18
May 2017
$SPY, MACD

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Thurs May 18 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Thursday May 18, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations Good morning! My

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Thurs May 18 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Thursday May 18, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Because trade came off so aggressively on Wednesday, we are going to set over any algorithmic modeling until Thurs night because anomolies are not friendly to charting models. So below are some items to watch for in Thursday trade on conventional charting and below that is an updated quadrant and Fib retracement chart.

This delay won’t put the release of the full model publication planned for Monday back at all – it will be released this Monday.

Trade respecting Fibs perfect. Two possible support levels with arrows. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 613 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/8nnZx6yU-Trade-respecting-Fibs-perfect-Two-possible-support-levels-with/

$SPY, Fibs

Trade respecting Fibs perfect. Two possible support levels with arrows. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 613 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Trade working its way through Fibs. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 604 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart

Trade working its way through Fibs. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 604 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, MACD

We will be watching the MACD on daily for a cross up close for a long. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 620 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Posting

Fibonacci Charting

Yesterday, we produced the first step in the new charting model that will be complete by Monday. If you missed the report yesterday please read it here first: Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Tues May 16 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

With algorithmic modeling and associated trading, we first “root” our trading in simple charts (as with the report yesterday) and then we move on to Fibonacci related work. Much of what we do with Fib work is conventional, but some you will find is outside convention.

Below is the first 60 minute time frame trading quadrant set in to the chart. The diagonal dotted lines will act as intra-day support and resistance when trading interacts. The red circle is the technical time and price target – but it is only a target – price will often fail the target – but more often than not trend toward it. The upper resistance decision on this chart is in the 241.33 – .50 range as with previous price extension pricing.

These “quadrants” can be used on various time frames and will be invaluable when you learn how to use them for trade on different time frames.

Also the horizontal Fib lines naturally act as support and resistance.

Our oil algo uses these quadrants primarily on the 30 minute chart.

So in the next report we will start to add in these quadrants on shorter time frames and build out the quadrant map so to speak. Then the next report after that we will work with various price extensions, algo targets, intra-day trading quadrants and time / price cycles.

If you review an EPIC the OIL chart you will see these quadrants in action.

For now, I am going to leave it here.

I have left recent report notes and charts below also for context.

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart, 60 Min

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Per Previous Reporting (for context)

New Charting

Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.

Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).

Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.

Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.

Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.

If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.

So what does this mean going forward?

Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.

This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.

So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.

If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).

Reporting Rotation, Futures, $ES_F, $VIX, 24 Hour Trading Room

The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’

  • The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
  • The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
  • New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.

So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out

This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.

So bear with us for just a few days here…

Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.

Live Charts

When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.

Simple Charts

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/ROD7Pvvd-15-Min-Price-above-with-100-MA-to-breach-200-MA-SQZMOM-red-but/

Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/NGupBbKi-Hourly-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trending-up-M/

The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.

$SPY, Hourly

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/BKemGzVf-Daily-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trend-down-gree/

As with above, the indicators are indecisive on daily. Most important consideration would be the Stoch RSI trending down.

$SPY, Daily

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2jPsid8T-Weekly-Indecision-Price-extended-well-above-200-MA-SQZMOM-tr/

Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.

$SPY, Weekly, Chart

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

18
May 2017
$USOIL, $WTI, #OIL

EPIC Oil Algorithm. Charting Thur May 18 FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Thursday May 18, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

EPIC Oil Algorithm. Charting Thur May 18 FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Thursday May 18, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many wo’t have had access to especially those emails for context. So it is a bulky report below.

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday May 18, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/HetBoXlr-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-18-2017-422-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.

Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link): In other words, the general public (non members) won’t be able to access any of the charting at all soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/QTsHJiyV/

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

$USOIL, $WTI, #OIL

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trade notes for May 18, 2017

Above is the EPIC midday review on video. For today’s report please review. It explains current trade (in context with more detail below from recent posts and emails).

Below I have pasted some recent emails to members for context for new members.

Also below I have left recent posts in for context.

Bottom line is you have main support and resistance and thick horizontal grey lines – our traders primarily trade short and long off those.

On a tighter timeframe (in between grey lines) our traders use the channels as points to short and long – they are represent as orange dotted lines.

And on even tighter timeframes our traders use the horizontal fib lines etc on the charting as support and resistance.

The algo targets in red circles are simply an added signal. Remember FRIDAY TARGETS are not predictable relative to Tuesday and Wednesday’s.

The other signal that is important are the time price clusters that are significant, however, there is not one that is significant near current trade.

The levels are discussed in recent posts for support and resistance areas.

Below is the other recent data.

Tue, May 16, 2017 7:16 pm

Evening,

A quick intra report for crude trade.

Trade returned to the previous channel as we expected it would. There is now a choice for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. The two are marked with thick dotted orange lines. Be sure you understand the channels and if not ask. They are support and resistance.

Speaking of support, not far below is your most important support (the thick grey horizontal line) and the yellow line right under it (review last 3 or 4 posts if you do not know). That is your primary support and the channel walls (orange are secondary to that). Our traders will trade off both or either.

Wed morning 10:30 report will be key to whether oil trade holds the lower support (grey line) or does not. If it does not hold the grey line and yellow line our traders will be short. If it does our traders will be long with a short term bias toward down.

Also very important, Wednesday mid day chart review time in the trading room will be dedicated to EPIC the Oil algorithm and associated trade – it will be a detailed webinar. If you cannot be in the room the trading room is recorded daily and you can get the raw footage on the YouTube channel for the day and review.

Also, the lower target was hit dead center today.

Attached static chart.

Live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/0p1SOJt8-Downward-and-upward-channel-choices-orange-lines-outside-channe/

Thank you.

Tue, May 16, 2017 2:17 am

Good morning

An intra week update and complete report this evening:

Attached are three static charts and below the updated live chart link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/EztCXIEQ-New-channel-if-trade-stays-in-new-range-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm/

The attached static charts show the new upward trading channel if trade stays in new range (and upward). Also shown is the previous upward trending channel if trade returns to that range. New targets are shown for the new upward trading channel if channel is confirmed. Upper resistance that our traders will short at is 50.98 the grey line. Intra day our traders will trade the channel trade is in.

Any questions, as usual let me know.

Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 will tell us everything we need to know going forward at least near term.

Thanks

Curtis

Crude is above light resistance but still below 200 MA and under significant resistance.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/E1C7G0wh-Crude-Oil-Test-under-200-MA-over-simple-light-TL-resistance/

Notes that Correspond With Static Charts Below

Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.

At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.

Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.

Saudi Arabia, Russia agree oil output cuts until March 2018

The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.

The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.

The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.

OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.

There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.

The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Crude oil testing 200 MA https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GZZmnoe6-Crude-Oil-Test-200-MA-over-simple-TL-resistance-USOIL-WTI/

$USOIL, $WTI, Oil

Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci

18
May 2017
$XGTI, Trading, Results

Post-Market Wed May 17 $SPY, $USOIL, $WTIC, EPIC Oil Algo, Swing Trades, $NFLX, $LIT, $ATHM

Compound Trading Wednesday May 17, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and

Post-Market Wed May 17 $SPY, $USOIL, $WTIC, EPIC Oil Algo, Swing Trades, $NFLX, $LIT, $ATHM

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Wednesday May 17, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and Live Alerts. $SPY, $USOIL, $WTIC, EPIC Oil Algo, Swing Trades, $NFLX, $LIT, $ATHM – $LIGA, $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc …

Intro:

Compound Trading is a trading group active in day trading, swing trading and algorithmic model charting (black box).

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat not applicable is deleted from transcript below but raw video footage is as it occurred – uncut). Chat trade room is recorded daily for trade archive (embedded below and available on our YouTube channel).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators we are looking for in and out off each trade. Typically at market open and for chart review during lunch hour at minimum) and has live chart screen sharing right from our monitors. At times guest traders and associate traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Special Mid Day Chart Review in Trading Room on Wednesday – Limited Spots

Update: I received a lot of great feedback on our algorithmic modeling from people that seen the EPIC the Oil Algo charting for the first time Wednesday. I am used to it from our regular members but it was refreshing in a way to see the reaction that “newbies” had to the model. Yup, Epic is Epic. Anyway, feedback was awesome and we appreciate that! Also, the trading room raw footage below will have the webinar in it that occurred between 12 – 1 ET Wednesday – Sartaj will be posting the webinar only portion at come point on YouTube but he’s been very busy so I’m not sure when I guess is my point. The next public access EPIC webinar will be next week Wedneday at 10:00 AM this time.

A few quick updates: First, thanks to all that attended the @EPICtheAlgo Oil Trade Algorithm review at noon! $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT

Update: With the market being soft lately I’m not off to a great start – but a correction honestly would make it easier – we’ll see.

Complete $SPY S&P 500 Algorithm Rolls-Out this Week. A New Milestone at Compound Trading. #premarket $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

Update: We are on schedule here and the complete model will be assembled his weekend and released Sunday night for next week. Then I think Gold is next (it will take less than two weeks to publish it in whole as the math is complete on it also. Actually the math is complete and tested on five of six of the algorithms so they will all be published in whole very shortly now). $SPY will be getting it’s own 24 hour trading room also – not sure when, but $SPY and Gold will get their own 24 hour trading rooms like EPIC sometime before end of 2017.

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

Update: Just for those that have asked, the near future posts coming for Freedom Traders series focuses on trading disciplines and technical set-ups that many have asked for. I’m actually going to try and write a book this Christmas consolidating it all (see mid day chart reviews on our YouTube channel and that will give you some insight as to direction – although the series will cover so much more). At minimum we’ll consolidate it in to a training seminar series with video set etc to make it easy for new traders and more experienced alike I suppose to digest it all.

Last market trading session Post Market Stock Trading Results can be found here:

Stock Trading Results Tues May 17 $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY

Most recent Premarket Trading Plan Watch-list can be found here (locked to respect members and unlocked to public about a week later for transparency): 

Protected: PreMarket Trading Plan Wed May 17 $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK, $SSYS, $USOIL, $WTI

Please note, for the next while, you will have to review the raw trading room footage (vs. snippet footage) to catch Premarket Chart Set-Ups, Market Open Trades, Intra-day Trades and Mid Day Chart Set Ups. Our staff time are being utilized up for other components of the platform and we also are producing the high quality learning library for our premium members. Once done, we’ll return to publishing the segments daily.

Most Recent Public Swing Trading K.I.S.S Simple Charting can be found here: Swing Trading Simple Charts (Public) Apr 16 $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTIC, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, $USDJPY, #GOLD, #SILVER

Premarket Session: 

Premarket momo $RRGB $CBIO $XGTI $SNDX $JACK

$XGTI Premarket up 6% $CBIO action too premarket

Market Day, Chat Room Trades and Personal Trades:

I didn’t take a morning momentum trade, then we did the mid day review and the theme was hosted by EPIC the Oil Algo (went very well btw) and then I got caught up in conference calls and meetings for the afternoon. It is looking like more and more as our platform grows up that my afternoons may be more and more about managing the business and not as much in the trade room. Yet to be seen as I enjoy trading so much more of course:) Oh and on the swing trading side I had a tonne of babysitting there to do with our positions. 

And the markets $SPY and friends got wacked! Wow our $SPY algorithm was so spot on with that upper resistance area. Invaluable.

Last 3 or 4 opens have been tough for momos… I thought maybe just maybe it was me… but even the market open momos knew something.

Learning How-to Trade Stocks, Chart Set-Ups, Lessons and Educational:

What a great community!

