Machine Learning is Changing Our World and Compound Gains are Powerful. This is a Short Story About How Machine Trading is Changing Portfolio Return, Risk and Compound Trading Expectations.

The World is Changing Fast. The Landscape of Public Markets, Risk and Portfolio Return Along With It.

A brief search on Google brings many articles about the increase in automated machine trading and the possible future forward scenarios for public markets.

I was recently interviewed about this very topic – the future is unknown, but in my basic thinking machine learning is here to stay, I have tried to compete against it and I intend to be on the right side of the ROI trajectory.

First, A Snap-Shot of Our Brief History.

When we started our trading service we demonstrated how day trading and swing trading could net good day traders consistently 100% – 400% a year with a systematic rules-based process.

We video recorded every session live, alerted the trades to our clients and documented each trade. 

The naysayer says “I seen this or that trade that didn’t work!” – the small cross-section analyst that didn’t do their homework that is. Sure, we had our losses. But what they don’t say is that over-all we proved the returns were not only possible but probable (live recorded, time stamped, live alerted) in a systematic manner if a day trader uses a sound rules-based process, has an appropriate account size to execute various trades and sizing to spread risk (as we alerted live) and protects his/her downside. Anyone can go through our live alerts and videos to determine this to be the case. And we’re not the only day trading service that has or continues to provide these results – some even more.

What’s the point?

The point is that if you take an isolated cross-section of time, or you kinda executed the processes or kind of protected your downside or didn’t start with an appropriate account size to spread your risk then your individual scenario may have been different. But over-all, an investigation in to our processes show over 100% returns over all per annum daytrading and / or swing trading.

More specifically to the point, the same principle applies to machine trade development and testing. 

When a trader reaches this level of day trading (a winning process within an appropriate account size with protected risk), he/she can then start thinking about compounding his/her gains (the holy grail for a day trader).

Or, as we did, the successful trader may chose to turn their attention to algorithmic modeling and then on to machine trading.

In our case, we started with cracking the code to and building software for trading crude oil futures contracts.

Why go in to further risk? Because I knew what my potential returns were investing (I have over three decades of experience) and I now knew what my potential returns were day trading and swing trading. The last frontier for me was machine learning and whether we could achieve better returns in automated trade with less future forward risk and effort.

My retirement years will be as a trader, the only questions for me are; what kind of trader and what are the returns?

Day trading and swing trading equities (along with trading various ETF type instruments) is much easier to master than day trading crude oil and manifold times easier than building software to trade crude oil or any other instrument.

We knew that if we mastered the code / rule-set of machine trade that higher returns were obviously possible and that we could then build software for numerous other instruments (at will) and obviously leverage our time and compound return potential far in to the future.

The EPIC v1 machine software real-world trade test was returning a projected 20% per annum, v2 40%, v3 80% and the goal for EPIC’s version 4 was 160%.

Version 4 was too aggressive and exceeded our risk tolerance so we returned to EPIC v3 and it has been running with sound stability and very low downside risk for seven weeks at approximately 90% projected annual returns. We expect this percentage to consistently increase over time (as the software learns) with little to no additional down-side risk.

Stability of Software – downside risk vs. return is key. V4 EPIC I believe could hit 800% per year or more but the volatility and subsequent risk therein was too much for us to stomach in real-world testing (real-world is also key and required – paper-trading when testing the software doesn’t cut it).

Below is the Seven Week Real-World Trading Performance YTD for EPIC v3 Crude Oil Futures Machine Trading Software.

machine trading, returns, trades, chart

For August 23, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily +$862 YTD+$11,463 Projected $89,020 or 89% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

Below I provide the Compound Returns Based on our Current Oil Trading Results at 90% per annum Profit Compounded Over 3 Year Period.

The sample account starts with 100,000.00 and after 3 years has a balance of 761,651.00.

compound, gains, ROI, trading

Compound Account Returns according to Current Oil Trading Results at 90% per annum profit Compounded Over a Three (3) Year Period.

And below are the Compound Account Returns according to Current Oil Trading Results at 90% per annum profit Compounded Over a Six (6) Year Period.

