Tuesday April 25, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

The first two charts below are new and the link to the chart is new. However, I have left charts and comments from previous posts because the signals remain the same.

New observations per the new charts below are;

  1. The downward trending bias our traders are using in trade previously described is in fact proving out.
  2. The downward trending channel I had predicted is proving out in trade.
  3. More specifically the bottom wall of the predicted channel has in fact manifested, tested and confirmed (orange circle).
  4. I have added a few possible algo targets for the Tues, Wed and Fri target times. The targets ARE SOFT TARGETS and NOT PREDICTABLE in this channel YET.

Please see previous report comments below for trading support and resistance considerations.

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday April 25, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/xNGqkAmC/

Current area of trade with lower channel wall and width and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 415 AM Apr 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, OIL

Current area of trade with lower channel wall and width and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 415 AM Apr 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Downtrending chanel wall predicted proved out and held. Crude algo intra work sheet 406 AM Apr 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Channel , Downtrending, EPIC, Oil, Chart

Downtrending chanel wall predicted proved out and held. Crude algo intra work sheet 406 AM Apr 25 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

BELOW – Upper and lower horizontal resistance and channel walls and comments PER PREVIOUS REPORT(S).

Upper Resistance 51.00. Crude algo intra work sheet 105 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Resistance, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI

Upper Resistance 51.00. Crude algo intra work sheet 105 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower support 47.61. Crude algo intra work sheet 112 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Support, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI

Lower support 47.61. Crude algo intra work sheet 112 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.73 at 3:26 AM EST Apr 24, 2017. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 49.84.

The upper range resistance and downdraft per my post warnings the last number of weeks has now played out.

Below are the new algorithmic chart modeling calculated trading range signals. Please keep in mind that the downdraft in oil trade was significant so the calculations are interim and intraday and are likely to be modified over the next few days. In other words, take trades one decision at a time.

First most important signal is that trade is now confirmed to be trading in a new lower broad quadrant. This quadrant contains a range of trade in FX $USOIL $WTI between 47.61 as support and 51.00 as resistance. As I have explained in previous reports, this broad range support and resistance areas are zone areas, in other words they are not hard targets – consider them soft (or areas of support and resistance). They are represented on the chart as thick grey lines (horizontal) marked with grey arrows and are in the charts below. You can be most confident trading short at resistance (once confirmed) and secondary moderately confident entering long at the support area. But remember, trade often over-shoots support and resistance for a brief time (this has been observed in my reporting and oil trade consistently).

The next most important area of support and resistance are the diagonal dotted grey lines. The thicker the line the more important it is. A new downtrend channel is being established and is represented by thicker dotted diagonal lines that are marked with grey arrows. The other diagonal dotted grey lines are important for intraday support and resistance also, but not so much. If trade breaches the downward channel outlined you can consider the channel broken and would be updated. There are two solid white diagonal line arrows that represent / show the width of the new channel (at this point).

You will of course find standard horizontal support and resistance represented as different colored lines (purple and yellow being conventional charting support and resistance) and the others representing Fibonacci levels.

The algo targets (red circles) are very preliminary in this new range and should not be traded against – only observed as reference.

Our traders will be trading the upper resistance areas short (at channel and at horizontal resistance grey thick line). They will also trade the support of the channel long very cautiously and the support of thick grey line at 47.61 with moderate caution because their bias is short. When the take a trade long or short off resistance or support they will use the Fib lines as intra-day test areas for resistance and support.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Oil got a bit of a bounce off its 200 MA – but you want to watch the supports at the two other white arrows – VERY IMPORTANT. Especially if they coincide with algorithmic model charting.

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan for Monday April 24, 2017; $GS, $XIV, $BDLV, $OPTT, $SCYX, $BCR, $XBIT, $DB, $SVXY, $XIV  — $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Time to suit up. ?? Were going for a ride today. #premarket

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Trading Checklist (Rules) I Follow Before Triggering. Part 2 of “Freedom Traders” Series.

Now I’m Inspired! My Guarantee to Struggling Traders (and Yours). Part 3 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Most recent Premarket Chart Set-Up Video (most recent available to public – there may be other exclusive’s in member newsletters):

Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell):

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: Premarket Leaderboard: $OPTT $SCYX $BCR $XBIT $DB $SVXY $XIV

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX are breaking out, $GLD, $GDX are both under continued pressure – we will see – thinking $DGLD, $USOIL, $WTIC tanked like EPIC said it would so we’ll see what range it gets next here.

OTC on watch: $BLDV, $UPZS, $OPMZ $LIGA $MMEX $AMLH $ACOL $BVTK $USRM

Gap ups:

News on these plays: $AMDA, $XOMA, $EARS, $CARAm $AKTX, AUXO

Chart Set-Ups on Watch: $SNAP, $ROL, $XRT, $VFC, $CALA, $CELG, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $OAK, $BOFI, $AXP, $TWLO, $BA, $LIT, $ABX,

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing: $GS, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA

$OPTT, Chart, Premarket, Trading, Plan

$OPTT Premarket +48%

Market Outlook :

Looks like risk off for at least a while here.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Chicago Fed Activity Index

10:30am
Dallas Fed Mfg Survey

11:30am
Neel Kashkari Speaks

3:15pm
Neel Kashkari Speaks

$AMDA Amedica Announces Regulatory Clearance to Market and Sell Valeo® Silicon Nitride Spinal Implants in Australia

$XOMA Announces Positive Results from its Phase 2 Proof-Of-Concept Study of Prolactin Inhibition

$CARA Announces Positive Data From Quantitative Phase 1 Trial Measuring Respiratory Safety of I.V. CR845

$AKTX
Akari Therapeutics Reports Positive Response with Coversin in Ongoing Phase 2 PNH Trial and in Additional Clinical Targets[+]

$AUXO – Auxilio Announces 5 New Security Customers, Terms Not Disclosed

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List :Premarket Leaderboard: $OPTT $SCYX $BCR $XBIT $DB $SVXY $XIV I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $UVXY $TVIX $NUGT $GLD $JNUG $GDX $TZA $AKTX $XOMA $ISLE $ABX $TLT $CCLP I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $ATI $CPT $ALK $KEY $XLNX $SWK $COL $AMX $IDCC $STLD $AKS $X $NUE $SONC $ADI $TRV as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $BAC $NVET $SBH $MZOR $GMED $CBF $CRTO $TBK $DFT $GRPN $AU $GFI $GLPG $DIS $MLCO $GWW as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GS, $XIV, $BDLV, $OPTT, $SCYX, $BCR, $XBIT, $DB, $SVXY, $XIV – $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Compound Trading Wednesday April 19, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Stock Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Chart Trading and Live Stock Alerts. $SNGX, $USOIL, $DWT, $GOLD, $DUST, $TWLO, $BABA –  $LIGA, $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc …

Intro:

Compound Trading is a trading group active in day trading, swing trading and algorithmic model charting (black box).

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat not applicable is deleted from transcript below but raw video footage is as it occurred – uncut). Chat trade room is recorded daily for trade archive (embedded below and available on our YouTube channel).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators we are looking for in and out off each trade. Typically at market open and for chart review during lunch hour at minimum) and has live chart screen sharing right from our monitors. At times guest traders and associate traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Now I’m Inspired! My Guarantee to Struggling Traders (and Yours). Part 3 “Freedom Traders” Series.

Last market trading session Post Market Stock Trading Results can be found here:

Premarket Trading Plan Watch-list for this session can be found here (locked to respect members and unlocked to public about a week later for transparency):

Most recent Premarket Chart Set-Up Video (most recent available to public – there may be other exclusive’s in member newsletters):

Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Most recent Mid Day Chart Set-Up Review Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Most Recent Public Swing Trading Simple Charting can be found here: Swing Trading Simple Charts (Public) Apr 16 $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTIC, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, $USDJPY, #GOLD, #SILVER

Premarket Session: 

Premarket momo.

Premarket $NVLS, $SNGX, $RARE

$SNGX premarket up 32% on positive news.