Mid day chart set-ups working with $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO, $VIPS and more… (This post is from Monday’s session not Tuesday’s as we had a technical issue Tuesday and Wednesday we did the Oil carting review with EPIC)

If there’s anything I can do to help with your trading drop me a line on contact page or DM https://compoundtrading.com/contact/ #howto #trade #stocks

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:

Been holding these small bags wayyyy tooo long. I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size – under 5% of my daytrading acounts) – $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Momentum Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
SNDX 13.58 44.62% 4268918 Top Gainers
CETX 3.94 25.08% 15280617 Top Gainers
RRGB 71.40 23.10% 4776909 Top Gainers
PULM 2.77 18.88% 5493631 Top Gainers
GRVY 19.65 17.31% 37925 Top Gainers
PBYI 36.25 13.46% 2034196 Top Gainers
RRGB 71.40 23.10% 4776909 New High
QIWI 21.02 5.73% 1969601 New High
CYOU 34.86 10.63% 866481 New High
GPRK 8.14 1.88% 308586 New High
NURO 4.05 -0.74% 46957 Overbought
TTEC 38.60 1.05% 196188 Overbought
BICK 26.07 -0.10% 411548 Unusual Volume
LALT 21.87 -0.74% 46100 Unusual Volume
EMCR 20.08 1.29% 14138 Unusual Volume
SPMO 28.34 -3.43% 42509 Unusual Volume
BCS 10.68 -2.38% 4992323 Upgrades
AEO 11.05 -14.74% 28417021 Earnings Before
BTX 2.98 -7.74% 540810 Insider Buying


Algorithm Charting News (Artificial Intelligence, Intelligent Assistants, Big Data and More):

??Price target hit perfect yesterday. Trade on way to today’s target call. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT

? Tues 430 direct algo target hit. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Complete $SPY S&P 500 Algorithm Rolls-Out this Week. A New Milestone at Compound Trading. #premarket $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Swing Trading Notes / News / Chart Set-ups:

Weekly Swing Trading Updates Mon May 15 $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AGN,… #swingtrading #premarket

$AUPH If price stays in the white triangle it remains bullish imo – if it doesn’t it will potentially come under pressure. Basic model.

$ATHM Weekly Stoch RSI turn up near top, MACD turn up, SQZMOM up, Vol up, Post earnings, 50 MA near 100 MA breach. #swingtrading

$NFLX Swing trade going well. Trading 158.50 from 148.80 entry. #swingtrading

$LIT Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily flashing bullish. #swingtrading

The Swing Trading Twitter feed is here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

NA

Gold $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GC_F :

Funds cut #gold net-long by the most since October in wk to May 9. Only long liquidation with gross-short staying unchanged

Gold Miner’s $GDX:

NA

Silver $SLV:

#Silver has been particularly hard hit during the past month with the net-long slumping from a record to a 15-month low

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

WTI speculative accounts decreased long by -$2.5bn to $5.3bn leading unwind in commodity complex

Volatility $VIX:

When $VIX gains 30% or more in a single trading session….80% of the time it gets obliterated T+20 days.

So I’m saying there’s a chance.

$SPY S&P 500 / $SPX:

I wondered why I was starting to look at more weekly charts vs daily charts with our swing trading platform recently. I get it. #perspective

Markets Looking Forward:

After-hours buzz: ASNA, CSCO & more –

 

Live Trading Chat Room Video Raw Footage and Transcript:

Two Part video (Part 1 embed is below and go to Compound Trading Youtube channel for Part 2 of live feed from day and other charting from the day).

@EPICtheAlgo Midday Oil Trade Chart Setup Review: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix. Also, please note, sometimes pieces of the transcript are missing (also something we are working on). But the video is raw and complete.

Curt M: xPremarket momo $RRGB $CBIO $XGTI $SNDX $JACK
Curt M: $BEBE -29%, $BZUN -14%, $CNCE -10%,
Cara: $CETX on the move also
Curt M: Letting premarket set up a bit here – not enough yet for a decent premarket review – I’ll check back 9:15. Running scans.
Market Maven: gm
Flash G: hi mm
Tradergirl: gm
quarryrock: good am
Gwen: morn
Tradergirl: ur having great one hh and q, I missed the metals boat rats 🙁
quarryrock: thanks i have some GDX that looks good for today!
Shafique: lucky guy
Shafique: or skill:)
Tradergirl: woot shld do great
quarryrock: i like $CSCO for a scalp on a dip today
quarryrock: watching it
Shafique: Dems think they got Trump by the curlies I guess
quarryrock: options are priced off the $34.50 so if we see $30 im going in – big IF
Cara: $AMZN going after pharma soon they say
Curt M: Be on in 5 ish – another mellow premarket
quarryrock: sorry typo $34
Curt M: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/864692190953472001
Curt M: Thats just a link re: noon session
Curt M: On mic in 2 mins>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 9:23
Hedgehog Trader: i love Gartman
Hedgehog Trader: so, oil ripper then
Hedgehog Trader: among miners: $MUX 16% short position
Hedgehog Trader: could really smoke
Hedgehog Trader: silver up 14c
Hedgehog Trader: for silver, look at $EXK $AG $HL
Tradergirl: garts has been better as of late though
Tradergirl: better than SLV hh
Shafique: $CVU CPI Aerostructures Announces First Delivery of F-35 Lock Assemblies
Hedgehog Trader: miners typically have more leverage than the physical during rallies
Hedgehog Trader: and they tend to turn before the physical does- so their strength or weakness is a leading indicator for gold or silver
Tradergirl: super good to know thx hh. think we might see index btfdipping
quarryrock: long $CSCO $34 even
Shafique: $CETX should cfind follow though
Cara: $SBOW resumed trade
Shafique: $PULM poppin
quarryrock: $AMAT PT raised to $51 from $44 ahead of earnings 16% upside UBS
Market Maven: Long $CETX 4.43
Market Maven: See if I can get a break out
quarryrock: said no options this week but couldnt help myself. BTO $BABA $125 Cs $2.02 will not hold over the ER however – even though im bullish
Cara: TRUMP ADMINISTRATION TO RENEW SANCTIONS WAIVERS ON #IRAN ON WEDNESDAY, U.S. OFFICIALS TELL REUTERS
Kerry: another soft open… I think Curts right about focusing on swings going in to summer
quarryrock: $BABA working beautifully
Cal: nspr
Curt M: Oil report in 6 mins>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Hedgehog Trader: $THM moving
Hedgehog Trader: $WBMD
quarryrock: they are pushing $AMAT down hard. on scalp watch ahead of the ER
Cara: $GS -3.05%
quarryrock: long $AMAT 43.74
Shafique: unreal
sbrasel: quarryrock what is your exit target on $AMAT? i am in also
Glenn: Gold having a great day and likely continue strong for a while imo
quarryrock: bought $UVXY $13.50 Puts
quarryrock: .69
Curt M: #Oil rallies as inventories drop despite jump in imports as refinery demand picks up. Production shows first decline in 3 months. #OOTT
Sandy: $TEVA long
Curt M: $TCI halt
Hedgehog Trader: keep an eye on $NAK, Curt, lots of short 7.6 days to cover
Curt M: K
Edw: taking coffee till noon zzzz
Curt M: Back in 45 min for mid day chart review>>>>>>>
quarryrock: for $AMAT my exit is $44.50
quarryrock: will be interesting to see how mkt trades near the close
sbrasel: $uslv falling hard
quarryrock: yep! never fails
quarryrock: IWM looks terrible though so today is an ugly one
Edw: interesting day 4 sure
quarryrock: in ready for UVXY to tank and me to bank! lol
sbrasel: Curt Hold or Dump $USLV ??
Curt M: Silver is a sell on the hour and indecisive or a buy on every other time frame
Tradergirl: qr have tiny vol runner left, eod will be telling for broad mkts, either way here imho
Tradergirl: sound messy kk
Tom: how do we join ?
coleman: any tips on confirming when a “decision” has been made?
coleman: trade tagged the upward sloping channel as well, just fyi
coleman: thx Curt
Geert: thanx. nice info. makes me thinking
Shafique: thanks boss
Curt M: No prob
Curt M: Getting ready for afternoon session now – back in 30 mins for afternoon>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Market Maven: not too many set ups for the afternoon yet
Market Maven: Curt your going to have to expande the room allowable size I had a few peeps say they couldn’t get in 🙂
Curt M: Ya we’ve had a few today so we’re going to do that:)
Sandy: oils trying to get thru there but…. I don’t think so… if it does not for long
Sandy: I tooks your $SNDX alert yesterday Curt … good call on that btw
Kerry: i did too but small small size
Cal: time to buy the market long again soon me think
Cal: i didn’t see an alert on $SNDX??
Kerry: It was on the premarket newsletter as a chart to watch with a Golden Cross
Cal: completely missed it
Market Maven: Curt’s taking conference call that’s scheduled to be complete by 1:45 and then scheduled in room this afternoon FYI for those that need to know.
Sandy: So if oil traded below that lower support the thick silver line would there already be next main support on chart? Anyone know?
Flash G: I can answer that Sandy. Yes. It’s on the chart right now. On mine if I scroll down.
Flash G: I’m going for a scotch be back in 10 minutes.
Sandy: thats cool
Sandy: so i think I’ll short I can;t wait
Sandy: see its going down
Sandy: working so far
quarryrock: wow nothing to like today. looks like fear got people hedging SPX
Sandy: yup
Kerry: ok lets get a play”+
gary y: on the 30 min oil, the bar that just closed is a reversal bar
gary y: made a higher hi than the previous bar and closed on the low
gary y: a favorite entry of mine with a stop just above middle of the bar
quarryrock: pretty shocking when the QQQ gets hit this hard in a day

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Article Topics: $SPY, $USOIL, $WTIC, EPIC Oil Algo, Swing Trades, $NFLX, $LIT, $ATHM – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Learning, How To, Trade, Trading, Educational, Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

17
May 2017
$XGTI. premarket, trading, plan

PreMarket Trading Plan Wed May 17 $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK, $SSYS, $USOIL, $WTI

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Wednesday May 17, 2017; $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK –

PreMarket Trading Plan Wed May 17 $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK, $SSYS, $USOIL, $WTI

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Wednesday May 17, 2017; $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Wed 12:00 Mid Day Review | Current Trade in Oil hosted by Epic Oil Algo. Public Welcome $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #OOTT

Live Alerts for Swing Trading Service Registrants and Day Trading side are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of that I spoke to myself are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that choose that.

Two Week Trading Challenge is Over (34% vs. double up) and I Started a New One Monday. This time the trading challenge is six months.

Likely it now for two week 20k double small account trading challenge +6772.00. No double but 30%+ is okay ROI #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $XGTI, $CBIO, $JACK

Bias toward / on watch: 

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending sideways but also toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX some life. $SLV Getting some lift here. $USOIL, $WTI came off and out of channel it was in as I suspected it would. $DXY is testing critical support area again and $VIX is in lowest range in decades.

OTC on watch:Randoms I’ve noticed over last few weeks… $PGPM, $BRNE, $ELED, $PVCT, $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH, $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $XGTI $SSYS 

Stocks with News: $BMY, $JACK

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of day trading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO Golden Cross, $VIPS – We are working on these and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to Youtube of each trading day.

$XGTI. premarket, trading, plan

$XGTI Premarket up 6% $CBIO action too premarket

$LIT Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily flashing bullish. #swingtrading

$ATHM Weekly Stoch RSI turn up near top, MACD turn up, SQZMOM up, Vol up, Post earnings, 50 MA near 100 MA breach. #swingtrading

Market Outlook :

Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. And don’t forget our $SPY algo warned about recent highs.

