17
Oct 2017
$EYES, premarket, trading, plan

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 17 $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Tuesday Oct 17, 2017 $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ, $AAOI,

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 17 $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Tuesday Oct 17, 2017 $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, $XTBUSD – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. There are more there now and to be uploaded later today.

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch:  $CTRV, $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ

$CRTV and $EYES have news that could move them…. $ETRM good PR, $FB chart looks like it could rip. $HIIQ chart is rebuilding quick.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat ish. Oil $USOIL $WTI has lift in recent sessions but in multi month sideways action, Gold / Silver have turned moderately moderately to the sell side bias for me (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY moderate / flat, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD we just keep winning and we are closing in on 200% a month gains and $VIX under continued pressure at 9.8 (I have been saying since before the election – this time could be different).

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $ETRM nice close, vBioc Obesity Week data 10/31 $3.16 gap to fill

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $ADTN $CP $CREE $FULT $HBHC $IBKR $IBM 4LRCX $NAVI $PNFP $PZN $RNST $SCSS $UBNK $UFPI

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Yesterday killed Bitcoin and an oil scalp. Holding $AAOI, $SNAP, $SHOP. 

Previous recent notes:

Holding everything still… trimmed some $SNAP and keep winning on Bitcoin 100 x leverage 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also.

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

From Monday in the room $LCI (thanks to Sean) and $HIIQ are on my watchlist.

Per recent;

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation. $BABA, $BBRY. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Import/Export Prices

8:55am
Chain Store Sales

9:15am
Industrial Production

10am
Housing Market Index

$ROSG Receives Seventh Patent Related to Detecting Thyroid Cancer

$VRX Valeant’s $1B debt tender offer oversubscribed

$MDGS Medigus Receives First Purchase Order From Izasa Hospital in Spain for Its MUSE System

$MNGA MagneGas Announces Additional Gasification Unit Sale of $1.58 Million for European Market

$CTRV Announces Research Collaboration Agreement with Li Ka Shing Institute of Virology | ContraVir Pharmaceuticals http://ir.contravir.com/news-releases/news-release-details/contravir-pharmaceuticals-announces-research-collaboration …

$EYES, premarket, trading, plan

$EYES premarket up 25% on news

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $EYES $MNGA $CTRV $TRXC $SRAX $MDGS $TKC $SECO $UGAZ $CENX $ACRX $JNJ $CARG $DUST $NFLX $SNAP $UWT $BCS

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $INFN $AAPL $YEXT $ETR $GRPN $FPRX $BLUE $AU $AZN $KKR $SBH

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $EYES, $ETRM, $FB, $HIIQ, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY

16
Oct 2017
$XBTUSD, Premarket, Trading, Plan, Crypto, Bitcoin

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 16 $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 16, 2017 $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL, $AAOI, $SHOP,

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 16 $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 16, 2017 $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, $XTBUSD – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch:  $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat. Oil $USOIL $WTI has lift but in multi month sideways action, Gold / Silver are moderately bullish / flat (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY moderate / flat, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD we just keep banking and we closing in on 200% a month gains 9.6 and $VIX under continued pressure at 9.7 at five year low volatility (I have been saying since before the election – this time could be different).

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: 

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Holding everything still… trimmed some $SNAP and keeping winning on Bitcoin 100 x leverage 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

Previous recent notes:

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also.

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation.

Per recent; $BABA, Adding $BBRY to list on ER and 200 MA trending. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

The strong take from the weak. Period.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL $LBIX $AEMD $AEMD $XXII $PETX $ANIP $AU $ANIP $ABEO $HMNY $HBM $DGAZ $UWT $DBVT $FRO

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $INFN $AAPL $YEXT $ETR $GRPN $FPRX $BLUE $AU $AZN $KKR $SBH 

(6) Recent Downgrades: $DECK $C $TWX $BOLD $MTSI $CCI $OMC $CHS $JBHT $ARCB $WERN $ULTA $LQ $CSX $NSC $ANDV $ADBE $TRVN $ALKS $CPS $MGA $PSX $VLO $MIDD $TRGP $EE $BMY $IMPV $FMSA $PES $SPN $CBOE $BCRH

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $TRXC, $IBIO, $EXEL, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY

16
Oct 2017
GOLD, Chart, MACD

Rosie Gold Algorithm Model Update Mon Oct 16 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Model Charting Update Monday October 16, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with

Rosie Gold Algorithm Model Update Mon Oct 16 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST

Rosie the Gold Algo Chart Report , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , RosietheAlgo GLD

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Model Charting Update Monday October 16, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with Miners Observations: $GDX, $GDXJ ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.

Like EPIC our Oil Algorithm chart model, I am an algorithm chart model in development and trader testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of Gold and Gold Miner related.

The charting models are best used decision to decision. In other words, each line on the algorithmic model charts are support and resistance related. As trade progresses, weighing algorithmic charting model against conventional charting observations provides an edge over using only conventional charts.

If you need assistance at anytime contact my developers at [email protected].

Updates:

There is a 30 min generation model in the works for the Gold component of the charting for tighter time-frame intra-day trade (it is however difficult to frame in a predictable model – but we are trying and will advise).

The charting below for Gold now has prospective channel support and resistance, considerable wider time frame quad walls highlighted (thicker orange dotted lines) and key channel decision areas noted with purple arrows.

The Miner charting below also has lower time-frames in development and further indicators for all time frames.

How to Use the Charting Model:

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Primary Trade Indications:

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Gold / Miner Trades: @GoldAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade our traders are reporting works with the most predictability is to wait for Gold to breach the trading range (grey lines marked with arrows) up or down and then have it confirm as it leaves the corresponding trading quadrant to the up or downside. See video above.

As it is a model in development, if you find more predictable methods please report same.

Resistance and Support Clusters: Blue and Yellow horizontal (may be sloped) lines (marked with arrows). The thicker they are the more significant they are. Blue are conventional indicators and Yellow are calculated historical algorithmic points of significance. If the cluster is significant our charting techs will shade the area in white to bring this to your attention. The most recent cluster has proven to be significant resistance in recent trade.

