Gold Trading Chart Update Nov 25 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

November 25, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Gold Trading Report.

Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1187.51. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$GOLD, Algo, Stock

$GOLD Algo intra work sheet – charting. Nov 25 531 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Oct 9, 2016 my algorithm designer sent out this tweet about the price target for Gold he was waiting for before looking at a possible long position. Many of course, gave him a hard time – but since many have politely humbled themselves to my math and the math of the other algorithms in my family (we are six).

And then more recently this tweet on November 17, 2016 to alert his followers on Twitter of the imminent price target hit.

Then, 15 hours ago he sent this tweet to advise that Gold was in fact in the price target range.

Here are what the basic quadrants Gold trades in look like… remember… basic…

Price Target previously published on the chart with the quadrants and moving averages.

Here is your MAIN CONCERN with taking a long position right now. The bottom of the quadrant hasn’t been hit.

So what do you do? You wait for price – target – trigger. What is a trigger? When price and all the indicators line up. Until then you can snipe trades if you know your indicators well enough. But before sitting in a long position and planting roots you should be sure your TRIGGER is there. More in our trading room about this.

Here is your SECOND BIGGEST PROBLEM WITH A LONG TRADE IN $GOLD

And here is an example of an intra-day trade snipe set-up to watch for. We will be trading various set-ups in the room.

Indicators

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

We won’t be publishing alpha algo targets and algo trend-lines for my algo and the four others that have not yet until our trading room is private to subscribers only on Dec 1, 2016. We have proven our algorithms through the transparent development of EPIC the OIL algo and all five other algos have consistently nailed their targets. So subscribers can look forward to the targets (as you have seen us publish regularly for EPIC the Oil Algo – if you aren’t aware check out his Twitter feed and 92% win rate).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

 

Article Topics: Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

 

 


My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Nov 23, 2016 in Chatroom. $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $SKLN, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we are commencing publication of algo charting for the following charting starting this morning for: $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – any not completed before market open will be available prior to market open Thursday! Sorry we’re running a little behind, but there’s been a massive to-do list getting room up and running properly and quite frankly these are not normal markets.

Get ready for a huge day!

Market Outlook

$JUNO – 30 and $LLI Eli Lilly and others are getting smoked this morning – so the obvious watch is this basket / sector. $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON all on watch too.

EIA is at 10:30 EST

Gas as 12:00 EST

Urban outfitters down 10%

Durable goods higher than expected… treasury way up.

Weekly Jobless Claims as expected.

Generally speaking the markets obviously are in a Trump win rally (which we predicted and posted prior to the election – just keeping it real). BUT, now here’s the warning!

Our algorithms posted long time ago $DXY US Dollar price target of 100.50 (which it hit and continued to rally), $GOLD price target not far below where it is trading now, and a $SILVER price target not far below where it is trading now. Of course we published algo targets and various info for the others including $SPY, $VIX and FX: $USOIL $WTI – but for the purpose of this warning – this is about the dollar, gold, and silver.

The warning is that we fully expect a rip in Gold and Silver and for the $USD/JPY to back off. This will create a series of snap-back scenarios… too many to post right here right now. SO IN SHORT, I am saying that we don’t expect the broad global markets to continue on a bull train for much more than say about 10% ish at most more. NOW CAREFUL, I am not saying the S&P 500 for example only has 10% more to the upside – not at all (I posted long before the election we had targets for a face ripper rally in $SPY after the election). BUT WHAT I AM SAYING is that many sectors are going to have a snap-back.

So watch closely over the coming days and weeks for that in various areas of the market. We expect commodities like Gold and Silver to snap back, the $USD/JPY to back off, the price of oil to rally in to the spring and a number of other areas of markets.

SO THIS MEANS (for me) that I need to get on a complete exploratory of opportunities this will represent – I hope to have something consolidated this weekend.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $REXX $DE $LABD $ZBIO $TXMD $AVXL $VEEV $JDST $CNHI $MRNS $GME $OPTT – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:   – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (watching for exit on my swing), $SKLN for wash-out and snap-back, Steel $X, $AKS, $NUE, $CLF, .

