Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday August 16, 2018.
In this edition: China US Talks, $AAPL, $NVDA, $SRPT, $WMT, $AMZN, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Thursday Aug 15 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
- 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
- 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
- Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
- The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
- Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
- Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
- For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.
Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Stock Futures Soar On Trade War Break: Walmart, Cisco Power The Dow http://dlvr.it/Qg4YLc
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:40 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.57, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 65.11, Gold $GLD trading 1181.20, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 281.78, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6427.00 and $VIX trading 13.7.
Momentum Stocks / GAPS to Watch:
28 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12217039 $GSM $WMT $SBBP $CSCO $VBLT $WUBA $HUYA $PTIE $PSTN $IIN $NTAP $RIOT $JD
News:
Your Thursday morning Speed Read:
– Amazon wants to acquire Mark Cuban’s Landmark Theaters, .@business reports $AMZN
– U.S., China will hold 1st trade talks since May later this month 🤞🏽$SPY $FXI
– Semi stock bellwether NVIDIA investors its Q2 print after the bell 2day $NVDA
Your Thursday morning Speed Read:
– Amazon wants to acquire Mark Cuban's Landmark Theaters, .@business reports $AMZN
– U.S., China will hold 1st trade talks since May later this month 🤞🏽$SPY $FXI
– Semi stock bellwether NVIDIA investors its Q2 print after the bell 2day $NVDA— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 16, 2018
#5things
-China-U.S. talks
-Erdogan’s friends
-Retail health check
-Markets mixed
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2vNjmiC
$WVE Receives Orphan Drug And Rare Pediatric Disease Designations For WVE-210201 #DMD Drug. $SRPT
After visiting Tesla’s Freemont facility, Evercore ISI says Model 3 ‘on track’ $TSLA http://dlvr.it/Qg4TVM
$REGN & $TEVA Announce Positive Topline Phase 3 Fasinumab Results in Patients With Chronic Pain From Osteoarthritis of the Knee or Hip
$SMMT Awarded Additional $12M by BARDA for Phase 3 Development Program of Ridinilazole
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
$SRPT CEO buys 16K shares @ avg price: $125.26/share
Weight Watchers 6M share Block Trade priced at $76.00 $WTW http://dlvr.it/QfyXKn
Recent IPO’s:
BioNano Genomics to offer 2.45 million shares in IPO priced at $6 to $7 each
GoDaddy’s stock falls after public offering of 10.4 million shares
Earnings:
J.C. Penney shares slump 16% after wider-than-expected loss, revenue decline
JD.com Earnings, Revenue Miss; Stock Falls
https://t.co/pMKAgHTGTY Earnings, Revenue Miss; Stock Falls https://t.co/B02mpLnbzL
— Investors.com (@IBDinvestors) August 16, 2018
So I hear Walmart earnings are “great”? 🙄
Well, have you seen a bigger disaster than this? This is like Enron/dot come level era bust
-90% net income before taxes
-130% net income per EPS
$WMT lost -30 cents per share in Q2. In a 4% f-ing economy!
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGR
#earnings for the week$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGRhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PfPzmWSmLy
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 12, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
OIL testing upside intra-day resistance in structure, possible move to 61.65 next intra day. #oil #trading #algorithm
OIL testing upside intra-day resistance in structure, possible move to 61.65 next intra day. #oil #trading #algorithm
APPLE (APPL) premarket nearing 212.65 range resistance trading 210.30, trim in to it add above. $AAPL #premarket #swingtrading
APPLE (APPL) premarket nearing 212.65 range resistance trading 210.30, trim in to it add above. $AAPL #premarket #swingtrading
US Dollar Index (DXY) Did come off intra-day at resistance area testing 200 MA on 30 min chart $DXY $UUP #USD
US Dollar Index (DXY) Did come off intra-day at resistance area testing 200 MA on 30 min chart$DXY $UUP #USD
Oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm buy side oil trade alerts 64.50 buy side at day lows for members. #oil #trade #alerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #Algorithm
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/Y9MBk0hE7F
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI
It bounced and hasn't looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI https://t.co/vhSzw9TK58
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading https://t.co/AoyhwOjYkz
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto
$BTC 8300's to 6900's…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto pic.twitter.com/HneG44UaSs
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 6, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Futures rebound on strong earnings, trade talk hopes –
Futures rebound on strong earnings, trade talk hopes – https://t.co/0EvVmHRgGz
— Investing.com Stocks (@InvestingStockz) August 16, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ANW $SMMT $GSM $NFX $CPST $WMT $WUBA $AVLR $HTGM $SYMC $CSCO $OSTK $HUYA $AVEO $SBBP $NUGT $IQ
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Southwestern Energy $SWN PT Raised to $5 at Morgan Stanley
Oasis Petroleum $OAS PT Raised to $20 at Morgan Stanley
NetApp $NTAP PT Raised to $70 at Morgan Stanley
HCP $HCP PT Raised to $25 at Morgan Stanley
Harris Corp. $HRS PT Raised to $190 at Argus
Brixmor Property $BRX PT Raised to $22 at Wells Fargo
Patrick Industries $PATK PT Raised to $67 at Wells Fargo
Cisco $CSCO PT Raised to $53 at UBS
Morgan Stanley Resumes Williams Companies $WMB at Overweight
Independence Contract Drilling $ICD PT Raised to $6 at RBC Capital
Wolverine World Wide $WWW PT Raised to $38 at Buckingham Research
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Range Resources $RRC PT Lowered to $16 at Morgan Stanley
Noble Energy $NBL PT Lowered to $36 at Morgan Stanley
Devon Energy $DVN PT Lowered to $45 at Morgan Stanley
Cimarex Energy $XEC PT Lowered to $123 at Morgan Stanley
Constellation Brands $STZ PT Lowered to $235 at BofA/Merrill Lynch
U.S. Concrete $USCR PT Lowered to $68 at Stephens on 2Q Report; ‘Headwinds from Acquisitions’
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, China US Talks, $AAPL, $NVDA, $SRPT, $WMT, $AMZN, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY
Oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm buy side oil trade alerts 64.50 buy side at day lows for members. #oil #trade #alerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #Algorithm
How did we know in a heavy intra-day sell-off where oil would bottom and turn? Learning to trade crude oil is not easy if you try and trade it with conventional trading strategy, you need to know how oil trades and why.
Below are the details to help you with your crude oil trading strategy.
Let’s look at what happened and then I will explain how I knew where the reversal intra-day in crude oil trade would be.
Below you will find the intra-day sell-off in crude oil, the member trade alerts, member chat room guidance and charts – and then I’ll explain how we knew in advance with high probability where the bottom would be.
Crude oil chart (FX USOIL WTI). The sell off in crude oil trade today was extreme.
Crude Oil Chart – Crude oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm called buy side for 64.50 at day lows (on way down).
On the way down we alerted our members on the EPIC Twitter crude oil trade alerts member service of where the possible bottoms were. There was an initial possible area and then the buy side area a touch down. The chart below shows the sell-off (with red arrow) and the buy side long entries alerted to members (green arrow).
Oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm called buy side for 64.50 at day lows (on way down). #oil #trade #alerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #Algorithm
Alert – Oil trade alerts on the EPIC Oil Trading Alerts Feed – Starting buys in here careful will cut fast 64.50 – 58, hit low in sell off perfect.
Below is a screen shot of the private member trade alert feed on Twitter showing the member alert that our buys were starting in the 64.50 – .58 area (after we had provided the oil trade strategy in the private discord oil chat room server). Buy side alerts started at 64.50 and the low of day in crude oil was 64.44 (FX USOIL WTI).
Oil trade alerts – Starting buys in here careful will cut fast 64.50 – 58, hit low in sell off perfect. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #Oil #trading #alerts
Chat Room Strategy – Oil chat room member guidance for buy side at bottom of sell-off today.
Below is a screen shot of the private member oil trading chat room.
“if it dumps i’ll look for 64.52 area ish”
This comment was after significant guidance by myself (lead trader at Compound Trading Group). I was looking for confirmation of a bottom trade strategy for a reversal in oil trade intra-day.
“hoping in to 1130 candle expiry i get entry”
Trade had been in sell-of prior to the Wednesday 10:30 AM EST EIA Petroleum Status Report and after the report was released trade in crude oil continued. Prior to this alert to watch the start of the 11:30 AM EST candle on the oil chart I had given significant member guidance in the chat room. If you look at the chart posted above you will see that the reversal turn in oil was in fact at the 11:30 candle on the chart.
“looking for volatility in to 64.52 and turn of 30 and long tail and volume buys”
As with the prior comment above, I’m explaining in the quote specifically what I am looking for to confirm my trade execution long for the reversal. By the way, we use a 30 minute chart for EPIC Oil algorithmic charting purposes.
“starting buys in here careful will cut fast 64.58 area”
This is the alert in the chat room that my buys started at 64.58 (this was the first alert) then on Twitter I had alerted buys 64.50 – 64.58 because price came off a bit and I was buying in to 64.50 so the Twitter alert reflected that also.
“trimmed 64.72 looking for another entry”
Then as I was trimming longs I had alerted the chat room. At this time I was also in the main trading room on voice broadcast alerting my trades to the chat room (we have the member discord chat room and a main chat room that has live oil charting for the algorithm and also voice broadcast – members can choose to be in either / or as they need).
So in a nutshell I called the bottom for members in an aggressive intra-day sell-off and provided strategy for the trade on its way down. There is many more comments prior to these from the chat room.
Oil chat room member guidance for buy side at bottom of sell-off today. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #chat #room #alerts
So the questions is, how did I know where to execute the long side trade in crude oil? How was the reversal confirmed? How can you learn to trade oil with the correct market and charting signals?
Reason Number 1 – The US Dollar.
“resistance on USD should provide moderate support for oil prices
but thats a moderate consideration”“you could consider this area divergent right now for USD – there’s a special report out tonight, but this is resistance on DXY now on main wide structure it should calm down very soon
on intra day short time frame who knows
intra day resistance white arrow on DXY”
The correlation between the US Dollar and the trade of commodities is not always correlated. I tend to check in on our US Dollar Algorithm whenever executing oil trades. Today the dollar was trading near a critical resistance area, so I took that information in to consideration.
Oil trading strategy in chat room started with resistance approaching on US Dollar trade intra-day explained to members with charts.
Oil trading strategy in chat room started with resistance approaching on US Dollar trade intra-day explained to members with charts.
“wider structured resistance on DXY at orange line”
Screen shot of US Dollar Algorithm charting showing members in chat room where main resistance in DXY is.
Screen shot of US Dollar Algorithm charting showing members in chat room where main resistance in DXY is.
How the Dollar Impacts Commodity Prices
“The vast majority of these materials use the dollar as a pricing mechanism for global trade because the U.S. is the strongest and most stable economy in the world. When the dollar strengthens, it means that commodities become more expensive in other, nondollar currencies. This tends to have a negative influence on demand. Conversely, when the dollar weakens, commodity prices in other currencies move lower, which increases demand.”
https://www.thebalance.com/how-the-dollar-impacts-commodity-prices-809294
Reason Number 2 – Support for Oil Trade on the Weekly Chart (moving averages).
“62.30 50 MA on weekly”
The second reason is more a consideration for downside risk than it was a reason for trade.
I was reviewing the weekly chart our algorithm reporting service provides members – taking a mental note of my downside risk. I was also weighing the upside resistance on the weekly chart. Because of the weekly downside risk being considerably lower than the price of intra-day trade my risk tolerance to more sell-off was very low. I alerted that to members and would have closed a losing trade very quickly had that happened.
The 50 day moving average in this chart example shows a considerable down-side risk to a long trade. The 50 MA is the purple line on the chart in the screen shot below. More about moving averages here.
Screen shot of weekly oil chart support for trading strategy consideration – 62.30 50 MA on weekly chart.
Screen shot of weekly oil chart support for trading strategy consideration – 62.30 50 MA on weekly
Reason Number 3 – EIA confirmed the build in crude oil inventory.
#EIA
Crude: 6.805M
Cushing: 1.643M
Gasoline: -0.740M
Distillates: 3.566M
#oott
And then the EIA Petroleum figures were available online at 10:30 AM and this confirmed a large build in crude oil inventories. This is bearish but at 4:30 the day before the initial forecast provided a surprise build (hence the sell-off that started in trade prior). This isn’t a reason for a long side trade at first glance until you consider the trader’s mentality.
The sell-off that continued after EIA was announced was obviously an over committed intra-day scenario because everyone already knew that a large build was expected, so I didn’t expect it to sell off much more intra-day. My longer term bias is considerably different, but specifically intra-day in the trade of crude I didn’t expect much more sell-off.
Then the EIA Petroleum Report figures were available and the build in crude was higher than expected (screen shot of chat room).
Also note in the screen shot below of the chat room the coding tech updating the algorithm charting for members on the intra-day time frame and posting it to the room. He did this because he knew a trade was setting up so he provided the most recent machine trading data for myself and our trading community members to use when executing the trades.
Then the EIA Petroleum Report figures were available and the build in crude was higher than expected.
Reason Number 4 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Charting Support Areas to Watch.
64.60 FX USOIL buy target intra day – we’ll see how it looks trading 64.88 intra
Then I provided the members the first area of trade to watch (at 64.60) for on the charting that could have been the support area intra-day for the reversal long trade (see the member chat room screen shot above).
And sure enough, intra-day trade stalled at the 64.60 market and below is the charting we were watching. The green arrow on the charting below shows the area of trade.
Chat room screen shot – shows two EPIC Oil Algorithm charts and price target area where trade stalled for a test.
Chat room screen shot – shows two EPIC Oil Algorithm charts and price target area where trade stalled for a test.
Gray arrow shows diagonal trendline support area that has acted as support historically many times. EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm.
The gray arrow shows an area on the oil algorithm that has been used by the machines to buy intra-day sell-offs over and over again.
One of the benefits of our work is that we look at historical charts and process that big data for our clients. This work provides insight to what specific signals to use at various intervals of trade intra-day and for swing trading that the human trader simply can’t discern because the data involved is too much for the brain to process. This would take a book of 500 pages to explain. In short, this specific area in the algorithmic oil charting model has been used consistently by the machines. I include some recent examples below for demonstration purposes.
Also note the green arrows on the chart. The first being the first area of support I was watching and the second being the second area. The first area of support did see a bounce in trade intra-day but failed the pull-back back test so we didn’t execute. The second area we did execute trades on and did alert to our members. This was so close to the ideal buy trigger that we nailed it. Our members will tell you that we alert the buy zones in sell-offs near perfect nearly 100% of the time. Our feed tells the story for us – it is time stamped and transparent so there is no way to trick anyone with false signals of record.
Gray arrow show diagonal trendline support area that has acted as support historically many times. EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm.
The chart below has recent examples of trade where the machines have bought the sell-off in crude oil with significant liquidity. The sell-off and subsequent area of reversal today was exactly the same area of the algorithm model.
