My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday November 16, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – I was going to start this week, and did a tad… but quickly realized all the machines need to be tied in for that.

Market Outlook – So yesterday the market inflection point started and continued over night and so the next few days will be interesting – there are battles in every corner… we’ll see. So I’ve started to chew around the edges of the inflection with instruments like $GDX but nothing is where you can really bite down on and go with yet. Obviously there’s anomolies like the shippers of late – but that’s intra anomoly plays I’m not really interested in but won’t disregard – and I know they’re all buying Lamborghinis today… I know. Oh and oil got up over important resistance during trade yesterday but lost it overnight so I’m looking for the 200 day on the 1 hour as possible long entry.

Rate Hike?

Things that make you go hmmm…

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $LOW Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $SINO $OPTT $CRDS $CLLS $TOUR $SHIP $LPL $ESEA $TOPS $GOGL $NTNX $TGT $DCIX $YRD $SDRL Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Inflection points with currencies $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials $FAZ, Indices $IWM $RWM $TZA and more. Volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Other Watch-List(s): Shippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some and with this inflection point – it’s a wait and see – we may see a pullback here first. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond and small cap issues and more over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility could get some lift here at market inflection and then get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I am still expecting it to get crushed – but it will likely get some lift here with the market inflection and short term pull back I’m seeing short term in indices etc.

My trading plan for $VIX is obviously $TVIX $UVXY $XIV day trade snipes.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since early July. It should at least take a breather here. It is .2 cents off my price target.

May call from October 12, 2016 – Price Target Hit

Aug 3, 2016 I was tell the $DXY bulls they were going to have a good Christmas (our algo was launched in – house at that point and was hitting like mad – I was being a little cheeky).

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

$USD/JPY

$FXY

$TZA could get a bounce.

My trading plan with $DXY is that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside. If $USD/$JPY comes off some I may look at Miner’s and I’m expecting Russell 2000 to come off a bit – BUT YOU NEVER KNOW.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

My plan with Gold and the miners remains the same – patience. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

4:33 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Oil got up over resistance yesterday and lost it overnight (that thick blue line) – so I am hoping for the 200 day on the 1 Hour as a long entry.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 721 AM Nov 16, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines: Overhead Resistance 45.54. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many but one of note at 44.56. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Support at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.51 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI at the 200 day on the 1 hour (pink line on chart) in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Wowza

Other:

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Thinking the air is getting a little thin up here for $IWM

Watching $RWM Russell 200 Short

Thinking Aluminum for some reason

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom


Updated 8:17 AM EST

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 15, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Tuesday Wall Street trading session! The futures bulls are alive and well and oil traded positive!

Specific to starting with more advanced traditional charting and algorithmic charting… the current market conditions are not the best time to do that… but I’ve started with EPIC the Oil Algo posts to get us started and we’ll introduce more and more of our algo work over the coming days and weeks between now and end of November.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

8:03 EST

S&P +0.12%.

10-yr +0.2%.

Euro +0.27% vs. dollar.

Crude +2.86% to $44.56.

Gold +0.25% to $1,224.75.

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $TSRO, $CTRE Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA 74%, $SHIP 31%, $RPRX 15%, $AAP 14%, $TOPS $SINO $JD $PTN $UWTI $PWE $AAL $UCO $WLL $DAL $CHK $DNR $FCAU  Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): AirlinesShippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some. The recent lift in oil may help. But I also expect considerable volatility during it’s run to ATH and/or shortly thereafter. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond issues over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

$SPY

$SPY 107 AM Nov 15

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since late July and there is no reason now to think it’s over. When it is, it is.

I’m watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

My trading plan with $DXY: I may take a long on $UUP if I can lock in a range that makes sense but other than that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside.

$DXY US Dollar Index

$DXY US Dollar Index. 109 AM EST Nov 15, 2016

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

So yesterday I posted – and this is still my position.

“$VIX 315 AM EST Nov 14, 2016 – Likely to get crushed well below diagonal trend-line and right down to previous lows.”

$VIX

$VIX Diagonal Trendline 112 AM Nov 15, 2016

My trading plan with $VIX (volatility) is to run with $XIV at edges of range (if I can catch them) using $VIX and $SPY trading action.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

So I have been really patient here and I hope the train doesn’t leave with-out me. Tonight I’m working on oil small cap charting…. but it’s time to start on Gold, Miner and Silver small cap company charting now soon too IMO to get ready.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

My trading plan with Silver: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

8:10 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Crude took off today in an uptrend and is about to test the 200 MA on the 1 HR. We’ll see how it handles that. Now that it is in an uptrend, and if it continues, within a few days EPIC the Oil Algo will have new alpha algo targets and alpha algo trend-lines for us.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 124 AM Nov 15, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines:  Resistance – 45.62. Supports – 43.16 / 42.77. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Resistance at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.54 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

$USOIL, $WTI, OIL

Overhead Resistance Test Coming 200 Day on 1 Hour Chart (pink line). Crude algo intra work sheet 126 AM ET Nov 15, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trader notes on oil.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account,

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 10, 2016.

Election is Over!

Sorry, no premarket yesterday – but we did bank in the room and the alerts have been dead on.

Futures were strong as were/are world markets.

A few big things today… obvious lift in $SPY (and we’re banking on $XIV), my $THC swing I may exit soon, $HTZ should of held (it was a decent call), BASE METALS as I’ve posted on my feed will be strong mid term with infrastructure spending (Trump) and coal will be strong mid term likely.Copper is flying and shippers may take off here. Oh, and Natural Gas looks like it’s getting close to a buy zone. And as alerted tech and bio. Also, I missed the $NIKKEI snapback trade (which I wanted to catch just forgot – and yup it snapped back)

Many sectors are getting lift as we expected so it is important to stay in the zone – focus – nimble. Oil should be the story soon being it is bouncing under ceiling resistance on 200 on the 1 hr and bouncing up off 50 on the 1 hr.

 

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk FYI. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, and more in chat b4 open.

If #Silver gets up over resistance and #Gold gets flight $AUMN can double fast.

$THX is up 6% or so in pre-market – so this swing is doing ok so far – I may exit this morning though.

$WFT I am watching for follow-thru.

Regular Watchlist: $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), $SPY, $DXY, $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), more to come in trading room before market open.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX)

Well I nailed that call… what can I say. We’re going to new highs. Next eight calendar days are critical. Stay awake.

Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

From Tuesday….

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatilty. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win every-time here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

So the $VIX is right at that diagonal trendline support – but you have to be careful putting too much consideration in to diagonal supports to beging with – but even moreso with the $VIX (it isn’t like a diagonal trendline with most equities).
$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

I missed the move in the Peso… had it lined up but you can’t get every play… WE SHOULD WATCH IT THOUGH for a bit of a snapback next week perhaps.

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

The actual charting with the $DXY US Dollar isn’t broken at all… if you chekc my Twitter feed long before it got lift here I was telling folks what the algorithmic symmetry was saying… but many didn’t listen. This was an easy set-up IMO.

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Get your charting up and watch this close for a break-out. They have meetings coming up too.

Watch your 200 day on the 1 hour for resistance and 50 day on the 1 hour for support (and more recently this morning off the 100 for support) – either breach and that’s a tell. If I miss it in the room send me a DM on twitter or an email to [email protected]. Also watch the blue diagonal trendlines on the chart for resistance and support. And the purple horizontal supports and resistance. If crude gets above the 200 Day on the 1 hour and above the blue trendline above it and the purple resistance in that same area then it’s in break-out mode. DONT MISS IT AND DONT LET ME MISS IT LOL.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Obviously all base metals will be bullish, however, $GOLD is running in to some chart resistance that is wise to consider.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Pay attention to that 17.92 resistance – if #Silver can get up and over that on back-test it could fly. This would be my preferred play in the metals category. Also watch $AUMN if #SILVER gets up over 17.92. LETS NOT MISS THAT ONE EITHER.

Copper $JJC

Copper should cool soon here IMO and get some downdraft and then run again IMO.
Natural Gas – $NATGASUSD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Per previous…

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

#NaturalGas IMO is almost at a floor, watch close!!! LETS CATCH THE TRAIN HERE TOO!

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compound predictability starts Monday (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

GL GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre Market, Trading Plan, Wallstreet, Stocks, Daytrading


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 9, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades And Alerts: $THC, $XIV, $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $X, $VXX, $TVT, $MDCA, $XLF, $CXW, $GEO, $TRIP

We had the snap-back lined up even before the election. Recently the $HTZ low in the room was a big call and then now the election call. Things are good!

I knew all along Trump would win (see Twitter feed – I warned repeatedly)

and I knew markets would rally (again with many warnings).

Why is this important? It’s to brag of course… no actually… it’s called being a good trader. That’s what we do and the idiots leading the sheep around with all their bullsh*t really start to piss me off lol. Time to say it straight – if you’re going to be a good trader you need to see around the corner (this GPS instead of what you see out your windshield). Very important for the newer traders to think on that – beyond getting tooled up with technicals and indicators and knowing how to size trades and cutting fast and actually studying and learning and reviewing previou trades etc… knowing what markets are going to do in advance is critical to your survival.

I’m not going to spend much time review the below…. the premarket today is really active and I want to be prepared for the next week of trading – big opportunities here. And I’ll try and get Tuesday’s Post Market done sometime soon too (lots of lessons to reveiw there). We start on intensive charting and algo trading Monday so I’ll try and get caught up this weekend.

 

Today’s Live Trading Room Text Transcript

09:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching: $X $XIV $CXW $GEO $THC $TRIP $USOIL … more to come
09:17 am GSCT . : You’re good.
09:17 am Curtis Melonopoly : thanks!
09:24 am Curtis Melonopoly : back in 3
09:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching open – no pennies – long $XIV likely soon
09:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV right out of gate
09:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out at 37.09 and back in
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Going to hold $XIV thru downdraft and add with swing account
09:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $THC 15.57 avg swing
09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Sorry guys our onboarding kicked everyone out lol – oh well – 2 rooms going today. Stay put.
09:50 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out $XIV 37.94 looking for pull back then re-enter
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at renter on $XIV $SPY is testing resistance from yesterday
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : $THC holdling until late day
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : OIL and STEEL I’m looking at entries lunch hour
09:54 am GSCT . : You’re talking $SPY?
09:54 am GSCT . : re all time highs
09:56 am GSCT . : Best way to play $SPY with smaller account? $XIV?
10:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Yes $XIV with this move – opposite volatitily
10:04 am GSCT . : Can you point to the pink and blue lines. Hard to see your cursor with the lag.
10:04 am GSCT . : And thank you.
10:08 am GSCT . : Sweet.
10:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 20 mins watching for $SPY resistance break 214.57 whil gone
10:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : PS get yourself tradingview.com it’s cheap get the PRO version and appropriate add-ons less than 50 a month
10:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : back in 20
10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : I’m not getting aggressive this morning – waiting till afternoon or tomorrow – expect this move to go on for 9 calendar days or so
10:49 am Curtis Melonopoly : back – screening for plays
10:51 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break of resistance on $SPY to enter long in swing account
10:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Or if I get enough downdraft on $SPY I’ll play $XIV for width – need width – margin
10:58 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for long in oil once machines kick in
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break of high in US Steel $X and expect it to run
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CXW looking for run this afternoon
11:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : $THC is swing in sing account small position target 17.06… will hold unless 3% downdraft on low of day – stop out
11:04 am GSCT . : I hope you’re hard wired and not on WiFi.
11:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : I won’t be hard wired for a week or so lol
11:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens on plays – back in 5
11:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : get your buy orders ready on $XIV
11:28 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV
11:28 am Curtis Melonopoly : Early but whatever
11:33 am GSCT . : What was your $XIV entry
11:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV 38.48 entry
11:34 am GSCT . : Nice.
11:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV 38.50 stop and if needed re-enter
11:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Small account so far waiting for pull back on my swing account to enter because I’m early I think
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : I like to vol play here as well. Put some wood into VXX puts again earlier today
11:35 am GSCT . : Oil spiking
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : /CL also just went vertical
11:42 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV stopped 38.58
11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 38.79 going to sit thru pain if I have to on small account order
11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Swing account large buy in about an hour ish
12:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Holding $THC and $XIV – will hold both or either through pain trade – taking early lunch and back in 30 or so for afternoon fireworks!!! Gonna be a good afternoon.
12:01 pm Curtis Melonopoly : No stop on $XIV and it’s on small acoount… will enter after lunch large swing position likely
12:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : /NG finally catching some action. Play in your dare
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : *if
12:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back for afternoon session.. back in a few running scans
01:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $TBT, $MDCA, $XLF, $XIV, $USOIL $WTI, $$CXW, $THC, $X
01:20 pm Curtis Melonopoly : If u ask question in room I may not see it – better to DM my twitter or email [email protected]
01:24 pm Robert Norman : Hi! I’m all new here,is there something special I should know here when I’m looking at the charts?
01:35 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 38.395 in large swing acct
01:36 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Robert – just email and we’ll respond [email protected] or DM twitter mine
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Stopped $XIV looking for re-entry flat
02:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI 19.44 1/3 size will cut fast
02:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI out 19.26 loss
02:31 pm GSCT . : Can see that. Volume not easy to see on the chart. You need lighter colors for that.
02:31 pm GSCT . : Video now blank fo rme.
02:33 pm Robert Norman : Did you switch from Screen Sharing?
02:44 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Loooking at size in $XIV in 5ths 1/5 today
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 1/10 size 39.27 scale over next 24 hours the rest
02:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV is 500 shares of 1/10 39.27
02:50 pm GSCT . : The room is still on beta.
02:50 pm GSCT . : in
02:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : sorry bout the charts obvious computer start challenges lol – charts coming
02:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : any better?
02:58 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 10
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : back for EOD
03:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : If your bearish I would reconsider FYI
03:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Holding positions overnight and looking at scaling $XIV in the morning. Should be lots on the watchlist tomorrow.
03:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hope everyone killed it today. I’m still in VXX puts, UWTI, some small bios, and very small gdx left
03:47 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Thinking Tech, Bio, and maybe oil big plays tomorrow
03:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Have a great night Mathew!
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : I trimmed a lot premarket on the large pop. I’m expectin gmore long term but it might take a while to catch up
03:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : We’ll start on algo charting Fri or Mon
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds good. Have a good night, get some sun for un in the dark north
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : /NG got a pop and I got the f out
03:49 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Night all.

Topics: $THC, $XIV, $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $X, $VXX, $TVT, $MDCA, $XLF, $CXW, Stockmarket, Wallstreet, Daytrading, Stocks, Trading Room, Chat Room


My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 8, 2016.

