12
Aug 2019
crude oil, chart, trading room, range

Day Trading Crude Oil Within Vitally Important Intra-Day Range (Trading Box) w/ Video and Charts.

Trading Intra-Day Range Can Be A Profitable Day Trading Strategy For Oil Traders. Below is a real world

Day Trading Crude Oil Within Vitally Important Intra-Day Range (Trading Box) w/ Video and Charts.

Crude Oil Day Trading, Crude Oil Trading Room, Crude Oil Trading Strategy , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Trading Intra-Day Range Can Be A Profitable Day Trading Strategy For Oil Traders.

Below is a real world example from our oil trading room last Thursday that highlights trade of the important intra-day trading range (in this instance the range of trade is a technical trading box structure).

Today (Monday) there were no trades in the trading room so I am going back a few market days and using it for our example.

Before digging in to this article, please read the introductory article for this series here: How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1.

The articles in this series are sent direct to the mailing list – so be sure to register now,  click here.

The most recent oil trade profit loss for v3 sample set is here;

For Aug 9, 2019: v3 Profit & Loss: Daily +$995 YTD +$8,526 Projected $94,306 or 94% Per Annum. Oil Machine Trade 100k Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #MachineTrading #OilTradeAlerts

Overview of Thursday’s Oil Trading Session.

The image below (a screen capture) from the oil trading room shows oil trading within a chart trade box – a range of trade (see yellow box on chart) on the day.

This post is intended to bring to the forefront of the oil traders mind a clear image example of an intra-day trading range structure and how to day trade that range.

Learning how to trade the intra-day range of crude oil is a vital area of study for anyone that wants to be consistently profitable in this game.

The biggest challenge is identifying the range and then once identified execution of your trades becomes easier. Identifying a range is not easy before trade has happened or even during trade – it is much easier to identify after the fact (after trade has clearly drawn in the lines on the chart so to speak).

In short, we traded successfully on Thursday but it was a bit choppy. Both I with manual executed trades and the machine trading software were green on the day.

crude oil, chart, trading room, range

Crude Oil Chart Showing Trading Box Intra Day Range of Trade – Screen Image from Oil Trading Room

Lead Trader Guidance in Private Member Server, Oil Trading Broadcast Room and to Alert Feeds.

In Regular US Market Premarket I Provided Range Trade Guidance to our Oil Trading Chat Room Attendees (a private member Discord server for sharing charts etc), to the Live Oil Trading Broadcast Room (this is where I trade live and broadcast trades over a mic) and to the Private Member Twitter Oil Alert Feed with a Daily Chart.

The buy triggers on watch I am sharing with the day traders are on various chart model time frames, the 1 minute, 5 minute, 30 minute, and Daily charts.

This article is not specifically about various support buy triggers on different chart model time-frames as described in this guidance, however, it is part of the intra day set up in crude oil trade and vital to the architecture of our v3 software and ROI (and vital to the daytrader) so I include these details in this article.

For those really wanting to dig in to how we find support areas on the charting simply look at the time stamp on the chart image captures in any of these articles and correlate that time with the raw oil trading room video feed included in these articles and listen to what the lead trader (in this instance myself) is saying about the set up.

There were specific trend lines on the daily chart that crude oil was respecting, that we had communicated to our members about prior that was my primary watch going in to the regular US market day.

Curt MelonopolyLast Thursday at 9:08 AM
Today’s range per daily chart on recent report (TL’s), upside 53.86, downside 50.40, trading 52.44, pivot in 52.11 range. Yesterday’s 52.11 PT easily hit (from trading room)

oil trading room, lead trader, guidance

In Regular US Market Premarket I Provided Range Trade Guidance to our Oil Trading Chat Room with a Daily Chart

As trade progresses I am starting to share preferred buy triggers to the oil trading room and on alert feeds.

The image below from our oil trade chat room highlights buy triggers on the 5 minute algorithmic chart model.

Details of this set up and how we determine the areas of support for possible triggers are discussed on the raw video feed from the oil trading room below. We previously covered this in some detail in other articles available here “Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil” and will cover intra-day support areas for buy triggers in greater detail in future posts.

preferred buy triggers, oil, trade, alerts

As trade progresses I am starting to share preferred buy triggers to the oil trading room and on alert feeds.

I Also Outline in Detail to Oil Trading Room Attendees Support Buy Triggers on Watch on the 1 Minute Oil Daytrading Chart Time-Frame.

crude oil, one minute, daytrading, chart

I Also Outline in Detail to Oil Trading Room Attendees Support Buy Triggers on Watch on the 1 Minute Oil Daytrading Chart

Oil machine trade buy trigger on watch shared alerted to oil trading room for the daytraders information- screen image below. The image below is showing the EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model.

machine trading, buy trigger, alert, oi trading room

Oil machine trade buy trigger on watch shared alerted to oil trading room for the daytraders information.

Oil Trade Example – Lessons Learned.

I will state that before I explain as best as possible below in writing and using screen shot images from the private member Discord chat server, oil trading room and oil alert feed that if you are serious about learning how we trade to a win rate higher than 90% that I highly recommend investing the time to match the time stamps you see on the images in these articles to the time of day on the raw oil trading room video and listen to the set up as explained over the mic.

I know that we are all busy, but this is the best way to really learn what we are doing and why our win rate is so high with the v3 oil daytrading software. Alternatively you could register for private coaching lessons as this would be more time efficient but more expensive also.

The challenge with these reports is that they are time intensive to reconcile, the screen shot images, the details, reviewing the videos and P&L’s, then explaining etc takes a lot of time so there is considerable information not included in these articles that you would otherwise garner if you had the time available to review the raw trading room footage – but I get it, it is a slow process and life is busy for most of us.

First trade of the day in oil trading room alerted was a short at 52.75 and we close soon thereafter at .72 for a time cycle decision. The time cycle decision we won’t get in to in this article (time cycles are advanced technical indicators we will cover at a later date). What is most specific to this article is why we shorted at 52.75. First see the alert below and then we’ll look at the chart range structure.

daytrade, oil trading room, crude oil, alert, short

First trade of the day in oil trading room alerted was a short at 52.75 and we close soon thereafter at .72 for a time cycle decision.

Screen capture image of live oil trading room, 30 minute oil chart trend line resistance for crude oil day trade alert short.

The image below from the oil trading room at 11:41 shows that intra-day oil was trading in to structural resistance trend line on the 30 minute EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model. This is a significant sell signal. We closed shortly thereafter because there was an intraday time cycle decision coming on the 5 minute model (again, time cycles we will cover in a later article) and you can always re-enter a trade.

daytrading, oil trading room, alert, short

Screen capture image of live oil trading room, 30 minute oil chart trend line resistance for crude oil day trade alert short.

Image from oil chat room server showing discussion confirming that oil price did in fact trade down but buys were coming in.

So in short, at 12:24 (after the time cycle decision on the 5 minute chart) trade did respect the 30 minute larger chart structure resistance trend line and was in fact trading down intra-day. The chart image in the example below is the one minute chart.

So if trade was in fact selling off intra-day then why did we not re-enter short?

This is also explained below, the bulls were still buying at each support at this time in the day. Our software is programmed to trade and alert the most probable wins only. The v3 win rate is well over 90% for this reason. So often the trade set up will play out as expected but I myself and/or the software may not alert a trade because it isn’t a premium trade with a super high probability of a win.

In this instance, trade then started to really sell of on a short time frame and within a small structure. So the trade set-up worked, but we did not re-enter after the time cycle decision at 12:00.

But what we did do is then alert a new buy signal approaching on a time cycle decision…

oil chat room, alert

Image from oil chat room server showing discussion confirming that oil price did in fact trade down but buys were coming in.

Alerting our members in oil trading room and on alert feeds that a buy signal on timing is approaching and the initial buys shown.

You can see on the one minute daytrading chart model below the green arrows are the buys and the red selling locations from the alerted oil trade.

You will notice that we alerted our members 4 minutes in advance of the timing so they could be ready.

This alert typically goes to the private member Twitter feed, the Discord Private Server (shown below) and in to the Live Trading room (as time allows for each – this can be difficult at times so we do our best, obviously the live mic trading in the oil trading room is best but the alert feeds do receive about 80% or more of our trade set-ups alerted).

We then communicate on mic verbally in the oil trading room the complete set up as time allows. This may include various charting, order flow detail etc.

The trade size was 2/10 (so this means that with an account that is approximately 100k in size or would trade approximately 10 contracts at max this would be a 2 contract long daytrade in crude oil futures).

We alerted that we were 2 contracts in size long (assuming a 100k account size for simplicity) at 52.56 on FX USOIL WTI charting (we use this as a single source for various traders using various instruments).

We then sold 1 contract at 52.65 and held one contract long at this point (alert is shown in screen capture below).

oil, daytrade, alert, trading room

Alerting our members in oil trading room and on alert feeds that a buy signal on timing is approaching and the initial buys shown.

The screen capture image below is the actual Twitter Crude Oil Alert Feed that shows the daytrading alerts at this time of day.

Oil, daytrading, alerts

This screen capture image is the actual Twitter Crude Oil Alert Feed that shows the daytrading alerts at this time of day.

At this point, if you are following along and really in it here, you may wonder why we executed a trade long when the price of oil was relatively close to the resistance on the daily range?

The answer is simple, but more detailed than I can get in to here (here again review of raw trading room footage is key).

Nevertheless, basically the reasons were that trade intra-day was bullish and a break out was increasingly more probable, our order flow software had identified considerable progressive buy side accumulation (hence why we knew a break out was coming – see the previous post for more detail) and the trade itself was taken at a clear support area of our one minute day-trading chart model with progressive increasing buy side order flow.

See the screen capture below from our trading room that shows the support area on the one minute daytrading chart that triggered (in part) the long trade. You will also notice that we then alerted to the members that there was a sell signal time cycle decision approaching.

daytrading, alert, oil, trading room

Chart from oil trading room shows 1 minute daytrading chart support for the buy alert and then the upcoming sell decision

Next, as you will see below, the real day trading action started. Reviewing just the alerts (as seen below) is not the best way to study this, the best way is to listen to the video raw feed from the trading room. Again, I get it if you don’t have time.

During intraday trade we alert what we can but we often go in to great detail in the live trading room for the set ups as they are progressing.

In this specific instance what was happening was that there was an accumulation of bulls starting to buy to force a break out and volatility was starting. Most of our members understand where the resistance areas are so it is easier for them to see that a resistance is coming and would understand the alerts below (the reasoning) than a casual observer.

Anyway, what was happening is a possible run for a break out, but in that instance it is possible for the break out to fail a number of times before it may succeed, so what you see below is our oil trading machine software and myself (manually executing oil daytrades) trading with price action and order flow relative to resistance areas on the chart (also taking in to consideration time cycles etc).

In short, what occurred as shown below in the alerts is that we reversed the long trade short and then reversed again long and added to the long trade as the buy side order flow took over the short sellers in intra-day crude oil trade.

You will see notes from the oil trading room below that reference what time stamps one should refer to on the recorded trading room raw footage to study out how we did what we did. It was a successful day of trading and it was not a beginner trading environment. But what I can say is that our members have the advantage of simply executing along with us and / or our machine software trading it.

oil, trade, alerts, intraday, trading room

Oil trade alerts to members in trading room and alert feed of reversals and high frequency pivot decisions intraday

And here the daytrading session is coming near to a close and the oil trade alert goes out to liquidate the last of the long trade size in to resistance on one minute chart and range intraday – after all, if price breaches the resistance shown below on the two models (the one minute chart and 30 minute chart) then you can always re enter the trade right?

oil trade alert, sell, daytrading, 1 min chart

Oil trade alert to liquidate the last of the long trade size in to resistance on one minute chart and range intraday.

Some Important Final Thoughts.

  1. There are many, many more lessons to learn about how this was done than what is included in this article. Again, if you’re serious about study, defer to the live trading room raw feed video below.
  2. The v3 software was only rebooted a few days before this trading session…. think “re-birth”, it was in its early learning process and a week later would have executed this set up with far greater precision. But that is the nature of machine trade development. It did well, but it will do so much better within days – it doesn’t take long for the learning curve to inflect vertical.
  3. The whole trading range rule set on the day can be summarized in much simpler form by simply saying that once you have identified an intra-day range of trade you simply buy the bottoms and sell the tops. Release size at various resistance decisions and DO NOT HOLD LOSERS. The challenge of course is that it isn’t quite that easy – it is much easier to see an intraday structure on a chart after the fact than it is to see the range structure before or during trade within that structure. Back seat drivers need not comment, try driving it first. After the fact you get to see the map – that’s easy.

Live Oil Trading Room Video

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed [email protected] and remember that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategies, daytrading, trade box, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL, how to trade, alerts, trading room

12
Aug 2019

Swing Trade Set-Ups (Earnings) Part 5 : $OSTK, $WMT, $TEUM, $MRO, $ARWR, $AU, $TEUM #swingtrading #ER

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Swing Trading Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. August 12, 2019…

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch $OSTK, $WMT, $TEUM, $MRO, $ARWR, $AU, $TEUM.

Earnings Season Swing Trade Positions Reporting Special Notes:

Per recent;

July 31 – We entered a new swing trade yesterday in TESLA that is doing excellent, closed the AMD swing trade prior to earnings which was a great call because it lost a lot of value after earnings were posted after market, are trading the Crude Oil move that seen a huge gain after the swing trade alert was issued and today we look at National Oilwell Varco, Trex and Chegg after they had larger than normal earnings price moves. 

We’re also working on time cycle trades for SPY, VIX, Gold, Silver, DXY, BTC and more than we will report on soon.

Per recent;

July 22 – Below are some equities in focus this week with earnings, the follow- up reports on deck deal with other earnings focus equities and time cycles for the indices and specific instruments we focus on (GOLD, SILVER, VIX, SPY, OIL, US DOLLAR, BITCOIN).

Per recent;

Over the coming days we will be re-visiting all recent swing trade set-ups, alerts and trades in progress to reconcile the trades in advance of earnings and prepare for the new on other side of each new set up from earnings reports. This will involve a significant number of posts, trade alerts, mid day reviews in the trading room and videos that our members will receive a copy of.

Executing your swing trading strategy with our charting reports and live alerts involves using the key support and resistance areas of the charting, time cycle peaks, trajectory of trade and conventional indicators such as MACD cross-over and Moving Averages.

Alerts are not always issued at each add or trim to positions because that is simply not possible so you do have to manage your trade.

In many instances a clear swing trade strategy is laid out in the newsletter and/or videos so that you can manage the swing trade according to your risk threshold and account size.

If you struggle to establish a trading strategy with the information provided on our reporting, videos and alerts then some trade coaching is recommended to get you started.

Part 5 Earnings Swing Trades:

#earnings for week

$NVDA $BABA $WMT $CSCO $JD $CGC $GOLD $SYY $AMAT $TLRY $M $GOOS $JCP $AAP $EOLS $TSG $STNE $AZRE $LK $TME $ERJ $CSIQ $YY $HUYA $NINE $DE $TDW $CRNT $HYGS $QD $TPR $BRC $BEST $PAGS $VFF $NTAP $RMBL $CACI $BE $CWCO $NEPT $A #swingtrading

OVERSTOCK (OSTK)

OVERSTOCK (OSTK) Long in premarket post ER for a possible 50% + trade, watch further model reports soon. #swingtrade $OSTK #tradealert 

Why Overstock.com’s Stock Jumped 17% Today https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-overstock-com-apos-stock-171100193.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OSTK/JgymzrFt-OVERSTOCK-OSTK-Long-in-premarket-post-ER-for-a-possible-50/

OSTK, swing trade, trade alert

OVERSTOCK (OSTK) Long in premarket post ER for a possible 50% + trade, watch further model reports soon. #swingtrade $OSTK #tradealert

WALLMART (WMT)

WALLMART (WMT) Likes to trade the channels on this model, after earnings it should be a channel trade in the model either way, on watch $WMT #ER

Walmart, Alibaba and some big-name pot companies keep earnings season rolling #swingtrading #ER $WMT $BABA https://on.mktw.net/2Mggc0v https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1160861625760583681

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WMT/0vgBTZiO-WALLMART-WMT-Likes-to-trade-the-channels-on-this-model-after/

Wallmart, WMT, ER, swing trade

WALLMART (WMT) Likes to trade the channels on this model, after earnings it should be a channel trade in the model either way, on watch $WMT #ER

Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO)

Swing Trading Alerts
@SwingAlerts_CT
Swing entry starter long in $MRO did trigger in 12.80s, set up will be on weekend report..
9:28 AM · Aug 9, 2019 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1159818732329414657

Marathon Oil’s Drilling Machine Delivers Another Profit Gusher in Q2 #swingtrading $MRO

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/marathon-oil-apos-drilling-machine-163500213.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Marathon Oil Risk Reward for this Swing Trade is Very High. The Set-Up is Good at Support, Lets See How a Starter Works Out #swingtrading $MRO

A simple swing trade strategy here; trade is near multi area supports with good earnings season sentiment, risk-reward is significantly in favor of bulls, if it fails exit the trade early and re-enter later. Remember, you can always re-enter. 

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MRO/vnRyNdHS-Marathon-Oil-Risk-Reward-for-this-Swing-Trade-is-Very-High-The/

Marathon Oil, swing trade, $MRO

Marathon Oil Risk Reward for this Swing Trade is Very High. The Set-Up is Good at Support, Lets See How a Starter Works Out #swingtrading $MRO

Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR)

Swing Trading Alerts
@SwingAlerts_CT
Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Another double return swing, start trims in to 30.00. Nice trade from 15s. Let a bit run. $ARWR #swingtrading

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1159653769744920576

Looking For Growth? Take A Look At These Biotechnology Stocks #swingtrading $ARWR (link: https://www.investors.com/news/technology/biotech-stocks-best-biotech-companies-to-invest-in/) investors.com/news/technolog… vi

Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) was a great swing trading, however, let it come down to channel support now before re entering long $ARWR #swingtrade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ARWR/AKhAnxNI-Arrow-Pharmaceuticals-ARWR-was-a-great-swing-trading-however/

ARWR, swing trade, alert

Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) was a great swing trading, however, let it come down to channel support now before re entering long $ARWR #swingtrade

Swing Trading Alerts
@SwingAlerts_CT
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Near double, if you haven’t already in to time cycle peak, time to take some profits add longs mid way to Oct 21 cycle #swingtrading #Gold $AU

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1159469811396685824

Curtis Melonopoly
@curtmelonopoly
While Gold $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F did get some range for the bulls, we hammered down long on AngloGold Ashanti (AU) $AU for near a double #swingtrading #Gold

AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Near double, if you haven’t already in to time cycle peak, time to take some profits add longs nearing Oct 21 time cycle in Gold #swingtrading #Gold $AU

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AU/myLieQww-AngloGold-Ashanti-AU-Near-double-if-you-haven-t-already-in-to/

AngloGold, AU, swing trade

AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Near double, if you haven’t already in to time cycle peak, time to take some profits add longs nearing Oct 21 time cycle in Gold #swingtrading #Gold $AU

PARTEUM CORP (TEUM)

Swing Trading Alerts
@SwingAlerts_CT
PARTEUM CORP (TEUM) trading 3.60 from 2.60 trade alert, considering ER it’s time to take profit along the way $TEUM #swingtrade #earnings

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1158321103418351616

Pareteum Joins Russell 3000 Index https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pareteum-joins-russell-3000-index-100000783.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Pareteum Announces Second-Quarter 2019 Financial Results https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pareteum-announces-second-quarter-2019-200500905.html?.tsrc=rss

PARTEUM CORP (TEUM) the trade alert to exit at 3.60 from 2.60 trade alert buys worked, now watch for channel support buys $TEUM #swingtrade #earnings

TUEM, PARTEUM, swing trading

PARTEUM CORP (TEUM) the trade alert to exit at 3.60 from 2.60 trade alert buys worked, now watch for channel support buys $TEUM #swingtrade #earnings

And finally, be sure to watch our trade alerts on our alert feeds and in live trading room. If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter and Live Swing Trading Alerts).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows, what we’re up to with our trading):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Protected: Premarket Watch List July 9 $CHEK, $OGI, $AZRX, $AMRH, $RHT, $ACIA, $SQ, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Alert, Signals, Earnings, $OSTK, $WMT, $TEUM, $MRO, $ARWR, $AU, $TEUM

11
Aug 2019
Crude Oil Trading Profit Loss Trading Room Trade Alerts

How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1

The First In A New Article Series Intended to Simplify What We Have Learned For The Oil Trader

How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1

Crude Oil Day Trading, Crude Oil Trading Alerts, Crude Oil Trading Room, Crude Oil Trading Strategy , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

The First In A New Article Series Intended to Simplify What We Have Learned For The Oil Trader To Use as Actionable Strategies to Increase Win Rate and ROI When Manually Executing Crude Oil Trades.

For Near 3 Years Now We Have Transparently Shared Our Successes and Failures in the Development of Oil Machine Trading Software.

First, For The Benefit of a Wider Than Normal Audience That This Article Is Being Transmitted To, Allow Me To Share Some of Our History.

Understanding a. Where We Have Come From, b. Where We Are Now and c. Where We Are Going Next is Important. Then We’ll Get In To The First Oil Trading Strategy Article.

A. A Brief History of Where We Come From.

As Stated, For Near 3 Years Now We Shared Our Trading and Software Development Journey Real-Time With Our Crude Oil Trading Community (in a Live Trading Room). We Recorded Live Every Minute Of Our Trading and We Also Endeavored to Share Our Findings Via Various Blog Articles, Alerts, Webinars, Coaching and Videos.

Sharing The Details of Our Journey Was Not Easy. It Was Difficult To Find Time to Reconcile Findings In Such a Way That Would Would Be Easily Transferable to Our Community. The Day-to-Day Trading Live in The Room, Alerting Trades, Coding Software, Writing Articles, Coaching etc all Real-Time While in Our Own Discovery Process Was… Lets Just Say A Tad Crazy.

It Also Wasn’t Easy To Share What We Were Learning in a Way That Would Be Easily Understood and Actionable For Our Clients, Not To Mention Knowing When The Next Phase in Development Would Be Successful or Challenging (Having Us Profitable Or Not).

We Set Out In The Beginning To Be Transparent and We Have Held to That Mandate All the Way Through The Process.

And Now, We Know What Works and Does Not Work And We Begin a Real Journey to Share Our Findings. The Goal is to Share This in the Most Succinct and Simple Way Possible – to Make our Findings “Actionable” For The Average Trader. 

Our Story Reveals Secrets Not Commonly Available That Can Help Day Traders Form Proper, Simple, Structured Oil Trading Strategies That Will Increase Your Win Rate, Returns and Lower Risk.

We are Acutely Aware There Are Hundreds of Oil Trading Strategies That Succeed or Fail. The Strategies We Will Share Are Structural in Nature. In Other Words, The Lessons We Learned About The Structure Of Oil Trade and Order Flow Will Help With Any Other Oil Trading Strategies You Are Employing.

Here in The First Article of Its Kind and With a Series of Near Future Planned Informational Articles, Webinars and Select Media Broadcasts, We Endeavor to Summarize and Simplify The Most Important Takeaways for You, The Oil Trader.

B. Where We Are Now.

Recently, we launched real-world testing of version 4 EPIC oil trading software (after running versions 1, 2 and 3 successfully) only to have it (v4) exemplify (once again) the volatility that new version machine trade software deployment encounters.

Prior to the launch of v4 our version 3 oil trade software had proven in real-world testing that it would perform at a rate of return of about 83% per year (which would get better over time as the machine “learned” – the most recent results are closer to 94% per annum).

So needless to say, we were excited about the “next”.

But as we’ve learned over and over again… the “next” can challenge comfort zones in many ways – you could refer to this as our trading risk management threshold – software development and deployment style.

Deployment of version 4 brought volatility that once again exceeded our “risk threshold”. In short, “real world testing” is more about testing our human “risk threshold” or comfort level than it is about whether the software would eventually perform as planned, after all, it does have to be “birthed” and then “learn” and then fly.

But we just weren’t “comfortable” with having to endure the process of the machine software known as version 4 to “learn” and become profitable. Version 4 was a much more aggressive architecture than version 3. So anyway, in short, we abandoned version 4 and returned to the proven version 3. We won’t be returning to v4.

So on Monday August 5, 2019 at 11:00 PM EST we announced the return to v3 and it was “re-born”. It took a day for it to run its start up systems and then started firing trades and has been again profitable since.

“For Aug 9, 2019: v3 Profit & Loss: Daily +$995 YTD +$8,526 Projected $94,306 or 94% Per Annum. Oil Machine Trade 100k Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #MachineTrading #OilTradeAlerts.”

C. Where We Are Going Next (Near Term).

The first day was a quiet day for the v3 software reboot – the action started to come online in day two.

Below, and in near-future articles is where we pick up the story and we will use real-world trading in the live oil trading room to explain as clearly and simply as possible strategies oil day traders can employ to compete with the best of the best.

Each day I will take the oil trading action from the day in the oil trading room and oil trading alerts and post an article specific to the rules the software used to execute the trades with simplicity top of mind when writing the articles.

Traders that study these articles will have the benefit of video recordings of our traders in the oil trading room describing the trades we are manually executing to assist the software developers in “tweaking” the version 3 EPIC software.

The articles will also include various charting (conventional and algorithmic), oil trade chat room trade set up guidance notes from our traders, various articles, informational webinars, select media broadcasts and much more. Some of which will be made available to the general public and some behind our pay wall (subscriber premium material).

When we complete this informational series of articles we will have completed our oil trading development mandates and then go on to the next and the next (in terms of our wider development goals)… 

For now, our goal here is to publish approximately one oil trading article per day with video, host one public informational webinar per week (email us at compoundtradingofficial.com to register for the next webinar), post continued v3 daily P&Ls to our social feeds, and have documented all actionable trade strategies within 60 days.

As stated above, much of this will be public facing and yet other information (the more proprietary) will be made available only to our premium subscribers .

The articles in this series will be sent to the mailing list – so get on it now click here.

Now, Lets Get to The First Lesson in Oil Trade Strategies – Trading With Version 3 With The Lead Trader in The Live Oil Trading Room.

Each article will include at least one lesson (or at least one rule that is included in the software trading rule set).

This first article will be from the oil trading room last Friday, and I will try to catch up the other days from last week at some point soon and as of Monday I’ll be posting each trading day’s action daily.

Here’s how our trading day on Friday went down;

Trading Crude Oil Break Outs.

Trading break-outs (break-ups & break-downs) outside of the most recent trading range is not easy. The reason is simple, you don’t know where the new range of trade will be and you don’t know if it is a true beak-out that will hold.

Our rule set has much more predictable trading set-ups to trade than what we seen on Friday, but lets start here because this was the most recent trading day and future posts will highlight the more predictable set-ups.

All our trades on Friday were winners, I think the v3 software has won every trade since it was rebooted last week and thus far I think it has only had one red day (for 0.02% draw-down).

Trade Sizing, Range Of Trade, Holds & Stops.

Under our v3 protocol, breaks in the price of oil to the current range are traded lightly in terms of sizing and any trade positions are held with tight stops.

In other words, until the new trading range develops, size of trade is to remain small and stop orders need to be considerably rigid because if the break up or down in price does not hold and form a new trading range you do not want to be left holding the bag (a losing position).

If you are caught holding a bag it is important for it to be a small size bag. Our v3 protocol mitigates this also with the ability to determine intra-day bottoms and size in to the next trade to relieve the small losing position when needed. But this is always a very small position if held and is only held intra-day.

In our general informational material about our v3 software vs. v4 this is one of the primary differences in architecture. Version 4 rule-set had holds on a much wider range (you could say a swing trading range) and v3 only holds within the intra-day range as verified by recent trade.

Please Note: When I state absolutes like “v3 only holds” as above, be sure to consider that our software has over 4400 rules that are weighed against each other, so absolutes are not reality, but for the simplicity of our goal here I will often explain rules of trade as absolute.

If you focus on trading range you will find it much more predictable than trading break-outs and break-down in price.

Anyway, before the break-out occurred on Friday we were posting guidance to the oil trade chat room server on Discord and the private member twitter alert feed.

We were also in the live oil trading room stating that trade was likely to break out Friday.

We also provided various immediately applicable guidance to our members specific to resistance and support on the most applicable time frames referencing chart models that our members could refer to.

Below is the morning trading guidance we posted to the crude oil chat room server (Discord private server is used for alerts service along with Twitter feed, alerts are available as a stand alone service or within the bundle with reports and oil trading room access).

The most applicable charting in this instance were the 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute and daily algorithmic chart models.

Note: By “most applicable” I am saying that these particular charts were recently being respected most, by oil trade action, of the various models available. We have numerous algorithmic chart models and conventional charts provided in reporting to members to draw on when providing guidance for their daily trading strategy. Our job is to refer to those that which recent oil trade action has most responded to (or price has respected support and resistance areas on the charts).

Also specifically to the information below, the preferred buy triggers are areas of support that provide high probability for bounce trades intra-day should price actually not break-out. A significant part of the v3 trading rules applies to key areas of support intra-day that liquidity in oil markets that are machine traded are most likely to trigger large buy programs to.

