12
Feb 2017
$GDX, Swing, Trade, Gain, Stock, Picks

Member Weekly Swing Trading Stock Picks Update Feb 12 $OAK, $JUNO, $CBMX, $AMS, $GDX, $GOOGL, $AMZN and more.

Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading weekly swing trading stock picks memo for the

Member Weekly Swing Trading Stock Picks Update Feb 12 $OAK, $JUNO, $CBMX, $AMS, $GDX, $GOOGL, $AMZN and more.

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading weekly swing trading stock picks memo for the week of Feb 12, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

A big Congratulations Swing Trade Members! Wow what a start to 2017!!!

Things have been going extremely well in our Swing Trading service – I have received a lot of mail recently (and had various conversations with members), that’s great to hear!

We have absolutely murdered the stock picks since the beginning of 2017! So much so that we are having to scramble now for new picks! Well not really, remember at the beginning of the year I told you we actually had fifty we were working on:)

We didn’t expect that kind of result however! So this week we will be completely updating our stock picks for next Monday Feb 20, 2017 (we thought this would be quarterly) and we will share this success with the world (unlocking much of this post and re-locking the next update for our members).

We have surveyed many members about our weekly update formats, and it is obvious from the members we have spoken to that they like the “journal” method we’ve started in 2017, so we are going to keep this format. Basically it is a journal format where we simply update the picks as we go and leave previous comments. Members seem to appreciate the transparency and being able to follow along with the progression of each stock pick, the charts and more. It also makes it easier for new swing trade members as they come aboard to get up to speed quickly.

It is important to note the other charts below may or may not been updated since being first posted or post most recent report, so be sure to look up most recent trading ranges on a chart before considering trades.

Any updates below specific to this week are highlighted in red to simplify the process for you.

And finally (per previous) we are at an inflection point and we are waiting for test areas in metals to play out here soon – as soon as those decisions do we will have a number of recommendations we are going to add to this.

This Swing Report is in Development – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

Oh, and the updates most often will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

Feb 12, 2017 – We still like the $GOOGL stock / chart. Price recently broke to the upside of the triangle and didn’t hold but is threatening to trade above again at Friday close. We’re watching for an upside break that holds for an entry or a visit to the 200 MA (pink line) for an entry.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: We expect a signal from the Trump camp soon (late this week), and if positive, this will be a very strong play – watch close! This needs to be high on your radar going forward!

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

Feb 12, 2017 – Trade Alert! We entered a trade long at a cost average 822.72 for 100 shares as soon as price was upside the 20 MA. This is an aggressive trade (being that we didn’t wait for a pull-back to 50, 100 or 200). We have a tight stop on the trade at 804.00 (just below its recent low (this would be a broken trade in our opinion at that point). So we are hoping this week is a strong week for Amazon. If not our aggressive move will cost us.

Amazon Swing Trading Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/ZQt7CJMs-AMZN-Amazon-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart/

$AMZN, Amazon, Swing, Trading

$AMZN Amazon Swing Trading Member Chart – Compound Trading

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We haven’t got a pull back to the 200 day and depending on how tech does with Trump we may or may not, however, in overnight trade (premarket) price is close to the 100 day and I may take a test long position. This is one of our favorite picks so we will be quite aggressive with our attempts to get in at an inflection – so we are thinking sometime in the next few days looks decent.

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

Feb 12, 2017 – We have been long since late December at 18.32 (1000 shares) and it trades at 21.95 now – will be ratcheting up stops soon, the trade has done well but in the short term we don’t see a lot of upside for entries now, unless trade returns to the 50 day MA.

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $JUNO

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: $JUNO since my first entry mid December 2016 has consistently moved in an upward trend, and from that perspective has been a good stock pick. But it hasn’t been excellent like many of my other picks. It does have a gap fill coming soon so if you are long I would ratchet up your stops as you near 22.70 area.

$JUNO Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JUNO/W0WEYDQJ-JUNO-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick/

$JUNO, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$JUNO Swing Trade Member Stock Pick

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

Feb 12, 2017 – This stock hasn’t slowed down since our entry at 2.59 (10000 shares) and doesn’t seem to want to return to the trendline support so our swing trade members can get in. It is trading perfectly in our prescribed range (albeit at the top) and closed at 3.90 on Friday – we have a 5.57 PT on it so I don’t if it is best to enter now – I wouldn’t unless it returns to the support line but some of the more aggressive swing trading members may want to consider it. Also, we will be ratcheting stops before earnings and even though earnings are expected to be strong we likely will not hold through earnings (or if we do it will be with tight stops).

$CBMX news – http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cbmx-expect-record-revenue-profit-140000918.html

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

$CBMX, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

Feb 12, 2017 – This has been a fantastic swing trade and many of our members have profited from it. We are holding and have moved up stops to a 5% drop.

It is currently trading at 45.70 and is up considerably for our members – our 2017 price target was 49.58 and our short term price targets were easily met.

It is also currently trading just above its 200 MA so we are watching close – if it loses the 200 MA we will exit likely. So if you are thinking of adding or a long trade here you want to watch the 200 MA.

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $OAK

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, February 7, 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oaktree-schedules-fourth-quarter-full-133000267.html

Was trading at 37.57 – 38.00 when we originally started to look at it, currently trades at 41.65.

42.71 – 43.50 is our short term swing target (less than 3 months).

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! $OAK has met this swing trade target for our members – caution forward please!

49.58 is our 2017 target. No target date.

Our traders will be watching earnings (much like we did with Google last week and we will be doing with Amazon this week). Pending earnings and price action this will be when we enter a trade. Some of our swing traders have obviously seen decent gains since we first put this on our swing trading list a number of weeks back (good timing actually), but our traders have not taken a position yet.

$OAK, Swing Trading, Newsletter

$OAK – OakTree Capital Group

Oaktree Capital Trading View Live Charting:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/w2CBerv2-Swing-Trading-Newsletter-Oaktree-Capital-OAK/

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

Feb 12, 2017 – Decided considering geo political sentiment that I will consider a long at 50 MA or a break to upside now.

Feb 7, 2017 Alert! Although this has done exceptionally well since my first entry late 2016 I am now out of my position and am awaiting a pull back to 100 day at minimum.

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

$RSX Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RSX/rjR7GATQ-RSX-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pick-Waiting-for-Test-of-50-MA-or-break/

$RSX, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Pick

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

Feb 12, 2017 – $BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After Dec Entry – Now Waiting for 200 MA PB test on 60 minute chart below or break out.

$BOFI Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOFI/krBzI22u-BOFI-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-After-26-18-Dec-Entry-Waiting-for/

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $BOFI

$BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After 26.18 Dec Entry Waiting for 200 MA PB test or break out

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update! Here is another I have done well since my first entry late 2016 and I am now waiting for another pullback to at least the 50 day if not 100 day to add. Holding full position and expect a return of 6% approximately (from today’s price) in 2017. If I can get a pullback I will be very happy.

$BOFI, Swing, Trading, Chart, Stock, Pick

$BOFI Swing Trading Member Stock Pick

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

Feb 12, 2017 – $SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position and Jan addition to this list. We are currently waiting for a test of the 200 MA on the 60 day for an add to 1000 shares or a sell. Excellent trade so far.

$SXL Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SXL/Zxq4BCtJ-SXL-Sunoco-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-is-Performing-Excellent-Sin/

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

$SXL, Swing, TRade, Stock, Pick

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

Feb 12, 2017 – We have our first entry in $SLCA at the 50 day 55.77 500 shares. We are going to watch how it handles the 20 MA. If it returns to our buy at 55.77 area we may cut bait.

$SCLA Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SLCA/kYwi9RAO-SLCA-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick-Entry-at-50-MA-long-for-a-t/

$SLCA, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$SLCA Swing Trade Member Stock Pick. Entry at 50 MA long for a tester.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We never did get that pull back, and I appreciate the notes from members that have done well with this swing nonetheless! However, caution is warranted entering this play with-out a pull-back.

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

Feb 12, 2017 – New Entry! $EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA 300 shares starter. Swing Trade Stock Pick. If it fails at our entry price we will exit and re-evaluate.

$EOG Resources Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EOG/5pnQP44r-EOG-Resources-Long-entry-98-77-at-100-MA-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pic/

Sing, Trading, Stock, Pick, $EOG

$EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA. Swing Trade Stock Pick

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

Feb 7, 2014 – $NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now. 

$NG NovaGold Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/7sroM8Ai-NG-Nova-Gold-Swing-trade-members-are-pleased-with-stock-pick-5/

$NG, Stock, Pick, Swing, Trade

$NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now.

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

4 – New the week of Feb 6, 2017 is $ASM.