Election Day!

Two big things today… it is election day… but more importantly (for my trading at least)… EPIC the Oil Algo has locked in his math on time / price cycles and that means BIG TRADING coming there very soon (it’s exciting for me anyway – it means bank on top of bank cometh).

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after election.

As with recent… I’m sitting tight and trading scalps until after election – yesterday portfolio +3.5% increase and Friday +6.3% so that’s just fine for now.

Post election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades with goal to compound accounts 10k to 1MM in 26 mos (however, as in last nights post market report, I may kick that up a notch to a 6 month curve – stay tuned).

So for now so detailed pre-market trade plan – after election however very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development. Also, refer to pre and post market reports for last week or so if you wish to view my bias with any specific sector etc.

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I explained my position on morning momo stocks in detail in yesterday’s premarket if you’re interested (bottom line they carry risk so I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk).

Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV) FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), more to come in trading room before market open.  

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatitility. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win everytime here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades until after election.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

Per yesterday’s post… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators and algo indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Per yesterday “There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open.”

EPIC published algorithmic updates with alpha algo targets and time / price cycle terminations and traditional charting trendlines representing support and resistance! REVIEW THOSE POSTS IN DETAIL!!! This I have learned is critical. Yesterday’s trade I got that increased my small account portfolio 3.5% was all because I actually listened to the algo and took that trade yesterday.

EPIC expects a big move up or down before end of this Friday so BE SURE TO KNOW YOUR LINES!!!

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Per yesterday and last few weeks (I haven’t done much here because I rely on the algo targets and we don’t expect anything predictable until after election) “Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.”

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV and Copper

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Watching for a snap back and how price handles a snap back. Risky still – until otherwise. 2.90 area looks critical to me.

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compoound predictability shortly after election (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/, https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 7, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat is deleted for this post) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade evidence (also in permanent archive – I’ll start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list lol).

In addition to chat (per below), this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades

Today was a very frustrating day!!! I didn’t want to stress on it while in chat room but my exchange data problem from ICE (see post earlier) almost sent me over the edge because of course I thought IN PART it was our fault or something… so we ran test after test on our software and hardware almost until 2 PM lol!!! Then, we find out it wasn’t our problem at all ha ha ha.

WHICH, that reminds me…. we have so much to do around here getting set-up that I can’t say exactly when this is going to start but I am going to test my ability to compound small accounts and shoot for either a 3 month or more likely a 6 month 10k to 1.14 MM compound on a small account – we just need a few days to form our plan and then we’ll start posting daily on it. 6 months BTW would be about 4 times as fast so instead of 1% per day that would be 4% per day compound (or 4 successful 1% trades per day and with 1 or 2 not working that’s basically a trade an hour – NOT EASY BUT POSSIBLE). If you are wondering what this “compound stock trading” is and how my goal is to take 10k accounts from 10k to 1MM in 26 months or less follow the link.

Chat Room Log / Trades

09:18 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $CTB $WATT
09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $LC $TROV

Above was my morning watchlist for morning momo plays… I try to get them out sooner but the stocks develop as the morning progresses… anyway, the reason I am commenting on this is that over time we will have a much more comprehensive pre-market session for prep for these plays… it isn’t our current core, but we will have this developed over next few months.

09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching market open for momentum stocks.
09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trading view charting lag is actually from tradingview itself this morning – they say it will be fixed soon. There is a notice on each chart when loading.
09:24 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $TXMD $LC
09:29 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here we go – strap in – GL!
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for a bounce and momos right now
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UWTI long

I had the FX: $USOIL $WTI play pegged early in day because I knew the market was in bull mode and oil has been depressed – so in other words it had a catalyst and I have indicators and technical tooling most traders don’t… so I just need it to move (up or down).
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : That alpha algo TL line (red) is in play
09:45 am Curtis Melonopoly : No morning momos for me this morning.

There actually were some morning momentum stocks I likely would have entered (especially as the morning progressed – but the charts and my tilting because of it left me no logical option – trading while tilted is not good).
09:46 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching for standard play in oil, Gold, silver, VIX, SPY or continued momentum’s – back in a few mins.
09:51 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for bounce for entry…. not convinced
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Also watching for follow-through with some gainers and momentum’s https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
09:54 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m going to contact a few larger oil traders I know and see what they see the oil market doing over next 48 hours – back in 10 or so – I don’t like where it bounced here or the volume
10:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here’s crude oil first test to upside
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : Very weak – but it can go
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : So here comes support test
10:05 am Curtis Melonopoly : Thin purple line is traditional support trend line and red algo TL
10:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : On phone with oil trader I know… back in 15 min at most.
10:12 am Curtis Melonopoly : Upper arrow upside potential intra, lower arrow is low potential intra and mid arrow algo line – tough play mid range with oil
10:31 am george d : Curtis almost done calls back in 5 …
10:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : No conviction in oil buying… only way I can take a trade long is at the lower diagonal trendline (blue)
10:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I will set alarms for oil and then look at trending stocks intra for entries
10:38 am susan woo : Curtis, how do your gold/silver/miners algo look?
10:39 am susan woo : I recall you saying you were interested in AUMN last week
10:39 am susan woo : Tnanks:)
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Hey Susan… sory about not seeing your question last week… my pre and post newsletters kind of touch on it… we’re waiting for election… without election consideration I was looking for downdraft then long… tough call till election – Hillary Trump war unpredictable
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Ok going to look at trending intra stocks for entries – back soon
11:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : A lot of chasing here… still running screens… likely won’t be in any plays until lunch / afternoon session with trending solid indicators only for now.
11:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : Guys and gals… if you’re concerned with public posts be sure you sign in anonymous – like now lol – it’s a public room
11:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m running screeners on trending stocks for afternoon session. Also checking our algos for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY for aft session.
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Just popped in to say I’m all out of those VXX puts. Worked very nicely holding over the weekend. Reloading a bit in JNUG and GDX calls that I got out of last week for another pop. Won’t trade much between now and Wednesday with clown show going on
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Also to note, interesting call spread options in GLD for those looking for a play there. Calls are pretty juiced on the high end making spreads attractive
11:32 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $FCX, $TWTR (rumors again), $DRNA, $IMPV, Crude for 43.40 ish $UWTI entry, $VIX , and rumors with NATO re: Russia… still running scans for afternoon
11:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Grabbing quick lunch back in 30 to get some wins in bag
12:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX starting to curl up
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback here. This is a lot of short covering to me and looks to have stalled a bit. Went flat on my /ES plays
12:39 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ok back from lunch – running scans for aft plays
01:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : SO… tradingview.com experiencing data issues today from exchanges – we get ours fixed and theirs goes stupid lol – so I’m on stockcharts.com for the remainder of day – not ideal to say the least
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : So much noise today. I’m closing positions from this point I think. Got out of $USLV early but that’s what I get for being cautious
01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP for possible long pending chart
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP (not sure if that alert posted)
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ah yes it did lol
01:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Waiting for a decision on dollar, VIX and some other indicators before I start trading longs in market – chicken today
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $NUGT for a pullback and intra entry but… it could b too late
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX and GLD seeing lots of love today, might not get another huge pullback in the miners
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX BULLISH WISEGUY ACTION: Fri 11/11 24.5 CALLS (Wkly) $83k BET SWEEP / OPENING MULTI SWEEP GDX=24.01 Ref 1.1x Usual Vo
01:43 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI
01:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Filled at 18.20 in small account $UWTI
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : 18.40 target in $UWTI but i
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m holding for a pull back and run
01:52 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at a strong pit close play – hoping for 2 – 3%
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Lots of sellers coming in >44.57 in /CL
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those need to get eaten up
01:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : So 44.70 is my test area but I’m holding likely closer to pit close
02:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Major-Chief-Calls-Upon-Non-OPEC-Producers-To-Join-Cuts.html
02:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for expanding volume really soon with pit close near – if no then cut and take some profit $UWTI #OIL
02:23 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I am going to sell in to spike before pit close if I get it $UWTI
02:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out
02:29 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI 18.20 buy with a 18.80 exit on $UWTI intra 3% er
02:30 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That was a nice trade

02:45 pm Curtis Melonopoly : back for another 🙂
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens back in a few
02:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Missed the volatility trade distracted with oil – but oil better trade 3% vs 1.5% on my entry
02:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m going to watch for $SPY failure at 212.65 ish range and consider $VIX trade w $TVIX for EOD
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $TVIX – risky
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Very short leash if I do
03:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $TVIX not responding well to $VIX IMO – you want that to frontrun so you’re on right side of possible error
03:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That’s the benefit of scalping 3 x 2 x ETF and ETN’s – you can get a buffer for error if you’re on right side but extra pain if you are on wrong.
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Well I’m gonna call it… lotsa fun coming with election and then we get in to tight technical trading with proper indicators and algorithmic trading after election… so ready for that! And I’m gonna do a 10k to 1MM in 6 mos instead of 24 mos module (4 trades a day at 1%).
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Take care:) Be Blessed!
03:42 pm GSCT . : Thanks Curtis.

Best:)

Curt

Topics: Daytrading, Wallstreet, Chatroom, Trading Room, Daily Results


My Stock Trading Plan for Monday November 7, 2016.

Election Trading

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after elextion.

I’m sitting tight and will trade scalps until after election. After election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades. So for now I’m not going to get to detailed with pre-market trade plans but after election you will see very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development.

