Category Archives: Crude Oil Trading Strategy

Part Two of What They Won’t Tell You and How We Daytrade Crude Oil Against the Machines

Below is another daytrading session disclosure of real-time oil trade alerts from our oil trading room and alert feeds.

Many in the markets will tell you that there are no crystal balls in the stock market (in this instance in commodity markets). Others will tell you that order flow is key, or storage, OPEC or whatever else. And sure, on broad time-frames there are many different indications of oil price direction that provide clues.

But when daytrading crude oil, everything, and I mean everything other than what the machine trading liquidity dominant players are doing is relavent.

Below you will see real time oil trading alerts from our private member feed, and real time guidance I provided to the oil trading room while I was trading and even public faxing tweets from my personal Twitter feed.

Sometimes I will tweet on my own public facing feed in an effort to show the trading world what is really happening to our markets, but cognitive dissonance keeps most bound to what the shiny balls on TV have to say. So I am not sure whether I’ll continue much longer in that because it’s a lot of effort and you feel like you get nowhere.

Anyway, enough of that, I’ll let the real-time alerts and trading room discussions below do the talking.

Take the time to read this carefully and the previous post you can find here: 

What They Won’t Tell You – How We DayTrade Crude Oil Against The AI’s in the Markets, A Sneak Peak. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI

When done think about it, spend some time reflecting on what this means for the future of the markets. Beyond just winning and having the best daytrading oil strategies there are real ramifications here.

Okay, good luck with your $STUDY, let me know if you need anything after you have reviewed the documentation below.

Let’s start here, when daytrading crude oil the most important thing you can do is know where you are in the playing field – the structure of crude oil trade within the dominant time cycle. This is key. If you know the time cycle that the dominant players (liquidity) are trading on then you can then trade along with them. This is by far the best oil trading strategy you will ever find.

From yesterday’s article (part 1) I had shared the one hour crude oil chart model and showed you exactly what the structure was and what the TIMING of the price target the dominant daytrading liquidity was targeting. This is the key to successful crude oil daytrading.

Below is the updated 1 hour daytrading oil chart. Take a look at today and yesterday (in part 1). And then read yesterday’s article closely and you will see that we knew exactly where the price of oil was going to be, in advance.

But first, the oil chart.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow.

You can see how the machine dominant liquidity has traded very technically toward the price target at 1:00 PM Thursday. What determines if the price target is met? At each decision along the way if retail order flow follows the dominant machines, the machines simply take price to the next decision most efficiently. It’s that simple.

So as you can see in the chart below, the daytrading action in oil has been consistently toward the price target within the chart structure.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Okay, now that you have “perspective” of the arena or battleground, let’s look at the real-time charting, trade alerts and commentary from the alert feed and oil trading room:

Below are only highlights and snippets of the discussion and guidance I provided to the oil trading room, private Twitter alert feed, charting and even public facing personal Twitter feed. To keep this article as short as possible I provide only highlights of the trade sequence below.

Screen shot of oil trading room lead trade alerting initial trade position in crude oil futures with guidance.

“Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 9:21 PM
Long 16.10 2/10
personal trade will advise
order flow progressive I’m going to go with it, over 16 resistance on hourly model
I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2-% size 16.10 #oiltradealerts

Curt MelonopolyToday at 9:44 PM
this trade could easily come back to 15.67 before bullish continuation imo so i’m being cautious, its the 30 min EPIC model that concerns me a bit
but the 1 hour has been so strong i’m going with a possible run up with bulls, basically managing that RR
and on hourly 15.74 is the diagonal TL support
so in short, if it pulls back i’ll hold 2/10 re-hit 15.64 area if it gets there with an add 2/10 if that fails cut the loss, but i’m going to play it for the possible run up in to Thurs mid day
so there’s some risk but possible reward is significant
potential run is about 140 ticks up and risk is 60, so there’s different ways to manage that i suppose
easier to manage this type of trade with CFDs than CL contracts, I may take on CFDs in near futures as an addition to my personal trading for these scenarios.”

Screen shot of oil trading room lead trade alerting initial trade position in crude oil futures with guidance #oiltradingroom

Screen shot of oil trade alerts member Twitter feed of initial entry in crude oil by lead trader.

Screen shot of oil trade alert member Twitter feed of initial entry in crude oil by lead trader #oiltradealerts

Charting shared to oil trading room.

“I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2/10 size 16.10 #oiltradealerts”

I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2-% size 16.10 #oiltradealerts

What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame.

Entries in crude oil futures are the green arrows and the red are when the trades are closed on the daytrading time-frame charting.

What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame #oiltradealerts

Another screen shot of oil trading room and the guidance I’m providing to the daytraders as we progress through trade.

Will trim at .30 if we get it here, trading 16.25 —-> Trim 1/10 16.30 hold 1.10
took the trim i want the breathing room
not an easy trade
16.30 is mid range on 1 min machine model and 16.48 is top range on 1 min
My stop on the 1/10 is at entry now
What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame #oiltradealerts

Another screen shot of oil trading room and the guidance I’m providing to the daytraders as we go through trade #oiltradingroom

The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart.

