $ARIA blocks continue
03:32 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Horrible close for the miners here. $GDX over .20 and I’m still bullish
03:44 pm   Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy getting smashed right here. I like that
03:45 pm   Sartaj Hundal : Stat holiday in Japan

 


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV


Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: The last number of posts  have been warning of an imminent price decision – it came today – more information below.

Per previous – There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days! And see below a very important diagonal trend-line resistance is on deck also!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/FHlK0G4T-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Oil-Chart-Member-Edition-FX-USOIL-WTIC/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.16 at 414 AM ET Jan 10, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Crude has fallen outside of the uptrend channel and in overnight trade has bounced off a horizontal support. While we recalculate based on new trading price action do your best to ignore the varoius Fibonacci levels etc on these charts and focus on the main support and resistance areas (yellow lines and blue diagonal trendlines) and trade against those margins (white arrows). More specific algorithmic modeling to follow over the next few days.

$USOIL, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 414 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

As mentioned above and warned, the price has dropped out of the channel – trade the ranges per above.

Per yesterday;

The trading range is still intact, however, BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS OIL IS TRADING VERY NEAR KEY RESISTANCE, THE OUTSIDE OF THE UPWARD TRENDING CHANNEL AND THE END OF NUMEROUS TIME PRICE CYCLES.

Per Previous;

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely as we say in Monday trade.

Per previous;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Chart below shows what happened when 20 MA was lost in Monday trade. Previous reports have examined other MA’s for buy and sell triggers FYI.

Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 430 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

20 MA, $USOIL,, Chart

Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 430 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per previous;

With the trading price of oil up at key resistance the 20 MA has been challenged more and more. Red arrow below shows an example of what can occur when 20 MA lost with crude oil. As of time of writing 20 MA intact.

Crude oil, 20 MA, Chart

20 MA vs price. Crude algo intra work sheet 442 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so our fib charts may look at times more like mad science than anything.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

$USOIL, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 414 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Per warning in yesterday report;

Between now and Jan 15 there are a series (cluster) of time price cycles terminating – so much that we see a significant move in the price of crude oil either up or down very soon. Any moment.

New time / price cycle calculations are underway and will take a day or two analyzing intraday trade now that price is outside of the upward trending channel.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

THE TARGETS BELOW ARE NOW VOID – as explained above it will take a few days of calculating to reset algorithm with new targets and trading ranges.

Per yesterday warning;

The targets below are VERY LIKELY to change as we are expecting a volatile move in oil within days (before Jan 15, 2017). WE WILL UPDATE MEMBERS WHEN THIS OCCURS.

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 53.07 (53%), 55.75 (24%), 57.01 (3%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 53.20 (41%), 55.95 (21%), 57.23 (1%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 53.62 (15%), 56.52 (9%), 57.81 (0.5%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

For now, trade the ranges described above and new algorithmic modeling will be out in the next few days.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets


My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 9, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter below! You all have charting for regular trades I follow (sent overnight on email and/or on Compound Trading Twitter feed) so I won’t include below for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY, etc.

Notices:

Big week coming. Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday. All algorithms published for launch. Two week double account challenge live.

Monday is free room access first Monday each month. Join us for official launch?. https://compoundtrading.com #stockmarket #stocks #wallstreet

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS

$DNAI changes its corporate name to Sierra Oncology.
New ticker $SRRA

ER’s
$JPM $BAC $WFC $BLK $KBH $DAL

#JPM17
$CELG $AMGN $VRX $JUNO
$BLUE $KITE $ONCE $CLVS
$GILD $REGN $SGEN $BIIB
$BMRN $JAZZ $RDUS $HALO

ARIA aquired by Takeda for $24/sh. 5.2 billion deal

Mars to Acquire VCA Inc $WOOF for $9.1B

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:$MSTX 82%, $MACK 38%, $ARWR 14%, $BIOC 13% $EXAS 9% $CRNT $ABIL $ASM $JNUG $DRYS $NUGT $ZFGN $PTLA $NAK $DWT $DGAZ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $UNP $OAS $MPEL $AMP $NE $TRUE $VER $FMSA $NUE $ZEUS $DRQ $RS $RYI $ROK $DO $SJR $BRKS $WRE $SRCL $AMTD $RJF $CMI $KMI $KRG $LHO $TXN $CLX $IT $VALE $BCS $ST $JD $BIDU $VVC $DPS $KO $VIAB $NI $EHTH $NMBL $ETN $ITT $ROKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  $AXS $DTE $AHL $NLS $JBHT $BCE $WFT $MAIN $MRCC $FDUS $ACAT $EGRX $CXP $GPT $WHLR $RTEC $MANH $OFC $EGP $O $CDR $DEA $REG $IFF $SLG $SPG $RPAI $RPT $GGP $DLR $BXP $LMCA $ERIC $VMW $ETP $RCI $PM $SAM $PG $BCE $AIZ $VOYA $JNPR $PAAS $EXKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MSTX, $MACK, $ARWR, $BIOC, $EXAS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 9, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

This is Only an Intro Memo.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017. I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication. I will have this out to members within 48 hours. I apologize for the delay. I found myself deep in to the charting, financials and company technical dynamics of over fifty companies while doing my research for 2017 swing and investment trades – I didn’t expect to get that deep and involved in my research. But I did and that has caused a bit of delay.

I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

I am very encouraged getting back in to investing and swing trading this year – I have been on the sidelines for the better part of two years as the markets have been more sideways than up or down. But I see 2017 as a really strong investing and swing trading year.

So below I only share my top picks and will have complete swing and investment reports out within 48 hours and thereafter I will have weekly swing set-ups published like clock-work moving forward. In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

The Ten Securities I Am Going to Focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as Follows:

Google $GOOGL

Amazon $AMZN

Juno $JUNO

CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

OakTree Capital $OAK

VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

BOFI Holdings $BOFI

Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

US Silica Holdings $SLCA

EOG Resources $EOG

So if you could, bear with me for another 48 hours and I will have complete charting and due diligence out to our swing trade members and onward and upward for 2017!

Oh, and I should mention, I did receive a number of emails over Christmas and will be responding to them in conjunction with turning around my report here over the next couple days.

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX


Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 9 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Jan 9, 2017 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here.

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/FTSeGLEF-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX-NUGT-DUST-JDST/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Gold, Chart

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Trade Considerations to Increase Your Trading Edge

Below are the tight intrday trading ranges in Gold. Also there are three arrows pointing to intraday resistance. The yellow line being a symmetry resistance, the blue is a quadrant resistance and the green is an important Fibonacci extension resistance. The uptrend is intact if the white line is not breached and price stays above 1155 ish region.

Gold, Chart

Gold resistance. Symmetry, quadrant, fibonacci. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Quadrants. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

The math is locking in now on the miner’s.

$GDX, Chart

Quadrants. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Current trade quadrant. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

$GDX, Chart, Quadrant, Algo

Current trade quadrant. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG