Post Market Wrap Up Trading Day Comments “The World is Opening Up Again”

#daytrading #swingtrading #oiltrading

RE: Post market report with VIDEO covering trade reviews on day trading, swing and oil trading alert feeds, Volatility, Oil, SPY, GOLD, SILVER, BITCOIN, APPLE, TESLA, AMAZON, TWITTER, FACEBOOK, PAGER DUTY, CHEGG, OVX, GOOGLE and more.

My first post market review on cell phone recorded on YouTube, tomorrow I’ll try the camera on my phone sideways and see if I can get a larger field of view, if not maybe I’ll hobble around with my GoPro in future.

I’ve just been shooting these videos on Twitter but I’ll start to post them to Twitter, YouTube Facebook etc. Show folks where I am in my travels while I do a quick Market Wrap Up each day after our day trading session in the trading room. Sorry about the wind.

So it looks like the world is opening up, Florida was looking normal again, busy place now again.

In my trader premarket trading note this morning could see the run up coming on the day so I sent out a second premarket guidance note before market open.

We had the move dialed in and were ready for a great day of daytrading and swing trade positioning and management of booking profits.

Market Outlook

We got the bounce today we were looking for, we expected markets Monday to be soft and Tuesday to bounce and we got it.

Swing trade alert feed below shows guidance comments Monday morning toward general intra day outlook;

“General market view – I just surveyed the best 10 traders I know, all agreed on equities – watching only (likely pop Tuesday), I am concerned about possible drop in AMZN symmetry and on oil bullish to 25 – 30, trading 22.23 FX USOIL WTI.”

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1257326486056558593

Swing trade, market outlook, alert

General market view – watching only (likely pop Tuesday), concerned about possible drop AMZN symmetry, oil bullish to 25-30 trading 22.23 FX USOIL WTI. #swingtradealerts

Crude Oil

Oil trade is on a tear, we had alerted to the swing trade and oil trade alerts feed we were expecting the next leg up for 25.00 – 30.00 and it hit 26.62 today (so far) on FX USOIL WTI. API is on deck next here with EIA tomorrow.

Crazy bullish run. We seen a few day trade set-ups today, I got one at regular USA market open and the second set-up alerted to the oil trade alerts feed was a prime set-up.

I wrote an article on the oil day trade set-up (click here) based on a 200 MA buy trigger on the one minute chart, that ended up being the best intra-day buy / continuation point in oil. The price of oil rallied 147 points to a high of day at time of writing 26.62 and looks like it is about to break higher. The article has screen shots of the oil trade alert feed and charting and a step by step how to trade the strategy.

Alert from the oil trade alert premium feed below:

“On the 1 min time frame 25.15 200 MA is attractive test for a crude oil day trade pop up scalp – trading 25.68. #oiltradealerts.”

oil trade alert, one minute, strategy

Oil trade alert premium feed 1 minute time frame 25.15 200 MA attractive test crude oil day trade scalp #oiltradealerts

Tech Leaders

Apple, Intel, Twitter we’re doing well in on our Swing Trading Alerts platform (members can refer to the charts).

Facebook, Google and Amazon I’ve sat out. I’ve always done well in all three but Amazon has a symmetry issue for a possible sell off in to beginning of September that I don’t like and the Tech leaders have other geo political black swan potential that I outlined in detail on the Swing Trading Alert Premium feed that our subscribers should review.

I may still take trades in $FB $GOOGL $AMZN but any of the tech leaders I will hold only with hard stops, again, the explanation is on the swing trade alert feed.

Gold, Silver, Bitcoin.

The swing trades, alerts and chart models have been running well in Gold, Silver and Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is stronger because of the BTC specific halving event and the 1200.00 cheques from the Fed.

Silver continues to struggle, I’ve explained to members – I think the most recent explanation for this expectation for Silver was on the weekend Swing Trading $STUDY videos, I go in to an explanation there. Silver is on the first of four videos from that $STUDY session.

And Gold is expected to be moderately strong and continue to trade well within the structure chart model that has been on point for many months.

Again, look at weekend $STUDY videos for details, charts and trading plan(s) for Bitcoin, Gold and Silver.

