Short Instructional Oil Trading Strategy Article and Video.

Exactly How We Executed Day Trade for Price Reversal Intra day Oil Trade.

This strategy works for us over and over again and is alerted to our premium oil trade alert feed and in the oil trading room.

The video and article highlight the algorithmic model charting but the disciplines of trade can also be applied to conventional or classical charting when day trading crude oil.

VIDEO: Day Trading Crude Oil Intra Day Price Reversals – Oil Trading Room, “How To” Instructional.

We start below with a screen capture of the oil trading room, with a trade alert at 10:59 AM EST on watch for the support coming at the 1 hour oil charting support area of 35.37.

Intra-day oil price actually hit exactly that price and then oil price reversed for the trade to trigger. You can see clearly the signal price target perfect hit if you look 3 images down you can see it clearly on the 15 second day trading chart (1 minute trading model brought down to 15 second time frame).

oil trading room, trade, strategies

Oil Trading Room – trade strategies discussed, 35.37 seems to be the decision support area on the 1 hour crude oil symmetry model.

The one hour algorithmic oil chart below is the chart that was referenced in the oil trading alert to be on watch for the price reversal expected at 35.37.

We are intent on building the best oil trading room and alert service in the world, this proprietary modeling is one example of the edge our oil traders have.

You can read more about the 8700 rules our oil trading software uses to execute trades here. 

oil trading room, trade n watch

35.37 seems to be the decision support area on the 1 hour crude oil symmetry model

The chart below is the 1 minute oil daytrading model our traders use.

It is a machine grid and in the image below it is brought down to a 15 second time frame to show our traders how the software executes to the signal of progressive volume on the chart volume bars on the 15 second timeframe.

If you look at specifically where the trade long was started you will see the increased volume on 3 x 15 second time frames for the software to alert the trade to our subscribers.

Additionally, not shown, the software also requires progressive machine liquidity order flow buying identified on the EPIC IDENT system (also proprietary that you can read more about in the white paper link above).

Also you will notice that the set-up included a double bottom in oil trading price intra-day.

And finally on this chart you will see that price was using the one minute chart model support (see blue and red horizontal lines on chart).

Those four signals (progressive volume, progressive machine buying, double bottom, one minute support on chart model) created a strong enough signal to alert and execute the trade in the trading room and alert to the various feeds. The one hour support as show above also was considered in the probability analysis for execution of the trade.

For additional signals I recently wrote another oil day trading article you can find if you click here.

1 minute, daytrading, crude oil

Oil trading strategy set-up – double bottom price intra day on 1 minute chart support (shown on 15 sec time frame) #oiltradingsetups

The five minute chart model includes time cycles for daytrading crude oil.

In this trading strategy the mid cycle point was hit perfectly on the chart at 11:00 AM. You can see that the price of oil hit the mid cycle perfectly and bounced to VWAP area and then double bottomed for the alert to be sent out to members for the trade.

Time cycles are critical in crude oil trading strategies because most of the oil trading liquidity in world markets is now traded by machines and knowing how the machines are executing trades is key. One the primary methods machines use to trade is time cycles. The video provides more in depth discussion.

5 minute, oil, daytrading, strategy

Oil trading strategy set-up on 30 minute EPIC model a perfect hit to key support (trading box of quad) #daytradingoil

The EPIC ALGORTHM 30 minute chart model is shown below and the key support discussed in the video is marked with a white arrow below.

As described in the video, another key trigger for this oil trading strategy intra-day was the key support on the 30 minute chart time frame. 

Also, in the video I discuss how trade had bounced progressively “up the stairs” of each support on the chart model, this is a strong signal for the trading strategy.

oil, trading, strategies

Oil trading strategy set-up on 30 minute EPIC model a perfect hit to key support (trading box of quad) #daytradingoil

And on the one hour chart below you can see the result of a well executed oil trading strategy, the trade went flawlessly and with ease. Intra-day oil trading without a lot of stress.

oil, price target, chart

Oil trading strategy set-up on hourly symmetry chart – price support at trajectory line to oil price target #oiltradesetups

Other Links:

There is also a live raw video link of the Oil Trading Room live alerted trade as it happened – click here.

Link to screen shot of Oil Trade Alerts for this trade of Premium User Twitter feed click here.

Click here to Subscribe to Live Oil Trading Alerts: Use Code “TRIAL50” for 50% off.

Click here to Subscribe to Oil Trading Room: Use Code “TRIAL50” for 50% off.

Link to Free Articles on “How To” Day Trade Crude Oil here.

Any questions about the oil trading strategies reviewed in this article send me an email anytime at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

Article Topics; oil trading strategies, daytrading, crude oil, oil trading room, signals, trade alerts. 

 


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Trading the Trend Line Break-Out for an Intra-Day Run-Up of 200 Points Happened Today in Oil Markets.

Below is a Step by Step Simple Guide of How To Trade this Strategy in Crude Oil.

Today crude oil broke out bullish in intra day trade of a trend line resistance. This simple step by step guide will help you get the big wins when they count.

I didn’t take the trade. I had alerted the trade set up to our oil trading room members on the alerts feed, and DID NOT TAKE THE TRADE, ugh.

But, not every trader takes every trade.

Below is a screen capture of the oil trading alerts feed – one of the intraday communications to our members about the intraday bullish set-up developing.

“So what I’m saying is I don’t think intra day shorting is a best practice idea while this possible squeeze is threatening shorts, it could be very bad for shorts, especially with a blow off in to 30 31s possible, see upper arches (gray).”

oil trading alerts, intraday, strategies

Oil trading alert to oil trading room members to be cautious of a bullish squeeze setting up intraday. #oiltradingalerts

Below are the tips and steps for you to follow.

Part 1 of this article explains the conventional charting for this set up and how to trade the basics of the strategy.

Part 2 provides further technical insight for our oil trading room and alert members – it will be sent out to members in about an hour. Part 2 also includes algorithmic levels, price extensions, Fibonacci levels, price targets and time cycles.

First, lets look at the trend line set-up trade on an oil chart.

CHART – Simple Crude Oil Intraday Trading Strategy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/4NwRGsPg-Simple-Oil-Trendline-Break-Out-Strategy-OOTT-CL-F-USO/

The simple one hour crude oil chart below shows you the trend line resistance and intraday trade action when trade broke out #intraday #crudeoiltrading

The simple one hour crude oil chart below shows you the trend line resistance and intraday trade action when trade broke out #intraday #crudeoiltrading

 Steps to Trade an Intra Day Crude Oil Trend-Line Break Out:

  1. Chart the Set-up.
    • Oil traders should be constantly charting trend lines on whatever time-frame they are trading. In this instance I charted the trend line resistance on a one hour chart.
  2. Three Possible Trade Scenarios When Price Breaks Out.
    • The break out fails. This is possible so be sure to use stops or reverse your trade if the break out of resistance fails.
    • The break out succeeds and price keeps running without a retest of previous resistance (now support). If price does not come back to test support of the trendline then you have to be prepared to take the trade long and go with price action.
    • And finally, price breaks out of resistance and then comes back to retest the new support (which was previously the resistance of the trendline structure).
  3. Trade Price Action.
    • In this example, crude oil price intraday broke out of the trend line resistance and then retested the level and then continued for a bullish 200 point run up in price. When the retest happened and support held, this was your golden opportunity for massive gains to your P&L.

So that is what a simple strategy in crude oil intraday trading looks like.

It comes down to always be charting your intraday price action and learning how these set-ups work. And then simply managing your trade execution with trade size management, technical levels, stops and sound thinking.

As a last side-note, I will say that ideally you want to get the trade started at the support of the actual structure of the set-up (as shown in the EPIC tweet below), however, this is more advanced and I will discuss in detail in Part 2 of this article.

Power of trend line price breakouts from a trading structure support, crude oil intraday near 200 points from oil trade alert buys earlier #OOTT $CL_F $USO #oiltradealerts EPIC V3.1.1 software was in deep at 24/30 size in position trading, very large size. Lead trader was also.

This trade set-up strategy was the day after the EIA report on Wednesday, for other simple intraday strategies visit our website. For a more in depth look at intraday crude oil trading strategies try this article (click here).

VIDEO – Simple Crude Oil Intraday Trading Strategy – Trading Trend Line Resistance Break. #OOTT $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO

Thanks for joining us in our trading journey, we endeavor to build the best winning oil trading alerts and oil trading room service for oil traders.

Part 2 of this article is here:

Protected: What’s Next? Crude Oil Trading Strategy – Trading Trend Line Resistance Break-Outs (PREMIUM, Part 2) #CrudeOil #TimeCycles #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Any questions please send me a note via email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thank you.