$ASM comes to us by reference of HedgeHog trader who has spent some time in our trading room lately and is a close friend of ours. His due diligence on this one is solid in our opinion and the chart is about to break out – it is just shy of the 200 day! Here’s the transcript of his attendance in our trading room yesterday if you wish to view. He also mentions in that transcript other picks he likes (such as $NG, $THM, $NAK, $CPO.V).

$ASM Chart Live on Trading View: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ASM/Wn17X1qn-ASM-Swing-Trade-Member-Chart/

$ASM, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ASM Swing Trade Member Chart

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

Feb 12, 2017 – This is interesting, price action late last week was promising, we are watching indicators for a long position.

$SPY Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

$SPY, Swing Trade, Stock Picks

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

2 – $VIX

Feb 12 – $VIX has done nothing. Watching.

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

Feb 14, 2017 $GDX trade went exactly as planned. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX, Swing, Trade, Gain, Stock, Picks

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

Feb 7, 2017 $GDX Alert – Members, this trade went exactly as planned and is now beyond our call so caution please!

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

Feb 12 – Crude oil traded at resistance on Friday, some may opt to short here but we are waiting to see if price breaks to upside. Will advise.

Feb 7, 2017 Update: In overnight trade $USOIL is trading at 52.19 and there is a diagonal support trendline intra-day below at approximately 52.28 – we will be looking at taking a long position in that area if we can get it – with a tight 1% stop.

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

 

Cheers!

Curtis

 

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $ASM, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

10
Feb 2017
Premarket, TRading, Plan, $JDST

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Feb 10 $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC, $DXY, $USOIL, $JDST, $JNUG

Stock Trading Plan for Friday Feb 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC – $JDST, $VRX, $ASM,

PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Feb 10 $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC, $DXY, $USOIL, $JDST, $JNUG

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Stock Trading Plan for Friday Feb 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC – $JDST, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Details You May Want to Review in Post Market Trading Report:

Public Webinar Schedule:

Webinars are scheduled for this Saturday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.

Date: Saturday Feb 11, 2107

Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link to enter trading room and sign in as guest.

2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm

2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm

3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm

3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm

4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models.

4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.

5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room

Do Not Miss This Update!

It’s a good idea to refresh your chart outlook and keep it simple sometimes!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

$JDST, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO (all very small), $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Oil, Gold and the VIX are high on my watch list. 

General Market Outlook:

US Dollar Index $DXY got a kick up as expected but Trump and Abe have an announcement today at 1:00. The Gold trade is holding up well considering IMO. Oil chart has repaired itself magically and it is near important resistance – with OPEC meetings I would use caution. $SPY got a kick up as expected and targets are being hit there now by our $SPY algorithm chart modeling. $VIX is dead as expected but I am watching. And Silver I see similar to Gold but a tad stronger mid term. 

Morning Momo / News and Social Bits:

Momo Watch:  $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC – Gold, the US Dollar and Oil related on high watch!

Big Week. #Earnings $NVDA $TWTR $GILD $DIS $TWLO $GM $ATVI $CLF $BP $CVS $ONVO $TSN $NWL $SKX $HAS $KO $WLTW $AGN $SYY $AXTA

8:30
Import/ Export Prices

10am
Consumer Sentiment

1pm
BH Rig Count

$FLR +3.3% premarket after issuing upbeat Q4 earnings guidance

Freeport +4% as Indonesia reportedly issues new mining permit $FCX.

Jefferies pulls Underperform rating on Ford http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242501-jefferies-pulls-underperform-rating-ford?source=feed_f … #premarket $F

Jack in the Box shares up 1.8% in Friday premarket trading

Evergreen? Sears shares soar premarket amid restructuring aimed to save $1 bln.

CNNMoney: Premarket:
– Trump speaks with Asia
– Stocks at record highs
– Oil prices pop http://cnnmon.ie/2kaxIWI

$ICPT down 12% premarket as investors await imminent trial update on NASH

$ATVI +10.62% An awesome move premarket after their ER however keep in mind much resistance at its all time high of $45.55.

#Twitter downgraded from hold to sell at Loop Capital.
Price target cut from $16 to $10.
$TWTR -2.13% at 16.06 premarket

$SHLD going insane on upside in premarket.