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – but a pull-back will come – so watch close now.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: The real story here right now obviously is the $USD/JPY trade and various other currencies being pounded by the US Dollar. Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Friday I wrote and it still stands,

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As I wrote on Friday,

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: We have been successfully trading the range with various instruments in the trading room.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Healthcare on watch. Treasuries on watch.

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday November 18, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Friday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – we’re running the algo updates now for $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – lots of updates coming for next week!

Market Outlook

The world markets in my opinion are at an inflection point. Sure the S&P 500 may go to all time highs and the US Dollar may really rocket and the various indices and international markets such as Japan will all fly high and even the metals will get curb-stomped. All of that I’ve been tweeting for months anyway in advance – so no surprise. The question is how to navigate it, trade the pull-backs and then really PROFIT on the other side of the inflection.

$GOLD and $SILVER are almost at our algorithm’s price targets – so I will be watching these closely. Japan’s stock market is in break-out mode with currency etc. S&P 500 $SPY is in mode to break new all time highs (I called prior to election), $VIX looks like it will be much lower (per our calls), $DXY US Dollar is in break-out mode (our algorithm nailed that with calls that extend back months ago) and $USOIL $WTI is sitting a new up range but not in break out (I am sure it is waiting for meetings to conclude).

I will say that our algorithm calls for Crude Oil, the US Dollar, S&P 500, Gold and Silver all took significant heat at the time they were made over the last few months. Interesting times – but our algorithms were right in every scenario – so that’s very positive, as such we’re releasing the initial charting of the algorithms over the next week.

On the small cap equity side…. shippers have run their course it seems and China low float issues got jiggy yesterday as I expected they would. This play book isn’t new. Low float oil could be next.

On the ETF / ETN side $UWTI $DWTI will be de-listed soon… so I will be looking to other instruments to trade crude oil. More to come on that soon.

So my plan in general is to watch for pull-backs and turns as the inflection points hit outside ranges. More detail below.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  $HIBB, $KTOS, $GOLD, $FSLR, $AMAT, $PAAS, $SSRI, $RYAAY, $MU, $UGLD – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYUT 23%, $SMRT 16%, $DCIX 14%, $URRE 12%, $MRVL 11%, $DRYS $PIP $SHIP $FCEL $ESEA $SINO $GLBS $CRM $CBMX $UGAZ – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Indices: $IWM $RWM $TZA S&P 500 $SPY ATH, International: Japan Stocks $DBJP, Currencies: $DXY $UUP Break-out $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials: $FAZ Inflection Point?

Other Watch-List(s): 

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs, I will be looking for long positions on pull-backs. I see a run in Gold, miners and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies Etc: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally so I’m looking at $UUP on pull-backs. Also looking at how the $USD/JPY relates to possible long in Japan with $DBJP.

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

$GOLD

$GOLD 530 AM EST Nov 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

$SILVER

$SILVER 548 AM November 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI $GUSH $ERX, $DWTI, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

First things first, $UWTI $DWTI are being de-listed (on Dec 9 I think?), anyway, that will cause me to choose a new instrument. I liked the idea of the 3x leveraged – I have a sneaking suspicion someone else will fill the void in short order anyway – but in meantime I’ll find other instruments. I really think the big story soon is going to be Gold and Silver anyway – so my bias is turning in that direction for daytrades anyway – but I’ll always trade oil.

In the short term we do have to be ready for rumors or even real news out of the oil meetings so I’m ready for that.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Natural gas… I’m not comfortable with at this time… I want a trade with at least 4 to 1 probability.. at least thats the plan – and with natural gas it seems hard to get better than 50 50 – but we’ll see.

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Watching $RWM Russell 2000 Short

Watching $SPY Long to All Time Highs

Watching Japan Stocks $DPJP

Watching Aluminum Long $FOIL

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

 

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Thursday Nov 17, 2016. Low Float Shippers China, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $UWTI, OIL, and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today for me was a scalping day… worked moderately well. With a goal of 1% minimum per day (preferably 3%) I’m easily on track since the beta start of our trading room a couple weeks back (1% per day 10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos compounded).

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

Today wasn’t exciting… it was a process of me chewing around the edges of crude trades with $UWTI (which by the way is being delisted soon – see premarket report coming up). I was likely up 1% or better – haven’t had the time to see yet.

