My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Dec 5, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Monday Wall Street trading short day session! This is a complimentary premarket newsletter along with our first Monday of the month free trading room access!

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (current swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Waiting for a long trade confirmation.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.

Outlook: Per previous

We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Pre previous;

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test. I was also waiting for it to get up over 200 on 1 week and back test. Looks like it could be a break-out!

$NATGAS

$NATGAS

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $SGY, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Dec 2, 2016. $JUNO, $CBMX $SGY, $EVHC, $VTNR, $ASNA, $USOIL, $WTI and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was very quiet for me. The Italy referendum was on deck, $USOIL $WTI Oil was at it’s Fib and algo resistance and $GOLD $SILVER were in holding patterns (getting jiggy), $GDX miner’s were starting to get jumpy and the morning momo’s were not set-up extremely well (although some morning momo traders I know did get some scalps – most of those specific traders seen red momo morning).

I am still holding $CBMX, $JUNO and $SGY.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

No lessons Friday from my trades as I was waiting for trend confirmations (inflection point in markets). I did have one trader DM me and challenge me on my sitting on hands with $SILVER and $GOLD etc…. I simply responded that when it’s time to hammer down I will stay in the trend and add at pull-backs and that time is easily made up for.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:50 am Curtis M : Gainers and Losers http://thestockmarketwatch.com/markets/pre-market/today.aspx

10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:23 am Curtis M : Gainers: $NVCN $NVFY $FIVE $HTBX $SGY $BAK $VNR $SEMI $BNSO $ULTA $MTU $BCEI $GOGL $JCP $ARWR $DGAZ $TLK $BIG $IM $RICE
09:42 am mathew w : Early day for me so not many moves. Just hit CRM dec9 70’s for a bounce back after last night’s flush
09:52 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $EPM $SLM $VASC $WBS
10:04 am Curtis M : Watching $VIX $NUGT $$USD/JPY
10:12 am GS CT : What could? Gold?
10:12 am GS CT : Thanks.
10:18 am GS CT : What is your preferred Gold ticker to play? NUGT GDX ??
10:20 am mathew w : JUNO moving for you guys who took the trade and got underwater
10:20 am mathew w : I’m out for the weeked. Have a good trading day and weekend all
10:20 am GS CT : Me too. it can have erratic price moves though.
10:21 am susan woo : Curtis, you interested in buying AUMN? I’m in already
10:21 am susan woo : Steady Eddy, wish it would go
10:23 am susan woo : NAK another good one
10:32 am susan woo : The gold reversion time is around early January? I missed what you were saying ealrlier
10:38 am susan woo : thanks
10:44 am GS CT : Before it goes higher or lower?
10:44 am GS CT : SPY
10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT
10:54 am Curtis M : If oil blows thru 51.77 it could really run FYI
10:56 am Curtis M : OIl has lots of room above 51.77
11:52 am Curtis M : Just runniing scans until it picks up
01:52 pm Curtis M : Next stop for Oill 51.77 and lots of room above
02:05 pm Curtis M : Leaders $EVHC 211% $VTNR 22.86% $ASNA 21.01%
02:47 pm GSCT . : Think oil will backtest here. Has tht look.
02:48 pm GSCT . : That was actually a question.
03:04 pm Curtis M : $SGY pinch 20 and 100 on the 3
03:05 pm Curtis M : oil = bull
03:56 pm Curtis M : A little $VIX insurance not a bad thing here #Italy if you’re holding large over weekend FYI
03:56 pm Curtis M : OIL bulls not letting go
04:00 pm Curtis M : Well… lackluster day but excellent set up for Monday IMO
04:00 pm Curtis M : over and out have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $SILVER, $GDX


Gold Trading Chart Update Monday Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 5, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report.

Good morning! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

If this is your first time visiting, IT IS IMPORTANT that you review my recent Gold reports on this blog and my Twitter feed because one post will not do you any good. You need to know the time and price cycle we are currently in at any given time and what the primary alpha algo targets most recently are so you have perspective. These reports are a running story of price action (each one just being a piece of the story) that are designed with the intent to provide you the trader an edge. An edge is not possible unless you have the whole story.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

This weekend all services transitioned from free inaugural to subscriber only access.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1165.02. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

GOLD, Chart. Trading

1165.02 Intra-day. Gold algo intra work sheet 537 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Price tested my price target from July. Gold tested top of algo quadrant but not lower of quad.

Gold, Chart

Hit my PT from July call but not lower quad. Gold algo intra work sheet 558 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Intra-day Fibonnaci Levels to Watch.

Fibonacci, Gold, Chart

Intra Fib levels to watch – 5 day. Gold algo intra work sheet 509 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Fibonacci, Gold, Trading, Chart

Fib levels to watch – 1 yr (on left). Gold algo intra work sheet 509 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Watch 200 MA on 15 min close for possible resistance. Gold has used it often as support and resistance in past. Lots of room intra-day.

GOLD, 200 MA, 15 min, Chart

200 MA on 15 – lots of room. Gold algo intra work sheet 517 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

USDJPY is a problem – until it isn’t.

USD/JPY

$USDJPY We did warn them.

USD/JPY. Fibonacci. Chart

USD/JPY intra Fibonacci levels to watch.

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Gold News:

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

 

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


Monday Dec 5, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report.

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

This week is a big week for me – I am going to go to patent phase. I have six months of proven predictability of over 90%. My process is proprietary and qualifies for patent. The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures sometime in Jan 2017. My sub service w incl 24hr crude oil trade room.

Today all services transition from free inaugural to subscriber only access.

All rates for existing members for all service prices will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions).

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story..

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations

IMPORTANT NOTE: If you do not invest the time to review at least the last few of my oil reports on this blog, our website (as it applies to my algorithm) and my Twitter feed (which all in will take you at most an hour to catch up and also understand how my algorithm works) this report will be of no good to you. The reports are a running story and just one post won’t do it – there is zero benefit. ESPECIALLY with the member only charting upcoming as they will be much more involved.

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 51.29 (12:50 AM ET Dec 5, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$USOIL, OIL, Chart, $WTIC

Trading at 51.29. Crude algo intra work sheet 1250 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Currently trading at 51.29 – crude held its current intra trading range (tight on fibs) 50.44 – 51.75. Those are your intra-day levels to watch. Above 51.75 watch for a break-out (best to let it retest support at 51.75 before going long and best to let it test resistance at 50.44 if it breaks down below that before going short). You can use your indicators below (on the charting) for intra snipes.

Multi Week Trading Range / Swings:

Swing Trades, Crude Oil, $USOIL

Trading range for swings (yellow and fibs). Crude algo intra work sheet 104 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Your primary pivot areas for swing trading crude are at the multi week low around 42.46 (bottom yellow line – be careful with misreading the white numbers on side of chart in purple they don’t represent price at that level) and the top side of your mutli week trading range is around 51.90. Shorting below 51.90 considering crude oil recent rally does not represent good probability. Long at the bottom of the range represents excellent probability.

And then you have a diagonal uptrending wedge you can follow also swings – your probability of success goes way up taking long positions at bottom of this wedge and short positions at top of wedge (however, depending on your time-frame considering oil is in a rally a short may not be the best play here). You as a trader have to determine your time-frame and trade accordingly.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

$WTIC, $USOIL, Diagonal Trendlines

Diagonal Trend-Lines (blue). Crude algo intra work sheet 126 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

At time of writing there is a diagonal trend-line being tested. If you are trading on a tight intra-basis these are highly predictable indicators.

200 MA on 1 HR

200 MA, 1HR, $USOIL, Chart, OIL

Above 200 MA on 1HR (purple – white arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 135 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Crude oil has reacted negatively to the 200 MA on the 1 HR in recent month trading. As long as it is above the 200 MA we consider it bullish.

Fibonacci Levels:

Fibonacci, Crude, Oil, Chart

Above 200 MA on 1HR (purple – white arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 135 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

The fib level is important above 51.75 because that puts the trading price in to possible break-out territory. Your full extension above there is 55.99 on the fibs. A break down of 50.44 and you would want to see if the next at 49.12 holds and so – on. In a break down you want to wait for next Fib level to hold and if triggering a long trade wait for price – trigger – power – trade. In other words, wait for a re-test of the support or if it doesn’t retest wait for the price to prove itself by being higher than the most recent high on the 1 min, 3 min, 5 min etc intra trading. If you do not know how to trigger trades based on price – trigger – power – trade disciplines it is best to research online or sign up here or somewhere for some private coaching. This discipline with intra-day trading is critical.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple).

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come of previous time / price cycles). Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Time / Price Cycles:

The most recent time / price cycle terminated Dec 1 at 7:00 AM and we seen what price action has done since.

Right now crude is in break-out and there is a strong absence of significant time / price cycle terminations on the chart.