Trading Range: Grey Lines (marked with grey arrows). Trade above or below creates bias and bias is confirmed to a high probability when trade then leaves a quadrant (geometric diamond shape formed with diagonal Fib trend lines for time – frame) after gaining or losing a trading range horizontal support / resistance line (grey horizontal line).

Quadrants: Diagonal Orange Lines that form diamond shapes. Based on diagonal Fibonacci trend lines act as important support and resistance. The wider the time frame the thicker the line.

Channel Decisions: Purple arrows note critical uptrend and downtrend channel decisions.

Fibonacci Support and Resistance: Horizontal lines on charting (various colors).

Targets: Red circles on charting. The least of the indicators and should be used for observation purpose only. The targets are in very early stage development / testing. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only either are expected to hit (if at all – very low probability of a hit is expected at this point).

Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed against conventional charting (as may be provided below also).

Gold Algorithm Live Charting Link:

Live chart link below for Oct 16, 2017.

Click on share button bottom right (beside flag) and then click on “Make it Mine”.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/XPd1T2of-Rosie-Gold-Algorithm-Chart-Model-Current-trade-Oct-16-554-AM/

Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model – Current trade. Oct 16 554 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Gold, Algorithm, Model, Chart

Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model – Current trade. Oct 16 554 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Conventional Charting Considerations:

Gold MACD remains to be buy sell trigger. Gold has MACD turned up. $XAUUSD $GLD $GC_F #GOLD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/NLREG6Pk-Gold-MACD-remains-good-buy-sell-trigger-MACD-up-GLD-XAUUSD/

GOLD, Chart, MACD

Gold MACD remains to be buy sell trigger. Gold also still has 200 MA $XAUUSD $GLD $GC_F #GOLD

Gold Miner $GDX:

The Gold miner charting is in very early development but we do expect considerable improvement over coming weeks and not months. Our target date sometime late 2017. For now the quadrants have produced some indication for trading and the fibs have been useful.

For this report there is no note-able change in the charting below.

Live $GDX charting:

$GDX Gold Miner fibs and quadrants. 605 AM Oct 16 $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/5c2XOH1S-GDX-Gold-Miner-fibs-and-quadrants-605-AM-Oct-16-GDX-GDXJ-NU/

GDX, Chart

$GDX Gold Miner fibs and quadrants. 605 AM Oct 16 $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Recent / Historical Reporting for Perspective:

Let’s Review.

The chart below was used to guide our traders through symmetrical trade extensions (white arrows) assisted by Fibonacci levels (various horizontal), previous conventional support and resistance points of reference (purple) and algorithmic model quadrants support and resistance (blue) and algorithm calculated support and resistance key points (yellow). The chart also includes some notes. This charting called the low months in advance and the recent high months in advance. It was integral to our traders success.

So in summary, our first generation Gold algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):

  1. Algorithmic prediction of wide time frame lows and highs (proprietary algorithmic calculations).
  2. Algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue horizontal lines)
  3. Algorithmic calculated support and resistance based on historical trade (yellow horizontal lines).
  4. Symmetrical extension expectations (white arrows).
  5. Conventional Fibonacci support and resistance (various horizontal lines).
  6. Conventional historical support and resistance (purple horizontal lines).
  7. Conventional moving averages. 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA.

Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Gold, chart, symmetry, quads, support, resistance

Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

The static chart below shows current day trading range with the same indicators.

Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/5bRqnOtR-Current-day-Gold-chart-notes-with-symmetry-white-arrows-quad/

Gold, charting, current, trade

Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

The Second Generation Chart Modeling Uses a More Advanced Algorithmic Quadrant Model (based on Fibonacci) and Weighed Against Historical Trade.

You will notice on the chart below diamond shaped patterns. Theses represent lower time-frames than the blue support and resistance lines above represent for wider time-frame quadrants. The way trade reacts to the tighter time-frames is critical and takes some understanding and experience. Our traders will be publishing videos on the subject for our members going forward. Please note, if you are familiar with how oil trades between the same type of quadrants on EPIC’s charting… this is identical. The bottom line… all lines are support and resistance decisions and the time-cycles are when each quadrant area expires. The quadrants are available on all time-frames but the represented time-frames below are most widely used.

The chart below adds;

1: 60 min time cycle quadrants represented in orange diagonal dotted lines. These are critical to trade and you will find they will act as significant support and resistance decisions.

Also, 2: along with them are the horizontal grey lines – they, as with EPIC charting become significant support and resistance.

If you consider the seven indicators above plus the two below there are then nine indicators of support and resistance decisions that each will act as support and resistance in their own manner. This is where time, experience and training come in. Our lead trader will (as noted above) provide regular webinars / videos on the subject.

Although many inflections of trade occur within each quadrant, one of the main to consider is that price regularly moves toward the quadrant apex, inverse apex and either side apex. Also of importance is that trade often becomes more volatile when leaving / entering a quadrant and also as trade nears the middle (widest range) part of a quadrant.

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/fKsoBHcc-Gold-algorithm-model-charting-60-min/

Rosie, Algorithm, Gold

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Our plan going forward is to provide low frame quadrant charting for our traders. We first want to provide training for the charting to date and give our traders a few weeks with this development. Expect regular training webinars to be announced over the coming days.

Also of note, we have a model for $GDX we will add to this report in the coming weeks.

For now, the obvious trade considering the quadrant above is for price to chase the lower inverse apex on the chart terminating July 18, 2017 at approximately 1184.00 on the chart (your attention should be given to the 1071.00 approximate figure below in the conventional charting). This is not however absolute. The regular reporting will keep you up to date with our bias considering model trade.

Your short term overhead resistance is 1220.29 (grey horizontal) and your support is 1204.79 (blue horizontal fib) and then of course the quadrant wall (diagonal orange dotted).

Wider range there is significant resistance at 1228.14 (blue) and significant support at 1185.58 (yellow). These are areas our traders take advantage of trade support and resistance (blue and yellow horizontal support and resistance). You will find these two indicators to provide your best ROI because of predictability. The quadrants add a dynamic that otherwise would not be there, but the wider time frame critical support and resistance are where a trader can size in considerably.

Below are some conventional Gold and $GDX charting considerations also for consideration and should be given weight to your trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/E9M8SpNi-Trading-Gold-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Nets-Decent-Annual-ROI/

Gold, KISS, MACD

Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 9 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

Gold, Daily, Chart, Indicators

Gold Daily. Stoch RSI trend down, MACD trend down, SQZMOM red flat, lost MA’s. #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/zNO98VFe-Will-basic-chart-history-in-Gold-repeat/

Gold, Chart, Historical, Target

Gold Target if history repeats. Stoch RSI trend down, MACD trend down, SQZMOM red flat, lost MA’s. #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/VgUNfesO-Trading-GDX-Gold-Miners-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Nets-Decent-A/

$GDX, KISS, MACD

Trading $GDX #Gold Miners KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/mGlvNB6Q-Bull-trap-or-launch-pad-GDX-Gold-Miners-GDXJ-NUGT-DUST/

GDX, Chart, Bull trap

Bull trap or launch pad $GDX #Gold Miners July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/4UteIQzb-Bull-trap-or-launch-pad-In-2014-similar-set-up-was-a-bull-trap/

$GDX, bull, trap, charting

Bull trap or launch pad. In 2014 similar set-up was a bull trap. $GDX #Gold Miners July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

All the best with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie, Gold, Algorithm, Algo, Chart, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

16
Oct 2017

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter 15 Oct. 2017 $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC #Bitcoin

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Sunday October 15th, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC Hello! My name

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter 15 Oct. 2017 $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC #Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) Algorithm (Crypto) Curt Melonopoly

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Sunday October 15th, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • There will be a link to a second generation $XBTUSD model I have been working on in this newsletter. It is still in beta testing phase, so please keep that in mind if you choose to use it. I do not recommend entering trades based on that chart alone. 
  • We have found that adding our “B Theme” indicators (Stoch RSI, MACD and SQZMOM) to the model is very helpful. If you aren’t familiar with these indicators, there are tons of videos on our YouTube channel that explain them in detail.
    • These indicators are: The 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA’s, VWAP, Stochastic RSI and a Squeeze Momentum indicator (specific to Tradingview).
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • Welcome our lead trader to the platform! You will now be receiving alerts from Curt as well as myself.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000. The recent pullback has helped solidify natural support/resistance lines in the model. There are some significant natural resistance areas forming in the chart. Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: Recently we have been using more conventional indicators to supplement the model with great success. A few indicators I have found especially reliable are:

  • The 200 MA on the 30 minute chart: Price breaching the 200 MA to the upside is a reliable indicator for a long entry, especially with the 20, 50 and 100 below. A breach of the 200 to the downside is also a reliable indicator for a short.
  • The 20 MA on the 15 minute chart: Price confirming over the 20 MA ,or the 20 MA coming up to price from below, are high probability indicators for upward movement. 
  • Stochastic RSI: Useful on all time frames, the longer time frames carrying more weight of course. When looking for a long entry, wait for the stoch RSI to bottom. When it begins to curl up off the bottom, make your entry. This strategy gives a high probability of getting the “power” part of the trade right. 
  • VWAP: I have noticed that VWAP acts as significant support/resistance in Bitcoin. Loss of VWAP is a high probability short. 

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$BTCUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/oWS3nIBA-BTCUSD-Updated-Charting-02-03-48-EST-16-Oct-2017/

$XBTUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/aFaVIEGE-XBTUSD-Updated-Charting-02-07-59-EST-16-Oct-2017/

$XBTUSD Gen 2 BETA: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/3UQl6V0u-XBTUSD-Gen-2-Beta/

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s and MACD

A little recap of this past week:

We had an AWESOME week of trading as Bitcoin blew through ATH’s again! And we saw it coming from a mile away:

And now we have evidence that Curt is, in fact, addicted to #cryptotrading:

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD daily quadrants helped predict run to all time highs (again):

$BTCUSD Still trading within a predictable upward trending channel since the end of September. Used full range as it blew through ATH’s. My bias remains long until this channel is lost to the down side:

Close up view of the current channel. Upper wall should be treated as significant resistance, downside wall should be treated as significant support:

$BTCUSD upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

$BTCUSD conventional charting shows current area of trade:

$XBTUSD tried to leave its current channel but tonight’s correction brought it back into expected range. This quad wall should be seen as significant resistance to the upside and significant support to the downside:

$XBTUSD upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

Our “right ear sidewinder” setup played out just as planned – straight vertical through all time highs: 

$XBTUSD move to ATH’s corresponded with our daily quadrants as well: 

A sneak peak at our 2nd generation model for $XBTUSD:

 

 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 

15
Oct 2017
Oil, Chart, USOIL, WTI, Trend lines

EPIC Oil Algorithm Charting Sun Oct 15 FX: $USOIL $WTIC $CL_F $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX

EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Sunday October 15, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

EPIC Oil Algorithm Charting Sun Oct 15 FX: $USOIL $WTIC $CL_F $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Sunday October 15, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES: 

New members to the oil room – please onboard in a way that best equips you to be profitable. Visit my Twitter feed (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months (there are posts on there such as my profit and loss ledger, time cycle expiry, target hits, links to important videos and more), visit our blog and review my recent blog posts, our you tube channel has “how my algorithm works”, “how to use my charting” and weekly EIA report videos and our website explains how I was developed. Review of those points of reference will increase your chance of success considerably. Some recent examples are below:

Oil Trading Room – How to Use My Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithm Charting

Most Recent P/L Link:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2018 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and associated trade, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for October 15, 2017. If you click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens you can click on make it mine to make edits etc:

Oil current trading area. Oct 15 4:54 PM PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Live chart link below:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/BayI2Lye-Current-trading-area-with-support-50-99-Oct-15-454-PM-EPIC-OIL/

Chart below shows current area of trade with up channel and down channel decisions. Top and bottom of up and down channels show in diagonal orange dotted lines. Yellow and grey lines (as may be shown) represent algorithm model trading range support and resistance decisions.

