Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday July 23, 2018.
In this edition: $HCLP, $LPNT, $TLRY, $AXTI, $DDE, $HAS, $AGN, $TSLA, OIL, $WTI, GOLD, $GLD, Crypto, $BTC , US Dollar, $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Monday July 23 – Lead trader (and/or other team members) will be active in live trading room as follows and as available (as things can change fast in the markets);
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
July 23 – July 27 – Swing trading reports to include video chart analysis recaps for the 100 equities we cover (from mid day reviews) and sent to our subscribers in lieu of the weekly swing trading report.
Sept 14 – 16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
A Tidbit About our Structured Algorithmic Models
“The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn’t provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
And yes, in our trading bootcamp we do teach this process. The process of how we get there – all steps except the black box final gen models (gen 5). But yes, generation 1 thru 4 models and the process therein I teach to our attendees and record it for home study thereafter.”
The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn't provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Markets as of 8:12 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.42, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.91, Gold $GLD trading 1231.14, Silver $SLV trading 15.50, $SPY 279.46, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 7672.00 and $VIX trading 13.2.
Momentum Stocks to Watch:
News:
Allergan’s AGN-241751 Fast Track’d in U.S. for MDD https://seekingalpha.com/news/3372325-allergans-agnminus-241751-fast-trackd-u-s-mdd?source=feed_f … #premarket $AGN
HI-Crush Partners (HCLP) Watch that 200 MA on 4 Hr. Premarket trading 12.29 up 12.9 percent. Senior note offering. $HCLP
ContraVir Pharmaceuticals Reports Progress in Phase 1/2A Trial of CRV431 http://www.streetinsider.com/Press+Releases/ContraVir+Pharmaceuticals+Reports+Progress+in+Phase+12A+Trial+of+CRV431/14421493.html via @Street_Insider
Tesla shares slide 3.7% premarket after report it has asked suppliers for refunds
Bitcoin trading like a conventional equity now. Launched off 50 MA testing 100 MA resistance soon. $BTCUSD $BTC #Bitcoin #premarket
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Down; Alphabet Earnings In Focus https://benzinga.com/z/12055762 $GOOGL $HAS $IDT $WBA $SYNT $SGMO $SPY $DJIA $USO
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ROKU PT raised to $60 from $50 at Needham – keeps Buy rated
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are near 300 in total in development at various stages for all markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting model are encouraged to on-board in a way that will best equip you as an oil trader for profit.
Visit my Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent oil algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website (it explains how the oil algorithm was developed). Reviewing those important points of reference will increase your probability of success considerably. This report includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – Users of this algorithmic oil charting model may opt for private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader and / or an experienced trader that has worked under our lead trader. On our website standard one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a customized package (reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning). To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Charting
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is planned to go to developer coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.
Below you will find simplified levels represented on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work (and associated trade) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the private Discord oil trade room server.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algorithm. The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published July 23, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. July 22 1139 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. July 221 1139 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
July 23, 2018
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades). Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
The lower trading range is 61.70 to 65.31. The upper trading range 68.93 to 72.54.
Trading Bias / Forward Guidance: As with previous report, range bound. Slightly bearish based on MACD on daily, but very slight.
Current (as of July 23, 2018) MACD is turned down on the daily oil chart BUT near historic highs.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time trade could be described as range-bound with moderate uptrend.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is long based on supports still in play, but down channel for the week is very possible considering MACD.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Oil:
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.54 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down channel scenario. July 23 1205 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down channel scenario. July 23 1205 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up channel scenario. July 23 1203 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up channel scenario. July 23 1203 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Swing Trade Considerations.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Oil Chart (Monthly). Trade still working the range between 100 MA and 200 MA on monthly. July 23 1219 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Monthly). Trade above pivot with MACD has room yet under 100 MA – range. July 15 720 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Weekly Oil Chart:
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil stil in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 23 1224 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil stil in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 23 1224 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil has been working resistance 4 weeks now. July 15 723 FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil has been working resistance 4 weeks now. July 15 723 FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil has been working resistance 3 weeks now. July 10 414 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil has been working resistance 3 weeks now. July 10 414 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
May 21 – A feature post was published this week to review time cycles, retrace possibilities on the other side of time cycles on the weekly charts. Below is the post link:
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
July 23 – No significant change to chart below.
