09
Dec 2016
$USD/JPY, Stockmarket, Watchlist, Chatroom, Trading Plan

Pre-Market Newsletter Friday Dec 9 $IDXG, $AEM, $TBIO, $GLD $GDX $SLV $USOIL $WTIC $NG_F $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX …

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 9, 2016 in Chatroom. Small cap oil, Casino stocks, Tech, Retail,

Pre-Market Newsletter Friday Dec 9 $IDXG, $AEM, $TBIO, $GLD $GDX $SLV $USOIL $WTIC $NG_F $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX …

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 9, 2016 in Chatroom. Small cap oil, Casino stocks, Tech, Retail, $IDXG, $AEM, $TBIO, $GOLD, $GLD, Miners, $GDX, $SILVER, $SLV, $USOIL, $WTI, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $VIX, $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Thursday Wall Street trading short day session!

Important Notices:

$UWTI $DWTI have been resurrected as $UWT and $DWT – this is a massive thing for my trading to say the least. http://uk.reuters.com/article/usa-investment-etn-idUKL1N1E31ZB 

Oil meetings are this weekend so everything oil related is on high watch!

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO

Market Outlook:

Casino stocks on watch!!! Wash-out snap backs! $WYNN $MPEL $MGM $LVS

Dips on $GOLD are NOT being bought now vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER). The Trump train / reflation train.

$NATGAS has come off some from important resistance I alerted.

$USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect and price is on its way to EPICs new targets! so machines have been on since mid November break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me).

$SPY has continued its upward trend. Watching markets for a pull back (as noted previous) sometime near or just after Christmas (it seems we have a Santa Claus rally).

And that brings me to momo stocks and rotation therein, looks like a fun two weeks setting up here. So these remain on high watch.

I am also watching Tech and Retail.

Crude oil, chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 743 AM Dec 9 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

These algorithmic charts will not be shared in the room or in this morning newsletter indefinetly (and without the algo newsletter they don’t do you a lot of good). While in beta for each they will be shared at times in the general room and in general watchlists etc but not indefinitely and not completely.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $IDXG 63%, $AEM 46%, $TBIO 38%, $SWC 21%, $FGP 13%, $LVS $MBLX $FNSR $MPEL $WYNN $JCOM $AVGO $CCJ $SSH $BIIB $MGM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $WYNN, $MPEL, $MGM, $LVS, $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: I was looking at a possible pull-back between now and Tuesday but that may not happen. As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

$USDJPY Did warn em. Break out. $GLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG $DXY

$USD/JPY

$USDJPY Did warn em. Break out. $GLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG $DXY

US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soonish though – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here.

Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

$USD/JPY Per previous – Caution Gold bulls.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Waiting for a long trade confirmation in Gold.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SL_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock).

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Per previous:

Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.

Outlook: Per previous – trading range. There are oil meetings this weekend again so watch close. I will be watching small cap oil very close Friday and Monday!!!

Trading Plan: Oil equities:

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F : $NATGAS (, $UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted. We’ll see what happens.

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $IDXG, $AEM, Casino stocks, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

25
Nov 2016

$Gold Trading Chart Update Nov 25 $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Rosie the Gold Algo Chart Report , , , , , , , , , , , , , , RosietheAlgo GLD

Gold Trading Chart Update Nov 25 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

November 25, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Gold Trading Report.

Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1187.51. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$GOLD, Algo, Stock

$GOLD Algo intra work sheet – charting. Nov 25 531 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Oct 9, 2016 my algorithm designer sent out this tweet about the price target for Gold he was waiting for before looking at a possible long position. Many of course, gave him a hard time – but since many have politely humbled themselves to my math and the math of the other algorithms in my family (we are six).

And then more recently this tweet on November 17, 2016 to alert his followers on Twitter of the imminent price target hit.

Then, 15 hours ago he sent this tweet to advise that Gold was in fact in the price target range.

Here are what the basic quadrants Gold trades in look like… remember… basic…

Price Target previously published on the chart with the quadrants and moving averages.

Here is your MAIN CONCERN with taking a long position right now. The bottom of the quadrant hasn’t been hit.

So what do you do? You wait for price – target – trigger. What is a trigger? When price and all the indicators line up. Until then you can snipe trades if you know your indicators well enough. But before sitting in a long position and planting roots you should be sure your TRIGGER is there. More in our trading room about this.

Here is your SECOND BIGGEST PROBLEM WITH A LONG TRADE IN $GOLD

And here is an example of an intra-day trade snipe set-up to watch for. We will be trading various set-ups in the room.

Indicators

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

We won’t be publishing alpha algo targets and algo trend-lines for my algo and the four others that have not yet until our trading room is private to subscribers only on Dec 1, 2016. We have proven our algorithms through the transparent development of EPIC the OIL algo and all five other algos have consistently nailed their targets. So subscribers can look forward to the targets (as you have seen us publish regularly for EPIC the Oil Algo – if you aren’t aware check out his Twitter feed and 92% win rate).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

 

Article Topics: Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

 

 

16
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Wednesday Nov 16 ($USD/JPY, $IWM, $RWM, $IWM, $FAZ, $USOIL, $GDX… more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday November 16, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – I was going to start this week, and did a tad… but quickly realized all the machines need to be tied in for that.

Market Outlook – So yesterday the market inflection point started and continued over night and so the next few days will be interesting – there are battles in every corner… we’ll see. So I’ve started to chew around the edges of the inflection with instruments like $GDX but nothing is where you can really bite down on and go with yet. Obviously there’s anomolies like the shippers of late – but that’s intra anomoly plays I’m not really interested in but won’t disregard – and I know they’re all buying Lamborghinis today… I know. Oh and oil got up over important resistance during trade yesterday but lost it overnight so I’m looking for the 200 day on the 1 hour as possible long entry.

Rate Hike?

Things that make you go hmmm…

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $LOW Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $SINO $OPTT $CRDS $CLLS $TOUR $SHIP $LPL $ESEA $TOPS $GOGL $NTNX $TGT $DCIX $YRD $SDRL Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Inflection points with currencies $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials $FAZ, Indices $IWM $RWM $TZA and more. Volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Other Watch-List(s): Shippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some and with this inflection point – it’s a wait and see – we may see a pullback here first. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond and small cap issues and more over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility could get some lift here at market inflection and then get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I am still expecting it to get crushed – but it will likely get some lift here with the market inflection and short term pull back I’m seeing short term in indices etc.

My trading plan for $VIX is obviously $TVIX $UVXY $XIV day trade snipes.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since early July. It should at least take a breather here. It is .2 cents off my price target.

May call from October 12, 2016 – Price Target Hit

Aug 3, 2016 I was tell the $DXY bulls they were going to have a good Christmas (our algo was launched in – house at that point and was hitting like mad – I was being a little cheeky).

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

$USD/JPY

$FXY

$TZA could get a bounce.

My trading plan with $DXY is that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside. If $USD/$JPY comes off some I may look at Miner’s and I’m expecting Russell 2000 to come off a bit – BUT YOU NEVER KNOW.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

My plan with Gold and the miners remains the same – patience. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

4:33 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Oil got up over resistance yesterday and lost it overnight (that thick blue line) – so I am hoping for the 200 day on the 1 Hour as a long entry.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 721 AM Nov 16, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines: Overhead Resistance 45.54. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many but one of note at 44.56. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Support at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.51 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI at the 200 day on the 1 hour (pink line on chart) in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Wowza

Other:

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Thinking the air is getting a little thin up here for $IWM

Watching $RWM Russell 200 Short

Thinking Aluminum for some reason

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom

10
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Nov 10 ($USOIL $WTI Oil, $DXY Dollar, $VIX, $GLD Gold, $NATGAS … more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 10, 2016.

Election is Over!

Sorry, no premarket yesterday – but we did bank in the room and the alerts have been dead on.

Futures were strong as were/are world markets.

