Note to our Traders: Weekly Scheduling Notes in Advance of Trading

RE: Update to Previous Email – Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinars, Live Trading Room Broadcasts, Real-Time Swing and Oil Trade Alerts, Oil Machine Trading, Newsletter Reporting.

Well, the time cycle we are in is starting to heat up and this is the time to be awake, this week should see us start to lean in to our swing trade positioning and I expect a very active trading week in crude oil.

Below are some scheduling and development notes for our members / traders.

Internet Infrastructure.

As a result of the development work we do our small development team is in different countries and I happen to be at the beach void of first world.

When I travel (which is regularly) internet infrastructure has to be prepared and every single time we end up having to re-do what the locals have prepared for us in advance.

In this specific instance I had to change locations for security cautionary reasons due to the Corona lock-down.

I will note also that someday every possibility will be covered off on our internet preparation checklists and nothing will get past us in advance of me arriving to a location, nevertheless once again we are dealing with it.

BUT I am happy to report we have now have a 100% solution at my current location and complete resolution (installed) will be May 10th at the latest and more probably this week. Until then, below is how we will handle our trading services.

Sunday Swing Trade Webinar $STUDY.

I will only do the Weekly Swing Trade Watch List $STUDY by way of newsletter reporting and alert feeds and not live for now (until internet install is complete), working on the current reporting for this weeks trade set-ups on watch now for distribution.

At the end of last week many of the trades and markets started to firm up and themes are starting to develop. As a result the swing trade alerts started to increase in frequency as we neared the end of the week so you can expect this to be a busy week.

Be sure to read the recent swing trade articles and watch the newsletters and alerts flow carefully here.

Soon we will restart Sunday $STUDY webinars live when final internet install is complete.

Live Trading Broadcast Room.

The markets will be active this week so I have no choice but to run with what we have, hopefully they have the install done sooner than later. If we crash in the broadcast room we crash and I will just re-boot every-time.

We don’t have a choice we have to run with it. The time cycle is getting very involved – trades are “in play” and we have to go with it as it is. 

The Swing Trading set-ups are starting to get prime and our Oil Trading Machine Trade software is firing.

I will be in the live trading broadcast room during regular market hours and any other time trade becomes active in overnight futures or in pre or post markets.

Jen will be crediting Live Trading Room member accounts for any down-time.

Machine Trading.

You can expect the crude oil machine trading to be active now that EPIC V3.1.1 black swan and shorting trend updates are complete and it looks as though oil may be getting somewhat structured again after it’s “epic” collapse to negative territory.

The swing trading platform is being coded one set-up at a time as I am updating chart models, with two hundred equities we follow and code this will take time.

Alerts.

All alerts (oil trade alerts and swing trading alerts) will be as normal and will be sent out. Worst scenario we have internet back-up systems, the internet at this point only really affects the live broadcasting in the trading room.

One quick note, very soon I will be taking the swing trade set-ups and moving them down to daytrading time-frames also for intraday positioning as we build larger swing positions in the time cycle trajectory of trade – as such, we will be opening our daytrading alert feed again at that time (within 10 days at most) and swing trade members will get free access to that also.

Newsletters.

The swing trade and oil trade newsletter(s) will go out as usual and will actually be more timely and regular now that the Black Swan event is taking less of my time (time that was needed to understand the event to bias the trading going forward).

More specifically you can expect the swing newsletter flow to start prior to Monday premarket and the crude oil newsletter flow to start sometime Monday (I would like to see oil trade in futures prior to determining my bias on crude oil and invest the time in updating all the chart models also).

But the trade alerts will run live for both, if the trade is there, we’re go time.

Remember, if you need anything please email, if we haven’t responded to a previous just hit us again (it can get busy during market hours to say the least).

Peace and best,

Curt

Above all, keep your bias in check and remember the ranges can be very, very big in to these time cycles.

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1254449744836988928

 

 


Intensive Crude Oil Trade Training Webinar. Also Available on Video Only If You Cannot Attend.

This may be one of the last opportunities the public will have to learn about our crude oil trading success, how we developed software to outperform our best oil traders and how you can use our in depth knowledge to your advantage. 

Spend Two Sessions With Me Jan 5 & 12, 2020 12 PM – 4 PM Eastern Time – I will be hosting a crude oil trading webinar. I will cover everything I know about crude oil trade in a one-time 8 hour (over two sessions) special webinar event.

The webinar will cover my strategies for conventional and algorithmic oil trade and charting, intra-day trading, short term swing trading, longer term swing trading, trade sizing, time cycles, key set-ups and much more.

I will explain in detail how I maintain a win rate of better than 90% in crude oil trade (live recorded in our oil trading room and live alerted to our members).

This Special Webinar Series will also cover our EPIC v3 Machine Trade success, an insiders look in to how we developed the software and why it is on track to achieve 80% – 140% annual return and a win rate of more than 90%. See recent EPIC v3 white paper here:

White Paper Updated Dec 29, 2019: How EPIC v3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Outperforms Conventional Trading. “85%+- Returns: Real-World Trade Performance and Why ROI Is Expected to Grow”. #OOTT $CL_F $USO FX USOIL WTI

Limited online attendance of 25 persons to allow me to take questions and converse as needed to be sure we cover the trading concepts in detail.

Current member clients of Compound Trading Group Oil Trade Alerts / Bundle or Live Trading Room cost: 99.00. Email office compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com direct and Jen will send you a discounted invoice.

To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here.

The 8 hour special webinar event cost for non members: 799.00.

Early bird registrants – before midnight Jan 3 receive 50% off (399.00). Use Promo Code: early

Current oil trading room clients 99.00 (email office for direct invoice).

Attendees will also receive a free video copy of the webinar via email after we’re done so that you can study the in depth knowledge long in to the future. The video will also be available online at our store (for non attendees).

Attendees (including video only purchasers) will also receive 2 week free access to our Live Oil Trading Room (value 500.00).

For complimentary trade articles, click this link: Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil.

For more information about our trading room, alert, coaching services menu click this link: TRADING SERVICES PRICE TABLES

To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here

Can’t Attend Online? Order the video only here Crude Oil Trading Webinar Video (799.00) and receive two weeks of free access to our oil trading room (Value 500.00).

Questions? Email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and Jen or I will answer as needed.

Look forward to seeing you there and a prosperous 2020 oil trading year!

Subscribe (Reports, Alerts, Trading Room):

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting report sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, screen share trading room, discord chat, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Trade Coaching:

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

For intensive training in crude oil trade attend one of our trading boot camps (available for in person attendees and online).

Trading Futures Contracts:

CME – Crude Oil Futures Contract Specs.

CME – E-mini Crude Oil Futures Contract Specs.

Article Topics; crude, oil, trading, webinar, teaching, coaching, strategies, how to


Good afternoon Traders,

As we gear up for another trading week in advance of our larger prep for the fall season I thought it best to provide you a quick update on our plans, scheduling etc. 

We see a significant opportunity (time cycles) from now and in to the late fall 2019 season in Equities, Commodities, Bitcoin etc. The reporting schedule and webinars we are hosting should do well to prepare our members to take full advantage of it.

Reporting Schedule This Week (estimated release dates for premium member reporting, dates are evening of in to next morning).

Aug 18 – VIX (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – SPY (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – Swing Trading (swing trade members will also receive various other time cycle reporting as it comes available).

Aug 18 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 19 – Crude Oil (EPIC Algorithm regular report)

Aug 19 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 20 – Bitcoin (including time cycles)

Aug 20 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 21 – Gold (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Silver (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 22 – DXY US Dollar (including time cycles)

Aug 22 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

The week of Aug 18 and in to fall will also bring various other various swing trade and time cycle reporting to the various services.

Upcoming General Public Free Webinars.

Crude Oil Webinar – Machine Trade Informational. Topics Include; YTD Machine Trade Profit and Loss Performance, Development Process and What Is Planned Going Forward. 7:00 – 7:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Crude Oil Webinar – How to Use Our Platform. Oil Trade Alerts, Live Trading Room, Private Discord Server Oil Trade Set Up Guidance, Algorithm Models & Conventional Charting. 8:00 – 8:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Upcoming Premium Member Only Webinars.