Note to all of the FANG critics: Having AAPL lead the advance is NOT a bad thing. If AAPL were lagging, THAT would be bad.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

7am
MBA Mortgage Apps

10:30am
Petroleum Status Report

Both Jack in the Box and Red Robin surging after earnings. $JACK up 10% #premarket. $RRGB up 17%.

$BMY Health Canada Approves OPDIVO (nivolumab) for the Treatment of Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck

$QCOM $AAPL Qualcomm Files Breach of Contract Complaint against Apple’s Manufacturers for Non-Payment of Royalties

Target earnings: $1.21 a share, vs 91 cents EPS expected.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List :$RRGB 17%, $CBIO 11%, $JACK 9% $CHRS $QIWI $UVXY $TVIX $BDSI $TGT $XGTI $NUGT $JNUG $HMY $CLVS $VXX $CL $VIXY $TZA  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :  $SPY $XIV $LABU $JDST $DUST $DWT $AMD $NVDA $ABBV $AAOI $SVXY $DGAZ $ETSY $AEO $FAS $WFC $SQ $SNAP $GS $XLF $AKS $X $ESRX $P $DIS $TTD I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $WIN $COP $TS $CLVS $RIO $WWW $TJX $RRGB  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $DLR $MRO $AVB $FOXF $DIS $ETSY $WSR $SQ $AMD $SSYS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD

17
May 2017
$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart, 60 Min

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Wed May 17 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday May 17, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations Good morning! My

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Wed May 17 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday May 17, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Fibonacci Charting

Yesterday, we produced the first step in the new charting model that will be complete by Monday. If you missed the report yesterday please read it here first: Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Tues May 16 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

With algorithmic modeling and associated trading, we first “root” our trading in simple charts (as with the report yesterday) and then we move on to Fibonacci related work. Much of what we do with Fib work is conventional, but some you will find is outside convention.

Below is the first 60 minute time frame trading quadrant set in to the chart. The diagonal dotted lines will act as intra-day support and resistance when trading interacts. The red circle is the technical time and price target – but it is only a target – price will often fail the target – but more often than not trend toward it. The upper resistance decision on this chart is in the 241.33 – .50 range as with previous price extension pricing.

These “quadrants” can be used on various time frames and will be invaluable when you learn how to use them for trade on different time frames.

Also the horizontal Fib lines naturally act as support and resistance.

Our oil algo uses these quadrants primarily on the 30 minute chart.

So in the next report we will start to add in these quadrants on shorter time frames and build out the quadrant map so to speak. Then the next report after that we will work with various price extensions, algo targets, intra-day trading quadrants and time / price cycles.

If you review an EPIC the OIL chart you will see these quadrants in action.

For now, I am going to leave it here.

I have left recent report notes and charts below also for context.

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart, 60 Min

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Per Previous Reporting (for context)

New Charting

Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.

Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).

Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.

Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.

Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.

If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.

So what does this mean going forward?

Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.

This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.

So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.

If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).

Reporting Rotation, Futures, $ES_F, $VIX, 24 Hour Trading Room

The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’

  • The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
  • The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
  • New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.

So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out

This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.

So bear with us for just a few days here…

Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.

Live Charts

When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.

Simple Charts

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/ROD7Pvvd-15-Min-Price-above-with-100-MA-to-breach-200-MA-SQZMOM-red-but/

Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/NGupBbKi-Hourly-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trending-up-M/

The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.

$SPY, Hourly

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/BKemGzVf-Daily-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trend-down-gree/

As with above, the indicators are indecisive on daily. Most important consideration would be the Stoch RSI trending down.

$SPY, Daily

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2jPsid8T-Weekly-Indecision-Price-extended-well-above-200-MA-SQZMOM-tr/

Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.

$SPY, Weekly, Chart

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

17
May 2017
$MXIM, Chart

Weekly Swing Trading Stocks Wed May 17 $MXIM, $BABA, $LIT, $EXK, $ATHM, $BWA, $NFLX, $WYNN…

Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for the Week of May 15, 2017. $MXIM, $BABA,

Weekly Swing Trading Stocks Wed May 17 $MXIM, $BABA, $LIT, $EXK, $ATHM, $BWA, $NFLX, $WYNN…

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for the Week of May 15, 2017. $MXIM, $BABA, $LIT, $EXK, $ATHM, $BWA, $NFLX, $WYNN and more.

Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Important Service Upgrade Notice: This week we commence the live alert function of our platform for those registered. PLEASE BE AWARE that this will take a few days to fully integrate. Even when fully integrated we cannot guarantee every trade to be alerted (trading can be a busy endeavor and at times it just won’t be possible). To receive alerts be sure we have your email and you have followed our Twitter alert service at @SwingAlerts_CT. I know many have expressed interest in the email only, but the Twitter option is available going forward for those that prefer that. Please bear with us for a few days as we integrate and orientate ourselves to this new function in our daily routines.

This report is 2 of 3 reports weekly. 

You can expect the third report within in 24 hours of this report.

We will categorize our coverage soon because we are following more than we expected when we first started the service..

When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.

Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case rely heavily on MACD on daily or weekly (or Stoch RSI and Moving averages) but indicators we are basing our trade entry and exits on are listed with each trade so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade.

Intra-week you can always DM myself on Twitter or email with specific questions regarding trades you are considering for assistance. But it is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter or exit. If nothing else you can always book some coaching time and I’ll assist also (although we are at a point of waiting list for the coaching, at minimum you can get on list or for immediate help as I said please DM or email).

IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with deadlines or are trading.

Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.

Newer updates below in red for ease.

Stock Pick Coverage

$MXIM – MAXIM Integrated Products

Long $MXIM 46.94 range premarket 5:14 AM MAy 17, 2107. MACD crossed up, 20 MA thru 50 MA with price above. Confirmed break-out. Will hold likely until MACD turns down.

$MXIM, Chart

Long $MXIM 46.94 range premarket 5:14 AM MAy 17, 2107. MACD crossed up, 20 MA thru 50 MA with price above. Confirmed break-out. Will hold likely until MACD turns down.

$ATHM – AutoHome

May 17 – Trading 39.88. $ATHM Weekly Stoch RSI turn up near top, MACD turn up, SQZMOM up, Vol up, Post earnings, 50 MA near 100 MA breach. See daily notes below.

$ATHM, Swing Trade, Chart

$ATHM Weekly Stoch RSI turn up near top, MACD turn up, SQZMOM up, Vol up, Post earnings, 50 MA near 100 MA breach.

May 17 – $ATHM Even though on weekly it looks like a buy, on daily we are waiting for Stoch RSI to turn up at minimum.

$ATHM, Swing trading

$ATHM Even though on weekly it looks like a buy, on daily we are waiting for Stoch RSI to turn up at minimum.

May 9 – Every indicator is flashing a buy, except earnings are on deck and 20 MA has to breach 50 MA and we’re long.

$ATHM, Swing, Trade

$ATHM Every indicator is flashing a buy, except earnings are on deck and 20 MA has to breach 50 MA and we’re long.

$BWA – BorgWarner

May 17 – Trading 42.21. Resistance on weekly 48.10 (200 MA above) and 50 MA near crossing 100 MA. On daily indecision on MA’s – we’re watching.

May 9 – Waiting for 20 MA to breach the 100 ma (blue) and 50 ma (purple) with price above and MACD confirm.

$BWA, Chart

$BWA Waiting for 20 MA to brach the 100 ma (blue) and 50 ma (purple) with price above and MACD confirm.

$LIT  – Global Lithium

May 17 – Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily are flashing a buy. Very likely will enter long May 17 premarket.

$LIT, Swing, Trade, Chart

May 17 – Trading 29.43. MACD turned up last Friday and all indicators on weekly and daily are flashing a buy. Very likely will enter long May 17 premarket.

May 9 – Trading 28.55. Same.

May 3 – Trading 28.79. Watching for MACD and SQZMOM to turn up.

April 24 – Watching. Stoch RSI turned up at bottom and MACD trending down.

April 19 – MACD crossed down April 13. Closed 28.30 all shares.

April 10 – Trading 28.87 Holding.

April 5 – $LIT Alerted on March 27 report and went long 27.32 March 30 – long entry still intact as MACD is up, SQZMOM green or wait for pull back then enter. We expect this sector to stay hot – but if not in you may want to wait for STOCH RSI to cool and turn back up and go long.

$LIT, Stock, Pick, Swing, Trade

$LIT Alerted on March 27 report and went long 27.32 March 30 – long entry still intact as MACD is up, SQZMOM green or wait for pull back then enter.

$BA – Boeing

May 17 –  $BA Trading 182.70. Closed 183.82 when MACD turned down on daily May 11 from 180.06 entry 500 shares.

May 8 – $BA Boring Swing trade going well. Trading 186.13. Long 180.06. Holding. MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM all trending. #swingtrading

$BA Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BA/ba7cjyIj-May-8-BA-Boring-Swing-trade-going-well-Trading-186-13-Long/

$BA, Boing, Stock, Swing, TRade

May 8 – $BA Boeing Swing trade going well. Trading 186.13. Long 180.06. Holding. MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM all trending. #swingtrading

May 3 – Trading 183.13. Holding. MACD still trending up. Stoch RSI trending down so it is a tad overbought and likely to come off a bit so watching close.

April 24 – Long 180.06 500 share test April 21 because MACD turned up and SQZMOM turned green. Earnings on deck so very careful. May close before earnings and re-enter after.

April 19 – Watching. Waiting for MACD to cross up.

Apr 10, 2017 – Watching

April 5, 2017 – $BA Boeing – It’s early but increasing volume, Stoch RSI turn up, MACD turn up pinch, SQZMOM wait for it to turn green and POW

$BA Boeing live chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BA/9oB2G2vk-BA-Boeing-It-s-early-but-increasing-volume-Stoch-RSI-turn-up/

$BA, Boing, Swing, Trading

$BA Boeing – It’s early but increasing volume, Stoch RSI turn up, MACD turn up pinch, SQZMOM wait for it to turn green and POW

$EXK – EXK Silver Mining

May 17 – Trading 3.31 holding long 3.49 entry. MACD turned up again on 12th and Stoch RSI is at top and resistance at 3.64 ish on daily 100 MA. Waiting now for 20 MA to breach 50 MA on daily for possible add.

May 8 – Trading 2.88. Holding per below.

May 3 – Trading 2.92. Holding long 3.49 3000 shares. It isn’t like us to hold through a down draft, however it is trading at a recent low equivalent so we are watching closely.

Apr 24 – Trading 3.12. Holding long 3.49 3000 shares.

Apr 19 – Holding long 3.49. Trading 3.20. Stoch RSI almost at bottom and will watch close when Stoch RSI turns back up.

Apr 10 – Holding trading 3.45

Apr 5 – $EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 average cost basis April 4 3000 shares.

$EXK, Silver, stock, chart

$EXK Silver Mining SQZMOM turned green today, increasing volume, MACD up – may want to let it cool a bit before long. We are long at 3.49 April 4.

$BABA – Alibaba

May 17 – Trading 124.00. Every indicator on hourly, daily and weekly are still flashing buy, however, there has been no pullback to get an entry long. Watching.

May 8 – Trading 117.20. Same as below. Earnings nine days away also.

May 3 – Watching for it to cool off. Unfortunately we did miss some of the move. Waiting for MACD to trend down and catch it on its next turn up.