Oil trade algorithm and the recent areas of trade machines have taken long positions in oil during sell-offs.
Oil trade algorithm and the recent areas of trade machines have taken long positions in oil during sell-offs.
Reason Number 5 – Confirmation in Intra-Day Trade of Oil to Confirm Signal to Enter Long Side Trade.
Chat room screen shot – explaining to members indicators I was watching on charting for back-test confirmation in oil trade.
Crude oil trade hit 64.74 within 14 cents of the price target I was wanting to see to possibly confirm the trade (see above the 64.60 area I was watching for).
Then the price target of 64.60 was hit and I explained to chat room members to wait and see how the bounce in trade handled the upside 20 MA resistance area and to watch the expected back test (pull back in trade) to previous support before executing a trade. This is a process of watching intra-day trade for various confirmations in trade to be sure as you can be that your entry execution is not too early (or late for that matter).
Chat room screen shot – explaining to members indicators I was watching on chartng for back-test confirmation in oil trade
Conclusion:
We knew well in advance of the oil sell-off today the area of trade that was most probable to be the right buy signal.
We alerted the buy side trade for our members on the private member oil trading alerts feed.
We provided trading strategy in the oil chat room well in advance of trade achieving the price target for the long side trade alert.
I provided live charting and voice broadcast to members in our main trading room as I executed trades.
Our algorithm charting provided us the buy area well in advance as part of a rules based trading process as a result of big data processing by our team of experts in this field.
In large part, this is why I haven’t been on the losing side of an oil trade alert in many months. Every trade alert is documented in real time, recorded, live alerted and time stamped for evidence of our claims.
Are You Learning to Trade Oil?
My best advice is to join our service on a trial and view real-time how we analyse our trades.
We have a clear trading process that is rules based and has proven to win.
I am far from the best trader I know, in fact I would rate myself about a 5 or 6 out of 10 – I am an expert technician but not top shelf trader. But I am one of the highest winning percentage oil trade alerting services available simply because our algorithm models are that good – and it takes more than that, it takes a team of committed individuals to provide clear winning trading signals to the members.
Interpretation of the algorithm models as a result of experience and historical big data processing is why we win and win often. And when we loose, it is small because we know when a trade has failed. In our work we know before the crowd where to buy and why and where to close and why. We know where to add to your trades and where to trim you trades.
And finally, if you need more help getting on the winning side of your trades then I would seriously consider 3 hours of private coaching. Even the best traders in the world have a coach because a trading coach will keep your psychological game in check as it relates to following the trading of a rules based process. A trading coach is critical to success as a winning trader.
Best with it and let me know if you need anything.
Curtis
To Learn More About Trading Oil:
Learning to Trade Links on our Site and/or YouTube.
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm June 21, 2017 (video).
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades June 29, 2017 (video).
Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/
Subscribe Here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
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Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trade, Alerts, Chat Room, Reversal, Strategy, Algorithm, Learn to Trade
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Wednesday August 15, 2018.
In this edition: Global Sell-Off, #EIA, OIL, $CGC, $OGEN, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Wednesday Aug 15 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
- 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
- 10:30 EIA Oil Report
- 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
- Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
- The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
- Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
- Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
- For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- July 23-Aug 17 – Swing trading reports to include video chart analysis recaps for the 100 equities we cover (from mid day swing trading reviews) and sent to our subscribers daily in lieu of the weekly swing trading report (mailing list subscribers receive a delayed complimentary version without algorithmic real-time charting and with or without charts).
- Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds. Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers must read disclaimer.
Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.
Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.84, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.38, Gold $GLD trading 1186.90, Silver $SLV trading 14.81, $SPY 282.43, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6336.00 and $VIX trading 14.6.
Tech, not Turkey, proves contagion catalyst in global selloff https://bloom.bg/2vIsPYG
Tech, not Turkey, proves contagion catalyst in global selloff https://t.co/6vTJ98ALG0 pic.twitter.com/NCfSrrrT15
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) August 15, 2018
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: STZ, EGN, GSK, WMT & more https://cnb.cx/2nEE7IL
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: STZ, EGN, GSK, WMT & more https://t.co/SgEB5WacKb pic.twitter.com/6uo0J8pthA
— CNBC International (@CNBCi) August 15, 2018
Momentum Stocks / GAPS to Watch: $CGC $OGEN $STAF $NSYS $PTIE $NEPT $TLRY
Oragenics and Canopy Growth are both up more than 20% in pre-market.Casa Systems, meanwhile, is down nearly 30% after its Q2 sales miss and lowered guidance. https://benzinga.com/z/12208634 $OGEN $CGC $PETQ $MICT $EGN $ADNT $ERI $CASA $PFGC $HOLI $IQ $A $CRZO $CREE
Oragenics and Canopy Growth are both up more than 20% in pre-market https://t.co/yLBJhLkb4w Systems, meanwhile, is down nearly 30% after its Q2 sales miss and lowered guidance. https://t.co/OzXprvCFoK $OGEN $CGC $PETQ $MICT $EGN $ADNT $ERI $CASA $PFGC $HOLI $IQ $A $CRZO $CREE
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 15, 2018
News:
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Weight Watchers 6M share Block Trade priced at $76.00 $WTW http://dlvr.it/QfyXKn
Recent IPO’s:
BioNano Genomics to offer 2.45 million shares in IPO priced at $6 to $7 each
GoDaddy’s stock falls after public offering of 10.4 million shares
Earnings:
Stock Futures Slip As Global Markets, Copper Slide; Chipotle Upgraded http://dlvr.it/QfyTnn
Stock Futures Slip As Global Markets, Copper Slide; Chipotle Upgraded https://t.co/y22uGMG2ZV pic.twitter.com/sEAMZbObzv
— Investors.com (@IBDinvestors) August 15, 2018
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGR
#earnings for the week$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGRhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PfPzmWSmLy
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 12, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
CANOPY GROWTH (CGC) premarket +43% trading 35.20 on $4B more. 4 hour chart $CGC
CANOPY GROWTH (CGC) premarket +43% trading 35.20 on $4B more. 4 hour chart $CGC
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/RHWh9I0Pd4
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 10, 2018
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/mfmhip2r0r
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/Y9MBk0hE7F
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI
It bounced and hasn't looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI https://t.co/vhSzw9TK58
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading https://t.co/AoyhwOjYkz
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin https://t.co/zXi67L3O60
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto
$BTC 8300's to 6900's…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto pic.twitter.com/HneG44UaSs
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 6, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Sears CEO bids $470M to take its Kenmore Unit, other assets private. #FundingSecured? 😏 $SHLD
– #Bitcoin hits lowest level since June $BTC #prayforBitcoin
– Chipotle Mexican Grill upped to Overweight at Morgan Stanley $CMG
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Sears CEO bids $470M to take its Kenmore Unit, other assets private. #FundingSecured? 😏 $SHLD
– #Bitcoin hits lowest level since June $BTC #prayforBitcoin
– Chipotle Mexican Grill upped to Overweight at Morgan Stanley $CMG— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 15, 2018
Billionaires Stanley Druckenmiller and George Soros throw their weight behind oil rally https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-14/billionaires-druckenmiller-soros-throw-weight-behind-oil-rally
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $LMFA $CGC $ABIL $YANG $EDZ $NEPT $EGN $TVIX $UVXY $DUST $DWT $VXX $TLRY $MDGS $CRK $CMG
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$CMG upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at $MS – raises PT to $600 from $413
$IDRA Idera Pharmaceuticals resumption of coverage and overweight at JPMorgan with a $15 tgt
Deutsche Bank positive on Norfolk Southern https://seekingalpha.com/news/3383032-deutsche-bank-positive-norfolk-southern?source=feed_f … #premarket $NSC
Viavi Solutions $VIAV PT Raised to $14 at MKM Partners Following Solid 4Q
Entertainment Properties Trust $EPR PT Raised to $71 at RBC Capital
Tapestry Inc. $TPR PT Raised to $60 at Wells Fargo
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Western Digital stock falls after Cowen downgrade
$CYTX downgraded to Hold from Buy at Maxim.
