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How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3)

Theme Swing Trading Strategies – How US Dollar Should Bias Trades in Indices, Commodities, Currencies, Crypto and Stocks.

Below is a copy of a $USDCAD Trading View chart idea I just posted open to the public (unlocked) that shows the time cycle peak for USDCAD in to Jan/Feb of 2021 warning shorts of the potential for significant volatility in to that time period, it is advantage bulls in USDCAD.

Any other investing or swing trading a trader does should take this time cycle and strength of the US Dollar in to consideration.

Time cycle peaks can go either way so it is important to be flexible in your trading bias, however, this particular set-up is unusually strong and it is a LARGE TIME-CYCLE, this is charted on a Weekly Time-Frame which should be given great consideration by a trader in strategic theme trade planning.

The second part to this public facing unlocked post will be part 3B at which time I will unlock the theme swing plays our members will want to consider for swing trading various financial instruments (as listed above in sub title) in to this time cycle peak.

I will also expand on the US Dollar charting and various algorithmic models to consider in the US Dollar (DXY) for trading it and themes surrounding the US Dollar.

For now, a copy of my Trading View Post on USDCAD chart structure is below with some comment.

Very Dangerous for Shorts – USDCAD Time Cycle Peak Jan-Feb 2021 – #USDCAD chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCAD/51QMVLkm-Very-Dangerous-for-Shorts-USDCAD-Time-Cycle-Peak-Jan-Feb-2021/

USDCAD, chart, currencies, swingtrading

Very Dangerous for Shorts – USDCAD Time Cycle Peak Jan-Feb 2021 – #USDCAD chart

Time Cycle Peaks and Inflections

Time cycle inflections can go either way, they are an area of great volatility , but for now this is significantly weighted to advantage bulls as it relates to the time cycle in currency trade for USDCAD #USDCAD $USDCAD.

What makes this potentially even more volatile is the work we do in volatility $VIX timecycles and Oil volatility ( OVX ) etc. They are all signalling this time period as extreme.

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How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities , Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

https://compoundtrading.com/how-to-swing-trade-volatility-vix-time-cycles-unlocked-pt-1-achieve-higher-gains-in-stocks-commodities-indices-crypto-currencies-and-theme-trades/

Protected: How to Swing Trade Volatility Time-Cycles (PREMIUM PT 2): Entering Eye of The Storm – Indices, Commodities , Currencies, Crypto and Stock Theme Trades.

https://compoundtrading.com/how-to-swing-trade-volatility-time-cycles-premium-pt-2-entering-eye-of-the-storm-indices-commodities-currencies-crypto-and-stock-theme-trades/

And coming in this series of Swing Trading $STUDY GUIDES (after we review current trade alerts and profit loss statement updates) you will see a series of articles from me to prepare our swing trades that will slowly focus us down deeper and deeper in the rabbit hole of the cycle.

You’ll see review of current trade positions, swing trade alert reviews and on to indices, sectors, commodities, currencies and then themes will start to show themselves in stocks etc.

So now it is all about $STUDY of trade set-ups and watching for inflections, themes, sentiment, trajectory of trade and much more.

This is why the Sunday $STUDY sessions are so important. THEY ARE CRITICAL.

Just following along with our swing trade alerts is fine – we have many traders that do very well with simply just that, but it doesn’t help teach you to learn to fish on your own.

If you are in the Swing Trade $STUDY sessions you can bring set-ups forward, you can then plan your sizing and ebb and flow of trade in advance. This is key to trading success. A plan in advance.

We charge 100.00 for non-members and 50.00 for members for 10 session blocks at 4 hours each held once a week and if you can’t be in session online we email a video copy to you.

You can register online here to the Swing Trade Sunday $STUDY Sessions.

Stay awake, we’re entering the cycle now, it reminds me of being in the two hurricanes on the north shore of the Dominican Republic a few years back, it is an amazing experience.

If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Look for “Swing Trading Time Cycles Part 4: Swing Trade Alert Reviews – Current Trades” in your member email inbox shortly.

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

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Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Article Topics; US Dollar, USD/CAD, DXY, swing trading, time cycles, trading, currencies, study, charting, setups, FX

 


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PART 1: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles and Achieve Much Higher Gains (ROI) in Equities, Commodities, Indices, Crypto and Theme Trades. 

In my opinion, this is the single most important skill a trader can possess, charting and trading time-cycle inflections within the markets.

Below is Part 1 of my new $STUDY guide series for swing traders and daytraders alike.

I am asked all the time why my Swing Trading win percentage is high, most assume I am a mystic of some sort because I always write about or share on social media charting or comments relating to market time-cycles. Seriously, people message me all the time with these sorts of assertions or questions.

