Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Charting Calls and Live Stock Alerts for Tuesday March 21, 2017; $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $GC_F, $JNUG, $DUST  – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc 

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Per recent;

Weekly Simple Swing Trade Charting is out:

Overview and Summary Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

In play today in chat room; $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $GC_F, $JNUG, $DUST

$PULM was a decent runner on the day but I didn’t trade it because we were in $ESPR and watching the market movements. Some were cleaning up there risk and those type of things.

Our traders continue to do well with Natural Gas on the turn with $UGAZ and the Gold turn in $JNUG. I am still sitting in a small $DUST position that I will either add to or pivot to long Gold or miner’s in $JNUG or $NUGT if Gold confirms to upside – but it has been mostly sideways the last few months and Gold is struggling with the resistance identified by our algo some weeks back (long before Gold was anywhere near where it is).

$NAK is also on a turn here and our room has been all over it.

My morning momentum play was in $EPSR and it was a near perfectly executed trade. The video explains the chart indicators I use that got me out of the trade right on time very near the top – and there is video for it below. I got in because the market was weak but $ESPR had run the day before aggressively and in premarket it was aggressive coming in to the open. So I entered and sent an alert to our members right before open and added a few times and exited right before it turned back down. Awesome momentum trade – test book.

$ESPR Entered 44.52 premarket 1350 shares closed 934 47.63 Live on trading video with explanations will be in postmarket post for today.

$ESPR, Trading, Results

$ESPR Entered 44.52 premarket 1350 shares closed 934 47.63 Live on trading video with explanations will be in postmarket post for today. #daytrading

Premarket trading plan (member post) can be found here:

Premarket was all about: $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE

$ESPR was up about 7% but it wasn’t hitting a lot of the scanners in social etc but I was watching it because it ran the day before of course.

$PTIE was up 66% premarket so this and $HTBX were where most trader’s were focused when I looked around (we have most rooms on our monitors and social etc).

$HTBX was up 23% premarket on news also.

Through the evening and early morning in the algo lab I was tweeting a storm of tweets about how the market looked bearish and had been for a few days and sure enough Tuesday was the day. Nailed it to the day but we did know it was coming. Our $SPY algo nailed the interim top AGAIN and we were sending messages in our reporting to members on different services (even on these post market trading results posts). So we were more than ready.

Algorithmic Chart Modeling Reports / News:

The interesting thing I find about our algorithmic model charting is that they always keep us on top of not just trading ranges and the like but they have all been hitting the important turns like our Gold algo hitting the top last year and the most recent bottom turn, our dollar algo is all over it and our SPY algo had us ready for this top and on and on.Or even our oil algo, always nailing it. It has added an element to my trading that I couldn’t do without – becoming used to it for sure when originally I struggled with it (like anyone would I suppose).

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am Holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size to micro sizing) – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
PULM 3.88 39.57% 22785823 Top Gainers
VSR 1.55 37.17% 5287900 Top Gainers
SILC 46.74 20.74% 450800 Top Gainers
BBGI 11.50 14.20% 83800 Top Gainers
HOS 4.19 12.94% 2561000 Top Gainers
IDXG 2.45 11.36% 361423 Top Gainers
BBGI 11.50 14.20% 83800 New High
MESO 9.30 6.90% 89057 New High
SILC 46.74 20.74% 450800 New High
AQN 9.47 0.53% 159100 New High
FIZZ 78.86 0.24% 368278 Overbought
CLNT 2.65 -0.75% 42571 Overbought
VSR 1.55 37.17% 5287900 Unusual Volume
PTIE 0.99 45.59% 32934664 Unusual Volume
FLQD 27.40 -0.74% 50800 Unusual Volume
XRLV 29.45 -1.04% 1785700 Unusual Volume
BWXT 47.14 0.62% 1514900 Upgrades
ABUS 3.20 -4.48% 564112 Earnings Before
TSLA 250.68 -4.29% 6891700 Insider Buying

The markets to me look toppy (as I’ve noticed previous). So last weekend we produced some simple swing charting that keeps me level when looking at the markets (examples below). Simple charting I find grounds you to simple trades which in turn keeps you profitable in toppy or sideways markets. So I find the practice crucial even though our algorithmic modeling can cut up a chart on any time-frame and I can trade scalping like nobody’s business with them… but I have businesses etc and I can’t be a minute by minute trader (right now anyway). So keeping it simple helps me and many on our swing trading side of the platform really appreciate the simple view because they have day jobs or businesses etc.

The Markets Looking Forward:

This is one perspective of things possible going forward:

Swing Trading Reports / News:

The quarterly performance report link is above in the intro to this post – we have been killing and below are some of the recent simple swing trading charts.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

Results are in for Gold trading vote:

Silver $SLV:

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Volatility $VIX:

$SPY S&P 500:

$NG_F Natural Gas:

Natural gas on fire… I’ll try and get some time to start covering it more closely. On a side note we’re going to start covering emerging markets and USDJPY closer too soon hopefully.

Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):

 

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Also, times are Central Mountain below (we’re working on the fix now), so for New York ET time add two hours to all times. Also, most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Important note: There are a few pieces of the transcript missing from Tuesday. We’re learning that when there’s an interruption in service that we have to restart the room and reset transcripts and it is a bit cumbersome so we are thinking of trying a different service next week. We’ll get on the right platform and we’ll get the transcripts etc sorted.

There is a morning momentum trade that I did right before open and during open that has live voice broadcast that early traders would likely benefit from (with additional comments earlier in this post). I will try and get a detailed trade explanation video done (we’re in studio for 3 days this weekend doing nothing but educational videos – yes we booked 3 days wow).

6:50 AM
Compound Trading​Trading Plan Mar 21 $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $KALY, $USRM, $BLKG LINK: https://compoundtrading.com/premarket… PASSWORD: PRE0321

7:01 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​I will be traveling today again by 10:15 but I’ll still be in room on my phone.

7:07 AM MarketMaven M​ The $HTBX news is decent

7:08 AM MarketMaven M​ Nick’s nakity $NAK looks good

7:10 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​y a watching $NAK close

7:12 AM MarketMaven M​ Apple unveils new 9.7-inch iPad, (RED) edition iPhone 7 and 7 Plus

7:15 AM wintonresearch ​ha hey guys

7:15 AMCurtis Melonopoly ​long $ESPR 44.52

7:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​1/5 size tester 450 shares

7:17 AM MarketMaven M ​hey Nicholas

7:18 AM Flash G ​My swing trading list is solidly in play – looking at a few others too.

7:18 AM Flash G​ morning!

7:20 AM Mathew w ​metals on a ripper here right before open. looking like rampage mode will begin shortly

7:22 AM MarketMaven M ​$AXSM offering through Ladenburg

7:28 AM MarketMaven M​ $ESPR long 44.64 lol

7:31 AM MarketMaven M​ $ESPR whooo hoo oh lol maybe not

7:31 AM MarketMaven M ​come on

7:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$ESPR add 46.31 450

7:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ $ESPR lol

7:33 AM MarketMaven M ​Add 46.45

7:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​add 47.42 $ESPR

7:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​in 3 of 5 sizing

7:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​closed 1350 shares 47.63 nice win

7:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ out completely

7:35 AM MarketMaven M ​I’m still in

7:35 AM MarketMaven M​ opps now I’m out

7:36 AM MarketMaven M ​47.45

7:36 AM MarketMaven M ​nice trade curt

7:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​on the mic for that trade BTW forgot to mention

7:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ explanation on mic of why I exited where I did

7:38 AM MarketMaven M ​ya thanks curt caught that on speakers

7:43 AM MarketMaven M ​snap back entry?

7:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ $SCON on scanner but I don’t like the stock

7:46 AM Flash G ​Bonds on high alert here folks.

7:47 AM wintonresearch​ $SCON has been a penny stock for like 15 years

7:48 AM wintonresearch ​$URRE moving up again

7:48 AM wintonresearch ​i like it

7:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$HTBX approaching VWAP

7:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ $URRE going to go parabolic soon imo

7:50 AM wintonresearch ​i agree Curtis

7:54 AM wintonresearch​$ UGAZ continuing up

7:55 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$ESPR 42.68 lol

8:00 AM Flash G ​My $CMG swing doing well here but watching closely

8:04 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$BLKG almost half what I sold it for yesterday lol really entry soon maybe

8:04 AM MarketMaven M ​that’s almost sad lol

8:05 AM wintonresearch​ $JNUG perky

8:05 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ ya this could be the trend break our algos looking for here soon

8:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​if it ends up confirming I’ll flip long hard… but it keeps messing with resistance etc

8:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$GC_F I’m referring to

8:08 AM wintonresearch​ would like to see GDX:GLD above 0.2 for rally to be confirmed

8:08 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ see there it is at the algorithm line again (yellow)

8:09 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​Gold really sticks to the math it’s interesting. Back tested math.

8:10 AM MarketMaven M ​ya you’ve had that algo line on there for many months

8:10 AM MarketMaven M ​i think before Christmas

8:13 AM MarketMaven M ​$SNAP is my watch today now

8:13 AM MarketMaven M ​looks like a good long here soon

8:14 AM MarketMaven M​ up 2.8% and looking beastly

8:15 AM MarketMaven M ​It’s working on the third 5 min soldier as Curt calls em

8:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​probably a better EOD or early play tomorrow IMO

8:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ that last 5 min candle not the best at top there 20.50 range

8:16 AM MarketMaven M ​I see

8:17 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​but don’t let me discourage it

8:17 AM MarketMaven M ​ya I’ll watch it

8:19 AM Flash G ​$IBB is on a test of LOD

8:19 AM Scott Ryan ​gm

8:21 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​hey scott

8:21 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​Gold looks more real than it has in a while

8:22 AM MarketMaven M ​GM Scott!

8:22 AM Flash G​ $IBB wow could get interesting

8:23 AM wintonresearch​ $MUX a good play on both gold and silver

8:23 AM MarketMaven M ​Have never traded it

8:26 AM MarketMaven M ​The only reason I’m not going long miner’s is that stupid yellow algo line curt wtf lol

8:26 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ tell us how u really feel ?

8:27 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$SSH at 52 week lows so I may wack it hard for a test soon long

8:28 AM Flash G ​$ES_F looking sickly today

8:29 AM Flash G ​”Risk-off” feelings here

8:30 AM wintonresearch​ $URRE getting that look

8:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ looks like $STUDY time for me and some travel here soon. Bears are coming out to play I think.

8:32 AM wintonresearch​ speaking of weak SPY $FAZ chart looks strong

8:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​I’ll be in the room but travel prep time for me. and I’ll be in here while traveling FYI.

8:33 AM Flash G ​looks mucky for sure – we’ll see

8:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ you called it yesterday flash

There is missing transcript here… with an outage.

9:03 AM MarketMaven M ​$SGDH my micro play now entering here

9:04 AM MarketMaven M ​$SDGH

9:04 AM MarketMaven M ​pot

9:18 AM wintonresearch ​$FAZ

9:18 AM MarketMaven M ​time to btd?

9:18 AM MarketMaven M ​ya Nich

9:47 AM Flash G​ via @bespokeinvest Financials getting hit the most today by wide margin. Down 2.25%. Remaining sectors down 0.75%-1.25%. Utilities, Staples up on the day.

9:51 AM Scott Ryan ​trend days dont usually bounce … looking short
Inline image 1
9:58 AM Mathew w ​XLE actually decently strong here along with most of the miners, juniors seem to be lagging a bit

10:15 AM Flash G ​I’m watching with great interest

10:18 AM Mathew w ​Added to SWN and ECR swings. ECR avg 2.2 and SWN about 7.6. Looking late spring time frame on both of these

10:24 AM Flash G​ $SWN was on my watch – that looks really good $ECR I haven’t looked at yet.

10:25 AM Mathew w​ ECR similar play. Both in the ng space. I’m also in CRK as well. All 3 should see higher in coming weeks with nice set ups off of bottoms and hammers yesterday

10:32 AM Flash G ​I’ll have to look.

10:48 AM MarketMaven M ​$RGSE chatter about CEo buying shares

10:48 AM MarketMaven M​ Been watching the stock lately

11:07 AM MarketMaven M​.

11:13 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​had oil come off just a tad more I’d be long

11:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ gold anywhere near 1251 to 1256 I’m loading dust

11:37 AM MarketMaven M ​lololol

11:43 AM Mathew w ​loading dust for a reversal in gold? Man, with these currency moves that’

11:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$BEBE wrecked wow

11:43 AM Mathew w ​that’s a bold bet

11:43 AM Mathew w​ Im still just in a few juniors and SLW for e’s today but shorting here seems tough

11:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​loading is not totally committed ?

11:44 AM Mathew w​ fair enough.

11:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​long 5.07 $BEBE

11:51 AMCurtis Melonopoly​1 / 5 size 2800

11:51 AM MarketMaven M​holy risky man today

11:53 AM Chat disconnected. Please wait while we try to reconnect you.

11:53 AM Successfully connected.

11:53 AM MarketMaven M ​okay fine I will 1 / 10 size it haha 5.12 600

11:53 AM MarketMaven M​.

12:10 PM wintonresearch ​FAZ still rockin

There is 20 minutes missing here because of another outage.

12:32 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​sold be be small loss 4.80 .32 cents on 600 or 190.00 ish

12:33 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​$BEBE

12:41 PM MarketMaven M ​I’m back lol

12:41 PM Flash G ​Yup me also

12:46 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​sorry about the outage lol

12:49 PM Flash G ​I was just thinking about Gold

12:50 PM Flash G​ After looking at Curt’s comments

12:50 PM Flash G ​its been sideways pretty much for 2 months!

12:50 PM Curtis Melonopoly​ yup

12:54 PM MarketMaven M ​$ONCS HOD was watching this all day

12:54 PM MarketMaven M ​I see your point on Gold flash I’ve stayed out of it completely

12:54 PM MarketMaven M ​I couldn’t reconcile Trump and Gold trade and all that comes with it clearly

12:55 PM MarketMaven M ​I remember last year Curt’s DXY algo telling everyone it was going to break out and he people didn’t believe it and look what happened

12:57 PM Flash G​ Yes I recall and I also know that the algo has it in a quadrant Curt and I talked about – it’s still in play until it isn’t as far as the algo is concerned – its all a complicated play

1:09 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​Gold will be interesting if it gets up over resistance could be a huge trade

1:10 PM Flash G​ Seems to be a big if lately

1:10 PM Flash G ​Miners have been a difficult trade.

1:12 PM MarketMaven M​ $FUEL- Rocket Fuel Expands Partnership with IBM by Embedding Watson Cognitive Capabilities into Its Predictive Marketing Platform

1:14 PM MarketMaven M​ VRX NHOD

1:14 PM MarketMaven M ​$VRX – I’m in it I am going to win

1:32 PM MarketMaven M ​|Really liking the $SNAP set-up likely a long tomorrow if market settles down

1:35 PM MarketMaven M ​BLOCK TRADE: $NE 300,000 shares @ $5.80 [15:34:08]

1:38 PM MarketMaven M​ $HTBX strong EOD here – may be a good set-up for morning

1:42 PM Eric Lunianga ​Lovely day

1:43 PM Curtis Melonopoly​ $BLKG 20 now lol I sold at 55 yesterday crazzzy

1:45 PM MarketMaven M ​Hey Eric

1:45 PM MarketMaven M ​$BTCS off 60% lol

1:45 PM Eric Lunianga ​Hey man

1:45 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​Good day to you eric

1:45 PM Eric Lunianga ​Hey Curt

1:46 PM Flash G ​well that was quite a day

1:46 PM Flash G ​no trades but watching that was kinda fun

1:46 PM Eric Lunianga ​Indeed, let’s see it continue

1:46 PM Flash G ​tomorrow is the deciding up or down i suppose

1:47 PM Flash G ​lol no I’m long a bunch still but that can change and i’m green with 90% or more so ya either way works

1:47 PM Flash G​ but i do have some large plays but i can turn – I go both ways

1:48 PM Flash G​ Could be a good trade if we see a correction

1:48 PM Eric Lunianga ​good on you

1:48 PM MarketMaven M ​Curt and I made a lot of bank the last correction the last two actually or sorry I’ve traded three with him

1:49 PM MarketMaven M ​Curt hammers down hard in corrections lol mad man comes out

1:49 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​omg

1:49 PM Eric Lunianga ​you got him hard just thinking about it lol

1:50 PM Flash G ​I do recall

1:50 PM Flash G ​I was there Maven

1:50 PM Flash G ​the last one anyway

1:50 PM MarketMaven M​ correction = new house as he says

1:51 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​wow what a EOD convoy lol

1:51 PM Eric Lunianga​ makes sense

1:55 PM MarketMaven M ​well peeps

1:55 PM MarketMaven M ​shutting her down – here’s to a glass and a good nights sleep and maybe carnage tomorrow!

1:56 PM Flash G ​night Maven

1:56 PM Flash G ​I’m going to think long and hard in aftermarket whether to hold my positions or not

1:56 PM Flash G ​or I may just take some risk off

1:57 PM Curtis Melonopoly I’m 93% cash so no thought for me just watch

1:58 PM Flash G​ good position to be curt

1:59 PM Flash G ​$HTBX closing strong – not my thing but its a good close

1:59 PM Flash G​ Well have a good night y’all

1:59 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​ya u too flash

1:59 PM Curtis Melonopoly​ I’ll shut er down now cya eric

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

Article Topics: $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $GC_F, $JNUG, $DUST – $XOM, $NE, $ONTX, $DUST, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Mar 21, 2017 in Compound Trading Chat room; $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $KALY, $USRM, $BLKG  – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D7-c7e0aauE

Per previous;

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms and Daytrading Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing Charting Post (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI focus):

Results of Gold trade vote are in!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

Even though my holds are small in size I would like to start focusing on trading out of some of these, if not all.

All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.

Per recent;

$DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

No specific plan today, watching morning momentum stocks, some $OTC because they perked up yesterday $BLKG, $USRM, $KALY and primarily my swing trades because these have been hot for more all year.

Swing trades on watch for me today (some are same as from our swing trading platform side) are $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX and considering adding $LIT to the list. Also watching $NG_F $UGAZ and how it handles 50 DMA as it is poking above its cup and handle currently. A $TLT short is on my watch today also. And $NAK with its volume premarket and recent price action is interesting.

Morning Momentum Stocks / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Morning momo stocks / watchlist:   $PTIE $VSR $HTBX $BLRB $FCEL

Gaps on the plays: 

News on these plays: $HTBX, $PTIE

$HTBX Heat Biologics Reports Positive Interim Phase 2 Lung Cancer Results in Patients Treated with HS-1… http://finance.yahoo.com/news/heat-biologics-reports-positive-interim-110000736.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

$PTIE Pain Therapeutics’ Remoxy ER Secures FDA Regulatory Guidance (PTIE, EGLT)

S&P +0.19%.

10-yr -0.19%.

Euro +0.64% vs. dollar.

Crude +0.8% to $49.30.

Gold -0.06% to $1,233.25.

8:55am
Redbook

12pm
Esther George Speaks

6pm
Loretta Mester Speaks

9:45pm
Eric Rosengren Speaks

BTIG upgrades Facebook to Buy, sees 25% upside $FB

APPLE PT RAISED TO $160 FROM $140 AT BERNSTEIN

PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC SHARES DOWN 6.6 PCT AT $106.52 IN PREMARKET TRADE

Lennar beats profit and sales expectations as home deliveries increase

Zacks Investment Research Upgrades First Business Financial Services Inc $FBIZ to “Hold”

Zacks Investment Research Upgrades Capstar Financial Holdings Inc $CSTR to “Buy”

Zacks Investment Research Upgrades Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc $AMPH to Hold

#HSBC #Holdings plc Upgrades Clariant Ag (CLZNY) to Hold. Read more: http://owler.us/acqpyf $HSBC

Zacks Investment Research Upgrades Glu Mobile Inc. $GLUU to “Hold”

Zacks Investment Research Upgrades AB SKF $SKFRY to Hold http://ift.tt/2n94Xtg #acn

Credit Suisse bullish on life sciences, upgrades sector to Overweight http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252408-credit-suisse-bullish-life-sciences-upgrades-sector-overweight?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $IBB $BIB $PJP $PPH

Sherwin-Williams needs more time to close Valspar deal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252425-sherwin-williams-needs-time-close-valspar-deal?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SHW $VAL

General Mills’ stock extends slide, falls 2.1% premarket after Q3 results

Goldman Growth Wage Tracker

Economic Recovery High

2010s: 2.9%
2000s: 4.1%
1990s: 5.1%

https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/blog/2017/03/16/fed-still-filling-up-the-punchbowl/ …

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $PTIE $ETRM $HTBX $AUPH $CMCM $FCX $BCS $WMGI $SAN $PI $UWT $GNMX $DB $LPL $ING $BBVA $XIV $UCO $AMD

 I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:   I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX, $LIT, $USRM, $BLKG, $KALY

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $KALY, $USRM, $BLKG – $MGTI, $NE, $XOM, $ONTX, $VRX, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Charting Calls and Live Stock Alerts for Monday March 20, 2017; $BLKG, $USRM, $BABA, $NG_F, $UWTI – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $USRM, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc 

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Per recent;

Weekly Simple Swing Trade Charting is out:

The Swing Trading Twitter feed can be found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

Overview and Summary Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

In play today in chat room; $BLKG, $USRM, $BABA, $NG_F, $UWTI

Premarket trading plan (member post) can be found here:

Closed my position in $USRM when it was up near 57% on the day and on $BLKG when it was near 233% on the day. $BLKG low on day was 16 and high was 58 and I closed at 55 for a nice win – held the swing for a few weeks.

$BLKG, Stock, Trading, Results

$BLKG Postmarket Stock Trading Results – Closed long swing trade when up 233% intra-day at 55

My $BABA call and a number of the other swing trading calls are continuing to be home runs, winning is good in this business.

It’s too bad our transcript in the room is not available for the first part of the day (my apologies but we’re learning the platform) because not only was most of the action for the day in the first hour but MarketMaven schooled us all on a morning momentum stock $ESPR – wow what a trade, three adds and closed near the top. Total schooling.

Also our traders were in natural gas $NG_F $UGAZ etc killing that and the other trades on intra and swing trading are all going well for our small group. 2017 has been a great year for the group, I am in the process of compiling the trade P/L of each trader (contacting them one at a time asking if they would be interested). Anyway, the feedback I am getting has been fantastic (in terms of YTD performance) and that has been obvious in the room – but I would like to document it if possible.

Premarket was all about $CURS tanking, $CTMX, $ESPR and a few others.

Algorithmic Chart Modeling Reports / News:

NA

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am Holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size to micro sizing) – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
ESPR 41.22 74.14% 30432500 Top Gainers
NKTR 22.11 42.65% 15317678 Top Gainers
BLPH 1.39 34.95% 7916200 Top Gainers
MVIS 2.60 25.00% 8463600 Top Gainers
CTMX 18.89 24.44% 2325700 Top Gainers
DDC 12.20 22.98% 4618400 Top Gainers
MVIS 2.60 25.00% 8463600 New High
AMCF 0.05 21.95% 28000 New High
ESPR 41.22 74.14% 30432500 New High
CTMX 18.89 24.44% 2325700 New High
CLNT 2.67 286.96% 130016 Overbought
FIZZ 78.67 1.68% 360459 Overbought
GNMX 2.21 -59.37% 11274507 Unusual Volume
ICVT 51.19 -0.06% 803600 Unusual Volume
AKO-A 22.66 0.80% 70461 Unusual Volume
ESPR 41.22 74.14% 30432500 Unusual Volume
ALK 94.82 1.56% 1487400 Upgrades
ASUR 10.66 -6.82% 224200 Earnings Before
PRAA 33.55 -1.47% 373400 Insider Buying

The Markets Looking Forward:

The markets to me look toppy (as I’ve noticed previous). So last weekend we produced some simple swing charting that keeps me level when looking at the markets (examples below). Simple charting I find grounds you to simple trades which in turn keeps you profitable in toppy or sideways markets. So I find the practice crucial even though our algorithmic modeling can cut up a chart on any time-frame and I can trade scalping like nobody’s business with them… but I have businesses etc and I can’t be a minute by minute trader (right now anyway). So keeping it simple helps me and many on our swing trading side of the platform really appreciate the simple view because they have day jobs or businesses etc.

Swing Trading Reports / News:

The quarterly performance report link is above in the intro to this post – we have been killing and below are some of the recent simple swing trading charts.

$BABA from our swing trading platform side sure looked perky today – here’s one of the charts from the swing trading platform updates this past weekend – looks interesting!

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

Results are in for Gold trading vote:

Silver $SLV:

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Volatility $VIX:

$SPY S&P 500:

$NG_F Natural Gas:

Natural gas on fire… I’ll try and get some time to start covering it more closely. On a side note we’re going to start covering emerging markets and USDJPY closer too soon hopefully.

Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Also, times are Central Mountain below (we’re working on the fix now), so for New York ET time add two hours to all times. Also, most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Important note: The premarket, the market open and the close are all missing from this transcript WHICH WERE THE MOST IMPORTANT PARTS OF THE DAY!!! Especially the market open with a fantastic trade by MarketMaven – total schooling (as I explained above) and Flash shared some of his Swings (which btw have been red hot). So I’m very disappointed to say the least. My excuse is we’re just learning the details of the platform and capturing the transcript has its details. Anyway, we’re on it. We’re also on getting these main traders in the room equipped to run charts and broadcast voice in their trades etc to build out a more robust daily trading video for people that review after market because they work or whatever… we’re on it, we’re getting there. What limited transcript we have is below.

9:15 AM MarketMaven M ​$CMG decent action

9:16 AM MarketMaven M ​$ESPR more of a fade than a snap back possible

9:18 AM Flash G​ $CRBP wacthing chart for breakout here

9:24 AM  Flash G ​$TLT watching close again also

9:27 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​my $BLKG UP 193% today

9:30 AM Flash G ​Holy wow great hit Curt!

9:30 AM Flash G ​Thats $BLKG lol fyi

9:31 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​why thanks

9:31 AM MarketMaven M ​awesome

10:15 AM wintonresearch ​yup natty going strong

10:22 AM MarketMaven M ​Can’t tell you how many times I looked at $BLKG Curt and never pulled the trigger I should learn to listen

10:30 AM Flash G​ Nice bounce on $AUPH

10:31 AM Flash G ​$MEMP chart added to my watchlist long

10:31 AM Flash G ​$NAK Curl on daily adds it to my watchlist

10:32 AM Flash G ​And the wedge break on $VSAR makes it to my watchlist

10:33 AM Flash G ​And $ANW is the last one added to my swing watchlist this morning – all long

10:34 AM MarketMaven M ​$NKTR price target to $31 from $23 at Roth Capital

10:38 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​like your swing trade watch list updates flash thanks

10:38 AM wintonresearch​ $NAK strong

10:38 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ I’m starting to use them in my own homework

10:39 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$NAK hart looks great

10:47 AM Mathew w ​NAk on my DNT list but the set up looks to be there and there’s been demand much higher in the recent past

10:47 AM Mathew w ​Before that short seller note

11:03 AM wintonresearch​ yeah NAK has shrugged off a lot lately

11:03 AM wintonresearch ​put in that nasty bottom and moving up on quiet days for gold

11:03 AM wintonresearch ​admittedly it’s given many whiplash

11:04 AM wintonresearch ​also worth looking at my last tweet on gold vix being very low

11:04 AM wintonresearch​ suggesting rise on the way

11:06 AM MarketMaven M ​I like it

11:12 AM wintonresearch ​the gold vix hasn’t been this low in over a year if iirc

11:14 AM Mathew w​ VIX’s of all types artificially low here. They can stay that way for a while, but the move when they come upstuck will be large and swift

11:18 AM MarketMaven M​ yepp

11:26 AM MarketMaven M​ $MVIX long

11:26 AM MarketMaven M ​a little squeeze play

11:26 AM MarketMaven M ​sorry that was lagged for some reason

11:27 AM MarketMaven M​ anyway I was in and out lolol

11:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ sorry guys I was out $BLKG some time ago at 50 so nice gain… it was actually a fat finger sale while driving

11:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​I think that’s 3 times the last year I fat finger ed an order

11:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ nice gain anyway

11:33 AM MarketMaven M​ I have never done that

11:36 AM MarketMaven M​ $MVIS sqeeeeze

11:44 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​Don’t look now but my $USRM up 57% today nice

11:46 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ I guess I better jump. Sold! $USRM

11:46 AM MarketMaven M ​lol auction time

11:46 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​that’s two bags down

11:47 AM MarketMaven M ​love that lighter feeling

12:38 PM Flash G ​$SPX lol what a market

12:39 PM Flash G ​/NG 50 sma

12:46 PM Mathew w ​/NG also backside of trendline. over 3.05 with some power should get 3.12

12:55 PM Flash G​ Corny times VXX lol watching today with amusement

12:56 PM wintonresearch ​NAK still climbing

12:56 PM wintonresearch ​and natty

12:57 PM Flash G ​see that

12:59 PM Flash G ​I also see some seasoned traders exiting positions because they “see something” wrong

12:59 PM Flash G ​This could be a shift. Yet to be seen. But some real pros are backing off.

1:01 PM Curtis Melonopoly ​I know I wasn’t especially keen but was painful to sit on hands while MM carved up that mom this morning

1:02 PM Curtis Melonopoly​ also I missed natty again lol fark

1:03 PM Curtis Melonopoly​ $KALY could run

1:24 PM Flash G ​$NKE spike – had it on my morning watchlist – still on watch

1:24 PM Mathew w ​Im about done for the day by the looks of things. Watching currencies and bonds ON. Bonds got some action to the call side today so looking for follow through there and rotation into XLE possibly

1:24 PM Mathew w​ See yall in the am

1:26 PM Flash G​ see ya mat

1:26 PM Flash G​ with $NKE earnings tomorrow I was playing cautious

1:27 PM MarketMaven M​ see you mr mathew

1:31 PM Flash G ​Positive flow in $CMG now EOD

1:34 PM Flash G ​$NVCN bullish chart

1:35 PM Flash G​ Massive block on $SPY

1:37 PM Flash G ​$GDXJ real strong here EOD also

1:48 PM MarketMaven M​ $EBIO closing at HOD

1:50 PM MarketMaven M​ Taking some $KALY not missing it again after today’s episode with $USRM and $KLPG or whatever it was lol

 

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

Article Topics: $BLKG, $USRM, $BABA, $NG_F, $UWTI – $XOM, $NE, $ONTX, $DUST, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM, $BLTG, $USRM – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Stock Trading Plan for Monday Mar 20, 2017 in Compound Trading Chat room;$BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $CERU, $CTMX, $ESPR  – $ONTX, $DUST, $USRM, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yY0Rr-zTyzc

Per previous;

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms and Daytrading Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing Charting Post (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI focus):

Results of Gold trade vote are in!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

Even though my holds are small in size I would like to start focusing on trading out of some of these, if not all.

All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $USRM, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.

Per recent;

$DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

No specific plan, watching momentum stocks and my swing trades.

Swing trades on watch for me today are $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX

Morning Momentum Stocks / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Morning momo stocks / watchlist:  $CTMX, $ESPR, $DDC, $NKTR, $AXTI

Gaps on the plays: $ESPR $CTMX $DDC $MDCO $NKTR $GNMX $SFM

News on these plays: $ARTX $BLRX $CORI $CTMX $IMMY $OCLR

$CERU, PRemarket, Trading, Plan

$CERU off 55% Premarket

8:30am
-Charles Evans Speaks
-Chicago Fed National Activity Index

1:10pm
Charles Evans Speaks

$CERU and Daré Bioscience Enter into Stock Purchase Agreement Where Equityholders of Dare Bioscience Will Become Majority Owners Of Cerulean

CytomX up 33% premarket on expanded partnership with Bristol-Myers Squibb http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252160-cytomx-33-percent-premarket-expanded-partnership-bristol-myers-squibb?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $CTMX $BMY

Tiffany rises on William Blair upgrade http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252157-tiffany-rises-william-blair-upgrade?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $TIF Tiffany & Co. shares up 2.5% in premarket trading.

Alaska Air upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252155-alaska-air-upgraded-buy-hold-stifel?source=feed_f … #premarket $ALK

$FEYE up 6% on $BAC upgrade to Buy from Neutral, raises price target from $13.50 to $18.00

$TSLA price target raised to $240 at Deutsche Bank.

$NKTR stock surges 16% premarket after positive pain treatment trial results

$SFM shares up 5% in premarket trading

FireEye upgraded at Buy at BofA Merrill with chance for upside surprise http://seekingalpha.com/news/3252165-fireeye-upgraded-buy-bofa-merrill-chance-upside-surprise?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $FEYE

$SYRS data from Phase 2 trial of SY-1425, an oral first-in-class selective retinoic acid receptor alpha agonist in Q3.