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. July 2 212 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. July 2 212 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Oil Trade Alerts:
July 23 – Alerts section will be updated soon.
Anyone remember this tweet from last September. Last time oil had 200 MA w 20 MA breach, price ripped 39.80s to 51.50s fast (6 weeks). $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT
Anyone remember this tweet from last September. Last time oil had 200 MA w 20 MA breach, price ripped 39.80s to 51.50s fast (6 weeks). $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT
Oil Chart (Daily) Price took a double upside rip extension since. FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #OOTT
Oil Chart (Daily) Price took a double upside rip extension since. FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #OOTT
May 29 – Will update the alerts section soon.
May 21 – Will update the alerts section soon.
May 13 – Will update the alerts section soon.
April 29 – I will update the trade alerts on the next report when there is more time. The bottom line is that since last report the trades have been fantastic winners.
EPIC on fire, not quite 100% win rate, but close. Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it. Alert- Long 67.73 scalp intra on FX $USOIL $WTI with 67.43 stop. PT 68.49. Trim at and add over res 67.85 68.07 68.14 @OilAlerts_CT
EPIC on fire, not quite 100% win rate, but close. Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it. Alert- Long 67.73 scalp intra on FX $USOIL$WTI with 67.43 stop. PT 68.49. Trim at and add over res 67.85 68.07 68.14 @OilAlerts_CTpic.twitter.com/PJuxQw9nqZ
Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it.
Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it.
Just noticed I accidentally put the short side trade alert on my personal twitter feed https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/986147196658647040 … “Oil short side bias trade setup intra trading 66.47 with 66.20 target expiring btwn 230 and 630 AM ET. Tight stop SS initial alert. Unclear at this point.”
Trading 66.30 from 66.47 entry nearing 66.20 SS target – trim short bias
Trading 66.24 cover trim on way to target
There it is – 66.20 intra day short target reached – bias to all or near all cover here from 66.47 intra scalp alert.
Oil short side trade intra set-up on watch at top of quad.
Per recent;
“Oil is very near a quad trading range support area (gray) and lower quad time cycle peak. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT”
Fantastic #EIA trade near quad support, buy side steps in, first resistance hits, boom. Near perfect. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fantastic #EIA trade near quad support, buy side steps in, first resistance hits, boom. Near perfect. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Oil is very near a quad trading range support area (gray) and lower quad time cycle peak. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Oil is very near a quad trading range support area (gray) and lower quad time cycle peak. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
The alert detail as it was posted on feed. Short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Summary of short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/yi9JI683-Summary-of-short-side-trade-alert-EPIC-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-Model/ …
July 23 – Target hits section will be updated soon.
Perfect price target hit Wed 1030 as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo #EIA
Perfect price target hit Wed 1030 as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo #EIA
Trade moving in to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade moving in to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade fell in to Tues 430 price target (early) and on track to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade fell in to Tues 430 price target (early) and on track to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Keep in mind that there are three price targets per week for down channel and up channel scenarios. Below are examples of targets hit to upside channel or down channel.
