17
Dec 2018
premarket, trading, DGAZ, natural gas

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 17: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 17, 2018. In

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 17: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 17, 2018.

In this premarket trading edition: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per): 
    Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
  • Lead Trader Premarket Note: This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Monday Dec 17 – 

Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.

Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.

Per Recent:

Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.

Current Trades:

Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.

Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.

Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.

Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.

Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).

Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.

Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.

Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.

Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.

Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.

the firsts are far from over . careful with bias

We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…

We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)

Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …

Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W

I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.

Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.

Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.

Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.

Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.73, Gold $GLD trading 1239.83, Silver $SLV trading 14.61, $SPY 260.34 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3361.00 and $VIX trading 22.6.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

Jack in the Box exploring potential sale of the company

Proteostasis’s stock jumps after license deal with Genentech

20 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12858013 $EVFM $PTI $PER $AXON $FRSX $ERJ $BBY $ALQA $QFIN $BZH

News: 

Embraer: Deal With Boeing Expected To Be Concluded At End 2019 $BA

$INNT Plans to Commence the First Ever Phase 3 Registration Trial in Celiac Disease in 1H 2019 and Announce Top-line NASH Data with Drug Combinations by EASL 2019

EVIO Labs Receives Provisional License from Massachusetts Cannabis Control Commission

$RHHBY $PTCT $BIIB – EMA grants Prime status for Roche’s risdiplam for SMA

$TLC $ARGX $AXON – Jefferies sees three-bagger in Axovant Sciences in premarket analyst action

#5things
-Goldman 1MDB charges
-Shutdown standoff
-May to reject referendum calls
-Markets quiet
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2S5Cz8r

Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday –

The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:

$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering

$CGIX terminates merger

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).

The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG

premarket, trading, DGAZ, natural gas

The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG

Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading

I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT

Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT

Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT

Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Oil, trade, alerts

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility, trade, alert, VIX

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below.

The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT

“Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year”

Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://www.barrons.com/articles/low-volatility-stocks-shine-in-this-stock-market-51544702401 … via @BarronsOnline

JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: 

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $LULU $AXON $MFA $CSL $SMG $TGI $LYB $ORTX $SHW $GIII $CLXT $CSL $BKS $G

Lululemon’s stock rallies after Stifel analyst says it’s time to buy

MCDONALD’S: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $182 FROM $180
$MCD

STARBUCKS CORP: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $70 FROM $69
$SBUX

(6) Recent Downgrades: $SCG $THC $EMR $ITW $BBY $EMR $MSEX $CPK $THC $BXMT

BEST BUY CO INC: BOFA MERRILL CUTS TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL
$BBY

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY

17
Dec 2018
240, EPIC, crude, oil, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Report (EPIC) Mon Dec 17 FX: USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Monday Dec 17, 2018. FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Report (EPIC) Mon Dec 17 FX: USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Monday Dec 17, 2018.

FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).

NOTICES:

New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.

Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.

Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.

Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.

Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).

On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions. 

Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting

Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm

Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:

The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video

Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.

The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.

In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.

This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.

Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.

For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Oil Algorithm Observations:

Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published December 17, 2018.

Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Dec 17 242 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mzNZR5qC-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Intra-day-crude-oil/

crude, oil, trading, algorithm

December 17, 2018

Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals

The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).

The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.45 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.80 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).

Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.

More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.

The lower trading range is 47.14 – 50.79 and upper trading range 54.46 – 58.07.

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends.

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Intra-day Trading Bias

Intra day bias is up side trade as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame. However, after the recent sell-off oil trade has held this range and could be at a near term bottom. Yet to be determined.

Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:

Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Dec 17 3:12 AM EST for the near term is up. 

Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 47.14 – 50.79, 50.80 – 54.44, 54.45 – 58.06, 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.

Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).

Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Dec 17 246 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

up, channel, scenario, oil, algorithm, chart

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Dec 17 246 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel scenario. Dec 17 247 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Down, channel, scenario, oil, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel scenario. Dec 17 247 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.

Per recent report example:

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/D0Cr5zPo-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Hidden-pivot-locati/

pivots, oil, chart, crude

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Per recent example;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KZPGrSny-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V2-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, machine, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Per recent example;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zBBnd8C8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V1-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, algorithm, machine, trading

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals

Per recent example:

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/En2yVHMl-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-Nov-6-139-AM/

crude, oil, daytrading, chart, algorithm

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time. Nov 6 1241 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.