In the technical analysis work I do in time-cycles there is nothing mystic about it at all. I don’t sit on a tripod, I don’t meditate (at least in the way you might imagine), I don’t look to the stars or special numbers. I use structural mathematical chart modeling and more often than not geometric charting structures built on Fibonacci levels.

Every financial instrument has a natural trading structure, patterns or as some refer to it as chart memory.

In nature all entities have a natural order or structure, this is the premise of Fibonacci. Financial instruments are natural in that they are traded on public markets by humans – this makes the instruments natural in structure.

However, there are times where specific events such as world calamities occur like COVID-19 Black Swan Event, the Iraq war, the 911 terrorist attack etc.

During these times the trading structure of financial instruments is more often than not divergent – or trading outside of its natural structure.

Central bank intervention (QE) can also cause divergent trade within a stock, commodity, indices etc as can company news (referring to publicly traded stocks). The smaller the company the more opportunity for divergent trade outside of the natural structure. Here the trade instrument or market liquidity becomes important.

If then random events cause the natural trade action of a stock (or whatever) to not be normal this is usually accompanied by increased volatility. A great example of this is the recent COVID-19 Black Swan Event and how it affected various markets around the world.

A specific example can be seen in the trade action of crude oil futures, and more specifically the trade volatility of crude oil, which is called or traded as symbol $OVX . Oil volatility (OVX) was trading in the 20’s (where we were accumulating based on time cycle work) and when the Black Swan event hit the price of $OVX Oil Volatility hit 334.00s, an incredible win. This was all based on time cycle work.

Below is a chart showing the trade action of OVX (Oil Volatility) during the COVID-19 Black Swan Event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

So if we know that specifically time cycle events (that normally come with increased volatility) occur within public markets then is it possible that knowing the structure of volatility (VIX) itself and related financial instruments such as oil volatility (OVX) can assist with a trader’s bias for trading various stocks, metals, currencies, crypto, indices and more?

The answer is yes. But it gets better.

Each instrument itself has its own natural order, or structure. The instrument structure say for example with Apple (AAPL) stock can then be charted on various time-frames from weekly, daily, hourly etc (we chart on thirteen time-frames). This provides a trader with the structure of timing for volatility and price trajectory on various time-frames, for investing, swing trading and daytrading.

And it even gets better (like the TV commercials haha) because when a trader understands how the volatility (VIX) and market time-cycles can line up and also with various themes (for example stock or sector themes) then things get really interesting for your ROI because now you have all structures of trade firing together in a symbiotic fashion. It becomes pure trading ecstasy.

This my friends is why our swing trading platform is so successful and why we structure our trade bias the way we do.

When the iron is hot we strike (time cycles) and when it cools we are taking profit and in deep $STUDY of the financial instrument structures and time cycles.

Another recent example is when the market bull seemed as though it would never stop, and four days before it stopped in a very volatile fashion we publicly announced that we were taking our profits and leaving our long positions behind, we cashed out. This, was done with time cycle work.

The tweet below explains (and shows the actual swing trade alerts) of some of our time cycle work,

I am explaining that I knew about the Black Swan event coming (called it Dec 19, 2019) and then on February 13, 2020 4 days before the market started to collapse we publicly announced we were taking our profits in the bull run home and closing longs.

And then even better yet, we sized in to shorting NIKE, WYNN and MASTERCARD for epic wins. This is where your profits are, in the time cycle inflections, everything else is $STUDY and positioning (managing size and getting your position and trajectory of trade right for the boom).

“Dec 19 call for pins to be pulled, last time cycle published, Feb 13 out of long positions 90% (publicly) then we hammered down short $NKE $WYNN $MA etc..

Why is this important?

For a victory lap? How bout truth.

#Timecycles, market instrument structure.

Natural law.”

 

So in part two of this article (it will be Premium member only) we will look specifically at Volatility (VIX) and how the time cycles within volatility work and then we’ll move to various stock theme swing trades we are looking at in this current time cycle along with also doing some articles over the coming days on the trade set-ups within this cycle for crypto, metals, indices, currencies and more.

This time period now is all about getting ready, understanding how time cycles work, starting to get our positioning in the various themes of trade and watching for the trajectories to line up between now and the peak of the next time cycle and the one after.

Also, before I forget, I am also going to be covering in articles for our members soon the need for a proper trading plan before entering your trade including how to size your trade, how to ebb and flow the support and resistance within the structure, sizing and trading the time cycle inflections of the instrument and more.

If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Part Two in this $STUDY Series can be found here:

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

 

Article Topics; swing trading, time cycles, volatility, VIX, stocks, commodities, crypto, metals, indices, trading, currencies, Fibonacci, charting, markets, black swan events