Some are as follows; Dec 5 6:30 AM 1/5, Dec 9 3:30 AM 2/5, Dec 12 7:30 AM 2/5, Mar 20 5 / 5. The rating 1 to 5 is for significance – the higher the number the more significant. If you review my twitter feed and my story on the website you will find these to be near 100%, in that the price of crude moves out of its current trading range to the upside or down. Our traders use these as a primary indicator for risk – reward. Be cautious of week time / price cycle terminations (don’t give them a lot of credence). As more time / price cycle terminations are calculated with intra-day pricing I will update members.

Algo Trend-Lines:

Algo Lines, Crude, Oil, Chart

Alpha algo lines Crude algo intra work sheet 204 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

If you look closely at this chart you will see clearly how the price of oil reacts to alpha algo lines as support, resistance and important inflection points. Price gets aggressive when they are breached. Here again, the thicker they are the more important they are.

Current Algo Targets:

All current targets are soft targets. In other words, when the price of crude changes trading ranges it takes time for the algorithm to calculate new targets. Early on in the price and time cycle you will find the probabilities much less and as time goes on in the time / price cycle the algorithm will give you much higher probabilities of targets being hit. There are usually a number of targets published and each is given a probability of a hit (how many times out of 100). You can use these targets to trade against and determine your risk -reward accordingly. Here again I recommend you review my Twitter feed, my story and my recent blog posts to see how I publish targets along with probabilities (more information below on algo targets).

Below are this weeks targets. They are extremely soft because the new alpha algo targets are in early progression in this new time / price cycle. Use extreme caution until the targets become more clear – Updates will follow as this time cycle progresses.

Dec 6 – 48.30 (17%), 51.34 (24%), 52.38 (15%)

Dec 7 – 48.34 (16%), 51.57 (22%), 52.86 (12%)

Dec 9 – 48.87 (14%), 52.30 (19%), 53.47 (8%)

Intra-Day Quadrants:

Intra day quadrants are the intra day price action of crude oil. About 90% of the time I can publish these for you and you can use them as intra day sniping levels. However, right now because crude is in a break-out these are not predictable. I expect to have these for you Tuesday or Wednesday at the latest when the price and time cycle confirms here.

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo algo and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance and price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the trading room and reviewing my Twitter feed posts and previous blogs will help you with how to use these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on You Tube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money. We also recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a revamp (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically.

I suppose also when the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets.


Gold Trading Chart Update Fri Dec 2 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 2, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report.

Good morning! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

If this is your first time visiting, IT IS IMPORTANT that you review my recent Gold reports on this blog and my Twitter feed because one post will not do you any good. You need to know the time and price cycle we are currently in at any given time and what the primary alpha algo targets most recently are so you have perspective. These reports are a running story of price action (each one just being a piece of the story) that are designed with the intent to provide you the trader an edge. An edge is not possible unless you have the whole story.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

This weekend all services transition from free inaugural to subscriber only access. Stay tuned Sunday PM for access links.

All rates for existing members for all services will be grandfathered in perpetuity when new rates published this weekend.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1171.59. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$GOLD, Chart, Algorithm

Price tested my price target from July and rising. Dec 2 720 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

$GOLD, Algo, Chart

Gold tested top of algo quadrant but not lower of quad. Dec 2 727 AM Algo Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

$GOLD, Algo, Chart, Fibonacci

Intra-day Fib Levels to Watch. Dec 2 741 AM Algo Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

GOLD, Chart

Watch 200 MA on 15 min close for possible break-out intra. Dec 2 746 AM Algo Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

USD/JPY

USDJPY is a problem. 116.06 – 116.52 in sights. Dec 2 802 AM Algo Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

 

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

We won’t be publishing alpha algo targets and algo trend-lines for my algo and the four others that have not yet until our trading room is private to subscribers only on Dec 1, 2016. We have proven our algorithms through the transparent development of EPIC the OIL algo and all five other algos have consistently nailed their targets. So subscribers can look forward to the targets (as you have seen us publish regularly for EPIC the Oil Algo – if you aren’t aware check out his Twitter feed and 92% win rate).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Fri Dec 2, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report.

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

Next week is a big week for me – I am going to go to patent phase. I have six months of proven predictability of over 90%. My process is proprietary and qualifies for patent. The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures Jan 17. My sub service w incl 24hr crude oil trade room.

This weekend all services transition from free inaugural to subscriber only access. Stay tuned Sunday PM for access links.