A few big things today… obvious lift in $SPY (and we’re banking on $XIV), my $THC swing I may exit soon, $HTZ should of held (it was a decent call), BASE METALS as I’ve posted on my feed will be strong mid term with infrastructure spending (Trump) and coal will be strong mid term likely.Copper is flying and shippers may take off here. Oh, and Natural Gas looks like it’s getting close to a buy zone. And as alerted tech and bio. Also, I missed the $NIKKEI snapback trade (which I wanted to catch just forgot – and yup it snapped back)

Many sectors are getting lift as we expected so it is important to stay in the zone – focus – nimble. Oil should be the story soon being it is bouncing under ceiling resistance on 200 on the 1 hr and bouncing up off 50 on the 1 hr.

 

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk FYI. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, and more in chat b4 open.

If #Silver gets up over resistance and #Gold gets flight $AUMN can double fast.

$THX is up 6% or so in pre-market – so this swing is doing ok so far – I may exit this morning though.

$WFT I am watching for follow-thru.

Regular Watchlist: $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), $SPY, $DXY, $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), more to come in trading room before market open.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX)

Well I nailed that call… what can I say. We’re going to new highs. Next eight calendar days are critical. Stay awake.

Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

From Tuesday….

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatilty. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win every-time here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

So the $VIX is right at that diagonal trendline support – but you have to be careful putting too much consideration in to diagonal supports to beging with – but even moreso with the $VIX (it isn’t like a diagonal trendline with most equities).
$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

I missed the move in the Peso… had it lined up but you can’t get every play… WE SHOULD WATCH IT THOUGH for a bit of a snapback next week perhaps.

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

The actual charting with the $DXY US Dollar isn’t broken at all… if you chekc my Twitter feed long before it got lift here I was telling folks what the algorithmic symmetry was saying… but many didn’t listen. This was an easy set-up IMO.

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Get your charting up and watch this close for a break-out. They have meetings coming up too.

Watch your 200 day on the 1 hour for resistance and 50 day on the 1 hour for support (and more recently this morning off the 100 for support) – either breach and that’s a tell. If I miss it in the room send me a DM on twitter or an email to [email protected]. Also watch the blue diagonal trendlines on the chart for resistance and support. And the purple horizontal supports and resistance. If crude gets above the 200 Day on the 1 hour and above the blue trendline above it and the purple resistance in that same area then it’s in break-out mode. DONT MISS IT AND DONT LET ME MISS IT LOL.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Obviously all base metals will be bullish, however, $GOLD is running in to some chart resistance that is wise to consider.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Pay attention to that 17.92 resistance – if #Silver can get up and over that on back-test it could fly. This would be my preferred play in the metals category. Also watch $AUMN if #SILVER gets up over 17.92. LETS NOT MISS THAT ONE EITHER.

Copper $JJC

Copper should cool soon here IMO and get some downdraft and then run again IMO.
Natural Gas – $NATGASUSD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Per previous…

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

#NaturalGas IMO is almost at a floor, watch close!!! LETS CATCH THE TRAIN HERE TOO!

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compound predictability starts Monday (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

GL GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre Market, Trading Plan, Wallstreet, Stocks, Daytrading

07
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Nov 7, 2016 ($USOIL Oil, $DXY US Dollar, $VIX Volatility, $GLD Gold and more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday November 7, 2016.

Election Trading

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after elextion.

I’m sitting tight and will trade scalps until after election. After election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades. So for now I’m not going to get to detailed with pre-market trade plans but after election you will see very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development.

Momentum Stocks

I will at times take first 30 min momo plays if and only if I think I can secure a stop that is tight and get immediate momentum on my side… I know a lot of rooms will take these plays regularly… but they aren’t normally my style because I want clear risk reward on my side and a predictable exit on my side. Compound trading works well if disciplined (and it mitigates unnecessary risk). Nonetheless, I watch morning momo plays not only for the first 30 mins but also, and more importantly, they are often the stocks I trade later in the day when they snap back after a downdraft or they continue to trend (I am looking for technical indicators such as a trending moving average, increased volume, continued trend, and more). 1 snap back or continued trend per day at 1% (or .20 cents on a 20.00 stock) over 26 months is 10k to 1.14 MM or it can be done in 6 months with 4 of these trades a day…. but it has to be low risk so you can execute stops or manual exits with-out stress and undo risk.