Volatility $VIX $OVX

Volatility is getting close to support / but triggers, we have a plan to accumulate in to the end of August 2020 that the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY videos review.

A warning toward volatility surprises between here and election. Volatility, tech leaders and the whole market.

Miscellaneous Other Swing Trades.

TESLA I am shorting at key resistance points. This is my current nemesis.

CHEGG has been a payday swing trade over and over, today was quite a run up.

Pager Duty (PD) swing trade has been decent.

TGTX swing trade paid big on my 10% remaining runner today.

Apple (AAPL) had a big day, we continue to do very well with Apple swing trades, the model is very precise that we use. 

Many more.

Daytrading Alert Feed.

Looking to get that new day trading alert feed rocking because I want maxed out Swing Trading positioning for personal best returns in the next two time cycles in the markets in to end of August, through election and thereafter. Basically I want to be able to size in to themes in to the election and the best way to do that is to have the swing trading models all firing also on a daytrading time-frame for the highest possible return on the trades.

How About that Mortality Rate?

The End of the World Didn’t Happen!

Looks like it wasn’t the end of the world after-all (at least not this round), so I’m going to get some new free diving gear this weekend and start hitting it deep again next week. A pic of my front yard below a friend sent me today.

2020 Trader’s Summit.

The minute we’re all off lock down I will be announcing our 2020 trader’s summit. Don’t miss this event in Cabarete Dominican Republic. This is 3 days of 12 hours a day deep study and trading with myself and our lead trader group.

Members get first pick on the in person seats (10). Price is 1999.00 and current members will be discounted 50%. If you can’t make it you can attend online (25 person maximum).

Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Sessions.

Do not miss these swing trade study sessions, for 100.00 we serve up 10 session blocks of 4 hours of weekly deep trade set-up study. If you don’t 10x 100x or more return on that investment you should quit trading.

Weekly Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinars 7-11 PM.

Prepare for Trading Week Set-Ups (Trades On Watch).

100.00/10 Weeks (40 hrs of study) members 50.00. Video provided if you can’t attend live.

$CL_F $USO $WTI $SPY $VIX $GLD $GC_F $SLV $BTC $USD $DXY

Written reports will be out tonight for the follow up on the Sunday Swing Trading $STUDY session. Also new set ups, chart models and trading strategies coming for other new trades in play.

And don’t forget, pins can be pulled and likely will – stay awake and use stops if need be (see screen shots in tweets below)

Peace and best ,

Curt

Article topics; post market, market, review, trades, day trading, swing trading, oil trading, alerts, Volatility, Oil, SPY, GOLD, SILVER, Bitcoin, APPLE, TESLA, AMAZON, TWITTER, Facebook, Pager Duty, CHEGG, OVX, GOOGLE 


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PART 1: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles and Achieve Much Higher Gains (ROI) in Equities, Commodities, Indices, Crypto and Theme Trades. 

In my opinion, this is the single most important skill a trader can possess, charting and trading time-cycle inflections within the markets.

Below is Part 1 of my new $STUDY guide series for swing traders and daytraders alike.

I am asked all the time why my Swing Trading win percentage is high, most assume I am a mystic of some sort because I always write about or share on social media charting or comments relating to market time-cycles. Seriously, people message me all the time with these sorts of assertions or questions.

In the technical analysis work I do in time-cycles there is nothing mystic about it at all. I don’t sit on a tripod, I don’t meditate (at least in the way you might imagine), I don’t look to the stars or special numbers. I use structural mathematical chart modeling and more often than not geometric charting structures built on Fibonacci levels.

Every financial instrument has a natural trading structure, patterns or as some refer to it as chart memory.

In nature all entities have a natural order or structure, this is the premise of Fibonacci. Financial instruments are natural in that they are traded on public markets by humans – this makes the instruments natural in structure.

However, there are times where specific events such as world calamities occur like COVID-19 Black Swan Event, the Iraq war, the 911 terrorist attack etc.

During these times the trading structure of financial instruments is more often than not divergent – or trading outside of its natural structure.