$LIFE PT raised to $4 at Citi

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CTMX $ESPR $DDC $NKTR $AXTI

 I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $CERU, $GNMX, $PULM, $QUIK, $ARRY $TOPS $MOV $MTL $BRFS $ARGS $GSV $ADHD $AXAS $UWT $DGAZ  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $CERU, $CTMX, $ESPR – $MGTI, $NE, $XOM, $USRM, $ONTX, $VRX, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Charting Calls and Live Stock Alerts for Friday March 17, 2017; $SPXL, $CLBS, $GC_F, $JNUG, $TOPS – $NE, $XOM, $BSTG, $ONTX, $DUST, $MGTI, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM etc 

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Our Weekly Simple Swing Trade Charting is out:

The Swing Trading Twitter feed can be found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

 

Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

In play today in chat room; $SPXL, $CLBS, $GC_F, $JNUG, $TOPS

I took a trade long in $SPXL with an initial entry and then actually sized in large. I sold right at the turn – I was in a meeting trading on my phone and couldn’t access the trade room but I alerted the buys.

The traders in the room were on top of $TOPS and Gold, a move in $COST and a few others.

But it was a slow day to say the least.

Premarket was all about $CLBS and more.

$CLBS, premarket, trading, plan, results

$CLBS up 43% Premarket

Algorithmic Chart Model Reports:

NA

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am Holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size to micro sizing) – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $USRM, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
PULM 3.09 32.05% 20513967 Top Gainers
DFFN 3.16 28.98% 3009000 Top Gainers
NTIC 19.30 23.72% 18300 Top Gainers
VIVE 5.25 23.53% 2180200 Top Gainers
ABUS 3.40 19.30% 3188464 Top Gainers
CGIX 2.95 18.00% 972173 Top Gainers
ROSG 4.00 899.75% 174112 New High
NTIC 19.30 23.72% 18300 New High
TNXP 4.12 984.78% 343110 New High
AVXS 84.00 15.42% 2918900 New High
FIZZ 77.37 1.27% 410210 Overbought
PLSE 24.49 -1.41% 448500 Overbought
DWFI 24.96 0.56% 1022042 Unusual Volume
ASBB 36.95 10.79% 80792 Unusual Volume
AKTX 7.00 7.86% 191481 Unusual Volume
ISTR 21.75 0.69% 411500 Unusual Volume
ADBE 127.01 3.81% 8743300 Upgrades
BDSI 1.90 -5.00% 742400 Earnings Before
MAIN 37.72 1.04% 349319 Insider Buying

The Markets Looking Forward:

The markets to me look toppy (as I’ve noticed previous). So this weekend we produced some simple swing charting that keeps me level when looking at the markets (examples below).

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

Results are in for Gold trading vote:

Silver $SLV:

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Volatility $VIX:

$SPY S&P 500:

$NG_F Natural Gas:

NA

Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):

 

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Also, times are Central Mountain below (we’re working on the fix now), so for New York ET time add two hours to all times. Also, most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

6:43 AM MarketMaven M ​Premarket Gainers $CLBS $THLD $GALE $AVXS $ESEA $ABUS $TOPS $SINO $ADBE $FNBC $DCIX

6:54 AM MarketMaven M ​$SEAS $INNL $PTHN $AXTI $BUFF $SPG $MAC $EXA $CELP $PRTO $HMY $CBI

6:55 AM MarketMaven M​ Those were downgrades and here are upgrades… $BCS $TXRH $FIVN $DF $GIMO $LB $VRTX $WTR $NMRX $ALRM $PUK $CCMP $ADBE $BGS $HIMX

7:02 AM MarketMaven M ​Happy St. Patrick’s Day!

7:07 AM MarketMaven M ​AveXis soars after positive Phase 1 trial results $AVXS

7:13 AM
Compound Trading ​PreMarket Trading Plan $CLBS, $THLD, $GALE, $AVXS, $ESEA… https://compoundtrading.com/premarket… PASSWORD: PREMARKET031717

7:13 AM Flash G ​shppers affected by witching thnk or st patty or fri

7:15 AM wintonresearch ​morning

7:15 AM Flash G ​hey Nich

7:15 AM Mathew w ​morning everyone. We got our gap in VRX MM, now let’s see hw it acts

7:15 AM MarketMaven M ​helllooo

7:15 AM MarketMaven M ​Merry Christmas Mathew!!!

7:16 AM Mathew w ​sinking currently and looks like it wants to fill the gap so don’t count those chickens yet

7:24 AM MarketMaven M​ biotech got ugly

7:24 AM MarketMaven M ​$AMGN pfewww

7:26 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ $VIX may be the trade soon IMO

7:27 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​on mic

7:28 AM Mathew w ​quad witching I though, either way yea some screwy things likely

7:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​nothing lol

7:34 AM gary y ​good morning

7:35 AM Flash G ​hey gary

7:35 AM MarketMaven M ​what an ugly open lol

7:35 AM MarketMaven M ​hi gary!!

7:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ hey Gary welcome

7:36 AM Mathew w​ And there’s the gap fill on VRX. More weakness and I;m out

7:37 AM Mathew w ​Yepp out VRX. that’s some heavy selling

7:39 AM Flash G ​Watching my swings

7:39 AM wintonresearch ​FNMA creeping up lately

7:39 AM wintonresearch ​hey gary

7:39 AM Flash G ​$VRX will recover I am thinking long soon

7:39 AM Flash G ​I think $VRX next week big

7:42 AM Flash G ​u got it curt it aint a good time to risk

7:48 AM wintonresearch ​URRE looks good if only more volume

7:51 AM MarketMaven M ​$SNAP lol

7:54 AM wintonresearch​ GALE sure has fallen from the sky- $40 last year

7:55 AM MarketMaven M​ $AKTX halt

7:55 AM MarketMaven M ​volatility low vol

7:55 AM MarketMaven M ​$GALE over .86 I will likely take the trade

7:56 AM Flash G ​$HLF chatter online

7:59 AM Flash G ​Curt $TSLA failed at your res watch

8:00 AM Curtis Melonopol y​ya watching close thanks … tough

8:01 AM MarketMaven M​ $PULM 34%

8:01 AM Flash G ​$JNUG bull flag on hourly

8:03 AM MarketMaven M ​$LLNW HOD

8:03 AM MarketMaven M ​Watching $TOPS over that VWAP I think shippers could run some

8:04 AM MarketMaven M ​$PULM nice action but I missed it

8:04 AM MarketMaven M ​Long $TOPS for a try 1 / 10 size 500 2.03

8:05 AM Flash G ​$GPRO tanks

8:05 AM Mathew w ​Miners have the look here

8:07 AM Flash G ​Yes they do

8:07 AM Flash G ​I closed my positon so I am re thinking opening size long

8:09 AM MarketMaven M​ $TOPS long add 2.08 4/10 for 50% long

8:09 AM Flash G ​go get em MM GL

8:09 AM  MarketMaven M​ ?

8:11 AM MarketMaven M​ short 37% $TOPS float

8:12 AM Flash G ​Bonds pressure

8:14 AM MarketMaven M​ ss $PULM

8:15 AM Flash G ​USDJPY serious now

8:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$ROSG 1 to 12 split today 1.9 M float

8:17 AM Flash G ​Opening $BABA long 20% sizing as starter

8:18 AM MarketMaven M ​I will go long $TOPS again at LOD if it gets there for final 50% on daytrade and if it fails I will go shopping after I sell at a loss and eat cake all day.

8:19 AM Flash G ​ha

8:19 AM MarketMaven M​ ?

8:25 AM MarketMaven M​ $DELT +9%

8:25 AM Flash G​ $WYNN long and $GS short on my watch.

8:26 AM Flash G​ $UVXY calls also and Miners

8:26 AM MarketMaven M ​$MNKD turd

8:30 AM Flash G ​$IBB curious too

8:30 AM Flash G ​$BABA I am long 50% size total so far

8:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​looking at your $BABA play … powerhouse

8:32 AM MarketMaven M ​$DFFN +15%

8:40 AM Flash G​ ya natty curt I’m in and adding soon $NG_F $UGAZ

8:41 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​I was going to follow you on your alert yesterday too in $UGAZ ugh

8:41 AM Flash G​ $CALA pressure at -14% serious move

8:42 AM Flash G ​over 3.00 I will look at $NG_F $UGAZ for MOAR

8:42 AM Mathew w​ Yepp still like natty here. I trade in and out around a core position on these longer timeframe plays. We should be ready to rock towards 3.2 on /ng

8:43 AM Flash G ​agree Mathew

8:43 AM MarketMaven M​ yessir

8:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ you holding $TOPS MM?

8:45 AM MarketMaven M ​yippies

8:46 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​Russia oils minister Novak says Russia will cut #OIL output 300000 BPD end of April

8:47 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​They’re interveening

8:47 AM Flash G ​$APPL blocks stupid large

8:55 AM MarketMaven M ​Long $SPY soon?

8:55 AMFlash G​ha maybe

8:57 AMMarketMaven M​Curt…. your Twitter feed is like you’re slowly pulling the hairs off a fly ? you’re a kid!

8:57 AMCurtis Melonopoly​nailed it

8:58 AMMarketMaven M​?

8:59 AMMarketMaven M​okay here we go giddy up $TOPS

9:00 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$SPXL on watch

9:02 AM Flash G ​You’re serious lol

9:02 AM Flash G ​ok maybe

9:03 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​why yes of course market fixed lol

9:04 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​232.71 is possible though in a downdraft on $SPY

9:04 AM MarketMaven M​ $SPXL is LOD

9:05 AM MarketMaven M ​lol and he tweets it omg bad bad

9:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​what? alerted it !

9:06 AM Flash G​ haha

9:06 AM Flash G ​okay I might follow actually

9:07 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ Estimated time of lift off is 11:40 AM ET

9:07 AM MarketMaven M​ $XGTI is on a romp pump romp pump

9:14 AM MarketMaven M ​Leaderboard $DFFN $PULM $THLD $NH $EKSO $AVXS $XGTI via curt

9:15 AM Flash G​ Curt whre did you get that downside target on $SPY in event of down pressure?

9:20 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ oh sorry flash:-)… it’s an ago extension

9:20 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ algo

9:21 AM Flash G ​c

9:26 AM MarketMaven M​ quiet now

9:30 AM Flash G ​i get the vibe on it

9:32 AM MarketMaven M​ $MULE being a good $MULE IPO

9:34 AM Flash G ​Watching to se if $NVDA holds bounce for follow-through

9:34 AM Flash G​ $TLT lift but $USDJPY at Fib support

9:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​yup and $UUP 2 day insider

9:36 AM Flash G ​Yes caught that too.

9:37 AM Flash G​ $COST has a nice curl on the 60 also.

9:39 AM MarketMaven M ​So ….