PreMarket ? Trading Plan Wed Apr 19 $MS, $SNGX $UPZS, $OPMZ, $LIGA, $MMEX, $USOIL, $WTI, $GDX #trading

Morning! Premarket member chart set-up review in trading room 9:00! Charts. Live voice broadcast. https://compoundtrading.com #freedomtraders

In Play: $SNGX, $IMGN, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $BOLD, $SBGL, $AGIO, $UVXY High Uncertainty: $EWZ, $SRNE, $X premarket

In play today in chat room and on markets: $IDXG , $GNC $DWT, $DUST, $USOIL, $WTIC, $GDX

Curt M: Long $SNGX 1000 4.51
Curt M: Long 4.57 3000
Curt M: Out 4.83 4000 shares

$SNGX market open momo went fantastic – waiting on 100%. Primary indicators.

Leaderboard: $SNGX 72% $EGT 23.5% $CALI 14.5% $CAMP 14% $IMGN 12.6% $AIRI 9%

Closing my $DUST and $DWT positions

How-to Trade Stocks, Lessons and Educational:

$SNGX trade

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size) – $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Momentum Stocks Today (via FinViz):

NA

Algorithm Charting News:

Direct algo target hit Tues 430 and Wed 1030 ? Crude algo intra work sheet FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC the Oil Algo called the top in oil almost to the cent ten weeks in advance. Not bad. $UWOIL $WTI $CL_F $OOTT #OIL @EPICtheAlgo

This morning “experts” still on TV “Buy #oil right now!” Ugh. I sat there thinking, you must have access to same chart models we have. #OOTT

Algorithmic chart model reset tonight. Massive data processing w aggresive downdraft today. @EPICtheAlgo ? $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #OIL

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Swing Trading Notes / News:

$TWLO Swing Trade going well. Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 tight stop.

$BABA Closed trade at 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost average #swingtrading

The Swing Trading Twitter feed is here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

NA

Gold $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GC_F :

Gold. Sometimes simple charts better. #Gold $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST #Commodities

Gold Miner’s $GDX:

For those buying GDX on war concerns. Gold production tends to collapse during wars. Resources diverted to war efforts.

Silver $SLV:

NA

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Seasonality. Crude oil. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #Crude #Oil

Volatility $VIX:

$VIX Market Bottoms ? …. Is A Market Bottom Near? Watch For A VIX Spike Reversal – blog by @hedgopia
$SPY $VIX $VXX

$SPY S&P 500 / $SPX:

A number of notable short-term extremes suggest $SPX is near a point of reversal higher.

$NG_F Natural Gas:

NA

Markets Looking Forward:

NA

Live Trading Chat Room Video Raw Footage and Transcript:

Two Part video (Part 1 embed is below and go to Compound Trading Youtube channel for Part 2 of live feed from day and other charting from the day)
 

 

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix. Also, please note, sometimes pieces of the transcript are missing (also something we are working on). But the video is raw and complete.

Sartaj: Pre-Market Chart Setup Review begins in five minutes
Curt M: Premarket chart review 9:05 start – waiting on a coffee brew sorry lol >>>>>>>>>>>
Sartaj: Okay
Curt M: Get any in here ya want to review pls.
Curt M: A lot of stragglers this morning.
Curt M: back in a few.
Sartaj: Anyone have requests? Nows your chance
Spiegel: it works
Curt M: thanks
sbrasel: chk ?
Curt M: Going to get coffee b r back
Sartaj: Okay, so far we have $CHK
Sartaj: Any other requests?
Curt M: On mic in 1 minute premarket chart set up review >>>>>>>>>>>>
Curt M: Hoping some stragglers get in here that need to be lol
sfkrystal: hi everyone first day here 🙂
Curt M: hey krystal
deb: mornin krystal
Spiegel: I took some SPY calls near the close yesterday. Projections of how far rally should go today or for rest of week?
Spiegel: Hey krystal. My 2nd day.
mat: XLE looks primed and ready. My main focus for today
Spiegel: $BVTK or $DOLV please
mat: XLE yesterday bottomed on a long tern channel going back a year and a half or so
mat: Here’s the 3 year weekly of what I was talking about in XLE http://tos.mx/FJXJdu
sfkrystal: love the technicals. pretty. $IDXG looks bearish for today?
Curt M: Premarket review complet>>>>>> on mic in 1 min for open
Sartaj: Hello, Gary
Curt M: On mic for open >>>>>>>>>>>>
gary y: good morning everyone
Curt M: Long $SNGX 1000 4.51
Shafique: in w ya
Flash G: $GS action
MarketMaven: In too
Flash G: $FB tape strong
Hedgehog Trader: enjoying your analysis Curt
Flash G: $BIDU big blocks
Curt M: Stop set 3.99
Shafique: $VHC momo
lenny: PRKR also
mat: manipulation at its finest on this one
mat: Clearly not all but those are some funny candles
mat: Gold getting smashed
Hedgehog Trader: $SINO shipper very low vol but chart looks great
Curt M: Long 4.57 3000
Curt M: Out 4.83 4000 shares
MarketMaven: holding
deb: nce play
sfkrystal: brilliant, thank you!
cara: yeeehaw
Spiegel: Excellent. I can see I joined the right room.
sfkrystal: yes me too, thanks again
Curt M: thanks guys and gals:) be back soon
Flash G: You youngsters will do well in here. Just follow the rules so you don’t get burnt. Stops always. #1
MarketMaven: Flash is the wisdom guy:)
lenny: I’m just adding this is going to be huge hahaha maybe hopefully – but nice play
Spiegel: Flash, I just wrote in black magic marker on a piece of paper in bold letters “USE STOP LOSS ORDERS ON EVERY TRADE!!!”
Flash G: Yes
Curt M: Sartaj you around?
Spiegel: Do you guys use sfixed % stops or do you base them on MA’s or on support?
gary y: stops take the emotion out of the trade
Flash G: Gary should be listened to btw – he’s no begginer
Sartaj: I am here
Curt M: I’m going to get on mic with a chart save how to use session for 10 mins at most if you’re ready
Sartaj: Okay, I’m ready
Curt M: need to ublish this for new users
Curt M: On mic 10:23 >>>>>>>>>>>> using tradingview charts
Curt M: Off mic back in 20 mins – running scans >>>>>>>>> 10:34 AM
MarketMaven: I closed btw big win might re-enter
Shafique: holding 50%
lenny: hold 30%
deb: enjoyed that thanks
Shafique: closed $SNGX
Sartaj: Algo target is on course for a direct hit, oil subs
Curt M: Leaderboard: $SNGX 72% $EGT 23.5% $CALI 14.5% $CAMP 14% $IMGN 12.6% $AIRI 9%
Shafique: EPIC is…. well yes EPIC
Sartaj: Excited for the coding phase
Curt M: wow serious bandwith challenge lol
Sartaj: There it is
Sartaj: Direct hit
Curt M: yup
Curt M: EPIC is EPIC haha
Sartaj: I think Spiegel must have made up for yesterday. He seems to have disappeared
Curt M: haha
Curt M: hopefully he made out ok
Flash G: Watching $VZ for possible entry
Curt M: My $DUST play is up again. 3 days in a row. nice
Curt M: I might add to $DUST soon – when Stoch RSI is at bottom on 5 min and curls up
Curt M: But MACD is too high and SQZMOM is turning down come to think about it
Curt M: $CBLI is back lol its up 14% trading at 3.97
Curt M: thats on watch again for afternoon
Spiegel: I was able to add your charts to my tradingview account no problem
Curt M: Nice. Hopefully that helps.
Spiegel: thanks
Curt M: No prob. A little technical helps.
Curt M: I look at technicals like a GPS lol
Curt M: #EIA report is over so $SPY could get lift between now and 2:40 IMO
Curt M: If $SPY holds green between now and pit close at 2:30 it will get lift for sure after 2:30 at latest – but it has to hold green.
Curt M: If it stays green and gets lift over that 20 MA then momo stocks will fly
Curt M: So be careful listening to bear chatter.
Shafique: For members that may not realize, when Curt puts that bull picture on Twitter, you know the momentum plays are coming. I think it was Monday he posted the bull again.

yehodap: but more now mysz
Curt M: Closing my $DUST and $DWT positions – nice profit – will re-enter again soon.
Curt M: EPIC called the top almost to the penny 10 weeks in advance – not bad.
MarketMaven: EPIC hahahahaha hasn’t missed
Curt M: $CBLI gonna run or what? off VWAP
Curt M: There is ZERO good about the $MYSZ chart. ZERO.
Sartaj: And FYI: http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MYSZ/community?ltr=1
yehodap: MYSZ …..YES YES— AKK THE BAD AND ALL THE GOOD! THIS IS TOTAL MACHINE STOCK.
Spiegel: So for CBLI, a good buyback place would have been when stochastic started to turn up again at 5.07 OR wait for it to cross 8 ema at 5.13?
Curt M: That was your only warning Yegodap. No pumps or permanently banned.
gary y: thank you
Spiegel: and typing all in caps doesn’t make your point any stronger
yehodap: SORRY
yehodap: sorry
Curt M: 🙂
Curt M: Okay 2:47 lets get one
Spiegel: So back to CBLI. So a good buyback place would have been when stochastic started to turn up again at 5.07 OR wait for it to cross 8 ema at 5.13? Thanks.
Curt M: tough play
yehodap: cbli , put short xxxx stock .fo rmy eyes the stock can go back.
Curt M: give me a sec
Curt M: I don’t think I’ll trade it unless it changes.
Curt M: BUt I know 4 people in room are still in it
MarketMaven: It looks done for the day.
MarketMaven: Power hour may do something
Spiegel: Buying th stochastic turn up also coincided with a break up through a trendline drawn from the highs.
MarketMaven: true
MarketMaven: lol
Curt M: need to focus
Sartaj: Sorry to our members, we haven’t had to deal with something like that in the room before. I guess it was to be expected at some point.
Curt M: $SPY is at moderately important support FYI. Not critical but important.
Curt M: TL support. Diagonal. And algorithmic.
Curt M: Trading the new channel in oil pressure should provide a decent set of trades over coming days.
Curt M: Just realized my $DUST position was underwater – orginal position 1/5 caused that. Will be on post market report. But $DWT banked.
MarketMaven: I knew that I just thought you meant the second position was positive.
Curt M: lol ya
Curt M: Lots of resetting in the charts tonight wow.
Curt M: Nasdaq still green
Curt M: funny kinda
Curt M: I have peeps DMing me “what the f happened today” ummm oil hit resistance folks – big resistance EIC been saying biggest in more than ten years:)
Curt M: When oil gets near the 200 day you can expect rumors from OPEC
Sandara Q: yup
Curt M: Well they’ll hold $SPY up if they have to and oil may come off to 200 day but the rumors will start and we’ll go for another while. It’s all about trying to get oil through the resistance.
Flash G: Pretty much summarizes it.
Flash G: Until the oil bounce…. ?
Curt M: Morning momentums, shippers likely, OTC likely, trade oil down the channel until the bounce. Swing plays will be tough with exception of some selective ones. All my opinion of course.
Flash G: Selective swings like selective hearing
Flash G: I won’t expound
Leanne: my kids and dogs have selective hearing
Curt M: ha I think Flash was hinting too
Flash G: at least your husbands listens
Leanne: happy wife is a happy life says my husband
Flash G: kinda like loch ness
MarketMaven: omg
MarketMaven: Flash needs a drink
MarketMaven: Well that was a great week so far. Made my year.
Shafique: it was a great week maybe it will continue tomorrow
sbrasel_1: is Xiv a good swing trade at 64.55?
Curt M: i’ll look
Curt M: To trade $CIX what I do is wait for $SPY to get to it’s low – or support, Oil to be at support or low (on the timeframe you are trading) and wait for VIX to be outsideits upp bollinger band and preferrably at upside resistance on the downwar TL
Curt M: Sorry not CIX XIV lol
sbrasel_1: ok
Curt M: I’ll get you some numbers
Curt M: 229.60 on $SPY is where I’ll be targeting. With $VIX preferrably at upside resistance.
Curt M: I know 229.60 sounds aggressive but thats the number we have.
Curt M: And that algo has been hitting the upside and downside moves for months to the penny almost
sbrasel_1: Thanks
Curt M: no prob
Curt M: Only thing is if $SPY hits that number $VIX will likely be way over TL resistance lol but who knows
Curt M: On a daytrade may be different
Flash G: In large part Curt is right about managed markets. They will ikely find a way to hold $SPY near and OPEC rumors etc.It find some downside but not likely much. Then $XIV is the entry.
Shafique: That is the way I see it also.
Shafique: It all changed in 2009
Spiegel: Although Another OTC type we should have caught today is COTE. Amazing chart
Curt M: lol don’t tell me ugh
Spiegel: lol
Curt M: I’ll be studying OTC all night 🙂
Spiegel: give it a look
Spiegel: Right now the excitement is in the triple zero stocks
Curt M: Yes
Curt M: Typical for when markets are at extended highs in my experience should have known
Spiegel: that first bar with volume wouldve been perfect to get ini
Curt M: less than 2 hours ago
Curt M: 540%
Spiegel: not a bad return
Curt M: I’ll be up all night lol they’re hot
MarketMaven: Well you know me – throw the ball
Flash G: This will be fun to watch.
Curt M: $STUDY night
Spiegel: OTC pinx
Curt M: ya just checking the regs even theyre hot
Curt M: not like the pinks
Curt M: lol
Curt M: Tonight I’ll go through them and maybe swing at a few in morning
Curt M: Have a great night
MarketMaven: You too Curt
Shafique: Good night Israel!
Spiegel: Have a good one!
lenny: lol peace guys and gals! to all!
Curt M: cya
Sartaj: Peace

 

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Article Topics: $SNGX, $USOIL, $DWT, $GOLD, $DUST, $TWLO, $BABA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Learning, How To, Trade, Trading, Educational, Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading stocks for the week of April 23, 2017. $LIT, $BA, $RIG, $ABX, $EXK, $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $AXP, $XLE, $SLX, $X, $XME, $AKS and more.

Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning! 

Below is an update of holds, closed trades and new trades within the stocks we are currently covering for swing trades on this list (one of three lists – the other two are to follow over next day or two).

Any updates below specific to the more recent reports are highlighted in red to simplify the process for you.

Stock Picks Coverage

$LIT  – Global Lithium

April 24 – Watching. Stoch RSI turned up at bottom and MACD trending down.

April 19 – MACD crossed down April 13. Closed 28.30 all shares.

April 10 – Trading 28.87 Holding.

April 5 – $LIT Alerted on March 27 report and went long 27.32 March 30 – long entry still intact as MACD is up, SQZMOM green or wait for pull back then enter. We expect this sector to stay hot – but if not in you may want to wait for STOCH RSI to cool and turn back up and go long.

$LIT, Stock, Pick, Swing, Trade

$LIT Alerted on March 27 report and went long 27.32 March 30 – long entry still intact as MACD is up, SQZMOM green or wait for pull back then enter.

$BA – Boeing

April 24 – Long 180.06 500 share test April 21 because MACD turned up and SQZMOM turned green. Earnings on deck so very careful. May close before earnings and re-enter after. 

April 19 – Watching. Waiting for MACD to cross up.

Apr 10, 2017 – Watching

April 5, 2017 – $BA Boeing – It’s early but increasing volume, Stoch RSI turn up, MACD turn up pinch, SQZMOM wait for it to turn green and POW

$BA Boeing live chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BA/9oB2G2vk-BA-Boeing-It-s-early-but-increasing-volume-Stoch-RSI-turn-up/

$BA, Boing, Swing, Trading

$BA Boeing – It’s early but increasing volume, Stoch RSI turn up, MACD turn up pinch, SQZMOM wait for it to turn green and POW

$EXK – EXK Silver Mining

Apr 24 – Trading 3.12. Holding long 3.49 3000 shares.

Apr 19 – Holding long 3.49. Trading 3.20. Stoch RSI almost at bottom and will watch close when Stoch RSI turns back up.

Apr 10 – Holding trading 3.45

Apr 5 – $EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 average cost basis April 4 3000 shares.