Monthly Oil Chart(s):

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade under all MAs with MACD turned down Stochastic RSI still turned down. Dec 17 343 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Jq5IB2VE-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-under-all-MAs-with-MACD-turned-do/

Crude, oil, monthly, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Jq5IB2VE-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-under-all-MAs-with-MACD-turned-do/

Weekly Crude Oil Chart(s):

Crude Oil. Weekly trend-line chart. Dec 17 403 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/3RVgykAY-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trend-line-chart-Dec-17-403-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

crude, oil, weekly, trendlines

Crude Oil. Weekly trend-line chart. Dec 17 403 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Daily Oil Chart(s):

Crude Oil Daily Chart MACD turned up with 20 MA overhead on trading box support Dec 17 407 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/L2v7HKc2-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-MACD-turned-up-with-20-MA-overhead-on-trad/

Crude, oil, MACD, Daily, Chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart MACD turned up with 20 MA overhead on trading box support Dec 17 407 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

Crude Oil Daily Symmetry Chart Suggests 41 area possible. Dec 17 424 AM FX USOIL WTI CL_F

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/TcRHKafW-Crude-Oil-Daily-Symmetry-Chart-Suggests-41-area-possible-Dec-17/

crude, oil, symmetry

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/TcRHKafW-Crude-Oil-Daily-Symmetry-Chart-Suggests-41-area-possible-Dec-17/

Per recent example:

Crude Oil Daily Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/70dWoKan-Crude-Oil-Symmetry-Chart-Nov-6-104-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI-CL-F-USO-C/

crude, oil, symmetry

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

240 Minute Crude Oil Chart(s):

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds, Dec 17 428 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

crude, oil, spigott chart

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds, Dec 17 428 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Crude Oil. 240 Min simple model test chart. Dec 17 433 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/U2HOep6g-Crude-Oil-240-Min-simple-model-test-chart-Dec-17-433-AM-FX-USO/

240, EPIC, crude, oil, algorithm

Crude Oil. 240 Min simple model test chart. Dec 17 433 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

30 Minute Crude Oil Chart(s):

Per recent;

Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/vaEReaNt-Crude-Oil-30-Min-Simple-Algorithmic-Chart-Model-Nov-19-434-AM-FX/

crude, oil, algorithmic, chart

Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):

Dec 17 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon in more detail.

crude oil ,trade, alert, machine trading

Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at open #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT

oil, trade, alert

Personal scalp trade when futures opened Tues night in crude oil $CL_F $USO #OOTT #OilTradeAlerts

Oil, trade alert, DWT

Short $DWT (inverse Oil ETN) 13.55 starter Curt #Oil #Trade #Alert

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Oil, trade, alerts

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:

Dec 17 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Subscribe to Service Here:

Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Connect:

Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/

Website: https://compoundtrading.com

Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/

Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n

Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…

Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading

Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…

StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading

Email: https://[email protected]

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F

13
Dec 2018
NatGas, Short, trade, swing, premarket

Premarket Notes, Current Trades, Schedule Near Term and in to 2019

Markets:  Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here

Premarket Notes, Current Trades, Schedule Near Term and in to 2019

Lead Trader Blog Post, Office Memorandum, Trading Plan, Uncategorized Curt Melonopoly

Markets: 

Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.

Current Trades:

Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.

Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.

Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.

Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.

Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).

Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.

Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.

Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.

Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.

Schedule:

At 2 PM today I am taking the team in to lock down with me until Sunday night futures. We have to finish the coding updates in oil we discovered necessary with things that happened in trade this week – I know, it takes time and we’re going to get this right. We also got behind due to WordPress updates that completely surprised us. We’ve resolved the issues but this has put our reporting behind. So this needs to also be caught up. And lastly, we have a 2018 work in progress list that has to be completed before Jan 1, 2019. So we’ll be in staff lock-down between 2 pm today and Sunday futures. Next week we will likely do the same around this time of the week to get everything caught up before the new year.

Trading Room Schedule:

I will be in trading room for open and most of the morning. Markets are in flux so I don’t expect much trading (YTBD) and encourage you to stay safe as possible until we’re on other side of Dec 20. Trading room will close near mid day. No mid day review. Trading room will not be open Friday and will re-open for Sunday night futures.

Premarket report may be processed – pending at this point.

Any questions send me a DM or email anytime.

Curt

12
Dec 2018
crude oil ,trade, alert, machine trading

PreMarket Trading Report Wed Dec 12 : Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas …

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 12, 2018. In

PreMarket Trading Report Wed Dec 12 : Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas …

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 12, 2018.

