Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Nov 25, 2016. $NAVB, $JUNO, $SKLN, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was a super calm day. Not a lot to report but there were some important trading lessons.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

I took a long trade on $UWTI (yes I know it is delisting). My play is a 6 to 1 risk reward (considering OPEC meetings) that as of writing (3:41 am Monday) my trade is going against me. I may enter again long or cut – I haven’t decided. I entered also thinking I may get a bounce at diagonal trend line (blue) just below my trade (chart below) but it didn’t bounce – but I held thinking I may re-enter another long early in week. Interestingly price did hit one of Epic the Oil Algo’s price targets. Anyway, looks like I’m on wrong side of it so we’ll see.

$JUNO (chart below) I got out of my swing trade for a profit and will watch for a possible re-enter. My pre market blog post will have technicals and what to watch for.

$SKLN – the 200 day got under stock price on the 3 minute AND I MISSED IT! A BIG MISTAKE! And what made it worse is GSCT in the room even alerted us…. ugh. YOU NEVER WANT TO MISS THE 200 Day on the 3 min 5 or 15 getting under price on these wash-outs – huge mistake.

And I completed my video uploads from my $SKLN trade last week – lots of indicator lessons packed in to these videos!

Announcements in Trading Room:

Room Alert: https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-friday-nov-25-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-natgas/ Gainers: $NAVB 34%, $CTRP 9%, $IPCI 9%, $CXRX 8%, $DCIX $WPRT $SPEX $GSL $BZQ $JKS $INFY $DRYS $DWTI $GFI $NOK $AZN $AU $UN

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:51 am GSCT . : /CL downtrending
08:53 am GSCT . : A rejection of 47.57 anyway
09:13 am Curtis M : http://www.benzinga.com/news/16/11/8738781/20-stocks-moving-in-fridays-pre-market-session?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#/null
09:24 am Curtis M : Lkely going to exit $JUNO Swing here soon 3%
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at JNUG and NUG T for plays today
09:25 am Curtis M : Gainers: CTRP +10%. CXRX +8%. IPCI +9%. GBR +5%. ESEA +5%.Losers: MTU -6%.
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : In JNUG 6.69 out new LOD
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Playing JNUG close here. Up to 6.85 looking for an exit for a quick pullback and reenter
09:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Out @.81
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in JNUG at 6.67
10:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Out. damnit
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in if gold breaks 1185
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : All my usual suspects are way quiet today. Cleaning up some positions and thinking of reentering a /es short though Im not too excited about shorting a dull market here
10:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Taking off a portion of my CLF Jan 10c’s. .96 fomr .47. Keeping half
11:05 am GSCT . : /NG unreal today and hit 3.10s
11:05 am Curtis M : Loading $UWTI
11:05 am Curtis M : Yes IC
11:11 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.96 1200 shares

$USOIL, $WTI, $UWTI

FX $USOIL $WTI – entered $UWTI trade looking for bounce at diagonal trendline (blue) holding

11:14 am GSCT . : $SKLN breakout
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Filled the gap which should be some support here for /cl
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Gap was last sunday open gap up
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold acting a fool and nothing else exciting. I’m out to the gym before some rivalry college football. Have a good weekend all next week should be fireworks!
12:31 pm Curtis M : ok thanks Mathew
12:31 pm Curtis M : cya
12:37 pm GSCT . : $SKLN popping

$SKLN, 200 Day Moving Average

$SKLN 200 day on the 3 minute got under price last Friday and popped – I missed it.

12:54 pm Curtis M : Out $JUNO 24.925 avg from 22.31 buy

$JUNO Swing Trade

$JUNO Swing Trade closed 3000 shares 22.31 out at 22.945 today live in trading room

01:00 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $NAVB, $JUNO, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Monday Nov 21, 2016. $REN, $XIV, $UCO, $UWTI and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Monday was a textbook tight trading day with the market showing signs of perculating (which Tuesday morning transpired). So Monday I was tight with my scalps and ran text-book scalp trades in $XIV, $REN and $UCO – went well.

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

Monday actually was tight so there wasn’t any big lessons to learn… Tuesday however is a different story. I have an hour and a half video I am doing from the trading room (in edits now) of a trade I was in on the afternoon wash-out and snap-back on $SKLN that worked out well. Lots of technical details in that trade – look forward to posting the series of videos (about ten shorter length videos breaking up all the indicators and technicals I was working with).

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

 

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:12 am Curtis M : Premarket Gainers $SPU, $TNDM, $DCIX, $EGLE, $AMCC, $MAGS, $SAEX, $YY, $OCUL, $WB
09:12 am Curtis M : Premarket decliners $TRVN, $PPC, $HALO, $CEMP, $SAFM, $CETV, $CXRX, $TVIX, $CSIQ, $VIIX
09:16 am Curtis M : First day back 18 hours in airport and flights so no premarket newsletter this morning..
09:16 am Curtis M : Watching $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $NATGAS too
09:17 am Curtis M : Algo work will on all charts released over next 24 hours.
09:22 am Curtis M : DryShips Inc. Announces Agreement With One of Its Lenders http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/-2177368.htm … $DRYS
09:22 am Curtis M : SolarCity shares halted premarket pending additional information request from Nasdaq http://bit.ly/2gBHX4M
09:25 am GSCT . : Can you turn up the volume on your mic?
09:29 am Curtis M : $SPU $EYEG $COOL
09:30 am Curtis M : $USOIL $WTI 47.85 on back test – to confirm algo break-out
09:35 am Curtis M : BREAKING: Sunoco Logistics to acquire Energy Transfer Partners, the company behind the Dakota Access pipeline. $SXL $ETP
09:37 am Curtis M : $RIG $NE $SN Active
09:45 am Curtis M : China lowfloats $CHNR 61%
09:49 am Curtis M : $ORIG $CRC momo
09:49 am Curtis M : Offshore rigs likely run soon
09:50 am Curtis M : Watching 47.80 break-out in oil
09:50 am GSCT . : Great alerts this morning Curtis
09:55 am Curtis M : $AUDUSD proxy Silver
09:56 am Curtis M : $USDJPY proxy $GOLD Miners
09:59 am Curtis M : Scanning – back in a few mins
09:59 am Curtis M : Thanks GSCT!
10:01 am Curtis M : So small cap oil plays I will look at the day after a confirmed break-out over trendline resistance cluster 47.80 on intra FX $USOIL $WTI
10:03 am Curtis M : “The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street”
10:07 am Curtis M : Looking for 47.10 – 47.20 entry on $UCO from oil price $USOL $WTI
10:08 am Curtis M : $ORIG $CRC $HK $TK $PBR-A $EVEP $NADL on the move
10:19 am Curtis M : $CRC $ORIG $UC are my main watches… watching $GOLD $GDX $USDJPY and $SILVER $AUDUSD
10:25 am Curtis M : High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY.
10:28 am Curtis M : They’re going to squeeze oil shorts soon over that resistance at 47.80 on FX $USO $WTI – its just a matter of having a plan ready for tt.
10:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Like you I’ve been trying to be patient today. Took a couple stabs long /cl for small gains
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Also like CHK here with some calls, and still love WLL though trimmed a few this AM with that gap up
10:35 am susan woo : That JNUG’s going
10:35 am Curtis M : waiting on back test 47.80 patience looking at long $UCO
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : there we g
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : o
10:36 am GSCT . : Nice.
10:36 am GSCT . : Jetlag.
10:57 am GSCT . : It can pay 6 mos. in … 3 weeks of a move are you saying?
11:02 am GSCT . : Thank you!
11:16 am Curtis M : Going for morning coffee need 10 mins to regroup and get orders ready for afternoon session
11:21 am GSCT . : Amazing alert on REN.
11:23 am Curtis M : Long $REN 34.05 800 shares small account