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 8:10 AM
Preferred buys on 15 min model; 51.83, 52.02, 52.29, 52.78 trading 53.11 intra day
Preferred buys on EPIC 30 min model; 51.88, 52.49, 52.74. Main resistance 53.65, 54.31, 54.43

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 8:25 AM
Top of range on daily 53.94 (uptrending TL on model) if held, over that is break-out / divergent. Trading 53.21. Order flow says it can happen. Trading 53.24.
Preferred buy trigger on 5 min model. 52.70 9:30 AM at inflection of time cycle running 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM

Oil, trading, chat, room, trader, guidance

Crude Oil Trading Chat Room – Lead Traders Provide Technical Guidance for the Members in Advance of Trading Day

JeremyLast Friday at 8:38 AM
Order flow and volume since Thurs / internals say break to upside probable.

oil, trading, chat room, guidance

Continued guidance provided to members in oil trading room – crude oil resistance on daily chart – range of trade

First Oil Trade of the Day – Break Out Trade, A Quick Bullish Trade to Range of 1 Minute Chart Model

Normally we can alert our trades to the alert feeds on Twitter and Discord, but on Friday we were only alerting live in the main oil trading room because trade action and the break out were developing very quickly and there was no time to type the alerts.

Now I will point out quick I sometimes try and do my part on my public facing Twitter feed, I did warn the shorts the night prior of this action setting up because we knew there was accumulation in order flow that started the day prior.

Curtis Melonopoly
@curtmelonopoly
Careful shorties #OOTT $CL_F

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 9:07 AM
Software got that with 1/10 only now out happened too fast to alert typing, was alerted in live room
cradle of the quad

first, oil, trade, premarket

The first oil trade of the day was in regular US market premarket, 1 min and daily charting shows the trade range.

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 9:35 AM
@Jen 54.32 – 54.48 1/10 traded thanks
in trading room yes

Below is the screen capture from the oil chat room showing the Daily Chart Model resistance that trade hit and the cradle of the EPIC Oil Algorithm resistance that trade hit.

Oil algorithmic charting showing the range of trade for the premarket trade – daily and 30 min charts in oil chat room.

oil chat room, trading range, winning trade

Oil algorithmic charting showing the range of trade for the premarket trade – daily and 30 min charts in oil chat room

Lessons From Oil Trade #1 (Break-Out) in Oil Trading Room:

  1. Trade Size – This is a break out trade so trade size was 1/10 size. The v3 protocol is small like this, version 4 would have sized this trade larger.
  2. One Minute Model Structured Range, Upside Resistance Broke – Trade was executed long above the one minute model support / resistance and trade was closed as the next resistance on the one minute model was hit. This was also recent intra-day break of trading range – THIS IS IMPORTANT. Also, if you were confident in the new range holding you could size 2/10 or more and release some at top of one minute trading range and hold some to see if the one minute support held on pull back. Our v3 software will do this if order flow shows a high probability and low risk to such.
  3. Resistance on Chart Models – A key resistance on the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm chart model was hit as was the trading resistance on the daily chart. This provided further reason to exit or trim the long trade.
  4. Time of Day, Premarket, Momentum – Look at the time of day of the trade. Premarket trade action is critical to watch for a general direction in to regular US market open. Also important are the key times, in premarket the 15 minute and 30 minute candles are critical. This was a 9:00 AM  30 minute candle momentum trade.

Live Oil Trading Room Video

On the live oil trading room video the alert for oil trade #1 on the day starts at 1:22:22 on the video timer and at 8:59 AM EST on the time at bottom right of screen with a notice to live trading room that positive order flow indicates a long trade break out set-up building. Over the next few minutes the trigger is activated (I’m concerned at this point about getting too many traders thinking to bullish because break outs are tough, however, I do announce the long trade at 1/10 size). Price target on the day 53.87 is discussed, trading 53.11 at this point of trade in live oil trading room.

You can see on the trading room video the price of oil come off to the 5 min model support and bounce (typical right before a break our for price to come off and then go).

At about 1:30:00 on the video you will see price pressing the resistance on the next upside trading quadrant on the EPIC Oil Algorithm model.

Lessons From Trade # 2 in Break Out.

At approximately 1:57:30 on the video timer we’re executing long again at 54.32 – 54.48. 

  1. Continuation, Intra-day Trend/Strength – There was continuation in the break out.
  2. Resistance Breaks – Price was up over 1 minute range resistance for the long. Price was up over the 30 minute range resistance, and the horizontal historical resistance (yellow).
  3. Close Trade at Range Resistance, You Can Always Re-Enter if Price Continues Bullish – Trade was closed as price entered resistance on the 30 minute model.
  4. Break Out Trade Size Should Be Small – Trade was small at 1/10 size because this is a break out and there is no guarantee the intra-day range developing would hold. Larger size in more appropriate in predictable range trading intra-day.

Lessons From Trade # 3 in Break Out.

At about 3:40:40 on the video we have triggered a trade in $CL_F long 1/10 at 54.31. Here again with tight stops pending order flow.

This was a high frequency order flow battle area intra-day in the break-out area of oil trade in the markets on the day

The time cycles intra day had us expecting more pressure on price that did not occur so when the HFT’s in the market started to trade it stronger we entered with them. This is not a set up that will help the every day oil trader to a great degree unless you were in the trading room with us and understood every detail of the set up as described, not a trade for the beginner.

It was a winning trade, but not the easiest. Most day trades with oil break outs are not what I would describe as easy. At issue, again, is that you don’t want to get caught holding a bag in a failed break out.

The video does go through various other more advanced signals we use as the trade of oil progresses intra-day.

At 3:35:27 on the video you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

Trading Rule-Set Lessons:

  1. Positive Order Flow – Buy side order flow started strong as price entered the range of the 1 minute model support (the range is marked with blue/red/white horizontal lines clustered). We wanted a buy trigger lower but considering the bullish action on the day this was the reversal point.
  2. Double Bottom Support – Buy side order flow started strong as price entered the double bottom intra-day range.
  3. Progressive Increasing Volume – Progressive volume was obvious.
  4. Close at Resistance – At 4:00:50 approximately on video recorder timer we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance. The timing was perfect for exit also based on intra-day time cycle frequencies (intra-day time cycle frequencies as it relates to trading this day are not what I will explain in this post, in short that specific discipline in our rule-set takes considerable experience). Nevertheless, clear resistance was hit and on the video you will hear me count down to the time cycle completion and a perfect hit to resistance and exit of the long trade.

On the video at 3:35:27 you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

oil trading room, trade alert, crude, CL_F

On the video you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

Screen shot below of oil trading room live trade alert – we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance.

oil, trading, room, screen shot, alert

Oil trading room live trade alert – we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance.

There were other miscellaneous trades on the day (all winners) but considering the complexity of signals on this day (considering it was a break out early structure) I think I will leave it there. I would rather focus these posts on the most predictable and easily executable trades for our oil traders to learn.

The next post I will do tomorrow (Monday) evening after we’re done trading for the day. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed [email protected] and remember that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Since the end of December when the price of nearby NYMEX crude oil futures fell to a low at $42.36 per barrel, the price recovered to $66.60 in April and fell to a low at $50.52 last week. At $54.50 on the nearby September NYMEX crude oil futures contract on August 9, the price is at the midpoint of the trading range since December 2018. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4284072-crude-oil-monkey-middle

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

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Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategies, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL, how to trade, alerts, trading room

06
Aug 2019

How We Are Trading The Crude Oil Sell-Off | Premium Report $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #crudeoil #tradingstrategies

Crude Oil Day Trading, Crude Oil Trading Strategy , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Crude Oil Sell-Off Continues – Here’s How We’re Trading It. Strategies for Day Trading and Swing Trading The Move.

The current oil sell-off may last some time. The US – China trade war may continue for months or more putting pressure on the price of oil due to global slowdown demand perceptions.

‘At the edge of a cliff’: Oil prices could plummet to US$40 if U.S.-China trade war drags down global economy
Just the collapse of trade growth has shorn 500,000 bpd out of oil demand https://business.financialpost.com/commodities/at-the-edge-of-a-cliff-oil-prices-could-plummet-to-us40-if-u-s-china-trade-war-drags-down-global-economy

The objective of this report is to identify the areas of support on the oil charting so that our traders / clients can execute trades for possible areas for a bounce.

This will also serve as important areas of support that short selling crude oil traders will want to consider for covering all or some of their positions. 

The technical indicators below (charting and time cycles) will provide signals for day trade and swing trade oil traders.

As of last Thursday, after the Fed decision to lower rates a quarter point and after Trumps tweet about China the order flow has been considerably negative and the price of oil reflects this.

Dow plunges 760 points in worst day of 2019 as trade war intensifies https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/05/us-futures-amid-trade-turmoil-between-beijing-and-washington.html

However, there are near term support areas in the charting coming soon so these areas may provide some relief bounces in price. Below we look at the crude oil charting on different time frames. 

Both conventional and algorithmic chart models are provided below.

The focus in this report is toward “Keep it Simple Charting (KISS)” to visualize the range of trade which can make it easier to focus on general areas of support and resistance to watch.

For more detailed charting refer to recent premium member reporting and / or charting sent directly to our members via email and / posted in Discord or in oil trading room.

To simplify your trading take your trade positions only at key support or resistance decision areas on whichever time-frame is most appropriate to your requirements. When a trader is struggling, this is one method to correct course and get trading green again. This is also a great method of getting correct positioning / bias in significant sell-offs and bull runs.

Focus on the simple trading ranges first – the channels, the trend lines etc on various time frames on the simplified charts, then move to the algorithmic models to refine trade entries. Then consider time cycles, time of day, volume, recent trade action, technical indicators such as MACD and moving averages, fundamentals, news flow and more.

When you have the macro view in place, the technical algorithmic view then you can use your trading process for your entries. A refined trading process (an edge) is critical.

Keep it Simple (KISS) monthly oil chart says range 47 – 70 with 58 area pivot, 57.76 near resistance and 51.83 near support to watch. Trading 53.65 intra-day.

Also of note on the monthly time-frame is that the MACD is pinching / turning down and the squeeze momentum indicator is trending red.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/nUMivzGg-Keep-it-Simple-KISS-monthly-oil-chart-says-range-47-70-with/

oil, monthly, chart

KISS monthly oil chart says range 47 – 70 with 58 area pivot, 57.76 near resistance and 51.83 near support to watch. Trading 53.65 intra-day.

The Keep it Simple Weekly Crude Oil Chart – Price at 200 MA, MACD turned down, trend lines to watch.

While I am compiling this report price is testing the 200 MA support on the weekly crude oil chart, you can consider this area a prime consideration for a bounce near term. Moving averages are not precise indicators for support and resistance but do provide for near term trade bias. The MACD is turned down on the weekly which favors the bears considerably on this time-frame.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/iMelWGSu-The-Keep-it-Simple-Weekly-Crude-Oil-Chart-Price-at-200-MA-MAC/

Weekly, crude, oil chart

The Keep it Simple Weekly Crude Oil Chart – Price at 200 MA, MACD turned down, trend lines to watch.

On the simple Daily crude oil chart price is testing key trend line support areas intra day. Watch close here for a bounce.

The MACD is also turned down on the daily time-frame, and I wouldn’t expect an extended rally in crude oil due to the trade war, but a considerable bounce could happen here.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/WCyL1BDW-On-the-simple-Daily-crude-oil-chart-price-is-testing-key-trend-l/

oil, daily, chart

On the simple Daily crude oil chart price is testing key trend line support areas intra day. Watch close here for a bounce.

Oil did sell off in to the lower part of the 60 minute chart quad (time cycle) and should bounce to 55.00 area at minimum.

We were talking about this scenario possibly playing out in the oil trading room, and sure enough price sold off right in to that time cycle peak on the 60 minute chart model and is now bouncing on the other side of the time cycle.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/APqtrOOa-Oil-did-sell-off-in-to-the-lower-part-of-the-60-minute-chart-qua/

oil, 60 min chart

Oil did sell off in to the lower part of the 60 minute chart quad (time cycle) and should bounce to 55.00 area at minimum.

Algorithmic Charting

The next time cycle low possible in VIX (see VIX report) is in to September 9 – 16 with a recent peak being August 5 (a week prior and after allowed for large time cycle). This implies that oil may bounce in to this time-frame and then begin its next leg down thereafter and in to the Oct 21, 2019 VIX time cycle peak. It is important however to keep top of mind that time cycles can work totally the opposite. The implied peak could be the bottom and the opposite is true, so be cautious with trajectory of trade to determine bias. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/6pKtcjcR-Volatility-VIX-swing-trade-strategy-is-to-wait-until-between-S/

The link to the most recent 1 minute oil trading model for daytrading sniping precision https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/RDDX0la5-1/

The link to the most recent 5 minute oil trading model for daytrading and intra day time cycles https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/HNP8d3Rq-5/

The link to the most recent 30 minute EPIC oil algorithm chart model.

Key support and resistance at quads, channels, mid channels and mid quads. Key areas of consideration intra-day. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ztAfe3gL-temp-epic-in-advance-of-report/

Many other charts are available on recent reports, sent to members on email, posted in discord chat room, in oil trading room and on alert feeds.

Be sure to watch our trade alerts on our alert feeds and in live trading room.

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Hedge Funds Turn Their Back On Oil https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Hedge-Funds-Turn-Their-Back-On-Oil.html?utm_source=tw&utm_medium=tw_repost

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Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

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Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

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Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Protected: Premarket Watch List July 9 $CHEK, $OGI, $AZRX, $AMRH, $RHT, $ACIA, $SQ, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategies, daytrading, swingtrading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL

31
Jul 2019

Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Swing Trading Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 31, 2019. …

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch (in addition to the others in recent reporting) $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $SQ, $BOX, $PXD, $TLRY, $EEM, $AGN, $XOP, $MGI, $PLUG, $BTC, $LYFT. $IOTS, $STNE, $TEUM, $AU, $OIH.

Earnings Trade Positions Reporting Special Notes:

July 31 – We entered a new swing trade yesterday in TESLA that is doing excellent, closed the AMD swing trade prior to earnings which was a great call because it lost a lot of value after earnings were posted after market, are trading the Crude Oil move that seen a huge gain after the swing trade alert was issued and today we look at National Oilwell Varco, Trex and Chegg after they had larger than normal earnings price moves. 

We’re also working on time cycle trades for SPY, VIX, Gold, Silver, DXY, BTC and more than we will report on soon.

Per recent;

July 22 – Below are some equities in focus this week with earnings, the follow- up reports on deck deal with other earnings focus equities and time cycles for the indices and specific instruments we focus on (GOLD, SILVER, VIX, SPY, OIL, US DOLLAR, BITCOIN).

 

Per recent;

Over the coming days we will be re-visiting all recent swing trade set-ups, alerts and trades in progress to reconcile the trades in advance of earnings and prepare for the new on other side of each new set up from earnings reports. This will involve a significant number of posts, trade alerts, mid day reviews in the trading room and videos that our members will receive a copy of.

