Compound Trading Monday April 3, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Stock Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Chart Trading and Live Stock Alerts. $NVCR, $XIV, $AKTX, $MMEX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $DWT – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc 

Intro:

Compound Trading is trading group involved with day trading, swing  trading and algorithmic model chart trading.

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at. At times guest traders and associate  traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

New lead trader blogpostWhen You Learn It – You Are Free (Part 1 of Freedom Traders). My Stock Trading Story.

Big Changes: Even though we post my trades and trading room transcript and video daily (which has been a massive time investment) as of now we are posting intra-day small videos to our Twitter feed and YouTube – every trade as they happen. Each will have details of setup and reasoning for each trade. We will still post complete trading room session to Youtube also.

If you missed it, here is the Previous Day Stock Trading Results Friday Mar 31:

Premarket Trading Plan – Watchlist (member post) for Monday April 3 session can be found here:

 

The Weekly Simple Swing Trade Charting (public edition) is out. This week however had a lot of indecision in the charts:

Swing Trading Simple Charts (Public Edition) Apr 2 $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTIC, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, $USDJPY

Summary Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algorithm Charting, Trades and Alerts:

Premarket watch-list for me was all about: 

$NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP, $TSLA, $XIV, $DWT

In play today in chat room and on markets:

$NVCR, $XIV, $AKTX, $MMEX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $DWT

$NVCR, Premarket, Trading, Results

$NVCR Premarket up 60% on news.

I traded $NVCR in momo open for small paper cut and $XIV flat to start day, then $AKTX for a small 160.00 win, then $AKTX for a -460.00 loss and $XIV for a 1535.00 win so I was up 1235.00 on the day not including my swing plays. Tough day actually.

I found most of the momentum stocks ran in premarket so market open was tough to say the least and then when I did lock on a momentum it liquidity and power would dry up.

So today was about trade size management and risk loss management.

The two I wish I would have hit that were both on my watchlist was the oil $USOIL $WTIC related short in $DWT or $DWTI (our algorithm had it set perfectly for me) and $MMEX I had on watch and should have never missed.

ANY EARLY TRADER should strongly consider the video snippets on YouTube from today’s session EVEN THOUGH we had a problem with mic quality and echo and the market was not exciting. The management of technicals, indicators and personal emotional intelligence required to execute with-out a loss and a profit on a day like Monday is mega. Not my ego at work there – it takes a lot of work to harness what is required to do that.

So the videos will help you learn how to trade if you are not an expert – I guarantee you.

So I embed one of the videos below, but there is a better one that came at the end of day when I was scaling in to $XIV that Sartaj will be uploading to our YouTube page sometime Tuesday – DO NOT MISS IT if you’re trying to get over the wall! It got very detailed and it has secrets in it – I am telling you, do not miss it if you are struggling with your trade account.

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size to micro sizing) –  $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so. I am now 95% cash in daytrading account.

Note-able Momentum Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
CYCC 6.42 74.46% 12552135 Top Gainers
GBSN 0.00 64.29% 432482433 Top Gainers
NVCR 11.10 37.04% 23436179 Top Gainers
STDY 7.50 29.31% 4920876 Top Gainers
JOB 6.39 29.09% 464168 Top Gainers
CALI 1.84 21.85% 323218 Top Gainers
COOL 16.55 21.07% 1301000 New High
IGC 0.60 27.72% 2211851 New High
PNRA 282.63 7.93% 4863263 New High
AZRE 21.75 16.56% 10100 New High
FIZZ 84.53 0.00% 271447 Overbought
PNRA 282.63 7.93% 4863263 Overbought
STDY 7.50 29.31% 4920876 Unusual Volume
CYCC 6.42 74.46% 12552135 Unusual Volume
NVCR 11.10 37.04% 23436179 Unusual Volume
AIA 53.11 1.14% 2835700 Unusual Volume
AMC 31.85 1.27% 2420300 Upgrades
RADA 1.16 3.57% 130080 Earnings Before
HQY 41.73 -1.70% 527561 Insider Buying

The Markets Looking Forward:

Our issue with a market rip is primarily the once in a decade resistance cluster not far over head for oil, and it’s slowly downtrending.