Curt

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; simple oil, intraday, strategies, trend line, break outs, trade, day trading, crude oil, trade alerts. 

 


EPIC V3.1 Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Code Upgrade Details | White Paper Update 

April 19, 2020

EPIC crude oil machine trading software is a proprietary software development project with an aim to trade crude oil futures. Historical reference can be found at the linked document below.

Click here for the original white paper drafts for EPIC V3 Crude Oil Machine Trade Software.

This white paper update is specific to the EPIC V3.1 software coding update completed for live trade use commencing April 19, 2020.

Purpose of Software Update

In recent crude oil futures trade, specifically since the COVID-19 black swan event, the trading price range and volatility of oil trade (OVX) has been divergent of historical structure.

See chart below: Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

crude oil, volatility, OVX

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

Impact to Software

The volatility in trade and the range of price negatively impacts the smaller range of accounts our software may trade at any given time. More specifically any account trading CL futures less than 10 contracts or approximately 100,000.00 in size is at significant risk. At 10 contract size to 30 contract size the risk is considerably mitigated but still present and at 30 contract size or greater the risk is almost completely eliminated.

While markets are functioning within historical normal trading ranges this is not the case, a 10 contract size account is at very low risk with EPIC V3 software and micro accounts (anything smaller than 10 contracts) there is moderate to considerable risk (the smaller the account the more risk).

Remedy of Risk

Our coding team has performed an update to the EPIC V3 software to trade a base account size of 30 contracts (300,000.00 USD or greater) to allow for greater range of trading price and volatility.

The software instructions for the most part have not changed, the original EPIC V3 protocols remain per previous white paper linked above – at the start of this document.

What is different is simply the size of account as the base case instructional presumption within the code which allows for the software to trigger in smaller “dot plots” within various trading ranges and structure.

Projected Returns

The projected returns annually are expected to drop to a base case scenario of +-40% in an extremely volatile market as we are witnessing since the on-set of COVID-19, however, in times of less volatility we expect this will significantly advantage the EPIC V3.1 updated software and annual returns are expected to well exceed EPIC V3 software coded for a 10 contract base case scenario.

Put simply, the larger the account the more advantaged (refer to the original white paper for further code instruction detail).

At times when crude oil trading price range and volatility return to “normal” conditions we expect returns to easily exceed 100% per annum, however, all return expectations at this juncture are only predicted results based on in-lab testing and not real-world trade. All return estimations and projections are simply theoretical until proven otherwise.  

Our oil trade alert clients can refer to the document below for more detail pertaining to the alerts service;

April 19, 2020 Oil Trade Alert Client Memorandum: Important Note: Oil Traders, Live Alerts, Trading Room, Machine Trading #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO #tradealerts

Business Inquiries.

For information about oil trade alerts, oil trading room and oil trade reporting contact Compound Trading Group at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

For information about automated machine trading platforms contact our agent representative Richard Regan as follows:

CONTACT
Email richr@sovoron.com
Phone 1-849-861-0697

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Article Topics; Crude, Oil, Trading, Algorithm, Machine Trading, DayTrading, Futures, EPIC, Trade Alerts, Oil Trading Room, $CL_F, $USO, $USOIL


85%+- Returns: Real-World Trade Performance and Why ROI Is Expected to Grow.

December 29, 2019 2:35 PM EST EPIC v3 Oil Trading Software Update.

Updates for this document series can be found here:

Draft white paper outlining key reasons EPIC v3 oil futures machine trading software outperforms conventional trading methods:

