Trade Set Ups Video for Swing Trading Earnings Season Thursday January 24, 2019.
Swing Trading Stock Signals in this Report: $AAPL, $AKS, $AMD, $AGN, $EXP …
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Notices:
Welcome to a series of special reports during earnings season for our swing trading platform. There will be a significant number of these mini reports.
Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week (on average) cycling the five reports (that include over one hundred equities) every five weeks (approximately).
Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service rotation to also include reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, themed reports and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox.
After earnings season we will recommence the regular rotations.
When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.
Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).
It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.
If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.
We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.
Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:
“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me ([email protected]) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.
As live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
Swing Trading Signals / Charts for Earnings Season.
There are no clear price targets on the AKS chart, however, trading the range between key support and resistance post earnings could yeild result (key support and resistance at white arrows).
I will be looking for a reversal trade here to next resistance areas marked on chart. Trim in to them and add above according to rick tolerance and time frame.
A failure of key TL support is a divergent broken set-up and will be re-charted.
Tools You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate. 90%+- Is Within Reach.
How to Trade Oil Successfully with the Right Strategies: Trade Alerts, Chat Room Signals, Live Trading Room, Conventional Charts, Time Cycle Knowledge and Algorithmic Models.
My position in this post is simple; if you have the technical data needed to make the right trading decisions on all time frames (your oil trading strategy) provided to you (the oil day trader) in the most efficient manner, you can out trade the general market traders and compete with world class machine oil trading firms.
We endeavor to provide such a trading platform for our members. Below I explain how we are doing that.
But first, a trade coaching session for those learning to get on the winning side of their trading… if you are a pro that only needs the technical oil trading strategies included in this post… skip this rant and scroll down.
Why do I scream from the rooftops that my win oil trading rate is so high? Why do I scream transparency and documentation of my trading journey and the development of our oil trading systems?
I scream my win rate (that anyone can review our live recorded and time stamped documentation to verify) to drive home that you do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you, “trade price, nobody knows the future and that a 60/40 win rate is acceptable” – this is a flawed process.
You do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you.
Study our oil trading system development and you will find that trading price doesn’t work in oil and that thinking you can’t know the future (future decisions for up, down or sideways trade and the most probable price targets) is foolish thinking.
We know with high probability where price is going to be on any time frame (from a 1 minute chart to a monthly chart and all between) and we know with high probability how to trade the decisions a trader will face on the way to the possible price targets.
We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field. We play the game with the lights on while the majority of our competition is in the dark.
We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field.
A 60/40 win rate is painful, to accept and use that system you have to take a series of significant losing side cuts to only then take advantage of a winning swing trade trend pattern move. In other words, the problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win. I do this myself, but only with 10% of my account.
For example I have been DWT short for a number of weeks in preparation for the reversal in oil trade we are now experiencing. But I do it so that I get the move even when I don’t have time to day trade it.
The problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win.
Another problem with the 60/40 idea (and there are hundreds of problems with this thinking) is that oil can trade sideways for many weeks, in this scenario you get chopped up and this causes your brain to be confused and you begin questioning yourself.
The method we are developing, perfecting and teaching (that we have documented live in every fashion available for proof) has a much higher rate of return and win side rate, it allows you to be in cash daily, it is much less stressful (the draw downs when you do lose can be next to zero) and it is the equivalent of Wayne Gretzky on the ice (for example).
You can simply “out stick handle” your competition.
To be a 90%+ oil trading winner takes real work to learn, but on the other side you will have much less stress, you win more often, your ROI and ROE increase significantly, your lifestyle freedom increases and the most important part is it keeps your brain in the frame work of being a winner.
Worst case scenario – you add what you can or what you prefer to use of what we have learned and passed on to you so that your oil trading win rate increases.
The bottom line.
It is critical for your brain to know it wins. When it knows you are a winner it won’t accept losses. This is critical (you would have to do a serious psychological study to learn why this is so important – maybe someday I will write about what I’ve learned).
The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality. Your subconscious is the leader, and it needs to know when it trades crude oil, that you win.
The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality.
The only way this is possible (your brain knowing that you win so it won’t accept losing which causes your execution to be disciplined) is to be able to “out -trade” your competition.
Sure, you are competing with yourself – but in reality you are competing against the world’s best when you enter the markets everyday.
The only way to out-trade your competition is to have technical market information and tools they simply do not possess and / or do not have “as efficient” access to and they haven’t defined their trading process and skill-set to the same level you have.
This is what causes one to trade win-side at a rate of over 90%. And anyone can do it.
Lets Get on With The Technical Oil Trading Strategies You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate.
Oil Trade Signals: The Strategy / Guidance I Provided to Members at Start of Week.
Crude Oil Time Cycles, Area of Trade, Support, Resistance, Trading Channels.
Note: The time stamps on the Private Member Discord Oil Chat Room Server is showing my time in the Dominican Republic (this time of year it is one hour later here in DR than Eastern Time in New York).
For this post (that focuses on examples from Friday Jan 18, 2019 in our oil trading room) I will start with trade signals I provided to our members at the beginning of the week (and some prior) to provide context for the guidance explained.
Below (3rd image down) you will find a private member server screen shot (to start the week of Jan 14, 2018) I shared with the chat room of a test chart our oil machine trade coding technicians are developing for sizing trades.
In addition to using our main oil charting (the EPIC Oil Algorithm model – a proprietary model based on a 30 minute oil chart) we use many other charts (conventional and algorithmic) on many time-frames to determine back tested and correlated probabilities for oil trade resistance, support, channels, reversals, time cycles and more.
In the instance below (at start of last week) I was signaling the possible channel oil would use for weekly trade – specifically if the scenario played out during weekly trade as it related to the previously provided signals to members (that we seen a time cycle ending in crude oil December 20, 2018).
Prior to this, we had provided members (many weeks in advance of Dec 20) that the time cycle peak / conclusion was for approximately Dec 20 (with allowance for a week either way of Dec 20 because the time cycle was so large as it was based on the weekly time cycle charting).
Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.
Between Dec 20 and Dec 26 there was one last “flash down” in oil trade which is typical at the end or peak of a time cycle on any time frame from the one minute charting to monthly charting (this is typical of the final stops being triggered and shorts covering positions).
Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.
Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.
Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.
Also of note, we predicted the down turn in oil trade at the time cycle peak – the time cycle turn prior to the Dec 20, 2018 reversal.
See this tweet from EPIC Oil Algorithm Public Twitter feed and the post linked to our blog.
Back to Strategic Guidance Provided to Oil Chat Room Last Week:
The oil trade signals I alerted to members to assist in their oil trade strategy focused on the trading range our members could expect for oil the coming week. The alerted signals also gave our traders support and resistance areas on the charting and the most probable channel of trade (this is all in addition to the EPIC Oil Trading Weekly Report).
Curt Melonopoly Last Monday at 8:49 AM (7:49 AM EST) “It’s a machine coding doodle chart for sizing etc so its a mess, but we are looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal confirmation in crude oil – use proven EPIC model for confirmation for trading”.
Oil Chat Room – looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal in crude oil
Below is a screen shot of the live oil alert feed on Twitter providing the following signal to our members for the week:
“Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.”
Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.
The examples above provide context to the guidance we provided our oil members at recent time cycle turns and at the beginning of the week…
Now lets jump to the specific point of this post that involves trade last Friday December 18, 2019 so we can learn how to day trade the opportunities in crude oil.
At 6:40 AM Friday Jan 19, 2019 I signaled the oil chat room that oil trade looked bullish and that our traders could expect a push toward the 53.40 resistance.
You can see on the chart / screen capture below how trade for the week had maintained the channel and that oil trade was following a trajectory (light blue vertical line) that I had outlined in the chat room earlier in the week as a probable upside strategy.
The strategy for the trajectory of the uptrending blue arrow was based on trajectory of time cycle targets on the short time frame assuming oil was bullish (price targets on our algorithmic charting can be assumed at where important trend lines cross, this is consistent through all time frames on all algorithmic models – this takes some time to learn).
The resistance I was alerting our members was at the top of the trading channel so they were aware of where to be aware of possibly trimming positions or at minimum being on watch for intra-day stall in trade.
“They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze”.
Crude Oil Chat Room Signal – They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze.
On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart. Reconfirming the bullish scenario for day trading oil upward in Friday’s trade.
You will also notice at the bottom of the screen capture – the noted alert at the bottom of the screen, “53.50 is top of quad ton EPIC model resistance today, trading 52.83 intra” that this set-up coincided with our proprietary oil algorithm charting (the core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post).
The core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post.
On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart
Earlier that morning Jeremy has posted a link in the chat room to the article and video post covering trade from Thursday’s session and explanation of the one minute trading box set-up. You can study the set-up at the link below;
By far one of the most important crude oil trading articles we have posted since our inception.
Protected: How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video)
At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.
I also re-confirm my expectation that probability for the top of the quad area of the oil algorithm in trade gets hit and that my entry signal price target (preferred entry is 52.40) so that our traders could make their own decisions for execution.
Also mentioned here, the one minute trading model (the trading box area) as the preferred entry price so that our members know where I derived the 52.40 entry preference from.
At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.
Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts. Long oil at 52.67 with trims at 52.93 and 53.08.
Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts.
Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade at 53.03 due to internet issues and reiteration of price target 53.50 for day trade.
Then the price target for the day trade was hit. A 90 tick move so far on the day.
Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade due to internet issues and reiteration of price target for day trade.
Below is screen shot capture of crude oil chat room of posted oil chart images of predictability of 1 minute oil day trading strategy in trading box model (as previously posted above – the Thursday featured blog post the day prior) when crude oil squeezes intra-day.
Screen shot of chat room images of predictability of 1 minute oil trade in trading box model when crude oil squeezes intra day.
As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames in crude oil trade range expected for the day.
heavy resistance confirming on all time frames, but in a sqz u never know
As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames n crude oil trade range expect for the day.
Resistance areas of oil trade for guidance for day traders to consider trimming or closing positions.
Resistance had been hit on two 4 hour charts and the EPIC Oil Algorithm 30 Minute Model at this point of trade intra-day. Other charting time frames had resistance also.
Resistance areas of oil trade and guidance for daytraders to consider trimming or closing positions.
240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.
240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.
LIVE OIL TRADING ROOM VIDEO | HOW TO DAY TRADE CRUDE OIL – STRATEGIES I USE.
#daytrade #crudeoil
Summary Notes for Video:
Note: Voice broadcast starts at 16:25 on video. When I am trading and on mic is noted below (the location times on video).
At 16:25 on video “I am triggering long 52.67 with tight stops because of test on 240 minute crude oil charting, so I may trigger in and out here, we’ll see. Will probably get in to pressure right in to open here but I didn’t want to miss the move. A little bit of FOMO.”
At 19:50 on video “The one minute candle turn in advance of market open is coming here, get ready for some pressure.”
Keep in mind the strategy guidance provided to members in the oil chat room specific to the preferred by trigger at 52.40 (in other words support on one minute day-trading model).
And Then The Internet Crashes! A Work Crew Down the Street Cut The Line.
At 23:00 mins on video I come on mic to announce the internet problem to the trading room (at which time I didn’t know what the specific problem with the internet was).
At 24:50 on video the pressure in oil trade comes (which made sense to me considering the resistance decision but I decided to hold because oil was so bullish through the time cycle). I could have cut and re-entered which may have yielded a better profit by 10 ticks or so.
And then the internet continues to crash intermittently. Had the internet not been crashing I would have been on mic providing our traders guidance.
At 56:40 I announce we are back up on a cellular network and that I am holding the position.
At 1:10:50 On video I announce I am trimming at 53.08 holding 25% – there was significant resistance on the EPIC Oil Algorithm so I trimmed.
In the trading chat room (not on video due to internet issues) I announce I am closing trade due to internet issues even though price wasn’t to the top of the algorithm quadrant and price target for the day, “closed 53.03 may re enter i had to close due to internet.”
Had the internet been restored timely I would have traded right top of quadrant and price target for the day.
At 1:18:00 on video you can see trade hitting the price target for the day (top of algorithm quadrant).
In a normal scenario I would have been trading the one minute trading chart model in the trading boxes and on mic in the trading room announces my trades. But on this day as fate would have it I couldn’t do it because I couldn’t risk the internet crashing while on the temporary cellular platform we were using.
Important note:
Much of the proprietary charting links, member oil reporting, and proprietary algorithmic charting is not included in this post. In 2019 we have started to limit dissemination of proprietary content due to copy cat trading firms.
Summary Thoughts for Context.
It is important to note that there were many many more trade alerts, charting updates, chat room trades / signals / guidance and trading room live trade coverage for the week.