The reason I chew around the edges is that I am looking for a break-out entry scalping with my small account looking to build it at 1% a day compound and if a break-out occurs then I start hammering down with my larger swing account on every pull-back. Pretty simple strategy that works well. With oil, the break-out I’m looking for is due to not only the current OPEC meetings but also in the charting.

But soon, very soon we’re looking at Gold and Silver because the are getting really close to our algorithm’s projected lows. So I will start chewing around the edges of $GOLD $SILVER and miners $GDX. Right now $DXY is in break-out mode so I may trade $UUP on pull-backs for a bit (however we see it trailing off soon) – it’s an inflection point in markets – so it is about being cautious during inflection prior to next trends. Japan is also in break-out so I may start chewing around edges of $DBJP also and of course the S & P 500 $XIV same thing. $VIX is getting stomped as expected but inflection will come there too.

What I did miss was the shippers (was all over them before they started but elected not to play) and China low float stocks have started (was also all over that ahead of curve and I’m thinking on it) and semi conductors I didn’t play.

Stock Chatroom Trading Transcript

08:54 am Curtis M : Premarket Top % Gainers: $SINO 76%, $RLOG 70%, $GSL 36%, $DCIX 27%, $ESEA 27%, $TOPS, $NM $GLBS $IMNP $NMM $SB $SHIP $NTAP $PLUG $BBY $EGLE
08:55 am Curtis M : Upgrades $MSFT $NOA $RRC $TCK $KBR $FSLR $QVCA $T $MUSA $NTAP
09:05 am Curtis M : No morning newsletter… same as yesterday with premarket gainers and upgrades listed here.
09:20 am Curtis M : $RLOG 113%, $GSL 105%, $SINO 99%, $PSID 36%, $DCIX 29%, $NMM 28%, $NWBO $TOPS $WNR $NM $SB $ANW $GLBS $NTAP $HAIN
09:23 am Curtis M : “Risk control is the most important thing in trading.”
09:24 am GSCT . : /CL surge here
09:26 am Curtis M : Morning … back in a minute for open
09:32 am GSCT . : DRYS offering
09:49 am mathew w : Getting out of my ON UWTI position
09:49 am mathew w : Huge moves all over the board
09:52 am Curtis M : Looking for $UWTI long as oil settles through morning, oil companies starting to squeeze so Im running scans, expected entry long $UWTI at arrow gives me 46.20 – 47.28 width on crude for 3-6% in $UWTI potential
09:53 am GSCT . : Thanks for the detailed strategy
09:58 am Curtis M : RUnning screeners on oil companies and waiting for $UWTI entry on oil price target
10:00 am mathew w : WLL and NE working nicely here
10:00 am Curtis M : For those wondering why I will stalk an oil trade for hours …. https://compoundtrading.com/100000-turns-1-million-24-mths-1-per-day-compound-stock-trading/
10:00 am mathew w : Looking and JONE and EPE
10:04 am mathew w : LE? No NE. Noble energy
10:04 am mathew w : I’m in these calls from friday
10:04 am mathew w : haha close. Cows. Oil. whatever
10:13 am GSCT . : U or DWTI?
10:27 am Curtis M : http://finance.yahoo.com/news/janet-yellen-testifies-on-capitol-hill-150717531.html
10:53 am Curtis M : https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/799278889566662656 finally got some sun after 4 days of rain
10:57 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.60 800 shares small account – may have to sit through some pain… a little early but ya
11:13 am Curtis M : Out for now at 19.70 looking to renter $UWTI
11:22 am Curtis M : Lomg $UWTI 19.535 small account 1000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Out $UWTI flat
11:25 am Curtis M : chewing around edges trying to get lift
11:49 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI small account 1000 share 19.536
11:59 am Curtis M : OUt $UWTI 19.74
12:00 pm Curtis M : ugh
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice Kill Curtis. Well done
12:03 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:06 pm Curtis M : So going to get ready for EOD oil squeezes catcha in a few
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : AMD and MU going crazy today if you’re looking for other momo plays
12:06 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Repeated calls being bought in size in both this AM
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be a little tired but still seeing flows coming across
12:09 pm Curtis M : ok thanks
12:10 pm Curtis M : going to be out of hotel for 20 mins
12:10 pm Curtis M : if it says im out of room or whatver no prob cya in 20
12:11 pm Curtis M : specifically im mainly looking at oil squueze small caps but will look at anything EOD
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : invernse h&s on /cl 1′ chart
01:20 pm Curtis M : $DHRM china loa float
01:21 pm Curtis M : Yup theyre gonna run the Chinas now for a while lol
01:27 pm Curtis M : $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM then likely $ISNS
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : In and out of /cl and UWTI for small wins. That price action is agrivating.
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Back in FH for a swing trade. Hit this for a win about a month ago. Back on the radar today so hoping to get back into the 3s shortly
01:42 pm Curtis M : crude has snipers in there till bots get it and go
01:45 pm Curtis M : Watching $BNSO $NFEC $ DHRM $ISNS and other China low float mania
01:51 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.26 1000 shares small acct
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im short FYI
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : once it broke .21 I went short
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was wrong on that one lol. Quick out
01:57 pm Curtis M : $UWTI small win beers and hotdogs
01:57 pm Curtis M : $CCCL
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m back short. This is going lower with the $DXY strength
01:58 pm GSCT . : When you talk about a ticker can you please say its name as I can’t always have your screen up and also can you make the ticker symbol more readable on your chart as it’s very hard to discern.
02:00 pm GSCT . : I mean the symbol name in light grey. Please make it more white.
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : The dollar moves make me very nervous right here RE oil
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im playing against last weeks high here
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : might go long /cl
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : long and wrong new LOD
02:13 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 1000 shares small account 19.05
02:19 pm Curtis M : $UWTI 18.88 loss 1000 shares
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Damn that price action is all over the place
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was trying to get out of my /cl contracts and it was jumping so bad I lost $$$ trying to chase it down
02:24 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 18.93 1000 shares small acct
02:25 pm Curtis M : out flat $UWTI no mojo
02:27 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.06 1000 shares small act
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dude tough day for sure. I have 8 round trips in UWTI in one account and have probably half as many round trips for /cl contracts
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Broker making as much as I am today
02:30 pm Curtis M : Out $UWTI 19.07 flat
02:30 pm Curtis M : 3 w 1 L 1 F choppy cant get a trend easily
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might hit silver shortly for a swing. USLV looks appealing
02:52 pm Curtis M : looks like a lot of gold and silver trading coming up soon here
02:54 pm Curtis M : $DXY should back off… $GOLD and $SILVER gonna run… until then low float mania? And remember what happened last year same time…
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m still in TKAI for a low float pick lol. Things kind of a turd but I bought low enough it doesnt matter
03:15 pm Curtis M : Gonna call it a night guys. Were going to try and get all algo charts for all 6 up by Monday. Looks like Gold and Silver are near so lotsa work to do.
03:15 pm Curtis M : Room will stay open till 4 see ya n morning
03:18 pm GSCT . : Thanks CM