  1. Lightening Fast Decisions. EPIC crude oil trading software executes trades to over 8700 weighted decisions instantly. The instructions provided within the architecture is growing daily. A human trader cannot make decisions as quickly, cannot process the data required for most intelligent trading probabilities and cannot execute trades as precisely.
  2. Algorithmic Chart Models. The EPIC software includes over thirty proprietary algorithmic chart models and the catalogue is growing. The algorithmic models have been designed, tested and refined in real-world trade for over 3 years by a team of day traders, each with over 20 years of experience. The oil trading models represent all time-frames from 15 second to monthly time-frames of trade. The algorithmic models have been back-tested to sixty months historically.
  3. Conventional Charting. The software includes conventional charting structures on all time-frames, also back-tested sixty months.
  4. Common Trade Set-Ups. Included in the software are common trade set-ups that oil day traders implement. This is dynamic and additions are made regularly to the software code reflecting current structured trade set-ups.
  5. Order Flow. EPIC IDENT™ is data-driven order flow intelligence in real-time to achieve best outcomes.The software includes and executes to a proprietary order flow identification system that tracks behavior (specifically isolating other market machine liquidity) and weighs identified entities and historical trade patterns to its trade decisions (instructions). EPIC IDENT™ increases its intelligence as it gathers data intra-day specific to liquidity flow, historical patterns, time of day, volatility, various preferences, latency, rejects and more. The method is similar to back-testing charting, however, the process is real-time. In short the software is looking for “fingerprints” within market liquidity. We cannot back-test 60 months as with charting but back-testing from date of software inception is possible.
  6. Time Cycles. Time cycles are within all algorithmic and conventional trading model structures, order flow also has identified time cycles and other time cycle events such as weekly reporting in oil markets such as API, EIA and rig counts. Additionally there are time-of day market time cycles around the world. Time-cycles are included in the software architecture.
  7. ROI Trajectory “Game”. The software has a “game” element in that it is designed to continue its most recent ROI trajectory (or return to its trajectory of ROI should it have a draw-down period). In other words, if the trajectory of ROI is for example 100% and it draws-down to 80% it then will “weigh” trade decisions more to the most probable trade set-ups until the ROI trajectory is returned. It also will push its decision “weight” to exceed the current ROI trajectory to establish a better ROI to which it is then “obligated” to maintain and correct to, hence the expectation that the ROI will continue to improve over time. This is the “machine learning” component of development. We are finding that the software is discovering increasingly more creative ways to “game” the ROI return trajectory. This Sept 4, 2019 document details an insider look at this topic within development. Edited Sept 5, Draw-Down Oil Daytrading Session: Question and Answer Review | EPIC V3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Software.

Combined, these advantages enable the EPIC v3 Crude Oil Trading software to outperform conventional trading methods.

Introduction.

The world of public market trade is rapidly changing. It is estimated (depending on source) that over 80% of crude oil futures are not traded by humans and are now traded by machine.

Machine trade may be simple bot style software, high-frequency software or more sophisticated architecture as with the EPIC v3 class of algorithm. 

Our team commenced the oil trading software development journey four years ago with algorithmic chart model development. From day one we employed computer scientists to work with us on a daily basis to build software emulating our trading methods.

Over time the software started to win more trades than our traders and today we rely almost solely on the software to execute trades. We simply “tweak” the software at each trade sequence to improve performance.

EPIC v3 software is our 3rd generation oil trading software. EPIC v1 tested returns at about 20% per annum, EPIC v2 at 40% per annum and EPIC v4 architecture was too aggressive for our risk threshold. We settled on EPIC v3 about ten weeks ago and have been refining its code trade by trade since.

The current EPIC v3 win-rate consistently comes in at +-90% per trade sequence (variable by +-7%).

The current EPIC return is projected at 85% per year (and has been as high as 140%) – based on real world performance (audited trades available) and is expected to increase over time. The current period of time spans approximately six months and includes hundreds of trade executions (nearing thousands). 

For December 27, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily =$331. YTD +$40,275. Projected $84,973 or 85% Per Annum. EPIC v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account (live video, time stamped alerts, v3 audited P&L available) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #oiltradingroom #oiltradealerts

EPIC, oil, algorithm, returns

For December 27, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily =$331. YTD +$40,275. Projected $84,973 or 85% Per Annum. EPIC v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #oiltradingroom #oiltradealerts

For October 4, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily +$1,838. YTD +$34,218. Projected $140,331 or 140% Per Annum. EPIC v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account (live video, time stamped alerts, v3 audited P&L available) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #oiltradingroom #oiltradealerts

Oil, trading, returns

Oct 4, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily +$1,838. YTD +$34,218. Projected $140,331 140% Per Annum. EPIC v3 Oil Machine Trade #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #oiltradingroom #oiltradealerts

Account Size – ROI and Draw-Down Volatility.

The smaller the account size traded the more difficult it is for the software to limit risk to down-side and provide optimum returns, however, most recently considerable advancements in the software should limit the draw-down with smaller accounts considerably.

The software is designed to trade within a sequence of trade within structures or set-ups. As the oil market price changes, the software trading logic uses all the different data to update the decision tree utilizing the instruction rule-set.

You can imagine this as a dot plot process similar to the game “go” – not exactly, but the concept helps to visualize how the software plots a sequence plan for trade.