Price target hit for Tues 1030 #EIA as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Price target hit for Tues 1030 #EIA as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues 430 price target hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO
Tues 430 price target hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO
Tues Mar 13 430 #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues Mar 13 430 #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed 1030 Mar 14 #EIA #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed 1030 Mar 14 #EIA #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent;
Tues Mar 6 price target perfect hit to minute and penny as provided on prior weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Private Member Server Screen shot of #EIA #OIL targets in play from wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Private Member Server Screen shot of #EIA #OIL targets in play from wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL price target in play as provided on wknd report (Tues hit perfect). EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL price target in play as provided on wknd report (Tues hit perfect). EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL upper price target touch only and dumped in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL upper price target touch only and dumped in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Screen shot of price and time target hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Screen shot of price and time target hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed #EIA 1030 Feb 28 perfect hit to target at exact cent and minute as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed #EIA 1030 Feb 28 perfect hit to target at exact cent and minute as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues 430 Feb 27 price time target perfect hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues 430 Feb 27 price time target perfect hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Fri Feb 23 price time target perfect hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Fri Feb 23 price time target perfect hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent;
Oil Wed 1030 AM EIA report price target perfect hit, as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Wed 1030 AM EIA report price target perfect hit, as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Trade set-ups on this video; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT and more.
Mid Day Chart Swing Trading Set-ups July 19, 2018 Summary:
Note: Voice broadcast on this video starts at 1:47.
Swing Trading Review of charts from July 19 Mid Day Review. Between Monday July 23 and Friday 27 we will be reviewing the charting for all one hundred equities we follow on our swing trading platform (it’s earnings season so it is important to be on top of the charting and buy sell trigger alarms). Each report from mid day will be sent to swing trading members daily.
Tickers covered; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT and more.
$VIX – Volatility time cycle on large weekly structure is coming to conclusion near mid next week. Watch for a possible trend reversal in the $VIX as we complete the time cycle. $VIX is currently in downtrend pinch on chart.
US Dollar $DXY – Algorithm model summary review (review dollar algorithm reports for complete detail or review mid day chart review videos from recent months). Intra day at resistance and if it trades above the resistance look to next structure above. Very bullish and 97.00 upside is very possible. Detail on video.
$SPY – Over 281.04 is a long side trade trigger 283.89. Support at 278.66. How to trade the algorithmic model (60 min) is discussed some on video. Other main support and resistance areas discussed.
$DIS – Disney has been a great trade. The algorithmic charting has been good. Hit resistance today at a Fibonacci horizontal. Price Targets: Bullish 117.53 early Sept, 110.60 if it comes off, 103.68 is the bearish target, trade each support and resistance on way to each target. Up over today’s resistance is a long to price target on video.
$RCL – Royal Caribbean, short warning was good and it popped and got in to price target early so this is a trim 115.00 resistance, 98.50 is bearish scenario. 131.00 is bullish price target scenario above 115.00. On an upside trajectory watch the 200 MA (pink line) overhead.
$RKDA – Conventional charting reviewed for Arcadia Biosciences, This chart has lots of room to move. 50 MA is getting close to price on daily chart and that puts this on watch for a huge potential move up. We have alarmed the chart for when / if price crosses 50 MA and we’re looking for a run to the 100 MA (14.00 possible from 8’s). Watch the 200 MA overhead on way to 100 MA if that scenario occurs.
$SQ – Square, chart seems over extended and a revisit to 20 MA should occur soon. Longs should be cautious.
$HEAR – What a move, missed the major part of the move and only got daytrade snipes. Longs should trim in advance of a retrace.
$SMIT – daytraders chart and that’s it. Careful trying to trade it. Buy sell triggers discussed and how to daytrade it.
$TGTX – may be setting up for a move.