So just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time). These I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Well…. Hillary isn’t guilty they say… so everyone is happy… so we have a $VIX GAP DOWN of 12.5% at time of writing… which in my thinking is awesome… A $VIX in the 19’s is closer to the 13’s or 14’s I’d like to get an entry at and is much better than reaching for 22’s and 23’s… had I only held $XIV over weekend…. but I wasn’t prepared to take the risk… I want 1% a day for 10k to 1MM in 2 years… that’s it… simple… focus.

So the snap back I was all about last week is obviously here…. but I’d be careful with holds Monday and Tuesday night… you never know… things a fucky to say the least.

I’m looking for entries on either side of the range for scalps.. for me that’s it for now with $VIX.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

From last Thursday’s trading plan…

The US Dollar was close to a Fib at 97.07 earlier so this is an interesting watch for possible long in $UUP (long) and watching $UDN close (short a basket of currencies including British Pound).

Well… it got a little better downdraft than 97.07 and snap – back happened – overnight as I write it has snapped back from 96.89 – 97.70… I trade I should not have missed – I had it set-up.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

I will be watching other currency relationships also for Fib and Pivots and will post as opportunities / time arise.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

I don’t have much to say other than… there’s the snap back and remember to watch the pivots… same here… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI #OOTT #Algo)

There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open. Generally speaking it was in a downdraft near some support but at significant risk… but likely a tad over-sold.. and I see at time of writing it is up in over-night trading. I’d be very cautious though – but that’s just an opinion. We’ll see what EPIC’s calculations look like.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

I continue to watch per previous.

So it’s really all about our current rally, staying nimble through election and then on to charting and trading thereafter with detailed set-ups.

Good luck!

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/, https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis

04
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter (Contrarian Day or Continued Sell-Off?)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 4, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! The election is near, it Payroll day… and will the market continue to sell-off? Even more importantly… can I get to the pool before the rain comes – soooo beautiful during trading hours and then lightening thunder and rain right when I get there – EVERYDAY.

My trading plan today (like my post market report last night) will be very brief… both because we were up all night with equipment and software upgrades and because from now until the election not much has changed….

EXCEPT…

I pivoted late day to a contrarian play and put my money where my mouth is on it and took $XIV trades with BOTH my small day trade account and large swing account. I may or may not move in and out of that position! Stay nimble!

THE MARKET CAN STAY….. you know the rest.

Morning Momentum / Yesterday Gainers:

Prior to election I doubt I will take a morning momo play… after election yes most days I do… but morning momo is going to be a tough play IMO – that is was I have mostly sat on my hands in the morning.

IF YOU WANT TO BLOW UP YOUR ACCOUNT… MESS UP MORNING MOMO!!!

It is a bit early to post momo plays so I will post them as I see them of interest in the room and on my Twitter feed as time allows.

Anyway, from yesterday I am following:

$IQNT, $MPG, $TCCO, $EVI, $ENOC, $DRYS – Shippers and Twitter and others…

Crude Oil – FX $USOIL, $WTI | $USO $DWTI $UWTI $CL_F Etc….

EPIC the Oil Algo new algorithmic calculations are not published yet for the new price / time zone… I wouldn’t expect them until before market open Monday because the price has done NOTHING since it dropped in to it’s new zone… it did slice right through a target on Wed at 10:30 AM (red circles) and looks like it will do the same for today’s 1:00 PM algo target. You can see on the chart how the algos are trading up to the algo trendline (red dotted line) and it has done not much else – but it is UNDER that red dotted line – caution IMO.

Gold, Silver, Miners, Metals… ($JNUG, $JDST, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $GLD, $SLV, $USLV etc…)

My position is intact… prior to election downdraft I was looking for downdraft (one) in Gold and Silver (if you go back to my posts you will see consistency there) and I also am prepared for Gold and Silver among others to take off… I am watching. Watch $FXY.