Momentum Stocks

I will at times take first 30 min momo plays if and only if I think I can secure a stop that is tight and get immediate momentum on my side… I know a lot of rooms will take these plays regularly… but they aren’t normally my style because I want clear risk reward on my side and a predictable exit on my side. Compound trading works well if disciplined (and it mitigates unnecessary risk). Nonetheless, I watch morning momo plays not only for the first 30 mins but also, and more importantly, they are often the stocks I trade later in the day when they snap back after a downdraft or they continue to trend (I am looking for technical indicators such as a trending moving average, increased volume, continued trend, and more). 1 snap back or continued trend per day at 1% (or .20 cents on a 20.00 stock) over 26 months is 10k to 1.14 MM or it can be done in 6 months with 4 of these trades a day…. but it has to be low risk so you can execute stops or manual exits with-out stress and undo risk.

So just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time). These I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Well…. Hillary isn’t guilty they say… so everyone is happy… so we have a $VIX GAP DOWN of 12.5% at time of writing… which in my thinking is awesome… A $VIX in the 19’s is closer to the 13’s or 14’s I’d like to get an entry at and is much better than reaching for 22’s and 23’s… had I only held $XIV over weekend…. but I wasn’t prepared to take the risk… I want 1% a day for 10k to 1MM in 2 years… that’s it… simple… focus.

So the snap back I was all about last week is obviously here…. but I’d be careful with holds Monday and Tuesday night… you never know… things a fucky to say the least.

I’m looking for entries on either side of the range for scalps.. for me that’s it for now with $VIX.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

From last Thursday’s trading plan…

The US Dollar was close to a Fib at 97.07 earlier so this is an interesting watch for possible long in $UUP (long) and watching $UDN close (short a basket of currencies including British Pound).

Well… it got a little better downdraft than 97.07 and snap – back happened – overnight as I write it has snapped back from 96.89 – 97.70… I trade I should not have missed – I had it set-up.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

I will be watching other currency relationships also for Fib and Pivots and will post as opportunities / time arise.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

I don’t have much to say other than… there’s the snap back and remember to watch the pivots… same here… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI #OOTT #Algo)

There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open. Generally speaking it was in a downdraft near some support but at significant risk… but likely a tad over-sold.. and I see at time of writing it is up in over-night trading. I’d be very cautious though – but that’s just an opinion. We’ll see what EPIC’s calculations look like.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

I continue to watch per previous.

So it’s really all about our current rally, staying nimble through election and then on to charting and trading thereafter with detailed set-ups.

Good luck!

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Friday Nov 4, 2016.

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat is deleted for this post) . Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade evidence (also in permanent archive).

In addition to chat (per below), this trade-room has live broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Before I get started on a review… I have to take this opportunity to apologize / follow-up on some unanswered questions in room from Friday:

Susan Woo – I didn’t see your questions in the chat room Friday… I get so involved in charts so my apology – my premarket today will cover though.

Mathew – Yes, go ahead and share charts until our room gets too busy. We’ll let you know when we all have to pull back on chatter etc. Until then… sure.

Here’s the trading room chat log with respect to my trades:

08:54 am george d : curt and I having coffee will be in room before open for morning momentum plays

09:18 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at morning momentum stocks

09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : Premarket $WTW $PBR $ARRY $TRUE $CBS $CLNE $CSOD Personal watch: $SPY $XIV $FXC $AAPL #premarket #watchlist #wallstreet #daytrading #stocks

09:35 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DCTH looking for 2.67 to hold and go

09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break over 3.27 and 2.67 to hold

09:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out on y $XIV Swing big win – daytrade still in.

So this was my win # 1 of the day – it was a large $XIV swing trade from the day before with large swing account.

At this point I am still holding from the day before the $XIV overnight hold on the small daytrade account.

09:40 am Curtis Melonopoly : I was all in there on that swing so that was a big win $XIV

09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at lower supports for more $XIV swings – out of large entry in swing but holding small account $XIV

09:48 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for bottom or top range on $SPY for volatility plays $TVIX or $XIV

09:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV on swing account 33..11

So this was a long for a scalp on the large trade account (my small account was still long and holding)

09:55 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trailing out $XIV 33,32 plus for scalp

So this was win #2 on the day – a scalp for .5% or so.

09:55 am Curtis Melonopoly : out

09:56 am Curtis Melonopoly : decent half a point

09:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : $TRUE break of 10.77 IMO decent but no go for me today

09:59 am Curtis Melonopoly : Snap back on $SPY could get really intense

10:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Should fail here soon and test lower before strong snap back

10:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CERS $CBK nice

10:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Market was wayyyy to irrational yesterday IMO with $VIX so I took the other side in $XIV

There’s my reiteration on my thesis for the large swing trade from the day prior.

10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CBK no increasing vol but vol good on day

10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CERS decent vol the day but… nope

10:16 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/gainers?e=US

10:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching close to get out of daytrade $XIV from yesterday, already out large swing on $XIV..When everyone gets happy I’ll go negative.

10:31 am Curtis Melonopoly : $EBIO and $CBK look great for EOD possibilities

10:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : back just in time for the test

10:43 am Curtis Melonopoly : So we’ll see how it handles turbulence here

 

10:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DXY lol surprise surpris

11:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : and I’m out $XIV for a yeehaw!

This was win #3 for the day. It was my exit on the small account swing in $XIV from the day before.