$REN

$REN Alert to room for snipe trades on Monday Nov 23

$REN Alert to room for snipe trades on Monday Nov 23
11:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Thanks for the alert on that! PLayed in-out twice
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Paid for 6 months of your sub at least. I can’t afford not to be in the room lol
11:31 am Curtis M : Nice Mathew! lol good man
11:38 am Curtis M : Long $REN 34.43
11:40 am Curtis M : Out 34.615 $REN
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Seeing some call buying in UCO a few weeks out
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Decent size bets
12:12 pm Curtis M : Now we’re just wating for time of day on $USOIL $WTI for long positions – we may even get a bit of a wash-out with ol up 5.6% #OIL
12:26 pm Roy Kirk : what time of day are you referring to
12:27 pm Curtis M : Long $UCO 9.97 1000 shares small account in prep for afternoon waiting on $REN bulls
12:35 pm Curtis M : Holding $UCO for EOD and may take a small cap before pt close
12:39 pm Curtis M : FX $USOIL $WTI gets up over 48.38 and it’s rocket ride time
12:47 pm GSCT . : Odds of an intraday pullback oil? Stallking DWTI.
12:49 pm GSCT . : Fibre? My busiding was just hooled up.
12:49 pm GSCT . : building
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also have SPY on our side here so the overall market to move
12:51 pm GSCT . : hooked. Sorry for typos.
12:53 pm GSCT . : Downdraft unlikely?
12:56 pm GSCT . : I could see ti test the 200
12:56 pm GSCT . : it
01:06 pm Curtis M : Out $UCO 10.01 small win looking for reenter
01:10 pm GSCT . : What a move
01:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : WLL still seeing a ton of flow. Longer term play it looks like but solid so far
01:20 pm susan woo : Curtis, do you know ERF?
01:22 pm GSCT . : Very cool.
01:23 pm susan woo : EEF a great chart
01:24 pm susan woo : ERF I mean. Sorry fat fingers
01:24 pm susan woo : ERF I just played the swings, but missed this latest swing
01:25 pm susan woo : Also kept in mind that insiders bought around 3ish or something like that
01:25 pm Curtis M : ok
01:27 pm susan woo : Your charts look like Kankinsky gone amok:)
01:28 pm susan woo : Kandinsky
01:31 pm susan woo : CHK strong too
01:32 pm GSCT . : /NG feels highly manipulated
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : yepp Ive been trading it all day along with REN
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : popping right now
01:56 pm Curtis M : Mathew when you take orders in and out post em
01:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : OK
01:56 pm Curtis M : u guys all should
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m likely done for the day. Good day and find I push too hard when up but if I take any more I’ll pot
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : If anyone wants the options side I can detials those more as well over and above what I already post
01:58 pm Curtis M : yes pls
01:58 pm GSCT . : Would like that Matthew
01:58 pm Curtis M : Mathew… you trade like I did when I was younger – aggressive
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha that’s a life theme for me
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : I
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll post new opening options plays and give a run down of my positons after the bell for anyone interested
01:59 pm Curtis M : thx
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here I think we actually see some profit taking which is what has me sitting on my hands
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Poor lift on big volume means tons of sellers
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll take a stab at UWTI when the 20 crosses the 50 on the 1′. It will have a tight leashh
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bearish crosses on 1′ and bigger sell inventory. No trade for now
02:08 pm Curtis M : Low float stocks mving one after another FYI
02:08 pm Curtis M : I’m not in them
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : TKAI popping finally lol
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : picked that POS up in the .80s
02:10 pm GSCT . : Feels like a drop in oil here
02:10 pm Curtis M : $NSPR $CBMX $PZRX etc
02:10 pm GSCT . : Test 200 for sure
02:10 pm GSCT . : Just a gut feel
02:10 pm GSCT . : And some indicators too
02:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : In UWTI for a bounce
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : wrong under that recent low
02:12 pm GSCT . : Maybe drop and pit close pop
02:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out flat. Done for the day I think in OIL
02:13 pm GSCT . : 200 feels like it’s made of balsa wood
02:14 pm GSCT . : .75 on DWTI
02:15 pm GSCT . : Did not trrade but monitorred
02:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Quick run down for those interested. I currently hold calls in: CHK, CLF, NE, PBR, UCO, WLL, XOM
02:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hold others but those are the energy related names
02:18 pm Curtis M : thx
02:19 pm GSCT . : I’m going to miss U/DWTI
02:22 pm Curtis M : $BAS large order flow
02:24 pm GSCT . : /CL can not hold
02:25 pm GSCT . : And now it can
02:26 pm GSCT . : There she goes
02:27 pm GSCT . : USO your preferred Oil play?
02:28 pm GSCT . : Tenuous here.
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Maybe I missed it but it looks like BAS went chapter 11 and might get delisted. At least that was the fear
02:48 pm Curtis M : Long $XIV 43.41 800 swing acct
02:57 pm Curtis M : $XIV out 43.63
03:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Late in day and holiday week. I would expect volume to be a bit light all week
03:07 pm Curtis M : Long $XIV 43.66 800 swing account
03:12 pm Curtis M : Out $XIV 43.75 didn’t get pop I wanted
03:26 pm GSCT . : Would love if you said what you’re looking at as I can’t always have your screen up.
03:26 pm GSCT . : Thanks.
03:26 pm GSCT . : LEt me know if I can help.
03:27 pm GSCT . : I soemtimes just have your audio going as I monitor.
03:27 pm GSCT . : You ahve a great voice for this btw.
03:33 pm Curtis M : ok
03:33 pm Curtis M : will do
03:41 pm GSCT . : Great calls and commentary today Curtis. Thank you.
03:41 pm Curtis M : Thanks for the great day!

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $REN, $XIV, $UCO, $UWTI


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Thursday Nov 17, 2016. Low Float Shippers China, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $UWTI, OIL, and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today for me was a scalping day… worked moderately well. With a goal of 1% minimum per day (preferably 3%) I’m easily on track since the beta start of our trading room a couple weeks back (1% per day 10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos compounded).

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

Today wasn’t exciting… it was a process of me chewing around the edges of crude trades with $UWTI (which by the way is being delisted soon – see premarket report coming up). I was likely up 1% or better – haven’t had the time to see yet.

The reason I chew around the edges is that I am looking for a break-out entry scalping with my small account looking to build it at 1% a day compound and if a break-out occurs then I start hammering down with my larger swing account on every pull-back. Pretty simple strategy that works well. With oil, the break-out I’m looking for is due to not only the current OPEC meetings but also in the charting.

But soon, very soon we’re looking at Gold and Silver because the are getting really close to our algorithm’s projected lows. So I will start chewing around the edges of $GOLD $SILVER and miners $GDX. Right now $DXY is in break-out mode so I may trade $UUP on pull-backs for a bit (however we see it trailing off soon) – it’s an inflection point in markets – so it is about being cautious during inflection prior to next trends. Japan is also in break-out so I may start chewing around edges of $DBJP also and of course the S & P 500 $XIV same thing. $VIX is getting stomped as expected but inflection will come there too.

What I did miss was the shippers (was all over them before they started but elected not to play) and China low float stocks have started (was also all over that ahead of curve and I’m thinking on it) and semi conductors I didn’t play.