All rates for existing members for all services will be grandfathered in perpetuity when new rates published this weekend.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations

IMPORTANT NOTE: If you do not invest the time to review at least the last few of my oil reports on this blog, our website (as it applies to my algorithm) and my Twitter feed (which all in will take you at most an hour to catch up and also understand how my algorithm works) this report will be of no good to you. The reports are a running story and just one post won’t do it – there is zero benefit. ESPECIALLY with the member only charting upcoming as they will be much more involved.

At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.55 (609 AM ET Dec 2, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$USOIL, OIL, $WTIC

Important support test. Crude algo intra work sheet 546 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Main Indicators:

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trendlines (blue) – one has been breached and the other is about to be tested. If you review my recent publications you will learn about how important these are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line 90% of the time.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/uQGSzGfj-FX-USOIL-WTI-Algo-Worksheet-Intra/

$USOIL, OIL, Crude, $WTIC

Diagonal trendlines are critical inflection points (blue). Crude algo intra work sheet 617 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Recent price action – price about to test 200 MA on 15 min.

$USOIL, OIL, $WTIC

200 MA on the 15 min test coming. Crude algo intra work sheet 633 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci support. 

$UWOIL, OIL, Crude, Fibonacci, Fib

.618 Fib support is at 49.10. Crude algo intra work sheet 640 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Current Algo Targets:

Considering the fact that a recent time / price cycle has expired algo targets are considered “soft” – waiting on confirmation.

Crude, Oil, Algo, Targets

Current algo targets (red circles) Crude algo intra work sheet 645 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So for now that is it for the update. The targets for this week have been published and we are awaiting OPEC so any more than this would just be duplicate of my recent posts.

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

We cover this in much more detail in the trading room and reviewing my Twitter feed posts and previous blogs will help you with how to use these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on You Tube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room!

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets.


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Thursday Dec 1, 2016.  $JUNO, $SGY, $USOIL, $UCO, $APPY, $TLYS and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today was for me was $UCO long earlier in day that went well and $SGY entry that is a bag. I looked up my bad holding from last 12 months and I got out of 13 of 15 so hopefully this is the case with $SGY. I now have $JUNO, $CBMX and $SGY (3 current bags).

 

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

The $UCO trade was executed well – just wish it was larger. The $SGY trade was executed poorly – I went in to FOMO mode right at high of day because the tape was squeezing and oil was close to another break-out and to add to it I didn’t cut fast. But I did hold because I have traded it before – it does spike and I think oil early next year has a high probability of 60+. I have other reasons for holding too – but I should have cut. My $JUNO trade is a bottom trade that I’m comfortable with holding. All in all a fairly undisciplined day – not my style normally.

 

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : Not much new / updated here but here it is https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-thursday-dec-1-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-spy-vix/

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Shippers, Energy, $BLUE $CLRB $BSTG $CBK $CLC $DRYS $GLBS, $DCIX
08:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : $BLUE $COTV $LEI $DRYS $SDRL $SKX $UGAZ $UWTI $QIWI $WLL $CS $CHK $OAS $JDST $UCO
08:56 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-thursday-dec-1-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-spy-vix/
09:10 am Curtis M : http://thestockmarketwatch.com/markets/pre-market/today.aspx
09:18 am Curtis M : downgrades $QUAD $TRGP $USB $ZION $RF $WFC $CERN $CMI $AJG $Q $WEN $MCD
09:19 am Curtis M : upgrades $WLL $SM $LNN $EOG $APC $NGG $SMTC $INST $SKX $DRI $DE $TRV
09:19 am Curtis M : Wll review algos after open settles down.
09:25 am Curtis M : $TWTR Disney chatter
09:35 am Curtis M : Lng $JUNO 2000 20.13
09:46 am GSCT . : SKLN pop
09:50 am Sandra T : $GEVO good action
09:59 am Sam E : $DRYS should go
10:00 am Curtis M : Watching $NATGAS for reversal $USOIL for break out $GOLD for bottom of quad $SILVER to confirm reversal $SDRL for squeeze $TWTR rumor Disney
10:03 am mathew w : Just entered Sdrl above previous resistance. Watching below the 2.9 level
10:04 am Curtis M : .
10:05 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 3000 10.905
10:06 am Curtis M : Going to have to reset charts already opera slow
10:06 am GSCT . : Why not Chrome?
10:08 am Curtis M : opera better for averting hacks – we’re getting hacked
10:08 am Curtis M : been constant last 3 weeks
10:09 am GSCT . : Wow. Jeez.
10:10 am Curtis M : I thouhgt it was Panama but nope
10:11 am Curtis M : Sartaj thinks its because of the financial footprint – stocks
10:13 am mathew w : Upper target 51.25 on /cl
10:13 am mathew w : I have both futures and UCO targeting that level
10:14 am mathew w : Also back in some CLF Dec9 9.5 calls
10:15 am mathew w : Reload for me after selling last wek
10:25 am Curtis M : So as I go thru algo charts today go ahead and post questions and I’ll try and get to them thru day
10:35 am mathew w : OIL!
10:38 am mathew w : Just trimmed some of my position for a quick drop to reenter
10:48 am Curtis M : Order for 6000 shares $UCO long 51.20 and abover 1000 at each penny
10:57 am mathew w : Im out. Hit my .25 level
11:14 am Curtis M : $WLL 29% $NOG 20% $ATW 19% $RIG 16%