$EXK, Silver, stock, chart

$EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 April 4.

$BABA – Alibaba

April 24 – Watching.

April 19 – Closed 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost avg 500 shares. Will allow MACD to return to bottom for re-entry.

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Closed trade at 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost average #swingtrading

April 10 – Hit 110.45, very near our 111.40 target. Holding, trading 109.34. Long 104.64.

April 4 – Holding long 500 shares from 104.64 now trading 108.17. It is testing all time highs and we may add on a break of all time highs. If it pulls back we may cut for a small profit. First price target is 111.40 (see below)

$BABA Live chart with indicators including that SQZMOM indicator – sweeet tool! https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BABA/Lbao9BVu-BABA-Swing-Trade-going-well-Our-Swing-Trading-side-is-in-at-10/

March 27 – We’re long 104.64 500 shares March 22 at test of 20 MA. Stop is at our entry and we are looking for a fresh break-out. However, the market sentiment is not great right now so we are unsure. There is an upside pivot at 111.38 we are watching for resistance should price continue up. Also watching MACD close.

$BABA, Swing, Trading

$BABA Swing trade

March 20 – Wait for MACD to turn up and confirm and stay long until MACD turns down. The Stoch RSI seems to be frontrunning the MACD fyi. $BABA is one of my favorites right now and I see a long entry early in the week.

$BABA Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GsGBi5f2-BABA-Daily-100-MA-50-MA-Cross-MACD-Pinch-SQZMOM-up-Stoch-RSI/

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$NFLX

April 24 – Trading 142.87. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 143.75 – waiting for MACD to turn up.

April 10 – We closed flat 145.50. Trading 142.80. Waiting for MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM to turn green for entry long.

April 4 – March 29 we entered 145.50 500 shares when MACD turned up per watch trigger below. Stop is at flat at entry and we will re-enter if we have to. Will look at adding pending triggers – will advise.

$NFLX Live chart with indicators https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/ozKJQ8t4-NFLX-March-29-we-entered-swing-trade-145-50-when-MACD-turned-t/

March 27 – MACD has been flat or turned down since last post. Looking close at MACD turn up and entry this week.

March 20 – The only thing that concerns me is the price staying above approximately 145.05 as a low on any given day. I may also look for that in addition to indicators lists below. Same thing with this one, exit when MACD turning down. Chances are high I will enter long early week.

Live $NFLX Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/4RQP5P9P-NFLX-Daily-abover-20-MA-Stoch-RSI-Revved-MACD-turning-up-SQZMOM/

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation.

$NFLX, Swing Trading, Stocks

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation. #swingtrading

$GSIT

April 24 – Trading 7.96. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 7.63. MACD still trending down. Waiting for it to turn up.

April 10 – Trading 8.18, Stoch RSI curling up, waiting on MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – $GSIT finally cooling off and coming back to earth. Watching that MACD very close for a turn up (after it returns to bottom hopefully).

Mar 27 – Sure enough, it was on its way to the 20 MA this past week and stopped short and got some lift and closed Friday sitting on 8 ema. Will wait for it to line up.

Mar 20 – The reason I have this on the list is because as a break-out stock it is about as clean as they come, however, break out stocks come with risk. So you have two options (and shorting right now isn’t one), you can either wait for it to get near a 20 MA test and go long when other indicators line up or open a short time-frame chart and trade it. I will be waiting for the 20 MA test.

GSI Technology, Inc. to Present at the Global Predictive Analytics Conference http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gsi-technology-inc-present-global-173705866.html

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$GSIT, Chart, ,Swing, Trading

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$AXP

April 24 – Trading 79.63. Long 78.01 500 shares April 20 when MACD turned up. Watching for MACD, Stoch RSI to remain, and SQZMOM to turn green for possible add.

$AXP, Swing, Trading, Stock, Chart

$AXP Swing Trade Going Well. MACD turned up for long 78.01 test.

April 19 – Trading 75.50. MACD getting close to bottom. On watch for MACD cross up.

April 10 – Trading 77.77. Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – $AXP American Express. So close. SQZMOM about to turn, MACD cross on deck just need PTPTRR to line up. Need volume & power. #swingtrading $AXP Price Trigger Power Trade Risk Reward – PTPTRR #trading Over the Wall!

$AXP, Swing, Trading, Chart

$AXP American Express. So close. SQZMOM about to turn, MACD cross on deck just need PTPTRR to all line up. Need volume and power. #swingtrading

March 27 – MACD has turned down and SQZMOM is red and negative but Stoch RSI is starting to curl – waiting for that MACD to take an entry.

March 20 – This is a trend play. The only thing you have to do is manage your entry point and risk. Wait for indicators to confirm next leg up about to start and take long entry. When MACD turns down on daily that is your exit. I really like this one, especially because MA’s are all on right side (aligned) and trend reversal is in place.

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100 MA at min 50MA.

$AXP, Stock, Swing, Trade

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100MA at min 50MA.

$ABX – Barrick Gold

April 24 – Trading 19.25 watching. Earnings on deck.

April 19 – Trading 19.46. Indicator indecision. Waiting on clarity.

April 10 – Waiting on MACD and Stoch RSI to cross and turn up for long. SQZMOM is green now. Trading 19.09.

April 4 – $ABX Setting up nicely. Above 200 MA, wait for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and turn if possible, be sure SQZMOM green and MACD turns up and kapow. Some volume and power would help too.

$ABX, Swing Trading, Chart

$ABX Setting up nicely. Above 200 MA, wait for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and turn if possible, be sure SQZMOM green and MACD turns up and kapow. Some volume and power would help too.

March 27 – Very close now. SQZMOM just turned green, MA’s are starting to line up but not all yet, Stoch RSI is turned down at top of range so I would like to see it at bottom when we enter and the MACD is turned up. So we’re waiting for the MA’s to line up and the Stoch RSI to be near or at bottom curling up (ideally).

March 20 – I will enter a long when price above 20 50 100 200 MA’s and will likely wait for the 200 MA to cross 100 MA (although not absolute). Like with all others I will exit when MACD turns down.

Freeport a better buy? https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/03/18/better-buy-freeport-mcmoran-inc-vs-barrick-gold.aspx

Inflation may send Gold higher. http://ir.baystreet.ca/article.aspx?id=528&1489764218

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$ABX, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$TAN

April 24 – Trading 17.04. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 17.39. This one is getting close. Stoch RSI has to come off and then turn up. SQZMOM is almost green and MACD cross up. When those line up we will take a long position.

April 10 – Trading 17.20, Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch.  Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to confirm green for long.

April 4 – NA

Mar 27 – $TAN chart is now “broken” and price is on its way to the lower pivot around 16.44. All indicators are pointing to down. It closed Friday at 17.29. So we will keenly watch it as it nears the lower pivot and see if the indicators line up for a long trade. If it lost lower pivot  we may even consider a short side entry pending indicators.

Mar 20 – Nice reversal play if it turns out. In addition to below watch the 200 MA as resistance if you go long.

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

TAN, Swing, Trade, Stocks

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

$VRX

April 24 – Trading 8.51 Watching.

April 19 – Trading 8.95. Not ready.

Apr 10 – Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to confirm green for long.

April 4 – I thought I’d run a poll on my Twitter feed to help us with this one.

$VRX Premarket up 1%. MACD cross flat… is this the bottom?

$VRX, Premarket

$VRX Premarket up 1%. MACD cross flat… is this the bottom

$VRX Premarket live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VRX/F7bVqHl7-VRX-Premarket-up-1-MACD-cross-flat-could-this-be-bottom/

March 27 – $VRX continues stepping down on the chart… per below, really important to wait for all the indicators to line up. So we remain patient and watch.

March 20 – This was looking like it was going to curl up last week and bounce but it failed. A great example of carefully watching a falling knife indicators before taking a long position. Use patience and when all indicators in play take a long.

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$VRX, Swing Trade, Bottom Play

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$TWLO

April 24 – Trading 30.82. Holding 1000 shares 29.60.

April 19 – Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 1000 shares. 

$TWLO, Swing, Trading

$TWLO Swing Trade going well. Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 tight stop.

April 10 – Trading 28.40. Stoch RSI curling up, waiting on MACD cross and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – No change.

March 27 – Price failed when it had to poke through 100 MA and continue – it failed and is on its way (possibly) to the previous low. So here, as with $VRX we employ patience – but get ready because the long in this one will be decent. Use the indicators noted below.

March 20 – Looks like bottom may be in. It is trending up. Looking for 100 MA to cross down under 20 MA (pinching now) and price to trade above 20 MA for long. Be sure to wait for MACD to confirm also first.

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$TWLO, Swing Trading

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$WYNN

April 24 – Trading 114.89. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 115.95. MACD trending down. Waiting for bottom and turn up. It has a ways to go.

April 10 – Closed 500 shares Friday 117.20. Trading 116.50. Watching MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM for reset at bottom and turn for re-entry.

April 4 – We triggered a stop at flat March 27 and had a re-entry at 111.04 when we looked at it again for 500 shares. Currently trading at 116.00 and we are watching MACD.  Which is currently at top. We may exit as MACD turns down and re-enter when MACD turns back up. Alternatively we may ride the MACD turn down as long as our original entry isn’t triggered as stop and when MACD turns back up add to position. Both are valid and we are undecided. 

March 26 – We took a long position at 110.93 for 500 share start on March 21. HOWEVER, we have a stop at our entry price (due to current market sentiment) and it is currently trading at 111.92. Careful with this one. 

March 20 – This isn’t easy to swing but is so hot it would be foolish to ignore, so discipline like with so many other plays in the current market is required. Seeing it hold 110.00 for a full day with indicators in line would put me in a long position.

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$WYNN, Swing, Trade

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$XME

April 24 – Trading 29.79. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 29.48. Close flat 30.59 on the 12th. Testing 200 MA now. Watching for Stoch RSI to turn up, MACD to turn up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 10 – Trading 30.84 holding. Long at 30.59. Tight stop.

April 5 – We opened a tight long position (so stop will be tight because you can always re-enter and metals charts still have to confirm so we are a tad early here) long 30.59 500 shares will add if it confirms and will cut bait if it comes off at most 2% and re-enter. Indicators look good BUT we are early. Use caution until metals etc confirm.

$XME Live trading chart with indicators listed. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XME/lkPWMXSp-XME-Metals-and-Mining-ETF-Above-21-ema-8-ema-20-MA-200-MA-MACD/ #swingtrading 

$XME, Swing, Trading, Alerts

$XME Metals and Mining ETF Above 21 ema 8 ema 20 MA 200 MA MACD turned up SQZMOM turned green today

March 27 – Price action has been poor since last report, the 200 MA is just below price now so we are going to see if the indicators line up for a bounce long position.

March 20 – MACD is pinching and about to turn up, also waiting for price above 20 MA. This is a great looking chart and an argument could be made that a long position before everything lines up as I noted is sound. It’s a great looking chart because MACD is bottom (for clarity), so when it turns if all other indicators look good there should be room for a decent trade. Caution should be noted that now after having gone through a number of charts this evening the market is at a decision so any swing trades should be considered at length and stops should be tight IMO.

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$XME, Swing Trading

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$URRE

April 24 – Trading 1.84. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 1.94. Watching. Indicator indecision.

Apr 10 – No change.

April 5 – $URRE isn’t as close to a buy as $XME above, HOWEVER, the SQZMOM did signal green today and the MACD is slightly turning up! So it is on HIGH WATCH now!

March 27 – Almost a replay from last week (the indicators), so we remain patient and watch.

March 20 – Like so many of the charts this week, there is indecision. However, if the indicators line up this has excellent upside potential. The MACD pinching at the bottom is key IMO.

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

$URRE, Swing Trading

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

Others on watch but not ready to report charting:

$RIG

April 24 – Trading 11.24. Watching.

April 19 – Watching.

Apr 10 – No Change. Trading 12.50.

April 5, 2017 – $RIG Sooo close. MACD up, SQZMOM about to turn GR, wedged, needs increasing volume and break-out confirmation for a long.

$RIG, Chart

$RIG Sooo close. MACD up, SQZMOM about to turn GR, wedged, needs increasing volume and break-out confirmation for a long.

March 27 – It is holding its 200 MA like a trooper, but I want to see it at least be over 20 MA and other indicators to line up.

March 20 – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Above 200 day but needs to trade above 20 MA for long.

$XLE

April 24 – Trading 67.79. Watching.

April 19 – Watching

April 10 – No change.

April 5 – $XLE chart is very similar to $RIG and others in this space, HOWEVER, it is still under 200 MA. On watch for break of 200 MA.

March 27 – The 50 has crossed the 100 and the 20 the 200 to downside – this is very bearish in the near term. Watching. It does qualify as a short and best when MACD at top turning down and Stoch RSI at top turning down with confirmation of price action and MA’s.

March 20 – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Needs 200 day and to trade above 20 MA for long or it becomes a short.

$SLX – Vaneck Vectors Steel

April 24 – Trading 37.55. On close watch.

April 19 – At 200 MA support test now. Watching indicators closely.

April 10 – No change. Trading 39.90.

April 5 – $SLX On watch for SQZMOM to turn green and MACD to turn up. Close.

$SLX, watch, chart

$SLX On watch for SQZMOM to turn green and MACD to turn up. Close.

March 27 – As with $XLE above this also qualifies as a short (pending short term indicators lining up when you take the position). Price lost the 100 MA and the indicators are negative – very bearish. Watching.

March 20 – MACD is pinching on the turn back up – waiting for it to turn up and 45.50 to hold for one day to confirm break out. Or, on downdraft I would look at a 100 MA long entry also.

$X – United States Steel Corp.

April 24 – Trading 30.10. On close watch. Earnings on deck. MACD needs to turn up.

April 19 – Trading 28.65. At 200 MA support test. As above watching indicators closely.

April 10 – Trading 34.40 premarket Monday. ON HIGH WATCH MACD about to cross up.

April 5 – Same as $SLX indicators above. Very close now.

March 27 – The $X trade is almost identical to $SLX above. Waiting.

March 20 – This one is riskier than most on this list, however, I am watching the MACD for a turn up for a possible long.

$AKS – Iron Steel Mills Foundry

April 24 – Trading 6.72. On close watch. MACD pinching up.

April 19 – Trading 6.40. Closed 6.97 fr loss April 11 when it lost 200 MA. On watch again.

April 10 – Long 7.30 April 7 1000 shares. MACD just turned up but SQZMOM is not green yet. 1/3 size entry with other 2/3 entry when SQZMOM turns green with other indicators confirming.

$AKS Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AKS/BbzvqPhJ-AKS-Swing-trade-position-long-April-7-swingtrading-stock-pic/

$AKS, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks

$AKS Swing trade position long April 7 #swingtrading #stock #picks

April 5 – Sitting right on 200 MA now. Watching for 200 MA to hold, MACD to turn up, SQZMOM to green.

March 27 – AKS is coming in on the 200 MA test. Watching.

March 20 – MACD is turning up now, watching for price to trade above 20, 50, 100 that are clustered together. It is well over 200 MA.

 

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $BA, $LIT, $RIG, $ABX, $XME, $EXK, $BABA, $WYNN, $NFLX, $URRE, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $AXP, $XLE, $SLX, $X, $XME, $AKS


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday April 24, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

$SPY is still trading within the range of its previous highs (which we alerted prior) and its low extension predicted.

However, it is very important to note that our traders are very biased to the upside and the recent resistance area we alerted members long before resistance occurred (at previous highs) could very well be tested or even breached.

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/1upvarDe-S-P-500-SPY-Symmetry-price-target-extensions-trade-quadrants/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/2e2dd5d8/

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon April 24 257 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Chart, Freedom Algo

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon April 24 257 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 229.24 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 237.24 – 237.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Monday April 24, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Sunday April 23, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JFuLiie4/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/elLesccY-EPIC-Oil-Algorithmic-Model-Charting/

Crude algo intra work sheet 101 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, $USOIL, $WTI, Algo

Crude algo intra work sheet 101 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Upper Resistance 51.00. Crude algo intra work sheet 105 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Resistance, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI

Upper Resistance 51.00. Crude algo intra work sheet 105 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower support 47.61. Crude algo intra work sheet 112 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Support, Oil, $USOIL, $WTI

Lower support 47.61. Crude algo intra work sheet 112 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.73 at 3:26 AM EST Apr 24, 2017. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 49.84.