Stock Chatroom Trading Transcript

08:54 am Curtis M : Premarket Top % Gainers: $SINO 76%, $RLOG 70%, $GSL 36%, $DCIX 27%, $ESEA 27%, $TOPS, $NM $GLBS $IMNP $NMM $SB $SHIP $NTAP $PLUG $BBY $EGLE
08:55 am Curtis M : Upgrades $MSFT $NOA $RRC $TCK $KBR $FSLR $QVCA $T $MUSA $NTAP
09:05 am Curtis M : No morning newsletter… same as yesterday with premarket gainers and upgrades listed here.
09:20 am Curtis M : $RLOG 113%, $GSL 105%, $SINO 99%, $PSID 36%, $DCIX 29%, $NMM 28%, $NWBO $TOPS $WNR $NM $SB $ANW $GLBS $NTAP $HAIN
09:23 am Curtis M : “Risk control is the most important thing in trading.”
09:24 am GSCT . : /CL surge here
09:26 am Curtis M : Morning … back in a minute for open
09:32 am GSCT . : DRYS offering
09:49 am mathew w : Getting out of my ON UWTI position
09:49 am mathew w : Huge moves all over the board
09:52 am Curtis M : Looking for $UWTI long as oil settles through morning, oil companies starting to squeeze so Im running scans, expected entry long $UWTI at arrow gives me 46.20 – 47.28 width on crude for 3-6% in $UWTI potential
09:53 am GSCT . : Thanks for the detailed strategy
09:58 am Curtis M : RUnning screeners on oil companies and waiting for $UWTI entry on oil price target
10:00 am mathew w : WLL and NE working nicely here
10:00 am Curtis M : For those wondering why I will stalk an oil trade for hours …. https://compoundtrading.com/100000-turns-1-million-24-mths-1-per-day-compound-stock-trading/
10:00 am mathew w : Looking and JONE and EPE
10:04 am mathew w : LE? No NE. Noble energy
10:04 am mathew w : I’m in these calls from friday
10:04 am mathew w : haha close. Cows. Oil. whatever
10:13 am GSCT . : U or DWTI?
10:27 am Curtis M : http://finance.yahoo.com/news/janet-yellen-testifies-on-capitol-hill-150717531.html
10:53 am Curtis M : https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/799278889566662656 finally got some sun after 4 days of rain
10:57 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.60 800 shares small account – may have to sit through some pain… a little early but ya
11:13 am Curtis M : Out for now at 19.70 looking to renter $UWTI
11:22 am Curtis M : Lomg $UWTI 19.535 small account 1000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Out $UWTI flat
11:25 am Curtis M : chewing around edges trying to get lift
11:49 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI small account 1000 share 19.536
11:59 am Curtis M : OUt $UWTI 19.74
12:00 pm Curtis M : ugh
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice Kill Curtis. Well done
12:03 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:06 pm Curtis M : So going to get ready for EOD oil squeezes catcha in a few
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : AMD and MU going crazy today if you’re looking for other momo plays
12:06 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Repeated calls being bought in size in both this AM
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be a little tired but still seeing flows coming across
12:09 pm Curtis M : ok thanks
12:10 pm Curtis M : going to be out of hotel for 20 mins
12:10 pm Curtis M : if it says im out of room or whatver no prob cya in 20
12:11 pm Curtis M : specifically im mainly looking at oil squueze small caps but will look at anything EOD
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : invernse h&s on /cl 1′ chart
01:20 pm Curtis M : $DHRM china loa float
01:21 pm Curtis M : Yup theyre gonna run the Chinas now for a while lol
01:27 pm Curtis M : $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM then likely $ISNS
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : In and out of /cl and UWTI for small wins. That price action is agrivating.
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Back in FH for a swing trade. Hit this for a win about a month ago. Back on the radar today so hoping to get back into the 3s shortly
01:42 pm Curtis M : crude has snipers in there till bots get it and go
01:45 pm Curtis M : Watching $BNSO $NFEC $ DHRM $ISNS and other China low float mania
01:51 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.26 1000 shares small acct
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im short FYI
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : once it broke .21 I went short
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was wrong on that one lol. Quick out
01:57 pm Curtis M : $UWTI small win beers and hotdogs
01:57 pm Curtis M : $CCCL
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m back short. This is going lower with the $DXY strength
01:58 pm GSCT . : When you talk about a ticker can you please say its name as I can’t always have your screen up and also can you make the ticker symbol more readable on your chart as it’s very hard to discern.
02:00 pm GSCT . : I mean the symbol name in light grey. Please make it more white.
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : The dollar moves make me very nervous right here RE oil
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im playing against last weeks high here
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : might go long /cl
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : long and wrong new LOD
02:13 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 1000 shares small account 19.05
02:19 pm Curtis M : $UWTI 18.88 loss 1000 shares
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Damn that price action is all over the place
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was trying to get out of my /cl contracts and it was jumping so bad I lost $$$ trying to chase it down
02:24 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 18.93 1000 shares small acct
02:25 pm Curtis M : out flat $UWTI no mojo
02:27 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.06 1000 shares small act
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dude tough day for sure. I have 8 round trips in UWTI in one account and have probably half as many round trips for /cl contracts
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Broker making as much as I am today
02:30 pm Curtis M : Out $UWTI 19.07 flat
02:30 pm Curtis M : 3 w 1 L 1 F choppy cant get a trend easily
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might hit silver shortly for a swing. USLV looks appealing
02:52 pm Curtis M : looks like a lot of gold and silver trading coming up soon here
02:54 pm Curtis M : $DXY should back off… $GOLD and $SILVER gonna run… until then low float mania? And remember what happened last year same time…
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m still in TKAI for a low float pick lol. Things kind of a turd but I bought low enough it doesnt matter
03:15 pm Curtis M : Gonna call it a night guys. Were going to try and get all algo charts for all 6 up by Monday. Looks like Gold and Silver are near so lotsa work to do.
03:15 pm Curtis M : Room will stay open till 4 see ya n morning
03:18 pm GSCT . : Thanks CM

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, Low Float Stocks, Shippers, China, $UWTI, OIL, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $GOLD, $SILVER, $DXY


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Wednesday Nov 16, 2016. $UWTI, OIL, $DSX, $SHIP, $DRYS and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today for me was a scalping day… worked moderately well. With a goal of 1% minimum per day (preferably 3%) I’m easily on track since the beta start of our trading room a couple weeks back (1% per day 10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos compounded). Today was a 2.5 % small account portfolio gain day.

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

So the trade I got in before the system crash mid day setting off our room to next day was $UWTI in advance of the pit close… I entered I little earlier in the day than I normally would but thought there may be some front running so I did. The trade that I missed was the 10:30 AM oil report trade – normally at the bottom of that spike down I would get an entry in $UWTI and for whatever reason I didn’t trigger and missed it.

With the shippers I thought it was too late to get on the train so I watched. Volatile plays like that don’t fit my trading plan so I just didn’t take an entry. Also $LEI was on my watchlist (low float oil) and I didn’t take that play either.

I also just published a new blog post on the math of 10,000.00 turns in to 1 million after 24 months at 1% compound per day.

$UWTI Trade on Oil

FX: $USOIL $WTI Crude oil trade today using $UWTI as the instrument for a 2.5% portfolio gain on small account.

11:43 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 1000 shares 19.307 small account. I took the trade here because crude had pulled back after its morning spike (post oil report) to a diagonal support line (blue) and the volume was increasing on 3 mins prior. The problem was the price came off after that again and I had to hold through it. Which is a lesson because the price pull-back should be at least one step more than it otherwise would be in an uptrend. So it made sense that I was one support too early in my entry.

On the one hand I was confident in the hold because of the upcoming oil meetings, pit close was still on deck, and the price had come off to a support. What I wasn’t comfortable with is that oil hasn’t been trading aggressively (bouncing) at supports and has been selling off in to strength more than it would be in a confirmed break-out. So it was mentally a tough trade.

$UWTI Exit on Trade

Exit on my $UWTI trade base on $USOIL $WTI right near top of the candle. Decent exit.

12:32 pm Curtis M : 19.805 exit 1000 shares $UWTI small account. So my exit was much cleaner than my entry and for sure much cleaner than my emotional hold process. I wanted to hold to the resistance line above where I did exit at 2.5% gain and it would have been 3% or better but I knew that the market was selling in to strength so I picked a resistance line prior to the obvious one when the price spiked – it was a perfect exit on the intra for sure.