11:20 am Curtis M : Scaled out 11.20 ish for decent win on 9000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Fib 51.77 full extension and 52.05 ish full measure moved lots of air above 51.77 tho $FX $USOIL $WTI
11:36 am Curtis M : Watching $GOLD for $NUGT play
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve had a JNUG and USD/JPY split screen on one of my screens all week. JPY is just relentless
11:36 am Curtis M : ya
11:53 am GSCT . : /CL may retest HOD
11:59 am dan o : Pit close may get right out of control today
11:59 am Curtis M : lol
12:01 pm GSCT . : /CL HOD
12:02 pm GSCT . : What was the Fib level you expected here?
12:02 pm GSCT . : 51.77
12:02 pm GSCT . : ?
12:03 pm GSCT . : Here we are.
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m back long against the 10 day on the 1′
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : frontrunning a bit
12:06 pm GSCT . : /NG 3.5
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just heard 3.87 from a guy I follow who is right way more than wrong
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Said it was a long term hit though
12:12 pm GSCT . : Think a backtest is imminent /CL today?
12:14 pm GSCT . : Usually there is after this kind of up move.
12:15 pm GSCT . : This may be it now.
12:15 pm GSCT . : For 1 or 2 %
12:18 pm GSCT . : That won’t end well
12:43 pm Curtis M : Long $SGY 7000 8.03 avg
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolling and selling RIG calls opened yesterday
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold half, rolled hald to DEC30 14.5s. I’m in the green so free trade from ehre for further squeeze
01:11 pm Curtis M : If $SGY comes off I’ll hit t again at 7.00
01:12 pm Curtis M : I’m in long swing if needed through to spring with 12 – 14 target on $SGY
01:12 pm Curtis M : Running scans
01:13 pm Curtis M : If Ol comes off today I’d peg it at 51.09 ish for a bounce
01:14 pm Curtis M : Going for coffee back in 20 mins
02:07 pm Curtis M : Running scans
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : BTO TLT Jan17 124/126 call spread. Will trade against this if need be
02:23 pm Curtis M : Long $SGY scaling in 7000 we’ll see
02:24 pm Curtis M : If price doesn’t go north I’ll cut on these entries but hold and swing oriiginal entries
02:25 pm Curtis M : In 1 of 7 now
02:25 pm Curtis M : 3 of 7
02:29 pm Curtis M : 7 of 7
02:41 pm Curtis M : $SKLN looking good today
02:41 pm Curtis M : out 7k
02:48 pm Curtis M : $SKLN popped
02:54 pm Curtis M : scaling back in $SGY – yes I’ll do this until grip
02:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like your call long term. Short term support seems to be around 4.9
02:56 pm Curtis M : I hate pain trades lol but when i get aggresive I seem to end up in them
02:56 pm Curtis M : I just checked last year 15 bags out of 13 positive
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tis the season I suppose. It would owrry me if it makes another run into that overhead gap and fails and filling it again
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice!
02:57 pm Curtis M : Long holds tho
02:57 pm Curtis M : Months
02:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s the thing with the low floats. As long as you get the entry right, you’ll get a spike sooner or later
02:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just depends on how long and how much pain you sit through on the way
02:58 pm Sam E : I like $SGY play
03:00 pm Curtis M : Scaling out 7 k
03:00 pm Curtis M : oops nope
03:00 pm Curtis M : sorry
03:00 pm Curtis M : lol
03:00 pm Curtis M : Sending my wife off here set stop on 7 of 14 back at 330 at latest
03:21 pm Curtis M : stop got hit for the record 6 cent loss
03:22 pm Curtis M : still in 7k
03:22 pm Curtis M : sorry 3 cent loss
03:25 pm Curtis M : back in 6.29 avg
03:25 pm Curtis M : tight stop
03:32 pm GSCT . : But you added more to you rposition then sold? Not sure I understand what you did SGY.
03:33 pm Curtis M : out tiny loss im holding 7k
03:33 pm Curtis M : sorry confusing myself
03:33 pm Curtis M : holding 14 k 7 k with tight stop
03:34 pm Curtis M : nope sorry stop got hit only holding 7 lol geesh
03:35 pm Curtis M : im getting on a conference – u guys have a great night – if i get a re-entry ill post it
03:35 pm Ronny D : night
03:43 pm Curtis M : back in for another try scaling here
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Followed a sweeper through on some dec 2 MGM calls. Japan ruling should give this a boost. lotto 29
03:48 pm Curtis M : having a hard time getting fill here
03:50 pm Curtis M : I am going to just watch after hours for a good fill dont want to leave it for morning
03:50 pm Curtis M : oh there got it lol
03:50 pm Curtis M : in for 7k total 14 k hold overnight 2nd fill avg looks like 6.265
03:51 pm Curtis M : no stops im in
03:51 pm Curtis M : have a good night all!
03:57 pm GSCT . : IS that your overall position average?
03:57 pm GSCT . : Or your second lot of 7k?