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, Low Float Stocks, Shippers, China, $UWTI, OIL, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $GOLD, $SILVER, $DXY


Updated 8:17 AM EST

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 15, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Tuesday Wall Street trading session! The futures bulls are alive and well and oil traded positive!

Specific to starting with more advanced traditional charting and algorithmic charting… the current market conditions are not the best time to do that… but I’ve started with EPIC the Oil Algo posts to get us started and we’ll introduce more and more of our algo work over the coming days and weeks between now and end of November.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

8:03 EST

S&P +0.12%.

10-yr +0.2%.

Euro +0.27% vs. dollar.

Crude +2.86% to $44.56.

Gold +0.25% to $1,224.75.

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $TSRO, $CTRE Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA 74%, $SHIP 31%, $RPRX 15%, $AAP 14%, $TOPS $SINO $JD $PTN $UWTI $PWE $AAL $UCO $WLL $DAL $CHK $DNR $FCAU  Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): AirlinesShippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some. The recent lift in oil may help. But I also expect considerable volatility during it’s run to ATH and/or shortly thereafter. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond issues over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

$SPY

$SPY 107 AM Nov 15

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since late July and there is no reason now to think it’s over. When it is, it is.

I’m watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

My trading plan with $DXY: I may take a long on $UUP if I can lock in a range that makes sense but other than that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside.

$DXY US Dollar Index

$DXY US Dollar Index. 109 AM EST Nov 15, 2016

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

So yesterday I posted – and this is still my position.

“$VIX 315 AM EST Nov 14, 2016 – Likely to get crushed well below diagonal trend-line and right down to previous lows.”

$VIX

$VIX Diagonal Trendline 112 AM Nov 15, 2016

My trading plan with $VIX (volatility) is to run with $XIV at edges of range (if I can catch them) using $VIX and $SPY trading action.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

So I have been really patient here and I hope the train doesn’t leave with-out me. Tonight I’m working on oil small cap charting…. but it’s time to start on Gold, Miner and Silver small cap company charting now soon too IMO to get ready.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

My trading plan with Silver: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

8:10 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Crude took off today in an uptrend and is about to test the 200 MA on the 1 HR. We’ll see how it handles that. Now that it is in an uptrend, and if it continues, within a few days EPIC the Oil Algo will have new alpha algo targets and alpha algo trend-lines for us.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 124 AM Nov 15, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines:  Resistance – 45.62. Supports – 43.16 / 42.77. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Resistance at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.54 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

$USOIL, $WTI, OIL

Overhead Resistance Test Coming 200 Day on 1 Hour Chart (pink line). Crude algo intra work sheet 126 AM ET Nov 15, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trader notes on oil.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account,

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 10, 2016.

Election is Over!

Sorry, no premarket yesterday – but we did bank in the room and the alerts have been dead on.

Futures were strong as were/are world markets.

A few big things today… obvious lift in $SPY (and we’re banking on $XIV), my $THC swing I may exit soon, $HTZ should of held (it was a decent call), BASE METALS as I’ve posted on my feed will be strong mid term with infrastructure spending (Trump) and coal will be strong mid term likely.Copper is flying and shippers may take off here. Oh, and Natural Gas looks like it’s getting close to a buy zone. And as alerted tech and bio. Also, I missed the $NIKKEI snapback trade (which I wanted to catch just forgot – and yup it snapped back)

Many sectors are getting lift as we expected so it is important to stay in the zone – focus – nimble. Oil should be the story soon being it is bouncing under ceiling resistance on 200 on the 1 hr and bouncing up off 50 on the 1 hr.

 

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk FYI. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, and more in chat b4 open.

If #Silver gets up over resistance and #Gold gets flight $AUMN can double fast.

$THX is up 6% or so in pre-market – so this swing is doing ok so far – I may exit this morning though.

$WFT I am watching for follow-thru.

Regular Watchlist: $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), $SPY, $DXY, $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), more to come in trading room before market open.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX)

Well I nailed that call… what can I say. We’re going to new highs. Next eight calendar days are critical. Stay awake.

Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

From Tuesday….

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatilty. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win every-time here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

So the $VIX is right at that diagonal trendline support – but you have to be careful putting too much consideration in to diagonal supports to beging with – but even moreso with the $VIX (it isn’t like a diagonal trendline with most equities).
$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

I missed the move in the Peso… had it lined up but you can’t get every play… WE SHOULD WATCH IT THOUGH for a bit of a snapback next week perhaps.

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

The actual charting with the $DXY US Dollar isn’t broken at all… if you chekc my Twitter feed long before it got lift here I was telling folks what the algorithmic symmetry was saying… but many didn’t listen. This was an easy set-up IMO.

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Get your charting up and watch this close for a break-out. They have meetings coming up too.

Watch your 200 day on the 1 hour for resistance and 50 day on the 1 hour for support (and more recently this morning off the 100 for support) – either breach and that’s a tell. If I miss it in the room send me a DM on twitter or an email to info@compoundtrading.com. Also watch the blue diagonal trendlines on the chart for resistance and support. And the purple horizontal supports and resistance. If crude gets above the 200 Day on the 1 hour and above the blue trendline above it and the purple resistance in that same area then it’s in break-out mode. DONT MISS IT AND DONT LET ME MISS IT LOL.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Obviously all base metals will be bullish, however, $GOLD is running in to some chart resistance that is wise to consider.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Pay attention to that 17.92 resistance – if #Silver can get up and over that on back-test it could fly. This would be my preferred play in the metals category. Also watch $AUMN if #SILVER gets up over 17.92. LETS NOT MISS THAT ONE EITHER.