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ… etc)

No clue – no clue at all – it should be running. Just like silver should be IMO.

Volatility $VIX ($UVXY, $XIV, $TVIX etc)

I think $VIX insurance was a tad over-done yesterday… but of course I have been wrong before – so I took a contrarian trade in $XIV and we’ll see. RR was good and I have room in my win rate to fail once in a while:)

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP and $HYG, $TLT etc..

It is threatening support – I would be cautious. You never know what kind of manipulation is coming over next few trading days – I AM WATCHING IT like a hawk. The dollar, credit, $HYG, $TLT, $DXY, China $CNY and other currencies etc…. I am watching very close.

Twitter

This is such an interesting play for me now – I was interested until recently – but now I am ESPECIALLY with some big name tech companies TANKING.

In Summary… between now and the election it is all about being nimble for me.

The trade room could get really exciting or be the most boring few trading days on record!

Watch the room alerts and my Twitter feed for updates!

Good luck and stay blessed! And please… bank bank bank.

Curt

 

 

28
Oct 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter ($SPY, $VIX, $USOIL Oil, $DXY, $GLD Gold, $SLV Silver…more)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Good morning stock traders!

$SPY $ES_F

I don’t expect any $SPY related trading until election unless there is some unexpected “width” in trade.

$VIX – $TVIX $UVXY $XIV

I do expect to be trading $VIX related instruments between now and election… however, with current chart I would like an entry when $VIX closer to 13. It is currently 15.2.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP) – $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW

$DXY is far from broken – break-out still intact. Upside resistance levels. Currently at 98.84. Look for further run in $DXY ($UUP), $FXY (Japan Yen) continued pressure,  $CNY (China Renminbi/USD ETN) continued deval, possible continued run with $TZA (small cap bear), and $SMK / $EWW (Mexico) I am watching for an election play.

FX $USOIL $WTI – $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Crude #Oil

Crude is well above its traditional charting diagonal and horizontal trend line supports and within its trading range. EPIC the Oil algorithm published targets for 1:00 today and current price action is almost perfectly between the two main alpha algo targets published. There is a significant time / price cycle terminating no later than Tuesday Nov 1 at 9:00 PM ET and normally price will move in or out of current trading range before the termination. In this case my bet is a movement before 4:30 PM Tuesday but it could be anytime now.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

I was looking for an entry in $GLD at the 114.00 / 115.00 area (intra-day price 120.98) – but I don’t think now I will get that before the election (that was the plan so I will watch). Gold at 1266.65 is still one level up from my target.

Even with the pressure on the miner’s yesterday (even though a pull-back is likely short-term), I am looking for that move to continue over next week – again with election things are more difficult to future cast.

Going in to election however, I am very bullish most commodities. WITHIN DAYS I WILL BE HUNTING DOWN company equities specific to a strong move I see coming very very SOON.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

My position with Silver ($SLV) is similar as that with Gold ($GLD) in that I am waiting for one more downdraft – here again I may not get that.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ $DGAZ

My thesis was the recent run-up (which we got and I miss timed) – but short term as with Gold I expect on level down in the elevator (again, could be wrong) so that is what I will watch for.

Summary

With all of the charts relating to the above I will be watching for support and resistance levels that make sense to trade (trying to only take trades on major pivots is important). Next week our charting and algo charting publications will become very detailed (in separate reports) which will make this discussion and trade planning more clear as a result of the detail (and the chat room / broadcasting will be going live – that will help clarity and intra-trading too).

Have a great day! May you bank and bank more! Freedom is calling your name!

Curt

PS: Other…

US GDP on deck as I write – looks like a small increase..