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SGY, $JUNO, $USOIL, $UCO, $APPY, $TLYS


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 1, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Thursday Wall Street trading short day session! There isn’t much new here – we’ve been unusually busy with algos! When free time allows today we will be reviewing algos in the room etc.

Algo work – EPIC is going to Patent this Monday – expect significant price increases this weekend. We will grandfather existing subs – yes. EPIC also is going to have 24 hour room of his own and futures trading starting sometime Jan. GOLD and SILVER algo price increases this weekend also. DXY SPY VIX beta algos published over coming days not weeks.

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Shippers, Energy, $BLUE $CLRB $BSTG $CBK $CLC $DRYS $GLBS, $DCIX $COTV $LEI $SDRL $SKX $UGAZ $UWTI $QIWI $WLL $CS $CHK $OAS $JDST $UCO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $ARDM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $JUNO (previous wash-out on news) $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – I warned Friday of a pull-back and it could be here and Monday morning and it came. I’m looking for a long entry soon. I’m thinking we don’t see it cool again until near Christmas – we’ll see.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: As warned Friday volatility was getting cheap and a pop was imminent and we got it. I expect volatility to get crushed between now and Christmas. Again, we’ll see.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Inflection point. No clear direction. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

$UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Review Rosie the Gold Algo posts. We’re waiting for a market direction and then algo will calculate targets.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

 

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

 

Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.

Outlook: Per previous

We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Pre previous;

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test.

BUT there is the 200 day on the 1 week chart – omminous! It could be resistance.

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

 


 

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Wednesday Nov 30, 2016. OPEC, OIL, $USOIL, $UWTI, $GENE, $SCON, $SGY $CRC, $SDRL $NE $RIG  and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

From Tuesday:

Today was a day of review of inflecton point charts in $USD/JPY, $SILVER, $GOLD, $DXY, $SPY, $NATGAS etc. Spent some time in the afternoon going over levels to watch.

Trader’s were obviously aware of levels Wednesday when morning run-up occurred and OPEC deal came being that we reviewed oil algo targets / charting etc day befo

Nobody nowhere ever has EPIC hit rate – none.

And @RosietheAlgo and @SuperNovaAlgo won’t be far behind. The other three are likely a few months yet. Existing subs will be grandfathered (which is how it will work with all our algos as they roll out).

Why am I on about all this? Cause we get a lot of “special” people on social media etc… gets a little long in the tooth sometimes.

From Tuesday:

Also, we are waiting for OPEC decision. I am long $UWTI from late Friday.

Wednesday was in fact about oil. Epic nailed the target at 10:30 predicted last week on his feed and we reviewed in detail the new algo targets. It was also about oil companies and shippers got a bit jiggy and yes $GENE and $SCON got ramp room.

I see $GOLD and $SILVER are once again testing Rosie and SuperNova’s price targets in overnight.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

My $UWTI long…I sold too early – I can do the math on the algo but I can’t trade it like I know math. Pure and simple.

$GOLD and $SILVER per previous comments;

So far we’ve play $GOLD and $SILVER right waiting for the inflection trend reverse.

$SPY per previous comments;

I haven’t taken a trade on recently, perhaps should have entered on this most recent pull-back, looking for position soon again.

Previous comments;

The $SPY play I had set properly prior to election has played out exactly as predicted and didn’t really capitalize like I could have so far – but it hasn’t exactly been a face ripper like Brexit or last Jan or last Sept (all of which I caught) – it’s been much more orderly so I’ve spent my energy preparing for the trend reverse.

I AM GOING LONG $SPY SOON. And then it should tank sometime between Christmas and May – we’ll see. Should.

I should also say I will be hammering down on some longer term swing plays soon. Time-frame likely 2 weeks to 4 months type of plays. Market is improving. Looking for other side of inflection of course. Why do I emphasize that soooo much??? Because if you’ve been following me at all you will know I’ve been scalping only for months. There’s a time to scalp a time to swing and a time to hammer down. SO YOU WILL SEE A DIFFERENT TRADER WHEN IT COMES TO SWINGS ETC. MUCH bigger entries and LONGER HOLDS and ESCALATED ENTRIES. I scalp to stay in the market when its f’d and I like to keep in the heartbeat and I like to reset my basics and discipline etc etc. Anyway, I believe I can see the directions in general terms fairly clear now whereas the last 18 months has been off for me – I didn’t like Obama at all. Zero. None. Ugh. Terrible. I’m not a left or right I’m a capitalist I guess so more right but a lot of me is left so I’m me. I just didn’t like his ways.Trump will be much more predictable and capitalist predictable I guess is what I’m saying. Just want to make it clear so any that aren’t clear have it clear clear clear cause I can’t stand “you didn’t tell me or you told me this” comments. Hate them. Hate. 🙂 I go out of my way to be clear. 🙂 🙂

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:54 am   Curtis M : Review of upper algo targets for possible OPEC deal at 10:05 AM

11:02 am   Curtis M : Gonna do some scanning and back for 12 EST

01:23 pm   Curtis M : Set my stop on $JONE at my buy and gonna have coffee w wife and come back in 20 min