Crude Oil Trade Strategy Webinar – A Review of Oil Trade Set Ups for The Week. 9:00 – 9:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Crude Oil service members.

Swing Trading Set-Ups Webinar – A Review of Swing Trading Setups for The Upcoming Week (including time cycles). 10:00 – 10:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Swing Trading service members.

Members that cannot attend live will receive a video copy and featured report of the webinar.

Trading Profit and Loss Updates.

2019 Swing Trading Status: Our swing trading platform has had an exceptional year, we’re running our regular 100%+ annual returns (over last 3 years) varied depending on the type/ category of swing trade, Jen has a full report in the works for members to review. As mentioned above, with the large time cycle peaks coming in to the fall we expect a bang up fall swing trade season.

V3 EPIC Oil Algorithm Machine Trade P&L Status: We couldn’t be more pleased with the v3 oil machine trade software. It has been running for about 5 weeks and it is exceeding our expectations. The most encouraging part is that its code is still in its early stages of real-world testing – the projected ROI trajectory is expected to continue to turn-up with no additional downside risk – v3 is an extremely stable machine trading architecture. As we near the 8 week real-world running time-line the mathematical probability of it having any notable issues are near zero (at 5 weeks we’re near there now). It took some time, grit and investment, but we’re there now.

“For Aug 15, 2019 Profit & Loss: Daily +$355 YTD+$9,185 Projected $85,958 or 86% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Test Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts”

Password Access to Trading Rooms, Private Alerts, Discord Servers.

We have been slowly changing / updating passwords and access to various services. If you are a premium member and you are locked out of any service you are subscribed to (trading room, alert feed, private server, etc) or do not receive a report that you see posted to main Compound Trading Twitter feed (that you should be receiving), please let us know so we can rectify.

Promotions.

There is a current promotion running for new member trials, receive 50% off first month of any service list price. Use promo code “TRIAL50” when checking out (if you have issue with the promo code email us and we’ll send you another by email). If you have registered recently at full price and did not take advantage of this email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and she will invoice your next month renewal at 50% off. This is only available to first time subscribers and cannot be used with other discounts. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours – it usually books out for the fall so register soon if you’ve been throwing the idea around.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember, the webinars listed above require you to register in advance by sending us an email of your interest in attending.

Thanks,

Curt

Subscribe:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Crude Oil Trading Academy: A Selection of Unlocked Oil Trade Strategy Articles from Our Traders:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil Futures Contracts is Like No Other Trading – Having a Rules Based Process Will Help You.

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Machine Trade, Alerts, Swing Trading, Live Trading Room, Oil, BTC, SPY, VIX, DXY, GOLD, SILVER, Webinars, Promos, Reporting, ROI, Profit & Loss, Time Cycles, Trade Coaching


Morning all.

RE: Premarket Note: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion

We’re still in deep with these two reports – BTC and Swing (the BTC report reflects our newer models for the new machine trade development starting in a few weeks and the swing report is a larger than normal consolidation so both are taking longer than expected), they won’t be delivered until later Tuesday night and possibly in to Wednesday.

In the meantime we have the BTC trade in play and you all have that chart / plan.

On the other side of the release of the BTC report my BTC trading will become much more active on various time frames.

We also have the numerous swing trades in play and you all have the charting for those.

If you have any questions about any of the trades send an email and I will help.

Specifically to the new BTC platform (renewed) for the upcoming machine trade development (now that the oil machine trading is mostly compete)…. the new Bitcoin BTC Twitter alert feed, Discord private server and public facing Social channels will be announced with the BTC report coming out later Tuesday night.

As noted, the oil machine trade coding has been complete for a few weeks and this version is doing well. We’re tweaking as it runs through sequences but all in all we’re extremely satisfied.

Previous premarket tells you a little more about our WIP updates (including upcoming Webinars, P&Ls etc):

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Thanks again,

Curt

Events:

Trade Coaching Webinars. This weekend we will announce 3 different How to Trade webinars. All three to be held Sunday July 7. One each for 1:00 PM Oil, 5:00 PM Swing Trading, and 7:00 PM Bitcoin trading. They will be recorded and available for order on website thereafter. Each will have limited attendee availability so that I have time to work with attendee question and answer during the webinar. Existing members get 50% discounted rates: Retail rates Oil 499.99 (4 hrs), Swing Trading 199.00 (2 hrs), Bitcoin 99.00 (1 hr). Legacy members free. If you want to attend or want a copy of the webinar video email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com prior to promo going out this weekend as these particular webinar formats fill up quick.

Master Trade Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports Here:

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes Here (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):

July 2, 2019 – Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

June 28, 2019 – Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.


I Have Been Down the Rabbit Hole. 

I know my journey (of the last two and a half years) few have traveled. I know this to be so, like I know I breathe.

I didn’t know before I went down that hole, but I know now – how much I did not know before I went down that hole. And it’s huge. I knew nothing. Few know anything.

I can’t imagine many other disciplines in the world as off-side as this. Nothing, and I mean nothing in regular market banter, conventional stock exchange media or social media ever deals with the reality of what is down that hole. They don’t even know there is a hole (most).

Why is this topic of any importance to a trader or investor?

The topic? A human trader cannot beat real machine learning software and that will matter before the humans know it mattered.

A human trader cannot beat real machine learning software and

that will matter before the humans know it mattered.

Assuming the 80/20 rule applies to the markets, then 20 percent win 80 percent of the trades and reap 80% of the reward (ROE). I don’t know what the real numbers are – it was likely closer to 90/10 before machine learning entered the public stock markets. I would venture to guess it’s 97/3 or so now. But I don’t know.

The problem looks like this… what happens when the machines (run by less than .001% – a guess) garner 90% or more of the market return? Is that possible? I know it is, I know it may be true now, and if not it isn’t far away. What percentage of current liquidity is machine learning trade driven? What percentage of that is on the win side?

What does that look like in the future? How far away is that future? I will bet that future is here now and it has enormous effect on your earning potential (as a human trader). And I will put forward right here that it will end the way humans trade in global markets about five years out. It already has, the humans just haven’t accepted reality.

So why then is this so important? We’re here to win. We trade to win. To earn. To see return on equity. Return on time. The path forward is critical for any trader that derives their income from trading.

Early adopters will win. They will win because they will develop relationships with firms that will provide solutions. They will win because they will adopt the technology, relationships, financial rewards before the technology is out of reach (financially speaking). Or perhaps, never available at certain levels of society. Never available is more likely.

Early adopters will win.

The market is already littered with technology built on poor science. It simply doesn’t work. But the firms that have figured it out… have really figured it out. How long does it take them to hit market capacity? Will they share the technology? I say no, they won’t be sharing.

There are many questions.

At minimum, it’s prudent in my view for a trader to cozy up to the developers. This isn’t a sales pitch, we’re beyond selling anyone. We’ve completed our first machine learning software – we don’t need to sell you. So why write this article? Because I want to share something I’ve learned in the process of development that I think is of critical importance to anyone that has followed our journey. I feel a responsibility to share. Share what  you ask?

You can’t beat the machines. It’s not possible. And I know. I’m a damn good trader and I can’t even beat our first generation software with crude oil futures trade. I don’t think it has lost a trade this month (maybe it has but I don’t think so) and we’re near three weeks in to the month. And it’s not that it hasn’t lost, it is more about how it wins.

It knows before I do. It enters before I do. It trims in to positions and exits when I wouldn’t. It knows things I can’t know, I can’t see. It sees every line on every book in the library instantly, while I search for the right book on the shelf.

It sees every line on every book in the library instantly,

while I search for the right book on the shelf.

How you ask? It has intuitive like capabilities (as I do) but it can process the decisions (as if intuitively) many times faster than I. It has systematic approaches to trade (as do I) but it can process the decisions on thirteen time-frames considering the historical structure of the financial instrument and how each time-frame relates to the next and which structure or time-frame should trump various trade execution decisions (the rule-set).

It is simply faster. It can process 8000 rules and how each rule relates to the next in each of the structures on each time-frame instantaneously. That instantaneous decision would take me at least 12 months full time of charting, historical back testing and deep thought to conclude that one decision. The machine executed on the decision and left the trade behind before I glanced over and seen it was over. I didn’t have time to acknowledge it was leaving the scene.