Oil, chart, current, trading

Current trading area with support at 50.99. Oct 15 454 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

October 15, 2017

The first most predictable trade are the significant resistance clusters formed by red trend lines (see previous posts and supplemental conventional charting below).

The second most predictable trade (Wide trading range primary resistance and support). Upper algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.97 in the current trading range. Lower algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.99 in the current trading range – these areas are general support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades).

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as mad available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below).

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Current and more recent trade is not conducive to target predictability. Oil trade has been in a sideways trading range for months and as a result the targets on Tues, Wed and Fri are not as predictable as they would be in strong uptrends or downtrends.

The Tues, Wed and Fri algo targets for the next week of trade are represented on the chart and are considered a moderately LOW probability hit. There are targets represented in the upward and downward channel choices (representing scenarios for up or down channels).

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Wide Trading Range – Swing Trading:

Trade the ranges noted above (47.40 – 50.98 or 50.99 and 54.97) between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades.

oil, USOIL, down, channel

Down trend channel support at 47.42. Oct 15 451 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

oil, WTI, usoil, downtrend

Down trend channel trading scenario w targets. Oct 15 446 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

oil, up channel, scenario, chart

Up channel trading scenario w targets. Oct 15 643 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

oil, channel, resistance

Uptrend channel model resistance at 54.57. Oct 15 444 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:

Conventional Oil Chart Considerations 507 PM Oct 15 MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT.png

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/W2of3epy-Conventional-Oil-Chart-Considerations-507-PM-Oct-8-MACD-SQZMOM-S/

Oil, Chart, USOIL, WTI, Trend lines

Conventional Oil Chart Considerations 507 PM Oct 8 MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT

Recent post for perspective;

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Trading Room, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm

13
Oct 2017
$XBTUSD, Bitcoin, premarket, trading, plan

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Oct 13 $ITEK, $INFI, $ONTX, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Friday Oct 13, 2017  $ITEK, $INFI, $ONTX, $AAOI,

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Oct 13 $ITEK, $INFI, $ONTX, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Friday Oct 13, 2017  $ITEK, $INFI, $ONTX, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, $XTBUSD – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $BIOA, $ITEK $MGEN $MARK $NLNK $SONS $TOPS

Market observation / on watch:

$USDJPY tanking on data in premarket, US Dollar $DXY flat. Oil $USOIL $WTI has some recent lift but in multi month sideways action, Gold / Silver are flat (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY flat, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD ran and ran and ran and we banked and banked and banked and $VIX under continued pressure at 9.7 at five year low volatility (I have been saying since before the election – this time could be different).

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $INFI $CASI $HMNY $MNKD $EYCT

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also. 

Previous recent notes:

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation.

Per recent; $BABA, Adding $BBRY to list on ER and 200 MA trending. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Fed’s Rosengren Speaks

10am
Business Inventories
Consumer Sentiment

11:30am
Fed’s Kaplan Speaks

1pm
Fed’s Powell Speaks

1pm
Baker-Hughes Rig Count

$PZRX PhaseRx Will Restructuring Operations To Reduce Short-Term Operating Costs, Delay Development Of Lead Product Candidate PRX-OTC

$MARK Remark Holdings’ 3D Augmented Reality Chosen To Be Core Technology Behind Launch of Sina Weibo’s New Mobile Application

$NLNK initiated at Buy at BofA/Merrill. PT $22″

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TOPS 56%, $ITEK 25%, $TERP $MGEN $SONS $NLNK $ZN $AKER $ONCS $ACRX $ONCE $UWT $OILU $X $MT $CLF $AKS $ERIC $UCO

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:  $INFI $CASI $HMNY $MNKD $EYCT  

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $NFLX $NVDA $SAR $SBGL $ETR $GM $GEL $NLNK initiated at Buy at BofA/Merrill. PT $22

(6) Recent Downgrades: $OSB $RES $AGCO $NFX $DNOW $SNHY $LFUS $CDW $BCRH $TWNK $ACRX $FOXF $HMY $DLTR $HUBS $XL $HPE $SCWX $F $AAOI $LFUS

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $ITEK, $INFI, $ONTX, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY

10
Oct 2017
$HMNY, premarket, trading, plan

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 10 $HMNY, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Tuesday Oct 10, 2017 $HMNY, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI,

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 10 $HMNY, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Tuesday Oct 10, 2017 $HMNY, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, $RIG, $TSLA, $MNKD, $ABEO, Gold, Oil, $WTI, $XTBUSD – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Reporting Going Forward:

Well, we solved the fiber required in developing nation remote offices, we solved the software requirements, we’re training up interns and partners for the data processing / content and NOW the new equipment is being fired up today! Excited to finally have the member content flowing as of this evening. It’s been a challenge to say the least. 

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: 

$SWCH Recent IPO, $SHOP wash out bounce, $VERI wash-out bounce and $ROKU recent IPO for break out of recent highs after wash out.

$RIG $TSLA $MNKD $ABEO all have upgrades and should be on watch.

$HMNY continues the epic squeeze.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat overnight but in uptrend turn (perhaps). Oil $USOIL $WTI continues under pressure but did get a bounce in early trade, Gold / Silver are up in overnight session (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY continuation in bull formation, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD is near 5000.00 trading at 4822.00 (to likely test soon all time highs) after Jamie Dimon talked it down – we have been hitting every turn lately with the team and our returns have been outstanding, and $VIX under continued pressure at 10.1 at five year low volatility (I have been saying since before the election – this time could be different).

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: 

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $CUDA $VOXX

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

Previous recent notes:

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

I am adding $BABA to my short term watch… it looks like a break of recent 52 week highs is a new leg at minimum. Bitcoin could also see a mjor break-out if it breaches considerable resistance not far overhead.