Stock Trading Chatroom Transcript

08:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-wednesday-nov-16-usdjpy-iwm-rwm-iwm-faz-usoil-gdx/
08:45 am Sartaj Hundal : Fault tolerance testing being performed today. Users may be shifted to other rooms. Regular broadcasting will not be affected.
08:46 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/oil-trading-chart-blog-update-nov-16-crude-oil-fx-usoil-wti-uwti-dwti-uso-uco-cl_f/
08:48 am Curtis M : On Watch Shippers Again – Oil Report this morning – $LEI low float oil
08:53 am GSCT . : $DRYS halt after running +50 PM
09:00 am GSCT . : T12 Halt “Halt – Additional Information Requested by NASDAQ”
09:00 am Curtis M : Last year after this happened with shippers and USD Jan came lol kaboom
09:04 am Curtis M : Regulatory halt on $DRYS if you short which I don´t it may be epic
09:05 am Curtis M : I remember the days when I worked on the market 30 years ago and the phone would ring lol can be bad
09:07 am Curtis M : 28 yrs ago bla thats better
09:09 am Curtis M : I short… just not intra… indices and stuff on a wider range timeframe
09:14 am Curtis M : $DRYS is T2 code… could be bad
09:15 am GSCT . : T12
09:15 am GSCT . : http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=TradeHalts#
09:57 am Curtis M : GLBS halt vol
09:58 am Curtis M : oil report in 30 mins
10:03 am Curtis M : quick break before oil report for me
10:03 am Curtis M : dont forget record bullish contracts in oil before report could get fun
10:15 am Curtis M : GLBS vol halt
10:16 am Curtis M : Go fund me website halt for $DRYS
10:16 am GSCT . : Hahaha
10:18 am Curtis M : THey will hit them like wack a mole soon
10:39 am GSCT . : You called Oil Curtis. I’m impressed.
10:39 am GSCT . : Last week.
11:09 am Curtis M : Missed $DUST ugh
11:09 am Curtis M : gonna make some calls back in 10 to 20
11:13 am Mathew Waterfall : Getting out of some of me NE dec 5.5 calls it anyone was following along. .21 to .34
11:13 am Mathew Waterfall : Hold WLL calls
11:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Now I feel bad about getting out of UWTI this am lol now you tell me
11:25 am Mathew Waterfall : That’s very interesting on the math component. Funny
11:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : http://www.ted.com/talks/jim_simons_a_rare_interview_with_the_mathematician_who_cracked_wall_street
11:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : http://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/101014/basics-algorithmic-trading-concepts-and-examples.asp
11:39 am GSCT . : Surprised at this pullback. Wild.
11:39 am GSCT . : Strength of
11:43 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 1000 shares 19.307 small account short leash i think
12:14 pm Curtis M : So Im holding $UWTI without stop …. going for lunch back in 30 min
12:15 pm Curtis M : I have conviction on it that my worst scenario is a 4 day hold
12:17 pm GSCT . : DCIX 19.31 – 19.86
12:20 pm Curtis M : If room kicks u out while iM away then Ill be back in 20 anyway for afternoon fyi… it will be nice to have the other guys around starting next week lol
12:23 pm GSCT . : Sweet.
12:24 pm GSCT . : You could sense the snapback coming.
12:25 pm GSCT . : Do you ever use pre-set sell orders.
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Market makers may be looking for $45 close of options expiration
12:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : 45 is basically max pain point
12:30 pm GSCT . : I like the commentary.
12:32 pm GSCT . : Great call on that.
12:32 pm Curtis M : 19.805 exit 1000 shares $UWTI small account
12:33 pm Curtis M : 2.5% or so gain
12:34 pm Curtis M : back in 20 mins or so lol gone this time 4 sure… likely do oil trade when back for pit close
12:34 pm Curtis M : if room kicks you out ill be back in room by 1 so just re nter
01:00 pm Curtis M : Back
01:00 pm Curtis M : Looking at $UWTI for pit close
01:01 pm GSCT . : /GC dropped through 200 MA and DUST followed
01:02 pm GSCT . : NUGT dropped down DUST broke up through 200
01:02 pm GSCT . : Your volume is low for me.
01:09 pm Curtis M : $GLBS may run again here
01:12 pm Curtis M : $OPTT $SIN $TOPS theyre all popping
01:12 pm Curtis M : $SINO
01:19 pm Curtis M : running scans be right back
01:24 pm GSCT . : Google Chrome does that lall the time.
01:24 pm GSCT . : all
01:24 pm GSCT . : You can bypass it.
01:25 pm GSCT . : I use Chrome and Opera.
01:26 pm GSCT . : Click on Learn More
01:26 pm GSCT . : I think it will allow you to bypass that.
01:26 pm GSCT . : Go back it allows you to proceed anyway.
01:27 pm GSCT . : On the original page under Learn More on your Edge browser
01:27 pm GSCT . : Belwo that
01:27 pm GSCT . : Stupid eh?
01:27 pm GSCT . : Not you the technology.
01:28 pm GSCT . : Are you using the Hotel Internet?
01:34 pm Curtis M : i am using a hotel system yes wi fi
01:34 pm Curtis M : im rebooting
01:43 pm Curtis M : techs are working on getting charts back up now
01:46 pm Sartaj Hundal : Give us a minute
01:46 pm GSCT . : I presume you’ll be getting a dedicated connection hrard wired.
01:47 pm Curtis M : yes lol not me but our office+
01:47 pm Curtis M : i travel
01:57 pm GSCT . : I’ve been in a couple of rooms where thy use Omnovia. Relaunching the room often solves issues.
01:59 pm Sartaj Hundal : We have been able to confirm that there is a Wi-Fi issue at the hotel. Curt will be on a hard-wired connection starting Monday. Unfortunately, we will have to cancel the remainder of the afternoon session. He will be back tomorrow morning.

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $LEI, $UWTI, OIL, $DRYS


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Tuesday Nov 15, 2016  $TWLO, $UWTI, OIL, $GDX, USD/JPY, $TLT, $DSX, $SHIP, $DRYS and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today for me was a scalping day… worked moderately well. With a goal of 1% minimum per day (preferably 3%) I’m easily on track since the beta start of our trading room a couple weeks back (1% per day 10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos compounded).

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

  1. When EPIC the Oil Algo says something I’m still challenged to listen (it’s just math but wow accurate). Most recently I’m referring to the posts on EPIC’s feed last Thursday cancelling targets because the change in trend. The mistake I made was giving too much credence to the upward resistance points on the traditional charting. In other words, had I just taken an entry at the lower range of oil trade when EPIC had signalled the time / price cycle change was at hand and held that position I would now be up big. But I didn’t, I’ve been scalping  #OIL using $UWTI between support and resistance – and of course doing that makes it almost impossible to gain what you would have if only you traded the range from the bottom support and held. I am still up – but not anything like I would be. NOW, to be clear, when EPIC publishes the new alpha algo targets soon I have become comfortable trading those… so my hold at support areas in a range becomes more assertive. So even I am learning how to use EPIC’s math as an edge – and trusting that math – but it has been spot on so I’m getting there.
  2. $TWLO – for me this was a swing account (my larger account) trade and normally I’ll hammer down when I have a conviction on a trade and not snipe but swing. But when I entered $TWLO trade today I didn’t like the price action and cut early… it did come off after that exit so that part was done right as a scalp and it was a win but after hours it trended from approx. 34.65 to 35.65 range. So what’s the lesson? My thesis was correct and it was a swing so allowing short frame trading affect that conviction on a swing is simply nonsense.
$TWLO

$TWLO Trending After Market Hours

Trading Chat Room Transcript 

08:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Morning!
08:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-tuesday-nov-15-usoil-wti-dxy-vix-gld-gold-slv-silver-spy/
08:45 am Curtis Melonopoly : That was morning trading plan.
08:45 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here is EPIC the Oil Algo Update – must read so you know what’s happening in here today. https://compoundtrading.com/oil-trading-chart-update-nov-15-crude-oil-fx-usoil-wti-uwti-dwti-uso-uco-cl_f/
08:50 am Curtis Melonopoly : Top % Gainers: $SHIP 34%, $TOPS 26%, $DRYS 22%, $ESEA 22%, $SINO 14%, $RPRX $AAP $NOG $NM $VKTX $JD $UWTI $PWE $CTRV $MTL $UGAZ
09:20 am Curtis Melonopoly : Gainers: SHIP +40%. TOPS +35%. DRYS +24%. ESEA +21%. SAEX +13%. NMM +15%. AAP +14%. RPRX +12%. SINO +12%. ORIG +9%. JD +8%. NM +8%. GNK +8%. OCUL +6%. SALT +6%.
09:20 am Curtis Melonopoly : Losers: SYN -35%. BETR -21%. TSRO -10%. SSYS -10%. CRBP -6%. RIO -6%. NOK -6%. DKS -6%. BBL -5%.
09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : http://finance.yahoo.com/news/analysts-actions-anthem-fortinet-harley-130800133.html
09:29 am GSCT . : COuld be a tad louder
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI Small account 800 share 18.47 risky in first 30 mins
09:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out small gain 18.525 reentering soon

Win #1 for hotdogs and beers .25% +-
09:55 am Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 10 while oil consolidates
09:58 am Curtis Melonopoly : 18.745 Long $UWTI 800 Share small account will hammer down with swing account if continues to confirm
10:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running scans – back in a bit
10:16 am Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI out 18.958 800 share small acct win – will re enter