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:45 am Sartaj Hundal : Good morning, traders. This is a reminder that our inaugural opening offer for the live trading room ends on Friday. Use coupon code fomo50 at checkout. https://compoundtrading.com/shop
09:09 am Curtis M : Running scans – back before open.
09:15 am Curtis M : $SCON up 70% premarket http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/SCON?siteid=rss
09:17 am Curtis M : Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY
09:23 am Curtis M : Some gainers $SCON $CRC $BAS $REXX $VNR $FMCC $HOS $GASL $OAS $FNMA $LEI $NOG $GST $ORIG $BCEI $DNR $AREX $SM
09:37 am Curtis M : Energy squeeze $CRC $OAS $SDRL $WPX $LPI $SM $CPE $NE $MOG $SYRG $ERF $ORIG $DNR $REN $GBR $GST $ CLR $WPXP $EGN $PE
09:41 am Curtis M : $GLBS squeeze
09:42 am Curtis M : Leaders $SCON $GENE $CSBR $CRC $GLBS and energy
09:44 am Curtis M : Resistance test on crude here.
09:52 am Curtis M : Will Wun through Upper Targets for potential OPEC deal in 10 mins or so
10:03 am mathew w : REN fighting the squeeze here
10:06 am Curtis M : Primary target direct hit https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/803978309650395136
10:06 am Curtis M : Starting in 3 mins algo work on oil
10:15 am Curtis M : Out $UWTI 21.79 $UWTI 1200 shares from last Friday looking for re-enter later
10:19 am GSCT . : Very difficult to read to be honest
10:20 am GSCT . : Yes! Hahaha.
10:21 am susan woo : Its like a Kandinsky painting!
10:21 am GSCT . : Lol.
10:30 am GSCT . : And you’ll have educational videos as well
10:31 am GSCT . : or live edu on it I assume
10:42 am GSCT . : I don’t doubt the algo I’m just not clear how to trade using them exactly. And the chart as is is very cluttered to my eye.
10:49 am GSCT . : It would be easier to see without theall the horizontal purple lines.
11:01 am Curtis M : Email any questions you have plz thanks!
11:02 am Curtis M : Gonna do some scanning and back for 12 EST
11:07 am GSCT . : Can the screen in screensharing be enlarged so there aren’t fat white borders around it?
11:13 am Curtis M : OPEC press conference
11:23 am Curtis M : We have split rooms FYI
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Out the rest of my WLL calls. Hit the fib I was looking for. Almost a tripple bagger on those
11:48 am Curtis M : $MRO squeeze
11:50 am Curtis M : $MRO squeeze
11:57 am Curtis M : Nice Mathew
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : SN up over 22% and my calls barely moved. Love that…not
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Part of the fun I guess lol
12:06 pm Curtis M : ugh
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : At least I had the move right so that makes me warm and fussy while my account is smaller than it should be. If this move confirms for a day or two the small cap oil squeeze will be on like donkey kong and it;ll straighten out
12:25 pm Curtis M : $JONE tape strong
12:36 pm Curtis M : Long $JONE average 4.81 2500
12:36 pm Curtis M : Will add if t squeezes
12:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good call. Picked up a bit earlier myself with the plan to add over 5 if it gets mving
12:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : *moving
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im out of JONE. 4.66-4.86. Will reenter if get sover HOD on volume
01:08 pm Curtis M : $HOS tape strong
01:10 pm Charles S : I think JONE will be good going forward no matter what occurs today
01:11 pm Elroy O : cleaner chart lol
01:11 pm Curtis M : funny
01:12 pm Curtis M : Hey if you guys figure out a cleaner way to get algo stuff in a chart let me know! 🙂
01:13 pm Curtis M : Pt close should be real good or real bad likely good
01:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Can play HOS against 5.15. That’s been some key resistance and support
01:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : up over hi likely pops
01:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Longer term support at 4.75 if you want to go on a swing
01:23 pm Curtis M : Set my stop on $JONE at my buy and gonna have coffee w wife and come back in 20 min (stopped flat)
01:30 pm Curtis M : Theres a recent Gold blog post about a possible bottom at that quadrant fyi possible
01:30 pm Curtis M : Back in 20
01:52 pm Curtis M : 49.84 fib ext oil
01:54 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 2000 22.98 looking for 49.80 oil fib ext
01:58 pm Curtis M : Sartaj stole the others lol
02:01 pm Curtis M : OUt 23.21 $UWTI
02:04 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 23.10
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Back looking at silver and gold. Already sitting on small USLV position. Market weakness tells me it may be time mixed with gold double bottom here
02:09 pm Curtis M : Sorry yes 4000 shares
02:09 pm Curtis M : Ill go 12000 if fib 49.87 blows thru
02:13 pm Curtis M : Out 23.09 cut look for reenter for that fib break at top ($UWTI)
02:15 pm Curtis M : Looking fr squeeze above 49.87
02:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : DRYS getting after it again here
02:26 pm Curtis M : Sorry I was long $UWTI 3 mins ago (out flat)
02:28 pm Curtis M : cut flat
02:28 pm Curtis M : wanted that break and didnt get it
02:29 pm Curtis M : oh well trend change is in play now so should be decent trading now going forward
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Large MOC to the sell side. This would be 3 in a row IIRC if it sticks
02:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : .-1.4b currently
02:44 pm Curtis M : Huge order flow $DRYS
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. Picked up some SHIP as a sympathy pla. Like the lower entry point and solid support just south of current levels
02:46 pm Curtis M : Likely see $RIG $SDRL $NE etc run over next few weeks
02:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Large sweeps in RIG and WLL today
03:30 pm GSCT . : DWTI 56.43 – 57.45
03:31 pm Curtis M : $SGY $CRC strong close… may run if oil continues…. $SDRL $NE $RIG I and others in that clan I think will run hard between now and Christmas
03:31 pm Elroy O : no doubt about offshore – setting up
03:32 pm GSCT . : Crude could fall here
03:32 pm GSCT . : 48.85
03:36 pm Kline P : Does look like last year
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like GST here as well if it can clear recent highs
03:50 pm Curtis M : Well I’m calling it a day – now that OPEC is behind us maybe we get a direction in market over next few days. Room open till 4 ish. Best!
03:50 pm StockMaven S : Thanks!
03:55 pm GSCT . : Going to miss these leveraged Oil ETFs
03:55 pm GSCT . : UWTI DWTI delisted Dec 8
03:56 pm Curtis M : yup
03:57 pm GSCT . : DO you like GUSH and DRIP >
03:57 pm GSCT . : ?
03:58 pm GSCT . : Exp and prod.
03:59 pm Curtis M : we’re backtesting them in the works
04:00 pm Curtis M : Night guys

 

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, OPEC, OIL, $USOIL, $UWTI, $GENE, $SCON, $SGY $CRC, $SDRL $NE $RIG