Central bank intervention (QE) can also cause divergent trade within a stock, commodity, indices etc as can company news (referring to publicly traded stocks). The smaller the company the more opportunity for divergent trade outside of the natural structure. Here the trade instrument or market liquidity becomes important.

If then random events cause the natural trade action of a stock (or whatever) to not be normal this is usually accompanied by increased volatility. A great example of this is the recent COVID-19 Black Swan Event and how it affected various markets around the world.

A specific example can be seen in the trade action of crude oil futures, and more specifically the trade volatility of crude oil, which is called or traded as symbol $OVX . Oil volatility (OVX) was trading in the 20’s (where we were accumulating based on time cycle work) and when the Black Swan event hit the price of $OVX Oil Volatility hit 334.00s, an incredible win. This was all based on time cycle work.

Below is a chart showing the trade action of OVX (Oil Volatility) during the COVID-19 Black Swan Event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.

So if we know that specifically time cycle events (that normally come with increased volatility) occur within public markets then is it possible that knowing the structure of volatility (VIX) itself and related financial instruments such as oil volatility (OVX) can assist with a trader’s bias for trading various stocks, metals, currencies, crypto, indices and more?

The answer is yes. But it gets better.

Each instrument itself has its own natural order, or structure. The instrument structure say for example with Apple (AAPL) stock can then be charted on various time-frames from weekly, daily, hourly etc (we chart on thirteen time-frames). This provides a trader with the structure of timing for volatility and price trajectory on various time-frames, for investing, swing trading and daytrading.

And it even gets better (like the TV commercials haha) because when a trader understands how the volatility (VIX) and market time-cycles can line up and also with various themes (for example stock or sector themes) then things get really interesting for your ROI because now you have all structures of trade firing together in a symbiotic fashion. It becomes pure trading ecstasy.

This my friends is why our swing trading platform is so successful and why we structure our trade bias the way we do.

When the iron is hot we strike (time cycles) and when it cools we are taking profit and in deep $STUDY of the financial instrument structures and time cycles.

Another recent example is when the market bull seemed as though it would never stop, and four days before it stopped in a very volatile fashion we publicly announced that we were taking our profits and leaving our long positions behind, we cashed out. This, was done with time cycle work.

The tweet below explains (and shows the actual swing trade alerts) of some of our time cycle work,

I am explaining that I knew about the Black Swan event coming (called it Dec 19, 2019) and then on February 13, 2020 4 days before the market started to collapse we publicly announced we were taking our profits in the bull run home and closing longs.

And then even better yet, we sized in to shorting NIKE, WYNN and MASTERCARD for epic wins. This is where your profits are, in the time cycle inflections, everything else is $STUDY and positioning (managing size and getting your position and trajectory of trade right for the boom).

“Dec 19 call for pins to be pulled, last time cycle published, Feb 13 out of long positions 90% (publicly) then we hammered down short $NKE $WYNN $MA etc..

Why is this important?

For a victory lap? How bout truth.

#Timecycles, market instrument structure.

Natural law.”

 

So in part two of this article (it will be Premium member only) we will look specifically at Volatility (VIX) and how the time cycles within volatility work and then we’ll move to various stock theme swing trades we are looking at in this current time cycle along with also doing some articles over the coming days on the trade set-ups within this cycle for crypto, metals, indices, currencies and more.

This time period now is all about getting ready, understanding how time cycles work, starting to get our positioning in the various themes of trade and watching for the trajectories to line up between now and the peak of the next time cycle and the one after.

Also, before I forget, I am also going to be covering in articles for our members soon the need for a proper trading plan before entering your trade including how to size your trade, how to ebb and flow the support and resistance within the structure, sizing and trading the time cycle inflections of the instrument and more.

If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Part Two in this $STUDY Series can be found here:

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

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Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

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Article Topics; swing trading, time cycles, volatility, VIX, stocks, commodities, crypto, metals, indices, trading, currencies, Fibonacci, charting, markets, black swan events

 


IMPORTANT: Trading Team Note

This is likely one of the more important notes you will ever receive from me, the upcoming time-cycles are going to be historically important, the biggest in history past, present and future.