Win #2 for 1.2% +-
10:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running scans
10:33 am Curtis M : If you learn anything here let the Twitter land peeps know plz thx
10:34 am Curtis M : buy order ready on $UWTI
10:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : back in 10
10:58 am Curtis M : 18.649 800 share uwti small account
11:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : You guys have been separated in to two rooms again – Sartaj will connect the two rooms soon lol
11:08 am Curtis M : We have sme coding issues… 3 rooms split you guys are staying with me for today ‘ fixed tonight
11:18 am Curtis M : Out $UWtI 18.77 800 shares

Win #3 for .7% +-

11:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Got in NE calls and CHK common right after the bell yesterday. Small cap oil should be just getting started
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Don’t forget about /CL contract roll coming up though. That messes with futures pricing something fierce
11:33 am Curtis M : Thanks Mathew forgot
11:34 am Curtis M : going for an Americano b 20 to 30 mins
11:35 am Curtis M : Sartaj just messaged and said he may have split rooms up over lunch or at latest in morning
11:35 am Curtis M : back in 20
11:51 am Curtis M : ok back scanning for afternoon
11:51 am Curtis M : Sartaj says splinter groups in other rooms likely not back till tomorrow when fixed
11:52 am Curtis M : Crude failed at res
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : What about $DSX?
11:54 am Curtis M : Looking at $SHIP close
11:54 am Curtis M : Ill check DSX
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Good price action there. I’m in some calls from the open and working nicely. Just saw a huge buy come across as well
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I wish I would have bought more lol. Always a regret
12:16 pm Curtis M : 45.60 heavy resistance on $USOIL FYI
12:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : I will only play through options. They move too fast to have an undefined risk
12:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : They gap so hard that even equities can leave you out if you’re on the wrong side
12:33 pm Curtis M : running scans for a bit
12:34 pm Curtis M : Is $DSX on your screen
12:34 pm Curtis M : in the room
12:38 pm Curtis M : runnung scans…. $DSX looks decent still
01:00 pm Curtis M : $USOIL $WTI coming up to resistance, $DXY coming to resistance, $SPY coming to top of recent range, $VIX at bottom of recent range
01:05 pm Curtis M : Looking at $GDX
01:09 pm Curtis M : Long $GDX tight leash 800 shares small account
01:09 pm GSCT . : /CL feels toppy. Do you see a reversal of trend intraday here?
01:09 pm Curtis M : GSCT did you read EPICS blog post or twitter
01:10 pm Curtis M : YEs heavy resistance
01:12 pm GSCT . : Yes.
01:12 pm Curtis M : 800 21.89 GDX small account+
01:12 pm Curtis M : Awesome lo thanks GSCT
01:12 pm Curtis M : Not trying to be cheeky just got my hands full
01:13 pm GSCT . : No worries.
01:13 pm GSCT . : Not at all.
01:14 pm GSCT . : I need to honor the trend more anyway in my trading.
01:20 pm Curtis M : what a great guy thanks
01:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : You said DWTI. So you think we reject at the next resistance point and head lower in OIL?
01:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks. Sometimes things actually work as expected lol
01:30 pm Curtis M : $DSX so clean
01:37 pm Curtis M : battleground for me here with $TLT and $USDJPY and a few other things for $GDX likely early
01:51 pm Curtis M : Small loss $GDX out 21.84

Loss #1 .25%
01:55 pm Curtis M : running scans for EOD momentum play
01:55 pm Curtis M : The $GDX $TLT Currency correlation is powerful… there´s a number of indicators ‘ but those three are tied … the turn isnt ready yet but its coming… maybe tonight…
02:02 pm Curtis M : Watching $TWLO squeeze
02:03 pm Curtis M : Swing acct 2000 shares long
02:04 pm Curtis M : $TWLO
02:07 pm GSCT . : Are those car horns there in Panama?
02:07 pm GSCT . : Scooters it sounds like.
02:09 pm GSCT . : Traffic sounds agressive there.
02:12 pm GSCT . : Hilarious.
02:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES HODing
02:17 pm GSCT . : /CL poppimg
02:17 pm GSCT . : popping
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Front ran that yesterday so that’s what IM hoping fo
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : small cap oil squeeze
02:20 pm GSCT . : I assume you have price targes or percentage goals for swings as well?
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : WLL Dec 10c @.25
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Followed a sweeper through on those as confirmation
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Loading up on small cap oil
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : WLL, NE, CHK, PBR
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : JONE, EPE, SGY on watch close
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : First list I’m in, second list will go on oil expansion
02:37 pm Curtis M : $TWLO out 2000 shares 34.40 with 34.26 avg buy

Win # 4 .45% +-
02:41 pm Curtis M : Ugh $GDX I knew it lol fark
02:49 pm Curtis M : LOL not sure what happened but all our equip is set up this MOnday… and there´s a ton of subscribers we re allowing in next week … we ve limited how many till gear is set up Monday… so a few more days of yup that
02:49 pm Curtis M : oil looks good fyi
02:50 pm Curtis M : pit is closed and oil doing what it is doing is good
03:05 pm Curtis M : Curious what $DRYS does after halt here
03:18 pm Curtis M : Wow last hour of the day used to be best hour…. pretty calm out there…
03:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Shippers looking like they are breaking down. To watch
03:19 pm Curtis M : Shippers should be done soon IMO
03:19 pm Robert Norman : Amazing up move from Crude Oil today. Oo
03:20 pm Curtis M : Crude gonna rip some faces off cause meetings on deck…. could be very interesting
03:26 pm Robert Norman : Any clue what API is going to show?
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Done for the day, see yall tomorrow
03:29 pm Curtis M : see ya mathew
03:29 pm Curtis M : no idea robert
03:35 pm Curtis M : Well that´s a mellow end to a market day… going to call it a night… room will stay open till 4. We will get the other guys in same room with you tomorrow too lol. Have a great night!
03:36 pm Robert Norman : Have a good one!

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $TWLO, $UWTI, OIL, $GDX, USD/JPY, $TLT, $DSX, $SHIP, $DRYS


Updated 8:17 AM EST

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 15, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Tuesday Wall Street trading session! The futures bulls are alive and well and oil traded positive!

Specific to starting with more advanced traditional charting and algorithmic charting… the current market conditions are not the best time to do that… but I’ve started with EPIC the Oil Algo posts to get us started and we’ll introduce more and more of our algo work over the coming days and weeks between now and end of November.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

8:03 EST

S&P +0.12%.

10-yr +0.2%.

Euro +0.27% vs. dollar.

Crude +2.86% to $44.56.

Gold +0.25% to $1,224.75.

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $TSRO, $CTRE Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA 74%, $SHIP 31%, $RPRX 15%, $AAP 14%, $TOPS $SINO $JD $PTN $UWTI $PWE $AAL $UCO $WLL $DAL $CHK $DNR $FCAU  Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): AirlinesShippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some. The recent lift in oil may help. But I also expect considerable volatility during it’s run to ATH and/or shortly thereafter. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond issues over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

$SPY

$SPY 107 AM Nov 15

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since late July and there is no reason now to think it’s over. When it is, it is.

I’m watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

My trading plan with $DXY: I may take a long on $UUP if I can lock in a range that makes sense but other than that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside.

$DXY US Dollar Index

$DXY US Dollar Index. 109 AM EST Nov 15, 2016

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

So yesterday I posted – and this is still my position.

“$VIX 315 AM EST Nov 14, 2016 – Likely to get crushed well below diagonal trend-line and right down to previous lows.”