The upper range resistance and downdraft per my post warnings the last number of weeks has now played out.

Below are the new algorithmic chart modeling calculated trading range signals. Please keep in mind that the downdraft in oil trade was significant so the calculations are interim and intraday and are likely to be modified over the next few days. In other words, take trades one decision at a time.

First most important signal is that trade is now confirmed to be trading in a new lower broad quadrant. This quadrant contains a range of trade in FX $USOIL $WTI between 47.61 as support and 51.00 as resistance. As I have explained in previous reports, this broad range support and resistance areas are zone areas, in other words they are not hard targets – consider them soft (or areas of support and resistance). They are represented on the chart as thick grey lines (horizontal) marked with grey arrows and are in the charts below. You can be most confident trading short at resistance (once confirmed) and secondary moderately confident entering long at the support area. But remember, trade often over-shoots support and resistance for a brief time (this has been observed in my reporting and oil trade consistently).

The next most important area of support and resistance are the diagonal dotted grey lines. The thicker the line the more important it is. A new downtrend channel is being established and is represented by thicker dotted diagonal lines that are marked with grey arrows. The other diagonal dotted grey lines are important for intraday support and resistance also, but not so much. If trade breaches the downward channel outlined you can consider the channel broken and would be updated. There are two solid white diagonal line arrows that represent / show the width of the new channel (at this point).

You will of course find standard horizontal support and resistance represented as different colored lines (purple and yellow being conventional charting support and resistance) and the others representing Fibonacci levels.

The algo targets (red circles) are very preliminary in this new range and should not be traded against – only observed as reference.

Our traders will be trading the upper resistance areas short (at channel and at horizontal resistance grey thick line). They will also trade the support of the channel long very cautiously and the support of thick grey line at 47.61 with moderate caution because their bias is short. When the take a trade long or short off resistance or support they will use the Fib lines as intra-day test areas for resistance and support.

 

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Oil got a bit of a bounce off its 200 MA – but you want to watch the supports at the two other white arrows – VERY IMPORTANT. Especially if they coincide with algorithmic model charting.

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

 

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan for Friday April 21, 2017; $BEBE, $BLDV, $DGLD, $GLD, $XIV, $SPY, $SPXL  — $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

I will be traveling today – so right after mid day chart set-up review I will be out of room. I will be leaving the room on and Sartaj will be in the room. The chart that I leave on will be static but the chat will be as usual.

$AAU Example of when 20 MA gets upside of 200 MA with price above. KAPOW! Waiting for Stoch RSI to return to bottom curl up. #swingtrading

Learning traders. Master this trade set-up. Change your life. #freedomtraders

Reviewing these trading set-ups in room all week at lunch. Here’s some raw footage. #trading #setups #freedomtraders

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Trading Checklist (Rules) I Follow Before Triggering. Part 2 of “Freedom Traders” Series.

Now I’m Inspired! My Guarantee to Struggling Traders (and Yours). Part 3 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting:

 

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Most recent Premarket Chart Set-Up Video (most recent available to public – there may be other exclusive’s in member newsletters):

Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters): Thursday market open is still in processing FYI.

Most recent Mid Day Chart Set-Up Review Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters): Thursday Mid Day chart review is still in processing FYI.

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell):

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: Quiet morning

Markets: $SPY could break out here, $GLD, $GDX are both under pressure – we will see – thinking $DGLD, $USOIL, $WTIC tanked like EPIC said it would so we’ll see what range it gets next here.

OTC on watch: $BLDV, $UPZS, $OPMZ $LIGA $MMEX $AMLH $ACOL $BVTK $USRM

Gap ups:

News on these plays: $BEBE, $VRX, $ABBV, 

Chart Set-Ups on Watch: $SNAP, $ROL, $XRT, $VFC, $CALA, $CELG, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $OAK, $BOFI

$SNAP responding to cross-overs on hourly 20 50 100 & 20 thru 200 MA? Stoch RSI revved need at bottom preferrably to trigger long. #trading

Live chart for those that have asked for me to share the indicators I use. Open, click share, click make it mine.

If you’re not sure how to get the chart indicators here’s a vid that explains

$SPY Price is above 20 MA, if it gets above 50 MA and 20 MA crosses up 50 MA you will see a good pop.

$SPY, Trading, Plan, Stocks, Premarket

$SPY Price is above 20 MA, if it gets above 50 MA and 20 MA crosses up 50 MA you will see a good pop.

Previous Day Momentum Stocks to watch: $BVLD OTC, $IMNP, $NADL, $SCSS, $SXC

$BLDV up 300% intraday on news.

Most holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA

I liquidated some positions on the bag list that will be explained in post market trading results report that will come out on weekend.

Market Outlook :

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Futures up with focus on France https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258631-futures-focus-france?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SPY $QQQ $DIA $SH

S&P +0.11%.

10-yr +0.04%.

Euro -0.23% vs. dollar.

Crude -0.16% to $50.63.

Gold +0.09% to $1,285.00.

9:30am
Neel Kashkari Speaks

9:45am
PMI Composite Flash

10am
Existing Home Sales

1pm
Baker-Hughes Rig Count

GE 1Q INDUSTRIAL OPER + VERTICALS EPS 21C, EST. 17C

Gilead’s NASH candidate GS-0976 shows treatment effect in early-stage study https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258611-gileads-nash-candidate-gsminus-0976-shows-treatment-effect-early-stage-study?source=feed_f … #premarket $GILD

$BEBE up near 9 percent in premarket trading now … announces it will shutter all of its stores

AbbVie’s G/P achieves 95% cure rate after eight weeks of treatment in HCV-3 patients https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258625-abbvies-g-p-achieves-95-percent-cure-rate-eight-weeks-treatment-hcvminus-3-patients?source=feed_f … #premarket $ABBV

$VRX Announces Pricing For SILIQ At $3500/month As The Lowest Priced Injectable Biologic For Moderate-To-Severe Plaque Psoriasis

Honeywell shares gain premarket after profit and sales top estimates

Mattel shares plunge 8% premarket after sales disappoint

XBiotech slumps nearly 30% premarket on likely EMA rejection of cancer drug:

Schlumberger posts $279M #profit after previous quarter loss

Visa shares up 2.6% premarket

Skechers shares up 3.3% in premarket trade

XBiotech’s stock plummets after cancer treatment receives disappointing review panel vote

$SYRS prices $35m offering at $13.50/share

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : Quiet morning I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $XBIT $MAT $CBLI $FIZZ $JDST $APRI $STM $GPT $NVDA $BLUW $BUD $SYT $VRX I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $CSX $GIMO $BDN $WABC $FFIN $FTNT $ALDW $CFG $NS $NSH $DGX $SKX $CLB as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $VZ $MXIM $CP $HUM $ESNT $PRI $COG $VREX $PAGP $PAA $FIZZ $OMCL as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $BEBE, $BLDV, $DGLD, $GLD, $XIV, $SPY, $SPXL – $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Good Morning Swing Traders and Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading updates (1 of 3 this week) for the Week of April 16, 2017!  $TSLA, $SNAP, $VGX, $AAU, $AMMJ …  

Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning!

This report (1 of 3) focuses on the more recent stocks we have added to our swing trading set-up coverage. They include; $TSLA, $SNAP, $VGX, $AAU, $AMMJ.

Also, in case you didn’t catch it, we will be stepping up the rotation cycle with more frequent updates going forward, we are going to categorize our coverage because we are following many more than we expected when we first started the service, and our swing trading alert service will launch soon for real-time alerts (it’s about 45 days out).

Here you will also find recent swing trading updates:

And also here you will find the other most recent swing trading stock coverage:

Our Q1 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here:

$TSLA – Tesla

We decided to start covering Tesla because we feel it is out of the woods so to speak. There are many factors, but the bottom line is we are ready to trade this long term. It is revved right now, but it won’t be for long and we expect an entry sooner than later based on the simple charting below.

April 21 – Trading 302.80. Stoch RSI is at bottom likely to curl up, MACD at top crossed down, squeeze momentum indicator green but turning down, holding 8 ema. Waiting for indicators to line up.

April 13, 2017 – $TSLA Daily – Waiting on Stoch RSI to bottom, MACD down and turn up with MA’s on right side for a long position.

Live Tesla Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/YlcqJMzy-TSLA-Daily-Waiting-on-Stoch-RSI-to-bottom-MACD-down-and-turn/

$TSLA, Chart, Swing, Trading

$TSLA Daily – Waiting on Stoch RSI to bottom, MACD down and turn up with MA’s on right side.

$SNAP – SNAP

April 21 – $SNAP responding to cross-overs on hourly 20 50 100 & 20 thru 200 MA? Stoch RSI revved need at bottom preferrably to trigger long. #trading

MOST IMPORTANT PART IS THE 200 MA swooping down. That’s bulliish!

Live chart $SNAP : https://www.tradingview.com/x/MLMZNGXi/

$SNAP, Chart, Trading

$SNAP responding to cross-overs on hourly 20 50 100 & 20 thru 200 MA? Stoch RSI revved need at bottom preferrably to trigger long. #trading

April 13, 2017 – We decided to add $SNAP to our coverage because some of our clients have asked us to cover it, plain and simple. So the challenge is that it does not have the history we like, so we have charted it on hourly for now. This is considered a high risk trade.

Live $SNAP chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SNAP/lLVhJfMz-SNAP-Hourly-Waiting-on-20-MA-to-cross-up-through-50-MA-and-pr/

$SNAP Hourly – Waiting on 20 MA to cross up through 50 MA and price to be above for a long entry.

$SNAP, Chart

$SNAP Hourly – Waiting on 20 MA to cross up through 50 MA and price to be above for a long entry.

$VGZ – Vista Gold

April 21 – Indicators are still a mess. Watching.

April 13, 2017 – $VGZ – Has its 200 MA, waiting on 50 MA to cross up thru 200 MA and if price is over then long.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VGZ/LoGaMAoT-VGZ-Has-its-200-MA-waiting-on-50-MA-to-cross-up-thru-200-MA/

$VGZ, Chart, Swing, Trade

$VGZ – Has its 200 MA, waiting on 50 MA to cross up thru 200 MA and if price is over then long.

$AAU Almaden Minerals

April 21 – Learning traders. Master this trade set-up. Change your life. #freedomtraders 

Reviewing these trading set-ups in room all week at lunch. Here’s some raw footage. #trading #setups #freedomtraders https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_0PfnNiU-A&t=2704s

#AAU Example of when 20 MA gets upside of 200 MA with price above. KAPOW! Waiting for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and curl up.

$AAU, Swing, Trading, Setup

#AAU Example of when 20 MA gets upside of 200 MA with price above. KAPOW! Waiting for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and curl up.

April 13, 2017 $AAU Has its 200 MA waiting on 20 MA to cross up thru 200 MA and take long when Stoch RSI at bottom and MACD turned up.

$AAU,, Chart

$AAU Has its 200 MA waiting on 20 MA to cross up thru 200 MA and take long when Stoch RSI at bottom and MACD turned up.

$AMMJ – American Cannabis

April 21 – Watching.

$AMMJ Has its 200 MA, waiting for Stoch RSI to hit bottom and turn up, MACD to turn up, and price over 20 MA and 50 MA with 20 MA up through 50 MA for long.

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMMJ/BosVywGG-AMMJ-Has-its-200-MA-waiting-for-Stoch-RSI-to-hit-bottom-and-tu/

$AMMJ, Chart, Trading

$AMMJ Has its 200 MA, waiting for Stoch RSI to hit bottom and turn up, MACD to turn up, and price over 20 MA and 50 MA with 20 MA up through 50 MA for long.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $TSLA, $SNAP, $VGX, $AAU, $AMMJ


Friday April 21, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday April 21, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Qxyg3qqN/

Crude algo intra work sheet Apr 21 317 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Algorithm, Chart, Oil

Crude algo intra work sheet Apr 21 317 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.73 at 3:26 AM EST Apr 21, 2017. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.73.

Yesterday I had informed you about two important items in the charting, number one that resistance and support was represented at that thick silver line on the chart (silver arrow) – trade under that line for any amount of time becomes a new trading range or trading quadrant as the algorithm is concerned, and the second that oil would most probably chose the upper or lower channel I represent on the chart as orange arrows depict.

If trade confirms to new trading range (broad quadrant) the lower support will now become 47.63 on the FX $USOIL $WTI Crude Oil Chart.

Our traders’ short term bias is in fact to the downside.

The other item of note on this chart are the Friday targets. A few thoughts specific to these targets. One is that Friday targets are not predictable like Tuesday and Wednesday. Two, with oil in a new trading range, the targets will become more difficult So as you see in the chart above we will adjust the targets as trade progresses. The targets are a process of which is most probable based on trade and our traders use them as a visual aid. The thicker the red line circle the more probable the target. Sometimes you will see no targets, one or even three as you do for Friday. As oil confirms it’s new trading range in the chart model the targets will be more and more clear. At this point, if oil shows a decision to the upside channel or lower on Friday we would have a considerably clear idea of targets for Tuesday and Wednesday and Friday next week and those would be represented on this weekend report.

The other considerations that pertain to levels and charting were already covered this week and are included below:

BELOW I AM LEAVING POSTS IN FROM THIS WEEK FOR REFERENCE AND WILL CLEAN UP THE REPORT AND REFRESH THIS WEEKEND.

If trade confirms to new trading range (broad quadrant) the lower support will now become 47.63 on the FX $USOIL $WTI Crude Oil Chart.

SO WHAT NOW?

The only thing you can do is wait. I’ve left the levels from the previous report below for your reference.

The thick silver support line has been regained, which is odd. So the oil chart has repaired algorithmically in overnight trade – looks very suspicious to say the least. Anyway, now that oil has regained that critical support there are two most probable scenarios. Uptrend in the channel shown in the chart with orange dotted lines or downtrend in the channel shown with orange dotted lines.

Other than that, there isn’t much we can tell you until that confirms. IF price confirms to downside of that support (thick silver line) then we will need to get you all new charting details for in that broad quadrant. If it confirms to upside then the chart is not broken and it is a simple update and quite predictable.

So at this point it is a wait and see if that support holds so we know which broad quadrant to chart and set targets to.

Below I have left the previous reporting for your reference.

From Previous Report:

Many of our traders did in fact take the short position at the top of trade area to which I warned was significant resistance. Since, oil has trended in a downdraft.

On the charts above the area of resistance is marked with blue arrows. This is most important.

Also on the charts you will notice horizontal thick support and resistance lines that are grey – the lower support is marked with a grey arrow. This area on upside and lower is critical (especially the support – lower one). It is not a precise support – it is a support area – a cluster. This is second most important.

Oil is currently trading at a cross-roads between two identified channels. One channel is downtrending and is represented with white arrows. The other is uptrending and represented with red arrows (the channel trade most recently trade up in – refer to recent reports for clarity). OIL WILL MOST PROBABLY CHOOSE ONE OR THE OTHER SOON.

If trade continues upward be VERY AWARE of resistance (white shaded area).

If trade continues in downward channel, the next major support area (as noted) is at the grey thick line represented with a grey arrow.

Our traders WILL LET PRICE CONFIRM EITHER UP CHANNEL OR DOWN CHANNEL and then trade off support noted (grey thick line) or resistance noted with blue arrows (white shaded). 

The targets (round red circles) are in flux and are unclear because of the cross roads.

The yellow arrow shows horizontal previous time cycle support and the miscellaneous other horizontal lines are intra day (purple) or Fibonacci based horizontal supports.

I have left previous notes and charts from recent reports below for your ease of reference.

I will also copy the email I sent to members yesterday early morning here.