11:08 am Curtis Melonopoly : Party time wow what a great week

11:09 am Mathew Waterfall : !!!

11:09 am Mathew Waterfall : Got my $XIV exit filled at 34

11:10 am Curtis Melonopoly : Way to go Mathew!!!!

11:10 am Mathew Waterfall : Works for me

11:10 am Curtis Melonopoly : We may got a rocket ride here later IMO $XIV

11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Be 5 or 10 mins looking at BIO and other EOD plays

12:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SPY 210.20 and it’s a rocket – not saying it will

12:07 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS
12:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS over 9.83 I’d look again – but it’s strong – we’re late IMO
12:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS on a pull back I’d look at it for sure

12:21 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CFMS, $CARA, $EBIO, $CBK, $XIV, $TVIX

12:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : looking at $XIV… may wait

12:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SPY break of 209.88 with vol long $XIV

12:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Needs considerable volume for my $XIV entry however

12:32 pm Curtis Melonopoly : And yes I know for anyone thinking it…. $XIV is not directly a $SPY play… I use it as an indicator

01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $XIV looking for expanding volume

01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV

01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Hoping for expanding volume $SPY
01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Hope is my plan now
01:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’ll Cut quick tho $XIV
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m watching the VIX. If it can get <20.95 we should see the bottom start to drop out
01:19 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m in my small account here FYI
01:19 pm Curtis Melonopoly : In at 34.03 $XIV
01:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV flat out
01:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : the problem was expanding volume
01:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : non

01:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $CARA watching for expanding volume
01:33 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $CARA
01:35 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long at 7.29 tight manual stop $CARA small account
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Target 7.38 for a 1% scalp but may hold
01:42 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Entry 7.29 exit 7.405 for a little better than 1% – that’s how you build a small account

This was win # 4 on the day.
01:59 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $X for break of HOD and expanding volume for entry on small account – I don’t think I would wait for backtest on support at 20.07 – 20.09
02:01 pm Curtis Melonopoly : if a touch of 20 on the 1 I’ll enter too if I can get it
02:04 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $X tight
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : No expanding volume out flat $X
02:26 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $GCI
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $GCI
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Likely a pain trade at first
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Didn’t want to miss
02:50 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out for now
02:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $GCI tiny gain will re-enter at HOD break of res

This was win #5 on the day.

03:10 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at a possible ping back trade on $XIV for a scalp
03:11 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 33.06
03:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Nice 1% compound scalp for the small account on $XIV

This was win #6 on the day.

This day could be summarized as me getting out of my overnight swing on $XIV that worked really well, coming back to $XIV with specific indicators that I explained by live broadcast as I moved in and out of each trade and I also used indicators to move in and out of momentum stocks. All trades were with low stress ease – not that I don’t get anxious – but I mean the “gamble” type stress – I had risk / reward on my side with solid indicators and when a trade didn’t go as planned I cut quick.

Any questions don’t hesitate to ask in a PM in room or DM in Twitter or on email… if you ask me in general chat in room it’s really hard for me to see because I’m scanning many many charts behind the scenes on monitors you don’t see… so my eyes are always there and not in chat.

Thanks

Curt


My Stock Trading Plan for November 2, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! Trade them well!

I have to admit, my trading plan today is a near carbon copy of yesterday with the exception of momentum stocks (of course have changed) and oil. So this will be short!

Most days this will be out much earlier – but our war room is bustling to say the least with algorithmic alarms firing off like never before (especially with time / price cycles terminating and proving that out in market trade in crude) and the election etc… and getting our trade room up bla bla. Yup busy – so soooon I’ll be more on top of it.

Below is a link to yesterday’s trading plan (recommended read ha) and if you haven’t visited EPIC the Oil Algo’s twitter feed you should – and try and listen better than I have to it lol.

Pre-Market Newsletter ($SPY, $VIX, Oil, $DXY, $JNUG, Gold, Silver, $UGAZ…more)

Today’s Momentum Stocks

I am looking at follow through possible with $VRX and watch my twitter feed or be in room for other momo’s.

Main Focus

My main focus will be to crude (finding a bottom for new time / price cycle)… so I will be very busy on my phone FYI with crude oil traders getting a feel for their positions (not that that has helped the last few days because they have taken a beating trying to catch the knife – EPIC laughs) and I will also be watching small cap metal stocks.

Of course we have the election and FOMC to watch out for too and the oil reports this morning and rigs on Friday.

FOMC is due at 2:00 EST http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/02/fomc-statement-earnings-deluge-in-the-spotlight-for-wall-street-us-election-eyed.html

Mortgage applications dropped and the ADP employment report wasn’t stellar to say the least.

And most importantly IMO is that (and I don’t know how many of you noticed) many YUGE traders on Wall Street (at least those in the public eye and online) had YUGE losses yesterday – so don’t buy the hype.