In this premarket trading edition:  Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per): 
    Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps December / January 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.

the firsts are far from over . careful with bias

We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…

We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)

Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …

Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. We have majority of weekly reporting due out Mon – Wed evening.
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Reminder: The live trading room is partitioned in to 25 attendees per room each viewing the same charting. If you are moved room to room you will be down for at most 20 secs at a time.
Reminder: The live trading room is attended by mostly full time traders and funds. We appreciate interaction to be as actionable as possible for attendees. Chatter can be directed to Discord server specific to instrument. If you need a link to private discord server for chat let us know [email protected].
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas. Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
I may be off on Friday for a vet hospital operation (bulldog) YTBD.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:00 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.45, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 52.61, Gold $GLD trading 1244.75, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 266.77 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3394.00 and $VIX trading 21.1.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:$ABIL $LX $WPP $DBVT

Stocks – Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Aphria Gain in Premarket; American Eagle Plunges – https://twitter.com/newsinvesting/status/1072847307484348416

News:

Dow set to jump 250 points as Wall Street’s wild swings in reaction to the trade battle continue https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/12/stock-markets-dow-cheered-by-trumps-upbeat-trade-war-comments.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.PostToTwitter

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Ride-hailing startup Lyft files confidentially for U.S. IPO.

Read: https://goo.gl/jxpnxi

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$ADBE $AEO $SFIX $COST $DSW $PLAY $CIEN $PVTL $ASNA $INSE $FRAN $GTIM $CDMO $ASPU $ARWR $DLHC $CASY $PLAB $VRA $NCS $NX $TLRD $SEAC $ROAD $CHKE $IRET $OXM $NDSN $FTI $VERU $PHX $CIVI $SKIS $SMMT $PURE $STRM $MMMB $AXNX

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).

DGAZ, Trade Alert
Our entry long $DGAZ (short NatGas ETN) 52.30. Holding starter #NaturalGas #TradeAlert
SPY, trade alert
Long SPY 266.90 to 268 price target. Will evaluate if price target hit. SP500 #trade #alert #swingtrading
VIX, trade alert
Shorting VIX instruments here on daytrade that may become a swing, TVIX 50.13 premarket #trade #alerts #swingtrade
crude oil ,trade, alert, machine trading
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at open #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
oil, trade, alert
Personal scalp trade when futures opened Tues night in crude oil $CL_F $USO #OOTT #OilTradeAlerts

USOIL MACD turned up on daily testing 20 MA resistance area. Holding after recent sell-off. #oil #Chart #crude

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Oil, trade, alerts
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

VIX, volatility, chart, premarket
volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility, trade, alert, VIX
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

TVIX, premarket, trade, alert, VIX, short
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short
Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver
Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV
Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Higher Ahead Of Consumer Price Index https://benzinga.com/z/12836854 $AEO$BAC$PLAY$MRNS$SPY$DJIA$USO

Yields on 3-month Treasury bills match those on global bonds for the first time since the financial crisis. https://www.ft.com/content/2a6a0ccc-fd2d-11e8-aebf-99e208d3e521 …

Trump admin seeks to severely limit all biotech interactions with China involving joint ventures, investments into US companies, and manufacturing. Public comments are due by Dec 18 2018! Universities are already planning to curtail graduate programs/students. This is HUGE 🤯

Nice one: A flatter yield curve tends to boost volatility as we move into the later phase of the economic cycle.

Kremlin tells Russian banks to prepare for disconnection from international payment systems #Russia

The market’s biggest problem: Everyone Is Bearish But No-One Is Short

Don’t get too scared by flattening yield curve: S&P 500 didn’t peak for >19mths, on avg, after yield curve inverted. On avg, it gained >22% before reaching its high point. Time between inversion & recession arriving can be as long as 765 days.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: 

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas

10
Dec 2018
crude, oil chart

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 10 : $RARX, $VERI, $MRNS, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 10, 2018. In

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 10 : $RARX, $VERI, $MRNS, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 10, 2018.