At which time oil was in a significant down draft intra day and I notified you of a possible resistance area that was discovered in trade by our algorithm as an “outlier”. In other words, the trade and anomalies associated with overnight trade alerted our algorithms to the fact that this support would likely hold at least short term. So I sent you the urgent notice.

Support did in fact hold exactly where I identified it might. I hope it helped your trade.

What made this exceptionally unusual is that the support line (thick red in chart below) was not previously there or identified in my trade reports.

Below is the notice that was sent (it was at 4:23 ET time).

Subject:
URGENT NOTICE: Crude algo intra work sheet 421 AM Apr 1 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
From:
<[email protected]> (Add as Preferred Sender)
Date: Tue, Apr 18, 2017 1:23 am
To: [email protected]

Thick red line represents possible extension of channel support. Watch this.

Algorithmic model has identified a possible outlier in trading support. That thick red line COULD act as support.

Watch this close!

Per previous:

Below is the chart and email I sent members yesterday about a divergence in the algorithmic trading of oil at which time I ALERTED a support represented by the red diagonal solid line in the chart below.

Oil did in fact use that line as support. Then it went on to hit both the upper and lower targets for Wednesday at 10:30.

If that wasn’t enough, when oil broke the support I alerted it dropped very aggressively. The support I am referring to has been removed from the most immediate chart below but if you go back to the email I sent which is the next chart below you can see the support line I was referencing. When it was breached oil tanked. I have left that email in the post below for reference for readers that peruse this report at a later date.

EPIC, Oil, Algo

Incredible. Direct algo target hit Wed 1030 to both targets. Crude algo intra work sheet FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

 

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/VY33lDBV-Crude-algo-intra-work-sheet-421-AM-Apr-1-FX-USOIL-WTIC-OIL-C/

Urgent, Member, Notice, EPIC, Oil, ALgorithm

Crude algo intra work sheet 421 AM Apr 1 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

 

Per previous;

HOWEVER, there is a cluster of resistance that is very important not far above that I have explained was nearing for the last few months. The chart below shows the simple resistance lines from a classic charting perspective that coincide VERY CLOSELY with the algorithmic model resistance cluster. Short of war being announced, our lead traders will be shorting oil related in to the cluster. The resistance cluster is depicted on the chart above and the chart link provided above in white shading between blue downsloping trendlines.

Also per recent;

Also of great importance is the upper range diagonal downtrending blue trend-line that I have reported about for the last two months as the most considerable resistance in oil trade in many months if not years (refer to reports going back). Although not near current trade if oil trades upward 52.00 or more you will want to pay note because this did confirm as significant resistance. It is currently downtrending (marked with a blue arrow and blue line) at approximately 54.00 intra-day.

The yellow arrows (horizontal yellow lines) represent significant horizontal support and resistance areas (conventional support and resistance areas from previous time price cycles). There is one at 47.37 another at 49.59, 51.95 and 54.32. Although not ideal, they do represent support and resistance areas of note. There are others overhead also.

More importantly are algorithmic chart modeling support and resistance areas for this specific area of trade at the silver arrows and thicker horizontal silver lines at 50.95 and 54.30. In the interim (until algorithm targets are re-established) our traders will use these as the primary support and resistance areas. Do not consider them hard and fast like you would Fibonacci – consider them general areas of support and resistance. The upward trending channel is now more dominant however (white arrows with dotted lines showing channel width on chart between red diagonal dotted lines represent channel).

As with previous reports the various other horizontal support and resistance lines are either recent support and resistance lines (purple) or Fibonacci support and resistance.

The diagonal dotted silver lines are algorithmic support and resistance lines (that form quadrants) for intra-day trading that are considered support and resistance and will affect trade (as you can see on the chart) and will also manifest as “channels” of trade on an intra-day basis. Our traders use these for tight intra-day trading. These are available on every time-cycle and are represented on a 30 minute chart in this report. The 24 hour oil trading room will represent all time frames for traders that wish to use these for intra-day trading”.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

The first two conventional charts below are simply for observation and consideration.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Daily MACD trend up, Stoch RSI turn down, SQMOM green, Above MAs. Previous highs an issue so far. MA’s mixed. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT

Oil, Chart, $WTIC

Simple Charts $USOIL $WTIC Aug 24 2016 MAs and indicators similar to know however. $CL_F $USO $SCO $UWT $DWT $UWTIF $DWTIF

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan for Thursday April 20, 2017; $IMNP, $ALDX, $VIX, $ROL, $XRT, $VFC, $CALA, $CELG, $GOOGL, $AMZN  — $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Trading Checklist (Rules) I Follow Before Triggering. Part 2 of “Freedom Traders” Series.

Now I’m Inspired! My Guarantee to Struggling Traders (and Yours). Part 3 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Most recent Premarket Chart Set-Up Video (most recent available to public – there may be other exclusive’s in member newsletters):

Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Most recent Mid Day Chart Set-Up Review Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $ALDX, $IMNP,

$SPY (at key support), $GLD, $GDX (Gold above 200 MA at test Fib resistance and Miner’s testing 200 MA resistance), $USOIL, $WTIC tanked like EPIC said it would so we’ll see what range it gets next here.

OTC on watch: $UPZS, $OPMZ $LIGA $MMEX $AMLH $ACOL $BVTK $USRM

Gap ups: $CTRV $GRPN $DB $AUPH $QCOM $BX $ASML $CSX $SCSS $AXP $UWT $SPY $XIV $NVDA $AAPL $FB $AKS $X CUK $NADL $SRNE $IMNP $NXTD $ALDX

News on these plays: $ALDX, $KCG, $IMNP

Chart Set-Ups on Watch: $VIX, $ROL, $XRT, $VFC, $CALA, $CELG, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $OAK, $BOFI

Previous Day Momentum Stocks to watch: $SNGX

Most holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA

I liquidated some positions on the bag list that will be explained in Wednesday post market trading results report that will come out Thursday night. We’re a day late on it.

$VIX is looking interesting

$VIX

$VIX Watch that trendline resistance

Market Outlook :

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8am
Jerome Powell Speaks

8:30am
-Jobless Claims
-Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey

10am
Leading Indicators

10:30am
NatGas Report

Futures point to higher open on Wall Street as Dow hopes to end losing streak #BeforeOpeningBell #PreMarket

$ALDX Receives Orphan Drug Designation from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for ADX-102 in Sjögren-Larsson Syndrome[+]

KCG Holdings’ stock soars 10% premarket after Virtu buyout deal

$IMNP – Immune Pharma Reports Signing of Letter of Intent with Pint Pharma for License, Commercialization of Ceplene in Latin America

$NXTD initiated with a BUY and a $4.25 PT at Maxim

MarketWatch: Verizon’s shares fall 2% premarket after earnings miss http://on.mktw.net/2oNZRDi

EBay’s stock falls 2.1% premarket after Q1 results late Wednesday http://ift.tt/1io43Bm

WestJet to launch ultra-low-cost carrier https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258222-westjet-launch-ultra-low-cost-carrier?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $WJAFF $WJAVF

Blackstone’s stock surges 2.8% premarket after Q1 results

Verizon’s shares fall 2% premarket after earnings miss

Groupon rallies after Piper Jaffray confidence https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258232-groupon-rallies-piper-jaffray-confidence?source=feed_f … #premarket $GRPN

D.R. Horton up 0.9% after earnings beat, raised guidance https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258237-d-r-horton-0_9-percent-earnings-beat-raised-guidance?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $DHI

Western Digital eyes Toshiba chip unit https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258228-western-digital-eyes-toshiba-chip-unit?source=feed_f … #premarket $WDC $TOSYY $TOSBF

Home BancShares EPS in-line, beats on revenue https://seekingalpha.com/news/3258238-home-bancshares-eps-line-beats-revenue?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $HOMB

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $IMNP, $ALDX, $CTRV, $KCG, $NADL $GRPN $CZR $CSX $BX $AUPH $DB $CLF $SAN $UGAZ $FCAU $QCOM $BBVA $NOK $SVXY $ASML $STM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $EBAY $SNGX $WSR $CBLI $JNUG $DGAZ $DWT $VZ $UVXY $PLUG $TRV $SBGL $WSR $ECC $WR I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

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