Monthly Archives: November 2018

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday November 15, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $FB, $WMT, $AMZN, $JPM, $AAPL, Time Cycles, Inflections and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:

• Nov 12 Update, click – Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
• Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
  • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
• Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
• Work in Progress:
  • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
  • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
  • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
  • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
  • Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
  • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
  • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
    • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
• Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
• Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.

#EIA #WeeklyPetroleumStatusReport for week ending 11/09/18 to be posted on Thursday, 11/15/18, at 11:00am and 1:00pm ET https://go.usa.gov/xPvF2 #oil #gasoline #diesel #heatingoil #propane #OOTT $CL_F $USO USOIL WTI

Per previous;

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:54 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.98, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 56.33, Gold $GLD trading 1209.38, Silver $SLV trading 14.10, $SPY 270.29 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 5408.00 and $VIX trading 21.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

Stocks making the biggest move premarket: JPM, ORCL, WMT, CSCO & more –

34 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session http://benzinga.com/z/12706969 $XSPA $CGA $IGT $VIPS $CSCO $ARNA $SFS $CDTI $MARK $PXS $ABIO $NVCN $SORL $IZEA $BZH $NTAP

News: 

Shocking NYT Expose Reveals Facebook’s Scramble To Label Liberal Critics Soros-Operatives While Trashing Google & Apple | Zero Hedge $FB #swingtrading #premarket https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-15/nyt-details-facebooks-mercenary-scramble-label-liberal-critics-soros-operatives

https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1063056217747144704

Apple supplier AMS cuts forecast, indicating poor iPhone demand #SwingTrading $AAPL https://reut.rs/2Pu7Rs5

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

J.P. Morgan’s stock jumps after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway adds 1.1% stake $JPM #swingtrading #Premarket #WarrenBuffett https://on.mktw.net/2OKDzMt

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

Walmart reported stronger-than-expected sales, putting https://amzn.to/8YFo on notice $WMT $AMZN #Swingtrading https://bloom.bg/2Tfwasb

J.C. Penney shares sink 11.5% after sales miss.

Dillard’s profit falls in ‘disappointing’ quarter.

#earnings for the week

$NVDA $CGC $HD $TLRY $CRON $WMT $AMAT $CSCO $GOOS $JCP $YY $M $MNGA $APRN $ATHM $ACM $TTNP $DFRG $AAP $WIX $NAT $NTAP $TSN $VIAB $NTES $JWN $ARMK $PETQ $HP $NVCM $SWCH $SONO $GLNG $KMDA $VERI $URGN $VIPS $FOCS $BZH $IZEA $GWGH

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude oil trading in tight range in advance of EIA report #crudeoil #trading #EIA

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/HU8zvHoU-Crude-oil-trading-in-tight-range-in-advance-of-EIA-report-crude/

Crude oil trading in tight range in advance of EIA report #crudeoil #trading #EIA

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

We did say the time cycle was going to be big #premarket #timecycles

“We’ve now had 27 down days over the 39 trading days since the index peaked on September 20, the longest such streak since November 2008 amid the post-Lehman fallout” – Deutsche

For those who aren’t familiar with business cycles, high costs of labour usually occur in late cycles, just prior to a recession and stock sell-offs.

On the other hand, periods where labour costs aren’t a major issue, are usually seen near early cycles of expansion. $SPY

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $QURE $XSPA $DGAZ $ARNA $NBEV $KOLD $TNK $VIPS $NTES $AMRN $CSCO $ATHM $GOGL $NIO

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $ATNX $ACBI $VYGR $COPY $TSE $MYL $FRO $SPTN $HGV $OAS $COTY $TSE $O $CUBE $SWCH $SBCF

(6) Recent Downgrades:  $HZNP $PCG $CPA $LW $SRC $SAFE $EPRT $APRN $KBH $PAAS $ECC

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $FB, $WMT, $AMZN, $JPM, $AAPL, Time Cycles, Inflections