Copper $JJC

Copper should cool soon here IMO and get some downdraft and then run again IMO.
Natural Gas – $NATGASUSD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Per previous…

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

#NaturalGas IMO is almost at a floor, watch close!!! LETS CATCH THE TRAIN HERE TOO!

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compound predictability starts Monday (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

GL GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre Market, Trading Plan, Wallstreet, Stocks, Daytrading


My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 8, 2016.

Election Day!

Two big things today… it is election day… but more importantly (for my trading at least)… EPIC the Oil Algo has locked in his math on time / price cycles and that means BIG TRADING coming there very soon (it’s exciting for me anyway – it means bank on top of bank cometh).

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after election.

As with recent… I’m sitting tight and trading scalps until after election – yesterday portfolio +3.5% increase and Friday +6.3% so that’s just fine for now.

Post election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades with goal to compound accounts 10k to 1MM in 26 mos (however, as in last nights post market report, I may kick that up a notch to a 6 month curve – stay tuned).

So for now so detailed pre-market trade plan – after election however very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development. Also, refer to pre and post market reports for last week or so if you wish to view my bias with any specific sector etc.

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I explained my position on morning momo stocks in detail in yesterday’s premarket if you’re interested (bottom line they carry risk so I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk).

Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV) FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), more to come in trading room before market open.  

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatitility. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win everytime here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades until after election.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

Per yesterday’s post… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators and algo indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Per yesterday “There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open.”

EPIC published algorithmic updates with alpha algo targets and time / price cycle terminations and traditional charting trendlines representing support and resistance! REVIEW THOSE POSTS IN DETAIL!!! This I have learned is critical. Yesterday’s trade I got that increased my small account portfolio 3.5% was all because I actually listened to the algo and took that trade yesterday.

EPIC expects a big move up or down before end of this Friday so BE SURE TO KNOW YOUR LINES!!!

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Per yesterday and last few weeks (I haven’t done much here because I rely on the algo targets and we don’t expect anything predictable until after election) “Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.”

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV and Copper

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Watching for a snap back and how price handles a snap back. Risky still – until otherwise. 2.90 area looks critical to me.

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compoound predictability shortly after election (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/, https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


My Stock Trading Plan for Monday November 7, 2016.

Election Trading

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after elextion.

I’m sitting tight and will trade scalps until after election. After election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades. So for now I’m not going to get to detailed with pre-market trade plans but after election you will see very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development.

Momentum Stocks

I will at times take first 30 min momo plays if and only if I think I can secure a stop that is tight and get immediate momentum on my side… I know a lot of rooms will take these plays regularly… but they aren’t normally my style because I want clear risk reward on my side and a predictable exit on my side. Compound trading works well if disciplined (and it mitigates unnecessary risk). Nonetheless, I watch morning momo plays not only for the first 30 mins but also, and more importantly, they are often the stocks I trade later in the day when they snap back after a downdraft or they continue to trend (I am looking for technical indicators such as a trending moving average, increased volume, continued trend, and more). 1 snap back or continued trend per day at 1% (or .20 cents on a 20.00 stock) over 26 months is 10k to 1.14 MM or it can be done in 6 months with 4 of these trades a day…. but it has to be low risk so you can execute stops or manual exits with-out stress and undo risk.

So just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time). These I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Well…. Hillary isn’t guilty they say… so everyone is happy… so we have a $VIX GAP DOWN of 12.5% at time of writing… which in my thinking is awesome… A $VIX in the 19’s is closer to the 13’s or 14’s I’d like to get an entry at and is much better than reaching for 22’s and 23’s… had I only held $XIV over weekend…. but I wasn’t prepared to take the risk… I want 1% a day for 10k to 1MM in 2 years… that’s it… simple… focus.

So the snap back I was all about last week is obviously here…. but I’d be careful with holds Monday and Tuesday night… you never know… things a fucky to say the least.

I’m looking for entries on either side of the range for scalps.. for me that’s it for now with $VIX.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

From last Thursday’s trading plan…

The US Dollar was close to a Fib at 97.07 earlier so this is an interesting watch for possible long in $UUP (long) and watching $UDN close (short a basket of currencies including British Pound).