Algorithmic Chart Model Trading / News:

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Swing Trading Notes / News:

Simple swing charting that keeps me level when looking at the markets (examples below). Simple charting I find grounds you to simple trades which in turn keeps you profitable in toppy or sideways markets.

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP & Currencies of Note:

NA

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

Silver $SLV:

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Volatility $VIX:

$SPY S&P 500:

$NG_F Natural Gas:

NA

Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades). 

Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix.

Note: Apologies, some of the morning (first part) is missing from transcript again (if we get time to transcribe it from the video we will, but nevertheless the video is available above).

HedgehogTrader: $LTBR slicing higher again, though low vol
Curtis M: Off mic no trade on halt
Curtis M: $CYCC halt volatility
HedgehogTrader: i think LTBR is gunning for 200dma at some point
Curtis M: Watching $CYCC for premarket high break out
HedgehogTrader: among miners, an interesting chart is $EXK which is curling up and up (backed by good fundies if metals perk)
Curtis M: Looking for 6 with right indicators on $CYCC
Flash G: Added to $LIT swing trade earlier
Flash G: $ADAP new highs again
Flash G: no trade $CYCC
Curtis M: Dont blame you Flash
Flash G: Was looking at it.
Flash G: I like their story.
Sammy T: Decent company and sttory.
Flash G: Opening $URRE long today at some point likely.
Flash G: Need proper entry point.
lenny: $MMEX OTC looking good – chart intact for a move higher
Flash G: Celebrating $TSLA all time highs here!
Curtis M: Congrats Flash!

Curtis M: I’m in it on swing trading side. Nice action.
OILK: Looks like thats a morning open rap!
Curtis M: May have to wait for oil to test resistance before I try a short in oil related $DWT or $DWTI
Flash G: Curt, our $AMZN swing trade s approaching HOD
MarketMaven: $LIGA OTC long
Sartaj Hundal: FYI Curt: Mic echo was a bit loud
Curtis M: How does one adjust such a thing lol?
Sartaj Hundal: Are you using your headset? I think maybe we’ll have to deal with it after-hours, if it is what I think it is
Curtis M: yes on headset
Flash G: $DWT was a good call on your watchlist Curt
Nicole M: market looks uck
Curtis M: $SPY took signal from Oil for sure
HedgehogTrader: $EXK which i mentioned this morning, beginning a run +4%
Curtis M: Looks like oil is heading back down to support test in that channel so I was hoping it would pop to the dotted white line so I can take a $DWT $DWTI position
Flash G: Early lunch. Back at 12:15 for afternoon.
Michael: Yepp me too Flash
Curtis M: Looks like good timing
HedgehogTrader: $MUX is starting to perk
HedgehogTrader: btw EXK had really good news in the am- significant increase in resources and reserves
HedgehogTrader: today’s rally on the news suggests the bottom is in and the worst was already baked into the shares on the last dip
Dave: Looks good Hedgehog
Dave: Strong trading in it
Ned: $MLP 52 week highs
Shafique: Curt was dead on wth his warnings this weekend with market outlook.
Curtis M: $EXK jiggy again

Curtis M: Nice volume
Curtis M: HOD
HedgehogTrader: $FCEL looks like a good one to keep an eye on this week
Ned: Just looked at $FCEL Hedge good one
Curtis M: Small cap solars on watch here
Curtis M: $ADAP new highs too
Curtis M: $USDJPY reversal possible – Watching $XIV
HedgehogTrader: EXK is up 75% of the time in April and avg gain is 16% in April, it’s best month of year
Curtis M: interesting
OILK: Very quiet day.
Curtis M: $XIV Long 500 712.26 to start
Curtis M: On mic in a min>>>>>>
Curtis M: In mic >>>>
Curtis M: 71.26 500 $XIV
Curtis M: Off mic for now re: $XIV play >>>>>>
Curtis M: $ZBZZT Halt – Volatility
MarketMaven: $XII lift
Flash G: You have a stop on that Curt?
Curtis M: LOD
Curtis M: Back on mic in a min re: $XIV >>>>>>
Curtis M: add 500 $XIV 71.135
Curtis M: $XIV avg cost 71.19
Curtis M: Off mic >>>>> Publishing $XIV charts so folks can use the indicators if they like for themselves.