The sample account starts with 100,000.00 and after 6 years has a balance of 5,801.117.00.

compound, trading, gains, 6 years

Compound Account Returns according to Current Oil Trading Results 90% per annum profit Compounded Over a Six (6) Year Period.

Will We Meet The Annual Return and Compound Trade Return Projection?

Only time will tell the story.

What I know for sure is that our v3 EPIC Crude Oil Machine Trade Software is extremely stable, has near zero down-side risk and has consistent gains.

It has been running for seven weeks as of this Tuesday, which in the machine trading world is a near life-time. At the eight week mark it is almost mathematically impossible for it to fail and at the twelve week point it is something like 99.99999% sure it will meet or exceed the expectations within current ROI trajectory. 

My guess, v3 ends up performing at 100% – 150% and easily meets or exceeds the projections, I have zero doubt about its stability and ability to protect downside loss. But as I said, all return projections are yet to be seen, time will tell.

Relative to the Top Performing Hedge Funds of 2018 we are doing well, the Odey fund came out on top of the pack, generating about 53% in returns. Also relative to the best returns of all time we’re competing; The Renaissance Technologies Medallion fund is considered to be one of the most successful hedge funds ever. It has averaged a 71.8% annual return, before fees, from 1994 through mid-2014.

I always said we would never have taken this project on if we thought there was a considerable chance we would fail. We knew it would be one of the hardest things we’ll ever try and accomplish, but we believed we would get there.

In my best estimation, we have now successfully cracked the code.

Thanks for being part of and supporting our journey. 

Curt

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Important Market and Service Updates: Webinars, Reporting, Time Cycles, Live Room, P&L’s, Promos Etc…

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Article Topics; crude oil, machine trading, trading, compound, returns, ROI, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL


Good afternoon Traders,

As we gear up for another trading week in advance of our larger prep for the fall season I thought it best to provide you a quick update on our plans, scheduling etc. 

We see a significant opportunity (time cycles) from now and in to the late fall 2019 season in Equities, Commodities, Bitcoin etc. The reporting schedule and webinars we are hosting should do well to prepare our members to take full advantage of it.

Reporting Schedule This Week (estimated release dates for premium member reporting, dates are evening of in to next morning).

Aug 18 – VIX (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – SPY (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – Swing Trading (swing trade members will also receive various other time cycle reporting as it comes available).

Aug 18 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 19 – Crude Oil (EPIC Algorithm regular report)

Aug 19 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 20 – Bitcoin (including time cycles)

Aug 20 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 21 – Gold (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Silver (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 22 – DXY US Dollar (including time cycles)

Aug 22 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

The week of Aug 18 and in to fall will also bring various other various swing trade and time cycle reporting to the various services.

Upcoming General Public Free Webinars.

Crude Oil Webinar – Machine Trade Informational. Topics Include; YTD Machine Trade Profit and Loss Performance, Development Process and What Is Planned Going Forward. 7:00 – 7:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Crude Oil Webinar – How to Use Our Platform. Oil Trade Alerts, Live Trading Room, Private Discord Server Oil Trade Set Up Guidance, Algorithm Models & Conventional Charting. 8:00 – 8:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Upcoming Premium Member Only Webinars.

Crude Oil Trade Strategy Webinar – A Review of Oil Trade Set Ups for The Week. 9:00 – 9:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Crude Oil service members.

Swing Trading Set-Ups Webinar – A Review of Swing Trading Setups for The Upcoming Week (including time cycles). 10:00 – 10:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Swing Trading service members.

Members that cannot attend live will receive a video copy and featured report of the webinar.

Trading Profit and Loss Updates.

2019 Swing Trading Status: Our swing trading platform has had an exceptional year, we’re running our regular 100%+ annual returns (over last 3 years) varied depending on the type/ category of swing trade, Jen has a full report in the works for members to review. As mentioned above, with the large time cycle peaks coming in to the fall we expect a bang up fall swing trade season.