April 24 – Watching.

April 19 – Closed 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost avg 500 shares. Will allow MACD to return to bottom for re-entry.

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Closed trade at 111.40 at target from 104.64 cost average #swingtrading

April 10 – Hit 110.45, very near our 111.40 target. Holding, trading 109.34. Long 104.64.

April 4 – Holding long 500 shares from 104.64 now trading 108.17. It is testing all time highs and we may add on a break of all time highs. If it pulls back we may cut for a small profit. First price target is 111.40 (see below)

$BABA Live chart with indicators including that SQZMOM indicator – sweeet tool! https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BABA/Lbao9BVu-BABA-Swing-Trade-going-well-Our-Swing-Trading-side-is-in-at-10/

March 27 – We’re long 104.64 500 shares March 22 at test of 20 MA. Stop is at our entry and we are looking for a fresh break-out. However, the market sentiment is not great right now so we are unsure. There is an upside pivot at 111.38 we are watching for resistance should price continue up. Also watching MACD close.

$BABA, Swing, Trading

$BABA Swing trade

March 20 – Wait for MACD to turn up and confirm and stay long until MACD turns down. The Stoch RSI seems to be frontrunning the MACD fyi. $BABA is one of my favorites right now and I see a long entry early in the week.

$BABA Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GsGBi5f2-BABA-Daily-100-MA-50-MA-Cross-MACD-Pinch-SQZMOM-up-Stoch-RSI/

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$BABA, Swing, Trading, Chart

$BABA Daily 100 MA 50 MA Cross, MACD Pinch, SQZMOM up, Stoch RSI up. Wait for MACD for long. #swingtrading

$NFLX

May 17 – $NFLX Swing trade going well. Trading 158.50 from 148.80 entry. SQZMOM may turn down as with MACD and Stoch RSI truned down may exit soon and re-enter when indicators turn back up.

$NFLX, Hourly, Chart

$NFLX Swing trade going well. Trading 158.50 from 148.80 entry. SQZMOM may turn down as with MACD and Stoch RSI truned down may exit soon.

May 9 – $NFLX Swing trade going well. Long at 148.40 trading 156.08. SQZMOM and MACD trending but Stoch RSI may cool soon, vol decent. Will add per below.

$NFLX Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/rjcjiVBz-NFLX-Swing-trade-going-well-Long-at-148-40-trading-156-08-SQ/

$NFLX, Swing, Trade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/rjcjiVBz-NFLX-Swing-trade-going-well-Long-at-148-40-trading-156-08-SQ/

May 3 – April 25 148.40 Long 500 shares April 25 when MACD turned up per below. Trading 156.28. MACD trending up, SQZMOM trending up and Stoch RSI at top and may come off short term – so a short term turn down is possible here. Will likely re-add when STOCH RSI comes off and turns back up as long as MACD is trending up still and has room to top.

April 24 – Trading 142.87. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 143.75 – waiting for MACD to turn up.

April 10 – We closed flat 145.50. Trading 142.80. Waiting for MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM to turn green for entry long.

April 4 – March 29 we entered 145.50 500 shares when MACD turned up per watch trigger below. Stop is at flat at entry and we will re-enter if we have to. Will look at adding pending triggers – will advise.

$NFLX Live chart with indicators https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/ozKJQ8t4-NFLX-March-29-we-entered-swing-trade-145-50-when-MACD-turned-t/

March 27 – MACD has been flat or turned down since last post. Looking close at MACD turn up and entry this week.

March 20 – The only thing that concerns me is the price staying above approximately 145.05 as a low on any given day. I may also look for that in addition to indicators lists below. Same thing with this one, exit when MACD turning down. Chances are high I will enter long early week.

Live $NFLX Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/4RQP5P9P-NFLX-Daily-abover-20-MA-Stoch-RSI-Revved-MACD-turning-up-SQZMOM/

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation.

$NFLX, Swing Trading, Stocks

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation. #swingtrading

$GSIT

May 17 – Trading 7.91. All the indicators are indecisive. Waiting.

May 9 – Trading 7.40. See below.

May 3 – Trading 8.03. MACD pinching. Will enter long when MACD turns up AND be sure price is above moving averages and 20 MA is in fact over 50 MA. 20 50 100 200 all in order with price above in other words. Should be soon.

$GSIT Live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GSIT/MLQDlG9S-GSIT-MACD-pinch-Enter-long-when-MACD-turns-be-sure-price-above/

$GSIT, Swing, Trading, Chart

$GSIT MACD pinch. Enter long when MACD turns be sure price above MAs and 20 MA over 50 MA SQZMOM turned up and Kapow. #swingtrading

April 24 – Trading 7.96. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 7.63. MACD still trending down. Waiting for it to turn up.

April 10 – Trading 8.18, Stoch RSI curling up, waiting on MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – $GSIT finally cooling off and coming back to earth. Watching that MACD very close for a turn up (after it returns to bottom hopefully).

Mar 27 – Sure enough, it was on its way to the 20 MA this past week and stopped short and got some lift and closed Friday sitting on 8 ema. Will wait for it to line up.

Mar 20 – The reason I have this on the list is because as a break-out stock it is about as clean as they come, however, break out stocks come with risk. So you have two options (and shorting right now isn’t one), you can either wait for it to get near a 20 MA test and go long when other indicators line up or open a short time-frame chart and trade it. I will be waiting for the 20 MA test.

GSI Technology, Inc. to Present at the Global Predictive Analytics Conference http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gsi-technology-inc-present-global-173705866.html

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$GSIT, Chart, ,Swing, Trading

$GSIT in break-out. Daily Stoch RSI peaking, MACD near peak, SQZMOM near peak. Wait for 20 MA retest and MACD confirm for long.

$AXP

May 17 – Trading 78. Sitting on 200 MA on weekly. On daily price is under 20 and 50 MA with MACD turned down. Watching.

May 9 – Trading 78.27. Closed 78.74 May 4 when MACD crossed down from 78.01 long. We still like this stock so we are watching close for indicators to turn back up.

May 3 – Trading 79.54. Holding long while MACD trends up and price above entry and 20 MA is above 50 MA. Stoch RSI is coming off so we expect some downward pressure short term.

April 24 – Trading 79.63. Long 78.01 500 shares April 20 when MACD turned up. Watching for MACD, Stoch RSI to remain, and SQZMOM to turn green for possible add.

$AXP, Swing, Trading, Stock, Chart

$AXP Swing Trade Going Well. MACD turned up for long 78.01 test.

April 19 – Trading 75.50. MACD getting close to bottom. On watch for MACD cross up.

April 10 – Trading 77.77. Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – $AXP American Express. So close. SQZMOM about to turn, MACD cross on deck just need PTPTRR to line up. Need volume & power. #swingtrading $AXP Price Trigger Power Trade Risk Reward – PTPTRR #trading Over the Wall!

 

$AXP, Swing, Trading, Chart

$AXP American Express. So close. SQZMOM about to turn, MACD cross on deck just need PTPTRR to all line up. Need volume and power. #swingtrading

March 27 – MACD has turned down and SQZMOM is red and negative but Stoch RSI is starting to curl – waiting for that MACD to take an entry.

March 20 – This is a trend play. The only thing you have to do is manage your entry point and risk. Wait for indicators to confirm next leg up about to start and take long entry. When MACD turns down on daily that is your exit. I really like this one, especially because MA’s are all on right side (aligned) and trend reversal is in place.

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100 MA at min 50MA.

$AXP, Stock, Swing, Trade

$AXP Setting up for next possible leg up. Wait for MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI to turn up. Will likely test near 100MA at min 50MA.

$ABX – Barrick Gold

May 17 – Trading 17.14. On daily MACD is turned up, waiting on results of 20 MA test (happening now). On weekly MACD is turned down and would like to see that crossed up.

May 9 – Trading 16.26. See below.

May 3  – Trading 16.37. Watching. All indicators pointing down.

April 24 – Trading 19.25 watching. Earnings on deck.

April 19 – Trading 19.46. Indicator indecision. Waiting on clarity.

April 10 – Waiting on MACD and Stoch RSI to cross and turn up for long. SQZMOM is green now. Trading 19.09.

April 4 – $ABX Setting up nicely. Above 200 MA, wait for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and turn if possible, be sure SQZMOM green and MACD turns up and kapow. Some volume and power would help too.

$ABX, Swing Trading, Chart

$ABX Setting up nicely. Above 200 MA, wait for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and turn if possible, be sure SQZMOM green and MACD turns up and kapow. Some volume and power would help too.

March 27 – Very close now. SQZMOM just turned green, MA’s are starting to line up but not all yet, Stoch RSI is turned down at top of range so I would like to see it at bottom when we enter and the MACD is turned up. So we’re waiting for the MA’s to line up and the Stoch RSI to be near or at bottom curling up (ideally).

March 20 – I will enter a long when price above 20 50 100 200 MA’s and will likely wait for the 200 MA to cross 100 MA (although not absolute). Like with all others I will exit when MACD turns down.

Freeport a better buy? https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/03/18/better-buy-freeport-mcmoran-inc-vs-barrick-gold.aspx

Inflation may send Gold higher. http://ir.baystreet.ca/article.aspx?id=528&1489764218

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$ABX, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ABX Daily MACD turning up, Stoch RSI way up, price on 20 MA, SQZMOM needs to confirm, 200 MA 100 MA cross would help with price above.

$TAN

May 17 – Trading 18.20. MACD on daily is just barely crossed up and other indicators are still indecisive. Going to let it play out some.

May 9 – Trading 17.84. Waiting for 20 MA to breach 50 MA now – CLOSE!

May 3 – Trading 17.67. $TAN Watching MACD turned up price over 20 MA SQZMOM green. Need price over 50 MA with 20 MA breach 50 MA.

$TAN Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TAN/7JpW1gSP-TAN-Watching-MACD-turned-up-price-over-20-MA-SQZMOM-green-Need/

This is one of those where we are early. In other words the price isn’t above all MA’s yet. So one could take the trade as long as MACD is up and preferably long entry timed when 20 MA is about to breach 50 MA and price is above. But watch out for the 200 MA above.

$TAN, Chart, Swing, Trade

$TAN Watching MACD turned up price over 20 MA SQZMOM green. Need price over 50 MA with 20 MA breach 50 MA.

April 24 – Trading 17.04. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 17.39. This one is getting close. Stoch RSI has to come off and then turn up. SQZMOM is almost green and MACD cross up. When those line up we will take a long position.

April 10 – Trading 17.20, Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch.  Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to confirm green for long.

April 4 – NA

Mar 27 – $TAN chart is now “broken” and price is on its way to the lower pivot around 16.44. All indicators are pointing to down. It closed Friday at 17.29. So we will keenly watch it as it nears the lower pivot and see if the indicators line up for a long trade. If it lost lower pivot  we may even consider a short side entry pending indicators.

Mar 20 – Nice reversal play if it turns out. In addition to below watch the 200 MA as resistance if you go long.

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

TAN, Swing, Trade, Stocks

$TAN Reversal Play. Daily MACD needs to turn up, Stoch RSI is up, SQZMOM needs to turn up. 100 MA about to cross 50 MA – bullish.

$VRX

May 17 – $VRX Early stages of possible bottom bounce. SQMOM green, 20 MA about to breach 50 MA price still under 200 MA, MACD up. We may trade this more as a daytrade . swingtrade until it firms above 200 MA.

$VRX Chart

$VRX Early stages of possible bottom bounce. SQMOM green, 20 MA about to breach 50 MA price still under 200 MA, MACD up

May 9 – Trading 9.77. See below.