Fluor guides Q4 earnings above consensus, shares +3.3% premarket

OPEC Oil Supply Fell in January Led by Saudi, Iraq, U.A.E.: IEA

Oil Jumps as IEA Sees Record OPEC Cuts Compliance, Rising Demand

#opec beats #oil output cut expectations

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $SHLD 40%, $INFN 14%, $BIOC 14% $ATVI $BIOL $SKX $SWIR $IMMU $ICPT $DGAZ $WRN $OCUL $SDRL $PLX $MJN $FCX $MT $NVDA

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $SHLD $CTRL $INFN $SWIR and $ATVI I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC –  $VRX, $SSH, $ASM, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $TRCH, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

08
Feb 2017
Trading, Plan, Premarket

Simple Charts Market Update Feb 8: US Dollar $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, $VIX, OIL $WTI $USOIL, GOLD $GLD $GDX, SILVER $SLV

Good morning traders! In lieu of algorithmic model charting we opted to run simple charts in the lab

Simple Charts Market Update Feb 8: US Dollar $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, $VIX, OIL $WTI $USOIL, GOLD $GLD $GDX, SILVER $SLV

Lead Trader Blog Post , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Good morning traders!

In lieu of algorithmic model charting we opted to run simple charts in the lab last evening because the machines (as far as it applies to our work) may as well of shut down at around 4:30 EST yesterday. Why? Oil, black gold caused everything we model to skew. So there’s no reason to run updates until tonight, and it doesn’t hurt to take a simple look at our charts once in a while.

So I already posted most of this to my personal twitter feed but some of our members either don’t use Twitter or would prefer data in a file / blog format. On my Twitter feed are other simple charts and links to live charting FYI.

We’ll return to algorithmic modeling charts this evening for tomorrow’s open and in the meantime we’ve unlocked this for the general public also because there is obviously no proprietary data involved.

Have a great day and keep it simple until the market sorts this one out. Below are our simple charting thoughts.

Simple Chart Updates for Feb 8, 2017 for Compound Trading.

Gold. Simple chart perspective. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD

Gold. Simple chart perspective. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD

Two red circles – 20 MA crossed 50 MA. 20 near to cross 100 MA. Purple horizontal – Decent resistance 1248.00 area.

Stoch RSI revved. But stayed revved during upswing in Jan 2016. OA looks almost identical to Jan 16 as does the TSI. #GOLD

Simple symmetry (white arrows) says 1289.00-1349.00 ish is extension. 200 MA 1264.84 intra – historical res at times. #GOLD

Gold. Simple Fibonacci says 1247.75 is 382 resistance. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD

@ROSIEtheAlgo has resistance areas similar. Should be interesting. Jury is out imo.

Gold. Simple Fibonacci says 1247.75 is 382 resistance. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD

Gold MACD. Gold vs. USDJPY. USDJPY 200 MA. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD $USDJPY

MACD has a lot of RPM available.

Gold MACD. Gold vs. USDJPY. USDJPY 200 MA. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD

GOLD Ground hog year? Same dates. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD

GOLD Ground hog year Same dates. $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD #GOLD

US Dollar Index $DXY I wonder if Trump has seen this chart? $UUP

US Dollar Index $DXY I wonder if Trump has seen this chart $UUP

Kinda the elephant in the room no? US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP

Kinda the elephant in the room no US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP with #GOLD – See no evil, hear no evil… $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD $GDX

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP with GOLD – See no evil, hear no evil… $GLD $XAUUSD $GC_F $DGLD $UGLD $GDX

US Dollar Index $DXY Houston! We have… gone… d i v e r g e n t.? I’m sure it will sort itself out… $UUP

US Dollar Index $DXY Houston! We have… gone… d i v e r g e n t. I’m sure it will sort itself out… $UUP

We found Gold Gump or wrong road? I’m sure its nothing.

We found Gold Gump or wrong road

Crude Oil. MACD crossed back up but… 20 50 MA and 52.00 – 52.20 area resistance. $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Could pull itself back out of dungeon but I’d wait for 20 50 cross and 52.20.

Crude Oil. FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$SPY I know its the obvious…. but where’s the volume and can this trajectory be healthy no QE and the MACD hmm Suspicious chart IMO #alien

$SPY I know its the obvious…. but where’s the volume and can this trajectory be healthy no QE and the MACD hmm Suspicious chart IMO

$SPY Should we not be returning to that 200 MA sometime? Soon? And again, that MACD.

$SPY Should we not be returning to that 200 MA sometime Soon

So simple my bulldog could do it. Until its not. Long at the arrows.

$SPY So simple my bulldog could do it. Until its not. Long at the arrows.

$SPY Long at the green arrow short at the red arrow. Hows the MACD doing now?

$SPY Long at the green arrow short at the red arrow. Hows the MACD doing now

$VIX The 50 100 200 MA seem reasonable targets if it ever again gets lift. MACD says aliens have taken over. Just saying. Very odd.