V3 EPIC Oil Algorithm Machine Trade P&L Status: We couldn’t be more pleased with the v3 oil machine trade software. It has been running for about 5 weeks and it is exceeding our expectations. The most encouraging part is that its code is still in its early stages of real-world testing – the projected ROI trajectory is expected to continue to turn-up with no additional downside risk – v3 is an extremely stable machine trading architecture. As we near the 8 week real-world running time-line the mathematical probability of it having any notable issues are near zero (at 5 weeks we’re near there now). It took some time, grit and investment, but we’re there now.

“For Aug 15, 2019 Profit & Loss: Daily +$355 YTD+$9,185 Projected $85,958 or 86% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Test Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts”

Password Access to Trading Rooms, Private Alerts, Discord Servers.

We have been slowly changing / updating passwords and access to various services. If you are a premium member and you are locked out of any service you are subscribed to (trading room, alert feed, private server, etc) or do not receive a report that you see posted to main Compound Trading Twitter feed (that you should be receiving), please let us know so we can rectify.

Promotions.

There is a current promotion running for new member trials, receive 50% off first month of any service list price. Use promo code “TRIAL50” when checking out (if you have issue with the promo code email us and we’ll send you another by email). If you have registered recently at full price and did not take advantage of this email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and she will invoice your next month renewal at 50% off. This is only available to first time subscribers and cannot be used with other discounts. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours – it usually books out for the fall so register soon if you’ve been throwing the idea around.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember, the webinars listed above require you to register in advance by sending us an email of your interest in attending.

Thanks,

Curt

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Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Crude Oil Trading Academy: A Selection of Unlocked Oil Trade Strategy Articles from Our Traders:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil Futures Contracts is Like No Other Trading – Having a Rules Based Process Will Help You.

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Article Topics; Compound Trading, Machine Trade, Alerts, Swing Trading, Live Trading Room, Oil, BTC, SPY, VIX, DXY, GOLD, SILVER, Webinars, Promos, Reporting, ROI, Profit & Loss, Time Cycles, Trade Coaching


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading Swing Trading Keep It Simple K.I.S.S. MACD Charting Review (Public Edition) for the week of March 12, 2017! 

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Members to our Swing Trading please refer to the member publications for more detail.

MACD Charting Annual ROI – US Dollar, Volatility, Gold, Miner’s, Silver, Crude Oil and the S&P 500. 

$SPY S&P 500 KISS Keep it Simple MACD Cross Provides Winning Swing Trading Strategy $SPXL $SPXS $ES_F

$SPY, Chart, SwingTrading

$SPY S&P 500 KISS Keep it Simple MACD Cross Provides Winning Swing Trading Strategy $SPXL $SPXS $ES_F #swingtrading

Crude Oil Swing Trading KISS Keep it Simple MACD Wins FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude, Oil, Chart, Swing Trading, $USOIL, $WTI

Crude Oil Swing Trading KISS Keep it Simple MACD Wins FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Swing Trading $VIX KISS Keep it Simple MACD Provides Moderate Success $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

$VIX, Swing Trading, Chart

Swing Trading $VIX KISS Keep it Simple MACD Provides Moderate Success $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Swing Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI $GLD $GC_F $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold, Swing Trading, Chart, $GLD

Swing Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI $GLD $GC_F $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

Swing Trading $GDX #Gold Miners KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI. $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Miners, $GDX, Swing Trading, Chart

Swing Trading $GDX #Gold Miners KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI. $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

Swing Trading #Silver KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, $SLV, Swing Trading, Chart

Swing Trading #Silver KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI $SLV $USLV $DSLV #SwingTrading

Swing Trading $DXY #USD #Dollar KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI – Note current status. $UUP

$DXY, USD, Dollar, Swing Trading, Chart

Swing Trading $DXY #USD #Dollar KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI – Note current status. $UUP #SwingTrading

All in all the MACD used for swing trading is profitable – more or less so depending what you are trading. Your ROI will also obviously be affected by your ability to trade with conviction and discipline.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL $WTI, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $DXY, MACD, Charting, ROI, USD, Dollar, Volatility, Gold, Miner’s, Silver, Crude, Oil, S&P 500