May 3 – Trading 10.50. MACD is turned up and the SQZMOM has not confirmed green. Earnings in six days so watch for that. The MA’s are exactly like the $TAN scenario above so the same rules apply. We are not entering yet but may at any second. Again it is an early trade because you want price above the 200 MA and 20 MA to breach 20 MA that is perfect timing (with MACD trending up). But many people take these early at this point. Refer to considerations noted above with $TAN also. Same set-up.

April 24 – Trading 8.51 Watching.

April 19 – Trading 8.95. Not ready.

Apr 10 – Waiting on Stoch RSI to curl up, MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to confirm green for long.

April 4 – I thought I’d run a poll on my Twitter feed to help us with this one.

$VRX Premarket up 1%. MACD cross flat… is this the bottom?

$VRX, Premarket

$VRX Premarket up 1%. MACD cross flat… is this the bottom

$VRX Premarket live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VRX/F7bVqHl7-VRX-Premarket-up-1-MACD-cross-flat-could-this-be-bottom/

March 27 – $VRX continues stepping down on the chart… per below, really important to wait for all the indicators to line up. So we remain patient and watch.

March 20 – This was looking like it was going to curl up last week and bounce but it failed. A great example of carefully watching a falling knife indicators before taking a long position. Use patience and when all indicators in play take a long.

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$VRX, Swing Trade, Bottom Play

$VRX Bottom Play. Daily MACD needs to turn, Stoch RSI turning up, SQZMOM needs to turn then as MA cross-overs occur it will strengthen.

$TWLO

May 17 –  Trading 24.53. Waiting on MACD turn cross up on daily before anything.

May 9 – Trading 23.50. See below. Not ready.

May 3 – Trading 23.70. Closed 33.57 1000 shares before earnings on a 29.60 buy. Never hold through earnings unless you are unusually confident (yes we did recently with $GOOGL and $AMZN but very unusual for us to do that). Anyway, watching now. Downdraft was intense from forward guidance.

April 24 – Trading 30.82. Holding 1000 shares 29.60.

April 19 – Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 1000 shares.

$TWLO, Swing, Trading

$TWLO Swing Trade going well. Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 tight stop.

April 10 – Trading 28.40. Stoch RSI curling up, waiting on MACD cross and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 4 – No change.

March 27 – Price failed when it had to poke through 100 MA and continue – it failed and is on its way (possibly) to the previous low. So here, as with $VRX we employ patience – but get ready because the long in this one will be decent. Use the indicators noted below.

March 20 – Looks like bottom may be in. It is trending up. Looking for 100 MA to cross down under 20 MA (pinching now) and price to trade above 20 MA for long. Be sure to wait for MACD to confirm also first.

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$TWLO, Swing Trading

$TWLO Bottom Play on Watch. 100 MA needs to cross 20 MA with price over them. Stoch RSI pinch, MACD pinch, SQMOM turning up not green.

$WYNN

May 17 – Trading 126.91 coming up on underside of 200 MA test on weekly. MACD on daily is about to cross up. Will wait for MACD on daily and assess.

May 9 – Stopped flat on May 5, 2017. Watching SQZMOM, Stoch RSI, MACD, volume indicators now for a turn.

May 3 – Trading 125.55. Long 122.56 April 25 when MACD turned up (per below) and watching for continuation in MACD and price. Will exit if MACD turns down or price hits our entry. We may even add. It looks good.

April 24 – Trading 114.89. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 115.95. MACD trending down. Waiting for bottom and turn up. It has a ways to go.

April 10 – Closed 500 shares Friday 117.20. Trading 116.50. Watching MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM for reset at bottom and turn for re-entry.

April 4 – We triggered a stop at flat March 27 and had a re-entry at 111.04 when we looked at it again for 500 shares. Currently trading at 116.00 and we are watching MACD.  Which is currently at top. We may exit as MACD turns down and re-enter when MACD turns back up. Alternatively we may ride the MACD turn down as long as our original entry isn’t triggered as stop and when MACD turns back up add to position. Both are valid and we are undecided.

March 26 – We took a long position at 110.93 for 500 share start on March 21. HOWEVER, we have a stop at our entry price (due to current market sentiment) and it is currently trading at 111.92. Careful with this one.

March 20 – This isn’t easy to swing but is so hot it would be foolish to ignore, so discipline like with so many other plays in the current market is required. Seeing it hold 110.00 for a full day with indicators in line would put me in a long position.

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$WYNN, Swing, Trade

$WYNN 200 MA needs to cross 100 MA, trade over 110 full day. Stoch RSI peaking, MACD up, SQMOM up.

$XME

May 17 – Trading 29.32 MACD on weekly is down and price on Daily is under MA’s. Waiting on 20 MA to cross up and price to be above.

May 9 – Trading 28.73. See below.

May 3 – Trading 29.71. Watching for MACD to turn up. Currently pinched.

April 24 – Trading 29.79. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 29.48. Close flat 30.59 on the 12th. Testing 200 MA now. Watching for Stoch RSI to turn up, MACD to turn up and SQZMOM to turn green for long.

April 10 – Trading 30.84 holding. Long at 30.59. Tight stop.

April 5 – We opened a tight long position (so stop will be tight because you can always re-enter and metals charts still have to confirm so we are a tad early here) long 30.59 500 shares will add if it confirms and will cut bait if it comes off at most 2% and re-enter. Indicators look good BUT we are early. Use caution until metals etc confirm.

$XME Live trading chart with indicators listed. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XME/lkPWMXSp-XME-Metals-and-Mining-ETF-Above-21-ema-8-ema-20-MA-200-MA-MACD/ #swingtrading

$XME, Swing, Trading, Alerts

$XME Metals and Mining ETF Above 21 ema 8 ema 20 MA 200 MA MACD turned up SQZMOM turned green today

March 27 – Price action has been poor since last report, the 200 MA is just below price now so we are going to see if the indicators line up for a bounce long position.

March 20 – MACD is pinching and about to turn up, also waiting for price above 20 MA. This is a great looking chart and an argument could be made that a long position before everything lines up as I noted is sound. It’s a great looking chart because MACD is bottom (for clarity), so when it turns if all other indicators look good there should be room for a decent trade. Caution should be noted that now after having gone through a number of charts this evening the market is at a decision so any swing trades should be considered at length and stops should be tight IMO.

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$XME, Swing Trading

$XME Daily MACD pinching, SQZMOM starting to turn, Stoch RSI peaking, Price needs 20 MA

$URRE

May 17 – Trading 1.56. Watching.

May 9 – Trading 1.57. Waiting on MACD, SQZMOM to turn up, price to be above 20 MA and 20 MA to breach 50 MA. It is a ways away.

May 3 – Trading 1.68. Watching.

April 24 – Trading 1.84. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 1.94. Watching. Indicator indecision.

Apr 10 – No change.

April 5 – $URRE isn’t as close to a buy as $XME above, HOWEVER, the SQZMOM did signal green today and the MACD is slightly turning up! So it is on HIGH WATCH now!

March 27 – Almost a replay from last week (the indicators), so we remain patient and watch.

March 20 – Like so many of the charts this week, there is indecision. However, if the indicators line up this has excellent upside potential. The MACD pinching at the bottom is key IMO.

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

$URRE, Swing Trading

$URRE Daily MACD pinching at bottom, Stoch RSI turn up, SQZMOM needs green, price needs 20 MA.

Others on watch but not ready to report charting:

$RIG

May 17 – Trading 10.69. Watching.

May 9 – Trading 11.14 – SQZMOM trending up but red, MACD about to cross up, volume is up all after earnings. Waiting on price to be above 20 MA and breach 50 MA. Interesting action now (moderately positive) since earnings.

May 3 – Trading 10.60. Watching.

April 24 – Trading 11.24. Watching.

April 19 – Watching.

Apr 10 – No Change. Trading 12.50.

April 5, 2017 – $RIG Sooo close. MACD up, SQZMOM about to turn GR, wedged, needs increasing volume and break-out confirmation for a long.

 

$RIG, Chart

$RIG Sooo close. MACD up, SQZMOM about to turn GR, wedged, needs increasing volume and break-out confirmation for a long.

March 27 – It is holding its 200 MA like a trooper, but I want to see it at least be over 20 MA and other indicators to line up.

March 20 – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Above 200 day but needs to trade above 20 MA for long.

$XLE

May 17 – Watching.

May 9 – Trading 67.79. Similar action to $RIG above. Watching.

May 3 – Trading 67.31. Watching.

April 24 – Trading 67.79. Watching.

April 19 – Watching

April 10 – No change.

April 5 – $XLE chart is very similar to $RIG and others in this space, HOWEVER, it is still under 200 MA. On watch for break of 200 MA.

March 27 – The 50 has crossed the 100 and the 20 the 200 to downside – this is very bearish in the near term. Watching. It does qualify as a short and best when MACD at top turning down and Stoch RSI at top turning down with confirmation of price action and MA’s.

 

March 20 – MACD pinching, watching for it to turn up, Needs 200 day and to trade above 20 MA for long or it becomes a short.

$SLX – Vaneck Vectors Steel

May 17 – Just regained its 200 MA, MACD crossed up Stoch RSI trending up. Waiting on 20 MA to breach 50 MA with price above.

May 9 – trading 36.16. All indicators are indecisive. Watching.

May 3 – Trading 38.16. Sitting on 200 MA. MACD is turned up but all moving averages above price and SQZMOM not green so we are waiting.

April 24 – Trading 37.55. On close watch.

April 19 – At 200 MA support test now. Watching indicators closely.

April 10 – No change. Trading 39.90.

April 5 – $SLX On watch for SQZMOM to turn green and MACD to turn up. Close.

$SLX, watch, chart

$SLX On watch for SQZMOM to turn green and MACD to turn up. Close.

March 27 – As with $XLE above this also qualifies as a short (pending short term indicators lining up when you take the position). Price lost the 100 MA and the indicators are negative – very bearish. Watching.

March 20 – MACD is pinching on the turn back up – waiting for it to turn up and 45.50 to hold for one day to confirm break out. Or, on downdraft I would look at a 100 MA long entry also.

$X – United States Steel Corp.

May 17 – Watching as with above.

May 9 – Trading 21.32. As below watching. Indicators are not flashing long at all.

May 3 – Trading 21.92 Watching.

April 24 – Trading 30.10. On close watch. Earnings on deck. MACD needs to turn up.

April 19 – Trading 28.65. At 200 MA support test. As above watching indicators closely.

April 10 – Trading 34.40 premarket Monday. ON HIGH WATCH MACD about to cross up.

April 5 – Same as $SLX indicators above. Very close now.

March 27 – The $X trade is almost identical to $SLX above. Waiting.

March 20 – This one is riskier than most on this list, however, I am watching the MACD for a turn up for a possible long.

$AKS – Iron Steel Mills Foundry

May 17 – Watching.

May 9 – As with $X above.

May 4 – Trading 6.21 Watching.

April 24 – Trading 6.72. On close watch. MACD pinching up.

April 19 – Trading 6.40. Closed 6.97 fr loss April 11 when it lost 200 MA. On watch again.

April 10 – Long 7.30 April 7 1000 shares. MACD just turned up but SQZMOM is not green yet. 1/3 size entry with other 2/3 entry when SQZMOM turns green with other indicators confirming.