$VIX The 50 100 200 MA seem reasonable targets if it ever again gets lift. MACD says aliens have taken over. Just saying.

$VIX I know its the obvious, but may want to long at the green and short at the red. $TVIX $UVXY $VIX $VXX

$VIX I know its the obvious, but may want to long at the green and short at the red. $TVIX $UVXY $VIX $VXX

 

Hope that helps you center in your trades – at least for our coverage!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics: $SPY, $VIX, US Dollar, Volatility, $DXY, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, $WTI, $USOIL, Oil, Stocks, Trading, Market, Update

 

 

 

 

30
Jan 2017
$OAK, Swing Trading, Newsletter

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 30, 17 – Swing Trading $OAK, $GOOGL, $AMZN and more.

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 30,

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 30, 17 – Swing Trading $OAK, $GOOGL, $AMZN and more.

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 30, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

One new chart added for today and there will be more through the week this week. The rest are from the previous report. The new add is Oak Tree Capital $OAK.

It is important to note the other charts below have not been updated since being first inserted here, so be sure to look up most recent trading ranges before considering trades.

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, February 7, 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oaktree-schedules-fourth-quarter-full-133000267.html

Was trading at 37.57 – 38.00 when we originally started to look at it, currently trades at 41.65.

42.71 – 43.50 is our short term swing target (less than 3 months).

49.58 is our 2017 target. No target date.

Our traders will be watching earnings (much like we did with Google last week and we will be doing with Amazon this week). Pending earnings and price action this will be when we enter a trade. Some of our swing traders have obviously seen decent gains since we first put this on our swing trading list a number of weeks back (good timing actually), but our traders have not taken a position yet.

$OAK, Swing Trading, Newsletter

$OAK – OakTree Capital Group

Oaktree Capital Trading View Live Charting:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/w2CBerv2-Swing-Trading-Newsletter-Oaktree-Capital-OAK/

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

22
Jan 2017
$GOOGL, Price Target

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 23, 17 – Swing Trading, $GOOGL and more.

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 22,

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 23, 17 – Swing Trading, $GOOGL and more.

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 22, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

One new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. The new add is Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL. They report earnings this Thursday!

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

20
Jan 2017
$AMZN, Swing

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 20, 2017

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16,

Member Weekly Swing Trade Update Jan 20, 2017

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Below only one new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. It’s $USOIL $WTI that can be traded also with $UWT $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $SCO etc… Anyway, oil has established a support area that would be decent as a swing trade – see below for details.

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Google $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

18
Jan 2017
$TRCH Swing Trade

Weekly Swing Trade Member Update Jan 18, 2017

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16,

Weekly Swing Trade Member Update Jan 18, 2017

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 16, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Below only one new chart added for today! The rest are from the previous report. It’s $TRCH and it’s a doozie!

This Swing Report is in Development (as with $VIX, $SPY algos) – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

So bottom line is that I am in process here, building it out, it isn’t done, it’s going to take a lot more time than I ever imagined, but I’ll be updating and building this out considerably now forward. Again, sorry about the delays.

Oh, and the updates will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Google $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

2 – $VIX

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

I will be updating regularly now – I need to get as much done here before inauguration for my own trading too so that’s a major motivator – I will send out updates as I update!

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

09
Jan 2017

Weekly Swing Trade Member Memo – Jan 9, 2017

Swing Trading , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Swing Trader

Good morning swing traders and welcome to our weekly swing trading memo for the week of Jan 9, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

This is Only an Intro Memo.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017. I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication. I will have this out to members within 48 hours. I apologize for the delay. I found myself deep in to the charting, financials and company technical dynamics of over fifty companies while doing my research for 2017 swing and investment trades – I didn’t expect to get that deep and involved in my research. But I did and that has caused a bit of delay.

I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

I am very encouraged getting back in to investing and swing trading this year – I have been on the sidelines for the better part of two years as the markets have been more sideways than up or down. But I see 2017 as a really strong investing and swing trading year.

So below I only share my top picks and will have complete swing and investment reports out within 48 hours and thereafter I will have weekly swing set-ups published like clock-work moving forward. In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

The Ten Securities I Am Going to Focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as Follows:

Google $GOOGL

Amazon $AMZN

Juno $JUNO

CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

OakTree Capital $OAK

VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

BOFI Holdings $BOFI

Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

US Silica Holdings $SLCA

EOG Resources $EOG

So if you could, bear with me for another 48 hours and I will have complete charting and due diligence out to our swing trade members and onward and upward for 2017!