Micron Technology $MU PT Lowered to $63 at Wells Fargo
UPDATE: Baird Downgrades AvalonBay Communities $AVB to Neutral
Applied DNA Sciences $APDN PT Lowered to $3 at Maxim Group
Johnson Rice Downgrades Southwestern Energy $SWN to Accumulate
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Global Sell-Off, #EIA, OIL, $CGC, $OGEN, $VIX, $DXY, $SPY
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Tuesday August 14, 2018.
In this edition: Einhorn, $SQ, $THST, $HYRE, $VIX, OIL, $DXY, $SPY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Tuesday Aug 14 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
- 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
- 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
- Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
- The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
- Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
- Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
- For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- July 23-Aug 17 – Swing trading reports to include video chart analysis recaps for the 100 equities we cover (from mid day swing trading reviews) and sent to our subscribers daily in lieu of the weekly swing trading report (mailing list subscribers receive a delayed complimentary version without algorithmic real-time charting and with or without charts).
- Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Promos:
Promo Discounts End Aug 14 (for new members only).
Weekly Swing Trading Newsletter service Reg 119.00. Promo 83.30 (30% off). Promo Code “30P”. #swingtrading
Swing Trading Alerts Reg 99.00. Promo 69.37 (30% off). Promo Code “Deal30”. #swingtradealerts
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds. Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers must read disclaimer.
Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.
Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.33, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.03, Gold $GLD trading 1195.90, Silver $SLV trading 15.04, $SPY 283.13, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6034.00 and $VIX trading 13.8.
Momentum Stocks / GAPS to Watch: $THST $HYRE $RSLS $GST $MYSZ $ABIL $ARLZ $IMMY $AKER
Switch is down 25% in pre-market trading after reporting weaker-than-expected Q2 earnings. Tapestry is up about 5% following its Q4 beat. https://benzinga.com/z/12198705 $THST $HYRE $LAC $AAP $TPR $ABIL $IMMY $SWCH $YY $HUYA $BZUN $VIPS $CSIQ
Switch is down 25% in pre-market trading after reporting weaker-than-expected Q2 earnings. Tapestry is up about 5% following its Q4 beat. https://t.co/AeciAs0xlp $THST $HYRE $LAC $AAP $TPR $ABIL $IMMY $SWCH $YY $HUYA $BZUN $VIPS $CSIQ
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 14, 2018
Square stock rises after Instinet boosts target
News:
Truett-Hurst, Inc. Announces Sale Of Wholesale Wine Business To Precept Brands, LLC https://finance.yahoo.com/news/truett-hurst-inc-announces-sale-200000020.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
$GNMX Completes Enrollment in Part A of Phase 2 ASCEND Trial in ADHD. Topline Data Q4
$ARRY to amend the BEACON CRC Phase 3 trial protocol to allow for an interim analysis of trial endpoints. Interim analysis data in 1H’19.
Einhorn’s Greenlight bought Gap, Dollar General in Q2, sold Tapestry $GPS $DG $TJX $AZO $DLTR $DDS $TPR $BLMN $FIVE $ANF $IAC $MU $AER $AAPL $MYL $VOYA $GRBK $ESV http://dlvr.it/QfrNdg
Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital slashes stakes in Apple, Twitter and Micron https://cnb.cx/2MuA4N8
Your Tuesday morning Speed Read:
– Home Depot builds a top and bottom line beat for Q2, shares ⬆ premarket $HD
– U.S. small biz optimism index for July 107.9 vs 107.2 forecast $IWM
– Turkey’s president threatens to boycott American electronics over new tariffs $AAPL $TUR
Your Tuesday morning Speed Read:
– Home Depot builds a top and bottom line beat for Q2, shares ⬆️ premarket $HD
– U.S. small biz optimism index for July 107.9 vs 107.2 forecast $IWM
– Turkey's president threatens to boycott American electronics over new tariffs $AAPL $TUR— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 14, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Tapestry’s stock surges after profit and sales top expectations
Advance Auto Parts’ stock surges after earnings and sales rise above expectations
Home Depot’s stock rises after earnings and sales beat, raised outlook
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGR
#earnings for the week$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGRhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PfPzmWSmLy
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 12, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
TRUETT-HURST (THST) Premarket up 110 % trading 3.12 on news $THST #premarket
TRUETT-HURST (THST) Premarket up 110 percent trading 3.12 on news $THST #premarket
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/RHWh9I0Pd4
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 10, 2018
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/mfmhip2r0r
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/Y9MBk0hE7F
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI
It bounced and hasn't looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI https://t.co/vhSzw9TK58
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading https://t.co/AoyhwOjYkz
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin https://t.co/zXi67L3O60
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto
$BTC 8300's to 6900's…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto pic.twitter.com/HneG44UaSs
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 6, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Lira bounce
-Euro-area growth
-Musk gets some advice
-Markets rise
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2MMf6qe
#5things
-Lira bounce
-Euro-area growth
-Musk gets some advice
-Markets rise
-Coming up…https://t.co/92OK8iNDuX pic.twitter.com/T73YMtDZTv— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) August 14, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $THST $HYRE $RSLS $MYSZ $ABIL $IMMY $ADOM $TUR $AAP $RUSL $TPR
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Marathon Petroleum $MPC PT Raised to $89 at RBC Capital
Viper Energy $VNOM PT Jumps To $38 After A Financial Beat And Acquired Horsepower – Stifel
Fortive $FTV PT Raised to $88 at Argus
$SRPT initiated at Buy at Citi. PT $174
Emerson $EMR PT Raised to $83 at Argus
Cowen Remains Bullish on Lockheed Martin $LMT
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Sanchez Midstream Partners $SNMP PT Lowered to $14 at RBC Capital
$CCXI downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at J.P. Morgan
Chubb downgraded by Deutsche Bank as analyst sees estimate cuts https://seekingalpha.com/news/3382413-chubb-downgraded-deutsche-bank-analyst-sees-estimate-cuts?source=feed_f … #premarket $CB
Argus Downgrades Parker-Hannifin $PH to Hold
Air Lease Corp $AL PT Lowered to $53 at Macquarie
Corporate Capital Trust $CCT PT Lowered to $16.61 at BMO Capital
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Einhorn, $SQ, $THST, $HYRE, $VIX, OIL, $DXY, $SPY
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday August 13, 2018.
In this edition: Turkey Lira, Elliott Stake Boosts Nielsen, $VIX MACD, OIL, $TSLA, $HOG, $NLSN, $WMT, $ABIL, $DBD, $RSLS, $XBIO and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Monday Aug 13 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
- 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
- 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
- Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
- The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
- Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
- Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
- For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- July 23-Aug 17 – Swing trading reports to include video chart analysis recaps for the 100 equities we cover (from mid day swing trading reviews) and sent to our subscribers daily in lieu of the weekly swing trading report (mailing list subscribers receive a delayed complimentary version without algorithmic real-time charting and with or without charts).
- Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Promos:
Promo Discounts End Aug 14 (for new members only).
Weekly Swing Trading Newsletter service Reg 119.00. Promo 83.30 (30% off). Promo Code “30P”. #swingtrading
Swing Trading Alerts Reg 99.00. Promo 69.37 (30% off). Promo Code “Deal30”. #swingtradealerts
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds. Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers must read disclaimer.
Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See You Tube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.
Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: VFC, HGV, WMT, HOG & more –
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: VFC, HGV, WMT, HOG & more – https://t.co/wkAoBtDONV
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 13, 2018
#Stocks – Harley Davidson Drops in Pre-market; Tesla Gains; Nielsen Soars –
#Stocks – Harley Davidson Drops in Pre-market; Tesla Gains; Nielsen Soars – https://t.co/ZK6jAWvk43
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) August 13, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:08 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.35, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 67.39, Gold $GLD trading 1199.90, Silver $SLV trading 15.16, $SPY 283.16, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6453.00 and $VIX trading 14.1.
Momentum Stocks / GAPS to Watch: $ABIL $DBD $CLRB $CLDC
Nielsen is up 11.5% in pre-market trading after WSJ reported Elliott Management has taken an 8% stake in the company and wants it to sell itself. https://www.benzinga.com/news/18/08/12190488/26-stocks-moving-in-mondays-pre-market-session … $SSC $NLSN $IMMY $DY $SECO $RYB $TAL $STG $BEDU $REDU $ALNY
Nielsen is up 11.5% in pre-market trading after WSJ reported Elliott Management has taken an 8% stake in the company and wants it to sell itself. https://t.co/F4LUQCjTw8 $SSC $NLSN $IMMY $DY $SECO $RYB $TAL $STG $BEDU $REDU $ALNY
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) August 13, 2018
News:
OPEC lifted crude production in July https://bloom.bg/2B6AFjN
OPEC lifted crude production in July https://t.co/gLe2YH7LM2 pic.twitter.com/DRfSHnn202
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) August 13, 2018
Saudi cuts oil output as OPEC points to 2019 surplus.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Satya Nadella unloads 30% of his Microsoft common stock in his biggest sale as CEO
$MSFT https://cnb.cx/2OvfBFB
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Sysco’s stock rallies after earnings, revenue top expectations.
Dycom’s stock plunges after profit, sales warning.
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGR
#earnings for the week$NVDA $JD $HD $AMAT $WMT $CSCO $JCP $M $YY $SYY $BZUN $DE $TSG $CGC $GWGH $SPCB $CRON $AAP $VIPS $JKS $NTAP $NINE $SWCH $CSIQ $HQCL $AG $BLRX $TPR $JWN $A $CREE $EAT $CNNE $ESES $ARRY $TGEN $CAE $GDS $ROSE $SNES $SORL $EAST $AVGRhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PfPzmWSmLy
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 12, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
$ABIL premarket trading 7.27 up 58% #premarket #daytrading
$ABIL premarket trading 7.27 up 58% #premarket #daytrading
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Good start for a Friday. EPIC the Oil Algorithm – Recorded, time stamped, live alerts. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/RHWh9I0Pd4
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 10, 2018
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading
Earning my keep with EPIC the Oil Algorithm – still on personal 100% win side for months, ask for a tour of recorded, time stamped, live alerts (a tech had two losses in that time). FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #oiltradingalerts #algorithm #OOTT #Machinetrading pic.twitter.com/mfmhip2r0r
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading
One of our best swing trades of the year by far…. blew through our most bullish target today and then some and more and more some. $GTHX #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/Y9MBk0hE7F
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
ROKU (ROKU) hit the chart model resistance perfect and came off today $ROKU #daytrading
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) What a fantastic swing trade. Blew through our most bullish price target today. $GTHX #swingtrade #chart
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) What a fantastic swing trade. Blew through our most bullish price target today. $GTHX #swingtrade #chart
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI
It bounced and hasn't looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI https://t.co/vhSzw9TK58
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading https://t.co/AoyhwOjYkz
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin
The TESLA swing trading report from previous $TSLA #swingtrading #towin https://t.co/zXi67L3O60
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
Health Innovations (HIIQ) ripped through the chart structure in a fantastic way. Careful above channel resistance. $HIIQ chart. #swingtrade
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto
$BTC 8300's to 6900's…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto pic.twitter.com/HneG44UaSs
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 6, 2018
US Dollar Index (DXY) Pinch in play for the dollar, expect a move near term. $DXY #Chart #USD #Algorithm
US Dollar Index (DXY) Pinch in play for the dollar, expect a move near term. $DXY #Chart #USD #Algorithm pic.twitter.com/mrwq8KDiNB
— $DXY US Dollar Algo (@dxyusd_index) August 3, 2018
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. Win rate high 90% – ask for a tour. Time stamped, recorded, live alerts. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OilTradeAlerts $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Stock Futures Lower On Turkey, Lira; Elliott Stake Boosts Nielsen http://dlvr.it/QfkS8w
Stock Futures Lower On Turkey, Lira; Elliott Stake Boosts Nielsen https://t.co/QH9jxLhPOL pic.twitter.com/xerf0Bjkuq
— Investors.com (@IBDinvestors) August 13, 2018
#5things
-Lira rout continues
-Risk spreads beyond Turkey
-Saudis eye Tesla investment
-Markets drop
-Quiet data week
https://bloom.bg/2B87eOo
Despite the recent raw-material rally, hedge funds that trade commodities just keep closing down https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-the-last-commodity-funds-will-survive-the-algo-age-adapt-or-die-1529919003 … via @WSJ
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ABIL $RSLS $XBIO $CLDC $NLSN $CLRB $DBD $MDGS $TLRY $SYY $FOLD $TVIX $DUST $YANG $CWH $NVFY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$CRNX Leerink Partners analyst Joseph Schwartz initiates coverage on Crinetics (NASDAQ: CRNX) with a Outperform rating and a price target of $43.00.
ADP $ADP PT Raised to $150 at Argus
FreightCar America $RAIL PT Raised to $19 at Buckingham Research
Endo International plc $ENDP PT Raised to $16 at BMO Capital
Domtar $UFS PT Raised to $52 at BMO Capital
Tecnoglass $TGLS PT Raised to $12.50 at B.Riley/FBR
(6) Recent Downgrades:
$NFLX PT Lowered to $494 at Imperial Capital on Lower Global Subscriber Estimates for FY18 & FY19
Intel target lowered to $49 at Cowen
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Turkey Lira, Elliott Stake Boosts Nielsen, $TSLA, $HOG, $NLSN, $WMT, $ABIL, $DBD, $RSLS, $XBIO, $VIX
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Chart Report (EPIC) Sunday Aug 12, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are near 300 in total in development at various stages for all markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting model are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for profit.
Visit my Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent oil algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website (it explains how the oil algorithm was developed). Reviewing those important points of reference will increase your probability of success considerably. This report includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – Users of this algorithmic oil charting model may opt for private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader and / or an experienced trader that has worked under our lead trader. On our website standard one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a customized package (reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning). To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm;
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech).
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is planned to go to developer coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.
Below you will find simplified levels represented on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work (and associated trade) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the private Discord oil trade room server.
Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algorithm. The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published Aug 12, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. Aug 12 909 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. Aug 12 909 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Aug 12, 2018
New: The new trade signals are the machine trading lower / tighter day-trading time frames (overlay charting versions we are beginning to share).
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.92 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades). Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
The lower trading range is 61.71 to 65.31. The upper trading range 68.93 to 72.54.
Trading Bias / Forward Guidance: As with previous report, range bound. Slightly bearish to range support at 65.32 for the week.
Current (as of Aug 12, 2018) MACD is down on the daily oil chart.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound in recent downtrend.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is short – based on wide range resistance at top of quad.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.54 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up trend channel chart. Aug 12 920 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up trend channel chart. Aug 12 920 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down trend channel chart. Aug 12 922 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down trend channel chart. Aug 12 922 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Machine Trading Algorithm Charting Overlay.
Below is the first of many time-frames we will be sharing with our members that our algorithm software coding team is using to develop our intelligent assisted oil trader platform.
Please note: It is not advisable to trade these chart overlays until you have had some experience with them. How to trade the machine trading day trade chart videos will be forthcoming. The shorter time fram overlays on the chart below also cause the chart to be considerably more “noisy” so please use caution.
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Machine trading daytrade time-frame. Aug 12 929 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #MachineTrading
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Machine trading daytrade time-frame. Aug 12 929 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #MachineTrading
Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA below pivot MACD trend up, Stoch RSI down. Aug 12 936 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA below pivot MACD trend up, Stoch RSI down. Aug 12 936 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA at pivot under 100 MA MACD trending up. Aug 7 523 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA at pivot under 200 MA MACD trending up. Aug 7 523 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Weekly Oil Chart:
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Highlighted trend structure seems bearish on this weekly chart. Aug 12 942 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Highlighted trend structure seems bearish on this weekly chart. Aug 12 942 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil Continues bullish structure on weekly chart. Aug 7 536 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil Continues bullish structure on weekly chart. Aug 7 536 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
May 21 – A feature post was published this week to review time cycles, retrace possibilities on the other side of time cycles on the weekly charts. Below is the post link:
Feature Post: 12 of Last 13 Oil Chart Time-Cycles Have Trend Reversal. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UCO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT
Daily Oil Chart:
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Oil has a bounce at 50 MA with MACD pinch possible cross up . Aug 7 551 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Oil has a bounce at 50 MA with MACD pinch possible cross up . Aug 7 551 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (samples):
The most recent trades are found in this recent report:
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. Win rate high 90% – ask for a tour. Time stamped, recorded, live alerts.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OilTradeAlerts $UWT $DWT
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (Part 2).
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (Part 2). EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OilTradeAlerts $UWT $DWT
Machine trading 🙂
Machine trading 🙂 $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #Algorithmic #trading #alerts pic.twitter.com/Hja5Tbgmob
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 3, 2018
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof.
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #CL $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #Oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/JTHCMp58Cv
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 27, 2018
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back).
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back). EPIC the Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT #OIl #OOTT #Trading @EPICtheAlgo pic.twitter.com/pKL1iKE5T1
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 25, 2018
Live oil trade alert. Long 69.06 US OIL WTI 1 5th sizing EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Long 69.06 US OIL WTI 1 5th sizing EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO
Live oil trade alert. Trim 50 percent 69.30. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Trim 50 percent 69.30. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Live oil trade alert. Long 68.93 add 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Long 68.93 add 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent.
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Overnight oil trade: short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s-72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues (for months). Guidance detail in oil trading room (to expect heat). Live alerts, time stamped, recorded.
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues $USOIL $WTI $USO #OIL #Trading #Alerts
Member guidance in oil chat room this morning “i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work – the larger more obvious i’ll alert against downtrend upper channel orange dotted etc”
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Scalp day. 100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded. $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example ‘70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop”.
70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see”.
Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see. FX $USOIL $WTI #OilTrading
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Machines defending the retrace intra day”.
Machines defending the retrace intra day FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL #Algorithm
Trims / close longs 71.39 to 71.71 oil trade alert.
Long 71.21 oil trade alert with the one add.
Today’s #EIA oil trade with Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Live alert entries (green) exits (red).
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow.
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow. #oiltradealert #oil
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance.
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance. #oil #trading #chat
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
Winning streak continues. 100% live oil trade alert win rate for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #OOTT #Oiltradealerts #algorithm
Boom “3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
Boom "3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT " pic.twitter.com/WAl4N9n2yH
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) June 20, 2018
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up.
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1046 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot.
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1058 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Close up of intra day trading battle.
Close up of intra day trading battle #daytrading Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1105 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did.
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1121 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level.
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1141 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key).
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key) Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1209 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTThttps://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024665109338222592
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit, as published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Trading, Alerts, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, Chart
Last week I was involved in a friendly oil trading challenge. The live alert trading challenge was between myself and our coding team (the team coding our oil algorithm charting models to a machine trading software platform).
The results are mind-boggling – learn to trade oil with the one or two set-ups explained below and you will realize returns so significant that you will likely never turn back.
This (and the follow-up) are the most significant trade reviews and analysis we have done since our inception. Take the time you need to study this report if you want to be profitable trading crude oil.
In this challenge we both used exactly the same charting – conventional crude oil charts and algorithm oil charts (courtesy of EPIC Oil Algorithm).
The coding team realized oil trading profit was hundreds of percent greater than mine. We both won – but they won big.
The coding team won big – with less time invested, less stress and they used a simple, absolute, rigid rules based oil trading system.
How they did it is explained in detail below.
This report could easily have been titled, “How to Trade Crude Oil in Today’s Market – With Intelligent Assisted Technology (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm).” However, it was a friendly competition between myself (lead trader) and our coding team, hence the title I used.
As you will see below, the results are absolutely astounding.
Allow me to explain who this article is suitable for, what data is reviewed in this report, the charting used and what trading rules were used.
This report is suitable for the following reader(s);
- If you want to learn to trade crude oil,
- If you already trade oil, are struggling to be profitable, and in need of a proper rules based trading process to be sure you win,
- If you are a pro oil trader exploring other profitable oil trading systems that may assist your ROI / ROE objectives,
- If you are researching what the future of the best oil trading systems will look like,
- And of course this report is a great study guide for current EPIC the Oil Algorithm clients.
Below I review in detail the following (with real chart examples, copies of our trading alerts and more);
- The surprising final results of our oil trading challenge between man and machine algorithm (both using the same information),
- The rules based trading process used,
- My personal learning experience after last week’s trading challenge.
How Trades Were Executed and the Information Used by The Traders (charts, algorithms).
As I explained above, this was a competition between our algorithm coding technicians trading crude oil with EPIC the Oil Algorithm chart models (algorithmic oil charting) vs. myself (lead trader at Compound Trading Group) using the exact same algorithmic charting and conventional charts. We both had access to the identical charting – algorithmic oil charting and conventional charting on various time frames.
In fact, the coding team executed their trades manually (as did I, of course). They were not executing their trades automatically (machine trading).
The massive difference in the trading results (the profit achieved) after the week of trading is directly a result of
- How the charts were used (interpretation),
- What charts were used and why (which charts were given more or less weight in decisions), and
- How trades were executed within the charting time-frames and structure.
In other words, we both had exactly the same information at our disposal, we both executed our trades manually, but we executed our trades on a slightly different rule-set within the same structured rules based trading system.
I was executing trades manually and intuitively (as a pro trader- in my mind) using EPIC the Oil Algorithm Charting Models (even on different time frames) and I also used conventional crude oil charting.
The coding team used the exact same oil charts, but the difference was that they executed their crude oil trades under a very strict system – using only the rules as prescribed by and under the reporting that is distributed to our clients in the weekly EPIC Oil Algorithm newsletter reports (the reports for those unaware include a rules based system along with various charting for the week).
The system of trading oil the coding team implemented was rigid to the rules of our algorithm model and my system was more pro trader intuitive – I flexed the rules as I felt I needed to. That was the simple and only difference.
Learning to trade crude oil successfully is not an easy task because conventional charting rules do not apply in many instances. Crude oil trading can be very volatile and as a result oil trading can be very profitable if you are on the winning side in most trades. If you loose as an oil trader it can be very punishing.
To trade oil successfully you need to know the structure of oil trade – the rules book and the playing field. Understanding the structure of oil trading charts, how to execute trades properly within that structure and when to cut losses and trim gains is critical to your return on investment (ROI) or return on equity (ROE).
Specifically how the coding team beat me so bad last week.
Lets review real life examples of the price of crude oil over the last week, how we each traded it, the conventional charting we used, the intelligent assisted algorithm charting we used, the trade alerts sent out, when and how each of us executed crude oil trades for excellent winning side returns, but with significantly different results.
The week prior to this challenge something interesting happened, our coding team foreman was allowed to start alerting oil trade alerts to our Twitter alert feed and wouldn’t you know it, in his first two alerts he lost big (I think he had a few small wins also). I on the other hand have been on the winning side of my trade alerts for months now. Of course our members enjoy that predictability… but there is a much bigger story here.
When our coding foreman lost, he was on the losing side of his first two alerts of his career because he didn’t follow one simple rule:
He did not close the trade when it went against him and as a result he lost big.
He alerted the trade entry properly, but when the trade of oil went against him he didn’t alert to close the losing trade.
This caused significant stress, challenged our team and much discussion ensued. We rolled around our work, the charting, the algorithm models, machine trading software scenarios, alerts, trading rules and more – over and over and over.
On my side of the story, I am alerting winning oil trades for months now with-out fail, but my trades are quick and only on the winning side of 10 cents to approximately 40 cents… about 20 cents on average. Now in oil futures a 20 cent or 30 cent win consistently is a fantastic living and in my thinking that’s great because I near always win and if you near always win that’s just fine…
but it doesn’t nearly take advantage of the power of the trading algorithm model charting I have at my disposal.
So before our challenge last week we both had a problem, I was leaving the majority of the obvious profit on the table even though my trade alerts were winners every time and he was not following the rule of closing a losing trade side alert that goes against you, and closing it fast.
We were both breaking the rules and we both would have much higher ROE if we adjusted some very simple things… our coding foreman adjusted perfectly – me, not so perfect – but this week is a new week so watch out!
Anyway, so we agreed to a challenge, he would not alert to the client oil alert feed for now and he would show me that he could trade explicitly to the rules as set out in the EPIC Oil Algorithm reports. And I would also do the same, but alert my trades and with a caveat that I could use my pro trader bias to over-rule the algorithm charting rules at will (my error).
A detailed account of our recent oil trades / alerts;
New traders should know that EPIC the Oil Algorithm chart models are charted on FX $USOIL $WTI but can be used to trade oil futures contracts $CL_F or leveraged oil derivative market products such as $USO, $UCO, $UWT, $DWT, $UWTI, $DWTI and more. I typically use CL contracts and will daytrade at times $UWT or $DWT if I am confident that I won’t be holding over-night.
Okay, first lets look at my trades / alerts (this is almost embarrassing to review – humility engaged).
In the examples below and the follow up report you will see actual screen shots of the live twitter oil trade alert feed (time stamped, real-time), screen shots of the private oil chat room and screen shots of EPIC the Oil Algorithm charting we were using (with notes).
Also it is important that the profit / loss represented are approximate as our team is trading various environments (read our disclosure) – we are testing and trading many platform scenarios, instruments (oil contracts, market derivatives, etc), with various traders, various accounts (real world and/or model platforms for testing purposes) in the team (as our work is toward achieving a machine trading environment and intelligent assisted trader platform – read about our mandates on our website) that it would take days to explain. Additionally, there are trades executed for win or loss that are never alerted to our members.
So for the purpose of this exercise I keep the analysis below simple and to what applies specifically to this exercise ensuring that we cover what the public (our member clients) would have had opportunity to act on in their own trading environment (actionable trading alerts) and if one did in fact act on the alerts what the expected returns may be vs. trading what the rules-based trading system of EPIC the Oil Algorithm reports prescribe to our members in the weekly reporting they receive from Compound Trading Group.
There will be a member only follow-up to this report published within 7 days that will show the 1 minute conventional charting used with exact entry and exit areas detailed on the charting with the thought process by the trader in each trade and this report will also include the machine trading charting that influenced our trade.
Oil Trade Alert # 1
The first trade that was marked as a tech trade was, but it was alerted internally by me and authorized to the tech to alert. So for the purpose of our competition it was my trade by origin (we’ve decided this in team discussion). So I’ll take it as I need all the help I can get here.
The first trade was 24 cent win at 2 oil contracts (avg) so it was a gain of about 510.00.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (the initial alert).
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OilTradeAlerts $UWT $DWT
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (the closing alert on #1 for the week).
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (Part 2). EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OilTradeAlerts $UWT $DWT
Oil Trade Alert # 2
The second trade of the week was a timing cycle issue, price didn’t react soon enough so I closed the trade for a small profit.
A 5 cent win with two contracts for 100.00 win (approx).
Long 69.19 lead trader test size.
Long 69.19 lead trader test size. #oiltradealerts
Closed 69.24 not holding in to time cycle when it is this soft.
Closed 69.24 not holding in to time cycle when it is this soft #oil #trading #alert #crude
Oil Trade Alert #3
The third trade alert has a type o that was obvious, but more important than that is that this is where the difference in the fine details put the coding team way ahead of me. At this point the trading was so intense that I had to generalize the tweet alerts, but you will get the point with what was alerted. There is more explanation below that clarifies the calculations here;
66.49 to 55.57 with contract sizing average of 3 contracts on about 3 times = 800.00 profit approx.
Long test 66.49 lead trader will cut fast as needed and trade chop.
long test 66.49 lead trader will cut fast as needed and trade chop #oil #trade #alerts
This was obviously 66.57 and there were various type o’s, it should have read something like this…
Chipping out some 55.57 and waiting for next leg to go again.
chipping out some 55.57 and waiting for next leg to go again #oil #trading #alerts
At this point I alerted the member private Twitter feed that we would for the time alert in the live trading room (where I can speak on live mic broadcast to our oil traders) – this is specifically in a Click Meeting conference room (it is our main trading room that our EPIC Oil Algorithm bundle members can access as they like). We also have a private oil chat room in Discord and a public side on Discord.
At this point there were a number of trades, I will only include screen shots in this report specifically of what was alerted to only the Twitter feed (there isn’t time to get the audio from live trading room right now for the various occasions I was in that room last week – that will all be in a reconciled report from Jen in our offices). It won’t make a difference to the main point of this report – I was beat by the coding team so badly it doesn’t matter.
The real point of this exercise (this report) is to help oil traders with a rules based system to win and win with the highest return.
We’re trading possible turn in live oil trading room isn’t time to alert on feed.
We’re trading possible turn in live oil trading room isn’t time to alert on feed. #oil #trade #alerts
Oil Trade Alert #4
The fourth oil trade of the week was a win. Short from 67.17 and cover at 66.80 for a 37 cent win at 3 contracts.
Win side 1100.00 approx.
Short test lead trader.
Short test lead trader.
Short oil trade alert at 67.17.
Short oil trade alert at 67.17
Covered 66.80 lead trader – nice quick win on that alert.
covered 66.80 lead trader – nice quick win on that alert #oil
Oil Trade Alert #5.
Oil trade number five was a decent trade from 67.13 (average) to 67.29 with trims starting at 67.27.
8 contracts at approx 14 cent profit = 1200.00 gain (approx).
Long lead trader break out test 67.09 – 67.18 4/10 sizing.
Long lead trader break out test 67.09 – 67.18 4 10ths sizing.
Trimming long positions 67.27.
Trimming long positions 67.27
Oil Trade Alert #6
There we many trades here and the range was .30 cents to the win side on the original alert. For simplicity it was 5 trades at an average size of 2 contracts at an average win of .10 cents.
Oil trade number six approx. profit = 1200.00
Long oil trade again here.
long oil trade again here
Trimming long oil positions here.
Trimming long oil positions here. #trade #alerts
Too busy to alert all legs in and trims but we got a nice break up there 67.20s to 67.50s.
too busy to alert all legs in and trims but we got a nice break up there 67.20s to 67.50s #oil #trading #alerts #algorithm
Summary of Lead Trader Alerted Trades to Live Twitter Feed P/L
So specific to only what was alerted as trade alerts on the live feed and the contract sizing for those trade alerts the total gains for the week = approximately 4900.00 for this account scenario.
Now lets look at what our coding team foreman was able to do with the exact same charting information (that I and our members can use).
In his instance he traded specifically to the rule-based system as prescribed to our members in the weekly EPIC Oil Algorithm reporting.
There were many trades in each leg. He started trades at 2/10 sizing then as the trade progressed he trimmed 1/10 size at resistance and if it failed would exit the other 1/10 at about have the trade range. As trade got above the key resistance he would add above key resistance 1 size and continue. And if the trade went against him right away he would cut fast. So he had a number of losses, but his losses were small and the wins far outweighed the gains.
The week started with an uptrend so he traded the key range support and resistance as prescribed in EPIC the Algorithm reports (gray horizontal line you see on chart below). As trade failed or at key resistance he would trim as noted above.
The key to his trading process was using the key range support and resistance as the launch area for longs, the short area for shorting oil and if the trade went against him he closed the trade for a loss.
The EPIC Algorithm Chart he was using (the gray horizontal line is the main support and resistance pivot prescribed to members and the other indications on the charting). How to trade crude oil applying the rules based process in this report can be reviewed in detail on our web site blog under EPIC Oil Algorithm and scroll down to unlocked historical charting – the more recent reports are locked to the general public. The EPIC reports explain specifically the rules based process in point form.
The first chart is the initial trading range for the week that our tech was using. The day and time is noted at the bottom of the chart. You can see how is bias for trade direction was specific to the main pivot area as provided on the algorithm charting.
Charting used by technician (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm Charting). Bias for trades is noted with green and red arrows.
You can see in the charting below that each time trade breached the main pivot on the charting model that his trading was to the long side bias until trade hit a significant resistance in the model (at which point he trimmed).
The first two on the chart are green arrow long side trades were off the main pivot and trimmed at the quad wall resistance area.
The the third is a red arrow on the chart as a short side trade bias because trade was already at the marked target price for the Tuesday 430 algorithmic target. In other words, there was a low probability of further upside gain prior to Tuesday at 430 so his short term bias was short.
Then the fourth arrow (green) and fifth (red) were a rinse and repeat of the bias explained above.
The sixth arrow (or trading bias area) was long in to the Wednesday 10:30 AM EPIC Oil Algorithm price target (for the up channel scenario) but trade turned and when it turned and lost the main pivot (gray) and the trading quadrant (orange dotted) he turned short bias in a significant way. There were many failures to the long side in the algorithmic model at this time in the trading week.
The short side bias was solidified with the expiry of the main time cycle in trade (purple arrows that separate the up channel scenario or lower channel scenario in the oil algorithm weekly reports).
Charting used by technician (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm Charting). Bias for trades is noted with green and red arrows. #oil #trading
The next time frame of the week (second) charting used by technician in his trading system with noted areas of trading bias with red and green arrows.
As trade moved to either side of the main pivot his bias is represented (per the process prescibed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reports) and then in to the bottom of a trading quadrant (he used the rules for trading quadrants) after oil selling off to extreme levels on the week.
As oil sold off the tech simply trimmed at support areas on the algorithm charting and added to short side bias as trade lost each support.
On the way down oil trade hit the Wednesday 10:30 AM EIA price target as published in the previous weekend EPIC report for the lower channel scenario.
The next (second) charting used by technician in his trading system for the week (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm Charting). #oil #trading #system
The final chart time cycle used by technician in his trading system for week.
The last time frame was text book how to trade crude oil class. For this the tech moved to the prescribed trading process rules in the trading quadrant (the orange dotted lines that form a diamond). He simply took long side positions at the support of the quadrant and trimmed at the main resistance areas. Trade got in to the Friday 1:00 PM target but did not perfectly hit the center.
Trade ended the week at the top of the trading quadrant – near the quadrant basket where he assumed with trade direction and historical algorithmic chart from EPIC that trade was most likely to complete the week.
The final chart time cycle used by technician in his trading system for week (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm). #oil #trading #system
It’s obvious the technician using the rules based system prescribed to our members had significantly higher returns last week than I did. Our members will be receiving the full report.
As explained above;
There will be a member only follow-up to this report published soon that will show / explain the 1 minute conventional charting used with exact entry and exit areas detailed on the charting with the thought process by each trader in each trade and this report will also include the machine trading charting that influenced each trade.
The follow-up report will provide our members and our team staff opportunity to learn in great detail how to time the entries and exits of the trades. It will hopefully bring members in to the mind of each trader. This is a member only report because proprietary machine coding charting and various other proprietary information will be shared.
Also, please note that over the coming weeks in to the fall season that our techs will be alerting more and more to the live alert feed under and will be doing such exclusively under the rules based system as prescribed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reports to members.
Some Important Final Thoughts.
It is easy to look back and criticize your trades – especially when the trade direction is so obviously apparent on an algorithmic charting model such as EPIC’s as in this report.
I personally won’t be hard on myself (as you should not also) because it is impossible to be a machine and if I am on the winning side more than losing and my accounts are consistently green that is what matters most.
However, in my continuing quest to learn how to trade crude oil to my best ability I will be adjusting my oil trading style this week to more reflect the prescribed rules based system as prescribed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reporting. It obviously works and the science proves that – so I need to adjust to continue to get better as an oil trader and coach that teaches others how to trade oil.
I look forward to the follow-up report that Jen is writing now for our members that will provide in detail how last week trades were decided. She just finished interviewing me about each of my trades and is interviewing our tech team later today for the report.
Best with your trading and if there is anything you need from me reach out anytime on any of my personal social feeds or by email [email protected].
Thanks
Curtis (Lead Trader at Compound Trading Group).
To Learn More About Trading Oil:
Learning to Trade Links on our Site and/or YouTube.
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm June 21, 2017 (video).
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades June 29, 2017 (video).
Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/
Off-site Learning Site Links:
Learn how to trade crude oil in 5 steps https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/100515/learn-how-trade-crude-oil-5-steps.asp
How to Trade Oil on Stock Exchange https://finance.zacks.com/trade-oil-stock-exchange-4532.html
How to trade oil. Learn everything you need to know about speculating on oil and gas markets. We explain how oil trading works, with a step-by-step guide to trading oil. https://www.ig.com/au/commodities/oil/how-to-trade-oil
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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
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