9:39 AM MarketMaven M ​Flash wondering about $BABA – I’ll DM u

9:39 AM Flash G​ Sure

9:40 AM MarketMaven M​ $SCON runner runner

9:41 AM Flash G​ Fixed on bonds and USDJPY here.

9:41 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​crazy move

9:42 AM Flash G ​Divergent $VIX $SPX and even $SPY $ES_F

9:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​Exactly. .. so what happens after ?

9:43 AM Flash G ​Could be party like it’s 1999 or 1929 ha ha

9:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​that’s about it

9:45 AM MarketMaven M ​Today, 1:20 pm ET, President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Angela Merkel news conference

9:49 AM MarketMaven M ​$AMDA time

9:53 AM Flash G ​Nice call on $GSIT Curt

9:54 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​thx

9:55 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​bear mad again

10:02 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​loading for $SPXL long

10:08 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​$SPXL long

10:08 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ 1 / 3

10:09 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​get up there

10:14 AM Flash G ​Long with ya $SPXL

10:29 AM MarketMaven M ​$IPDN looks attractive

10:29 AM Flash G ​like me!

10:30 AM MarketMaven M ​lol

10:50 AM Mathew w ​IPDN tough low float. lots of games in that one but I think it goes higher

10:50 AM wintonresearch ​$LTBR i think conference next wk and chart looks set up and ready for volume- also it’s an energy play

10:59 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ Baker Hughes on deck

11:01 AM Curtis Melonopoly ​631 vs 617

11:04 AM MarketMaven M​ $INNL whoofta

11:05 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ nice trade on natty

11:06 AM Mathew w​?

11:17 AM Curtis Melonopoly​ Add $SPXL 129.75 full entry size now

11:55 AM MarketMaven M​ zzzzzzz

11:55 AM Flash G ​yepp

12:28 PM wintonresearch ​i don’t like the way twitter changed how retweets show up- seems to truncate them

12:28 PM wintonresearch ​unless it’s just me lol

12:32 PM Mathew w​. Agreed Nich. twitter can’t seem to make a positive change these days

12:32 PM Mathew w​ Thanks Jack

1:16 PM Mathew w​ Slow friday and st paddys day. Out of here. See yall monday

1:49 PM wintonresearch ​ciao all

 

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

Article Topics:  $SPXL, $CLBS, $GC_F, $JNUG, $TOPS – $XOM, $NE, $ONTX, $DUST, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM, $BLTG – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Mar 20, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Current Trade in $SPY S&P 500.

$SPY Live Price Extension Targets Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/TuxRenLH-S-P-500-SPY-Symmetry-price-target-extensions-trade-quadrants/

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon Mar 20 648 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon Mar 20 648 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price targets for a number of weeks now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Recent trade has $SPY in a sideways range.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have been moderately predictable – we are leaving them as they are for now but they will need some resetting soon.

Symmetry Extension Targets – Most probable revised upside if trade is in uptrend is now 240.29 before a decision – which would make it a double top.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is between 233.12 and 232.75 before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in that the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Other Conventional Charting to Consider

Simple Charting $SPY MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turning down, under 20 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrading

$SPY, Daily, Chart

Simple Charting $SPY MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turning down, under 20 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrading

Simple Charting $SPY 60 Min MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turned down, on 200 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #DayTrading

$SPY, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charting $SPY 60 Min MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turned down, on 200 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #DayTrading

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Monday March 20, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday Mar 20, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Dm8Jg8vZ-Epic-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI/

Crude algo intra work sheet 614 AM Mar 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 614 AM Mar 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Upper trading range. Crude algo intra work sheet 622 AM Mar 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 48.06 at 6:24 AM EST Mar 20, 2017. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil is trading at 48.06.

The yellow arrows (horizontal yellow lines) represent significant horizontal support and resistance areas (conventional support and resistance areas from previous time price cycles). There is one at 47.37 and another at 49.59. Although not ideal, they do represent support and resistance areas of note.

More importantly are algorithmic chart modeling support and resistance areas for this specific area of trade at the silver arrows and thicker horizontal silver lines at 47.62 and 50.95. In the interim (until algorithm targets are re-established) our traders will use these as the primary support and resistance areas. Do not consider them hard and fast like you would Fibonacci – consider them general areas of support and resistance. 

Both the silver and the yellow support and resistance lines are the most significant for this area of trade. Should crude oil trade below the yellow support line at approximately 49.59 and not recover quickly you can consider this area of trade a broken chart and a new chart will be sent to members.

So in summary, your area of trade as it is at time of writing is between 47.37 and 50.95 per above – this is the range our traders will be trading.

As noted in a previous report you have the main support and resistance range. 

As with previous reports the various other horizontal support and resistance lines are either recent support and resistance lines (purple) or Fibonacci support and resistance.

Specific to alpha algo lines and alpha algo targets (red dotted diagonal lines and red circles) – these are just now starting re-appear on this chart as preliminary test algo lines and algo targets. This week will be a week of confirmation based on last weeks trading range after the change in algorithmic model. They are not official calls we only represent them now as a matter of transparency.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Daily MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, on 200 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Crude, Oil, Daily, Chart

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Daily MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, on 200 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC 60 Min MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, on 100 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Crude, Oil, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC 60 Min MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, on 100 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT #Daytrading

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

As mentioned above, alpha algo targets and alpha algo lines are just starting to be re-instated on this chart and are test lines and targets only for work sheet purposes.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

As mentioned above, alpha algo targets and alpha algo lines are just starting to be re-instated on this chart and are test lines and targets only for work sheet purposes.

Current Algo Targets:

The algo targets are not marked on main chart above but will be available again soon as explained above. 

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Part 2 Previous Pick Updates memo for the week of March 19, 2017! $RSX, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $OAK, $EOG, $EXP, $LITE, $VFC, $NE …  

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning!

This report focuses on updating previous swing trade picks. You will find our new swing trading picks here in Part 1 and you can also find a review of simple charts for $DXY, $VIX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $WTI here (Part 3).

$CELG

Mar 19 – status remains same as Mar 12.

Mar 12, 2017 – The Stoch RSI hasn’t cooled, in fact it has heated since last report. Also below is the MACD, it’s near pinching so it may be best to take a short position soon and flip to long when MACD turns to buy signal.

$CELG MACD Swing Trade Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CELG/KS53j1IE-CELG-MACD-almost-on-sell-Short-at-cross-and-long-at-turn-up/

$CELG, Swing Trading, MACD

$CELG MACD almost on sell signal, wait for cross and short or let it play out and wait for buy signal for long.

Mar 7, 2017 – Looking for Stoch RSI to cool to bottom range for swing trade.

$CELG Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CELG/u99gKSpz-CELG-looking-for-Stoch-RSI-to-cool-to-bottom-for-swing-trade/

$CELG, Swing, Trade

$CELG swing looking for Stoch RSI to cool to bottom range for swing trade.

$LITE

Mar 19 – MACD is pinching and threatening to turn up now! On High watch! 

Mar 12, 2017 – 20 MA did not hold and MACD on a sell. Wait for MACD to signal buy and review then.

$LITE MACD Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LITE/6mOiMa4Z-20-MA-did-not-hold-MACD-on-sell-Wait-for-MACD-to-signal-buy/

$LITE, Swing Trade, MACD

20 MA did not hold and MACD on a sell. Wait for MACD to signal buy and review then.

Mar 7, 2017 – $LITE I’m looking for 20 MA to hold for entry long swing trade.

$LITE Live Swing Trading Chart : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LITE/nU0igzAu-LITE-I-m-looking-for-20-MA-to-hold-for-entry-long-swing-trade/

$LITE, Swing, Trade

$LITE I’m looking for 20 MA to hold for entry long swing trade.

$CALA

Mar 19 – Good call on Mar 12 MACD turning down.

Mar 12, 2017 – $CALA Declining volume, MACD likely turn down, 9 MA just holding. No resolution. Caution.

$CALA chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CALA/ma6v15V7-CALA-Declining-vol-MACD-likely-turn-down-9-MA-just-holding/

$CALA, Swing Trading, Chart

$CALA Declining vol, MACD likely turn down, 9 MA just holding. No resolution. Caution.

Mar 7, 2017 – $CALA Waiting for Stoch RSI to cool for a swing trade.

$CALA Live trading chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CALA/8q5LxIls-CALA-Waiting-for-Stoch-RSI-to-cool-for-a-swing-trade/

$CALA, RSI, Swing, Stoch

$CALA Waiting for Stoch RSI to cool for a swing trade.

$XRT – SPDR S&P Retail ETF 

Mar 19 – Sames status as Mar 12.

Mar 12, 2017 – The Stoch RSI is starting to pinch at bottom of range (see Mar 7 chart), MACD is still on sell however. On close watch here.

$XRT, chart, MACD, SwingTrading

$XRT MACD still on sell but Stoch RSI (see other chart) is pinching at bottom of range. On watch.

Mar 7, 2017 – Watching close for a bounce. Stoch RSI on chart is near bottom so on high watch here.

Feb 27, 2017 – Trading at 43.72 this beat up sector seems to be ripe for a bounce. If we execute a trade on Monday it will be to test the waters and watch the market sentiment day to day – this and price action will determine how long we are in it. An interim target however would be 46.80 and would likely change as the trade progresses.

$XRT Retail Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/0oELdpX1/

$XRT, Swing, Trading

$XRT Retail – Watching close for a bounce.

$EXP Building Materials

March 19 – Same status but on high watch for MACD because 100 MA held.

March 12, 2017 – $EXP Eagle Building Materials MACD still on sell, but expanding volume in play with 100 MA test. On watch for bounce.

$EXP, MACD, Chart, SwingTrading

$EXP Eagle Building Materials MACD still on sell, but expanding volume in play with 100 MA test. On watch for bounce.

Mar 7, 2017 – $EXP Building Materials watching close for a bounce.

Feb 27, 2017 – “Eagles Materials Posted Record Revenues, Record Net Earnings and Record Net Earnings per Diluted Share. Its stock grew 60% in 2016 and still looks cheap.”

Eagle Materials is a riskier play than most we will add to our swing portfolio, but our DD on this one has us excited and we likely will take a long position early this week with a target of minimum 10% upside in next 90 days. We will however keep our stop tight.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/post-earnings-coverage-eagles-materials-131500431.html

https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/02/09/eagle-materials-stock-grew-60-in-2016-but-it-still.aspx?source=yahoo-2&utm_campaign=article&utm_medium=feed&utm_source=yahoo-2

$EXP Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EXP/TpeK4yNK-EXP-Building-Materials-Watching-close-for-bounce-swing-trading/

$EXP, Swing Trade

$EXP Building Materials Watching close for a bounce swing trading.

$FIT

Mar 19 – Same status as Mar 12. This one may never come back.

Mar 12, 2017 – $FIT FitBit Under 9 MA, MACD pinch, no volume expansion yet. On high watch.

$FIT, Chart, SwingTrading

$FIT FitBit Under 9 MA, MACD pinch, no volume expansion yet. On high watch.

Mar 7, 2017 – It hasn’t got its bounce yet – still watching. Trading at 6.00.