Per recent; Adding $BBRY to list on ER and 200 MA trending. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Bullish.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

6am
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

8:55am
Chain Store Sales

10am
Fed’s Kashkari speaks

$RARE Announce FDA Acceptance and Priority Review Designation of Burosumab’s BLA. PDUFA 04/17/18

$VICL Vical Announces Completion of the Phase 3 ASP0113 CMV Vaccine Trial

 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $KALV $ANAB $USEG $VICL $HMNY $ANY $CLRB $PSDV $MNKD $OVID $MDXG $THST $OCRX $UAL $GEVO $NVDA $ATRS

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $DVN $CXO $RBS $LYG $PANW $VNO $CSLT $RIG $TSLA $MNKD $ABEO

(6) Recent Downgrades: $CRZO $IMPV $NBL $CHK $JBL $HSBC $FRC $PLXS $EMN $QLYS $SYMC $LYB $DLPH $RLGY $PRAA $PMT $UNP

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $HMNY, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, $RIG, $TSLA, $MNKD, $ABEO, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY

10
Oct 2017

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter 10 Oct. 2017 $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC #Bitcoin

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Tuesday October 10th, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC Hello! My name

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter 10 Oct. 2017 $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC #Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) Algorithm (Crypto) Crypto the Algo

Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Tuesday October 10th, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • I appreciate everyone’s patience with the inconsistent reporting schedule thus far. As many of you know, I am still in school which makes my schedule hectic at times. That being said, you can expect the newsletter in your inbox every Sunday night/Monday morning going forward.
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting supplemental charting in there. 
  • There are some changes to the most predictable trades this week. These changes will be highlighted in red.  
  • We have found that adding our “B Theme” indicators (Stoch RSI, MACD and SQZMOM) to the model is very helpful. If you aren’t familiar with these indicators, there are tons of videos on our YouTube channel that explain them in detail.
    • These indicators are: The 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA’s, VWAP, Stochastic RSI and a Squeeze Momentum indicator (specific to Tradingview).
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • Welcome our lead trader to the platform! You will now be receiving alerts from Curt as well as myself.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room will be up and running very soon – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

 

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

 

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000. The recent pullback has helped solidify natural support/resistance lines in the model. There are some significant natural resistance areas forming in the chart. Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: Recently we have been using more conventional indicators to supplement the model with great success. A few indicators I have found especially reliable are:

  • The 200 MA on the 30 minute chart: Price breaching the 200 MA to the upside is a reliable indicator for a long entry, especially with the 20, 50 and 100 below. A breach of the 200 to the downside is also a reliable indicator for a short.
  • The 20 MA on the 15 minute chart: Price confirming over the 20 MA ,or the 20 MA coming up to price from below, are high probability indicators for upward movement. 
  • Stochastic RSI: Useful on all time frames, the longer time frames carrying more weight of course. When looking for a long entry, wait for the stoch RSI to bottom. When it begins to curl up off the bottom, make your entry. This strategy gives a high probability of getting the “power” part of the trade right. 
  • VWAP: I have noticed that VWAP acts as significant support/resistance in Bitcoin. Loss of VWAP is a high probability short. 

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$BTCUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/6awNYwri-Crypto-Updated-Charting-03-11-46-EST-10-Oct-2017/

$XBTUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/QOFr2FV1-XBTUSD-Updated-Charting-03-46-29-EST-10-Oct-2017/

 

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s and MACD

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD Trading within a predictable upward trending channel since the end of September. My bias continues to be long as $BTCUSD pushes toward all time highs:

Upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

$BTCUSD following a 3 legs up, 1 leg down pattern. If the pattern continues we will see #Bitcoin at all time highs in the next few days:

$XBTUSD continues to trade within this upward trending channel:

Upcoming time/price cycle targets for $XBTUSD: 

Our “right ear sidewinder” setup is playing out on the $XBTUSD daily chart. The 20 MA crossing over the 50 may be enough to push price through all time highs.

 

Beautiful symmetry in the $XBTUSD chart. Perfect bull and horns setup played out last week: 

 

 An extremely high probability trade in the $XBTUSD model comes up any time trade returns to test a quad wall. These are almost always good for a $20-$30 quick scalp or more. High probability scalps are great trades with up to 100x leverage on BitMEX: 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 

09
Oct 2017
BABA, swing, trading

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 9 $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, $BLUE, $BABA, $JUNO, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 9, 2017 $BLUE, $JUNO, $BABA, $SWCH,

PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 9 $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, $BLUE, $BABA, $JUNO, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 9, 2017 $BLUE, $JUNO, $BABA, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU Gold, Oil, $WTI, $XTBUSD – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: 

$SWCH IPO, $SHOP wash out bounce, $VERI wash-out bounce and $ROKU for break out after wash out.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat overnight but in uptrend turn perhaps. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues under pressure – I alerted EPIC members at recent high that I was short bias going fwd a number of days, Gold / Silver are moderately up in overnight session (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY continues moderately in bull form, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD has been making a trend turn after recent consolidation after its run up post Jamie Dimon – we have been hitting every turn lately with the team and our returns have been outstanding, and $VIX under continued pressure at 10.0 at five year low volatility (I have been saying since before the election – this time could be different).

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: 

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck:

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

Previous recent notes:

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

I am adding $BABA to my short term watch… it looks like a break of recent 52 week highs is a new leg at minimum. Bitcoin could also see a mjor break-out if it breaches considerable resistance not far overhead.

Per recent; Adding $BBRY to list on ER and 200 MA trending. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Bullish.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

 

$JUNO PT raised to $56 from $34 at Maxim. I told members early 2017 when wash-out happened this would be the target area (near term fair value price target I quoted). 

$BLUE PT raised to $170 from $100.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CLNT, $MBOT, $INTT $CDNA $CGEN $BVXV $MNKD $FLXN $VERI $MZOR $CLSN $BLDP $JNUG $NUGT $USLV $RAD $PLUG

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $SWCH $XXII $LINU $PTCT $RGSE $CONN $TUR $GE $TSLA $QGEN $WYNN $MDT

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $BTI $MULE $IBKC $INCR $ETFC $VRTS $STI $MS $DIS $SBGL $JNJ $KSS

(6) Recent Downgrades: $VIAB $MLNX $BT $HUM $DVA $PTCT $CCOI $AMTD $BOFI $GS $GFI $SLG $ESRX $KNSL $CONN $TTWO $SYMC $ATVI $SYNA $DO $ZEN $YELP $MDT

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $BLUE, $JUNO, $SWCH, $SHOP, $VERI, $ROKU, Gold, Oil, $WTI, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY

09
Oct 2017
BABA, swing, trading

Swing Trading Stock Update Mon Oct 9 $DIS, $PSTG, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $BABA, $LIT, $BA, $MXIM…

Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for Monday October 9, 2017. $DIS, $PSTG, $DXY, $XAUUSD,

Swing Trading Stock Update Mon Oct 9 $DIS, $PSTG, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $BABA, $LIT, $BA, $MXIM…

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for Monday October 9, 2017. $DIS, $PSTG, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $BABA, $LIT, $BA, $MXIM, $ATHM, $BWA, $EXK.

Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning!

This swing trading report is one in five in rotation.

When managing your trades with the reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.

Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case rely heavily on MACD on daily or weekly (or Stoch RSI and Moving averages) but indicators we are basing our trade entry and exits on are listed with each trade so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade.

Intra-week you can always DM myself on Twitter or email with specific questions regarding trades you are considering for assistance. But it is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter or exit. If nothing else you can always book some coaching time and I’ll assist also (although we are at a point of waiting list for the coaching, at minimum you can get on list or for immediate help as I said please DM or email).

IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with deadlines or are trading.

Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.

Newer updates below in red for ease.

Recent Compound Trading Videos for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:

Visit our You Tube channel for other recent videos.

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC…

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Profit and Loss Statements:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month).

July 2017 Trading Challenge P/L Report $NFLX, $XIV, $AAOI, $AKCA, $BWA, $SRG, $MCRB, $UGLD, $IPXL, $HIIQ and more

Stock Pick Coverage

$DIS – Disney

Oct 9 – Trading 1030.35. Lost 200 MA and currently trading under 200 MA regaining some strength. MACD trending up. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 107.69. Just over 200 MA with ER in 1 day. Will wait.

Aug 1 – Trading 109.93 Earnings in 7 days up over 200 MA looks good but waiting for earnings.

July 24 – Trading 107.09 over 200 MA with earnings in 14 days. On watch.

July 14 – Trading 104.29 under 200 MA – not good.

July 5 – $DIS MACD turned up on daily, SQZMOM just went green, held 200 MA test but is working thru MA’s. On high watch here.

$DIS, Chart

$DIS MACD turned up on daily, SQZMOM just went green, held 200 MA test but is working thru MA’s

$PSTG – Pure Storage

Oct 9 – Trading 15.55. Above all MA’s with MACD trending down. Will consider a long when MACD turns up.

Aug 7 – Trading 12.82. Just over 200 MA with ER in 16 days. Waiting.

Aug 1 – Trading 12.07. Sitting on 200 MA decision with earnings in 23 days.

July 24 – Trading 13.57 with indecisive indicators. Earnings 31 days.

July 14 – Trading 13.59 with indicators that are signalling bullish. No entry right now.

July 5 – Trading 12.75 MACD is trending down but 50 MA is about to breach 200. Even so, I will likely wait for the MACD to cross up. Also, there has been some insider selling over the last few weeks FYI.

June 26 – The way this stock trades I am waiting for it to prove out the move above 200 ma in a different way than last two times. It does not have the historical data I like so this is the only way to confirm the current move.

June 18 – $PSTG 20 ma crossed 200 ma and 50 crossed 100 and 50 ma cross 200 ma possible with MACD cross possible. Not an easy stock to trade but it may fly if it confirms.

$PSTG, Swing Trade

$PSTG 20 ma crossed 200 ma and 50 crossed 100 and 50 ma cross 200 ma possible with MACD cross possible.

$DXY US Dollar Index $UUP

Oct 9 – Trading 93.66 well below 200 MA on daily chart. Will wait for 200 MA regain to consider a long.

Aug 7 – $DXY trading 93.44 sitting on technical support with MACD just turned up. Will wait for it to confirm.

July 24 – $UUP trading 24.32 from test entry 25.07 500 shares. Looking to close soon at a loss.

July 14 – $DXY trading 95.68 and testing key support still. Epic battle. No change.

July 5 – Trading 96.18 – it did end up going down one leg which I thought could happen (according to our model one leg represents long term support decision). So I am watching here. If it loses support in 95.50 range I will likely short it and if it gains traction I will likely add to long position.

June 26 – $DXY trading 97.26 up from 96.99 entry in $UUP. Watching.

$DXY, Chart

$DXY US Dollar Trading 97.26 up fr 96.99 entry not getting lift yet. $UUP #swingtrading

June 18 – $UUP trading 25.12 from 25.07 initial entry $DXY trading 97.17 from 96.99 entry with MACD, Stoch RSI and SQZMOM trending up – watching for continuation to add.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/Gl4mAfzt-DXY-trading-97-17-from-96-99-entry-with-MACD-Stoch-RSI-and-SQZ/

$DXY, Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/Gl4mAfzt-DXY-trading-97-17-from-96-99-entry-with-MACD-Stoch-RSI-and-SQZ/

June 8 – Long $UUP legging in 1/5 size 500 shares 25.07 from main account possible downside 95.55 DXY and it is trading 96.99 so its a managed trade

$XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $UGLD $DGLD

Oct 9 – Trading 1283.09 with MACD on daily trending down BUT near bottom. Will likely take a long when it curls up.

Gold, Chart, MACD

Gold MACD remains to be buy sell trigger. $XAUUSD $GLD $GC_F #GOLD.png

$MXIM – MAXIM Integrated Products

Oct 9 – Trading 48.57 above all MA’s, near previous highs (52 week highs) and MACD trending up. Will wait for a break of previous highs to consider a long or at point of turn down and MACD turning back up.

Aug 7 – Trading 44.71 above 200 ma but under all other ma’s with MACD down Stoch RSI and SQZMOM down. Waiting.

July 24 – Trading 45.05. MACD trending down.

July 12 – Trading 46.67. MACD turning up and SQZMOM trending up. On high watch now.

July 5 – Trading 44.19 MACD still turned down and price on its way to 200 MA. Likely will test the 200 MA and bounce and may consider long when set-up proves out.

