My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 1, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.
Welcome to the Thursday Wall Street trading short day session! There isn’t much new here – we’ve been unusually busy with algos! When free time allows today we will be reviewing algos in the room etc.
Algo work – EPIC is going to Patent this Monday – expect significant price increases this weekend. We will grandfather existing subs – yes. EPIC also is going to have 24 hour room of his own and futures trading starting sometime Jan. GOLD and SILVER algo price increases this weekend also. DXY SPY VIX beta algos published over coming days not weeks.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Shippers, Energy, $BLUE $CLRB $BSTG $CBK $CLC $DRYS $GLBS, $DCIX $COTV $LEI $SDRL $SKX $UGAZ $UWTI $QIWI $WLL $CS $CHK $OAS $JDST $UCO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $ARDM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $JUNO (previous wash-out on news) $URBN (previous wash-out on news).
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)
Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – I warned Friday of a pull-back and it could be here and Monday morning and it came. I’m looking for a long entry soon. I’m thinking we don’t see it cool again until near Christmas – we’ll see.
My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.
Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
Outlook: As warned Friday volatility was getting cheap and a pop was imminent and we got it. I expect volatility to get crushed between now and Christmas. Again, we’ll see.
Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.
My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.
Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)
Inflection point. No clear direction. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.
My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:
$UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.
Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)
Review Rosie the Gold Algo posts. We’re waiting for a market direction and then algo will calculate targets.
My Trading Plan for Gold:
I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.
Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)
Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)
Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.
My Plan for Trading Silver:
Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.
Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)
Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)
Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.
Outlook: Per previous
We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).
Trading Plan: Oil equities.
Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT
Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):
As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test.
BUT there is the 200 day on the 1 week chart – omminous! It could be resistance.
Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS