The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.
Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $CLWT, $UA, $DRYS, $UCTT, $APTO
Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX testing significant support, $GLD, $GDX are both under continued pressure BUT the Trump tax plan announcement and some other geo scenarios have given them some life. And of course Silver isn’t in the best of shape but will trade somewhat different than Gold. $USOIL, $WTIC tanked like EPIC said it would so we’ll see what range it gets next here – could get a short term pop but it is trending in a downward channel. $DXY under continued pressure as is $VIX.
OTC on watch: $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold) and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $AMLH $ACOL $BVTK $USRM
Gap ups:$OPTT $MLNX $ISLE $CTXS
News on these plays: $MDGS, $SSKN
Holds: Most holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT
Chart Set-Ups on Watch: $BLMN, $SNAP, $RTW, $JUNO, $GREK
8:30am -Durable Goods -Int Trade in Goods -Jobless Claims
10am Home Sales
10:30am NatGas #’s
11am KC Fed Mftg Index
3pm Farm Prices
Per recent reports:
There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.
Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
$SSKN – STRATA Skin Sciences Sees FY17 Sales of Nordlys Hybrid System, Accessories $4M-$4.5M, Contributing $500K-$600K in Adj. EBITDA
$MDGS – First Ten MUSE(TM) Procedures for GERD Performed in China as Part of CFDA Multi-Center Clinical Study
$ONTX Laidlaw starts at Buy $10pt
Under Armour shares surge some 10% premarket after upbeat earnings
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $CLWT, $DRYS, $UCTT, $MDGS $EXAS $UA $UAA $MTL $NOK $PYPL $ALXN $YNDX $CMCSA $BMY $LYG $F $FSLR $TALI will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $OPTT $MLNX $ISLE $CTXS $UWT $UGAZ $MT $LUV $FFIV $AMGN $CLF $DB $NUGT $JNUG $DAL $UVXY $TVIX $AA $X $LLY $RIO $FTI I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $PYPL $CHU $DISH $CSCO $CTXS $AXP $FSLR $AAL $AF $SC $ANTM $MCD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $MLNX $KS $BWLD $X $ANET $BRKL $PB $NTRI $AKAM $SHOP $NORD $LLY $WIX as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Wednesday April 26, 2017 Review of; Chat Room Stock Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithm Chart Trading and Live Stock Alerts. $AKBA, $PVCT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $EXP, $XRT – $LIGA, $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc …
Intro:
Compound Trading is a trading group active in day trading, swing trading and algorithmic model charting (black box).
Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat not applicable is deleted from transcript below but raw video footage is as it occurred – uncut). Chat trade room is recorded daily for trade archive (embedded below and available on our YouTube channel).
In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators we are looking for in and out off each trade. Typically at market open and for chart review during lunch hour at minimum) and has live chart screen sharing right from our monitors. At times guest traders and associate traders will screen share charting and/or voice broadcast.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSUREhttps://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .
Last market trading session Post Market Stock Trading Results can be found here: (Last Thurs, Fri, and Mon are coming – likely won’t have them caught up and published until this weekend when time allows).
Premarket Trading Plan Watch-list for this session can be found here (locked to respect members and unlocked to public about a week later for transparency):
There was no premarket published – it was only handled Wednesday on mic in the room.
Most recent Premarket Chart Set-Up Video (most recent available to public – there may be other exclusive’s in member newsletters):
#Premarket Chart Setups and Watchlist: $TWTR $AKBA $EW $LOGI:
Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):
Looking for a trading home? What you can expect from our lead trader. https://compoundtrading.com/lead-trader/ #trading #mentoring #freedomtraders
Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am holding:
I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size) – $ONTX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.
Good morning! Asian stocks eased as US tax plan failed to inspire investors. China shares slump as margin debt unwind. Yen lower after BoJ.
Good morning! Asian stocks eased as US tax plan failed to inspire investors. China shares slump as margin debt unwind. Yen lower after BoJ. pic.twitter.com/qQmlNK6o8d
Live Trading Chat Room Video Raw Footage and Transcript:
Two Part video (Part 1 embed is below and go to Compound Trading Youtube channel for Part 2 of live feed from day and other charting from the day)
Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:
Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades).
Note: We are testing a new trading room. This particular room does not list a time stamp with each chat entry – we are working on a fix. Also, please note, sometimes pieces of the transcript are missing (also something we are working on). But the video is raw and complete.
Caide: Good morning
Optionsavvy: gm folks
Optionsavvy: TWTR 11% short and may play well as ER beat was a fundamental change to short thesis. may grind north from here. just going to avoid at open
Dan: gm
Optionsavvy: chart with thoughts https://twitter.com/Optionsavvy/status/857217954945146881
Curt M: On mic in 4 mins for premarket watchlist>>>>>>>>>>
Optionsavvy: started a piece of KDMN yesterday. like this one alot but a few other chats on it so careful with this one also
Curt M: On mic for premarket chart setups and watchlist>>>>>> 9:05
Optionsavvy: agree.. scans ugly
Curt M: Real soft premarket…. giving it 5 mins to let momentum plays possibly set up here – back on mic in 5 min>>>>>
Curt M: yepp
Optionsavvy: like that ADVM I tweeted this mnorning. its been hitting relative volume for a few days now
Curt M: Look at it, setting up well.
Optionsavvy: not quite ready but one to watch for sure
Curt M: $TWTR, $AKBA, $EW, $LOGI and a few otherss on my list…
Curt M: $TWTR has to get a run over 16 or it’s dead again.
Curt M: On mic>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Curt M: Off mic for a bit to see hour momos set up back in 5 >>>>>>>
Optionsavvy: FTR behaved well yesterday. personally not a fan of the name but may give a nice trade off this low range. Was on scans this morning but didnt mention it
Optionsavvy: I am actively stalking a trade in BAC via options
lenny: looks rough
Spiegel: Don’t forget about ESSI today. I think it will run some more from my pick of it yesterday
Curt M: Back on mic>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Optionsavvy: ESSI was sponsor for music fest I was at last weekend. material all over. like the story
Optionsavvy: just be careful with ESSI its up HUGE YOY
Optionsavvy: problem is they bought the market right into res yesterday into announcement. priced to perfection so anything less than groundbreaking will be a sell. risk is up
Optionsavvy: imo of course 😉
Curt M: $CETV only other I have to add to list for open
Spiegel: Just a side note – With a lot of these little penny stocks I give, most are garbage companies. Don’t treat them as buy & holds. Just get in, make your money, and get out.
Optionsavvy: DOW is strongest on relative basis which is bullish ( usually ) so mixed signals. I am sitting on hands until I see a clear level to trade from
Curt M: That’s it for my watchlist – back on mic for open 9:29 It’s a soft open!!!
Curt M: Wisdom at work.
Curt M: On mic for open>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Optionsavvy: SPY volume anemic
Spiegel: It sounds to French on the end. Not gell.
Optionsavvy: usually SPY hitting 1.5M by 8:30
Market Maven: Long some $ESSI here
Optionsavvy: QQQ up and out
Spiegel: CYOU
Flash G: nope
Optionsavvy: you say that likes hes been dependable rather than erratic thus far lol
Caide: his twitter feed and wires say nothing substantial
Caide: yeah lumber tariffs on canada lol
Curt M: $FCAU tape alive
Curt M: $IRBT tape
Spiegel: CYOU moving. ESSI bouncing
Curt M: $OPXA tape
Spiegel: CYOU
Curt M: $PHMD
Spiegel: I bought some TWTR
Curt M: $GS tape
Curt M: $WYNN tape
Shafique: $GOPRO red to green
Leanne: swing!!!!! love it
Leanne: can’t wait
Spiegel: I can’t wait either
Curt M: $AKBA close watch
Curt M: $X also for a turn
Spiegel: CYOU at 52 week highs
Spiegel: 3%
Spiegel: frustrating charts
lenny: $FIT is alive! haha
Flash G: $USO spike
Optionsavvy: TWTR on radar for follow thru
Optionsavvy: BRS one of my oil favs is curling up and could make a nice run above 15.25
Optionsavvy: QQQ being artificially dragged down by AAPL #badfruit
Curt M: On Mic re: #EIA Epic the Algo targets
Spiegel: I will be joining the 24 hour trading room to take advantage of that
Shafique: EPIC is EPIC simple
Curt M: Off mic and back at lunch to run the charts review>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 10:39
Optionsavvy: long a slog of BAC via calls thru friday
Curt M: Long 13.01 $AKBA test
Curt M: 1000 share test tight will cut if I have to and re-enter
Curt M: $AKBA long 1000 $AKBA 13.295
Curt M: Long $AKBA 1000 add 13.515
Curt M: Set stop 13.49
Spiegel: very nice!