Rig count today 13:00 EST

Premarket: http://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/16/10/8616695/a-peek-into-the-markets-u-s-stock-futures-edge-higher-alphabet-posts-upb

12 Stocks To Watch:
AMGN, AMZN, CVX, Data Processing & Outsourced Services, Earnings, EXPE, GOOGL, Health Care.

http://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/16/10/8616065/12-stocks-to-watch-for-october-28-2016

 

 

28
Oct 2016

Today’s Trading Results – Post Market Report

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Today (yesterday really as this is late) was a frustrating day… two triggers and two losses and zero wins – one of the first days like that for a while. Fortunately the entries were not huge.

Hopefully some of my mistakes will help your trading.

$SPY $XIV $TVIX $UVXY

I am likely going to stay away from $SPY related trades until the election and $VIX related trades until right before the election.

$DXY US Dollar Index

The day started with the $DXY threatening… and oil initially did respond to it but as the day progressed oil continued to get lift off the diagonal trendline (blue on oil charts). So that was my first miss (lesson # 1) – the trend line was a high probability trigger that I should have pulled on (I would have been long $UWTI).

FX: $USOIL $WTI

As the US Dollar continued its assault $TZA continued to rise (a reminder of my alert near bottom a number of days ago that I didn’t take full advantage of) – lesson # 2.

$UGAZ

Lesson # 3 is in following through with your trade plan. Now, it is important to understand the difference between a intra-day swing trade plan and my normal trade method. My normal method is to “time” an entry so that I pull the trigger literally right before a spike so that I get 1 – 3% room to decide if I want to stay in a trade through the pullback etc… when I entered $UGAZ I wasn’t confident I’d get that 1 – 3%… I got a bit and then it pulled back and it became uncomfortable and I sold AND THEN OF COURSE IT RAN. So the lesson was obviously if I had a plan for it (which I did as I did foresee it running) then I should have been prepared for the pullback. Anyway, in the trade room I’ll be able to explain in advance of pulling trigger which trade is which type in advance of pulling trigger. Bottom line… should have stayed in it because it went in to rippy mode shortly after I sold. I should also note that when I pulled the trigger, part of the reason was I thought I’d get a bounce off the 200 MA on the 1 min as it did bounce in that way earlier a few times.

White arrows are entry and exit – you can see my entry was right above 200 and it didn’t hold. That should have either caused me to exit immediately or hold for the full swing.

$UGAZ trade - 200 MA on 1 Minute chart failed.

$UGAZ trade – 200 MA on 1 Minute chart failed.

Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Lesson #4 for the day was the inverse Gold Miner’s trade… I was all over it the night before and in the morning and got distracted with the $UGAZ trade… $JDST and $DUST were great trade opportunities missed.

$CVI – CVR Energy

This was actually a good risk reward and when it didn’t spike on a double bottom after a significant downdraft I did exit – so my risk reward was intact and normally I win in this trade. It didn’t turn my way this time… but I wouldn’t do it any different next time. You have to accept the risk with this trade.

So those were my lessons for the day! Hopefully the help your trading some!

Stay blessed and see you for Friday session soon!

Curt

 

27
Oct 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter ($SPY, $VIX, $USOIL Oil, $DXY, $GLD Gold, $SLV Silver and more)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Good morning, Stock Traders! Earnings season is in full gear and everybody is happy (for now).

Yesterday was awesome with a 9.2% portfolio gain… looking to trade for at least 1% compound today (3% goal daily).

Today’s premarket trading plan will be quick – we’re burning 20 hour days getting everything ready for pre-launch.

$SPY ($ES_F)

Futures are “just” in the green – range bound boredom trade continues… there is a wedge that terminates near election day… wouldn’t you know it. No play for me here yet… I’ll be watching the volatility side close though.

I would expect S&P, DOW, NASDAQ and world markets in general to be up until at least early Tuesday next week (unless geopolitical issues hit). Yes, WikiLeaks may have a major drop on Hillary or Donald.

$VIX ($XIV, $TVIX, $XIV)

Continue on watch until election… I missed the trigger yesterday and will continue to watch… with Friday on deck I don’t expect volatility until early next week now at earliest so there may be an entry possible.

FX $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $CL_F, #OIL, #Crude, #OOTT)

This is one of the more interesting plays… EPIC the algo put out revised Friday alpha algo targets FYI.

