Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday September 20, 2018.
In this edition: $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $MTEM, $PYX, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DIS, $SSW, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC, $BKRS and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
- Sept 20 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading today (as available).
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- The main live trading room going forward is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or if the lead trader is not available.
- Week of Sept 17 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Week of Sept 17 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Week of Sept 17 – Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Week of Sept 17 – The previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available on our website.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) June 30, 2017
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) November 6, 2017
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) July 23, 2017
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) July 23, 2017
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 19: Mid day review – currently in processing.
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
As I wrote the last few days I expect trade set-ups from Trading Boot Camp to start alarming as they have, the markets have some really decent setups (see video reports the last few days).
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Markets as of 7:11 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.50, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.15, Gold $GLD trading 1203.48, Silver $SLV trading 14.20, $SPY 291.22 (previous close), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6412.00 and $VIX trading 11.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Canadian cannabis company Cronos partners with Aleafia in study of medical marijuana for insomnia.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 20, 2018
The ‘Great Bull’ market is ‘dead,’ and here’s what’s next, Bank of America predicts.
The 'Great Bull' market is 'dead,' and here's what's next, Bank of America predicts https://t.co/nSiLM5qhV5
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 20, 2018
EU says Facebook must comply with EU consumer rules by end-2018 or face sanctions https://reut.rs/2Dcdiq5 $FB
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) September 20, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Ticketing company Eventbrite prices IPO at $23 to raise $230 million
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Under Armour’s stock jumps after profit outlook raised, restructuring costs increased
RV maker Thor Industries shares slide 10% premarket after profit miss
Olive Garden parent Darden’s stock jumps toward record after profit and sales beat, raised outlook
#earnings for the week
$MU $ORCL $FDX $AZO $RHT $GIS $CBRL $DRI $APOG $THO $UNFI $CPRT $MLHR $SCS $SMMT $AMRK
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
FACEBOOK (FB) bounce off quad wall in to key resistance (red blue) upside test 20MA 50 MA – key test area $FB #swingtrading #tradealerts
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
MOLECULAR TEMPLATES INC (MTEM) Trading 6.99 over 6.20 alert targeting 6.88 resistance, next areas on chart #daytrade #tradealerts
PYXUS $PYX came off alert premarket – trading 23.52 at primary pivot on 240 min chart targets 26.00 area if it launches at this area at open #daytrading #tradealert
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket
OIL 1 Min Chart $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
CVM Looking to break recent highs out of bullish bowl targets 5.00 then 6.00. $CVM #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
SP500 (SPY) near break upside test, above signals targets 293, 294.20, 295.50, 297 resistance Sept 21 ish $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #Swingtrade #tradingalerts
NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) Above 2.80, targets 3.27, 4.17, 4.89 $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrade
CRONOS (CRON) trading 11.93 testing diag TL over targets 13.04 14.62 14.80 15.88 16.75 Sept 27 $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
Seaspan (SSW) over 9.50 intra should see lower 10s fast, trading 9.34 intraday. $SSW #daytrade #swingtrade #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
ALIBABA (BABA) got a bounce at 100 MA under rane support, watching close here now $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrading
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Testing break-out area intra-day. On watch. $CARA #tradingsetups #tradealert
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD turning back up with price above 50 MA Sept 17 623 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
$BABA long side premarket 165s swing trade targets 178.67 then 207.50 Dec 17, 2018. #swingtrading #trade #alerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
-China announces tariff cuts
-No Brexit breakthrough
-OPEC has a problem
-New face for the Fed
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 20, 2018
Tech disruption is deflationary, BofAML says. The supply of robots, artificial intelligence and big data putting downward pressure on the price of labor, goods, services & capital. Aging Demographics and Excess Debt adding to the deflationary pressure.
Tech disruption is deflationary, BofAML says. The supply of robots, artificial intelligence and big data putting downward pressure on the price of labor, goods, services & capital. Aging Demographics and Excess Debt adding to the deflationary pressure. pic.twitter.com/3M20lCHZtI
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) September 20, 2018
Per Trump: We protect the countries of the Middle East, they would not be safe for very long without us, and yet they continue to push for higher and higher oil prices! We will remember. The OPEC monopoly must get prices down now! #OOTT #OPEC #OIL
Per Trump: We protect the countries of the Middle East, they would not be safe for very long without us, and yet they continue to push for higher and higher oil prices! We will remember. The OPEC monopoly must get prices down now! #OOTT #OPEC #OIL https://t.co/SnXvBCKNQF
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 20, 2018
US crude #oil stocks at 3-1/2-year low on the back of unseasonally strong refinery demand and robust exports. #OOTT
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) September 20, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $LIQT $NBEV $MTL $ABIL $TLRY $WPRT $MLHR $FOLD $IGC $BLDP $MYSZ $CRON $RUSL $NIO $DRI $VNE $CGC
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $NE $RIG $HP $RDC $DO $CAT $MTW $SNHY $IPG $CNI $FBP $RL $VIAB $NTR $ARCT
(6) Recent Downgrades: $CVIA $BRKR $SLCA $COP $CNQ $SFIX $SKX $FTNT $TPH $WLH
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@), $VIX (@), $SPY (@), $GLD (@), $SLV (@), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $MTEM, $PYX, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DIS, $SSW, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC, $BKRS