$AKS Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AKS/BbzvqPhJ-AKS-Swing-trade-position-long-April-7-swingtrading-stock-pic/

$AKS, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks

$AKS Swing trade position long April 7 #swingtrading #stock #picks

April 5 – Sitting right on 200 MA now. Watching for 200 MA to hold, MACD to turn up, SQZMOM to green.

March 27 – AKS is coming in on the 200 MA test. Watching.

March 20 – MACD is turning up now, watching for price to trade above 20, 50, 100 that are clustered together. It is well over 200 MA.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; $MXIM, $BABA, $LIT, $EXK, $ATHM, $BWA, $NFLX, $WYNN, Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks

17
May 2017
$XGTI, Premarket, Trading, Plan

Post-Market Tues May 16 $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY

Compound Trading Tuesday May 16, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and

Post-Market Tues May 16 $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Tuesday May 16, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and Live Alerts. $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY – $LIGA, $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc …

Intro:

Compound Trading is a trading group active in day trading, swing trading and algorithmic model charting (black box).

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat not applicable is deleted from transcript below but raw video footage is as it occurred – uncut). Chat trade room is recorded daily for trade archive (embedded below and available on our YouTube channel).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators we are looking for in and out off each trade. Typically at market open and for chart review during lunch hour at minimum) and has live chart screen sharing right from our monitors. At times guest traders and associate traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Special Mid Day Chart Review in Trading Room on Wednesday – Limited Spots

Complete $SPY S&P 500 Algorithm Rolls-Out this Week. A New Milestone at Compound Trading. #premarket $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

Last market trading session Post Market Stock Trading Results can be found here:

Stock Trading Results Fri May 12. Day Ten: 2 Wk Trading Challenge $USLV, $TCCO, $CBMX

Most recent Premarket Trading Plan Watch-list can be found here (locked to respect members and unlocked to public about a week later for transparency): 

Protected: PreMarket Trading Plan Mon May 15 $CYRN, $IDXG, $AUPH, $FEYE, $UWT, $NUGT, $USLV, $XIV, Cyber

Please note, for the next while, you will have to review the raw trading room footage (vs. snippet footage) to catch Premarket Chart Set-Ups, Market Open Trades, Intra-day Trades and Mid Day Chart Set Ups. Our staff time is being utilzed up for other components of the platform and we also are producing the high quality learning library for our premium members. Once done, we’ll return to publishing the segments daily.

Most Recent Public Swing Trading K.I.S.S Simple Charting can be found here: Swing Trading Simple Charts (Public) Apr 16 $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTIC, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, $USDJPY, #GOLD, #SILVER

Premarket Session: 

$XGTI Premarket up 18%

Market Day, Chat Room Trades and Personal Trades:

Traded $XGTI for a tiny papercut -150.00 and an OTC for a 50.00 paperwork. -200.00 on the day (not counting my swings from the swing trading side that had a huge day). Also reviewed $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY in the mid day chart review but I was traveling (not using my usual computer) and a glitch caused the session not to record (ugh).

$ETSY Over 200 MA

$WB at Fib resistance

$NATR tagged 200 MA resistance perfect in intraday trade.

Learning How-to Trade Stocks, Chart Set-Ups, Lessons and Educational:

Mid day chart set-ups working with $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO, $VIPS and more… (This post is from Monday’s session not Tuesday’s as we had a technical issue Tuesday)

$DXPE Perfect textbook set-up with MA’s KABOOM it doubles. Not bad. #freedomtraders

If there’s anything I can do to help with your trading drop me a line on contact page or DM https://compoundtrading.com/contact/ #howto #trade #stocks

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:

Been holding these small bags wayyyy tooo long. I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size – under 5% of my daytrading acounts) – $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Momentum Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
XGTI 2.02 39.31% 25408261 Top Gainers
NATR 11.30 27.68% 506627 Top Gainers
LTBR 1.85 26.71% 1196562 Top Gainers
DXPE 41.67 26.04% 825243 Top Gainers
WB 78.60 24.96% 13701340 Top Gainers
ETSY 13.73 21.29% 18303217 Top Gainers
WB 78.60 24.96% 13701340 New High
WFBI 33.58 16.44% 563103 New High
SINA 99.04 17.85% 10647530 New High
AKBA 15.01 16.36% 6657073 New High
REXX 4.13 3.77% 227339 Overbought
EA 111.76 0.78% 2963315 Overbought
TAIT 1.45 18.85% 906678 Unusual Volume
XGTI 2.02 39.31% 25408261 Unusual Volume
NECB 8.50 -4.49% 15162 Unusual Volume
NATR 11.30 27.68% 506627 Unusual Volume
CUZ 8.45 0.36% 3425205 Upgrades
AKER 1.50 -14.29% 103597 Earnings Before
MCC 6.15 0.00% 778719 Insider Buying


Algorithm Charting News (Artificial Intelligence, Intelligent Assistants, Big Data and More):

Complete $SPY S&P 500 Algorithm Rolls-Out this Week. A New Milestone at Compound Trading. #premarket $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Swing Trading Notes / News:

Weekly Swing Trading Updates Mon May 15 $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AGN,… #swingtrading #premarket

The Swing Trading Twitter feed is here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

NA

Gold $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GC_F :

Funds cut #gold net-long by the most since October in wk to May 9. Only long liquidation with gross-short staying unchanged

Gold Miner’s $GDX:

NA

Silver $SLV:

#Silver has been particularly hard hit during the past month with the net-long slumping from a record to a 15-month low

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

WTI speculative accounts decreased long by -$2.5bn to $5.3bn leading unwind in commodity complex

Volatility $VIX:

The historical seasonal tendency is for $VIX levels to trend lower until around July

$SPY S&P 500 / $SPX:

64% of $SPX companies have beaten sales estimates for Q1 to date, above the 5-year average (53%).

Markets Looking Forward:

#earnings $BABA $HD $AMAT $TGT $CSCO $WMT $CRM $WB $TJX $DKS $BDSI $SORL $SPLS $SSYS $RL $SINA $WLB $LB $AEO $FL

We’ve never had it so good: Global equities now worth $73.3trn, highest value in history.

Live Trading Chat Room Video Raw Footage and Transcript:

Two Part video (Part 1 embed is below and go to Compound Trading Youtube channel for Part 2 of live feed from day and other charting from the day).

NO VIDEO FOR TUESDAY (TECHNICAL GLITCH AS LEAD TRADER WAS TRAVELING)

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix. Also, please note, sometimes pieces of the transcript are missing (also something we are working on). But the video is raw and complete.

Curt M: $MIRN Synlogic and Mirna Therapeutics Agree to Merger http://investor.mirnarx.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=1026554 …$LCI Lannett Announces Approval For Levocetirizine Dihydrochloride Oral Solution, 2.5 mg/5 mL (0.5 mg/mL)$SGMO $PFE Sangamo granted Fast Track designation for SB-525 gene therapy by FDA
Curt M: Protected: PreMarket Trading Plan Tues May 16 $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASOLINK: https://compoundtrading.com/premarket-trading-plan-tues-may-16-xgti-xtnt-akba-wb-sina-pgpm-pbr-ewz-jaso/PASSWORD: PRE051617Today’s Live Trading Room Link: http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
Curt M: Morning!
Curt M: Let premarket settle in a bit here before I get on mic 9:00 >>>>>>>>>>>>>
Market Maven: Morning everyone
Gil: Hey Maven
Shafique: Mellow pm
Carol: What time is Curt on mic?
Debbie: Likely not until near open…. its calm
Dave: gm
Susan: hey team
Tradergirl: gm fam
Carol: mornin
Spiegel: gm everyone
Curt M: Won’t be on mic till 9:20…. very mellow premarket>>>>>>>>
Carol: hey spiegy
Carol: Another move like $PGPM again today would be nice
Market Maven: I\ll say wow
Sandra: I got a piece
Scott: wokr me up I was asleep at my desk haha
Tradergirl: omg pgpm ladies, is just.
Tradergirl: carol/sandra haven’t seen you in here until recently, are you new
Market Maven: they’re long timers – came w curt:) and some of us other stragglers
Tradergirl: lolllll
Carol: yepp
Tradergirl: that is awesome!
Tradergirl: hope to learn lots from you guys, some of the better trading i’ve seen out there guys, fab.
Carol: there;s a few that have been trading together for a while in here
Carol: nice
Tradergirl: are you guys all on fintwit?
Carol: well…. getting near now]
Carol: Curt whats up
Market Maven: he’s ommn his way
Curt M: On mic in 1 min……>>>>>>>>>
Flash G: gm
Market Maven: TG… group runs darkpool algos bla bla tell u about it later
Flash G: Morning MM
Tradergirl: omg lol, yes do tell later def
Tom: I’m new, is sound on ?
Tradergirl: gm Tom, I don’t hear anything
Carol: yes
Hedgehog Trader: good morning all, hi Tom
Tradergirl: gm hh
Carol: ui can hear
Curt M: maybe cause I’m traveling ugh there’s an issue
Tradergirl: rats have to reboot
Curt M: can you hear hedge?
Hedgehog Trader: no
Hedgehog Trader: sorry
Curt M: ugh
Curt M: sorry guys
Curt M: rembling on lol and you can’t hear
Curt M: working on it
Curt M: we’re going to be with out sound for just a bit lol
Shafique: no prob
Tradergirl: np
Curt M: I’ll reboot after open calms down
Curt M: sorry guys and gals
Hedgehog Trader: stuff happens
Curt M: Long a bit of $PGPM for a test .0086
Market Maven: yeeehaw me too lets do this
Scott: small start for me too
Hedgehog Trader: silver up another 11c
Hedgehog Trader: silver miners $EXK $ASM
Curt M: $XGTI on the move
Curt M: $PGPM I won’t give a lot of rope but thought I’d start earlier on it today
Curt M: Welcome aboard Tom
Curt M: normally we hear too lol
Flash G: lol
Tom: thank you, lol
Spiegel: hearting is an extra $5 a month
Curt M: $PGPM came off a bit fyi
Spiegel: hearing
Curt M: lol
Shafique: $SORL looks dangerously ready for bo
Flash G: Trimmiing $NVDA swing 30%
Sandra: gappers aren’t doing it today
Curt M: At least there aren’t a numch of cowboys getting chopped up here – good siciplined team this moring (every morning lol)
Curt M: Spiegel whats on your radar over therE?
Spiegel: DDD is still powerful – but overextended now
Sandra: $XTI turding
Sandra: $XGTI
Tradergirl: key moment oil kk
Spiegel: TSLA bouncing nicely
Curt M: ya it needs to make a decision soon…. 4:30 target in play #OIL
Spiegel: AVGR over .44
Curt M: I guess I’ll reboot while market figures its direction
Curt M: hold on
Spiegel: I’m in MB calls too
Tradergirl: actually key moment across board: bonds/indices/vix/metals/energy/yen, gonna look for long bonds here
Dave: i agree
Curt M: Curts screen will be right back:)
Dave: $VIX time sioon
Tradergirl: ya, looking at quick vxx C st
Tradergirl: always better if others see same thing D
Dave: market doesn’t look great imo
Debbie: $NVDA may buy the dip actually on next trun
mat: loud and clear
Spiegel: it actually works!
Hedgehog Trader: i hear ye
Market Maven: ss $SNAP
Flash G: $SSYS $DKS $WB $HD
Flash G: $BABA
Hedgehog Trader: $TWTR and $LIT multi wk high
Spiegel: XGTI moving nicely now
Hedgehog Trader: $GREK $NBGGY still climbing
Curt M: $XGTI fill 2.03 3000 shares tight daytrade
Tradergirl: looking at oil short, looks awful kk
Market Maven: with ya
Tradergirl: wowzers kk natgas! seen better days
Sandra: natgas long soon
Curt M: out 1.982 small cut
Market Maven: holding
Debbie: me too
Sandra: still in also
Spiegel: My broker wants Creme Brule now
Tradergirl: does it ever go out of sync with natgas? oil? natgas seems like good short? am i missing smthg sandra?
Tradergirl: ok be back, mkts might roll today
Debbie: Thanks curt
Dave: $MOMO is my only play today so fa
Susan: $XGTI should come down over lunch
Gil: yes very likely
Carol: c
Shafique: Oil room opening Juner 15 would be cool]
Sandra: TG Natgas… I was just thinking when it does show signs of turn I’d be long is my thinking
Flash G: Curt I just read your winning rants from weekend 🙂 Pure Gold
Curt M: ha ha ya well not popular to rant like that so i just just zipper my lips
Shafique: nah
Flash G: Alibaba $BABA PT Raised to $155 at MKM Partners; ‘We Expect Strong March Results & Outlook”
Scott: $LTBR ready too
Hedgehog Trader: metals spiking
Hedgehog Trader: USD looks ill
Hedgehog Trader: i think $MUX is plotting a run at 50 dma and a breakout soon thereafter
Curt M: back in 10
Market Maven: done with $SNAP
Flash G: $MSFT nice action today for me.
Sandra: Turning attention to metals and miners seems time.
Tradergirl: hi all, didn’t know if you guys chat in btw chart reviews, glad i popped back in 🙂
Tradergirl: ya Sandra, energy doesn’t look great to me atm st but def buy when turns thank you. usd = awful agree hh.
Sandra: ya TG doesnt look great
Tradergirl: metals on the other hand, gold
Scott: $BBRY tape soooper strong and consistent
Curt M: Crude trade has been really messed up for days now…. OPEC did a number on it. But Wed 1030 target will likely reset it properly
Tradergirl: always eia, every time isn’t it? lol
Curt M: yup
Tradergirl: ya, literally was hesitating on oil short cos thot games cld be had until then, ok same page kk
quarryrock: good am everone
Shafique: hey QR
Market Maven: good day
Curt M: On mic 12:00 for chart review >>>>>>>>>>>> 10 mins
quarryrock: hi! Noticed $SLW name change today to new ticker $WPM
Tradergirl: hi Q
quarryrock: having a good couple days here Hits on $HD and $TLT this am
quarryrock: completely missed $WB and $SINA
Sandra: missed them too
quarryrock: funny thing is i had them on my watch list to trade. oh well
quarryrock: Traded $DKS common this am at the open in at $42.37 out at $43.08 +.71 lots of shorts likely to cover tonite so may try this as a long later with a tight stop
Curt M: Coffee still perking…. be a couple mins lol
Curt M: fn coffee maker
Tradergirl: lollll
Curt M: On mic for mid day chart review 12″04 PM>>>>>>>>>>>>
Spiegel: I think you might like the beach as much as I do. Maybe more?
Tom: re: DXPE , would you mention this type of set-up in your Swing service ?
Tom: Is the Swing service based on a model portfolio size, like $100,000 ?
Spiegel: The DDD I mentioned this morning doing welll. Up a buck since then
Leanne: Nice Spiegel, I looked at that about a week ago and didn’t take it. Damn.
Leanne: Thanks Curtis
Market Maven: ya curt
Curt M: np
Sandra: hopefully Sartaj posts those vids right away I like those one
quarryrock: in going to start a little $NKE swing trade here. call me contrarian but i think this is overdone. also getting some positive analyst coverage
Market Maven: $GSAT on the other side of the bowl – really nice set up today
quarryrock: $BABA PT raised to $155 by MKM
quarryrock: 25% upside from here
Shafique: in it
Flash G: same same
quarryrock: nice what strike?
quarryrock: silver spike!
Hedgehog Trader: go go silver
quarryrock: what do you think HH? USLV swing?
Hedgehog Trader: i do like that
Hedgehog Trader: silver now up 22c
quarryrock: NVDA at it again. unreal ripper
quarryrock: textbook ride up and dump on $BZUN
Hedgehog Trader: hod on $EXK silver
quarryrock: i got a feeling they may dump $HD to red into the close. what a shame after that huge quarter
Tradergirl: silver = fab
Hedgehog Trader: watching UGAZ ssome good dippage