The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart #oildaytrading

Oil trading room discussion where I am explaining where I may close this part of the trade intraday.

“I may close 16.47 if we get it, 16.45 HOD so far, don’t like the tight trading here.
Closing 16.45 hold 0
chickened out don’t like the action
20 ticks on the 1/10 and 35 ticks on the 2nd 1/10 isn’t so bad for this time of night i suppose
The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart #oildaytrading

this is double top on 60 min here
Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame #oildaytrading”

Oil trading room discussion where I am explaining where I may close this part of the trade intraday #oiltradingroom

Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame.

Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame #oildaytrading

Oil trading room discussion explaining the technical levels to watch on a daytrading basis.

“Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through, if retail goes with them that will happen #oiltradealerts

if that happens that will be volatile there
I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart, doesn’t look like I will get it though #oiltradealerts”

Oil trading room discussion explaining the technical levels to watch on a daytrading basis #oiltradingroom

Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through.

Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through #oiltradealerts

Another screen image of the crude oil trading room explaining machine order flow buying oil intraday.

“Jeremy is reporting micro programs buying all opportunities at weekness all the way through intra day so far #oilttrading

problem is timing intra day, they only have so much time to move this
I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.”

Another screen image of the crude oil trading room explaining machine order flow buying oil intraday #crudeoil #tradingroom

I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart.

I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart #oiltradealerts

I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.

I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.

okay, here it is, this is their push to force the squeeze intraday in to the price target in the time cycle peak.

okay, here it is, this is their push to force the squeeze intraday in to the price target in the time cycle peak #oildaytrading

You can see how they’re grinding away at each half range tier on the 1 minute oil trade time frame intraday.

You can see how they’re grinding away at each half range tier on the 1 minute oil trade time frame intraday #oiltdaytrading

Air is thin up here, this is double top on 5 min machine model – see extension arrow.

Air is thin up here, this is double top on 5 min machine model – see extension arrow #oiltradealerts

So on the 5 min timeframe bulls have lost their edge but on hourly I think they still have 20 mins.

So on the 5 min timeframe bulls have lost their edge but on hourly I think they still have 20 mins #oildaytrading

Here’s your 1 hour time frame view, looks like bulls still have some time, hard to be exact on larger timing.

Here’s your 1 hour time frame view, looks like bulls still have some time, hard to be exact on larger timing #oiltrading

And on 1 minute yet another half range zone grind through supply for continuation.

And on 1 minute yet another half range zone grind through supply for continuation #oildaytrading

Excuse me while I kiss the sky, yet another price target in the grid complete, AI power on display.

Excuse me while I kiss the sky, yet another price target in the grid complete, AI power on display #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Said climax brings time cycle intraday in to completion, if retail wants it to move now they’ll have to go alone.

Said climax brings time cycle intraday in to completion, if retail wants it to move now they’ll have to go alone #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Retail left naked in the time cycle and have no idea why the air just came out.

Retail left naked in the time cycle and have no idea why the air just came out #OOTT $CL_F $USO #machinetradingoil

And on my personal Twitter feed (public facing) sometimes I’ll let the world know we’re trading to show folks how the oil trading room and alerts work.

Below is a link and if you open the link you will find the thread on Twitter, it was real-time also.

As with the charts, live trading room discussion and private Twitter alert feed above, I show only some highlights, there is much more guidance on all than you see here in this article.

“AI school in session

#OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO”

“So the game is find the time-frame and use the model they’re using, but it’s all done with machines making those decisions and computer scientists constantly updating code, its a massive war game of techies competing for dominance, that’s oil trade in today’s world #OOTT $CL_F

its a massive game of go on various time-frames with entities competing with various amounts of liquidity all competing for dominant positioning, the dominant teams determine the time frame in play through liquidity, they’re in control,”

“i know, i know, there are no crystal balls in the markets

none of that just happened

#OOTT $CL_F $USO”

And earlier in the day I was attempting to explain to the Fintwit world what is actually moving and controlling oil price day to day.

“Most conventional market thinkers say that you cannot predict the future

what they won’t tell you is there are a select few that do actually predict it with a very high degree of accuracy

but it takes time to confirm and verify

and this is how the mass con keeps you bound.”

“Predicting with a rate of accuracy and trading it are two totally different things

it’s obvious in a machine driven world, with machine instructions that predictability will increase

if you know the rule-set instructions where the majority of machine flow resides.”

I am hoping that with part 1 of this series and this part 2 article of exactly how we are daytrading this next leg in crude oil price from our oil trading room that you can see better how to day trade crude oil with success.

As I said in article 1 of this series:

My goal is to build the best oil trading room and alerts service in the world for traders, it is a large task, but the hardest part of our mission is done, we can trade with the best machines in the world now. The rest should be easier.

Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].

Thank you.

Curt

Part One of this article here: What They Won’t Tell You – How We DayTrade Crude Oil Against The AI’s in the Markets, A Sneak Peak. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI

Part Three of this article here: BOOOM! Price and Time Exactly as Predicted Days in Advance | Part 3 – How We Daytrade Crude Oil #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

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Article Topics; oil trading room, daytrading, crude, oil, strategies, oil trade alerts