June 26 – Trading 45.92. MACD and SQZMOM trending down – waiting for turn to assess.

June 12 – Trading 46.25. All indicators on daily down – waiting for the turn.

June 6 – Closing $MXIM 48.50

June 6 – $MXIM Trading 48.51. Holding from 46.94 BUT will likely be rolling out of this and closing it because Stoch RSI and MACD are near peak on weekly and we will be looking at rolling out of many long positions over next two weeks for end of quarter reassessment.

May 31 – Trading 47.70 holding.

$MXIM This swing trade going better now – took some pain in beginning on my break-out #powertrade thesis. #swingtrading

$MXIM, Swing, trade

$MXIM This swing trade going better now – took some pain in beginning on my break-out #powertrade thesis. #swingtrading

$ATHM – AutoHome

Oct 9 – Trading 61.42 with MACD on daily about to curl and cross up. If it does I will likely take the long.

Aug 7 – Trading 47.82 with ER in 2 days – will wait.

July 24 – Trading 47.60. MACD trend down earnings 22 days.

July 14 – Trading 46.97 at 52 week highs. All indicators looking like they will flash a buy any second but I am going to watch for now.

July 5 – $ATHM Trading 45.61 Really interesting chart. While MACD, Stoch RSI and SQZMOM recently trend down price stay in bull formation. On high watch for break-out.

$ATHM, Chart

$ATHM Really interesting chart. While MACD, Stoch RSI and SQZMOM recently trend down price stay in bull formation. On high watch for break-out.

June 26 – Trading 45.47 MACD on daily still trending down with SQZMOM green but flat lined. Watching for the turn.

June 18 – Trading 43.94 all indicators trending down – watching for the turn.

June 6 – Trading 40.86. Looks like we picked a decent exit. BUT the 50 MA is close to breaching the 100 MA on weekly so it is on high watch.

May 30 – Closing $ATHM swing trade in 42.11 range premarket from 40.22 entry.

Closing $ATHM swing t42.11 range premarket from 40.22 entry. Under 5% not the best on that one but it works – quick. #breakout #swingtrade

$BWA – BorgWarner

Oct 9 – Trading 51.93 above all MA’s and Stoch RSI and MACD starting to cool after recent run. Will wait for MACD to return a trend down and cross up for a potential long.

Aug 7 – Trading 46.68. Did receive a small pop since ER but up against natural resistance now and above all ma’s so expecting a pull back soon and will re-assess when it bounces (if it does) off an ma on pullback in trend.

July 24 – Trading 44.92 earnings in 3 days. Closing for small loss from 45.62 entry 200 share test.

July 14 – In a small test size long 45.62. Trading 46.20. It’s in break out with indicators saying buy so we will see how it goes here.

July 5 – Trading 43.18 with MACD turned up. Didn’t take trade and watching. Approximately 4 legs in since breaching the 200 MA and it’s looking to me like a break-out or break-down is on deck and probability is break-down considering number of legs in to it now. We’ll see.

June 26 – Trading 41.20. MACD and SQZMOM on daily trending down. Waiting for the turn.

June 18 – Trading 40.99 with all indicators on daily trending down and about to test 200 MA. Waiting for the cross-over turn back up.

June 6 – $BWA Trading 44.31. Got its pop. Price above MA’s on Daily. Stoch RSI near top, MACD trending up and SQZMOM green. Looks good but will likely wait for the 50 MA to breach 100 MA to upside on Weekly. But it is set up. WARNING to 200 MA resistance at 48.11 on weekly if you do enter.

$BWA, Chart

$BWA Trading 44.31. Got pop. Price above MA’s Daily. Stoch RSI near top, MACD trend up SQZMOM green. Looks good but wait for 50 MA breach 100 MA upside Weekly.

$LIT  – Global Lithium

Oct 9 – Trading 39.03 with recent pull back and run back and MACD about to possibly turn up again and price could break 52 week highs. If that scenario occurs it is a long for a test on the break.

Aug 7 – Trading 32.44 and all indicators still up. Obviously missed the move and now waiting for it to pull back to an ma on trend and bounce for a possible entry.

July 24 – Trading 30.68 all indicators up 52 week highs. Watching.

July 14 – Trading 30.35 with indicators signalling a buy and volume coming in over last week. On high watch.

July 5 – Trading 29.10 with MACD trending down. Waiting on MACD to assess.

June 26 – Trading 29.21 with all indicators pointing down but it looks like a turn may be near as Stoch RSIE looks bottomed and Fri volume appeared. On Watch.

June 18 – Trading 29.41 all indicators pointing down and waiting for the turn.

June 6 – Trading 29.92 Holding but be aware it could come of a bit soon before running again as Stoch RSI turned down on daily and its high on weekly.

May 31 – MACD crossed up on 24th and went long 29.44 500 per alert notes below (before we integrated live alerts), will add when 60 min MACD at bottom and turns back up (will live alert it also).

May 23 – Trading 29.31. Waiting for MACD to turn up.

May 17 – Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily are flashing a buy. Very likely will enter long May 17 premarket.

$LIT, Swing, Trade, Chart

May 17 – Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily are flashing a buy. Very likely will enter long May 17 premarket.

$BA – Boeing

Oct 9 – Trading 258.80. Trading new recent highs with ER in 15 days and MACD possibly ready to turn back up. Likely take a trade pre earnings if MACD turns up and previous highs break.

Aug 7 – Trading 237.31. Break out post earnings and starting to come off now. Will wait for it to pull back to ma that it bounces off and consider entry.

July 24 – Trading 212.16 earnings in 2 days. Going to watch this with interest considering recent bull run.

July 14 – Trading 207.50. All indicators are up and price is escalating. It seems the only way to trade this is as a traditional swing on pullbacks of MACD and the turn on it. Watching.

July 5 – Trading 198.59. MACD now trending down so I will wait for that to resolve and assess.

June 26 – Trading 202.23. So I missed the long and should have followed my set up on June 6. All indicators pointing up and making new 52 week highs. Fantastic trending stock and kicking myself for not taking that entry. Waiting for a pull back to assess.