Oh, and I should mention, I did receive a number of emails over Christmas and will be responding to them in conjunction with turning around my report here over the next couple days.

Cheers!

Curtis.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX

05
Jan 2017
$NATGASUSD, Chart

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thur Jan 5 $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 5, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thur Jan 5 $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 5, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Equipment Upgrades: Final upgrades are done and final coding bugs cleaned up as of 12:30 yesterday so SMS / Email alerts are ready for today. HOWEVER, you have to be aware that the SMS / Email alerts are only as we are able to do t (it can be busy in the room) and the morning momo trades can be done before you even get an alerts. So of course most alerts wll be beneficial  but you do need to be aware.

Algorithmic charting / service newsletters: The last of them are being finalized over 48 hours and all new 2017 services on our list will be rolling out.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Market Outlook:

Lots of news with the Chinese Yuan overnight and it looks like retail numbers from the Christmas season are going to disappoint!

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG

Synthetic Bio’s co-lead product candidate successful in mid-stage study; shares ahead 25% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233592-synthetic-bios-co-lead-product-candidate-successful-mid-stage-study-shares-ahead-25-percent?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SYN

Stanley B&D’s deal to buy #Craftsman from Sears: http://twitthat.com/hBb8i
$SHLD +3.47% at 10.72 premarket $SWK #stocks

$HALO making a $700M market cap move up in premarket

Genocea’s lead product candidate shows positive effect in mid-stage study; shares ahead 21% prem… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233585-genoceas-lead-product-candidate-shows-positive-effect-mid-stage-study-shares-ahead-21-percent?source=feed_f … #premarket $GN…

Kohl’s shares down 15% in premarket trade

Macy’s shares down 9.5% in premarket trade

L Brands shares down 4.5% premarket

#Loxo Oncology prices 3.87m share offering at $31/share.
$LOXO -3.18% at 31.65 premarket

Gartner buying CEB for $2.6B http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233579-gartner-buying-ceb-2_6b?source=feed_f … #premarket $CEB $IT

$CTIC 24% PRE

$ENDP downgraded to Neutral From Buy by Citi. PT $20

$RARE and Kyowa Kirin Announce MAA for KRN23 Filed and Accepted for Review by EMA

$SNGX Receives Positive Scientific Advice from the EMA for SGX942 in the Treatment of Oral Mucositis

Deutsche Bank Starts Commercial Metals Company $CMC at Buy http://streetinsider.com/r/12395512

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HALO 56%, $PIRS 33%, $SYN 24%, $GNCA 21%, $KOOL 14%, $JNUG 6%, $NUGT $PLX $ALXN $TWLO $GORO $UWT $AUY $UGAZ $UCO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Watching, watching, watching. $SPY is still having difficulty with the resistance our algo alerted weeks back prior to Fed speak.

Per previous;

The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.

We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.

Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.

I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.

$SPY, Intra-day, Fibonacci

Tight Intra-day trading levels. $SPY 527 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My Trading Plan for $SPY:

Per previous;

Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook:

Per previous;

As noted above, we expect volatility.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Per previous;

We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

There is a public post from Rosie the Gold algo overnight (click to view) and a Rosie the Gold Algo member’s version on deck.

Gold, Chart

There’s Gold in them thar hills boy! Rosie algo report ondeck! $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Per previous;

As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.

It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.

But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.

So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Outlook:

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

I missed a golden opportunity yesterday – once again not trading it because the price action around holidays makes me nervous. But price did get near the outside of the upward trending channel and I should have taken that trade – no excuse. I wont miss the next one.

Crude, Oil, Chart

Missed trade yesterday at support (yellow lines). Crude algo intra work sheet 550 AM Jan 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

My Trading Plan for Oil Related Equities:

When price gets back to a support or outside channel I’ll take a trade.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Outlook:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NATGASUSD/B3RWPton-NATGASUSD/

Watching very close here. Yesterday at 1:00 PM I just about pulled the trigger on a day trade $UGAZ when I thought Natural Gas was at a support – and sure enough. On high watch again. We’re getting closer to locking the math down.

$NATGASUSD, Chart

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Chart Per Previous;

Natural Gas, Chart

NATGAS KISS Chart of the day. Natural Gas.

My Trading Plan for Natural Gas: Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $HALO, $PIR, $SYN, $GNCA, $KOOL, $JNUG, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

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