$VIX

$VIX Diagonal Trendline 112 AM Nov 15, 2016

My trading plan with $VIX (volatility) is to run with $XIV at edges of range (if I can catch them) using $VIX and $SPY trading action.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

So I have been really patient here and I hope the train doesn’t leave with-out me. Tonight I’m working on oil small cap charting…. but it’s time to start on Gold, Miner and Silver small cap company charting now soon too IMO to get ready.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

My trading plan with Silver: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

8:10 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Crude took off today in an uptrend and is about to test the 200 MA on the 1 HR. We’ll see how it handles that. Now that it is in an uptrend, and if it continues, within a few days EPIC the Oil Algo will have new alpha algo targets and alpha algo trend-lines for us.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 124 AM Nov 15, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines:  Resistance – 45.62. Supports – 43.16 / 42.77. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Resistance at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.54 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

$USOIL, $WTI, OIL

Overhead Resistance Test Coming 200 Day on 1 Hour Chart (pink line). Crude algo intra work sheet 126 AM ET Nov 15, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trader notes on oil.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account,

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 14, 2016. $THC, $FAZ, $USLV, $USOIL, #OIL, $UWTI, $XIV, $DRYS and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts: 

I’m really pleased with the first two weeks in our beta start-up chat room. There’s some good peeps, it’s a smaller group for now but that’s good – it allows for more chatter than you could have with a larger room (which is good in this instance – so if you’re attending our room please feel free to communicate your views in the room – when there’s more in the room we’ll just scale back as needed). Much of the activity you don’t see in the transcript below because of course the charts are visual and the broadcast is by voice… but it’s going well and some of the group are getting involved and we’re starting to build on some momo here. And the market’s starting to cooperate:)

So from Friday my lessons were:

The reality is some basic disciplines went out the window. Simple stuff like trade the width or in other words the pivots (the range)… but trade them with price and volume momentum. Simple… simple… stuff. Money is made intra trading the outside ranges with price movement with volume momentum and cut quick if wrong. Really simple. So simple it seems we can find ourselves forgetting that. But truth is just that will get you 60 – 70% success ratio in my experience. So in short…. it doesn’t matter if there was a pull-back or the bonds or what the reason is… if you don’t trade the outside range when you have price confirmation (movement in the right direction) along with volume then YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE – IT IS A GAMBLE – pure and simple.

And guess what! I actually corrected these issues – it helped the market was more predictable too – but I did execute the simple rules I was not respecting on Friday. I cut faster, I protected equity, I didn’t get the run-ups you would normally expect – but I protected equity.

THE BIG PLAYS OF THE DAY for me were

  1. $THC – The exit of 4/5 s of my $THC swing from my large swing account. This type of play (which also went well with $HTZ) is a simple play – and I far too often forget to utilize it. In short the play works like this: A) You simply wait for an equity to have a premarket downdraft due to something like poor earnings or whatever. B) It needs to be an equity that you know has managed money in it and preferrably one that you know managed money will buy on the downdraft. C) Take your entry after market open when there is increasing volume (preferably before they run it up) D) Hopefully you time your entry so that you get lift quick and can set your stop and then just put your feet up and babysit it until it gets desired target based on chart (typically gap fill over a week or so). Of course it’s more complicated than that… but those are the basics – one of my most successful swing trading set-ups. And I hate to put it on the team in the room – but if you see that I’m not paying attention to this play in the mornings please please let me know if you see any equities that fit this formula!
  2. Both $SPY and $USOIL $WTI started to respond to dips and price action more normal like. What I mean by this in short (for example) is oil… oil at it’s outside range (pivots or support) should respond to buying price action – but oil has been dead for many days… today though it responded and tonight it’s alive in futures – so this is big news (being that I hit 97% of my oil entries (using the leveraged ETN $UWTI) and my total average with all plays (in small scalp compound accout and large swing account is 80% so oil is VERY IMPORTANT to my trading). And $SPY… well it started to respond properly too… I use $XIV which I know isn’t a direct correlation but I use that leveraged $ETN in such a way that I take advantage of a beatin down $VIX when $SPY gets on a rip. And being that I can compound an account 1% a day just with this simple afternoon $XIV play daily it is very important. NOW…. in both instances (especially $SPY) the response (price action and volume) wasn’t completely back to its normal state… but it was much, much better.
  3. The big trade I missed was shippers last few days (was on it with it on the watchlist I posted to the trading room yesterday – I just didn’t take it) . 08:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : Misc. Watch-list: $UGAZ (Chart), $C (Bank), $MNST (Bottom Play), $DRYS (Shipper), $THC (Bottom Play), $TPL (Trump Play), $JJC (Continued Copper Break-Out?), $AUMN (Favorite Penny play w / Gold and Silver break-out).

For me… I’m just pumped because oil is on a rip now in futures so it’s alive now and when that happens me and my little friend EPIC the Oil Algo bank. So the coming days here should be very good fishing!

DO NOT MISS THE MORNING NEWSLETTER!!!! OIL IS ALIVE!

Chatroom Transcript:

08:57 am Curtis M : Good morning! Running Scans c u before open!
09:24 am Curtis M : Momentum Open Watch: $CRBP $HAR $EBIO $OBCI $TWER and more.
09:24 am Curtis M : Crude hit support and bounced
09:28 am Curtis M : Oil Gold Silver ETE CRBP
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Scanning be right back
09:42 am GSCT . : Can you turn up your volume? You’re way low for me.
09:47 am Curtis Melonopoly : LOng $XIV short leash
09:57 am Curtis M : OUt small gain looking for re’entry $XIV
10:19 am susan w : Curtis, are you still silent? Haven’t heard anything much since the open. Thanks
10:20 am susan w : ok, heard you. Thanks
10:26 am Curtis M : Going to go see what´s shaking here with $VIX and run some scans and set up for some charting and algo plays and afternoon plays….
10:31 am Curtis M : Yeild curve is flatening some… some.. so bulls may run today and tomorrow but in to Wed looks suspicious…. anyway should be a pull back coming over next 72 hours and then w´ll see
10:31 am Curtis M : going to run some scans
10:31 am Curtis M : back in 20
11:00 am Curtis M : Long $FAZ small account
11:00 am GSCT . : Think /CL tests LOD here?
11:00 am Curtis M : It may waiting
11:03 am Curtis M : Fill $FAZ 25.76 Long Small Account
11:07 am GSCT . : DWTI 91.86 -92.96 +1%
11:17 am Curtis M : Look for the miners to perk up
11:30 am Curtis M : Oil has to regain support above purple line
11:34 am Curtis M : Going for early lunch going to prep for afternoon and some algo work in the room
11:35 am Curtis M : Back in half an hour ‘ holding $FAZ
11:38 am Curtis M : Ok set stop for lunch on $FAZ 25.30 lol catcha mid lunch hour
12:03 pm Curtis M : $NUGT got it´s pop like I thought it would but $FAZ didn´t
12:23 pm Curtis M : resetting charts back in 10 for afternoon
12:27 pm Curtis M : Okay so I nailed that $NUGT turn around so hopefully $FAZ hits here soon
12:28 pm Curtis M : Missed a few of the momos this morning but after late last week I thought best to take it easy on step at a time
12:31 pm Curtis M : scanning… back in a few
12:34 pm Curtis M : Ok so $FAZ has a bounce
12:36 pm Curtis M : My $FAZ got a bounce and $THC swing having a good day!
12:40 pm susan w : Curtis – how about USLV?
12:42 pm Curtis M : We can cover gold and silver soon here
12:43 pm Curtis M : Looking for exit on $THC swing here
12:45 pm Curtis M : Out $THC on a really decent swing account gain! 16.62 scaling out now
12:49 pm Mathew W : THC BULLISH WISEGUY ACTION: Jan17 23.0 CALLS $23k BET OPENING MULTI SWEEP THC=16.43 Ref 0.6x Usual Vol
12:49 pm Curtis M : $FAZ out small gain, $XIV snall gain earlier, $THC out 2/5 s
12:51 pm Curtis M : Out 4 / 5 of $THC holding 1 / 5 on further swing
12:54 pm Curtis M : Back in 2 mins looking at Silver quick
01:01 pm susan w : Because JNUG was moving and was thinking silver would move soon since miners were moving
01:03 pm susan w : AUMN green too Curtis
01:03 pm Curtis M : nice lol
01:05 pm susan w : My goodnes, IONS went crazy
01:08 pm Curtis M : yes lol watched $IONS
01:08 pm Mathew W : Oil getting a boost ehre as well finally
01:08 pm Mathew W : bounced off of the 61.8 fib perfectly
01:08 pm Curtis M : Long 600 shares $USLV 14.14 small account
01:15 pm Curtis M : $USLV out at 14.06 protecting small account will look for re enter 48.00 loss ish
01:16 pm Curtis M : Running scans be right back
01:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 5 calling a few oil traders and back to review oil algo
01:46 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 16.83 700 shares small account
01:47 pm Mathew W : 43.53 next res on /cl
02:07 pm susan w : curtis, AUMN jumpy
02:22 pm GSCT . : Scalped $UWTI 17.10 – 17.19
02:22 pm GSCT . : Early but needed to take some profit
02:23 pm Curtis M : Nice!
02:23 pm GSCT . : Thanks. Very hard to exit with Limit orders on Oil.
02:23 pm GSCT . : Will use pre-set sells. Or what do you recommend?
02:30 pm Curtis M : Out 16.89 small acount $UWTI small win Beers and hotdogs
02:32 pm GSCT . : Thanks!
02:34 pm Curtis M : Back in 10 or so for one more today hopefully ‘… really pumped that oil got positive.. watch red algo line
02:49 pm Curtis M : Long $XIV 38.72 small account 400 share taking trades around possible turn around and will size in with swing account if confirmed
02:50 pm GSCT . : /CL ramping a bit ehre
02:51 pm GSCT . : And Gold aftesr a new bottom shortly Curtis?
02:51 pm GSCT . : after
02:52 pm GSCT . : DRYS Jesus.
02:56 pm GSCT . : Don’t see a ton of upside XIV here
02:57 pm GSCT . : Bring it
03:02 pm GSCT . : Great call Curtis.
03:05 pm GSCT . : 500 shares?
03:06 pm Curtis M : $XIV out 38.91 small gain its a start 400 shares small account
03:06 pm GSCT . : WOuld like to learn more about elasric band effect a we go along here.
03:08 pm GSCT . : HTZ was wicked.
03:11 pm GSCT . : How long has the market been off cycle? 3 months? 6?
03:13 pm Mathew W : Got stopped out of my $REN position earlier.
03:13 pm Mathew W : Hate that
03:16 pm GSCT . : How long has the market been abnormal to what you like to see is what I meant.
03:23 pm GSCT . : Thanks for the great calls today Curtis.
03:24 pm Curtis M : Have a great night!
03:24 pm Edward J : Thanks Curtis
03:24 pm Curtis M : Watch newsletter in premarket really close in morning for confirmation of oil rally, SPY rally and VIX stomp…. and then if so we´ll pivot to metals when that´s done.
03:24 pm Curtis M : You bet take care
03:46 pm Curtis M : Wow still selling in to strength no confidence to hold
03:57 pm Curtis M : Oil may go on a rip tonight and many short squeezes in small cap oil tomorrow if it does