It’s not only faster, but precise. It enters and exits with absolute precision.

Yesterday (President’s Day holiday) it executed on one trade. The biggest move of the day on a slow day and it executed before the move happened. It shorted oil, I sat watching thinking why the heck is it short here? Tick tock tick tock boom, oil dropped about 37 points near instant, on a low range boring holiday trading day. And it covered in a flash before I could process why exiting the trade at that juncture of trade on the chart was valid. It is fast and it acts as if it is intuitive. And it is only first generation software.

Here’s a post that shows the trade;

A trade or two prior to yesterday’s was the same way. I couldn’t believe what I was watching.

Here’s another example, it knows over and over again where the real move in a time frame is before the move.

And an example of how precise it is in comparison to my personal trade executions;

It’s first month (January) it rang up 63% in oil trade account gains and it was yoked to a human at all times that throttled its executions by about 10 to 1. What am I saying? It could have traded up to 10x the return (assuming the same win rate and ROE on each trade would have transpired had it been non-yolked).

It’s first month (January) it rang up 63% in account gains.

Over the last few days we’ve allowed it autonomy – to a point. It can execute with autonomy when it is executing but we still have it throttled to about 5 to 1, this will be slowly adjusted / released. This week is a holiday week so there is issue in the structure of the models so it will be a slower than usual machine trading week for our model, but next week will be a mad house – a slaughter house. I’m not exaggerating. It doesn’t lose. Okay, it does – maybe, but rarely and for next to nothing for loss when and if it does. If it’s wrong… its out and fast.

If you think this is exaggeration, visit our public facing Discord trading chat room (click here) and randomly ask anyone to step forward and tell you I’m wrong (members I am referring to). Or check out the alert feed yourself. I win around 90% of my personally executed trades in oil (yes documented), it (the machine learning software) wins something nearing 100%. But its wins are the real meat of each trade. My trades are choppy. It harvests the move in a way I cannot. The compound return effect on the difference is astronomical. Click here for a recent article I posted about compound trading gains in oil trade.

We have been working day and night for over two years to develop machine trading software that really works. Why do I say “that really works?” Because most is garbage. Below are the reasons why most algorithmic trading is a waste (how ours was developed) and why you the human trader cannot beat real machine trading execution in the stock market.

Take four people (average at any given time in the development process), have them work 60 – 80 hours a week for 2.5 years. That’s about 14,000 hours. If the methodology used is right you then have at least another 14,000 hours to refine the software rule-set along with constant updates etc. We have now completed the first 14,000 hours. What has that experience taught me? Primarily that a human trader will never beat machine software. And that doesn’t consider machine software that becomes intuitive like – AI, Artificial Intelligence.

Here are just a few (and I mean a few) reasons why you will never out trade the machine – specific to the methodology of development we used to develop our first machine trading software for crude oil futures contracts CL. Yes, I am going to tell you how we did it. Why? Because I won’t tell you how our intuitive development is implemented, that is proprietary and always will be. Here’s the nuts and bolts:

  1. ROI – First month the machine garnered a 63% increase in trade account size and that was only the actionable oil trade alerts. Not the machine HFT returns. This means the software executed many more trades than what was alerted. We can only alert what a human can type fast enough to alert that could be actionable for our membership. Next on our list is a real-time feed for our members (automated alerts). In other words, the machine gained much more than 63% on its trading account, but that is private and always will be. What is public is what we alert that is actionable by a human trader executing trades manually. We are judged on what data can deliver as actionable to our clients.
  2. INSTANT EXECUTION OF DEEP TECHNICAL KNOWLEDGE – Take thirteen time-frames of crude oil (the charts) and find the structure of the financial instrument on each time frame (this is not systematic machine trading, this is an intuitive like process). Not to mention the time involved and cost. The human can’t process decisions on thirteen time-frames (both systematic and intuitive like and as they relate to each other, as described earlier in this article).
  3. INTUITIVE EXECUTION, INSTANT – Each time frame structure as it relates to each other. Continuing specifically the intuitive like component of point 2 above… imagine constructing the models for the structure of the financial trading instrument on thirteen time frames, that in of itself is a massive undertaking. Then being able to almost intuitively determine how intra-day trade relates to each and which trumps the other. This is massive.
  4. FAST EXECUTION. The machine can out execute any human with orders in and out and trailing and on and on. Complex structures of entries and exits and more instantaneously. This is critical for return on each trade.
  5. PRECISE EXECUTION. Have you ever watched crude oil trade on the one minute chart? Precise execution with orders that change frequently in a flash of a second increases returns on each trade considerably. You can’t imagine the importance until you’ve been down the hole.

I am not speaking to;

I’m not speaking to conventional hedge fund robo adviser software. Most of it is junk designed to rob the masses taking advantage of the casino mind or lazy investor.

I’m not speaking to high frequency trading that leverages machine speed, order flow or execution locality. That is a form of HFT we have no interest in. We want transferable knowledge as it applies to the natural trading structure of the financial markets. Transferable in that the process used to derive the model for one can be applied to another.

I’m not speaking to run of the mill python code some random developed in his/her basement with 500.00 and an idea of how an instrument trades (the systematic process).

And finally, I am not speaking to the news oriented bots running software trades on intra-day media or geopolitical driven events.

The intuitive like component is artificial intelligence – machine deep structured learning.

The intuitive like component, beyond systematic machine trading is where the magic is, this is where the depth is, where the future is and the success of such an initiative lies. The intuitive like component is artificial intelligence – machine deep structured learning. It is (as it applies to where we are now) the early building blocks of autonomous machine learning trade.

Beyond systematic machine trading is where the magic is, this is where the depth is, where the future is and the success of such an initiative lies.

How did we get intuitive like software to work? What does intuitive like mean to us?

Here’s a glimpse… a real trader with decades of experience traded real-time for hundreds of hours live with software developers that extracted the intuitive like human understanding – real-time, asking questions, engaging in the why and how at each tick in the chart.

We lived together inside the trade, inside the natural trading structure of the financial instrument (crude oil) and then we replicated its nature in to the code. Only now… we have manifold times more horse-power.

We lived together inside the trade, inside the natural trading structure of the financial instrument (crude oil) and then we replicated its nature in to the code.

The new brain – the new trader, the intuitive like software… can execute hundreds of times faster on thousands of times the information second by second. Every tick on the chart is a complete new set of rules that need confronting, they need to be examined from every angle, back tested, related to each time frame, a plan derived and a trade has to executed right now. A series of right now. With precision.

The bullet hits before you hear it.

This is why the human will never beat (real) machine learning trade software. The only question that determines how good the software is, is how good the trader was that the developers used to extract from that created the entity (the software) and what process was used to do that. The cost? 14,000 – 28,000 hours at hundreds of dollars per hour – for a generation one package. And that is just the start.

It is a different world and we’re not by far the first out of the gate. But I know we’re running one of the better models out there. That I do know. Because it wins when it goes in to battle.

Any trader worth their salt will soon, if not already, understand they need a plan to engage this new frontier.

I also know that any trader worth their salt will soon, if not already, understand they need a plan to engage this new frontier. If you don’t you will regret not taking the time to forge your future. Now.

Best and peace,

Curt

Learn How to Day Trade Crude Oil Here:

Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil – real life articles / examples from an expert crude oil day trader.

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About Compound Trading Group.

Compound Trading Group is a market data provider to retail, commercial enterprise and institutional traders.

Trader Services – Compound Trading Group provides trader data services such as algorithm development, periodicals, trade coaching, trade alerts and live trading rooms. The near term objective is a digital dashboard environment for traders to fully engage machine trade and intelligent assisted trade data offered only at the commercial enterprise level.

Commercial Enterprise Services – Compound Trading Group develops financial instrument algorithm models and provides connect-ability to its proprietary AI Machine Trading software / data (representing various financial instruments) to private trade and institutional firms. Compound Trading Group also provides enterprise trader training, integration services, custom software / data constructs and strategic partner development opportunities.

Learn more at https://compoundtrading.com.