Watch the election momo – read my previous posts… I stand firm in that the dollar is strong but if Trump looks like he is going to win it could tank but against the MXN it will crush it… metals should rally… oil needs to find a bottom… natural gas needs to find a bottom soo and the market isn’t free (so watch out for the Fed WATCH CLOSE – oh and ya volatility – if you’re shorting (which is normally a decent play) I would think twice doing that soon – shorting volatility right now is a gamble (baccarat anyone? – BANKER!).

Ok, enough have a great day, review yesterday’s post and I’ll see you in the room. And don’t forget many of our technical issues will be sorted by Monday (read the daily room memo that updates that).

Stay blessed and bank and cut fast.

Curt

 


My Stock Trading Plan for November 1, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! Trade them well!

On Watch: Momentum Follow-Through Stocks:

Looking for potential follow-through on $BRCO, $INTX, $HMNY, $NTP, $TWTR, $CETX, $NVCN, $ATOS, $AUY

I won’t explain in detail what I’m looking for in this forum (I’ll do that in that trade room for each that are considered as / if they are considered).

Monday’s momo:

$BRCO + 22%

$INTX +25%

$HMNY +7.14%

$NTP + 7.86%

$TWTR +1.64%

$CETX +5.26%

$NVCN +29.96%

$ATOS +21.05%

$AUY +4.09%

On Watch: Morning Momentum stocks TBD.

$SPY Set-up / Volatility $XIV $TVIX $UVXY $VXX 

I think there is a set-up with $SPY… wait for volatility and play it – beyond that I’m not trading $SPY or related instruments because I believe the Fed is in there and has it pinned – period. Not enough width IMO.

$SPY, $TVIX, $XIV, $UVXY

Trading $SPY Volatility ($XIV, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX Etc)

$VIX – Volatility ($XIV, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX, etc)

My problem with $VIX is that I can’t take a trade this high in $UVXY etc. because I would want $VIX closer to 13 (but it may get away on me) and I can’t take a trade in $XIV etc because I don’t expect volatility to settle down before the election. So I’m watching very close between now and the election. I believe there will be daily opportunity here starting Wednesday at latest – there was lots of “insurance” buys Monday… so Tuesday may even open an opportunity.

$VIX 1049 PM Oct 31

$VIX 1049 PM Oct 31

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP) – $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW

There is nothing broken in the US Dollar Index chart IMO. The continued targets I’ve previously posted stand unless conditions change.

$DXY, US Dollar Index

$DXY US Dollar Index 1114 PM Nov 1

$FXY Japanese Yen Trust – Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

If you’re thinking of taking a position in Gold Miner’s this is good to follow. Last night it started to turn around and miner’s ran Monday (so no surprise and should have been an easy trade – distracted lol) so watch it if it continues to rise 9/10 times miner’s will follow… I even watch it with Gold plays and even before I take a small cap Gold company or miner position.

$FXY, Yen

$FXY Japanese Yen Trust Oct 31 1121 PM

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear

Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically – it can be a great daytrade.

$TZA

$TZA, Small Cap Bear 3x

$SMK / $EWW (Mexico Capped ETF)

If you think Trump is going to win you want to short $EWW or play $SMK (however thinly traded).

Crude Oil: FX $USOIL $WTI | FXCM $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude algo intra work sheet 1042 PM ET Oct 31, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude algo intra work sheet 1042 PM ET Oct 31, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So crude had a significant downdraft Monday (OPEC / non OPEC couldn’t get it together I guess)… and ended up trading down to a diagonal trend-line (blue) from a previous time / price cycle and very near a horizontal price support (purple) and it appears that it will be heading for the nearest target EPIC the Oil Algo called. And to make matters worse (if you review a simple chart) the neckline support with oil has been breached (not that I give that much consideration).

I was going to take a long position in $UWTI at end of day but didn’t and will strongly consider one in the morning.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Looking for entry $GLD at 114.00 / 115.00 area – but I don’t think I will get that before the election.

Gold at 1266.65 is still one level up from my target closer to 1177.00.

On Friday I wrote that I expected Gold Miner’s to run Monday and that occurred – I will be watching them close. There again wanted a pull-back I don’t think I’m going to get.

Going in to election I am very bullish most commodities. I am currently running charts on miner companies too.

$JNUG +7.42% Monday

$JUNG

$JUNG October 31 – Junior Gold Miner’s Bull 3x

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

My position with Silver ($SLV) is similar as that with Gold ($GLD) in that I am waiting for one more downdraft – here again I may not get that.

$SLV, Silver

$SLV Silver

Natural Gas – $UGAZ $DGAZ

Here also, with natural gas I am looking for one level lower for an entry. It’s at 2.99 overnight and an ideal entry would be 2.86 (or at least a review there).

$UGAZ was off 9.42% on Monday so I will watch close Tuesday.

$UGAZ

$UGAZ Oct 31 -9.42%

The Finviz stock screener is available here:  http://finviz.com/.

Look forward to seeing you in the chat room. Visit www.compoundtrading.com and click on the link on the main page to enter the chat room.

Curtis