Feb 27, 2017 – We find the $FIT trade interesting. Although we would never otherwise consider it and if we do enter today a long position it will be looked at as short term, we think there may be opportunity to swing trade it because it should be much lower considering its recent quarter… lower in that we expected a panic that did not occur. This seems bullish, or at minimum a likely “bargain” in our opinion.

$FIT Swing Trade Target 6.99. Trading at 6.15.

$FIT, Swing Trade

$FIT Swing Trade Target 6.99

$VFC

Mar 19 – Trading at 53.95 holding position long. Next test 100 MA crossing 20 MA. No adds yet.

Mar 12, 2017 – $VFC Holding but trade tentative as MACD pinching and declining volume.

$VFC, SwingTrade, MACD

$VFC Holding but trade tentative as MACD pinching and declining volume.

Mar 12, 2017 – $VFC Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 23 53.50 500 Shares. Unrealized loss 785.00. #SwingTrading

$VFC, Swing, Trade

$VFC Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 23 53.50 500 Shares. Unrealized loss 785.00.

Mar 7, 2017 – Holding long per Feb 23, 2017.

Feb 23, 2017 – $VFC Swing long 53.50 average with 58.10 as first upside target. More targets in upcoming reports.

$VFC Swing long 53.50 average with 58.10 as first upside target.

$VFC Swing long 53.50 average with 58.10 as first upside target.

$NE – Noble Corp

Mar 19 – It’s a bad trade but the MACD is so close to the bottom that we are holding for a bounce. One of our few bad swings in 2017.

Mar 12, 2017 – $NE Trade has turned against us with a sell signal on MACD. Holding on conviction. We believe it is near over-sold and this sector of the industry is near a turn in profit divergence.

Mar 12, 2017 –  $NE Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 22 6.95 2000 Shares. Unrealized loss 1920.00. Hold.

$NE, Swing, Trade

$NE Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 22 6.95 2000 Shares. Unrealized loss 1920.00. Hold.

Mar 7, 2017 – Holding long. Trading at 6.46.

Feb 23, 2017 – $NE Swing long opened 6.95 average for a 9.00 upside target.

$NE

$NE Swing long 6.95 average for a 9.00 upside target.

Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

Mar 19 – Trading at 872.37 holding – looking for dips to possibly add. MACD flat so this is a concern.

$GOOGL, Swing, Trading

$GOOGL Going well. Our Swing Trading Members are in it from 848.91 trading at 872.37. #swingtrading

Mar 12, 2017 – $GOOGL Swing trade going well. In at 848.91 – holding and adding on dips (will advise). MACD on buy.

$GOOGL, Swing Trade, MACD, Buy

$GOOGL Swing trade going well. In at 848.91 – holding and adding on dips. MACD on buy.

Mar 12, 2017 – $GOOGL Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 22 848.91 200 Shares. Unrealized gain 2570.00. Hold.

$GOOGL, Swing Trade

$GOOGL Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 22 848.91 200 Shares. Unrealized gain 2570.00. Hold.

Mar 7, 2017 – Holding long per Feb 22, 2017. Trading at 847.27.

Feb 22, 2017 – We entered a long position starter at 848.91 200 shares. Stops will be managed manually and will be held tight until trade is to upside of current range. Pensive about short term market range.

Feb 21, 2017 – Price is to the topside of the break-out and I will likely enter a long position over the next day or two. Bullish on this stock.

Feb 12, 2017 – We still like the $GOOGL stock / chart. Price recently broke to the upside of the triangle and didn’t hold but is threatening to trade above again at Friday close. We’re watching for an upside break that holds for an entry or a visit to the 200 MA (pink line) for an entry.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: We expect a signal from the Trump camp soon (late this week), and if positive, this will be a very strong play – watch close! This needs to be high on your radar going forward!

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Amazon $AMZN

Mar 19 – Trading 852.31 holding. MACD pinching to downside so this is a concern.

Mar 12, 2017 – $AMZN Amazon Swing Trade going well. In at 822.72 trading 852.46. MACD on sell will add when MACD bottoms and turns (will advise).

$AMZN, Swing Trade, MACD

$AMZN Amazon Swing Trade going well. In at 822.72 trading 852.46. MACD on sell will add when MACD bottoms and turns.

Mar 12, 2017 – $AMZN Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 10 822.72 100 Shares. Unrealized gain 2930.00. Hold.

$AMZN, Swing Trade, Quarterly, Review

$AMZN Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 10 822.72 100 Shares. Unrealized gain 2930.00. Hold.

Mar 7, 2017 – Holding long and may add on dips now. Trading at 846.46.

Feb 21, 2017 – Trading at 839.48 in premarket we’re on the right side of this swing so far. Depending on price action I will look to add at pull backs. Very bullish this stock.

Feb 12, 2017 – Trade Alert! We entered a trade long at a cost average 822.72 for 100 shares as soon as price was upside the 20 MA. This is an aggressive trade (being that we didn’t wait for a pull-back to 50, 100 or 200). We have a tight stop on the trade at 804.00 (just below its recent low (this would be a broken trade in our opinion at that point). So we are hoping this week is a strong week for Amazon. If not our aggressive move will cost us.

Amazon Swing Trading Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/ZQt7CJMs-AMZN-Amazon-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart/

$AMZN, Amazon, Swing, Trading

$AMZN Amazon Swing Trading Member Chart – Compound Trading

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We haven’t got a pull back to the 200 day and depending on how tech does with Trump we may or may not, however, in overnight trade (premarket) price is close to the 100 day and I may take a test long position. This is one of our favorite picks so we will be quite aggressive with our attempts to get in at an inflection – so we are thinking sometime in the next few days looks decent.

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

Juno $JUNO

Mar 19 – No change.

Mar 12 – Member Alert! We will look at a re-entry on this when MACD turns back up!

Mar 12 – $JUNO Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Dec 22 18.32. Closed Feb 15 23.88. 1000 Shares. + 5,560.00 P/L 31% gain.

$JUNO, SwingTrade, Review, Quarterly

$JUNO Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Dec 22 18.32. Closed Feb 15 23.88. 1000 Shares. + 5,560.00 P/L 31% gain.

Feb 21, 2017 – On Feb 16 we closed our position at 23.88.

Feb 12, 2017 – We have been long since late December at 18.32 (1000 shares) and it trades at 21.95 now – will be ratcheting up stops soon, the trade has done well but in the short term we don’t see a lot of upside for entries now, unless trade returns to the 50 day MA.

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $JUNO

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: $JUNO since my first entry mid December 2016 has consistently moved in an upward trend, and from that perspective has been a good stock pick. But it hasn’t been excellent like many of my other picks. It does have a gap fill coming soon so if you are long I would ratchet up your stops as you near 22.70 area.

$JUNO Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JUNO/W0WEYDQJ-JUNO-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick/

$JUNO, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$JUNO Swing Trade Member Stock Pick

CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

Mar 19 – No Change

Mar 12 – Member Alert! We will look at a re-entry on this when MACD turns back up!

Feb 22, 2017 – We closed our long positions in late trade and extended hours at 5.01 average.

Feb 21, 2017 – It is trading at 3.90 in premarket and recently as high as 4.23. Holding.

Feb 12, 2017 – This stock hasn’t slowed down since our entry at 2.59 (10000 shares) and doesn’t seem to want to return to the trendline support so our swing trade members can get in. It is trading perfectly in our prescribed range (albeit at the top) and closed at 3.90 on Friday – we have a 5.57 PT on it so I don’t if it is best to enter now – I wouldn’t unless it returns to the support line but some of the more aggressive swing trading members may want to consider it. Also, we will be ratcheting stops before earnings and even though earnings are expected to be strong we likely will not hold through earnings (or if we do it will be with tight stops).

$CBMX news – http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cbmx-expect-record-revenue-profit-140000918.html

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

$CBMX, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

OakTree Capital $OAK

Mar 19 – On high watch for MACD to turn up again.

Mar 12, 2017 – $OAK on swing trade high watch now. 200 MA may cross 50 MA. Watch MACD for turn up.

$OAK, MACD, Swing Trade, Watch

$OAK on swing trade high watch now. 200 MA may cross 50 MA. Watch MACD for turn up.

Mar 12, 2017 – $OAK Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Jan 3 37.80. Closed Feb 15 46.04. 1000 Shares. + 8240.00 P/L 21.8% gain. #swingtrading

Feb 21, 2017 – We closed our position last week at 46.04 because sentiment in this sector started to turn. We may look at a re-entry, however, we are waiting for the crude oil resistance test to play out and would like to monitor sentiment.

Feb 12, 2017 – This has been a fantastic swing trade and many of our members have profited from it. We are holding and have moved up stops to a 5% drop.

It is currently trading at 45.70 and is up considerably for our members – our 2017 price target was 49.58 and our short term price targets were easily met.

It is also currently trading just above its 200 MA so we are watching close – if it loses the 200 MA we will exit likely. So if you are thinking of adding or a long trade here you want to watch the 200 MA.

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $OAK

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, February 7, 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oaktree-schedules-fourth-quarter-full-133000267.html

Was trading at 37.57 – 38.00 when we originally started to look at it, currently trades at 41.65.

42.71 – 43.50 is our short term swing target (less than 3 months).

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! $OAK has met this swing trade target for our members – caution forward please!

49.58 is our 2017 target. No target date.

Our traders will be watching earnings (much like we did with Google last week and we will be doing with Amazon this week). Pending earnings and price action this will be when we enter a trade. Some of our swing traders have obviously seen decent gains since we first put this on our swing trading list a number of weeks back (good timing actually), but our traders have not taken a position yet.

$OAK, Swing Trading, Newsletter

$OAK – OakTree Capital Group

Oaktree Capital Trading View Live Charting:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/w2CBerv2-Swing-Trading-Newsletter-Oaktree-Capital-OAK/

VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

March 19 – The MACD did turn up and we opened a starter position long 19.94 1000 shares March 15, 2017.

March 12, 2017 – $RSX On high watch now. Price testing 200 MA, increasing volume, MACD may turn, 20 MA to cross 200 MA.

$RSX, Watch, SwingTrade

$RSX On high watch now. Price testing 200 MA, increasing volume, MACD may turn, 20 MA to cross 200 MA.

Feb 21, 2017 – Still monitoring – no position.

Feb 12, 2017 – Decided considering geo political sentiment that I will consider a long at 50 MA or a break to upside now.

Feb 7, 2017 Alert! Although this has done exceptionally well since my first entry late 2016 I am now out of my position and am awaiting a pull back to 100 day at minimum.

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

$RSX Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RSX/rjR7GATQ-RSX-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pick-Waiting-for-Test-of-50-MA-or-break/

$RSX, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Pick

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

BOFI Holdings $BOFI

Mar 19 – Same status as Mar 12.

Mar 12, 2017 – $BOFI Waiting for MACD to turn up for another long entry.

$BOFI, MACD

$BOFI Waiting for MACD to turn up for another long entry.

Feb 21, 2017 – Watching.