Best and stay blessed.

Curt

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Friday Nov 11, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Trades and Alerts: Simple but BIG Lessons Here.

In general, Friday was a difficult day for me… 3 small losses – no gains. The bonds caught me off guard and caused me to re-think. Also though… the reality is some basic disciplines went out the window. Simple stuff like trade the width or in other words the pivots (the range)… but trade them with price and volume momentum. Simple… simple… stuff. Money is made intra trading the outside ranges with price movemenet with volume momentum and cut quick if wrong. Really simple. So simple it seems we can find ourselves forgetting that. But truth is just that will get you 60 – 70% success ratio in my experience. So in short…. it doesn’t matter if there was a pull-back or the bonds or what the reason is… if you don’t trade the outside range when you have price confirmation (movement in the right direction) along with volume then YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE – IT IS A GAMBLE – pure and simple.

So this coming week for me will be all about returning to the basics. When the set-up is there I will trade – if not then I will $STUDY like all of us should.

Today’s Trades And Alerts Transcript and Notes: $PTCT, $UWTI, $XIV, $EBIO, $DRYS, $JJC, $STEM

08:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : Pre-Market Gainers Watch-list: $PTCT $NVDA $MACK $JJC $RGSE $CWH $MACK $OMER $YANG $EDZ $BT $DGAZ $AMD $TVIX $DWTI $SRPT $UVXY $JNUG
08:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : Misc. Watch-list: $UGAZ (Chart), $C (Bank), $MNST (Bottom Play), $DRYS (Shipper), $THC (Bottom Play), $TPL (Trump Play), $JJC (Continued Copper Break-Out?), $AUMN (Favorite Penny play w / Gold and Silver break-out).
08:54 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-nov-11-usoil-wti-oil-dxy-dollar-vix-gld-gold-natgas/
09:02 am Curtis Melonopoly : $IAU also
09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Good morning
09:26 am Curtis Melonopoly : $EBIO, $DRYS, $PTCT, $JJC, $STEM possible for open
09:27 am Curtis Melonopoly : And NatGAS but… unlikely
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : I’ll get the other crew on other server back
09:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : $PTCT in 11.03 out 10.34 small play at 300 shares – small loss on swing account

Loss # 1 for the day – small loss. Should have cut earlier.
09:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : So Watching NATGAS for long, $JDST for pull back for long, $THC for further dip to take 2nd swing entry, $XIV for exit (likely not until Tues).
09:56 am Curtis Melonopoly : Making a few calls back in a bit
09:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : Careful with $SPY could drip all day to 214.46 ish
09:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : $JDST may not get an entry it’s not waiting
10:32 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly GOLD
10:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly SILVER
10:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens – back in 10 – 20
10:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : Marked my preferred by in $JDST 34.50 area
10:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : Waiting for $IAU to finish it’s intra uptrend
10:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : NATGAS looks like a bottom but we don’t have math locked in on it.
10:39 am Curtis Melonopoly : $SPY Could see 214.50 – could – before uptrend in to Tuesday
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DXY targets https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/789420610996678656
11:10 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out of small account $XIV from yesterday – going to try and trade out of that loss (about 1.50 I’l have to check)

Loss # 2 for the day. Swing from day before. Small loss. Should have held actually. Pivots – range etc.
11:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : 37.53 fill on sell order $XIV on small account swing from yesterday
11:20 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $TZA for $DXY break-out possible
11:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : $UUP watch instead
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Would be a nice double top if it heads south from here
12:07 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Going to get a coffee back in 20 for afternoon session – tough market for me.
01:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI 17.125 avg small account
01:32 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out $UWTI 17.03 loss

Loss # 3 for the day – for some reason I thought it was 2 – need to confirm before I post stats on my Twitter feed lol.
01:41 pm Curtis M : These markets are confused …. sitting on hands may be best.. Inflation, bonds, credit markets, currencies they´re all confused lol
01:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea things are backwards all over the place. Should have gone flat earlier in the week over here. Gold, oil, bonds, all trading crazy
01:45 pm Curtis M : $XIV going up while oil tanks… ummm
01:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Again, weird. XIV up, VIX also up. Put buying up
01:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : It doesn’t make sense
01:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think we see a big shake out before thanksgiving. And the whipsaw will be real and violent
01:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just picked up some $USLV for the occasion
01:47 pm Curtis M : I havent spun my tires like last 2 days for literally I can´t recall
01:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : I haven’t traded this hard and lost money either. Should have stayed in Palm Springs for the week
01:50 pm Curtis M : Trends will start soon enough
02:02 pm Curtis M : Theyre selling the rips so that makes it tough …
02:09 pm GSCT . : Should $NUGT correlate with an up move?
02:09 pm Curtis M : Yes
02:09 pm Curtis M : $IAU has volume
02:09 pm Curtis M : Not sure why
02:11 pm GSCT . : But your algos show Gold down more 1167(?) before ramping?
02:12 pm Curtis M : Yes
02:13 pm GSCT . : It’s how I have been trading.
02:14 pm Curtis M : Long $IAU small acount for a gamble at 11.80 800 shares
02:14 pm GSCT . : Curious about incorporating your data into my strategy.
02:15 pm GSCT . : What’s the winning percentage of your Gold algo? I tink you said oil is 90% day trade rate.
02:16 pm GSCT . : think
02:18 pm GSCT . : Wow.
02:18 pm GSCT . : But no Natty Gas algo.
02:19 pm Curtis M : Out $IAU for basicallly flat .5 cent loss

Basically flat.
02:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : OIL ramp into pit close here
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : TONS of volume in /CL contracts as well
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : don’t want to go home short crew covering their a$$
02:23 pm Curtis M : back before last hour 345 at latest checking on other traders etc
02:23 pm Curtis M : would like one last hit for the week
02:23 pm Curtis M : algo charting technical next week
02:45 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 5 – all our equipment came in today so we’re fully set up in one week! yehhaw – anyway scanning for afternoon EOD play
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I out all of my miners. Those things look horrible, and gold looks horrible. Will look for set up in $DUST moving forward via calls most likely
03:19 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend guys and gals!
03:19 pm Curtis M : I will stay close to monitors to hear alarms until end of day.
03:20 pm Curtis M : Big reports coming out for before Monday open we start with algos next week.