Watch for the same on Friday and next week watch for the 100 chart reviews of our regular charting in preparation for trading through earnings season.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible (public). $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible (public). $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
ARCADIA BIOSCIENCES (RKDA) Premarket up 22% trading 8.41 on milestone news. $RKDA #premarket
ARCADIA BIOSCIENCES (RKDA) Premarket up 22% trading 8.41 on milestone news. $RKDA #premarket
DISNEY (DIS) Trading 113.95 testing quad TL, 113.80 and 113.51 support. Above 115.80 res targets 117.42 Sept 6. $DIS #swingtrading
DISNEY (DIS) Trading 113.95 testing quad TL, 113.80 and 113.51 support. Above 115.80 res targets 117.42 Sept 6. $DIS #swingtrading
ROYAL CARIBBEAN (RCL) hit 113.00 near PT resistance for trims. Above 115.00 has 118.67 res next and under 111.24 support and so on $RCL #charting
ROYAL CARIBBEAN (RCL) hit 113.00 near PT resistance for trims. Above 115.00 has 118.67 res next and under 111.24 support and so on $RCL #charting
Compound Trading Platform: Algorithm model charting for $SPY, $VIX, #OIL, #GOLD, #SILVER, #Crypto ($BTC Bitcoin, $ETH, $LTC, $XRP,) $DXY US Dollar and Swing Trading Newsletter. Live trading rooms for daytrading and oil traders. Private coaching and live alerts.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday July 19, 2018.
In this edition: $SMIT, $RKDA, $TTS, $NDLS, $DHR, $IBM, $WIN, $EBAY, $SPWH, $AXP, OIL, $WTI, GOLD, $GLD, Crypto, $BTC , US Dollar, $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Thurs July 19 – Lead trader (and/or other team members) will be active in live trading room as follows and as available as things can change fast in the markets;
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
Sept 14 – 16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
A Tidbit About our Structured Algorithmic Models
“The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn’t provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
And yes, in our trading bootcamp we do teach this process. The process of how we get there – all steps except the black box final gen models (gen 5). But yes, generation 1 thru 4 models and the process therein I teach to our attendees and record it for home study thereafter.”
The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn't provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning. Official announcement to follow.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Bitcoin trading like a conventional equity now. Launched off 50 MA testing 100 MA resistance soon. $BTCUSD $BTC #Bitcoin #premarket
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Lions Gate started at outperform with $28 stock price target at Imperial Capital
$GWW WW Grainger (GWW) PT Raised to $330 at BMO Capital http://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+PT+Change/WW+Grainger+%28GWW%29+PT+Raised+to+%24330+at+BMO+Capital/14413627.html … via @Street_Insider
Tesla stock falls 2% after Needham downgrades to underperform
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Wednesday July 18, 2018.
In this edition: $PRPO, $CBIO, $ERIC, $ADAP, #EIA, OIL, $WTI, GOLD, $GLD, Crypto, $BTC , US Dollar, $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Wed July 18 – Lead trader (and/or other team members) will be active in live trading room today as follows (and only as available as things can change fast in the markets in our operational environment);
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
10:30 AM #EIA Oil Report
12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to liver trading room members
Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
Sept 14 – 16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
A Tidbit About our Structured Algorithmic Models
“The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn’t provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
And yes, in our trading bootcamp we do teach this process. The process of how we get there – all steps except the black box final gen models (gen 5). But yes, generation 1 thru 4 models and the process therein I teach to our attendees and record it for home study thereafter.”
The thing about our algorithmic structured models is that we get the structure first, and then math can explain how to get there. The math confirms the model but doesn't provide us with the model. We start at the end result and then confirm it with conventional math.
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning. Official announcement to follow.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
– Google to be hit with record $5B antitrust penalty by the EU $GOOGL 💸 – Novartis to join Pfizer in halting U.S. drug price hikes $NVS – Tesla’s Elon Musk apologizes to diver in Thai cave rescue for calling him a “pedo guy” $TSLA
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Google to be hit with record $5B antitrust penalty by the EU $GOOGL 💸 – Novartis to join Pfizer in halting U.S. drug price hikes $NVS – Tesla's Elon Musk apologizes to diver in Thai cave rescue for calling him a "pedo guy" $TSLA
$IMMU Immunomedics (IMMU) Reports FDA Acceptance of Biologics License Application for Filing and Granted Priority Review for Sacituzumab Govitecan http://www.streetinsider.com/FDA/Immunomedics+%28IMMU%29+Reports+FDA+Acceptance+of+Biologics+License+Application+for+Filing+and+Granted+Priority+Review+for+Sacituzumab+Govitecan/14409598.html … via @Street_Insider
Recent SEC Filings:
Insider Buys Of The Week: Energen, Esperion Therapeutics And International Flavors https://benzinga.com/z/12020928 $EGN $ESPR $IFF
Recent IPO’s:
New IPO pricing : $RUBY 10.3M shares at $23 and $CRNX 6m shares at $17
$CRNX Crinetics Pharmaceuticals prices IPO at $17 a share
Bitcoin trading like a conventional equity now. Launched off 50 MA testing 100 MA resistance soon. $BTCUSD $BTC #Bitcoin #premarket
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things – Google fine – Trump clarification – Pound plunge – Markets rise – Coming up… https://bloom.bg/2uxc9CD
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Tuesday July 17, 2018.