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Article Topics: $XGTI, $DXPE, $NATR, $WB, $ETSY – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Learning, How To, Trade, Trading, Educational, Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

16
May 2017
$PGPM, Trading, Results

Post-Market Mon May 15 $AUPH, $ETRM, $PGPM

Compound Trading Monday May 15, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and

Post-Market Mon May 15 $AUPH, $ETRM, $PGPM

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Monday May 15, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Charting, Videos and Live Alerts. $AUPH, $ETRM, $PGPM – $LIGA, $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc …

Intro:

Compound Trading is a trading group active in day trading, swing trading and algorithmic model charting (black box).

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat not applicable is deleted from transcript below but raw video footage is as it occurred – uncut). Chat trade room is recorded daily for trade archive (embedded below and available on our YouTube channel).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators we are looking for in and out off each trade. Typically at market open and for chart review during lunch hour at minimum) and has live chart screen sharing right from our monitors. At times guest traders and associate traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Complete $SPY S&P 500 Algorithm Rolls-Out this Week. A New Milestone at Compound Trading. #premarket $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

Last market trading session Post Market Stock Trading Results can be found here:

Stock Trading Results Fri May 12. Day Ten: 2 Wk Trading Challenge $USLV, $TCCO, $CBMX

Most recent Premarket Trading Plan Watch-list can be found here (locked to respect members and unlocked to public about a week later for transparency): 

Protected: PreMarket Trading Plan Mon May 15 $CYRN, $IDXG, $AUPH, $FEYE, $UWT, $NUGT, $USLV, $XIV, Cyber

Please note, for the next while, you will have to review the raw trading room footage (vs. snippet footage) to catch Premarket Chart Set-Ups, Market Open Trades, Intra-day Trades and Mid Day Chart Set Ups. Our staff time is being utilzed up for other components of the platform and we also are producing the high quality learning library for our premium members. Once done, we’ll return to publishing the segments daily.

Most Recent Public Swing Trading K.I.S.S Simple Charting can be found here: Swing Trading Simple Charts (Public) Apr 16 $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTIC, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, $USDJPY, #GOLD, #SILVER

Premarket Session: 

Premarket momo: $PTHN, $CYRN, $IDXG, $NE, $UWT, $BVXV, $MDGS

$CYRN Premarket up 32%

Market Day, Chat Room Trades and Personal Trades:

Took a couple paper cuts in the morning momo session with $AUPH at a 400.00 loss, $ETRM a 150.00 loss and then nailed a dectn long in $PGPM at 1400.00 gain for 900.00 on the day.

$PGPM Well hello! We’re in it to win it. Up 87% today. Weekly chart. #daytrading #OTC

Took a couple paper cuts on momos at open (piss me off lol) and in momentum now in room. Tough Monday with daytrades. Swingtrades are good.

In Play: $CYRN, $IONS, $FEYE, $MZOR, $NVAX, $ALNY, $PANW, $PBR High Uncertainty: $JDST, $PBR.A, $DGAZ

Market Momentum Leaders Today $PTHN $SORL $TRVG $IMGN $CYRN $IDXG

$PGPM In – Out #daytrading

$LQ Nice end of day rip on news.

Learning How-to Trade Stocks, Chart Set-Ups, Lessons and Educational:

Mid day chart set-ups working with $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO, $VIPS and more… (to view the video portion refer to the video below of raw trading room footage)

If there’s anything I can do to help with your trading drop me a line on contact page or DM https://compoundtrading.com/contact/ #howto #trade #stocks

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:

Been holding these small bags wayyyy tooo long. I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size – under 5% of my daytrading acounts) – $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.

Note-able Momentum Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
CBMG 8.60 62.26% 426350 Top Gainers
PTHN 34.60 33.08% 44867560 Top Gainers
ETRM 6.10 31.18% 2285691 Top Gainers
SORL 5.86 29.07% 11921165 Top Gainers
EKSO 1.95 19.63% 756784 Top Gainers
ALNY 66.00 16.26% 6373416 Top Gainers
REXX 3.98 864.85% 258346 New High
SORL 5.86 29.07% 11921165 New High
TRVG 19.96 11.95% 9427846 New High
RARX 26.50 14.87% 266113 New High
NURO 4.16 2.21% 164237 Overbought
EA 110.90 1.66% 3279750 Overbought
PTHN 34.60 33.08% 44867560 Unusual Volume
CYRN 2.30 15.00% 1867088 Unusual Volume
SORL 5.86 29.07% 11921165 Unusual Volume
LGLV 85.00 0.35% 168352 Unusual Volume
BDN 17.15 0.82% 1462577 Upgrades
AETI 1.90 -5.00% 28695 Earnings Before
AREX 2.99 2.75% 965304 Insider Buying


Algorithm Charting News (Artificial Intelligence, Intelligent Assistants, Big Data and More):

As usual or algorithm charting is nailing it and EPIC was showing off again with the Friday target hitting perfectly.

Fri 1PM Target hit exact time/ penny of call days prior! EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Swing Trading Notes / News:

Weekly Swing Trading Updates Mon May 15 $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AGN,… #swingtrading #premarket

The Swing Trading Twitter feed is here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

NA

Gold $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GC_F :

Funds cut #gold net-long by the most since October in wk to May 9. Only long liquidation with gross-short staying unchanged

Gold Miner’s $GDX:

NA

Silver $SLV:

#Silver has been particularly hard hit during the past month with the net-long slumping from a record to a 15-month low

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

WTI speculative accounts decreased long by -$2.5bn to $5.3bn leading unwind in commodity complex

Volatility $VIX:

The historical seasonal tendency is for $VIX levels to trend lower until around July

$SPY S&P 500 / $SPX:

64% of $SPX companies have beaten sales estimates for Q1 to date, above the 5-year average (53%).

Markets Looking Forward:

#earnings $BABA $HD $AMAT $TGT $CSCO $WMT $CRM $WB $TJX $DKS $BDSI $SORL $SPLS $SSYS $RL $SINA $WLB $LB $AEO $FL

We’ve never had it so good: Global equities now worth $73.3trn, highest value in history.

Live Trading Chat Room Video Raw Footage and Transcript:

Two Part video (Part 1 embed is below and go to Compound Trading Youtube channel for Part 2 of live feed from day and other charting from the day).

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix. Also, please note, sometimes pieces of the transcript are missing (also something we are working on). But the video is raw and complete.