So that was 3 small losses… the first momo trade the loss could have been smaller and the other two I should have held – if I was respecting the range I would have but I was obviously not respecting simple fundamental principles of successful trading. Hope you learn from that!

Monday a new day!

Best and stay blessed.

Curt

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Thursday Nov 10, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from the trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc. chat deleted) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out of each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades And Alerts: $THC, $XIV, $DRYS, $TUBE, $ECPG, $GLBS, $EBIO

So we did get the snap back up in the market as expected… but Thursday it slowed… especially late in the day with the bond market firing off madness.

I got out of my small account and swing account $XIV swing from the night before for my two wins and entered in small account later in day expecting a spike in oil at latest at pit close (because it has been consolidating at support) and with the recent election catalyst I ASSUMED I was safe. But nope, market went flat with bond markets and oil never got price lift. So I’m long over-night in small account $XIV and still in a $THC swing that I may add to if it sees another leg down. I think the dip was over-done.

There were (again) some morning momentum stocks that I could have entered, but I was focused on a timely exit in my $XIV holdings…. overnight swings does make that tough.

So today I have to decide whether to add to $THC or cut and with $XIV I have to decide whether to hold over weekend if the market doesn’t get some positive price action.

09:03 am GSCT . : /CL dropping here
09:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, $UWTI for bounce at algo line (red)
09:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : Gap $TUBE $LIQT $HPJ $AMDA $AEG $CLLS $MTL $UBS $WBIO $OMER
09:26 am Curtis Melonopoly : $BAC
09:27 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $XIV for exit and renter
09:27 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $THC for possible exit
09:29 am Curtis M : $XLF $TBF $TBT $TLT $BAC
09:29 am Curtis M : Also watching oil for support
09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out $XIV 40.42 avg on both small and swing

So this was win # 1 and win #2 on day and was a 39.27 entry in swing account and small account with a 40.42 exit for about 1.15 gain or 2.5% ish.

From yesterday:

02:44 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Loooking at size in $XIV in 5ths 1/5 today
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 1/10 size 39.27 scale over next 24 hours the rest
02:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV is 500 shares of 1/10 39.27

09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : reenter lunch or sooner
09:54 am GSCT . : We need some cold weather to pop /NG
10:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DXY US Dollar Index upside res 98.61, 98.78 (short term PT), 98.91, 99.17, 99.28, 99.64, 99.80
10:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : When others return from other room accept my apologies lol we’ll get it sorted before DEc 1
10:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : And the grey out will be too
10:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 20 – Sartaj working on getting the others back in to this server lol too
10:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running scans
10:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trading Plan enter $XIV and $USOIL around lunch
10:59 am Curtis Melonopoly : Ok I gotta run momo scanns so I may as well take an early lunch cause plays will ikely start earlier than normal for afternoon session
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : Catch you back here 11:40 ish
12:17 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Loading for $XIV long
12:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Big wedge building in /CL. I went into $UWTI for a starter
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : IMO this is calm before the storm
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : /CL going vertical here as well
12:56 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV small account 400 shares 39.08
12:56 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Sorry for late alert
01:06 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Whats your buy Mathew?
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : On a vol play of /cl?
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : *or
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : I took $UWTI at /cl 44.55
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : for volitility I got out of VXX puts this AM. Back in a bit earlier
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m in Nov25 VXX 30’s @.78
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Currently trading for a buck
01:22 pm Robert Norman : Are you using SMA?
01:26 pm GSCT . : I’ve been in and out of chat. DId you ahve a posotion in $XIV for this +$2 move?
01:28 pm GSCT . : have position
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : 44.80 seems to be line in the sand on /CL. someone defending
01:35 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV small account 400 shares 39.08 (previous post) still long
01:37 pm GSCT . : Cool. Thanks.
01:47 pm Curtis Melonopoly : NP – back in 20
02:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ok now going to do 2 calls back soon
02:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for swing acct entry 1/5 2000 shares at bottom of channel on $SPY
02:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $DRYS 180% lol
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Took some straight /CL contracts @44.62. Looking for a bounce off of recent support
02:51 pm GSCT . : Gold looking for the basement floor
03:06 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Gold https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/796806153351168000
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : In some $TZA lotto’s for tomorrow. Think we might see a little pullback here
03:21 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I may have to sit through a pullback we’ll see – on $XIV
03:33 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Bonds are an issue right now – but I think very short term – then ATH $SPY ramp up again Tuesday at very latest
03:38 pm GSCT . : $LABD 14.65 – 14.94
03:43 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Holding $XIV overnight – until Tues if need be while bonds sort out… and out this morning $XIV on small acct and swing acct for win. Holding $THC swing but will hammer down again up to 5 times if it drops (1/5 sized in).
03:43 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Have a great night!

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 10, 2016.

Election is Over!

Sorry, no premarket yesterday – but we did bank in the room and the alerts have been dead on.

Futures were strong as were/are world markets.

A few big things today… obvious lift in $SPY (and we’re banking on $XIV), my $THC swing I may exit soon, $HTZ should of held (it was a decent call), BASE METALS as I’ve posted on my feed will be strong mid term with infrastructure spending (Trump) and coal will be strong mid term likely.Copper is flying and shippers may take off here. Oh, and Natural Gas looks like it’s getting close to a buy zone. And as alerted tech and bio. Also, I missed the $NIKKEI snapback trade (which I wanted to catch just forgot – and yup it snapped back)

Many sectors are getting lift as we expected so it is important to stay in the zone – focus – nimble. Oil should be the story soon being it is bouncing under ceiling resistance on 200 on the 1 hr and bouncing up off 50 on the 1 hr.

 

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk FYI. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, and more in chat b4 open.

If #Silver gets up over resistance and #Gold gets flight $AUMN can double fast.

$THX is up 6% or so in pre-market – so this swing is doing ok so far – I may exit this morning though.

$WFT I am watching for follow-thru.

Regular Watchlist: $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), $SPY, $DXY, $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), more to come in trading room before market open.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX)

Well I nailed that call… what can I say. We’re going to new highs. Next eight calendar days are critical. Stay awake.

Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

From Tuesday….

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatilty. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win every-time here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

So the $VIX is right at that diagonal trendline support – but you have to be careful putting too much consideration in to diagonal supports to beging with – but even moreso with the $VIX (it isn’t like a diagonal trendline with most equities).
$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

I missed the move in the Peso… had it lined up but you can’t get every play… WE SHOULD WATCH IT THOUGH for a bit of a snapback next week perhaps.

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

The actual charting with the $DXY US Dollar isn’t broken at all… if you chekc my Twitter feed long before it got lift here I was telling folks what the algorithmic symmetry was saying… but many didn’t listen. This was an easy set-up IMO.

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Get your charting up and watch this close for a break-out. They have meetings coming up too.

Watch your 200 day on the 1 hour for resistance and 50 day on the 1 hour for support (and more recently this morning off the 100 for support) – either breach and that’s a tell. If I miss it in the room send me a DM on twitter or an email to [email protected]. Also watch the blue diagonal trendlines on the chart for resistance and support. And the purple horizontal supports and resistance. If crude gets above the 200 Day on the 1 hour and above the blue trendline above it and the purple resistance in that same area then it’s in break-out mode. DONT MISS IT AND DONT LET ME MISS IT LOL.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Obviously all base metals will be bullish, however, $GOLD is running in to some chart resistance that is wise to consider.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Pay attention to that 17.92 resistance – if #Silver can get up and over that on back-test it could fly. This would be my preferred play in the metals category. Also watch $AUMN if #SILVER gets up over 17.92. LETS NOT MISS THAT ONE EITHER.

Copper $JJC

Copper should cool soon here IMO and get some downdraft and then run again IMO.
Natural Gas – $NATGASUSD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Per previous…

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

#NaturalGas IMO is almost at a floor, watch close!!! LETS CATCH THE TRAIN HERE TOO!

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compound predictability starts Monday (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

GL GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre Market, Trading Plan, Wallstreet, Stocks, Daytrading