June 18 – Trading 196.44. Per below it was in fact a good long. MACD has confirmed and price is now in break out trading at 52 week highs. I may trade this break out with a 1/5 size entry in pre market and wait for first pull back to add. Indicators on weekly turned up also.

June 6 – Trading 188.47. Per last report it was an okay long. SQZMOM green MACD trending up but Stoch RSI on daily trending down on daily and on weekly the MACD may turn down and SQZMOM Green but trending down. Watching for now.

May 31 – Trading 187.09. MACD on daily turned up. Likely a good long here but waiting.

May 23 – Trading 183.40. Waiting MACD on daily to turn up.

May 17 –  $BA Trading 182.70. Closed 183.82 when MACD turned down on daily May 11 from 180.06 entry 500 shares.

May 8 – $BA Boring Swing trade going well. Trading 186.13. Long 180.06. Holding. MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM all trending. #swingtrading

$BA Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BA/ba7cjyIj-May-8-BA-Boring-Swing-trade-going-well-Trading-186-13-Long/

$BA, Boing, Stock, Swing, TRade

May 8 – $BA Boeing Swing trade going well. Trading 186.13. Long 180.06. Holding. MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM all trending. #swingtrading

$EXK – EXK Silver Mining

Oct 9 – Trading 2.58 and still holding my small position. Under MA’s and watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 2.29 on earnings miss. Small position will hold for the duration.

July 24 – Trading 3.06 watching

July 14 – Trading 2.87 watching

July 5 – Trading 2.92 from 3.49 entry holding small position. Watching chart for life.

June 26 – Trading 3.17 holding from 3.49 entry – small so I am holding for the win.Chart is full of indecision.

June 18 – Trading 2.91 same.

June 6 – Trading 2.92. Holding.

May 31 – Trading 2.92. Yes still holding.

May 23 – Trading 3.13, Holding. MACD still turned up. High RR.

May 17 – Trading 3.31 holding long 3.49 entry. MACD turned up again on 12th and Stoch RSI is at top and resistance at 3.64 ish on daily 100 MA. Waiting now for 20 MA to breach 50 MA on daily for possible add.

May 8 – Trading 2.88. Holding per below.

May 3 – Trading 2.92. Holding long 3.49 3000 shares. It isn’t like us to hold through a down draft, however it is trading at a recent low equivalent so we are watching closely.

Apr 24 – Trading 3.12. Holding long 3.49 3000 shares.

Apr 19 – Holding long 3.49. Trading 3.20. Stoch RSI almost at bottom and will watch close when Stoch RSI turns back up.

Apr 10 – Holding trading 3.45

Apr 5 – $EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 average cost basis April 4 3000 shares.

$EXK, Silver, stock, chart

$EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 April 4.

$BABA – Alibaba

Oct 9 – $BABA Trading near recent highs, trending. On break w MACD SQZMOM up I may long. #swingtrading

BABA, swing, trading

$BABA Trading near recent highs, trending. On break w MACD SQZMOM up I may long. #swingtrading

Aug 7 – Trading 153.33. Trending above ma’s keeps coming back to 20 ma and bouncing and now past ER so it should pullback to a deeper ma in trend and on a bounce I’ll enter.

July 24 – Trading 152.02 ER 17 days and MACD may turn down? Hard to say. Watching.

July 14 – Trading 149.75. This also is in break out and extended well above MA’s. Watching.

July 5 – Trading 140.99 and has been in range for days now on daily. MACD trending down so I will wait for it to turn to assess.

June 26 – Trading 143.01. Well, here we go with the no pull back again. All indicators are trending up on daily but the Stoch RSI turned down on weekly and volume is consistently coming down so I think a pull back is near.

June 18 – Trading 134.87. Still no pull back and I continue to pay. Anyway on weekly stoch rsi is turned down so we will see but MACD and SQZMOM is turned up so who knows when it will stop.

June 6 – Trading 125.20. Didn’t get our pull back and we’re paying. BUT SQZMOM just slightly turned down on weekly now so maybe we’ll get that pullback yet.

May 31 – Trading 123.60. Watching for a pull back.

May 23 – Trading 125.10. Well we got the pullback around earnings and missed it. Hopefully some members got it. It’s trading at near ATH’s right now in premarket.

May 17 – Trading 124.00. Every indicator on hourly, daily and weekly are still flashing buy, however, there has been no pullback to get an entry long. Watching.

May 8 – Trading 117.20. Same as below. Earnings nine days away also.

May 3 – Watching for it to cool off. Unfortunately we did miss some of the move. Waiting for MACD to trend down and catch it on its next turn up.

April 24 – Watching.

April 19 – Closed 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost avg 500 shares. Will allow MACD to return to bottom for re-entry.

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Closed trade at 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost average #swingtrading

April 10 – Hit 110.45, very near our 111.40 target. Holding, trading 109.34. Long 104.64.

April 4 – Holding long 500 shares from 104.64 now trading 108.17. It is testing all time highs and we may add on a break of all time highs. If it pulls back we may cut for a small profit. First price target is 111.40 (see below)

$BABA Live chart with indicators including that SQZMOM indicator – sweeet tool! https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BABA/Lbao9BVu-BABA-Swing-Trade-going-well-Our-Swing-Trading-side-is-in-at-10/

March 27 – We’re long 104.64 500 shares March 22 at test of 20 MA. Stop is at our entry and we are looking for a fresh break-out. However, the market sentiment is not great right now so we are unsure. There is an upside pivot at 111.38 we are watching for resistance should price continue up. Also watching MACD close.

$BABA, Swing, Trading

$BABA Swing trade

March 20 – Wait for MACD to turn up and confirm and stay long until MACD turns down. The Stoch RSI seems to be frontrunning the MACD fyi. $BABA is one of my favorites right now and I see a long entry early in the week.

$BABA Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GsGBi5f2-BABA-Daily-100-MA-50-MA-Cross-MACD-Pinch-SQZMOM-up-Stoch-RSI/

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; $DIS, $PSTG, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $BABA, $LIT, $BA, $MXIM, $ATHM, $BWA, $EXK, Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks

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