Executing your swing trading strategy with our charting reports and live alerts involves using the key support and resistance areas of the charting, time cycle peaks, trajectory of trade and conventional indicators such as MACD cross-over and Moving Averages.

Alerts are not always issued at each add or trim to positions because that is simply not possible so you do have to manage your trade.

In many instances a clear swing trade strategy is laid out in the newsletter and/or videos so that you can manage the swing trade according to your risk threshold and account size.

If you struggle to establish a trading strategy with the information provided on our reporting, videos and alerts then some trade coaching is recommended to get you started.

Part 4 Earnings Swing Trades:

Why National Oilwell Varco, Trex, and Chegg Jumped Today. $NOV National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV), $TREX Trex (NYSE: TREX), and $CHEGG Chegg (NYSE: CHGG) #swingtrading #earnings #premarket https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-national-oilwell-varco-trex-202900625.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1156489920032231424

Bigger-than-usual #earnings moves today from $FRAC $MDR $CNX $SLCA $IT $OMF $SSNC $AMKR $TREX $BERY $TBI $RIG $LGND $RNG $NOV $DORM $CVLT $CURO

(link: http://eps.sh/r) eps.sh/r

TESLA (TSLA).

Tesla trade alert had a great first day, 234.44 buys and it hit 243.36 high of day price. It is trading 242.18 in premarket as I write. Watching close for possible adds. It is a channel play on the swing trade side but could easily be a daytrader also. 

Trade Alert Tuesday Morning 6:42 AM

TESLA (TSLA) Swing Trade Alert – Long starter 234.44, 270.00 price target, channel bounce trade within recent range, add at channel support $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading (link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/cxghrcYk-TESLA-TSLA-Swing-Trade-Alert-Long-starter-234-44-270-00-pri/) tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/cxg…

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/cxghrcYk-TESLA-TSLA-Swing-Trade-Alert-Long-starter-234-44-270-00-pri/

TESLA, swing, trade, alert, chart

TESLA (TSLA) trade alert couldn’t have had a better first day, add on pull backs take profit on bounces as you go $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

A German Banking Giant Doubles Down on Tesla Stock, Buys Uber #swingtrading $TSLA (link: https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-german-banking-giant-doubles-down-on-tesla-stock-buys-uber-51564398041) barrons.com/articles/a-ger… via
@BarronsOnline

Advanced Micro (AMD)

Trade Alert prior to close Tuesday in advance of earnings was timely considering the price drop after earnings were released;

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1156290250257420288

3:47 PM · Jul 30, 2019, ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hitting highs with earnings on deck, good time to take profit and or close #swingtrade $AMD

AMD, swing trade, alert

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hitting highs with earnings on deck, good time to take profit and or close #swingtrade $AMD

And then this;

Crude Oil $USO $WTI $CL_F $UWT

When crude oil was trading 57.28 we alerted that 59.80 was in play, hit a high 58.55 yesterday and is still bullish.

Trade Alert, 2:01 PM · Jul 30, 2019, Crude Oil Daily Chart Suggests 59.80 in play, MACD turning up. 159 PM July 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Chart (link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/85jzeoEc-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-Suggests-59-80-in-play-MACD-turning-up-1/) tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/85…

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1156263539394404359

crude oil, trade, alert

Crude Oil Daily Chart Suggests 59.80 in play, MACD turning up. 159 PM July 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Chart

NATIONAL OILWELL VARCO (NOV)

NATIONAL OILWELL VARCO (NOV) Risk reward is high here with a possible channel trade (green). On Watch. $NOV #earnings #swingtrade https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1156503027882307584

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NOV/GB1S37DH-NATIONAL-OILWELL-VARCO-NOV-Risk-reward-is-high-here-with-a-pos/

NOV, trade, alert, swing trade

NATIONAL OILWELL VARCO (NOV) Risk reward is high here with a possible channel trade (green). On Watch. $NOV #earnings #swingtrade

TREX COMPANY (TREX)

TREX COMPANY (TREX) Should easily see upside channel resistance and be a simple channel support trade long thereafter. $TREX #swingtrading #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TREX/12jDnfrg-TREX-COMPANY-TREX-Should-easily-see-upside-channel-resistance/

TREX, swing trade, earnings, alert

TREX COMPANY (TREX) Should easily see upside channel resistance and be a simple channel support trade long thereafter. $TREX #swingtrading #earnings

CHEGG INC (CHEGG)

CHEGG INC (CHEGG) Over 46.55 held this stock sees 52.70s, on watch, trading 45.77 #swingtrading #earnings $CHEGG (link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CHGG/nMqLWKYf-CHEGG-INC-CHEGG-Over-46-55-held-this-stock-sees-52-70s-on-wat/) tradingview.com/chart/CHGG/nMq…

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1156514261910339584

CHEGG, swing trade, alert, earnings

CHEGG INC (CHEGG) Over 46.55 held this stock sees 52.70s, on watch, trading 45.77 #swingtrading #earnings $CHEGG

Below is Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 of the Earnings Season Swing Trade Reporting:

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD)

From the point of original swing trade entry 148.50 (see alert below) PXD then traded up to 157.22 (be sure you take profits on trades the go the right way) and has recently come off and closed trade Friday at 144.29. Earnings are in 23 days.

Your trading strategy (if long) may be to add at one or more of the white arrows and if trade doesn’t hold then close and repeat at the next arrow. Our swing trade strategy at this point would be this method pending price action, watch for alerts.

Which Energy Stocks Missed Oil’s Upside? #swingtrading #energy https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/which-energy-stocks-missed-oils-upside/

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/xlUEQTuy-PIONEER-NATURAL-RESOURCES-PXD-three-areas-of-support-on-240-mi/

PXD, chart, swingtrading, strategy

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

Per recent;

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) through first Fib resistance target closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

PIONEER, PXD, Swing Trade

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

From Swing Trade Alert 8:22 AM – 20 Jun 2019 (screen capture of alert below);

PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model. #swingtrading #tradealert https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/pwpvHlyt-PIONEER-NAT-RES-PXD-Long-PXD-148-50-for-160-98-price-target/ …

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

PIONEER RESOURCES, PXD, Swing Trade, Alert

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

TILRAY (TLRY)

There is a special premium member report for this trade set up here;

Protected: TILRAY (TLRY) How to Swing Trade and Day Trade Tilray Earnings, Critical Time Cycle Dates $TLRY | Premium #tradingstrategy

Password: timec

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade.

When trade bounces out of the down trend channel below then the other chart models below will assist in your trading strategy for Tilray (TLRY).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/slhEd9Ms-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-down-trend-channel-from-highs-looking-for-a/

U.S. CBD Sales to Grow an Average of 107% Annually Through 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-cbd-sales-grow-average-130600799.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading #Cannabidiol #CBD $TLRY $CGC $KR $RAD $WBA $CVS

TILRAY, Swing Trade, Strategy, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade

TLRY Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TLRY: Aug 27, 2019

https://www.nasdaq.com/earnings/report/tlry

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/s8Y7Jlzr-TILRAY-TLRY-structured-trading-model-for-swing-trading-and-day/

TLRY, TILRAY, Swing Trading, Model, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/b7xifziN-TILRAY-TLRY-model-with-trading-boxes-time-cycles-algorithmic/

TILRAY, trading, strategy, model

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

Per recent;

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

Add in to each resistance and add above on trajectory or add on pull-backs.

It doesn’t get much easier than this – trade by numbers (lines).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/l3zOjH4h-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-swing-trade-from-46-10-for-49-03-PT-1-and-thr/

TILRAY, swing trade, chart, alert

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

From Swing Trade Alert to Trim in to Resistance 10:12 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

TILRAY (TLRY) in to key resistance, trim in to it add above to next #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/cPAkfJnL-TILRAY-TLRY-in-to-key-resistance-trim-in-to-it-add-above-to-n/ …

TILRAY, TLRY, swing trade, alert

Swing Trade Alert 1012 AM 20 Jun 2019 TILRAY (TLRY) key resistance trim in to it #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY

From Swing Trade Alert Original Entry 8:04 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

Long $TLRY 46.10 for 49.03 PT # 1 details on report to follow, see previous charting.

TESLA (TSLA)

TSLA Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TSLA: Aug 07, 2019

Tesla, Inc. is estimated to report earnings on 08/07/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 4 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $-1.55. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $-4.22.

Tesla is preparing to expand production at its electric-car factory in Fremont, California, according to an internal email #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-10/tesla-tells-staff-it-s-preparing-to-lift-output-at-fremont-plant

Tesla’s Leaked Email Is a Nightmare for Bears and Other Automakers #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1150558365703180288 https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/teslas-leaked-email-is-a-nightmare-for-bears-and-other-automakers/

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

The trading strategy for swing trades in TESLA can be really simple.

The best way to swing trade TESLA is using the white arrows on the chart (these are primary support and resistance areas on the chart). When price breaches up through an arrow go long and the opposite for short. Set a stop that you are comfortable with in accordance to your risk threshold. If the trade goes your way simply trim profit at the fine detailed support and resistance areas on the chart.

If you are a more active swing trader then you can obviously look at each area of support and resistance for various sizing opportunities.

Alternatively to the above arrow trading strategy, you can also wait for a pull back to a key support or resistance and then enter (vs the brak out above or below key resistance).

The TESLA chart offers on of the best trading ranges and the key support and resistance areas work well. We have done well on numerous occasions swing trading TESLA. The most recent short wasn’t the best of the trades but focusing on the range of the trade, the general trend and the key support and resistance noted on this chart model provides for a really opportune swing trading environment given the range.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/g9PY2eeE-TESLA-TSLA-Support-and-resistance-areas-are-clearly-marked-wh/

swing trading, TESLA, earnings

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

Per recent;

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

This trade started off well and as a daytrade it was excellent. On the swing it is still in play but trade did bounce at support below so be sure to exit before any loss as it is on the right side still. The trade is so close to the lower end of its trading range there’s no wisdom in holding if it turns against the original entry 225.05.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/Nf5uJOTA-TESLA-TSLA-short-trade-found-support-and-bounced-stop-at-ent/

TESLA, TSLA, Swing trade, chart, short

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:00 AM – 20 Jun 2019

Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT, details in report upcoming. #swingtrading

swing trade, alert, TESLA, TSLA

Swing Trade Alert Feed 800 AM 20 Jun 2019 Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT #swingtrading #tradealert $TSLA

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM)

July 14 – The trading plan and price action has no significant change to the below.

Per recent;

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

MACD, Stochastic RSI, and Squeeze Momentum on daily time frame are all trending up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EEM/YVg06fnr-EMERGING-MARKETS-ETF-EEM-Long-term-swing-trade-add-at-bottom/

Emerging Markets, swing trade, chart

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:07 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target # 1, details in upcoming report

Emerging Markets, EEM, swing trade, alert

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 807 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target 1 #emergingmarkets #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN)

This swing trade obviously went exceptionally well with Allergan (AGN). See screen image capture below of swing trade alert feed.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

AGN, trade alert, swing trade

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan acquisition is ‘a major bailout’ for shareholders, according to analysts https://on.mktw.net/2X68Rqb

AGN Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for AGN: Jul 25, 2019
Allergan plc. is estimated to report earnings on 07/25/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 11 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $4.28. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $4.42.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/pEtbK4ZK-ALLERGAN-AGN-Based-on-my-best-guess-considering-historical-pri/

AGN, swing trade, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

Per recent;

ALLERGAN (AGN) Trading 130.75 up from 116.00 original alert, see video report from trading room for the trading strategy going forward on this one and / or follow support and resistance points on chart. $AGN #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

ALLERGAN, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert, AGN

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

From June 18 Report;

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan, AG, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Ironwood and Allergan Report Positive Topline Data from Phase IIIb Trial of LINZESS® #swingtrading $AGN https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ironwood-allergan-report-positive-topline-200500616.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1141170424769896452

AGN, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing trade alert feed screen capture (Twitter member alert feed) $AGN #swingtradealert

From June 17, 2019 Report:

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

The area of support just below trade (see white arrow) looks to be a key area that is likely to find support and bounce. If it does bounce then I see three areas of key snap back for bullish trade. A general trajectory of trade possible in a bullish scenario is included below with 3 white arrows. We will see how trade near term is, but I like it for a bounce to at least the first price target (first white uptrending arrow).

7 Stocks Ripe for M&A as Trade War Pushes Market Off Record Highs https://www.investopedia.com/7-stocks-ripe-for-m-and-a-as-trade-war-pushes-market-off-record-highs-4689910?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/YFig3eOl-ALLERGAN-AGN-After-significant-sell-off-this-looks-ready-for-a/

AGN, swing trade, oversold, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES (AMD)

What To Expect From AMD Earnings #swingtrading $AMD #earnings https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-amd-earnings-4692801?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

How AMD Is Positioned in the US-China Trade War https://marketrealist.com/2019/06/how-amd-is-positioned-in-the-us-china-trade-war/

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

There have been a number of entries on this swing trade in the channel (see alerts feed for details) and the trade has gone extremely well. However, with earnings near we will be watching for continued swing trade through the channel support (long) and resistance (short).

AMD, swing trade

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

Per recent;

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) has hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load at bottom of channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD – Of all the plays on radar between here and election, this is in top 10% imo. Load channel support. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMD/ngLZ4D1C-ADVANCED-MICRO-AMD-has-hit-every-upside-price-target-albeit-s/ …

Current trade pressure down in to time cycle peak, however, I expect it to turn very bullish in to October, 2019.

ADVANCED MICRO, AMD, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load bottom channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD

INTEL CORP (INTC)

INTC Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for INTC: Jul 25, 2019
Intel Corporation is expected* to report earnings on 07/25/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 15 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $0.88. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.04.

Tech earnings are a test amid tumultuous times, and all the chips are on the table #swingtrading #earnings $INTC $SPX, $ GOOGL, $FB, $MU, $DELL, $HPE, $NTAP, $AVGO, $MSFT https://on.mktw.net/2jUGA3u

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/INTC/ryb2S9jQ-INTEL-CORP-INTC-from-June-14-alert-this-swing-trade-set-up-has/

INTEL, earnings, swing trade, alert

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

Per recent;

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per June 18 Report;

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

INTEL, swing trade, alert, chart

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

Nvidia and Intel’s Mobileye Both Continue Racking Up Autonomous Driving Deals #swingtrading $INTC

https://www.thestreet.com/technology/nvidia-and-intel-s-mobileye-both-continue-racking-up-autonomous-driving-deals-14995698

INTC, swing trade, alert, screen capture

INTEL CORP (INTC) June 14 swing trade alert, up 2.69% today, swing trade in play #swingtrade $INTC

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP) Swing trade doing well from 25.39 alert hit 27.09 trading 26.71. Add at each pull back and run the trend until MACD on 4 hour turns down. #swingtrade #tradealert

Per June 18 Report;

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOP/iHcNklLO-S-P-OIL-and-Gas-ETF-XOP-From-yesterday-s-alert-bounced-2-69/

swing trade , XOP, alert, chart

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

ETFs & Stocks From Top-Ranked Sector to Buy #swingtrading $XOP

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etfs-stocks-top-ranked-sector-145902494.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw 

S&P OIL and Gas MACD cross up with double bottom, 20% move possible here. On watch for bounce. #swingtrading $XOP

XOP, swing trade, alert

S&P OIL and Gas MACD ETF swing trade alert screen image capture. #tradealert #swingtrading $XOP

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per previous;

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario, on high watch for Wed premarket $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MGI/P4Xbfc8G-MONEYGRAM-INTERNATIONAL-MGI-Up-167-today-sure-looks-like-a-b/

MGI, MONEYGRAM, swing trade, day trade, alert, chart

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

MoneyGram Soars on $50M Investment From Blockchain Startup Ripple #swingtrading $XRP $MGI https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cryptocurrency/moneygram-soars-on-ripple-investment-14994298 

BOX INC (BOX)

Per last report with video explaining trade set up, I am watching this at trading box support for a possible turn up, my bias is up but it hasn’t go moving yet so it remains on watch only.

3 Wild Card Stocks to Buy Now for Long-Term Gains https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-wild-card-stocks-buy-160344516.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Per recent;

Per alert below this is on watch, review video for trading strategy.

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOX/4U7EsUMZ-BOX-INC-BOX-Is-revving-up-again-for-a-big-move-looking-for-a/

BOX, swing trading, chart

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

The stocks listed below (and others on various other reports and alerts) will be reported on in swing trade reports over the next number of days. All stocks that we have alerted and or have trade positions and / or expect to have trade positions will be covered in the near term reports.

Part 2: Swing Trading Earnings July 17, 2019.

In case you missed my ramblins’:

Mornin’ traders #premarket thoughts, HUGE time cycle next #itisdifferentthistime #timecycles Going to be a massive two cycle ride to Dec 2019 starts soon. $VIX $SPY $GLD $SLV $BTC $CL_F $USO $DXY I knew then, I know now. This one goes down in history. Watch the reports on deck.

$GOOGL topped out in high 12s and we didn’t go back, and won’t except to short it when time is right #timecycles #premarket

Members: Do not miss this report, looking back on 2019 two of my largest size trades will be in to and out of the two time cycle peaks coming in Volatility. There is no more structured time cycles in global markets than the volatility trade.

Are we running everything yet? So, so close. You can almost hear it. Man we’re close. Gotta run the CentralZuck coin too, add that in there.

Our focus #timecycles and how they fit with #Powell #Trump war plan. It’s been clear since day one, only question is timing along the way. Report blast of the century in the works. Biggest opportunity in trading history next 5 years. $SPY $VIX $DXY $CL_F $SLV $GLD $BTC #premarket

Okay, now that we got that out of the way…

FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN)

I don’t like the idea of long trades with $GOOGL, $FB, $AMZN or $TWTR (least of the concern is Twitter). At issue, they’re going to get wacked. When? No idea. My guess, generally speaking the time frame around earnings – ish will be a tough ride for longs in $GOOGL and $FB but that is yet to be seen. $AMZN likely comes off around earnings because it will likely be sell the news. But $GOOGL and $FB more so that I think Trump and friends are likely to wack them around earnings.

I could be wrong, but hey, lets get you ready both ways so if you’re trading long or short you know your chart levels for your trading strategy.

First FACEBOOK (FB) and then in tonight’s report I will cover AMAZON (AMZN) and many other;

“To set the stage, the following chart shows how the two stocks have performed over the last five years. Amazon is the clear winner, outperforming Facebook by more than 2-to-1,”

Better Buy: Amazon vs. Facebook @themotleyfool #stocks $AMZN $FB https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/07/13/better-buy-amazon-vs-facebook.aspx

UPDATE 1-France says Facebook’s Libra not yet viable as G7 minister meet #swingtrading $FB #Libra https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-france-says-facebooks-libra-111732518.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw via @YahooFinance

FB Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for FB: Jul 24, 2019
Facebook, Inc. is expected* to report earnings on 07/24/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 13 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $1.9. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.74.

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

We have always done well trading Facebook because it is one of the most structured equities on the markets. Trade channels (yellow examples shown) and check the price action relative to the channel at the key time cycles (vertical green). Yes, it is that easy.

You can also consider the trading boxes (orange) – they provide a range, moving averages (not so much imo) and horizontal Fibonacci lines in the chart model below. The green and gray horizontal are key pivots. The diagonal Fibonacci trend lines (blue dotted) provide the framework for possible channels.

It doesn’t surprise me the upcoming time cycle peak in to July 22 is around FB earnings scheduled for July 24, 2019. If price spikes above current channel my advice is to be very cautious with long entries up and above the channel.

Anytime you are trading with a structured algorithmic chart model and trade leaves the structure you can be sure its divergent and very likely to correct back in to its natural structure. 

Your best trading strategy for Facebook earnings?

Don’t rush, don’t hold in to earnings, there is no need. And don’t rush when its in its new channel whether up or down. Let the channel establish itself and then simply starting adding in to the trend within the channel according to direction. That’s it. That strategy will return excellent ROI, you will beat the market many times over because Facebook is that good of a trading vehicle.

Let me know how you do please.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FB/ElEjZaFD-FACEBOOK-FB-trades-in-channels-yellow-examples-with-decision/

FB, Facebook, Earnings, trade, strategy

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

Per recent;

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

We will get in to Amazon and many of the others when I return to this reporting tonight (last night we got side tracked so we will resume this evening). For now, the chart below.

Part 3: Swing Trading Earnings July 22, 2019.

AMAZON (AMZN).

AMAZON (AMZN) should become a trajectory trade after earnings in to price target options show, Trade the trajectory. $AMZN #earnings #swingtrade

Per the previous post below, watch the top of the trading box resistance area on the chart just over 2100.00. As I noted prior, I am bearish Amazon but I can’t say when I think it will lose steam, I think its a geo political signalling event that could also have signals with earnings coming in short of expectations over the next number of quarters. But the timing is going to be the issue. For now, the top of the trading box is considerable resistance.

After earnings simply trade in the direction of the trajectory (see arrows on chart pointing toward price targets for April 2020). And then when the geo political issues start to ramp up and price responds then it is time to short this stock.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/rZBw8kJk-AMAZON-AMZN-should-become-a-trajectory-trade-after-earnings-in/

AMZN, Amazon, Swing Trade, earnings

AMAZON (AMZN) should become a trajectory trade after earnings in to price target options show, Trade the trajectory. $AMZN #earnings #swingtrade

The upbeat picture painted by this past week’s blowout bank earnings heralded a promising earnings season. Too bad other industries didn’t get the memo https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-21/from-tesla-to-twitter-a-guide-to-this-week-s-quarterly-reports

Per recent;

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/DrqR4aOo-AMAZON-AMZN-Weekly-structure-on-chart-says-there-is-big-resist/

AMAZON, swing trade, strategy, earnings

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

ALPHABET (GOOGL).

Google ( GOOGL ) as with AMAZON is a price trajectory trade to price target after earnings report this week #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings

As with Amazon, I think Google is going to be considerably challenged by the US government and other governments around the world. At this point I think Amazon is at most risk, with Google next, then Facebook and then Twitter. Twitter and Square may fair well, but Amazon I see at very high risk and Google at high risk. Google as with Amazon will be very good short positions when the time is right.

OK Google, tell us why your earnings growth is slowing down … hello? Anyone there? #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings https://on.mktw.net/2XQsRgU

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/sXv819en-Google-GOOGL-as-with-AMAZON-is-a-price-trajectory-trade-to-p/

GOOGL, Earnings, swing trade

Google ( GOOGL ) as with AMAZON is a price trajectory trade to price target after earnings report this week #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings

TWITTER (TWTR)

TWITTER (TWTR) will also likely become a trajectory trade. Trading in trading box now, on watch other side of earnings. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings.

The Twitter chart structure is not nearly as good as Google, Facebook and Amazon but it may be less affected by the coming government anti-trust challenge I believe is on the horizon. Twitter is on watch for after earnings this week.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TWTR/bGuw2joE-TWITTER-TWTR-will-also-likely-become-a-trajectory-trade-Tradi/

TWITTER, TWTR, Swing Trade, Earnings

TWITTER (TWTR) will also likely become a trajectory trade. Trading in trading box now, on watch other side of earnings. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings

JETBLUE (JBLU).

JETBLUE (JBLU) Good price action post earnings suggests 22.00 then a move to 27.00 possible therafter. #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings

Is JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Stock Undervalued Right Now? #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jetblue-airways-jblu-stock-undervalued-131001127.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JBLU/OvFJb8oB-JETBLUE-JBLU-Good-price-action-post-earnings-suggests-22-00-th/

JETBLUE, swing trade, earnings, JBLU

JETBLUE (JBLU) Good price action post earnings suggests 22.00 then a move to 27.00 possible therafter. #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings

OAKTREE (OAK).

OAKTREE (OAK) Hit primary price target from last reporting on this, now looking to 55’s earnings $OAK #swingtrade #earnings

Zacks.com featured highlights include: Guess?, Denny’s, FTI Consulting, Oaktree Capital… #swingtrading $OAK #earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zacks-com-featured-highlights-guess-140102104.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/O8j15JUj-OAKTREE-OAK-Hit-primary-price-target-from-last-reporting-on-th/

OAKTREE, OAK, Earnings, swing trading

OAKTREE (OAK) Hit primary price target from last reporting on this, now looking to 55’s earnings $OAK #swingtrade #earnings

PLUG POWER (PLUG)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

BITCOIN (BTC)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ADESTO TECHNOLOGIES (IOTS)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

SQUARE (SQ)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

STONECO (STNE)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

PATEUM (TEUM)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ANGLO GOLD (AU)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

OIL SERVICE (OIH)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

LYFT INC (LYFT)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

Per June 18 report;

LYFT INC (LYFT) bullish chart trading 64.40 targets 75.44 Jul 5 with 68.82 resistance (trading box) #swingtrading $LYFT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

LYFT, swing trade, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

Disney resorts get a Lyft with rideshare partnership #swingtrading $LYFT $DIS https://www.bizjournals.com/losangeles/news/2019/06/18/disney-resorts-get-a-lyft-with-rideshare.html 

Thanks

Curt

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Alert, Signals, Earnings, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $PXD, $TLRY, $EEM, $AGN, $INTC, $XOP, $MGI, $BOX

22
Jul 2019

Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Swing Trading Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 22, 2019. $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK…

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch (in addition to the others in recent reporting) $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ, $BOX, $PXD, $TLRY, $EEM, $AGN, $XOP, $MGI, $PLUG, $BTC, $LYFT. $IOTS, $STNE, $TEUM, $AU, $OIH.

Earnings Trade Positions Reporting Special Notes:

July 22 – Below are some equities in focus this week with earnings, the follow- up reports on deck deal with other earnings focus equities and time cycles for the indices and specific instruments we focus on (GOLD, SILVER, VIX, SPY, OIL, US DOLLAR, BITCOIN).

Per recent;

Over the coming days we will be re-visiting all recent swing trade set-ups, alerts and trades in progress to reconcile the trades in advance of earnings and prepare for the new on other side of each new set up from earnings reports. This will involve a significant number of posts, trade alerts, mid day reviews in the trading room and videos that our members will receive a copy of.

Executing your swing trading strategy with our charting reports and live alerts involves using the key support and resistance areas of the charting, time cycle peaks, trajectory of trade and conventional indicators such as MACD cross-over and Moving Averages.

Alerts are not always issued at each add or trim to positions because that is simply not possible so you do have to manage your trade.

In many instances a clear swing trade strategy is laid out in the newsletter and/or videos so that you can manage the swing trade according to your risk threshold and account size.

If you struggle to establish a trading strategy with the information provided on our reporting, videos and alerts then some trade coaching is recommended to get you started.

From Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3 are below:

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD)

From the point of original swing trade entry 148.50 (see alert below) PXD then traded up to 157.22 (be sure you take profits on trades the go the right way) and has recently come off and closed trade Friday at 144.29. Earnings are in 23 days.

Your trading strategy (if long) may be to add at one or more of the white arrows and if trade doesn’t hold then close and repeat at the next arrow. Our swing trade strategy at this point would be this method pending price action, watch for alerts.

Which Energy Stocks Missed Oil’s Upside? #swingtrading #energy https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/which-energy-stocks-missed-oils-upside/

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/xlUEQTuy-PIONEER-NATURAL-RESOURCES-PXD-three-areas-of-support-on-240-mi/

PXD, chart, swingtrading, strategy

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

Per recent;

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) through first Fib resistance target closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

PIONEER, PXD, Swing Trade

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

From Swing Trade Alert 8:22 AM – 20 Jun 2019 (screen capture of alert below);

PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model. #swingtrading #tradealert https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/pwpvHlyt-PIONEER-NAT-RES-PXD-Long-PXD-148-50-for-160-98-price-target/ …

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

PIONEER RESOURCES, PXD, Swing Trade, Alert

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

TILRAY (TLRY)

There is a special premium member report for this trade set up here;

Protected: TILRAY (TLRY) How to Swing Trade and Day Trade Tilray Earnings, Critical Time Cycle Dates $TLRY | Premium #tradingstrategy

Password: timec

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade.

When trade bounces out of the down trend channel below then the other chart models below will assist in your trading strategy for Tilray (TLRY).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/slhEd9Ms-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-down-trend-channel-from-highs-looking-for-a/

U.S. CBD Sales to Grow an Average of 107% Annually Through 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-cbd-sales-grow-average-130600799.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading #Cannabidiol #CBD $TLRY $CGC $KR $RAD $WBA $CVS

TILRAY, Swing Trade, Strategy, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade

TLRY Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TLRY: Aug 27, 2019

https://www.nasdaq.com/earnings/report/tlry

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/s8Y7Jlzr-TILRAY-TLRY-structured-trading-model-for-swing-trading-and-day/

TLRY, TILRAY, Swing Trading, Model, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/b7xifziN-TILRAY-TLRY-model-with-trading-boxes-time-cycles-algorithmic/

TILRAY, trading, strategy, model

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

Per recent;

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

Add in to each resistance and add above on trajectory or add on pull-backs.

It doesn’t get much easier than this – trade by numbers (lines).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/l3zOjH4h-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-swing-trade-from-46-10-for-49-03-PT-1-and-thr/

TILRAY, swing trade, chart, alert

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

From Swing Trade Alert to Trim in to Resistance 10:12 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

TILRAY (TLRY) in to key resistance, trim in to it add above to next #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/cPAkfJnL-TILRAY-TLRY-in-to-key-resistance-trim-in-to-it-add-above-to-n/ …

TILRAY, TLRY, swing trade, alert

Swing Trade Alert 1012 AM 20 Jun 2019 TILRAY (TLRY) key resistance trim in to it #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY

From Swing Trade Alert Original Entry 8:04 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

Long $TLRY 46.10 for 49.03 PT # 1 details on report to follow, see previous charting.