In this premarket trading edition: $RARX, $VERI, $MRNS, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per): 
    Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. We have majority of weekly reporting due out Mon – Wed evening.
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Reminder: The live trading room is partitioned in to 25 attendees per room each viewing the same charting. If you are moved room to room you will be down for at most 20 secs at a time.
Reminder: The live trading room is attended by mostly full time traders and funds. We appreciate interaction to be as actionable as possible for attendees. Chatter can be directed to Discord server specific to instrument. If you need a link to private discord server for chat let us know [email protected].
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas. Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
I may be off on Friday for a vet hospital operation (bulldog) YTBD.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:08 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.713, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.95, Gold $GLD trading 1246.07, Silver $SLV trading 14.54, $SPY 264.09 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3483.00 and $VIX trading 23.3.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

31 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://www.benzinga.com/news/18/12/12822189/31-stocks-moving-in-mondays-pre-market-session#/null … $RARX $VERI $MRNS $AXSM $MITK $EKSO $AKAO $GILT $AXON $MGNX $SYBX $SKX $ANY

News: 

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Ride-hailing startup Lyft files confidentially for U.S. IPO.

Read: https://goo.gl/jxpnxi

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$ADBE $AEO $SFIX $COST $DSW $PLAY $CIEN $PVTL $ASNA $INSE $FRAN $GTIM $CDMO $ASPU $ARWR $DLHC $CASY $PLAB $VRA $NCS $NX $TLRD $SEAC $ROAD $CHKE $IRET $OXM $NDSN $FTI $VERU $PHX $CIVI $SKIS $SMMT $PURE $STRM $MMMB $AXNX

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).

USOIL MACD turned up on daily testing 20 MA resistance area. Holding after recent sell-off. #oil #Chart #crude

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Oil, trade, alerts

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

VIX, volatility, chart, premarket

volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility, trade, alert, VIX

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

TVIX, premarket, trade, alert, VIX, short

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Trump admin seeks to severely limit all biotech interactions with China involving joint ventures, investments into US companies, and manufacturing. Public comments are due by Dec 18 2018! Universities are already planning to curtail graduate programs/students. This is HUGE 🤯

Nice one: A flatter yield curve tends to boost volatility as we move into the later phase of the economic cycle.

Kremlin tells Russian banks to prepare for disconnection from international payment systems #Russia

The market’s biggest problem: Everyone Is Bearish But No-One Is Short

Don’t get too scared by flattening yield curve: S&P 500 didn’t peak for >19mths, on avg, after yield curve inverted. On avg, it gained >22% before reaching its high point. Time between inversion & recession arriving can be as long as 765 days.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VERI $MRNS $NTRI $CYTX $AXSM $MITK $RARX $EKSO $APDN $TENX $APHA $PLUG $HX $CRMD

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, 

04
Dec 2018

Important Updates: Premarket, Markets, Trades, Coding, XMAS Discounts and More.

Lead Trader Blog Post, Office Memorandum Curt Melonopoly

A Quick Member Client Update:

Code: The testing for the EPIC algorithm machine trading has been going well this week. The trades triggered have been successful, a few missed opportunities (no trigger executed) because of “on the fly” updates but all in all we are very pleased with the results. Every trade has been profitable.

Last evening Katie updated our most recent “on the fly” updates to the code.

Post EIA (Thursday this week) we expect 90% + of opportunities on wide structure to trigger. A significant increase.

Markets: Markets are closed for a national day of mourning tomorrow. We see some continued structure building however the inversion is signalling a recession is possible. Yet to be seen.

Positioning Trades: Short term we are looking for long positions in to Christmas. There is (as noted previous) a time cycle completion we are concerned about on Dec 5. So in short we are waiting for that to pass and EIA to pass and then make decisions on sizing positions for a move in to Dec 20 th ish.

Next Level Charting: There is a new EPIC report in editing now that details our newest charting developed for our coding that our client members will be able to use. It is next level, really exciting developments on that end.

Soon we will start on coding SPY and BTC.

Trade Positions: We remain short DWT and are looking for sizing in to it further post EIA.

For other scheduling refer to below. In short, we are in coding intense this week, publishing trading alerts but no reporting or premarket reports etc until this round of coding done late this week. Also BTW update oil and BTC algorithm charting emailed last night to members.

Any questions shoot me an email anytime.

And do not miss that XMAS 40%, there’s only 10 discount codes for each and that won’t come around until next XMAS (if at all).

Thanks

Curt

40% Discounts here:

https://compoundtrading.com/exclusive-member-christmas-discounts-trade-alerts-swing-reports-algorithm-reporting-trade-coaching-live-trading/

Per Previous:

https://compoundtrading.com/service-schedule-week-of-december-2/

Member Client Modified Platform Schedule for Week of December 2, 2018:

As noted previous, we are done the bulk of the coding for EPIC’s machine trading Generation 1. Last week we tested it in live trades (not alerted for the most part) and found a number of rule-set details that required code modification (we expected to be alerting more trades to our members than took place, so this week we are pushing completion details). This is a process that has to executed live between traders and techs – there are many variables. To keep this explanation short, this week we expect to alert most of the trades the machine trading is executing. We see much less variable rule set code tweaking. To be sure we complete the bulk of the testing and tweaks needed we are going to limit some of our other platform services for the majority of the week below as we have limited staff. This process may continue for weeks (the further along the less service throttling will be required) – at regular intervals we will notify members of service schedules as with this update.

If you have any specific questions please send us a note.

Here’s the member client service schedule for the upcoming week:

Alert Feeds: Per normal, specifically we expect more machine trading alerts on EPIC’s Oil feed this week and likely more swing trading alerts (going in to completion of the next time cycle).

Discord Chat Rooms: We will rely more on the chat rooms (of course oil being the main focus currently) than we will the live trading room. We DO NOT EXPECT to be in the live trading room this week. If that changes we will let you know. It will be an intensive week to try and bring the bulk of the coding required to complete the lower time-frames for oil trade decisions to a close. So we expect to be very active on both the alert feeds and the Discord chat (with trades and trade explanations) but not the live trading room.

Live Trading Room: The live trading room will not be used this week unless really intensive trading positions are occurring with large size multi leg trades. Lead trader is not likely to be present in live trading room at market open and for mid day reviews this week Dec 3 – 8th.

Reporting:

Algorithm reporting – the regular algorithm reporting is likely to be near none during the period of Dec 3 – 8th and we will make up the lag time quickly thereafter (again, we are using our staff resource to complete the small time frame coding for the EPIC oil machine trading)

Premarket report – as with the regular weekly reporting above we do not expect to be publishing premarket reports Dec 3 – 8th.

Trade Coaching: Trade coaching already scheduled remains as scheduled.

To summarize, we are in a push to get the lower time frame decisions coded to the oil machine trading. After the oil software is complete we will start on SPY and Bitcoin machine trading. We expect alerts and discord chat (trade related) to increase this week and live trading room to be near zero. The regular weekly reporting for this week will be near zero and we will make up that lag in to the week after Dec 3 – 8th.

Lets have a great trading week!

Jen, Compound Trading Group

Per: Curt

03
Dec 2018
short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 3 : China Trade Truce, Fed Powell, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX …

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 3, 2018.  In

PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 3 : China Trade Truce, Fed Powell, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX …

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 3, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: China Trade Truce, Fed Powell, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per): 
    Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
  • Members, Please Read:
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

We are short DWT from last week (that is going well), last night in oil trading room the machine trades were excellent, watching the swing charts for a possible run in to Christmas.

Per previous;

Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.

There is a volatility time-cyle (monthly) coming in at Dec 5 so we are looking for a possible bounce in to that date and shortly thereafter.

Watching EIA closely today for structure in the current trading quad, it has been constructive of late.

Possible short $DWT on the day based on rise in premarket.

Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.

If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:51 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.19, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.45, Gold $GLD trading 1232.59, Silver $SLV trading 14.47, $SPY 279.93 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3973.00 and $VIX trading 16.4.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $TSRO $GBT $CLVS $NBEV $NIO $IQ $ATOS $HUYA

28 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12786231 $TSRO $NBEV $KPTI $TRCO $ARGX $CROX $BGCP $ADIL $TNXP $TIK $BLUE

News: 

It’s An Extremely Busy Week Ahead: Here Are The Highlights

Auto Stocks Ride Reduced China Import Tax https://benzinga.com/z/12786242 $F $GM $FCAU $TSLA $NIO

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Tencent Music sets terms for IPO, which could be valued at up to $1.23 billion

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tencent-music-sets-terms-for-ipo-which-could-be-valued-at-up-to-123-billion-2018-12-03?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$LULU $MOMO $AVGO $AZO $DG $OKTA $ULTA $KR $FIVE $COUP $DOCU $FNSR $RH $MRVL $CLDR $RMR $AEO $BMO $SIG $HPE $TOL $ZS $MDB $THO $PLCE $GMS $HDS $OLLI $PDCO $HQY $AOBC $MOV $SMAR $BNED $DLTH $HOME $CONN $MIK $GIII $AVYA $BIG $FGP

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Oil, trade, alerts

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

VIX, volatility, chart, premarket

volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility, trade, alert, VIX

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

TVIX, premarket, trade, alert, VIX, short

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Trump calls trade truce with China a big step forward

Trump liked Fed chairman Powell’s speech last week, Mnuchin says

 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,  China Trade Truce, Fed Powell, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX

02
Dec 2018

Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.