Curt M: Stop 13.56 executed out 3000 shares $AKBA nice win
Curt M: Thanks Soiegel
Curt M: Off mic>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> $AKBA
Curt M: Will add $PVCT ass it goes hopefully.
Curt M: $AKBA watching for either break of 14 the clear dollar or look at it over lunch for an proper entry for afternoon. Got out because of 13.75 on deck – the .75 quarter.
Spiegel: IS PVCT from the swing trade section to or just this room?
Curt M: just going to add as I can and hope $PVCT … its a small play
Curt M: Like total I will be in if fully in is 3000.00 and right now I’m in 20% – so for my account its small
Curt M: It’s a trending play that I just like the trend on it. Think it will continue in trend.
Market Maven: I was in $AKBA with you and now $PVCT small also and I know Len was too – nice and thanks. We’re out $AKBA right now also.
Sartaj: Curt has to take some calls. We are going to begin the midday review at 12:05 PM EST at the latest.
Curt M: Back so if there are any charts you’d like to review put em in here. Start in 5 mins.
Curt M: On mic for review>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Curt M: one min sorry
Sartaj: lol
Leanne: lightbulb going off, but before I try at home I need to learn more about fibs and then how to build this matrix.
Leanne: who knew you could teach an old dog new tricks!
Leanne: OMG Curtis!
Leanne: Can we create the matrix with TV? Have the free version, does that work or we need the paid version?
Sartaj: You can use Fibonacci Retracement, trend lines, and those technicals on the left hand side in TV
Sartaj: So yeah, you can create matrices in the free version
Sartaj: but if you want to layer Squeeze Momentum, MACD, RSI, etc., you need the paid version
Leanne: I have TC2000 so will try on there, never got into fibs yet so big learning curve for me today
Sartaj: Yeah
Sartaj: Most, if not all, modern platforms will let you do what he just did
Sartaj: Too bad Spiegel missed that
Leanne: ok, already paying for TC2000 and I like it, am used to it so will try building a matrix on it
Sartaj: And Bernard, how’s it going?
Leanne: I would like to sign up for a modelling class!
Leanne: he did! Thanks Sartaj
Leanne: thanks Curtis
robert g: i saw where you mentioned your 92% market calling meter, what is that about?
Sartaj: That was something called… a joke. But if you want to check out our P/L ledgers for Q1 2017, check out the website: https://compoundtrading.com
Sartaj: We are also working on algorithm-specific P/L reports
Leanne: OMG you just made me week Curtis
Leanne: you have no idea
Sartaj: That being said, if you follow EPIC’s feeds in any capacity, you’ll realize, and there are live videos you can watch, of our algorithm-generated price/time targets being hit, in real-time
Leanne: I’m like jumping up and down
Sartaj: The latest call was this resistance cluster that was called a week in advance, and we were running our predictions contrary to what the market wanted/was saying. They were anticipating a recovery, and our model showed a crash coming
Sartaj: and both targets were directly hit earlier today in the room
Leanne: OMG Curtis I did one!!!!!
Sartaj: It’s also worth noting that you don’t want to overfit your data model. Make sure that your tops and bottoms are confirmed first… use more than just a couple of points when you’re applying your trend lines on the chart
Sartaj: “Overfitting” is an important study in statistics that’s worth investing some time into. Wikipedia’s article is pretty good
Sartaj: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overfitting
Market Maven: Just publishing charts now to share so if anyone wants the indicators or whatever you can use link. Then I trade.
Curt M: Thanks Maven
Sartaj: Leanne, imo math starts with a trip to the art museum, but all things considered, the trading platform you use should already have trend lines built-in, and then really, the only other thing you might want to check is for retracements
Market Maven: He yells I type
Sartaj: if you can’t find them, DM me on twitter, and I can help you do some research
Curt M: Was Speigel not in room?
Sartaj: He wasn’t, unfortunately
Sartaj: he would have loved that
Sartaj: If anyone has feedback, you can email me at [email protected] I see we have the usual suspects in the room today
Curt M: Just send him a note maybe with the link – he’s all about it you’re right
Sartaj: Sure thing
Sartaj: Should have been #FreedomTraders, Curt. M was missing when you get this msg
Curt M: lol
Sartaj: oh well
Curt M: by the time I do 6000 of them I’ll have the hashtag for all the long tail mispells
Curt M: I’m not stypid
Curt M: i thought that was funny anyway
Sartaj: I just thought, Curt is an octopus
Curt M: Did Robert leave?
Sartaj: He left as soon as you signed off the mic
Curt M: I won”t say it
Shafique: $FUEL popping
Rick: trading view chat is funny sometimes
Sartaj: It’s interesting to see what they talk about when they’re not gambling
Sartaj: Twitter bots are also funny, when they start mass mailing pumps
Sartaj: Or on Monday, there was a slew of conspiracy theories
Curt M: Wow $MTBC 220%
Flash G: $MOMO on its trail non stop chugging along
Shafique: Got a bit on that $MTBC dump – next
Curt M: $RTIX hit the upside resistance I mentioned at luch and backed off.
Leanne: so I watch and stalk
OILK: yes nice chart leanne
Leanne: Curtis, BLMN, the 20 is crossing the 200, the MACD seems to be good, it’s not as swoopy as I’d like but would love your thoughts if you have time.
Leanne: Thank you OILK. I am truly humbled by this amazing group and don’t feel in any way like I’ll be in the same league but trying my best. My beach is back East on the Atlantic Ocean. That’s my goal. My freedom.
OILK: excellent
Curt M: Great set up – main 2 problems are earnings after market so wait for that and make sure over resistance before long
OILK: The reason you don’t see a lot of losng in this group is we trade predictable set ups. Sure Sykes type have set ups but those type of set ups arent easily reproducable – its hard for others to do it without blowing up their accounts in the learning process – we trade predictability
OILK: $BLMN fits the set up
OILK: It looks good
Dan: agree
Leanne: Thanks. Sykes was my intro into the trading world, I paid a HUGE price. This is my home now.
Dan: awesome
OILK: Sykes is good but hard to reproduce very hard
Leanne: So watching BLMN for after earnings and JUNO is where you talked about earlier? Looks like hitting a buy mark?
Leanne: I”m an old cat (same age as Curtis), lots of kids, lots of universities ahead of me to pay for. I’m after long term, consistent, lower risk plays. Compounding wins!
Curt M: $JUNO you have to wait for 20 MA to cross 200 MA and price above
OILK: Same story as our core group
OILK: its a good fit
Leanne: 🙂
Curt M: They are all at resistance lol – but the setups are there. $BLMN $SNAP $JUNO $RTIX
Curt M: So they have to confirm up or cool off and then the trade is when they’ve cooled and go
Curt M: Unfortunately they all have to pop or drop for a trade – but they’re set up thats the important part
UNFORTUNATELY OUR AFTERNOON SESSION TRANSCRIPT ISN’T AVAILABLE – This platform requires us to copy and past it and that will likely cause us to continue testing other platforms because it is simply not feasible.
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