Feb 12, 2017 – $BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After Dec Entry – Now Waiting for 200 MA PB test on 60 minute chart below or break out.

$BOFI Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOFI/krBzI22u-BOFI-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-After-26-18-Dec-Entry-Waiting-for/

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $BOFI

$BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After 26.18 Dec Entry Waiting for 200 MA PB test or break out

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update! Here is another I have done well since my first entry late 2016 and I am now waiting for another pullback to at least the 50 day if not 100 day to add. Holding full position and expect a return of 6% approximately (from today’s price) in 2017. If I can get a pullback I will be very happy.

$BOFI, Swing, Trading, Chart, Stock, Pick

$BOFI Swing Trading Member Stock Pick

Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

Mar 12, 2017 – $SXL Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Dec 16 23.25. Closed Mar 8 25.10. 1000 Shares. + 1850.00 P/L 7.95% gain.

Mar 7, 2017 – Holding Long.

Feb 21, 2017 – Watching the 200 MA – may add pending crude oil price action.

Feb 12, 2017 – $SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position and Jan addition to this list. We are currently waiting for a test of the 200 MA on the 60 day for an add to 1000 shares or a sell. Excellent trade so far.

$SXL Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SXL/Zxq4BCtJ-SXL-Sunoco-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-is-Performing-Excellent-Sin/

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

$SXL, Swing, TRade, Stock, Pick

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

US Silica Holdings $SLCA

Mar 19 – Same status as Mar 12.

Mar 12, 2017 – $SLCA On long position high alert watchlist for 200 MA to hold and MACD to turn up (will advise).

$SCLA, Swing Trade, Watchlist

$SLCA On long position high alert watchlist for 200 MA to hold and MACD to turn up.

Mar 12, 2017 – $SLCA Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 8 55.77. Closed Feb 23 55.77. 500 Shares. +0.00 P/L 0% gain.

$SLCA, Swing, Trade

$SLCA Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 8 55.77. Closed Feb 23 55.77. 500 Shares. +0.00 P/L 0% gain.

Mar 7, 2017 – We stopped out flat and are keeping it on watch list for now.

Feb 21, 2017 – Hold, managing stop. We like it, but it may stop out flat.

Feb 12, 2017 – We have our first entry in $SLCA at the 50 day 55.77 500 shares. We are going to watch how it handles the 20 MA. If it returns to our buy at 55.77 area we may cut bait.

$SCLA Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SLCA/kYwi9RAO-SLCA-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick-Entry-at-50-MA-long-for-a-t/

$SLCA, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$SLCA Swing Trade Member Stock Pick. Entry at 50 MA long for a tester.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We never did get that pull back, and I appreciate the notes from members that have done well with this swing nonetheless! However, caution is warranted entering this play with-out a pull-back.

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

$EOG EOG Resources 

Mar 19 – MACD is pinching at bottom and about to turn up! On high alert!

Mar 12, 2017 – $EOG On high alert watchlist for swing trade. 200 MA test has held. Waiting for MACD to turn up.

$EOG On high alert watchlist for swing trade. 200 MA test has held. Waiting for MACD to turn up.

$EOG On high alert watchlist for swing trade. 200 MA test has held. Waiting for MACD to turn up.

Feb 21, 2017 – Stopped flat. Keeping on watch.

Feb 12, 2017 – New Entry! $EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA 300 shares starter. Swing Trade Stock Pick. If it fails at our entry price we will exit and re-evaluate.

$EOG Resources Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EOG/5pnQP44r-EOG-Resources-Long-entry-98-77-at-100-MA-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pic/

Sing, Trading, Stock, Pick, $EOG

$EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA. Swing Trade Stock Pick

$GREK Global Greece ETF

March 19 – Same status as Mar 12.

March 12, 2017 – On high alert watchlist now – MACD about to pinch. Watching for MACD turn up.

Feb 21, 2017 – Watching.

$TRCH Torchlight Energy

March 19 – Trading 1.41 holding.

Mar 12, 2017 – Holding position. MACD turned down and will add when MACD turns up. Holding 2000 at 1.50 trading at 1.36. Near the stop loss area but for myself this is a conviction trade based on Trump and this specific company. It is also a relatively small position.

$TRCH, Swing Trading

$TRCH Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Underwater .14 cents on 2000 shares. Unrealized loss 280.00 Holding. #swingtrading

Mar 7 2017 – Holding.

Feb 21, 2017 – Holding, watching for possible add.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

$NG Nova Gold

March 12, 2017 – $NG Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Jan 12 5.14. Closed Feb 27 5.81. 2000 Shares. +1340.00 PL 13% gain.

$NG, Swing Trade

$NG Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Jan 12 5.14. Closed Feb 27 5.81. 2000 Shares. +1340.00 PL 13% gain.

March 7, 2017 – We figured in our last report we may close. Feb 27, 2017 we closed for 5.81.

Feb 21, 2017 – Hold, watching, may close position.

Feb 7, 2017 – $NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now.

$NG NovaGold Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/7sroM8Ai-NG-Nova-Gold-Swing-trade-members-are-pleased-with-stock-pick-5/

$NG, Stock, Pick, Swing, Trade

$NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now.

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

$ASM.

Mar 19 – Trading 1.83 Hold.

Mar 12, 2017 – $ASM Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 6 1.95 2000 Shares. Unrealized loss 280.00. Will hold and add at turn on $MACD.

$ASM, Swing Trading, Quarterly, Review

$ASM Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review. Long Feb 6 1.95 2000 Shares. Unrealized los 280.00.

Mar 7, 2017 –  Holding our small position.

Feb 21, 2017 – Holding, watching 200 MA.

Feb 6, 2017 $ASM comes to us by reference of HedgeHog trader who has spent some time in our trading room lately and is a close friend of ours. His due diligence on this one is solid in our opinion and the chart is about to break out – it is just shy of the 200 day! Here’s the transcript of his attendance in our trading room yesterday if you wish to view. He also mentions in that transcript other picks he likes (such as $NG, $THM, $NAK, $CPO.V).

$ASM Chart Live on Trading View: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ASM/Wn17X1qn-ASM-Swing-Trade-Member-Chart/

$ASM, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ASM Swing Trade Member Chart

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

$SPY

Mar 19 – Same position as Mar 12.

Mar 12, 2017 – Waiting for MACD to turn up for long position $SPXL.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GLjaQZZZ-SPY-S-P-500-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Winning-Swing-Trading/

$SPY, Chart, SwingTrading

$SPY S&P 500 KISS Keep it Simple MACD Cross Provides Winning Swing Trading Strategy $SPXL $SPXS $ES_F #swingtrading

Feb 17, 2017 – Watching, no position.

Feb 12, 2017 – This is interesting, price action late last week was promising, we are watching indicators for a long position.

$SPY Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

$SPY, Swing Trade, Stock Picks

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

$VIX 

Mar 19 – no update.

Mar 12, 2017 – Waiting for MACD to turn up for long position and even that has only moderate success – caution warranted.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/G9J4sts6-Swing-Trading-VIX-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Only-Moderate-Success/

Feb 12 – $VIX has done nothing. Watching.

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

$DXY

Mar 19 – No update.

Mar 12, 2017 – Swing Trading $DXY #USD #Dollar KISS MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI – waiting for test of MACD and for it to turn up to take a long position in $UUP – could happen any moment. But the MACD is key here, it could fail. See chart at link below.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/NnHrnEUI-Swing-Trading-DXY-USD-Dollar-KISS-MACD-Nets-Decent-Annual-ROI/

Feb 21, 2017 – Watching, no position, watch for update over the next few days to include this.

$SLV SILVER

Mar 19 – No update.

Mar 12, 2017 – Waiting for MACD to turn up before considering a long trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/fjlVDQgk-Swing-Trading-Silver-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Nets-Decent-Annual-ROI/

Feb 21, 2017 – Watching, no position, watch for update over the next few days to include this.

$GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

Mar 19 – No update.

Mar 12, 2017 – Waiting for the MACD to turn up before considering another trade in $GDX and Gold.

 

Mar 7, 2017 – We closed the last 25% on Feb 27 23.80. Nice trade.

Feb 21 – Friday we trimmed 75% at 25.18. Watching.

Feb 14, 2017 $GDX trade went exactly as planned. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX, Swing, Trade, Gain, Stock, Picks

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

Feb 7, 2017 $GDX Alert – Members, this trade went exactly as planned and is now beyond our call so caution please!

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

$USOIL / $WTI

Mar 19 – No update.

Mar 12, 2017 – Waiting for MACD to turn up before considering a trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/QbYJt8yv-Crude-Oil-Swing-Trading-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Wins-FX-USOIL/

Feb 21, 2017 – On the daytrading side I have been adding to a long that I though would be only days and turned in to a bit of a swing but did not alert it on the swing side because of the risk element. However, crude oil is over the resistance in overnight trade as I write and getting very close to the most significant resistance it has encountered in years. Stay tuned to updates this week, I expect to be putting out a number of updates this week because of this specific scenario. If crude does not handle resistance well I will short it heavily and will post a number of picks surrounding that play. If crude oil gets up over this significant resistance then I will go long and will post an alternate list of stock pics surrounding that play.

Feb 12 – Crude oil traded at resistance on Friday, some may opt to short here but we are waiting to see if price breaks to upside. Will advise.

Feb 7, 2017 Update: In overnight trade $USOIL is trading at 52.19 and there is a diagonal support trendline intra-day below at approximately 52.28 – we will be looking at taking a long position in that area if we can get it – with a tight 1% stop.

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

So that’s it for today, however, when the crude trade plays out in the short term I will be posting an updated list either way (for upside or downside scenario crude oil). Again, I apologize for the unexpected pivot but I have no choice but to see how this crude break-out plays and that won’t take more than two days. So expect all the new plays sometime between now and Thursday.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $AXP, $ABX, $RIG, $XLE, $SLX, $X, $XME, $AKS, $CELG, $LITE, $CALA, $SBUX, $XRT, $EXP, $FIT, $NE, $VFC, $ASM, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, Crude, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, USD, Dollar, $DXY, Volatility, $VIX


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading stock picks memo (Part 1 of 3) for the week of March 19, 2017! $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $AXP, $ABX, $RIG, $XLE, $SLX, $X, $XME, $AKS and more.

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning! 

Below are the new stock picks but keep in mind that the market is at an important point. So we have in addition to this prepared two other lists, one if the market goes in to corrective mode and one if the market gets overheated again. Both of which are not included below but would be released immediately following a market decision up or down. So watch for that as things progress.

The charts below are focused on indicators that swing traders can rely on when markets are indecisive and sentiment isn’t easy to trend and swing (early 2017 sentiment swing trading was easy for example). So a little more attention to indicators such as MACD should be considered. Hopefully a clear sentiment re-emerges so our swings can be less hands on.

Specific to our picks below, we have updated the most important information and will flesh this out more as we go. 

This weeks publication is in three parts:

You can consider this new document below Part 1 of this week’s picks and the previous picks Part 2, you can find the previous swing trading picks updates here.

Also, click here for a weekly public post on swing trading simple charts for $DXY, $VIX, $WTI, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX, and $SPY that we will call Part 3 of this weeks picks.

When using live charts as available below, you can either press play button on chart (once opened) for a quick view or click the share icon at the bottom right of chart (just right of the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine” – this will open chart in your browser. Any problems with this let us know. Also, please note, we can only create ten new live charts on TradingView a day so that is why you see some with live charts and over time we publish them.

Indicators on charts are represented as; 20 MA light blue, 50 MA Purple, 100 MA dark blue, 200 MA pink. 8 EMA Yellow, 21 EMA Green. VWAP when available orange.

Any updates below specific to recent reports are highlighted in red to simplify the process for you.

New Stock Picks

$BABA

March 20 – Wait for MACD to turn up and confirm and stay long until MACD turns down. The Stoch RSI seems to be frontrunning the MACD fyi. $BABA is one of my favorites right now and I see a long entry early in the week.

$BABA Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GsGBi5f2-BABA-Daily-100-MA-50-MA-Cross-MACD-Pinch-SQZMOM-up-Stoch-RSI/

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$NFLX

March 20 – The only thing that concerns me is the price staying above approximately 145.05 as a low on any given day. I may also look for that in addition to indicators lists below. Same thing with this one, exit when MACD turning down. Chances are high I will enter long early week.

Live $NFLX Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/4RQP5P9P-NFLX-Daily-abover-20-MA-Stoch-RSI-Revved-MACD-turning-up-SQZMOM/

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation.

$NFLX, Swing Trading, Stocks

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation. #swingtrading

$GSIT

Mar 20 – The reason I have this on the list is because as a break-out stock it is about as clean as they come, however, break out stocks come with risk. So you have two options (and shorting right now isn’t one), you can either wait for it to get near a 20 MA test and go long when other indicators line up or open a short time-frame chart and trade it. I will be waiting for the 20 MA test.

GSI Technology, Inc. to Present at the Global Predictive Analytics Conference http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gsi-technology-inc-present-global-173705866.html

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$GSIT, Chart, ,Swing, Trading

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$AXP

March 20 – This is a trend play. The only thing you have to do is manage your entry point and risk. Wait for indicators to confirm next leg up about to start and take long entry. When MACD turns down on daily that is your exit. I really like this one, especially because MA’s are all on right side (aligned) and trend reversal is in place.

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100 MA at min 50MA.

$AXP, Stock, Swing, Trade

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100MA at min 50MA.

$ABX

March 20 – I will enter a long when price above 20 50 100 200 MA’s and will likely wait for the 200 MA to cross 100 MA (although no absolute). Like with all others I will exit when MACD turns down.

Freeport a better buy? https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/03/18/better-buy-freeport-mcmoran-inc-vs-barrick-gold.aspx

Inflation may send Gold higher. http://ir.baystreet.ca/article.aspx?id=528&1489764218

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$ABX, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$TAN

Mar 20 – Nice reversal play if it turns out. In addition to below watch the 200 MA as resistance if you go long.

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

TAN, Swing, Trade, Stocks

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

$VRX

March 20 – This was looking like it was going to curl up last week and bounce but it failed. A great example of carefully watching a falling knife indicators before taking a long position. Use patience and when all indicators in play take a long.

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$VRX, Swing Trade, Bottom Play

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$TWLO

March 20 – Looks like bottom may be in. It is trending up. Looking for 100 MA to cross down under 20 MA (pinching now) and price to trade above 20 MA for long. Be sure to wait for MACD to confirm also first.

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$TWLO, Swing Trading

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$WYNN

March 20 – This isn’t easy to swing but is so hot it would be foolish to ignore, so discipline like with so many other plays in the current market is required. Seeing it hold 110.00 for a full day with indicators in line would put me in a long position.

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$WYNN, Swing, Trade

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$XME

March 20 – MACD is pinching and about to turn up, also waiting for price above 20 MA. This is a great looking chart and an argument could be made that a long position before everything lines up as I noted is sound. It’s a great looking chart because MACD is bottom (for clarity), so when it turns if all other indicators look good there should be room for a decent trade. Caution should be noted that now after having gone through a number of charts this evening the market is at a decision so any swing trades should be considered at length and stops should be tight IMO.

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$XME, Swing Trading

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$URRE

March 20 – Like so many of the charts this week, there is indecision. However, if the indicators line up this has excellent upside potential. The MACD pinching at the bottom is key IMO.

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

$URRE, Swing Trading

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

Others on watch but not ready to report charting:

$RIG – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Above 200 day but needs to trade above 20 MA for long.

$XLE – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Needs 200 day and to trade above 20 MA for long or it becomes a short.

$SLX – MACD is pinching on the turn back up – waiting for it to turn up and 45.50 to hold for one day to confirm break out. Or, on downdraft I would look at a 100 MA long entry also.

$X – This one is riskier than most on this list, however, I am watching the MACD for a turn up for a possible long.

$AKS – MACD is turning up now, watching for price to trade above 20, 50, 100 that are clustered together. It is well over 200 MA.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $AXP, $ABX, $RIG, $XLE, $SLX, $X, $XME, $AKS

 

 


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading Swing Trading Keep It Simple K.I.S.S. Charting Review (Public Edition) for the week of March 19, 2017! This edition focuses on MACD, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages and a few others. 

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Members please refer to the member publications for more detail.

Introduction:

My perspective of the markets can be summarized as go long when you can until it breaks (and I do believe there is a break on the horizon but it doesn’t do you any good to wait around for corrections).

Understanding what the simple indicators are for the entry and exit in your trading position in a swing trade is critical – proper entries and exits can not only increase your win rate but also significantly impact your personal investment portfolio return on investment, thus a critical discipline to at least become moderately familiar. The buy and hold concept has served investors moderately well for some time, but even so, they could have do so much better with very little time invested.

Click here also to review our most recent Swing Trading Quarterly Performance Report.

Thanking you in advance.

This Week’s Simple Charts include MACD, Moving Averages (MA), Stochastic RSI and a custom Squeeze Momentum Indicator for the US Dollar, Volatility, Gold, Miners, Silver, Crude Oil and the S&P 500. Daily charts with some 60 min perspectives.

Simple Charting $SPY MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turning down, under 20 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrading

On the daily MACD says it’s on a sell but Stoch RSI on a buy. Wait for MACD to confirm.

$SPY, Daily, Chart

Simple Charting $SPY MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turning down, under 20 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrading

Simple Charting $SPY 60 Min MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turned down, on 200 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #DayTrading

Hourly $SPY MACD is on sell, Stoch RSI looks confused and price is testing the 200 MA. #caution SQZMOM turned way down also.

$SPY, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charting $SPY 60 Min MACD turned down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI Pinch, SQMOM turned down, on 200 MA. $SPXL $SPXS #DayTrading

Simple Charts $DXY MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM down, under 20 50 100 MA pinch. $UUP $USD #SwingTrading

Daily MACD on sell, Stoch RSI on sell, BUT the 50 MA is pinching 20 MA – wait for MACD to confirm long and price above MA’s.

$DXY, Daily, Chart

Simple Charts $DXY MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM down, under 20 50 100 MA pinch. $UUP $USD #SwingTrading

Simple Charts $VIX MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, under 20 50 100 200 MA. $UVXY $TVIX $XIV

Daily says volatility is dead. Wait. Even the stochastic RSI is turned down.

$VIX, Daily, Chart

Simple Charts $VIX MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, under 20 50 100 200 MA. $UVXY $TVIX $XIV

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Daily MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, on 200 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Crude oil is back at the 200 MA on the daily – careful because it goes south of the 200 and springs sometimes – it catches shorts shorties. Wait for MACD to confirm. #patience

Crude, Oil, Daily, Chart

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Daily MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, on 200 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC 60 Min MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, on 100 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Even the hourly says wait. Lots of indecision. OPEC and company wouldn’t have anything to do with this I am sure.

Crude, Oil, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC 60 Min MACD flat (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM flat, on 100 MA. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT #Daytrading

Simple Charts #GOLD Daily MACD pinch (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, 100 50 MA cross. #SwingTrading $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F

Indecision on the Gold daily with MACD pinch – so watch that close, but the stoch RSI is up and don’t forget about that bullish 100 50 MA cross. Let the MACD confirm on a swing to go long.

Gold, Daily, Chart, Swing Trading

Simple Charts #GOLD Daily MACD pinch (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM down, 100 50 MA cross. #SwingTrading $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F

Simple Charts #GOLD 60 Min MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM green, above MA’s. #DayTrading $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F

Hourly shows a little different picture, bulls are in it (price action) BUT they are not all in – the MACD and the Stoch RSI need to confirm.

Gold 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charts #GOLD 60 Min MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM green, above MA’s. #DayTrading $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F

Simple Charts #SILVER 60 Min MACD flat – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM green, 200 100 MA pinch. #DayTrading $SLV $USLV $DSLV

The Silver hourly is all about the 200 MA crossing the 100 MA – watch that close. Wait for MACD to confirm for good measure.

Silver, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charts #SILVER 60 Min MACD flat – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI down, SQMOM green, 200 100 MA pinch. #DayTrading $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Simple Charts #SILVER Daily MACD down – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM red, below 20 50 200 MA. #SwingTrading $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver daily chart says MACD isn’t confirming yet, however, MACD is curling and Stoch RSI is turned up off the bottom. 50 MA could be an temporary glass ceiling also.

Silver, 60 Min, Chart

Simple Charts #SILVER Daily MACD down – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM red, below 20 50 200 MA. #SwingTrading $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Simple Charts $GDX Miners Daily MACD up – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI way up, SQMOM red – up, on 100 MA 20 MA test. #SwingTrading $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Miner’s are always fun to review. They always front run – sometimes for the better and sometimes splat! Nonetheless the MACD on daily is turned up BUT the Stochastic RSI is revved – you may want to wait for that to cool before entering a swing.

GDX, Chart, Miners, Daily, SwingTrading

Simple Charts $GDX Miners Daily MACD up – up (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI way up, SQMOM red – up, on 100 MA 20 MA test. #SwingTrading $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Simple Charts $GDX Miners 60 Min MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM red, under 20 200 MA. #DayTrading $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Miner’s on the 60 min actually show a MACD turned down – late week panic with the bulls? Weekend beer money maybe. I would go wider time-frame and allow the daily on $GDX to guide your way – wait for the simple indicators to all line up.

Miners, $GDX, Chart, 60 Min

Simple Charts $GDX Miners 60 Min MACD down (green buy, red sell), Stoch RSI up, SQMOM red, under 20 200 MA. #DayTrading $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

That’s my simple perspective for the week. Best to y’all this week.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

P.S.

The charts below may assist you in the endeavor of trade entry / exit and if you wish to become more serious (more profitable) with your entries refer to our swing trading for more insight (includes many equities also in the weekly reports).

The charting algorithm model Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Picks, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTI, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, MACD, Charting, ROI, USD, Dollar, Volatility, Gold, Miner’s, Silver, Crude, Oil, S&P 500, Stochastic, RSI, Moving Averages, MA, Commodities, Currencies