HedgehogTrader: $TOPS could be an interesting buy low candidate, now at low end of its range; while macd curling up
Curtis M: On mic re $XIV >>>>>>>
HedgehogTrader: (traders should watch platinum which Curtis mentioned via etf $PPLT and platinum producer $PLG which is showing a strong chart)
HedgehogTrader: fwiw my signals get a strong likelihood $PLG rallies this month
Curtis M: $XIV stop 71.19
Curtis M: Stop 71.19 triggered flat trade +- 0.00
Curtis M: $XIV watching now >>>>>>
Curtis M: Looking for power
Curtis M: and Stoch RSI at bottom of range
Curtis M: We;re working on that echo FYI
Curtis M 2: $AKTS 11.56 1000 LONG
Curtis M 2: Stop set 11.09 $AKTS
Curtis M 2: Stop 10.99 changed
Curtis M 2: Stop 11.56
Curtis M 2: Stop 11.72
Curtis M 2: Out 11.72 small win + 160.00

Curtis M 2: Echo wont be fixed until tomorrows session
Curtis M 2: $AKTX bulls are still in it to win it
Curtis M 1: On Mic $AKTX break out
Sammy T: $TRCH had PR today Curt (your swing)
Curtis M 1: 12.16 1000 shares $AKTX
Curtis M 1: Stop set 11.50 $AKTX
Curtis M 1: Stop changed 11.47 $AKTX
Curtis M 1: Long 11.57 add 1000 shares $AKTX add
Curtis M 1: Correction 12.57
Curtis M 1: Stop 11.80 2000 shares set
lenny: In $CYCC play here Curt really impressive
Sammy T: Curt your $LGCY on the move too
MarketMaven: $TSLA killing the shorts
Flash G: You trading $TSLA now?
MarketMaven: Nope just watching cheering you guys on:)
MarketMaven: I was in $CYCC for a nice winner haha
Sammy T: $CBIO HOD w vol
Curtis M 1: Watching $AKTX on another monitor while I stalk $XIV on the room feed
Curtis M 2: Wondering if I should exit stage left $TSLA
Curtis M 2: nah
Curtis M 1: Long $XIV 71.63 500
Curtis M 1: $XIV stop 71.35
MarketMaven: Good meat and potatioes trading knowldge today Curt even though it isn’t big money day.
MarketMaven: 500 Shares add $XIV 71.99
Curtis M 1: Thanks for doing that
Curtis M 1: Bulldog just left lol so I can
Curtis M 1: Long 72.27 $XIV add 500
Curtis M 1: $AKTX 11.90 stop hit loss – 460.00
Curtis M 1: The machines just ate all the stops $XIV
Curtis M 1: Add final 1000 $XIV here 72.34
Curtis M 1: Stop on all 72.34 $XIV
Curtis M 1: Close $XIV 72.60 for a decent intra win + 1535.00

Curtis M 1: Off mic >>>>>>>>
Sammy T: Good trade management lessons there Mr Curt.
Curtis M 1: 10-4 Sam
lenny: Looks like your exit was decent timing.
Sammy T: have a great night guys
Sartaj Hundal: See you all tomorrow
lenny: Cya everybody
Curtis M 2: catch you in mornin

Be safe out there!