December Special 40% Discounts. Member Only Offer: It’s that time of year and we’re ringing in the new

Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.

Exclusive Member Offers, General Complimentary Newsletters, Office Memorandum Jen L

December Special 40% Discounts. Member Only Offer:

It’s that time of year and we’re ringing in the new year with exclusive discounts for our members.

The 40% discount is available on any service listed on the shop page below, the coupon codes are limited to 10 per item only – when they are used up they become unavailable:

Use promo code: jen40

Pricing / Features / Promos – Pricing Tables (click).

This special Christmas discount is available for Trade Alerts, Algorithm and Swing Reporting, Trade Coaching, and Live Trading Room.

Some conditions apply;

  • The pricing code discount cannot be used in conjunction with any other discount offer code.
  • For existing members that have paid can use this offer to run after existing membership period completes.
  • The 40% off discount is applicable to published pricing per the pricing table link above, the discount does not apply to legacy members that may have special rates.
  • There are 10 coupon codes issued for each item on the pricing table per link above.
  • The sale ends Dec 31, 2018 whether all the coupon codes are used up or not.
  • The discount rate cannot be renewed, so if you want to take advantage of the discount for a longer duration then select a 3, 6 or 12 month option at check out vs one month.
  • Other terms and conditions may apply.

If you have any problems at check out with the coupon code or if you have any questions email Jean at compoundtradingofficial.com

Enjoy your Christmas and lets trade!

Jen, Compound Trading Group

 

 

02
Dec 2018

Service Schedule Week of December 2

Lead Trader Blog Post, Office Memorandum Curt Melonopoly

Member Client Modified Platform Schedule for Week of December 2, 2018:

As noted previous, we are done the bulk of the coding for EPIC’s machine trading Generation 1. Last week we tested it in live trades (not alerted for the most part) and found a number of rule-set details that required code modification (we expected to be alerting more trades to our members than took place, so this week we are pushing completion details). This is a process that has to executed live between traders and techs – there are many variables. To keep this explanation short, this week we expect to alert most of the trades the machine trading is executing. We see much less variable rule set code tweaking. To be sure we complete the bulk of the testing and tweaks needed we are going to limit some of our other platform services for the majority of the week below as we have limited staff. This process may continue for weeks (the further along the less service throttling will be required) – at regular intervals we will notify members of service schedules as with this update.

If you have any specific questions please send us a note.

Here’s the member client service schedule for the upcoming week:

Alert Feeds: Per normal, specifically we expect more machine trading alerts on EPIC’s Oil feed this week and likely more swing trading alerts (going in to completion of the next time cycle).

Discord Chat Rooms: We will rely more on the chat rooms (of course oil being the main focus currently) than we will the live trading room. We DO NOT EXPECT to be in the live trading room this week. If that changes we will let you know. It will be an intensive week to try and bring the bulk of the coding required to complete the lower time-frames for oil trade decisions to a close. So we expect to be very active on both the alert feeds and the Discord chat (with trades and trade explanations) but not the live trading room.

Live Trading Room: The live trading room will not be used this week unless really intensive trading positions are occurring with large size multi leg trades. Lead trader is not likely to be present in live trading room at market open and for mid day reviews this week Dec 3 – 8th.

Reporting:

  • Algorithm reporting – the regular algorithm reporting is likely to be near none during the period of Dec 3 – 8th and we will make up the lag time quickly thereafter (again, we are using our staff resource to complete the small time frame coding for the EPIC oil machine trading)
  • Premarket report – as with the regular weekly reporting above we do not expect to be publishing premarket reports Dec 3 – 8th.

 Trade Coaching: Trade coaching already scheduled remains as scheduled.

To summarize, we are in a push to get the lower time frame decisions coded to the oil machine trading. After the oil software is complete we will start on SPY and Bitcoin machine trading. We expect alerts and discord chat (trade related) to increase this week and live trading room to be near zero. The regular weekly reporting for this week will be near zero and we will make up that lag in to the week after Dec 3 – 8th.

Lets have a great trading week!

Jen, Compound Trading Group

 

Per: Curt

 

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