Our members have much, much more information available to them for crude oil day trading decisions needed every day of the week on all time frames.
Having advanced technical know-how derived from a systematic scientific process that gets fed in to our various oil trading platform services to trading members allows for our members to “out stick handle” the everyday trading community and compete with world class machine trading firms.
My win rate and the oil machine trading win rate was well over 90% for the week and the reason is the combined tools available – available to myself, to our machine trading techs and thus the developed software and also made available to the members in our oil trading service.
If you have any questions send me a note please!
Best and peace!
Curt
PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.
Further Learning:
If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.
This Article Covers a Very Important Trade Signal for Crude Oil Day Traders: How to Day Trade Crude Oil Using One Minute Chart.
Trade Alert Screen Shots and Trading Room Video Included Below.
Voice broadcast starts at 0:20 on video.
This is One of The Most Important Articles We Have Published for Oil Trading Traders Since Starting Our Service.
Thursday was a huge day for our development team for crude oil trading signals required for alerting day trading crude oil.
The patterns in crude oil are very important, especially as it relates to the one minute day trade signals because trading oil can be volatile.
Trade can move very fast in crude oil futures so a trader needs signals on the lower time frame (1 minute charting) that he/she can trigger with confidence. This is a very big development for us at Compound Trading Group.
Be sure to actually listen to the video included in this report because the text version does not explain every important detail required for a day trader to completely understand how the signals work for executing trades with precision.
Crude Oil Trading Rules Based Process
On the video I discuss the importance of the rules based process for trading crude oil with buy and sell triggers (signals / strategies) are reviewed.
Setting Stop Loss When Trading Crude Oil
The above relates (determines) to the stop loss you set for each oil charting time frame for triggering orders. Time frames being the different chart time frames for 1 min, 5, 15, 30, 1 hour, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly.
240 Minute (Algorithmic Model Test Chart)
This morning, trade in crude oil held the key support on the 240 min (4 Hr) chart reviewed.
If the chart structure holds the possible move up on the next extension (and the move lower) is also discussed.
Support and resistance is discussed on the chart structure as is price targets and time cycle completions.
The chart is still bullish. The bearish and bullish considerations are discussed.
Crude Oil 4 Hour Chart (we are testing structure) for Buy Sell Signals.
Crude Oil 240 Min Test Chart Jan 18 458 AM FX USOIL WTI CL_F $USO #algorithm #crude #oil
Machine Daytrading Sizing Test Chart Signals for Trade.
Crude Oil Trading 240 Min Test Chart for Sizing Machine Trade Software FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading
Day Trading Crude Oil Signals on the 1 Minute Chart (Pattern on Chart for Entering Positions)
The trade signal pattern for triggering the 1 minute oil chart trades is reviewed in detail.
When oil was selling off earlier in the day trade lost the mid channel line, came back and tested it and then dumped.
Rich in the Discord crude oil private member server had asked if the software was turned on and Jeremy had responded that order flow was the likely reason why the machine trade software did not trigger on the short.
Oil price sold off it traded in to the bottom of the quadrant on the EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and over shot the support.
Price bounced off a historical support line on the EPIC model (purple horizontal lines).
The challenge for traders executing trade orders on the oil chart is exactly where to enter your trade and the stops that should be set therein.
The 1 minute day trading chart is reviewed. The technical indicators on the charting discussed are;
The trading box area on the chart.
The pivot areas on the chart.
The pattern of trade that is important for triggering your trade.
The trading channel for oil is reviewed on the video (the chart).
I am convinced we have established the chart pattern in crude oil for the one minute signals on day trading time frame. This is a big deal.
The W Pattern (trade signal) on 1 minute chart for day trading Crude Oil.
Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading
Below is the chart for triggering on the buy signal on EPIC model (30 minute crude oil chart) as it relates to 1 min daytrading signal above.
Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading
Is Over 5,000.00, 10,000.00 or even 20,000.00 In Profit Weekly Possible Day Trading Crude Oil on The EPIC Model With One Contract Sizing?
Trading one contract at a time with six – twelve times per week based on the signals provided on the charting (and eventually on the trade alerts) has the potential of returning massive weekly returns. Can it be done? We’re getting close all the time.
Trading the outside areas of the oil trading model (quadrants), the mid line of the channels and the mid quad support and resistance areas can do that. We may not get to 20,000.00 – it could be 10,000.00 or 5,000.00, it doesn’t matter whether it is 5K or 20K. The point is that if we can get the signals perfected to the best possible degree with a high win probability then it is possible.
Our current win rate is high, very high. Review our alert feed on Twitter or in the private member Discord Oil Trading Chat Room.
This is why the one minute day trading signals are so important, because a trader has to be confident in the entry of trade so they don’t get chopped up.
Crude Oil Trade Alert Signals
Below are the screen shot captured of alerts from the private member oil trading Twitter feed. You will notice that I am signaling day trades for the members AND the machine technician is signaling trades on the feed also.
The First Crude Oil Trade Alert Signaled for The Day – Short at 51.20
Crude Oil Trade Alert (screen shot of alert feed) Selling 51.20 – CURT, will advise #crude #oil #alert #signal
Second Alert (screen shot from Oil Trade Alert Feed) Explains Trade Signal is Based on Support at Bottom of Quadrant on Model.
Trade Signals for Oil Alert by Lead Trader – Tight stops here, test area at bottom of quad. #crude #oil #signals
Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.
Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.
Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03.
Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03
Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT
Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT
Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise.
Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise
Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% of the position.
Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% #crude #oil #trading #signals
Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed. If you look at screen shot below closely (the feed), you will see the other signaled trade guidance. “M – Machine program closed 51.47 for open timing on software and stops triggered. Set at 8 mins either side. Will advise”.
Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed.
Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.
Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.
Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.
Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.
I reiterate that it is critical for oil day traders reviewing this article to really listen to the video. If you want to learn how to day trade crude oil with the best signals we have available be sure to study the video. There is a lot of data covered in this video post.
If you have any questions send me a note please!
Best and peace!
Curt
Further Learning:
If you would like to learn more click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our lead traders that include learning systems, blog posts and videos.
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
The video below references the previous swing trading report (click on title below).
Compound Trading Swing Trade Earnings Report Thursday January 17, 2019.
Swing Trading Signals and Stock Picks in this Issue: $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX … .
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Notices:
Welcome to a series of special reports during earnings season for our swing trading platform. There will be a significant number of these mini reports in advance of key earnings release dates.
Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week (on average) cycling the five reports (that include over one hundred equities) every five weeks (approximately).
Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service rotation to also include reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, themed reports and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox.
After earnings season we will recommence the regular rotations.
When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.
Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).
It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.
If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.
We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.
Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:
“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me ([email protected]) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.
As live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
Swing Trading Signals / Charts for Earnings Season.
MORGAN STANLEY (MS) Earnings Swing Trade Strategy.
Jan 17 –
Morgan Stanley’s stock jumps into bull-market territory ahead of earnings $MS #swingtrading #earnings https://on.mktw.net/2MdqifS
Morgan Stanley (MS) swing trade set-up couldn’t be better, long at lower trend short at upper trend line $MS #swingtrading #earnings
On the weekly the channel trade is it, long at support or momentum post earnings and short at top of the channel. MACD on the weekly is turned up, this is a bonus. This trade is on high watch.
AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) earnings on tap. Over 99 targets 112, under 89.70 targets 76 Mar 23, 2020 #swingtrading #earnings
Over trading box to target, under trading box to lower target and in trading box long at trading box support short at resistance of the trading box. Really structured swing trade set up here.
Downside of the trade – MACD on the weekly is trending down.
AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) earnings on tap. Over 99 targets 112, under 89.70 targets 76 Mar 23, 2020 #swingtrading #earnings
CITIGROUP INC (C) Earnings Swing Trade Strategy.
Jan 17 –
Jim Cramer: Citigroup May Be the Metaphor for the Moment
Get a load of what CEO Michael Corbat said on his conference call: “we clearly see a disconnect between what we see in our business and what the markets are saying.” He goes on to say he sees no significant slowdown and that “we see the biggest risk in the global economy is one of talking ourselves into the next recession as oppose to the underlying fundamentals taking us there.” https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/jim-cramer-citigroup-may-be-the-metaphor-for-the-moment-14833403
CitiGroup (C) Bullish post earnings, over mid resistance 20 50 MA with 100 MA previous resistance test next #swingtrading #earnings $C
Trading way up from earnings at 62.38 CITIGROUP stock is a winner this earnings season.
Next resistance is the 100 MA overhead and then the most important resistance (previous support) at approx 65.94, the 200 MA just happens to be hovering in same area.
A trade from 62.38 to previous resistance seems to be a no thought needed long trade, not a huge reward but trade could squeeze in to top price target at 73.99.
I missed my entry (I was busy at the time) – wish I would have got this one for sure.
Your support is now the mid quad just under trade.
CitiGroup (C) Bullish post earnings, over mid resistance 20 50 MA with 100 MA previous resistance test next #swingtrading #earnings $C
Jan 13 –
On Monday, Citigroup (C) kicks things off with earnings before the open. While the stock has beaten EPS estimates 74% of the time, it has averaged a one-day decline of 0.35% on its earnings reaction days. Per Bespoke here.
Citigroup is up first as big banks kick off fourth-quarter earnings season #swingtrading #earnings $C https://on.mktw.net/2H6XRBn
CITIGROUP INC (C) earnings swing trading targets on daily chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $C #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Citi pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 73.99
Moderate Bullish – 60.63
Bearish – 47.68
Intra-Day Trading – 56.69
Each horizontal Fibonacci line and diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
SHAW (SJR) earnings swing trading targets on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $SJR #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Shaw pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 25.94
Moderate Bullish – 23.02
Indecisive – 20.17
Moderate Bearish – 17.28
Bearish – 14.41
Intra-Day Trading – 19.69
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
BANK OF AMERICA (BAC) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $BAC #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Bank of America pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 36.49
Moderate Bullish – 30.54
Indecisive – 24.73
Moderate Bearish – 18.92
Bearish – 12.97
Intra-Day Trading – 26.03
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
BANK OF AMERICA (BAC) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $BAC #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Delta pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 58.39
Moderate Bullish – 53.92
Indecisive – 49.41
Moderate Bearish – 44.71
Bearish – 40.22
Intra-Day Trading – 48.56
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
DELTA AIRLINES (DAL) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $DAL #earnings
Netflix (NFLX) traded right up against key resistance going in to earnings. $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings
Jan 13 –
“Netflix (NFLX) will report Thursday after the close. NFLX is projected to earn 35 cents/share, and the stock has beaten EPS estimates 85% of the time throughout its history”. Per Bespoke – click here.
Netflix earnings: Can the streaming giant clear a high bar of investor expectations for a change? #swingtrading $NFLX #earnings https://on.mktw.net/2VOoFtx
Netflix (NFLX) earnings swing trading targets for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $NFLX #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Netflix pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 387.24
Bearish – 251.08
Intra-Day Trading – 337.59
Each horizontal Fibonacci line and diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
Compound Trading Swing Trade Earnings Report Monday January 13, 2019.
Swing Trading Signals and Stock Picks In this Issue: $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX … .
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Market hours can be difficult but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Notices:
Welcome to a series of special reports during earnings season for our swing trading platform. There will be a significant number of these mini reports in advance of key earnings release dates.
Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week on average cycling the five reports that include over one hundred equities every five weeks (approximately).
Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service rotation to also include reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, themed reports and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox.
After earnings season we will recommence the regular rotations.
When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.
Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).
It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.
If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.
We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.
Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:
“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me ([email protected]) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.
As live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
On Monday, Citigroup (C) kicks things off with earnings before the open. While the stock has beaten EPS estimates 74% of the time, it has averaged a one-day decline of 0.35% on its earnings reaction days. Per Bespoke here.
Citigroup is up first as big banks kick off fourth-quarter earnings season #swingtrading #earnings $C https://on.mktw.net/2H6XRBn
CITIGROUP INC (C) earnings swing trading targets on daily chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $C #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Citi pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 73.99
Moderate Bullish – 60.63
Bearish – 47.68
Intra-Day Trading – 56.69
Each horizontal Fibonacci line and diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
SHAW (SJR) earnings swing trading targets on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $SJR #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Shaw pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 25.94
Moderate Bullish – 23.02
Indecisive – 20.17
Moderate Bearish – 17.28
Bearish – 14.41
Intra-Day Trading – 19.69
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
BANK OF AMERICA (BAC) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $BAC #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Bank of America pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 36.49
Moderate Bullish – 30.54
Indecisive – 24.73
Moderate Bearish – 18.92
Bearish – 12.97
Intra-Day Trading – 26.03
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
BANK OF AMERICA (BAC) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $BAC #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Delta pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 58.39
Moderate Bullish – 53.92
Indecisive – 49.41
Moderate Bearish – 44.71
Bearish – 40.22
Intra-Day Trading – 48.56
Each horizontal Fibonacci line, diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line and moving average in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
DELTA AIRLINES (DAL) earnings swing trading strategy on weekly chart for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $DAL #earnings
NETFLIX (NFLX) Earnings Swing Trade Strategy.