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Article Topics: $NVCR, $XIV, $AKTX, $MMEX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $DWT  – $XOM, $NE, $ONTX, $DUST, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Learning, How To, Trade, Trading, Educational, Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan for Monday April 3, 2017; $NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP, $TSLA, $XIV, $DWT – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

New blog post: When You Learn It – You Are Free (Part 1 of Freedom Traders). My Stock Trading Story. 

Friday Stock Trading Results

The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting Poston Sunday April 2, 2017 (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

Main watchlist in my trading plan today: $NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP, $TSLA, $XIV, $DWT Oil is near resistance and I expect volatility to get crushed again possibly and $SPY to get some lift. The others are momentum plays such as $NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP on watch. $TSLA, $XIV, $DWT looking for entries around swing levels posted.

All my holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.

Per recent;

$DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

It looks like technology and bio (wide-spread) may be the rotational choices short-term – we will see. I am interested in oversold retail and turn-around energy. 

Per recent reports: There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I will also be wanting to move out of my significant swing trading side holdings and pick more closely. The daytrading side I am 95% cash now that I am out of $UWT so I am fine. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Per recent reports:

Swing trades on watch for me again (in addition to our algorithm models because everything is either at resistance or support) today (some are same as from our swing trading platform side) are $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX and considering adding $LIT to the list. Also recently added to watch $CEW, $MYL, $TZA, $TREE and today added are $NVDA, $SOXS, $KBH, $BCOR. Also on OTC side new are $USRM, $PLSB, $LIGA and $ASCK.

Morning Momentum Stocks / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Premarket momentum stocks to watch:  $NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP

$NVCR, Premarket, Trading, Plan

$NVCR Premarket up 60% on news.

Gaps on these plays: 

News on these plays: $TSLA, $SRRA, $NVS, $KTOV, $XON, $ZIOP, $MRK, $SCMP, $DVAX

Chart Set-Ups: $TSLA

Previous Day Momentum Stocks to watch: $USRM, $XIV

9:45am
PMI Manufacturing Index

10am
-ISM Mfg Index
-Construction Spending

10:30am
William Dudley Speaks

5pm
Jeffrey Lacker Speaks

$TSLA Gapping up in pre-market.

Leap Therapeutics reports FY16 results https://seekingalpha.com/news/3255054-leap-therapeutics-reports-fy16-results?source=feed_f … #premarket $LPTX

$SAGE JPMorgan reiterates as Top Pick ahead of Phase 3 STATUS data. PT $83

$SRRA Sierra Oncology Collaborator ICR Reports Preclinical Synthetic Lethality Data for Chk1 Inhibitor SRA737 AACR

$NVS Novartis drug combination Tafinlar® + Mekinist receives EU approval for BRAF V600-positive advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)

$KTOV U.S. Food and Drug Administration Grants Kitov a Waiver for New Drug Application Filing Fee

$XON $ZIOP $MRK provide an update on CAR-T strategic collaboration and license agreement.

OncoSec’s IL-12 construct shows positive effect in preclinical testing; shares ahead 8% premarket https://seekingalpha.com/news/3255053-oncosecs-ilminus-12-construct-shows-positive-effect-preclinical-testing-shares-ahead-8?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $ONCS

$SCMP Acquires Vtesse $200M upfront

$DVAX Dynavax Announces FDA Advisory Committee Meeting to Review HEPLISAV-B

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead tech developer @hundalSHS, and associate trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $NVCR 40%, $STDY 25%, $DVAX 19%, $APOP $BVXV $EBIO $BCRX $SRRA $MDGS $ELOS $UGAZ $TECK $MTL $TSLA $HPE $LN $MPEL

 I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Per above

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $MHT $ELLI $VJET $HUN $GVA $DOV $ECL $FMC $OAS $EXR $HP $BBRY $AMC as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:$FWP $RWLK $WPC $FPO $FWP $ANET $KCG $MJN $ACOR $UAA $ACN $IBKR $HLT $CNK as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $NVCR, $STDY, $DVAX, $APOP, $TSLA, $XIV, $DWT – $MGTI, $NE, $XOM, $ONTX, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD