Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday November 1, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Oil, Earnings, Current / Recent Trades, Machine Automating Our Platform and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development Work in Progress:
- Nov 1 – Good morning,
Over the next few business days (could lead in to Tuesday next week), we are coding the interconnect between broker account API’s, live Twitter feeds, live trading room, and email servers for alerts and other.
Expect intermittent down time to platforms.
Regards,
Jeremy
- Ask for a tour of our member swing trading alert feed – we’ve done well through this and expect it to get better through Q1 2019. Been through many downturns over 30 years. Check the feed and tell me I’m wrong. #swingtrading #premarket https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1057255452621324289
- Platform Expansion This Week – Nominal Intermittent Down Time Expected: 1. We are integrating web mail servers with machine trading api’s for our clients, this may cause intermittent downtime for email [email protected] – use [email protected] if you experience issues. 2. We are moving our main fiber line – expect full trading room platform downtime for up to 30 mins.
- Nov 1 – Lead trader focused with team on code for automation – not expected to be in main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress (week of Oct 29 and Nov 5):
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers: read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.
Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading
Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Nov 1 Trading Plan – We are long crude oil from late yesterday and are looking for a decision intra-day (as of 7:48 am) trading 65.01 positions between 64.83 – 64.97 FX USOIL WTI. Apple earnings after market tonight. Continue with premise below.
October 31 Trading Plan: Today is EIA day, oil is near support and resistance on most time frames on charts – should be a decision area on the charts. Credit markets on close watch as we near the Nov 11 time-cycle peak in to the next mid to end of December (large time cycle per previous reports).
Careful with the bounce, FANG stocks are on fire so of course they are on close watch (we have models for most tech related of substance).
October 30 Trading Plan: I published a swing trading report (Part B of the special series) last night – from that report and Part A of the series I have many stocks on watch that I think are decent candidates for long swings soon. I am watching a major support area on oil transpire in premarket, if it fails it may be another ladder down, if not it may be a decent long. Gold, Silver, BTC are under pressure and likely to be so now until Nov 11 ish. Sell-off should calm for a bit soon, other side of Nov 11 time cycle unclear at this point. VIX likely short set-up here. Those are my general bias near term but let price do the talking.
In equities also watching WMT, MCD, AAOI closely for long positions.
October 29 Trading Plan: Watching. Looks like a bounce in equity markets possible. Watching.
October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.
October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:50 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.10, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 64.99, Gold $GLD trading 1224.56, Silver $SLV trading 14.43, $SPY 271.87 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6308.00 and $VIX trading 20.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
35 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12610442 $HK $NFX $BT $FIT $MOH $TEVA $STAA $NXPI $IO $BLDP $CEMI $ECA $MPC $SPOT $GDI
News:
$NBRV Submits NDA for Intravenous CONTEPO to Treat Complicated Urinary Tract Infections.
$SELB Update on SEL-212 Development Strategy, including Planned Head-to-Head Study versus Krystexxa on Nov 8.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Madison Square Garden beats first-quarter earnings expectations.
Tempur Sealy’s stock tumbles after profit and revenue miss, lowered guidance.
Avon shares jump 6.6% after sales beat consensus.
Teva stock surges 6% on Q3 beats, upbeat guidance.
Wayfair reports wider-than-expected loss, but revenue tops views.
DowDuPont’s stock jumps after earnings beat, new $3 billion stock buyback program.
Spotify’s stock surges after swinging to profit, beating revenue expectations.
#earnings for the week
$FB $AAPL $BABA $GE $IQ $MA $BIDU $EBAY $CHK $XOM $EA $TEVA $GM $UAA $TNDM $BP $SPOT $ON $FDC $ADP $CVX $KO $AMRN $SBUX $X $ABBV $PFE $FIT $PAYC $YNDX $OLED $ABMD $WTW $ANET $WLL $LL $FEYE $DDD $RIG $SNE $KEM $NWL $STX $BAH $FTNT
http://eps.sh/cal
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
http://eps.sh/cal
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Oil sweeper bearish bet last Friday (betting support in crude oil / energy explained below in charts fails).
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2018/10/30/bears-bet-on-energy-and-biotech.html?__source=sharebar%7Ctwitter&par=sharebar
Symmetry chart structure in oil is also our consideration here.
Symmetry chart structure is also our consideration here. #oiltradingalerts
We are long positioned at this point until this structure confirms or breaks. Micro alerts difficult.
We are long positioned at this point until this structure confirms or breaks. Micro alerts difficult. #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
Swing trading with technical analysis $BLDP
Swing trading with technical analysis $LEVB
Swing trading with technical analysis $PYX
Swing trading with technical analysis. $NBEV
Swing trading with technical analysis. $BOX
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Decision day the BOE
-Wall Street backing Democrats
-Apple earnings
-Markets rise
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2DiZadG
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SGYP $SLS $MBRX $HK $FND $BT $FIT $SOLO $ING $SIGA $GERN $NFX $NBEV $AVP $YINN $ACB $AGEN $ESEA
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Barclays upgrades $SNY from Underweight to Equal Weight.
$Roku stock rises after Wedbush upgrade.
B. Riley FBR upgrades $FSP from Neutral to Buy.
Roth Capital Starts Adomani $ADOM at Buy.
Roth Capital Starts Arcimoto Inc. $FUV at Buy.
FTS International $FTSI PT Raised to $15 at Stifel.
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Deutsche Bank downgrades $EDU from Buy to Hold.
Profire Energy $PFIE PT Lowered to $5 at Maxim Group.
Zynga $ZNGA PT Lowered to $4 at Macquarie.
Baidu $BIDU PT Lowered to $279 at Macquarie.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (), $VIX (), $SPY (), $GLD (), $SLV (), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Oil, Earnings, Current / Recent Trades, Machine Automating Our Platform