“Netflix (NFLX) will report Thursday after the close. NFLX is projected to earn 35 cents/share, and the stock has beaten EPS estimates 85% of the time throughout its history”. Per Bespoke – click here.
Netflix earnings: Can the streaming giant clear a high bar of investor expectations for a change? #swingtrading $NFLX #earnings https://on.mktw.net/2VOoFtx
Netflix (NFLX) earnings swing trading targets for bullish and bearish trend of trade post earnings #swingtrading $NFLX #earnings
After earnings I will trade to the following price targets for Netflix pending trade on daily chart below:
Bullish – 387.24
Bearish – 251.08
Intra-Day Trading – 337.59
Each horizontal Fibonacci line and diagonal Fibonacci diagonal trend line in chart model below are support and resistance decisions as trade trends toward up or down price target.
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle) and attendance to the live trading room.
The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm (if you are a newer member that needs an unlock code for any of the posts below please email [email protected]):
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.
The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published January 13, 2019.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.45 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.80 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 47.14 – 50.79 and upper trading range 54.46 – 58.07.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up side trade as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame. However, after the recent run up in price (since Christmas) and the pressure that came in to oil trade last week it is highly probable pressure continues in to this coming trading week.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Jan 13 12:01 AM EST is indecisive for the reasons noted above.
Review the charting and stay on top of the structures that play out in the different time frames. It has everything to do with the time frame you are trading.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 47.14 – 50.79, 50.80 – 54.44, 54.45 – 58.06, 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading software development in full swing now.
Channel Trading Scenarios for this Week on the Model Shown on Algorithmic Model:
Follow the red circle targets up or down per the charts below.
THIS WEEK is more unclear than most in that channel trade could occur parallel to the channels noted on the charts below.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Jan 13 1208 AM PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Jan 13 1208 AM PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Dwon channel scenario. Jan 13 1210 AM PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Dwon channel scenario. Jan 13 1210 AM PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time. Nov 6 1241 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart(s):
Crude Oil Monthly Structure Test Chart. Jan 13 859 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading #charting
On the widest time-frame this monthly crude oil chart seems to hold support and resistance zones at diagonal Fibonacci (outside quad) trend lines and horizontal Fibonacci (mid quad) lines. The timing cycle vertical lines (green dotted) seem to be in play especially when you fractal the time frames down.
Trade is currently testing upside of 50 MA on monthly chart.
Crude Oil Monthly Structure Test Chart. Jan 13 859 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading #charting
Crude Oil Monthly Structure Test Chart – added support resistance markers and trading box. Jan 13 922 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading #charting
Lead Trader trading note: If I had this chart in recent trade I would have added to my DWT short when trade touched the lower TL line and trading box support area. I really like this monthly structured charting.
If you are swing trading crude oil I see no reason not to follow the support and resistance areas of this chart for swing trading using appropriate sizing flow at each decision.
Crude Oil Monthly Structure Test Chart – added support resistance markers and trading box. Jan 13 922 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading #charting
Weekly Crude Oil Chart(s):
Dating back to 2002, 13 of 14 major time cycles on weekly crude oil chart structure seen trend reversal to some extent or another #Oil #OOTT #TimeCycles FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT
Dating back to 2002, 13 of 14 major time cycles on weekly crude oil chart structure seen trend reversal to some extent or another #Oil #OOTT #TimeCycles FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT
May 13, 2018 chart post with important notes:
Oil retrace probability high, historically #timecycle Notes.
Crude Oil. Weekly trend-line chart. Dec 17 403 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading
Daily Oil Chart(s):
Crude Oil Daily Chart MACD still up with price on support of trading box with 50 MA test above Jan 13 1057 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Lots going on with this daily oil charting. Price bounced near that large trend line down-trending from previous time cycle (dotted gray) and near bottom of trading quad. Now testing 50 MA with reconfirmation of MACD. Bullish with an overhead test is the bottom line.
Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
See recent special oil reports, private alert Twitter feed and/or Discord private member oil chat room for many more examples.
Jan 13 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon in more detail.
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at open #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Personal scalp trade when futures opened Tues night in crude oil $CL_F $USO #OOTT #OilTradeAlerts
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.
The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published December 17, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Dec 17 242 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.45 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.80 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 47.14 – 50.79 and upper trading range 54.46 – 58.07.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up side trade as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame. However, after the recent sell-off oil trade has held this range and could be at a near term bottom. Yet to be determined.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Dec 17 3:12 AM EST for the near term is up.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 47.14 – 50.79, 50.80 – 54.44, 54.45 – 58.06, 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Dec 17 246 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel scenario. Dec 17 246 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel scenario. Dec 17 247 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel scenario. Dec 17 247 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time. Nov 6 1241 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart(s):
Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade under all MAs with MACD turned down Stochastic RSI still turned down. Dec 17 343 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Dec 17 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon in more detail.
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at open #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
Personal scalp trade when futures opened Tues night in crude oil $CL_F $USO #OOTT #OilTradeAlerts
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Swing Trading Signals and Stock Picks In this Issue: ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT … .
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
After this short series of reports we will return to the regular rotational reports and also introduce some themed swing trading reports..
Swing trading set-ups in this short series of reports will provide charting and trade signals for the following equities; FEYE, ROKU, SHOP, ARWR, TSLA, AGN, CRON, SQ, XBIO, FB, DIS, LEVB, NBEV, NIHD, BZUN, BLDP, AMD, OSIS, CARA, BABA, EDIT, AAPL, NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ, ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT among others. If you have any swing trading charting requests send them to us on email. The first of the trading set-ups in this series are included below.
Until mid July 2018 we distributed one swing trading report (1 of 5 in rotation) with a mandate being one report per week on average cycling the five reports that include over one hundred equities every five weeks (approximately).
Commencing July 2018 we switched up our swing trading service to also include special reports for earnings season, special trade set-ups, and swing trade alerts direct to your email inbox. Per above, soon we will also be producing themed reports.
When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case we rely heavily on the natural trading structure of the financial instrument; including the MACD on daily or weekly, Stochastic RSI, Moving Averages, trading boxes, quadrants, Fibonacci support and resistance, trend lines, trajectory / trend of trade, time-cycles and more.
Indicators we base trade entry and exits on are at times listed with each trade posted so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade (here again it is wise to have at least a basic understanding of trading structures because you need to be able to respond to your own trading rules based process).
It is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter / exit or add / trim as required.
If you need help with rules based swing trading technical analysis, a specific trading plan (entries, exits, adds or trims) or with a simple understanding of proper structured charting and/or trading structured set-ups you can book some trade coaching time and we will assist you with your trade planning as needed. You may find after a few hours of trade coaching that this is all you need to become a proficient profit side trader.
We can schedule private coaching online, you can attend a trading boot-camp (online or in person) or order the downloadable recordings of a recent trading boot-camp or master class series (each about 20 hours of training per event). For any of those options email us for details.
Below is a primer if you know none or very little about proper chart structures:
“I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 – 6:00 min”. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Intra-week you can DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) and private message me or email me ([email protected]) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering. You can also visit the main trading during the mid-day review and ask questions by text in the chat area of the room.
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with reporting deadlines or are in a trading session.
Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
Newer updates are in red type for ease of review.
Recent Compound Trading Videos and/ or Blog Posts for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent. For newer members, if you need a password for a locked historical post please email us your request.
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.
The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published November 6, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 26 352 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 26 352 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
November 26, 2018
Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.45 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.80 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 47.14 – 50.79 and upper trading range 54.46 – 58.07.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame. However, after the recent sell-off oil trade has held this range and could be at a near term bottom. Yet to be determined.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Nov 19 4:17 AM EST for the near term is indecisive.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 47.14 – 50.79, 50.80 – 54.44, 54.45 – 58.06, 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel crude oil trade. Nov 26 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel crude oil trade. Nov 26 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel crude oil trade. Nov 26 458 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel crude oil trade. Nov 26 458 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.
Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Nov 26 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