The “ebb and flow” of regular oil market trade allows opportunity for the software to plot a plan of trade within a sequence, the larger the account the more dots can be plotted (trades can be “bite sized” entries within an “ebb and flow”).

The sample account size for the purpose of this document is at the smallest range, being 100,000.00. A 1,000,000.00 account would expect approximately half the volatility / draw-down exposure and up to 50% more return. A 10,000,000.00 account would be considerably more stable to draw-down risk and potential returns and so on.

Draw-down Protocol.

During any particular 24 hour trading period the EPIC v3 software protocol (as of October 6, 2019 updates) expects on average draw-down no more than as follows;

  • Account size and average 24 hour drawdown 10,000,000.00 = 1.5 %, 1,000,000.00 = 3%, 100,000.00 = 6%, 50,000.00 = 12%, 25,000.00 = 24%.

Hard stop architecture is also available, however, the annual expectation of returns would be significantly less than represented in the current real-world trade example above. 

Real-World Trader / Investor Use.

In real-world examples the EPIC v3 oil trading software is being used daily by oil traders as an additional indicator and / or as an auto  trading mechanism.

Examples include the Compound Trading Group live oil trading room (live broadcast of trades via voice and charts), live alert service via Twitter and Discord private server feeds and regular Oil Trading Reports that include algorithmic and conventional chart structures and guidance.

Additionally, SOVORON™ uses our data flow to integrate to their platform. SOVORON™ ‘Algorithmic machine trading of your personal Crude Oil Futures exchange account’. See www.sovoron.com for information. 

Architecture of API Trade.

EPIC v3 software is designed to be deployed remotely – accessing an account and executing trades. This provides the account holder with ultimate control. The account holder grants the software access and the software executes machine trades to the account. The account holder can turn on or off access at any time. Architecture provides opportunity for decentralized platform integration.

Documentation.

Video. Our team traders and engineers have live video recording of the trading sessions with EPIC v3 software within a trading room environment.

Trader and Developer Repository. We provide guidance to our subscriber (paywall) clients in a Discord private server (charts and trade set-up explanations) in a real-time environment. The private server acts as a repository for our developers and our trading service (paywall) clients.

Live Trade Alerts. All trades have been broadcast over mic in a live trading room (recorded as mentioned above) and most have been alerted by way of text instruction to the Discord private server and/or private Twitter feed for time-stamped evidence.

Broker Accounts. The EPIC v3 trades are real-world trades and as such broker profit and loss statements can be made available.

Client Reporting. We provide regular reporting to our trading service clients (paywall) that explains the process of execution by the software. Examples of the guidance provided, trade alerts issued, Discord private server discussions and live trading room video can be found in this document (which is one of many published) Daytrading Crude Oil in Oil Trading Room: 6 Trades, 6 Wins. How We Did It | Alerts, Strategies, Video, Charts. This document provides a standard update document provided to our clients Protected: Crude Oil Trading Report Strategies | Alerts, Signals, Charts, Algorithms, Trading Room, P&L | Premium | Sept 2, 2019 use password CLTRADER.

Conclusion.

This paper outlines the opportunity that change in machine trade within global finance markets presents.

Competitors within the machine trade industry are becoming more and more refined / successful – the best in class are assumed to be winning a larger portion of proceeds.

The most significant immediate challenge developers face in machine trade within financial markets is building a product that can win within a prescribed threshold of stability limiting down-side and yet over-perform conventional trading methods. 

Soon thereafter the challenge becomes competing against “like-kind” machine trade peers and being best in class.

It is our expectation that fewer and fewer competitors will achieve more of the proceeds (as a whole of trade in public markets) at an exponential rate, which does provide urgency to development and deployment.

The EPIC v3 trading software achieves consistent, predictable and very adaptable architecture that provides exceptional ROI potential.

Business Inquiries.

For information about oil trade alerts, oil trading room and oil trade reporting contact Compound Trading Group at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

For information about automated machine trading platforms contact our agent representative Richard Regan as follows:

CONTACT US
Email richr@sovoron.com
Phone 1-849-861-0697

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document revised September 24, 2019 9:22 PM EST

document revised October 6, 2019 2:00 PM EST

document revised December 29, 2019 2:35 PM EST

Article Topics; Crude, Oil, Trading, Algorithm, Machine Learning, DayTrading, Futures, EPIC, Trade Alerts, Oil Trading Room, $CL_F $USO

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