Well… it got a little better downdraft than 97.07 and snap – back happened – overnight as I write it has snapped back from 96.89 – 97.70… I trade I should not have missed – I had it set-up.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

I will be watching other currency relationships also for Fib and Pivots and will post as opportunities / time arise.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

I don’t have much to say other than… there’s the snap back and remember to watch the pivots… same here… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI #OOTT #Algo)

There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open. Generally speaking it was in a downdraft near some support but at significant risk… but likely a tad over-sold.. and I see at time of writing it is up in over-night trading. I’d be very cautious though – but that’s just an opinion. We’ll see what EPIC’s calculations look like.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

I continue to watch per previous.

So it’s really all about our current rally, staying nimble through election and then on to charting and trading thereafter with detailed set-ups.

Good luck!

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 4, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! The election is near, it Payroll day… and will the market continue to sell-off? Even more importantly… can I get to the pool before the rain comes – soooo beautiful during trading hours and then lightening thunder and rain right when I get there – EVERYDAY.

My trading plan today (like my post market report last night) will be very brief… both because we were up all night with equipment and software upgrades and because from now until the election not much has changed….

EXCEPT…

I pivoted late day to a contrarian play and put my money where my mouth is on it and took $XIV trades with BOTH my small day trade account and large swing account. I may or may not move in and out of that position! Stay nimble!

THE MARKET CAN STAY….. you know the rest.

Morning Momentum / Yesterday Gainers:

Prior to election I doubt I will take a morning momo play… after election yes most days I do… but morning momo is going to be a tough play IMO – that is was I have mostly sat on my hands in the morning.

IF YOU WANT TO BLOW UP YOUR ACCOUNT… MESS UP MORNING MOMO!!!

It is a bit early to post momo plays so I will post them as I see them of interest in the room and on my Twitter feed as time allows.

Anyway, from yesterday I am following:

$IQNT, $MPG, $TCCO, $EVI, $ENOC, $DRYS – Shippers and Twitter and others…

Crude Oil – FX $USOIL, $WTI | $USO $DWTI $UWTI $CL_F Etc….

EPIC the Oil Algo new algorithmic calculations are not published yet for the new price / time zone… I wouldn’t expect them until before market open Monday because the price has done NOTHING since it dropped in to it’s new zone… it did slice right through a target on Wed at 10:30 AM (red circles) and looks like it will do the same for today’s 1:00 PM algo target. You can see on the chart how the algos are trading up to the algo trendline (red dotted line) and it has done not much else – but it is UNDER that red dotted line – caution IMO.

Gold, Silver, Miners, Metals… ($JNUG, $JDST, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $GLD, $SLV, $USLV etc…)

My position is intact… prior to election downdraft I was looking for downdraft (one) in Gold and Silver (if you go back to my posts you will see consistency there) and I also am prepared for Gold and Silver among others to take off… I am watching. Watch $FXY.

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ… etc)

No clue – no clue at all – it should be running. Just like silver should be IMO.

Volatility $VIX ($UVXY, $XIV, $TVIX etc)

I think $VIX insurance was a tad over-done yesterday… but of course I have been wrong before – so I took a contrarian trade in $XIV and we’ll see. RR was good and I have room in my win rate to fail once in a while:)

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP and $HYG, $TLT etc..

It is threatening support – I would be cautious. You never know what kind of manipulation is coming over next few trading days – I AM WATCHING IT like a hawk. The dollar, credit, $HYG, $TLT, $DXY, China $CNY and other currencies etc…. I am watching very close.

Twitter

This is such an interesting play for me now – I was interested until recently – but now I am ESPECIALLY with some big name tech companies TANKING.

In Summary… between now and the election it is all about being nimble for me.

The trade room could get really exciting or be the most boring few trading days on record!

Watch the room alerts and my Twitter feed for updates!

Good luck and stay blessed! And please… bank bank bank.

Curt

 

 


My Stock Trading Plan for November 1, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! Trade them well!

On Watch: Momentum Follow-Through Stocks:

Looking for potential follow-through on $BRCO, $INTX, $HMNY, $NTP, $TWTR, $CETX, $NVCN, $ATOS, $AUY

I won’t explain in detail what I’m looking for in this forum (I’ll do that in that trade room for each that are considered as / if they are considered).

Monday’s momo:

$BRCO + 22%

$INTX +25%

$HMNY +7.14%

$NTP + 7.86%

$TWTR +1.64%

$CETX +5.26%

$NVCN +29.96%

$ATOS +21.05%

$AUY +4.09%

On Watch: Morning Momentum stocks TBD.

$SPY Set-up / Volatility $XIV $TVIX $UVXY $VXX 

I think there is a set-up with $SPY… wait for volatility and play it – beyond that I’m not trading $SPY or related instruments because I believe the Fed is in there and has it pinned – period. Not enough width IMO.

$SPY, $TVIX, $XIV, $UVXY

Trading $SPY Volatility ($XIV, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX Etc)

$VIX – Volatility ($XIV, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX, etc)

My problem with $VIX is that I can’t take a trade this high in $UVXY etc. because I would want $VIX closer to 13 (but it may get away on me) and I can’t take a trade in $XIV etc because I don’t expect volatility to settle down before the election. So I’m watching very close between now and the election. I believe there will be daily opportunity here starting Wednesday at latest – there was lots of “insurance” buys Monday… so Tuesday may even open an opportunity.

$VIX 1049 PM Oct 31

$VIX 1049 PM Oct 31

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP) – $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW

There is nothing broken in the US Dollar Index chart IMO. The continued targets I’ve previously posted stand unless conditions change.

$DXY, US Dollar Index

$DXY US Dollar Index 1114 PM Nov 1

$FXY Japanese Yen Trust – Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

If you’re thinking of taking a position in Gold Miner’s this is good to follow. Last night it started to turn around and miner’s ran Monday (so no surprise and should have been an easy trade – distracted lol) so watch it if it continues to rise 9/10 times miner’s will follow… I even watch it with Gold plays and even before I take a small cap Gold company or miner position.

$FXY, Yen

$FXY Japanese Yen Trust Oct 31 1121 PM

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear

Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically – it can be a great daytrade.

$TZA

$TZA, Small Cap Bear 3x

$SMK / $EWW (Mexico Capped ETF)

If you think Trump is going to win you want to short $EWW or play $SMK (however thinly traded).

Crude Oil: FX $USOIL $WTI | FXCM $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude algo intra work sheet 1042 PM ET Oct 31, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude algo intra work sheet 1042 PM ET Oct 31, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So crude had a significant downdraft Monday (OPEC / non OPEC couldn’t get it together I guess)… and ended up trading down to a diagonal trend-line (blue) from a previous time / price cycle and very near a horizontal price support (purple) and it appears that it will be heading for the nearest target EPIC the Oil Algo called. And to make matters worse (if you review a simple chart) the neckline support with oil has been breached (not that I give that much consideration).

I was going to take a long position in $UWTI at end of day but didn’t and will strongly consider one in the morning.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Looking for entry $GLD at 114.00 / 115.00 area – but I don’t think I will get that before the election.

Gold at 1266.65 is still one level up from my target closer to 1177.00.

On Friday I wrote that I expected Gold Miner’s to run Monday and that occurred – I will be watching them close. There again wanted a pull-back I don’t think I’m going to get.

Going in to election I am very bullish most commodities. I am currently running charts on miner companies too.

$JNUG +7.42% Monday

$JUNG

$JUNG October 31 – Junior Gold Miner’s Bull 3x

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

My position with Silver ($SLV) is similar as that with Gold ($GLD) in that I am waiting for one more downdraft – here again I may not get that.

$SLV, Silver

$SLV Silver

Natural Gas – $UGAZ $DGAZ

Here also, with natural gas I am looking for one level lower for an entry. It’s at 2.99 overnight and an ideal entry would be 2.86 (or at least a review there).

$UGAZ was off 9.42% on Monday so I will watch close Tuesday.

$UGAZ

$UGAZ Oct 31 -9.42%

The Finviz stock screener is available here:  http://finviz.com/.

Look forward to seeing you in the chat room. Visit www.compoundtrading.com and click on the link on the main page to enter the chat room.

Curtis