Curt M_1: Premarket momo: $PTHN, $CYRN, $IDXG, $NE $UWT $BVXV $MDGS
Deb: Really like $AUPH today
OILK: gm
OILK: Silver too
Curt M_1: Still running scans – on mic 9:10 AM for premarket>>>>>>>>>>
OILK: What do you think of Silver curt?
Curt M_1: could fly for sure
Market Maven: Markets look ready march this week.
OILK: agree
Flash G: Does look pretty fired up.
Tradergirl: gm all
OILK: hey TG
Spiegel: gm fellow trader peoples
OILK: motn
Tradergirl: commodities fam
Curt M_1: Need 5 mins yet
OILK: ya no problem
Deb: lloks serous this week thats all I can say – good setup forming
Deb: totally agree with you guys
Tradergirl: do you guys know if there’s any way to make the chat window bigger?
Deb: not sure
Tradergirl: scrolling thru 3 cm wide window not going great looool
Cara: dont think so but you could email sartaj [email protected]
Cara: he would know i gues
Tradergirl: thx much Cara
Cara: yep
Curt M_1: okay on mic at 9:23 for premarket – sorry for delay – busy >>>>>>>>>>>>
Sandra Q: looks good peeples
Lenny: no fn around haha where’s maven?
Market Maven: yup ready just havin coffee
Curt M_1: on mic
Curt M_1: $AUPH 8.02 2000 share L
Market Maven: with ya
Lenny: in too
Flash G: should be fine
Lenny: add
Flash G: $BABA
Curt M_1: Stopped 7.81 small loss – paper cut to start Monday again
Curt M_1: $AUPH that is
Market Maven: hold and add at 200
Market Maven: short $TTD
Market Maven: out #AUPH clean
Tradergirl: thin k they take oil higher kk fwiw
Sandra Q: Got a bit on $IDXG short side not much
Sammy T: ya me too but small size
Flash G: Opening long $CORR 20% sizing swing
Flash G: $NVDA Swing in great shape – I may trim soon.
Spiegel: Sold half my NVDA calls
Flash G: Also considering closing $MOMO swing
Sandra Q: Gold at res here
Sandra Q: I guess oil and gold at res
Flash G: Our $FEYE swings doing great Curt
Curt M_1: nice
Lenny: $SDRL on scan
Spiegel: YNDX not stopping
Curt M_1: Long $ETRM 1000 starter tight 5.43 yight watch 200
Curt M_1: 10:03 AM
Curt M_1: Out 5.275 ugh $ETRM second paper cut jeez
Flash G: A case of your swings paying for your daytrading habit today Curt
Curt M_1: $SPCB volatility halt
Lenny: Shippers on scanners
Flash G: $SPY ATH test will be interesting – we’re there now
Market Maven: Great play in $FEYE guys
OILK: I got some but later than u guys
Deb: $FEYE going to sqz hard mo
Spiegel: SORL 6.10 now
Curt M_1: $FEYE I’m long from 6.14 on swing trading side – was thinking of adding but likely sit tight.
OILK: Oil ht the resistance ceiling and came off really dramatic there
Market Maven: Those were tough momos this moring.
Market Maven: No follow through poop and drops
Market Maven: pop not poop but they were poop:)
Curt M_1: Were you watching the other rooms too Maven? Some serious cuts to bulls from what I could see.
Market Maven: I sure was and yes it wasn’t good.
Market Maven: But the market is set up so the momos will turn more aggressive as Tues occurs – Tuesday normally the day – I calculated 43% of my net comes in from Tuesday over a full year
Market Maven: in last year that is as of last week yoy
Lenny: u actually figured that out?
OILK: ha
Market Maven: yes i did
Curt M_1: Looks like thats it until mid day chart review at 12:00 unless something happens >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> back at lunch
Cara: that was a tough open – going for coffee myself:)
Hedgehog Trader: $TWTR doing well
Lenny: yup
Hedgehog Trader: watch miner $TGD
Hedgehog Trader: been outperforming for a while
Hedgehog Trader: $LIT https://twitter.com/HedgehogTrader/status/864147899772354562
Curt M_1: In mic 12:10 for mod day review – finishing up conference call.
Curt M_1: on mic in 2 mins>>>>
Curt M_1: on mic mid day review 12:18 >>>>>>>>>>>>>
Tradergirl: this week key imho kk
Tradergirl: love ewz stalking for entry
Tradergirl: ya missed it, gotta wait now
Tradergirl: coty pls, not sure i get lower for buy-in, had 19s originally
Tradergirl: gapfill wld be great
Hedgehog Trader: $TAN solar etf just broke thru 200 dma
Hedgehog Trader: a microcap solar $SUNW has jiggy chart
Hedgehog Trader: Curt- if you have time, can you look at $FNMA – if not, no worries
Hedgehog Trader: thank you
Curt M_1: RE: Plan this week with mid day chart reviews: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/864168975990640640
Curt M_1: No prob Nich
Curt M_1: $PGPM in .0064 about 5k worth for a test – insider filings
Curt M_1: Correction .0062
Market Maven: Was in with ya the second the chart came on the screen hahaha
Lenny: I wasn’t as quick i was .0065
Curt M_1: $PGPM Well hello! We’re in it to win it. Up 87% today. Weekly chart. #daytrading #OTC https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/864179659168030720
Market Maven: awesome play
Curt M_1: 800k shares $PGPM avg .0062 or about 5k….. is where I’m at – we’ll see if it holds up.
Sandra Q: Sure has momentum
Lenny: 100% is giving it a hard time
Flash G: Oil’s closing soon
Hedgehog Trader: nice work Curt and room!
Market Maven: thank ya
Market Maven: it was all me
Hedgehog Trader: kudos
Market Maven: jokes dry homor
Hedgehog Trader: ha
Market Maven: Curt’s alert
Hedgehog Trader: my laptop crashed a couple of times- so i missed how it all began 🙂
Market Maven: Curt alerted and we bought ha! Now we wait. 100% seems to be cap intra.
Hedgehog Trader: imho- miners rip again tomorrow
Hedgehog Trader: had a pause today
Curt M_1: Oil testing that channel now 2:39 PM
Curt M_1: Taking half off at .00.81 area $PGPM 2:44 ride the rest from .0062
Market Maven: I was thinking of adding lol
Market Maven: this thing has been a beast
Hedgehog Trader: what do they do, make tinned beans?
Market Maven: no idea
Hedgehog Trader: i was thinking pilgrim pride sorry ha
Hedgehog Trader: ah pilgrim petroleum
Curt M_1: Hey Nich – you around? If so, anything strike you about this chart $SRG? Asking for a friend that’s in at 48 ish.
Hedgehog Trader: yeah, it’s a rough chart- it’s tapped 39.60s a few times as a potential bounce point
Curt M_1: ya
Hedgehog Trader: should sell it and go long silver miners 🙂
Hedgehog Trader: $SRG looks like it has some work to do, unfortunate there wasn’t a stop in place for sure
Hedgehog Trader: if it’s US real estate related- one small positive is $IYR has held above 200 dma
Hedgehog Trader: but it too looks like it has some work to do to bottom
Hedgehog Trader: if we get a broad swoop of stocks going up, i think it’s going to lag badly
Flash G: Sloooowest day in a long time.
Curt M_1: Closing .0078 area on other half for average close .00797 from .0062 buy 800k shares
Curt M_1: Not a big one but 1400.00 I’ll take it.
Curt M_1: On days like this it is good to have a swing trading side, a daytrading side, and an algorithmic modeling side – FOR SURE. Not wasted.
Lenny: true true
Curt M_1: NEW: Shares of hotel operator La Quinta soar 11% after Reuters reports that $LQ is preparing to explore a sale http://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=LQ …
Curt M_1: Nice EOD squeeze on $LQ news
Curt M_1: I’m traveling right away or I would have taken the long
Market Maven: I’m in but small.
Market Maven: Small bites all around for me today.
Sandra Q: Base hits to freedom:) I heard someone say that somewhere.
Flash G: Does have a ring. On that note I’ll ring the bell today and bid you all a farewell! Until tomorrow. Best!
Market Maven: bye flash and all
Curt M_1: see ya
Sandra Q: thanks curt!
Lenny: Peace

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Article Topics: $AUPH, $ETRM, $PGPM – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Learning, How To, Trade, Trading, Educational, Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

16
May 2017
$XGTI, Premarket, Trading, Plan

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues May 16 $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Tuesday May 16, 2017; $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA,

PreMarket Trading Plan Tues May 16 $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Tuesday May 16, 2017; $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Swing Trading Service Registrants and Day Trading side are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of that I spoke to myself are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that choose that.

Two Week Trading Challenge is Over (34% vs. double up) and I Start a New One Yesterday. Only this time the trading challenge is six months!

Likely it now for two week 20k double small account trading challenge +6772.00. No double but 30%+ is okay ROI #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $XGTI $XTNT $AKBA

Bias toward / on watch: 

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending sideways but also toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX Gold Miners catching up to Gold yesterday, $SLV Getting some lift here. $USOIL, $WTI is up over one important resistance on OPEC Russia and Saudi news and will be getting in to some serious resistance soon if it continues. $DXY is testing critical support area again and $VIX is in lowest range in decades.

OTC on watch: $PGPM I traded yesterday. Randoms I’ve noticed over last few weeks… $BRNE, $ELED, $PVCT, $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH, $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $PGPM (OTC)

Stocks with News: $MIRN, $LCI, $SGMO,$PSID, $ETSY

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of day trading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $SNDX Golden Cross, $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO Golden Cross, $VIPS – We are working on these and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to Youtube of each trading day.

Market Outlook :

Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. And don’t forget our $SPY algo warned about recent highs.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Housing Starts

8:55am
Redbook

9:15am
Industrial Production

10am
E-Commerce Retail Sales

$MIRN Synlogic and Mirna Therapeutics Agree to Merger http://investor.mirnarx.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=1026554 …

$LCI Lannett Announces Approval For Levocetirizine Dihydrochloride Oral Solution, 2.5 mg/5 mL (0.5 mg/mL)

$SGMO $PFE Sangamo granted Fast Track designation for SB-525 gene therapy by FDA

Ransomware attack again thrusts U.S. spy agency into unwanted spotlight http://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-attack-blame-idUSKCN18C02D?il=0 … $FEYE $PANW $BBRY

PositiveID reports Q1 results https://seekingalpha.com/news/3267745-positiveid-reports-q1-results?source=twitter_salphatech … #premarket $PSID

Etsy’s stock soars 10% premarket after private-equity firms disclose stakes late Monday

Snap’s stock rallies 1.5% in premarket trade

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $XGTI $XTNT $AKBA $BDSI $WB $GILT $SINA $VOD $DB $VIPS $HD $FIT $NUGT $TOT $FEYE $LOGI $BP $SNAP $RIO $MOMO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $JDST $DWT $EDIT $PTX $YNDX $DKS $ETRM $SSTS $HTGM $IDXG $SBGL $$UGAZ $DDD $DUST $TAL $DRYS $TVIX $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $LGIH $CR $DK $FET $AIG $DPS $RGC $TGI $WRI $CUZ $YUM $RPM  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $MDC $FRTA $PTHN $NK $VLO $MELI $PFE $CHD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD

16
May 2017
$SPY, Hourly

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Tues May 16 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday May 16, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations Good morning! My

Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Tues May 16 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday May 16, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

New Charting

Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.

Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).

Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.

Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.

Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.

If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.

So what does this mean going forward?

Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.

This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.

So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.

If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).

Reporting Rotation, Futures, $ES_F, $VIX, 24 Hour Trading Room

The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’

  • The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
  • The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
  • New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.

So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out

This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.

So bear with us for just a few days here…

Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.

Live Charts

When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.

Simple Charts

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/ROD7Pvvd-15-Min-Price-above-with-100-MA-to-breach-200-MA-SQZMOM-red-but/

Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/NGupBbKi-Hourly-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trending-up-M/

The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.

$SPY, Hourly

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/BKemGzVf-Daily-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trend-down-gree/

As with above, the indicators are indecisive on daily. Most important consideration would be the Stoch RSI trending down.

$SPY, Daily

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2jPsid8T-Weekly-Indecision-Price-extended-well-above-200-MA-SQZMOM-tr/

Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.

$SPY, Weekly, Chart

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

 

Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

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