TESLA (TSLA)

TSLA Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TSLA: Aug 07, 2019

Tesla, Inc. is estimated to report earnings on 08/07/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 4 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $-1.55. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $-4.22.

Tesla is preparing to expand production at its electric-car factory in Fremont, California, according to an internal email #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-10/tesla-tells-staff-it-s-preparing-to-lift-output-at-fremont-plant

Tesla’s Leaked Email Is a Nightmare for Bears and Other Automakers #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1150558365703180288 https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/teslas-leaked-email-is-a-nightmare-for-bears-and-other-automakers/

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

The trading strategy for swing trades in TESLA can be really simple.

The best way to swing trade TESLA is using the white arrows on the chart (these are primary support and resistance areas on the chart). When price breaches up through an arrow go long and the opposite for short. Set a stop that you are comfortable with in accordance to your risk threshold. If the trade goes your way simply trim profit at the fine detailed support and resistance areas on the chart.

If you are a more active swing trader then you can obviously look at each area of support and resistance for various sizing opportunities.

Alternatively to the above arrow trading strategy, you can also wait for a pull back to a key support or resistance and then enter (vs the brak out above or below key resistance).

The TESLA chart offers on of the best trading ranges and the key support and resistance areas work well. We have done well on numerous occasions swing trading TESLA. The most recent short wasn’t the best of the trades but focusing on the range of the trade, the general trend and the key support and resistance noted on this chart model provides for a really opportune swing trading environment given the range.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/g9PY2eeE-TESLA-TSLA-Support-and-resistance-areas-are-clearly-marked-wh/

swing trading, TESLA, earnings

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

Per recent;

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

This trade started off well and as a daytrade it was excellent. On the swing it is still in play but trade did bounce at support below so be sure to exit before any loss as it is on the right side still. The trade is so close to the lower end of its trading range there’s no wisdom in holding if it turns against the original entry 225.05.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/Nf5uJOTA-TESLA-TSLA-short-trade-found-support-and-bounced-stop-at-ent/

TESLA, TSLA, Swing trade, chart, short

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:00 AM – 20 Jun 2019

Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT, details in report upcoming. #swingtrading

swing trade, alert, TESLA, TSLA

Swing Trade Alert Feed 800 AM 20 Jun 2019 Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT #swingtrading #tradealert $TSLA

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM)

July 14 – The trading plan and price action has no significant change to the below.

Per recent;

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

MACD, Stochastic RSI, and Squeeze Momentum on daily time frame are all trending up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EEM/YVg06fnr-EMERGING-MARKETS-ETF-EEM-Long-term-swing-trade-add-at-bottom/

Emerging Markets, swing trade, chart

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:07 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target # 1, details in upcoming report

Emerging Markets, EEM, swing trade, alert

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 807 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target 1 #emergingmarkets #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN)

This swing trade obviously went exceptionally well with Allergan (AGN). See screen image capture below of swing trade alert feed.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

AGN, trade alert, swing trade

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan acquisition is ‘a major bailout’ for shareholders, according to analysts https://on.mktw.net/2X68Rqb

AGN Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for AGN: Jul 25, 2019
Allergan plc. is estimated to report earnings on 07/25/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 11 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $4.28. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $4.42.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/pEtbK4ZK-ALLERGAN-AGN-Based-on-my-best-guess-considering-historical-pri/

AGN, swing trade, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

Per recent;

ALLERGAN (AGN) Trading 130.75 up from 116.00 original alert, see video report from trading room for the trading strategy going forward on this one and / or follow support and resistance points on chart. $AGN #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

ALLERGAN, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert, AGN

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

From June 18 Report;

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan, AG, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Ironwood and Allergan Report Positive Topline Data from Phase IIIb Trial of LINZESS® #swingtrading $AGN https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ironwood-allergan-report-positive-topline-200500616.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1141170424769896452

AGN, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing trade alert feed screen capture (Twitter member alert feed) $AGN #swingtradealert

From June 17, 2019 Report:

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

The area of support just below trade (see white arrow) looks to be a key area that is likely to find support and bounce. If it does bounce then I see three areas of key snap back for bullish trade. A general trajectory of trade possible in a bullish scenario is included below with 3 white arrows. We will see how trade near term is, but I like it for a bounce to at least the first price target (first white uptrending arrow).

7 Stocks Ripe for M&A as Trade War Pushes Market Off Record Highs https://www.investopedia.com/7-stocks-ripe-for-m-and-a-as-trade-war-pushes-market-off-record-highs-4689910?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/YFig3eOl-ALLERGAN-AGN-After-significant-sell-off-this-looks-ready-for-a/

AGN, swing trade, oversold, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES (AMD)

What To Expect From AMD Earnings #swingtrading $AMD #earnings https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-amd-earnings-4692801?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

How AMD Is Positioned in the US-China Trade War https://marketrealist.com/2019/06/how-amd-is-positioned-in-the-us-china-trade-war/

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

There have been a number of entries on this swing trade in the channel (see alerts feed for details) and the trade has gone extremely well. However, with earnings near we will be watching for continued swing trade through the channel support (long) and resistance (short).

AMD, swing trade

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

Per recent;

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) has hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load at bottom of channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD – Of all the plays on radar between here and election, this is in top 10% imo. Load channel support. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMD/ngLZ4D1C-ADVANCED-MICRO-AMD-has-hit-every-upside-price-target-albeit-s/ …

Current trade pressure down in to time cycle peak, however, I expect it to turn very bullish in to October, 2019.

ADVANCED MICRO, AMD, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load bottom channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD

INTEL CORP (INTC)

INTC Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for INTC: Jul 25, 2019
Intel Corporation is expected* to report earnings on 07/25/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 15 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $0.88. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.04.

Tech earnings are a test amid tumultuous times, and all the chips are on the table #swingtrading #earnings $INTC $SPX, $ GOOGL, $FB, $MU, $DELL, $HPE, $NTAP, $AVGO, $MSFT https://on.mktw.net/2jUGA3u

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/INTC/ryb2S9jQ-INTEL-CORP-INTC-from-June-14-alert-this-swing-trade-set-up-has/

INTEL, earnings, swing trade, alert

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

Per recent;

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per June 18 Report;

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

INTEL, swing trade, alert, chart

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

Nvidia and Intel’s Mobileye Both Continue Racking Up Autonomous Driving Deals #swingtrading $INTC

https://www.thestreet.com/technology/nvidia-and-intel-s-mobileye-both-continue-racking-up-autonomous-driving-deals-14995698

INTC, swing trade, alert, screen capture

INTEL CORP (INTC) June 14 swing trade alert, up 2.69% today, swing trade in play #swingtrade $INTC

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP) Swing trade doing well from 25.39 alert hit 27.09 trading 26.71. Add at each pull back and run the trend until MACD on 4 hour turns down. #swingtrade #tradealert

Per June 18 Report;

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOP/iHcNklLO-S-P-OIL-and-Gas-ETF-XOP-From-yesterday-s-alert-bounced-2-69/

swing trade , XOP, alert, chart

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

ETFs & Stocks From Top-Ranked Sector to Buy #swingtrading $XOP

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etfs-stocks-top-ranked-sector-145902494.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw 

S&P OIL and Gas MACD cross up with double bottom, 20% move possible here. On watch for bounce. #swingtrading $XOP

XOP, swing trade, alert

S&P OIL and Gas MACD ETF swing trade alert screen image capture. #tradealert #swingtrading $XOP

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per previous;

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario, on high watch for Wed premarket $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MGI/P4Xbfc8G-MONEYGRAM-INTERNATIONAL-MGI-Up-167-today-sure-looks-like-a-b/

MGI, MONEYGRAM, swing trade, day trade, alert, chart

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

MoneyGram Soars on $50M Investment From Blockchain Startup Ripple #swingtrading $XRP $MGI https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cryptocurrency/moneygram-soars-on-ripple-investment-14994298 

BOX INC (BOX)

Per last report with video explaining trade set up, I am watching this at trading box support for a possible turn up, my bias is up but it hasn’t go moving yet so it remains on watch only.

3 Wild Card Stocks to Buy Now for Long-Term Gains https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-wild-card-stocks-buy-160344516.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Per recent;

Per alert below this is on watch, review video for trading strategy.

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOX/4U7EsUMZ-BOX-INC-BOX-Is-revving-up-again-for-a-big-move-looking-for-a/

BOX, swing trading, chart

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

The stocks listed below (and others on various other reports and alerts) will be reported on in swing trade reports over the next number of days. All stocks that we have alerted and or have trade positions and / or expect to have trade positions will be covered in the near term reports.

Part 2: Swing Trading Earnings July 17, 2019.

In case you missed my ramblins’:

Mornin’ traders #premarket thoughts, HUGE time cycle next #itisdifferentthistime #timecycles Going to be a massive two cycle ride to Dec 2019 starts soon. $VIX $SPY $GLD $SLV $BTC $CL_F $USO $DXY I knew then, I know now. This one goes down in history. Watch the reports on deck.

$GOOGL topped out in high 12s and we didn’t go back, and won’t except to short it when time is right #timecycles #premarket

Members: Do not miss this report, looking back on 2019 two of my largest size trades will be in to and out of the two time cycle peaks coming in Volatility. There is no more structured time cycles in global markets than the volatility trade.

Are we running everything yet? So, so close. You can almost hear it. Man we’re close. Gotta run the CentralZuck coin too, add that in there.

Our focus #timecycles and how they fit with #Powell #Trump war plan. It’s been clear since day one, only question is timing along the way. Report blast of the century in the works. Biggest opportunity in trading history next 5 years. $SPY $VIX $DXY $CL_F $SLV $GLD $BTC #premarket

Okay, now that we got that out of the way…

FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN)

I don’t like the idea of long trades with $GOOGL, $FB, $AMZN or $TWTR (least of the concern is Twitter). At issue, they’re going to get wacked. When? No idea. My guess, generally speaking the time frame around earnings – ish will be a tough ride for longs in $GOOGL and $FB but that is yet to be seen. $AMZN likely comes off around earnings because it will likely be sell the news. But $GOOGL and $FB more so that I think Trump and friends are likely to wack them around earnings.

I could be wrong, but hey, lets get you ready both ways so if you’re trading long or short you know your chart levels for your trading strategy.

First FACEBOOK (FB) and then in tonight’s report I will cover AMAZON (AMZN) and many other;

“To set the stage, the following chart shows how the two stocks have performed over the last five years. Amazon is the clear winner, outperforming Facebook by more than 2-to-1,”

Better Buy: Amazon vs. Facebook @themotleyfool #stocks $AMZN $FB https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/07/13/better-buy-amazon-vs-facebook.aspx

UPDATE 1-France says Facebook’s Libra not yet viable as G7 minister meet #swingtrading $FB #Libra https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-france-says-facebooks-libra-111732518.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw via @YahooFinance

FB Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for FB: Jul 24, 2019
Facebook, Inc. is expected* to report earnings on 07/24/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 13 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $1.9. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.74.

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

We have always done well trading Facebook because it is one of the most structured equities on the markets. Trade channels (yellow examples shown) and check the price action relative to the channel at the key time cycles (vertical green). Yes, it is that easy.

You can also consider the trading boxes (orange) – they provide a range, moving averages (not so much imo) and horizontal Fibonacci lines in the chart model below. The green and gray horizontal are key pivots. The diagonal Fibonacci trend lines (blue dotted) provide the framework for possible channels.

It doesn’t surprise me the upcoming time cycle peak in to July 22 is around FB earnings scheduled for July 24, 2019. If price spikes above current channel my advice is to be very cautious with long entries up and above the channel.

Anytime you are trading with a structured algorithmic chart model and trade leaves the structure you can be sure its divergent and very likely to correct back in to its natural structure. 

Your best trading strategy for Facebook earnings?

Don’t rush, don’t hold in to earnings, there is no need. And don’t rush when its in its new channel whether up or down. Let the channel establish itself and then simply starting adding in to the trend within the channel according to direction. That’s it. That strategy will return excellent ROI, you will beat the market many times over because Facebook is that good of a trading vehicle.

Let me know how you do please.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FB/ElEjZaFD-FACEBOOK-FB-trades-in-channels-yellow-examples-with-decision/

FB, Facebook, Earnings, trade, strategy

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

Per recent;

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

We will get in to Amazon and many of the others when I return to this reporting tonight (last night we got side tracked so we will resume this evening). For now, the chart below.

Part 3: Swing Trading Earnings July 22, 2019.

AMAZON (AMZN).

AMAZON (AMZN) should become a trajectory trade after earnings in to price target options show, Trade the trajectory. $AMZN #earnings #swingtrade

Per the previous post below, watch the top of the trading box resistance area on the chart just over 2100.00. As I noted prior, I am bearish Amazon but I can’t say when I think it will lose steam, I think its a geo political signalling event that could also have signals with earnings coming in short of expectations over the next number of quarters. But the timing is going to be the issue. For now, the top of the trading box is considerable resistance.

After earnings simply trade in the direction of the trajectory (see arrows on chart pointing toward price targets for April 2020). And then when the geo political issues start to ramp up and price responds then it is time to short this stock.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/rZBw8kJk-AMAZON-AMZN-should-become-a-trajectory-trade-after-earnings-in/

AMZN, Amazon, Swing Trade, earnings

AMAZON (AMZN) should become a trajectory trade after earnings in to price target options show, Trade the trajectory. $AMZN #earnings #swingtrade

The upbeat picture painted by this past week’s blowout bank earnings heralded a promising earnings season. Too bad other industries didn’t get the memo https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-21/from-tesla-to-twitter-a-guide-to-this-week-s-quarterly-reports

Per recent;

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/DrqR4aOo-AMAZON-AMZN-Weekly-structure-on-chart-says-there-is-big-resist/

AMAZON, swing trade, strategy, earnings

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

ALPHABET (GOOGL).

Google ( GOOGL ) as with AMAZON is a price trajectory trade to price target after earnings report this week #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings

As with Amazon, I think Google is going to be considerably challenged by the US government and other governments around the world. At this point I think Amazon is at most risk, with Google next, then Facebook and then Twitter. Twitter and Square may fair well, but Amazon I see at very high risk and Google at high risk. Google as with Amazon will be very good short positions when the time is right.