Crude is holding on to horizontal trend-line supports (purple on chart), is holding on to diagonal trend-line support (blue) and holding Alpha algo diagonal trend-line (red)… all of which keeps it just above support… barely – one rumor and this will get great lift. The $DXY of course plays in (correlation seems somewhat delayed and then instant). There are two moderate time / price cycles ending at latest 2:30 PM ET today and a major one at November 1 at 10:30 PM ET. The time / price cycles (do change as chart builds out, so that’s why I regularly update them) but more importantly can definitely cause significant price lift or not. So look for moderate lift or downdraft before 2:30 PM ET today and for sure before Wed morning next week. My suspicion is a rumor is coming because they time the rumors with the near termination of time / price cycles every single time (if price is at risk near support).

I am looking for a long $UWTI.

Crude oil chart / algorithm

Crude algo intra work sheet 846 AM ET Oct 27, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

$DXY – US Dollar 

$DXY continues… nothing is broken – break out is still alive. I posted upper resistance on my twitter feed to watch for – they have been correct within cents so far.

I am looking at $TZA again if Dollar gets lift. I’ll also be watching the support in crude chart next time Dollar lifts.

I will at times play $UUP with US Dollar.

Watching $CNY for continued deval.

Also looking at $SMK (although thinly traded) as a play if Donald gets lift in poles (inverted Mexico ultra-short).

Gold $GLD $NUGT, Silver $SLV, and Natty Gas $UGAZ $DGAZ…

With all three I was expecting on more floor down before the election, and we may get it… so I’m looking for that… if they take off before I get my one floor done I may chase.

Charts and Algorithmic Reports

For the algorithms we are working with $SPY, Silver, Gold, Oil, Natural Gas, US Dollar $DXY etc… we will start publishing pre-market and post-market reports for EACH every market day starting NEXT WEEK!!!

Watch my Twitter feed for intra real-time calls and the trade room starting next week – IT ALL HAPPENS intra-day. I know the GURUS are all about the plan… but that’s most useful with company equities and all the DD they have to do in that momo game… I’ll play for fun but my 1% compound daily (10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos) comes from plays like above and more importantly from intra-day movements providing opportunity for the 1%.

Stay blessed and bring home some bacon today! And remember… Coffee is for closers!

Curt

26
Oct 2016

Today’s Post Market Report

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Day Trading Results Re-Cap

Today for me was the “miss the perfect setups trigger day” – but I still ended up on the positive side. For me it’s all about 1% a day compounded (and hopefully someday soon 3% – it’s getting close). If you haven’t seen my compound chart of 1% per day starting w 10k compounds to 1.14MM you should check out https://compoundtrading.com/lead-trader/ and I think I’ll do a full post on it soon. But bottom line is that when you focus on simple 1% days (understanding compounding money principles) it is a way less stressful and more forgiving way to trade. You avoid the hype… the pumps… all the company DD research… the risk… and on and on. You just need to know why equities trigger an intra-day spike (trigger there and watch for 1% or not) and from there it’s pretty easy.

Anyway, I had a number of setups ready right before the bell and missed the better ones (got distracted). So, I am learning that balancing day trading and a live chat room/broadcast startup requires more focus during market hours.

Here’s what happened (my wins and losses), so hopefully it helps your trading.

$UNIS

The first setup I looked at. It was a morning scan MOMO (morning momentum) possibility from a few days ago that I thought will get lift or drop (the 3 day rule http://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/what-is-the-3-day-rule-when-trading-stocks.aspx). For short sellers this is an ideal set-up – but sometimes they surprise and run so I like to watch for that because if the shorts get caught on a 3 day rule and it goes opposite – the win can be really good.

$UNIS

And, it just faded – so I left it alone.

$UA – Under Armour

Next up was Under Armour. This one had a bad downdraft on earnings / downgrade. https://www.thestreet.com/story/13868610/1/under-armour-ua-stock-retreats-cowen-downgrades-on-outlook.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO

So, another morning play I will use (that normally works well) to get 1% – 3% quick pops is timing the bottom up spike. It got a really good downdraft here at 9:51 and the stock dropped.

