My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 8, 2016 in Chatroom. $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $SILVER, $SLV, $USOIL, $WTI, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $VIX, $NATGAS … more.
Welcome to the Thursday Wall Street trading short day session!
Important Notices
Lead Trader and Moderator / Software Engineer: Curtis and Sartaj are doing a number of media interviews between now and Dec 30 – today they have some to do so they will be intermittent in the room but will watch activity while in their interviews.
Price Increases: So we have had a few people now ask for the inaugral pricing on EPIC the algo (now that they know it includes his upcoming 24 hour futures trading room). Do me a favor if you’re already a member of one of our services get in on the pricing you are considering because the prices will regularly increase as the algos development. Just saying to be fair – it’s not like a normal trade room at a hundred bucks for a trade room – our proprietary algos wll go up in price for sure as I stated EPIC would in short order and I think it went from 199 month to 599 a month now (or maybe more I haven’t checked). Anyway… just thought I’d say it cause of the inquiries.
Algorithmic Charting and Trading Room: Some have asked us if we will continue to share algorithmic charting (such as EPIC’s) – the answer per the website is no – sure charting…. but necessarily the algorithmic charting. The charting in the room itself doesn’t do you much good anyway without the morning report from EPIC and various other things / notices we send our algo subs. So no, if you want the algo charting and the explanations etc they are a separate sub rate. The rate paid for the trading room is like any other trading room basic service – the algo charting shared at any given time is simply a bonus I suppose and will vary from algo to algo depending on where they are in development process.
Market Outlook:
Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS has come off some from important resistance I alerted. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect (THERE WAS A DIRECT HIT ON HIS PREDICTED TARGET FROM LAST WEEK YESTERDAY) so machines have been on since mid November break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and $SPY has continued its upward trend as we posted predicts on since before election. Watching markets for a pull back (as noted previous) sometime near or just after Christmas (it seems we have a Santa Claus rally). And that brings me to momo stocks and rotation therein, looks like a fun two weeks setting up here.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VYGR 29%, $TLRD 25%, $LULU 16%, $CTRV 15%, $NMM 9%, $AVXL 8%, $BPMX 7%, $IMNP, $PHMD, $TNXP, $BDSI, $NAVB, $EARS I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List: $EEM (wow did I nail that call and didn’t trade it), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Regular Trades:
S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)
Outlook: As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.
My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.
$SPY The Christmas Fibonacci Express. Keep Christmas Merry and don’t stand on the tracks
Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
Outlook: Our algorithm alerted me to a buy signal yesterday and it was a good signal – I didn’t trade it though.
Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.
My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.
Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)
US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soon – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here. Watch emerging markets close too!
Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.
My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting.
Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)
$USD/JPY Caution Gold bulls – it isn’t broken and we’ve been telling our members all along. Our US Dollar algorithm has been hitting very consistently as has our Gold algorithm and we don’t think it’s time to go long Gold yet unless you do it as a tight trade because you will inevitably get some upside room here soon but we are concerned about a pull back and maybe even a lower level trade – look at Rosie the Algo Twitter feed if you don’t know what I am talking about.
My Trading Plan for Gold:
Waiting for a long trade confirmation in Gold.
I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.
Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)
Silver $SL_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)
Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.
My Plan for Trading Silver:
Per previous;
Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.
Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock).
Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)
Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.
Outlook: Per previous – trading range.
Trading Plan: Oil equities.
Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT
Natural Gas $NG_F : $NATGAS (, $UGAZ, $DGAZ):
Hit resistance as I thought and alerted. We’ll see what happens.
Study:
Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS