Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday September 26, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $ALDX, $SQ, $NKE, $SVMK, $DIS, $OSIS, $BLDP, $LEBV, $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
- Sept 26 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, #EIA report crude oil trading at 10:30, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or when the lead trader is not available.
- In final edits for release this week;
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) June 30, 2017
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) November 6, 2017
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) July 23, 2017
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) July 23, 2017
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
Stocks making the biggest move premarket: NKE, IBM, MRK, KBH, SVMK & more https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/26/stocks-making-the-biggest-move-premarket-nke-ibm-mrk-kbh-svmk–more.html
$SVMK Per CNBC;
SVMK – SVMK priced its initial public offering at $12 per share, above the expected range of $9 to $11 per share. The parent of SurveyMonkey also increased the size of its offering to 15 million shares from the original 13.5 million, and the IPO’s pricing gives the company a market value of $1.46 billion.
$NKE Per CNBC;
Nike – Nike reported quarterly profit of 67 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. The athletic footwear and apparel maker’s revenue was just barely above Street forecasts. Nike benefited from strong consumer spending in the U.S. market, among other factors, but some analysts are concerned about what they consider weaker than expected profit margins.
$GRPO per CNBC;
GoPro – The stock was upgraded to “outperform” from “perform” at Oppenheimer, based on the high definition camera maker’s new product offerings and what the firm calls appropriate pricing.
Below are some trade position notes from the last week or so if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on. I don’t see any reason why we won’t be able to push these set-ups out this evening after the markets close. There is so much going on right now in the markets (the ground is moving) that we have to start pushing this stuff out and get ready.
Doing some charting in premarket for $CLRB and $APDN – both very interesting set-ups IMO.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Markets as of 8:10 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.14, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.75, Gold $GLD trading 1198.21, Silver $SLV trading 14.43, $SPY 291.14 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6378.00 and $VIX trading 11.9.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$ALDX Alderya’s stock rockets after positive trial results of mesothelioma treatment https://www.marketwatch.com/story/alderyas-stock-rockets-after-positive-trial-results-of-mesothelioma-treatment-2018-09-26?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
28 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12409271 $ALDX $IGC $VSTM $EGY $KBH $GPRO $VNDA $DGLY $CONE $TEN $NKE $CTAS
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 26, 2018
$TLRY Supreme Cannabis Signs $12M Guaranteed Supply Agreement with Tilray®Supreme Cannabis (SPRWF) and Tilray® enter into a twelve-month guaranteed supply agreement Supreme Cannabis (SPRWF) to supply 7ACRES premium dried cannabis to Tilray®
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
$SVMK SurveyMonkey IPO is bigger than expected https://www.marketwatch.com/story/surveymonkey-ipo-is-bigger-than-expected-2018-09-25?mod=mw_share_twitter
Elastic sets IPO terms to raise up to $203 million, to be valued at up to $2 billion
$BNGO REMINDER: Analyst IPO Quiet Period Expiration Today for BioNano Genomics
Ticketing company Eventbrite prices IPO at $23 to raise $230 million
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Actuant’s stock tumbles after earnings and sales beat but profit outlook falls short
#earnings for the week
$NKE $BB $KMX $RAD $KBH $JBL $ACET $FDS $MANU $BBBY $NEOG $ACN $CCL $INFO $ATU $MTN $WOR $CTAS $MKC $CAG $ASNA $AIR $OMN $CMD $FGP $PRGS $ESNC $ANGO $CAMP $FUL $DAC $ISR $SCHL
#earnings for the week$NKE $BB $KMX $RAD $KBH $JBL $ACET $FDS $MANU $BBBY $NEOG $ACN $CCL $INFO $ATU $MTN $WOR $CTAS $MKC $CAG $ASNA $AIR $OMN $CMD $FGP $PRGS $ESNC $ANGO $CAMP $FUL $DAC $ISR $SCHL https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/pVka1Ud3QD
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
$ALDX Premarket trading 12.60 up 27 percent Alderya’s stock rockets after positive trial results of mesothelioma treatment #premarket
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade trading HOD 114.70 with intra resistance, serious resistance at quad wall (dotted gray) next $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade alert going well. As trade nears previous highs on candles on 240 expect resistance until break-out. $SQ #tradealerts
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
Screen shot of crude oil trading room, lead trader discussing oil trading signals and strategy in chat. #oiltradingroom
Screen Shot of Crude Oil Trading Room and the oil trading signals discussed by lead trader.
Swing trade alert at 89.00 on Square $SQ today at market open. Chart shows the incredible trading in Square today. #swingtrade #tradealerts
$SQ opened strong today on upgrade, long 89.00 and we’ll be looking for more size / legs in this one. Closed the day at 95.95. #swingtrading #daytrading #tradealerts
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 26, 2018
As the media wars heat up, Chart Master Carter Worth sees one company as a buy: Disney $DIS #swingtrading
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) September 25, 2018
Best Oil Stocks to Buy Now https://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-oil-stocks-buy-now-012433429.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
APPLE (AAPL) premarket bullish momentum with 20 MA test and 224.60 range buy sell trigger above $AAPL #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
CVM Looking to break recent highs out of bullish bowl targets 5.00 then 6.00. $CVM #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
SP500 (SPY) near break upside test, above signals targets 293, 294.20, 295.50, 297 resistance Sept 21 ish $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #Swingtrade #tradingalerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Risk appetite keeps climbing…
Risk appetite keeps climbing… pic.twitter.com/QhRj5H21zn
— D.Schrottenbaum, CFA (@David_Schro) September 26, 2018
America avoided an apocalyptic ‘economic catastrophe’: Hank Paulson https://www.foxbusiness.com//economy/america-avoided-an-apocalyptic-economic-catastrophe-hank-paulson #FoxBusiness
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ANY $IGC $ALDX $INPX $JONE $EGY $VSTM $OASM $NBEV $MNKD $AMDA $KBH $MICT $AKER $TLRY $GPRO $NIO $NVAX
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $KBH $GOLD $LNG $SONC $MTB $GPRO $STM $VIAB $MTB $IBM
$SQ Square (SQ) PT Raised to $105 at Buckingham Research; ‘Story Keeps Getting Better’
Amazon.com (AMZN) PT Raised to $2,350 at Jefferies, Could Reach $3,000 By 2020
Activision stock rises after Piper Jaffray raises target due to new ‘Call of Duty’ battle royale mode
(6) Recent Downgrades: $KOS $DWDP $CHEF $XOXO $COG $SYF $PAYC $LRCX $CIEN $MANH
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@), $VIX (@), $SPY (@), $GLD (@), $SLV (@), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Crude Oil, Fed, $ALDX, $SQ, $NKE, $SVMK, $GPRO, $DIS, $AMD