In this edition: $CLRB, $AMRH, $GBR, OIL, $WTI, GOLD, $GLD, Crypto, $BTC , Dollar $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Lead trader (and/or other team members) will be active in live trading room today as follows (and only as available);
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to liver trading room members
Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
Daytrading room now re-open to daytrading room members as lead trader alerts via email. If you are not receiving notices please email us at [email protected].
July 28 – 29, Santo Domingo – #IA Intelligent Assisted Platform (private, internship & staff training / development).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning. Official announcement to follow.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date on the top of each chart (they are often carried forward).
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ROKU PT raised to $54 from $44 at Keybanc – keeps Overweight rating
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Buckingham downgrading $NFLX Netflix to Underperform
Raymond James Downgrades Chuy’s Holdings $CHUY to Market Perform
Janney Montgomery Scott Downgrades Waters Corp. $WAT to Neutral
Guggenheim Downgrades American Tower $AMT to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Hello, my name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.
Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders. My algorithm charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD, Bitcoin related equities and you will find additional preliminary algorithmic modeling for $ETH, $LTC and $XRP in this report.
Note: The $XBTUSD (Bitcoin swaps) model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.
Notices:
More extensive chart models for $BTCUSD, $ETHUSD, $XRPUSD, $LTCUSD and others (such as a few bitcoin related equities) will be featured in future reporting.
Join us in our private Crypto Trading room server on discord!
For newer users – read the blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here.
Primary Methods of Bitcoin Trade:
The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange, blue or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker lines are more significant as they represent wider time-frames) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the mid-line of the upper quadrant – over the mid-line you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant (time cycle peak range for a specific time-frame) gives you the widest trading range probability.
This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the mid-line of the quadrant – under the mid-line you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the highest probability of the widest trading range.
Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.
Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 Fibonacci levels (mid-lines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.
Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long.
Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the most likely price targets in time cycles / trends relative to quads. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are typically provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets. Also, at times the mid quad support / resistance line is highlighted with a target if trade is not extremely bullish or bearish.
Natural / Historical Support/Resistance: Natural / historical support and resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines.
Conventional Charting: Conventional charting should be weighed against the model(s) with all trade decisions.
In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):
Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue dotted lines)
Trading range between buy/sell trigger levels (grey/green arrows and solid lines)
Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
Conventional MA’s
Bitcoin Algorithm – Daily Chart (Suitable for Swing Trading):
Click link to open initial chart viewer screen, then share button at bottom right of screen, then make it mine, then double click on chart body to hide or reveal indicators at bottom of chart (MACD etc).
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daily chart model testing 50 MA resistance in possible turn. 302 AM July 17 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daily chart model. 208 AM July 9 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Trading Plan (Observations / Chart Indicators):
July 17 – As with previous, it is a 50 MA test but the trajectory of downdraft is changing and a turn is possible soon. Patiently watching.
July 9 – Trading just under 50 MA, watching for a decision at the 50 MA test for direction.
June 26 – Range bound trade – waiting for a direction.
June 19 – My current bias and trading plan is exactly what it was last report (range bound trade)
June 11 – If Bitcoin $XBTUSD dumps lower than 5900.00 then high probability it continues in down channel (illustrated down channel with yellow arrows). It holds and up channel is in play (also illustrated on charting).
On the daytrading chart below it seems too early to comment on a bias… looking for structure to build.
My personal bias is it should turn up channel, conventionally that makes sense in trading after a dump, however, the 5900.00 is key as a mid quad area.
A few tweets / comments in private Bitcoin member serve recently reflecting my bias:
And we’re there 🙂 Bitcoin $BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Charting #crypto
If you are reviewing this newsletter (as a historical unlocked post) and not a member of our service and would like a tour of our private discord server (trading chat / alerts etc) or our private Twitter member $BTC alert feed let us know. You can check out our call rate for yourself. Transparent trading is important to us.
July 17 – Alert examples will be updated soon.
Intra bottom call. White arrow – alert sent. Green arrow – buy trigger. Red arrow – resistance (mid quad) on chart per alert sent. $BTC $XTUSD #Bitcoin #Cryptotrading
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 20, 2018
May 13 – Will post recent alerts soon when time allows.
Per recent;
April 29 – There have been many calls since bottom on our private server and private twitter feed… I’m not going to take the time to post them here right now but I will post this rant of tweets… the private member alerts I’ll post next report if time (they were all spot on alerts).
I even told ya how I knew where the bottom was. $BTC #Bitcoin #algorithm
I even told ya how I knew where the bottom was. $BTC #Bitcoin #algorithm
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading screenshot
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading screenshot
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. Tweet screen shot.
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. Tweet screen shot.
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. $BTC #bitcoin #calls
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. $BTC #bitcoin #calls
Technical precision trading. Price target hit perfect on daytrading algorithm model charting. $BTC $XBT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
Technical precision trading. Price target hit perfect on daytrading algorithm model charting. $BTC $XBT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
Bitcoin coming in to a possible buy trigger zone on daytrading chart. $BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin coming in to a possible buy trigger zone on daytrading chart. $BTC #Bitcoin
$BTC Bitcoin popped now 400 points since alert of support. Not a bad RR here for long test. If nothing else a day trade.
Bitcoin time price cycle peak coming April 7 – path of least resistance down target but my bias is to up. Trade price. We start trading live again Monday so I’ll broadcast our trading group moves live for this setup. $BTC #Bitcoin #trading #crypto (alerted in private member Discord server)
Bitcoin time price cycle peak coming April 7 – path of least resistance down target but my bias is to up. Trade price. $BTC #Bitcoin #trading #crypto.png
And the result…. price is dumping in to lower target identified on trade alert…. intrad-day getting close. Charting wins. Trader bias not so good on this one.
Bitcoin did dump in to down target.
Ethereum Algorithm. Basic Charting Model on Daily Time Frame:
Ethereum Algorithm. Daily Chart. 625 resistance 418 support July 9 316 AM $ETH $ETHUSD #Ethereum #Algorithm
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday July 16, 2018.
In this edition: $CODA, $GENE, OIL, $WTI, GOLD, $GLD, Crypto, $BTC , Dollar, $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Lead trader (and/or other team members) will be active in live trading room today as follows (and only as available);
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to liver trading room members
Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
Daytrading room now re-open to daytrading room members as lead trader alerts via email. If you are not receiving notices please email us at [email protected].
July 28 – 29, Santo Domingo – #IA Intelligent Assisted Platform (private, internship & staff training / development).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning. Official announcement to follow.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Stock-market bull is still on its feet, snorting its way past 1 obstacle after another
Market Observation:
Markets as of 9:02 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.52, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.33, Gold $GLD trading 1242.64, Silver $SLV trading 15.78, $SPY 279.51, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6600.50 and $VIX trading 12.6.