At 10:10 I hit the buy.

Added at 10:13

10:19 I was out for a small gain – I noted it as a small loss on twitter but didn’t go back and do a correction because my day was so hectic (you will find my alerts sometimes distracted lol). Anyway, average buy 32.82 and out at 33.07 for .25 cents on 400 shares / 100.00 – not the 1% I was looking for).

$UA Stock Trade

$UA Stock Trade

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear ETF

Then I posted a perfect set-up with the small cap bear ETF I’ve been watching – around the election especially I’m watching this one like (it should be a hawk) – BUT FOR THE SECOND TIME in less than a week I was distracted and missed my trigger – it was such a nice trade – easy 3% or better. And frankly, there’s no excuse – as easy as taking candy from a baby.

And here’s where I would have triggered and it was sooo perfect. Absolutely no excuse – it was a text book trigger on the 1.

$TZA Stock Trade Trigger Missed

$TZA Stock Trade Trigger Missed

$DXY

So when I seen the US Dollar Index at support… that was my first trigger alert for $TZA – because the $DXY is the $TZA killer…

$VIX

Then I was on to the $VIX – which was my SECOND trigger missed – I was looking at a $TVIX or $UVXY intra-day trade – and yup – distracted and missed it. Again… so perfect. I posted when $VIX was threatening resistance and $DXY was at support and $SPY was in downdraft mode… simple simple simple. #distracted ugh.

$SPY

Here was the downdraft in $SPY and the resistance above… and when $SPY is in downdraft till things sort out.

$VIX

So here’s where $VIX broke resistance and all I had to do was wait for the back-test and possible consolidation… but ya… nope.

$USOIL $WTI

Then came the oil report… my thinking was I wasn’t sure if the upper algo target or the lower was more likely – I didn’t think we were going to see a draw down… but EPIC the oil Algo had the lower alpha algo target as most probable… anyway… almost both targets hit but I wasn’t confident in it so I though I’ll go for the build side of the bet with a volatility play and entered $TVIX with a super-tight stop – a wham – it got hit instantly for a small loss. Not the normal way I’d play the oil report FYI. So I was down .8 cents on 400 shares or (32.00) – so at this point 68.00 up on the day.

$OPGN

Then I took scanner alert trade in $OPGN in at 1.16 out 1.22 within mins at 9,000 shares / 540.00 – now I’m up 608.00 on the day.

$OPGN stock trade

$OPGN stock trade

$WTI / $USOIL

Ended up EPIC’s oil calls were almost perfectly spot on.. again I was distracted and was a little confused on my twitter feed posts etc.

So there’s the beautiful $VIX trade I missed with $TVIX

$TVIX missed stock trade (ETN)

$TVIX missed stock trade (ETN) – soooo perfectly set-up.

$UGAZ

Then I went long $UGAZ. This is another algorithm we’re working on that is on-deck. The algo is saying 44% today hit bottom (which means 44 out of 100 times – so the idea is to get a probability from the algorithm so the trader can decide to trigger or not)… anyway… the algorithm is also saying that 46% there is another leg down (or 46 times out of a 100). So I thought I’d take a trade and should have (because yes I had it set-up) entered earlier in day for a better gain. Nonetheless I got a decent little intra-day trade.

So my entry average fill was at 34.19 and exit at 34.95 (got real lucky in that time frame exiting snipe – should have been about .10 less) for .76 cents on 500 shares / 380.00 or 920.00 on the day.

I know with many small accounts for US citizens there are certain rules with leverage and 3 trade rules etc. I regularly start a 10k account and build… but I often trade over 10k closer to 16k and sell before the end of the day. The specifics of why my broker in Canada lets me do that I’m not sure and how that works for US citizens – but I’m going to look in to that so I really understand better.

I will put out a pre-market trade plan in the morning!

Stay blessed!

PS Here’s my running win rate.

 

1 … 18 19 20 21