OK Google, tell us why your earnings growth is slowing down … hello? Anyone there? #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings https://on.mktw.net/2XQsRgU

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/sXv819en-Google-GOOGL-as-with-AMAZON-is-a-price-trajectory-trade-to-p/

GOOGL, Earnings, swing trade

Google ( GOOGL ) as with AMAZON is a price trajectory trade to price target after earnings report this week #swingtrading $GOOGL #earnings

TWITTER (TWTR)

TWITTER (TWTR) will also likely become a trajectory trade. Trading in trading box now, on watch other side of earnings. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings.

The Twitter chart structure is not nearly as good as Google, Facebook and Amazon but it may be less affected by the coming government anti-trust challenge I believe is on the horizon. Twitter is on watch for after earnings this week.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TWTR/bGuw2joE-TWITTER-TWTR-will-also-likely-become-a-trajectory-trade-Tradi/

TWITTER, TWTR, Swing Trade, Earnings

TWITTER (TWTR) will also likely become a trajectory trade. Trading in trading box now, on watch other side of earnings. $TWTR #swingtrading #earnings

JETBLUE (JBLU).

JETBLUE (JBLU) Good price action post earnings suggests 22.00 then a move to 27.00 possible therafter. #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings

Is JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Stock Undervalued Right Now? #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jetblue-airways-jblu-stock-undervalued-131001127.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JBLU/OvFJb8oB-JETBLUE-JBLU-Good-price-action-post-earnings-suggests-22-00-th/

JETBLUE, swing trade, earnings, JBLU

JETBLUE (JBLU) Good price action post earnings suggests 22.00 then a move to 27.00 possible therafter. #swingtrading $JBLU #earnings

OAKTREE (OAK).

OAKTREE (OAK) Hit primary price target from last reporting on this, now looking to 55’s earnings $OAK #swingtrade #earnings

Zacks.com featured highlights include: Guess?, Denny’s, FTI Consulting, Oaktree Capital… #swingtrading $OAK #earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/zacks-com-featured-highlights-guess-140102104.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/O8j15JUj-OAKTREE-OAK-Hit-primary-price-target-from-last-reporting-on-th/

OAKTREE, OAK, Earnings, swing trading

OAKTREE (OAK) Hit primary price target from last reporting on this, now looking to 55’s earnings $OAK #swingtrade #earnings

PLUG POWER (PLUG)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

BITCOIN (BTC)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ADESTO TECHNOLOGIES (IOTS)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

SQUARE (SQ)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

STONECO (STNE)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

PATEUM (TEUM)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ANGLO GOLD (AU)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

OIL SERVICE (OIH)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

LYFT INC (LYFT)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

Per June 18 report;

LYFT INC (LYFT) bullish chart trading 64.40 targets 75.44 Jul 5 with 68.82 resistance (trading box) #swingtrading $LYFT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

LYFT, swing trade, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

Disney resorts get a Lyft with rideshare partnership #swingtrading $LYFT $DIS https://www.bizjournals.com/losangeles/news/2019/06/18/disney-resorts-get-a-lyft-with-rideshare.html 

Thanks

Curt

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Alert, Signals, Earnings, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $PXD, $TLRY, $TSLA, $EEM, $AGN, $AMD, $INTC, $XOP, $MGI, $BOX

17
Jul 2019

Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Swing Trading Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 17, 2019. Facebook.

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch (in addition to the others in recent reporting) $FB, $AMZN, $PXD, $TLRY, $TSLA, $EEM, $AGN, $AMD, $INTC, $XOP, $MGI, $BOX, $PLUG, $BTC, $LYFT. $IOTS, $SQ, $STNE, $TEUM, $AU, $OIH.

Earnings Trade Positions Reporting Special Notes:

Last evening we intended to get all the reporting completed and got distracted with other issues, for now see below for Facebook set up and the start of Amazon set up and we will continue this reporting stream this evening for all the other earnings swing trade set ups.

Over the coming days we will be re-visiting all recent swing trade set-ups, alerts and trades in progress to reconcile the trades in advance of earnings and prepare for the new on other side of each new set up from earnings reports. This will involve a significant number of posts, trade alerts, mid day reviews in the trading room and videos that our members will receive a copy of.

Executing your swing trading strategy with our charting reports and live alerts involves using the key support and resistance areas of the charting, time cycle peaks, trajectory of trade and conventional indicators such as MACD cross-over and Moving Averages.

Alerts are not always issued at each add or trim to positions because that is simply not possible so you do have to manage your trade.

In many instances a clear swing trade strategy is laid out in the newsletter and/or videos so that you can manage the swing trade according to your risk threshold and account size.

If you struggle to establish a trading strategy with the information provided on our reporting, videos and alerts then some trade coaching is recommended to get you started.

From Part 1, Part 2 is below:

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD)

From the point of original swing trade entry 148.50 (see alert below) PXD then traded up to 157.22 (be sure you take profits on trades the go the right way) and has recently come off and closed trade Friday at 144.29. Earnings are in 23 days.

Your trading strategy (if long) may be to add at one or more of the white arrows and if trade doesn’t hold then close and repeat at the next arrow. Our swing trade strategy at this point would be this method pending price action, watch for alerts.

Which Energy Stocks Missed Oil’s Upside? #swingtrading #energy https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/which-energy-stocks-missed-oils-upside/

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/xlUEQTuy-PIONEER-NATURAL-RESOURCES-PXD-three-areas-of-support-on-240-mi/

PXD, chart, swingtrading, strategy

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) three areas of support on 240 min chart for possible bounce (white arrows) Red is trading plan price trajectory. #swingtrading

Per recent;

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) through first Fib resistance target closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

PIONEER, PXD, Swing Trade

PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES (PXD) closed Friday 155.21 up from 148.50 swing trade alert with 161.00 area first Fibonacci resistance over-head.

From Swing Trade Alert 8:22 AM – 20 Jun 2019 (screen capture of alert below);

PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model. #swingtrading #tradealert https://www.tradingview.com/chart/PXD/pwpvHlyt-PIONEER-NAT-RES-PXD-Long-PXD-148-50-for-160-98-price-target/ …

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

PIONEER RESOURCES, PXD, Swing Trade, Alert

Swing Trade Alert Screen Capture – PIONEER NAT RES (PXD) Long PXD 148.50 for 160.98 price target # 1. See model.

TILRAY (TLRY)

There is a special premium member report for this trade set up here;

Protected: TILRAY (TLRY) How to Swing Trade and Day Trade Tilray Earnings, Critical Time Cycle Dates $TLRY | Premium #tradingstrategy

Password: timec

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade.

When trade bounces out of the down trend channel below then the other chart models below will assist in your trading strategy for Tilray (TLRY).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/slhEd9Ms-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-down-trend-channel-from-highs-looking-for-a/

U.S. CBD Sales to Grow an Average of 107% Annually Through 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-cbd-sales-grow-average-130600799.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading #Cannabidiol #CBD $TLRY $CGC $KR $RAD $WBA $CVS

TILRAY, Swing Trade, Strategy, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice down trend channel from highs, looking for a bounce and another swing long #swingtrade

TLRY Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TLRY: Aug 27, 2019

https://www.nasdaq.com/earnings/report/tlry

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/s8Y7Jlzr-TILRAY-TLRY-structured-trading-model-for-swing-trading-and-day/

TLRY, TILRAY, Swing Trading, Model, Chart

TILRAY (TLRY) structured trading model for swing trading and day trading (expanded view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/b7xifziN-TILRAY-TLRY-model-with-trading-boxes-time-cycles-algorithmic/

TILRAY, trading, strategy, model

TILRAY (TLRY) model with trading boxes, time cycles, algorithmic channel trend lines for swing trading and day trading (maginfied view) $TLRY #swingtrade #charting

Per recent;

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

Add in to each resistance and add above on trajectory or add on pull-backs.

It doesn’t get much easier than this – trade by numbers (lines).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/l3zOjH4h-TILRAY-TLRY-Nice-swing-trade-from-46-10-for-49-03-PT-1-and-thr/

TILRAY, swing trade, chart, alert

TILRAY (TLRY) Nice swing trade from 46.10 for 49.03 PT 1 and thru other resistance, trading 50.45 $TLRY #swingtrade #alert

From Swing Trade Alert to Trim in to Resistance 10:12 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

TILRAY (TLRY) in to key resistance, trim in to it add above to next #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLRY/cPAkfJnL-TILRAY-TLRY-in-to-key-resistance-trim-in-to-it-add-above-to-n/ …

TILRAY, TLRY, swing trade, alert

Swing Trade Alert 1012 AM 20 Jun 2019 TILRAY (TLRY) key resistance trim in to it #swingtrading #alerts $TLRY

From Swing Trade Alert Original Entry 8:04 AM – 20 Jun 2019;

Long $TLRY 46.10 for 49.03 PT # 1 details on report to follow, see previous charting.

TESLA (TSLA)

TSLA Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TSLA: Aug 07, 2019

Tesla, Inc. is estimated to report earnings on 08/07/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 4 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $-1.55. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $-4.22.

Tesla is preparing to expand production at its electric-car factory in Fremont, California, according to an internal email #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-10/tesla-tells-staff-it-s-preparing-to-lift-output-at-fremont-plant

Tesla’s Leaked Email Is a Nightmare for Bears and Other Automakers #swingtrading $TSLA #earnings https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1150558365703180288 https://marketrealist.com/2019/07/teslas-leaked-email-is-a-nightmare-for-bears-and-other-automakers/

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

The trading strategy for swing trades in TESLA can be really simple.

The best way to swing trade TESLA is using the white arrows on the chart (these are primary support and resistance areas on the chart). When price breaches up through an arrow go long and the opposite for short. Set a stop that you are comfortable with in accordance to your risk threshold. If the trade goes your way simply trim profit at the fine detailed support and resistance areas on the chart.

If you are a more active swing trader then you can obviously look at each area of support and resistance for various sizing opportunities.

Alternatively to the above arrow trading strategy, you can also wait for a pull back to a key support or resistance and then enter (vs the brak out above or below key resistance).

The TESLA chart offers on of the best trading ranges and the key support and resistance areas work well. We have done well on numerous occasions swing trading TESLA. The most recent short wasn’t the best of the trades but focusing on the range of the trade, the general trend and the key support and resistance noted on this chart model provides for a really opportune swing trading environment given the range.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/g9PY2eeE-TESLA-TSLA-Support-and-resistance-areas-are-clearly-marked-wh/

swing trading, TESLA, earnings

TESLA (TSLA) Support and resistance areas are clearly marked (white arrows), long or short above or below trim at various res sup areas $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

Per recent;

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

This trade started off well and as a daytrade it was excellent. On the swing it is still in play but trade did bounce at support below so be sure to exit before any loss as it is on the right side still. The trade is so close to the lower end of its trading range there’s no wisdom in holding if it turns against the original entry 225.05.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/Nf5uJOTA-TESLA-TSLA-short-trade-found-support-and-bounced-stop-at-ent/

TESLA, TSLA, Swing trade, chart, short

TESLA (TSLA) short, trade found support and bounced, stop at entry, resistance test above, could go either way. $TSLA

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:00 AM – 20 Jun 2019

Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT, details in report upcoming. #swingtrading

swing trade, alert, TESLA, TSLA

Swing Trade Alert Feed 800 AM 20 Jun 2019 Short $TSLA 225.05 for 203.42 1st PT #swingtrading #tradealert $TSLA

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM)

July 14 – The trading plan and price action has no significant change to the below.

Per recent;

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

MACD, Stochastic RSI, and Squeeze Momentum on daily time frame are all trending up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EEM/YVg06fnr-EMERGING-MARKETS-ETF-EEM-Long-term-swing-trade-add-at-bottom/

Emerging Markets, swing trade, chart

EMERGING MARKETS ETF (EEM) Long term swing trade, add at bottom of channel long trim at top $EEM #swingtrade

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 8:07 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target # 1, details in upcoming report

Emerging Markets, EEM, swing trade, alert

From Swing Trade Alert Feed 807 AM – 20 Jun 2019 Long $EEM 43.06 with 45.50 Price target 1 #emergingmarkets #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN)

This swing trade obviously went exceptionally well with Allergan (AGN). See screen image capture below of swing trade alert feed.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

AGN, trade alert, swing trade

ALLERGAN (AGN) Up 36% premarket trading 168.00 from 116.00 buy alert, hitting all upside targets at key resistance, trim profits $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan acquisition is ‘a major bailout’ for shareholders, according to analysts https://on.mktw.net/2X68Rqb

AGN Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for AGN: Jul 25, 2019
Allergan plc. is estimated to report earnings on 07/25/2019. The upcoming earnings date is derived from an algorithm based on a company’s historical reporting dates.Our vendor, Zacks Investment Research, might revise this date in the future, once the company announces the actual earnings date. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 11 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $4.28. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $4.42.

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/pEtbK4ZK-ALLERGAN-AGN-Based-on-my-best-guess-considering-historical-pri/

AGN, swing trade, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) Based on my best guess considering historical price action, going forward the yellow lines provide the upper and lower price range $AGN #swingtrade

Per recent;

ALLERGAN (AGN) Trading 130.75 up from 116.00 original alert, see video report from trading room for the trading strategy going forward on this one and / or follow support and resistance points on chart. $AGN #swingtrade

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

ALLERGAN, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert, AGN

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing from 116.00 doing well trading 130.81, trim in to 136 area resistance add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

From June 18 Report;

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Allergan, AG, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) from yesterday Swing Trade Report up 4.24% today closing 120.64 trim in to 128.00 add above $AGN #swingtrade #alert

Ironwood and Allergan Report Positive Topline Data from Phase IIIb Trial of LINZESS® #swingtrading $AGN https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ironwood-allergan-report-positive-topline-200500616.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1141170424769896452

AGN, swing trade, alert

ALLERGAN (AGN) swing trade alert feed screen capture (Twitter member alert feed) $AGN #swingtradealert

From June 17, 2019 Report:

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

The area of support just below trade (see white arrow) looks to be a key area that is likely to find support and bounce. If it does bounce then I see three areas of key snap back for bullish trade. A general trajectory of trade possible in a bullish scenario is included below with 3 white arrows. We will see how trade near term is, but I like it for a bounce to at least the first price target (first white uptrending arrow).

7 Stocks Ripe for M&A as Trade War Pushes Market Off Record Highs https://www.investopedia.com/7-stocks-ripe-for-m-and-a-as-trade-war-pushes-market-off-record-highs-4689910?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AGN/YFig3eOl-ALLERGAN-AGN-After-significant-sell-off-this-looks-ready-for-a/

AGN, swing trade, oversold, chart

ALLERGAN (AGN) After significant sell-off this looks ready for a bounce near key over sold support now $AGN #swingtrade

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES (AMD)

What To Expect From AMD Earnings #swingtrading $AMD #earnings https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-from-amd-earnings-4692801?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=shareurlbuttons

How AMD Is Positioned in the US-China Trade War https://marketrealist.com/2019/06/how-amd-is-positioned-in-the-us-china-trade-war/

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

There have been a number of entries on this swing trade in the channel (see alerts feed for details) and the trade has gone extremely well. However, with earnings near we will be watching for continued swing trade through the channel support (long) and resistance (short).

AMD, swing trade

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) this has been a great channel trade, however, with earnings in 12 days we will exit and continue after in channel #swingtrade $AMD #earnings

Per recent;

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) has hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load at bottom of channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD – Of all the plays on radar between here and election, this is in top 10% imo. Load channel support. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMD/ngLZ4D1C-ADVANCED-MICRO-AMD-has-hit-every-upside-price-target-albeit-s/ …

Current trade pressure down in to time cycle peak, however, I expect it to turn very bullish in to October, 2019.

ADVANCED MICRO, AMD, Swing Trade, Chart, Alert

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit every upside price target (albeit some late) load bottom channel for 40.00 PT in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD

INTEL CORP (INTC)

INTC Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for INTC: Jul 25, 2019
Intel Corporation is expected* to report earnings on 07/25/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 15 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $0.88. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.04.

Tech earnings are a test amid tumultuous times, and all the chips are on the table #swingtrading #earnings $INTC $SPX, $ GOOGL, $FB, $MU, $DELL, $HPE, $NTAP, $AVGO, $MSFT https://on.mktw.net/2jUGA3u

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/INTC/ryb2S9jQ-INTEL-CORP-INTC-from-June-14-alert-this-swing-trade-set-up-has/

INTEL, earnings, swing trade, alert

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert this swing trade set up has done well, time to exit before earnings and return thereafter #swingtrade $INTC #earnings

Per recent;

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per June 18 Report;

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

INTEL, swing trade, alert, chart

INTEL CORP (INTC) from June 14 alert up 2.69% trading 47.37 today with MACD and SQZMOM trend up, watch 200 MA above #swingtrade $INTC

Nvidia and Intel’s Mobileye Both Continue Racking Up Autonomous Driving Deals #swingtrading $INTC

https://www.thestreet.com/technology/nvidia-and-intel-s-mobileye-both-continue-racking-up-autonomous-driving-deals-14995698

INTC, swing trade, alert, screen capture

INTEL CORP (INTC) June 14 swing trade alert, up 2.69% today, swing trade in play #swingtrade $INTC

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP) Swing trade doing well from 25.39 alert hit 27.09 trading 26.71. Add at each pull back and run the trend until MACD on 4 hour turns down. #swingtrade #tradealert

Per June 18 Report;

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOP/iHcNklLO-S-P-OIL-and-Gas-ETF-XOP-From-yesterday-s-alert-bounced-2-69/

swing trade , XOP, alert, chart

S&P OIL and Gas ETF (XOP). From yesterday’s alert bounced 2.69% today, MACD confirming, model to follow for trade strategy #swingtrading $XOP

ETFs & Stocks From Top-Ranked Sector to Buy #swingtrading $XOP

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etfs-stocks-top-ranked-sector-145902494.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw 

S&P OIL and Gas MACD cross up with double bottom, 20% move possible here. On watch for bounce. #swingtrading $XOP

XOP, swing trade, alert

S&P OIL and Gas MACD ETF swing trade alert screen image capture. #tradealert #swingtrading $XOP

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI)

July 14 – No considerable change, see previous posts below.

June 24 – See Video for swing trading strategy.

Per previous;

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario, on high watch for Wed premarket $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MGI/P4Xbfc8G-MONEYGRAM-INTERNATIONAL-MGI-Up-167-today-sure-looks-like-a-b/

MGI, MONEYGRAM, swing trade, day trade, alert, chart

MONEYGRAM INTERNATIONAL (MGI) Up 167% today, sure looks like a bottom pattern, 200 MA on weekly minimum price target in continuation scenario $MGI #swingtrade #daytrade #alert

MoneyGram Soars on $50M Investment From Blockchain Startup Ripple #swingtrading $XRP $MGI https://www.thestreet.com/investing/cryptocurrency/moneygram-soars-on-ripple-investment-14994298 

BOX INC (BOX)

Per last report with video explaining trade set up, I am watching this at trading box support for a possible turn up, my bias is up but it hasn’t go moving yet so it remains on watch only.

3 Wild Card Stocks to Buy Now for Long-Term Gains https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-wild-card-stocks-buy-160344516.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Per recent;

Per alert below this is on watch, review video for trading strategy.

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOX/4U7EsUMZ-BOX-INC-BOX-Is-revving-up-again-for-a-big-move-looking-for-a/

BOX, swing trading, chart

BOX INC (BOX) Is revving up again for a big move, looking for a possible move to 23.00, fast $BOX #Swingtrading #tradealerts

The stocks listed below (and others on various other reports and alerts) will be reported on in swing trade reports over the next number of days. All stocks that we have alerted and or have trade positions and / or expect to have trade positions will be covered in the near term reports.

Part 2: Swing Trading Earnings July 17, 2019.

In case you missed my ramblins’:

Mornin’ traders #premarket thoughts, HUGE time cycle next #itisdifferentthistime #timecycles Going to be a massive two cycle ride to Dec 2019 starts soon. $VIX $SPY $GLD $SLV $BTC $CL_F $USO $DXY I knew then, I know now. This one goes down in history. Watch the reports on deck.

$GOOGL topped out in high 12s and we didn’t go back, and won’t except to short it when time is right #timecycles #premarket

Members: Do not miss this report, looking back on 2019 two of my largest size trades will be in to and out of the two time cycle peaks coming in Volatility. There is no more structured time cycles in global markets than the volatility trade.

Are we running everything yet? So, so close. You can almost hear it. Man we’re close. Gotta run the CentralZuck coin too, add that in there.

Our focus #timecycles and how they fit with #Powell #Trump war plan. It’s been clear since day one, only question is timing along the way. Report blast of the century in the works. Biggest opportunity in trading history next 5 years. $SPY $VIX $DXY $CL_F $SLV $GLD $BTC #premarket

Okay, now that we got that out of the way…

FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN)

I don’t like the idea of long trades with $GOOGL, $FB, $AMZN or $TWTR (least of the concern is Twitter). At issue, they’re going to get wacked. When? No idea. My guess, generally speaking the time frame around earnings – ish will be a tough ride for longs in $GOOGL and $FB but that is yet to be seen. $AMZN likely comes off around earnings because it will likely be sell the news. But $GOOGL and $FB more so that I think Trump and friends are likely to wack them around earnings.

I could be wrong, but hey, lets get you ready both ways so if you’re trading long or short you know your chart levels for your trading strategy.

First FACEBOOK (FB) and then in tonight’s report I will cover AMAZON (AMZN) and many other;

“To set the stage, the following chart shows how the two stocks have performed over the last five years. Amazon is the clear winner, outperforming Facebook by more than 2-to-1,”

Better Buy: Amazon vs. Facebook @themotleyfool #stocks $AMZN $FB https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/07/13/better-buy-amazon-vs-facebook.aspx

UPDATE 1-France says Facebook’s Libra not yet viable as G7 minister meet #swingtrading $FB #Libra https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-france-says-facebooks-libra-111732518.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw via @YahooFinance

FB Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for FB: Jul 24, 2019
Facebook, Inc. is expected* to report earnings on 07/24/2019 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 13 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $1.9. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.74.

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

We have always done well trading Facebook because it is one of the most structured equities on the markets. Trade channels (yellow examples shown) and check the price action relative to the channel at the key time cycles (vertical green). Yes, it is that easy.

You can also consider the trading boxes (orange) – they provide a range, moving averages (not so much imo) and horizontal Fibonacci lines in the chart model below. The green and gray horizontal are key pivots. The diagonal Fibonacci trend lines (blue dotted) provide the framework for possible channels.

It doesn’t surprise me the upcoming time cycle peak in to July 22 is around FB earnings scheduled for July 24, 2019. If price spikes above current channel my advice is to be very cautious with long entries up and above the channel.

Anytime you are trading with a structured algorithmic chart model and trade leaves the structure you can be sure its divergent and very likely to correct back in to its natural structure. 

Your best trading strategy for Facebook earnings?

Don’t rush, don’t hold in to earnings, there is no need. And don’t rush when its in its new channel whether up or down. Let the channel establish itself and then simply starting adding in to the trend within the channel according to direction. That’s it. That strategy will return excellent ROI, you will beat the market many times over because Facebook is that good of a trading vehicle.

Let me know how you do please.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FB/ElEjZaFD-FACEBOOK-FB-trades-in-channels-yellow-examples-with-decision/

FB, Facebook, Earnings, trade, strategy

FACEBOOK (FB) trades in channels (yellow examples) with decisions around time cycles (green vertical) $FB #swingtrade #earnings #strategy

Per recent;

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

We will get in to Amazon and many of the others when I return to this reporting tonight (last night we got side tracked so we will resume this evening). For now, the chart below.

AMAZON (AMZN).

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/DrqR4aOo-AMAZON-AMZN-Weekly-structure-on-chart-says-there-is-big-resist/

AMAZON, swing trade, strategy, earnings

AMAZON (AMZN) Weekly structure on chart says there is big resistance coming at top of trading box $AMZN #swingtrading #earnings

PLUG POWER (PLUG)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

BITCOIN (BTC)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ADESTO TECHNOLOGIES (IOTS)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

SQUARE (SQ)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

STONECO (STNE)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

PATEUM (TEUM)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

ANGLO GOLD (AU)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

OIL SERVICE (OIH)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

LYFT INC (LYFT)

June 24, 2019 – Review video for trading strategy in detail.

Per June 18 report;

LYFT INC (LYFT) bullish chart trading 64.40 targets 75.44 Jul 5 with 68.82 resistance (trading box) #swingtrading $LYFT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

LYFT, swing trade, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LYFT/jgN6RIVC-LYFT-INC-LYFT-bullish-chart-trading-64-40-targets-75-44-Jul-5/

Disney resorts get a Lyft with rideshare partnership #swingtrading $LYFT $DIS https://www.bizjournals.com/losangeles/news/2019/06/18/disney-resorts-get-a-lyft-with-rideshare.html 

Thanks

Curt

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Alert, Signals, Earnings, $AMZN, $FB, $PXD, $TLRY, $TSLA, $EEM, $AGN, $AMD, $INTC, $XOP, $MGI, $BOX

07
Jul 2019

Swing Trading Strategies | SP500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY | July 7 Premium #timecycles

Swing Newsletters, Swing Trading, Swing Trading Signals , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Special Time Cycle Swing Trade Report With Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 7, 2019.

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch; S&P 500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY.

Review this Twitter thread as I commented some on each model below;

Working models tonight… that week of Oct 21, 19 time cycle peak… theres an inflection wk of Aug 5, 19 (but not near the size), Oct 21 is massive. Remember one I told u bout in to last Dec 24? This one has fire power potential 2B 2x size $SPY $VIX $USO $CL_F $DXY #timecycles

SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrade #Daytrade

The resistance overhead is key, if trade runs through it you can expect that to be possible support for continued run in to upper price target. This structured model has been quite consistent and is proving to be a decent swing trading guide for positioning of size through a move.

In this specific instance, the peak in to week of Oct 21 is broad global markets, SPY specifically is Sept 9 – Oct 4, so its a little earlier for some reason. VIX is Oct 21 week though.

A strong economy and Fed rate cuts: The stock market wants to ‘have its cake and eat it, too’ https://on.mktw.net/2YAQZk8

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/mHs8Tpj5-SP500-SPY-Following-our-upper-price-target-trajectory-scenario/

SPY, SP500, swing trade, chart

SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading

Watch the first time cycle inflection in to Aug 5 week and then the large time cycle based on symmetry in to week of October 21, 2019.

ha one last note, its a wild card note, if $VIX got going it has a peak possible at 58.17 Oct 21, 2019 lol. Unlikely, but just saying, it has that in nitros available in the tank during that time frame, should a wild card scenario play out. #timecycles #volatility

Fed rate cut in question after June jobs report beat https://finance.yahoo.com/video/fed-rate-cut-june-jobs-183234715.html?.tsrc=rss

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XBVYpDNr-VIX-The-symmetry-in-previous-time-cycle-peaks-is-amazing-watch/

VIX, swing trading, Volatility

VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading

GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F

Of course if you’re using it as a hedge or store of value completely different story, but timing your entries in to Gold is well done with that channel between red lines on Monthly chart below.

Gold has time cycles peaking weeks of Aug 1 2019 (small), Feb 3 2020 (moderate), Aug 3 2020 (peak – large cycle peak). That far out however, you have to check back as we get closer as the timing can shift (a few months out we can nail it down exact) #Gold $GLD $XAUUSD #timecycles

Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-crisis-reborn-2020-081448073.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/JtZbID9u-GOLD-If-you-re-swing-trading-Gold-use-patience-and-trade-the-cha/

Gold, swing trade, chart

GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F

SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver

Silver Sees Largest Daily ETF Inflow In A Year: BMO https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-07-04/Gold-Silver-Precious-Metals-Daily-News-Briefs.html

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/MdA3e6j5-SILVER-Weekly-chart-seems-to-imply-a-break-sometime-in-advance-o/

Silver, Swing Trading, Chart

SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver

BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Using other chart models on our Bitcoin report there are other not so static ways to swing trade the Bitcoin move, however, testing longs anytime price returns to that bowl trajectory seems moderately reasonable.

Oh, and Bitcoin’s time cycle peak is week of Dec 17, 2019. $BTC #timecycles

US Dominates Bitcoin Twitter Discussion, Sentiment Towards Facebook’s Libra is Sinking — Report $FB $BTC #Libra https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2019/07/us-dominates-bitcoin-twitter-discussion-sentiment-towards-facebook-s-libra-is-sinking-report/#.XSKfJRyeeik.twitter

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/Ws3TnAcC-BITCOIN-BTC-One-way-to-swing-trade-it-there-are-others-in-our/

Bitcoin, swing trade

BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading

#Oil interesting because unlike recent time cycles where it was near same as market indices cycles (last Dec), it is off this cycle, Wk of Sept 23, 19 is an inflection with time cycle peak Jan 6, 20. Recent time cycle bottom June 10, 19 per our reports. #OOTT #timecycles $CL_F

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/k8HsOzSN-Crude-Oil-Weekly-Chart-is-really-interesting-because-14-out-of-l/

Crude Oil, Swing Trading

Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading

US Dollar Index (DXY) Aug 5 2019 Mar 30 202 are the time cycles to watch, still trades around pivot $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/21R9HcKO-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Aug-5-2019-Mar-30-202-are-the-time-cycles/

US Dollar, swing trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/21R9HcKO-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Aug-5-2019-Mar-30-202-are-the-time-cycles/

Thanks

Curt

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Signals, SP500, $SPY, Volatility, $VIX, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Bitcoin, $BTC, Oil, $USO, US Dollar, $DXY, time cycles

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