Your Monday Morning Speed Read:
– U.S. retail sales for June due @ 8:30am ET $SPY – Report: Goldman Sachs to name David Solomon as CEO Lloyd Blankfein’s successor this week $GS – Suffering from #Regrexit? Too bad. UK says there will NOT be another #Brexit referendum $EWU
Your Monday Morning Speed Read:
– U.S. retail sales for June due @ 8:30am ET $SPY – Report: Goldman Sachs to name David Solomon as CEO Lloyd Blankfein's successor this week $GS – Suffering from #Regrexit? Too bad. UK says there will NOT be another #Brexit referendum $EWU
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date on the top of each chart (they are often carried forward).
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
MACD has turned down on the Daily Oil Chart. Bearish indicator to consider. Needs to stay above 20 MA. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
TRANSOCEAN (RIG) Trading 13.74 with upside targets 15.63 19.54 with earnings in 27 days. $RIG #swingtrading #chart
TRANSOCEAN (RIG) Trading 13.74 with upside targets 15.63 19.54 with earnings in 27 days. $RIG #swingtrading #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) With the 50 MA coming to meet price, will price retrace like it did previous or break out. $AXP
AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) With the 50 MA coming to meet price, will price retrace like it did previous or break out. $AXP
VALEANT (VRX) Time cycle concludes July 9, time to have next trajectory on watch and trade it. $VRX #swingtrading #daytrading
VALEANT (VRX) Time cycle concludes July 9, time to have next trajectory on watch and trade it. $VRX #swingtrading #daytrading
SPECTRUM PHARMA (SPPI) Had a great day up 15.5% trading 21.90. Entries at the arrows. Long play. $SPPI #SwingTrading
SPECTRUM PHARMA (SPPI) Had a great day up 15.5% trading 21.90. Entries at the arrows. Long play. $SPPI #SwingTrading
DISNEY (DIS) Held mid quad support in sell off, bounce here targets 110.66 Sept 5. On high watch. $DIS #swingtrading
DISNEY (DIS) Held mid quad support in sell off, bounce here targets 110.66 Sept 5. On high watch. $DIS #swingtrading
KARI THERAPEUTICS (AKTX) Under 200 MA but significant volume last few days. On high watch. $AKTX #stock #chart
KARI THERAPEUTICS (AKTX) Under 200 MA but significant volume last few days. On high watch. $AKTX #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Swing trade setup has been going well. 1213.50 July 3 price target in play. $GOOGL #swingtrading
LIVEPERSON (LPSN) Our $LPSN swing continues 24 intra – over 23.80 targets 24.60, 25.05, 25.90 main resistance. #swingtrading
LIVEPERSON (LPSN) Our $LPSN swing continues 24 intra – over 23.80 targets 24.60, 25.05, 25.90 main resistance. #swingtrading
PACIRA (PCRX) swing trade continues trading 39.40 – over 39.65 tragets 40.50 then 41.80 main resistance. $PCRX #swingtrading
PACIRA (PCRX) swing trade continues trading 39.40 – over 39.65 tragets 40.50 then 41.80 main resistance. $PCRX #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
150s to 201s Boom $FB We’re in from the 150 s on that great wash-out snap back swing trade set-up trading 201.74 #swingtrading #snapbacktrade #learntotradefear
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things – Trump, Putin meeting – Big news for big banks – China headwinds – Markets mixed – Coming up… https://bloom.bg/2L2GNy0
Data on retail sales for June will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
The Empire State manufacturing index for July is schedule for release at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Data on business inventories for May will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
The Treasury is set to auction 3-and 6-month bills at 11:30 a.m. ET.
$XLE Energy ETFs May Strike it Big This Earnings Season https://finance.yahoo.com/news/energy-etfs-may-strike-big-190937451.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
AMD’s stock rallies after Stifel analyst boosts price target
Shares of Infosys surged to a record high after analysts shifted their focus on the company’s deals from earnings. https://goo.gl/vxZqSG
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Buckingham downgrading $NFLX Netflix to Underpeform
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).