RE:  More Intra-Day Trading Near (Time Cycle Inflections)

Applies to: Live Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Swing Trade Alerts. Stocks, SP500, $SPY, OIL, $CL_F, $USO, GOLD, $GLD, $GC_F, SILVER, $SLV, BITCOIN, $BTC, Volatility, $VIX, US Dollar, $DXY

Good evening team,

The recent time cycle that peaked last week was spot on, we nailed the run up (many plays in equities were 2-6x hits) and then the down (OVX 20s to 340s, VIX we nailed, shorting MasterCard, Nike and WYNN with size and many more) and then the recent bounce has been good to us and we sold the day before and early morning of the pull back in Wednesday trade.

The time cycles we follow were spot on and have been now for near 5 years – this is a considerable advantage in our overall bias with trade positioning and themes (more on this in another note).

For those that are not aware, our swing trading platform easily returns triple digits per year and this year we expect 4 digit returns+ and the win rate is high – easily 80%+ sometimes better. You are welcome to inspect our alert feed anytime to confirm for yourself.

Why do I point this out?

Because we are now entering another turn (we’re in the turn now). Time cycle inflections are important.

This particular time cycle inflection from the first week of April 2020 (peak) to the last week of August 2020 peak is going to be aggressive and we expect the next after that in to the US election to be even more so.

In fact, we expect the volatility or better described as range of markets to increase for at least the next 4 time cycles and even likely in to mid 2022 and possibly in to 2025.

We have been spot on so far with our forecasts and don’t expect different anytime soon, it is simply math and natural order.

So why am I sending this notice to our trading team?

In this inflection (turn) in to and running to the last week of August it is important we are really on top of the inflections in stocks (equities), oil trading and commodities, volatility, indices and the Dollar.

We make the majority of our profit in inflections. There are periods we are quiet and then boom it’s time to go, it is in the “GO” where the money is made.

The next “GO” should be at latest this time next week, by then we should start to see inflections in the markets to really size in to themes of trade. If you study our swing trading alert feed you will see the quiet times and then BOOM it’s GO TIME and then quiet and so on.

In this particular turn and in the other time cycle inflections over the next few years I will be doing a lot more intra day and intra week swing trading (really it is better described as inflection theme trading).

More specifically, I will be more active, higher frequency, working the edges of the ranges to get sizing in to the inflection trades. This means a very active trading room and the alert feeds too of course. Click here for oil trade alerts and here for swing trade alerts.

We have a new internet line being run sometime between now and then that will allow for considerably better stability for the machine trading and the simple live voice broadcasting in the room, until then, if you cannot hear something because of internet or click meeting server issues (COVID life internet issues with everyone working from home) let me know, email me and I’ll send you a note on the set-up.

Between now and then (early to mid next week) I will be in deep $STUDY preparing all of our set-ups. We have 200 stocks (equities) modeled on our trading platform that in large part need to be updated and then also the models for SPY, OIL, GOLD, SILVER, DXY, VIX and Bitcoin. The chart models take a lot of work to update, so if you don’t hear from me that is why haha.

If there are any trade set-ups you want me to review be sure to send them on email.

If you are not a member of the trading room because of the cost send me a note (I get it, it’s not cheap, the alerts are much more affordable I know) but I will find a way to get you a long term subscription and that brings the monthly cost way way down and reasonable for anyone to access (if you are wanting to attend the trading room, it works out to 3,000.00 year or about 9.00 a day with the 50% discount and there are ways to finance that).

If nothing else, get in to those Sunday Swing Trading $STUDY sessions, they’re cheap, literally the cost of coffee, 10 session blocks at 100.00 at 4 hours a session = 40 hours of intense trade set-up study for 100.00 and 50% less for current members of Compound Trading Group. Cheap. Non member price 100.00. Current member price 50.00 (use code “webinar50”). If you can’t attend we send a video report out to everyone anyway.

Yes, I am pushing you, for good reason.

I intentionally brought the swing $STUDY session pricing down to next to zero so everyone has an opportunity in these time cycles. There are no excuses. I cannot stress enough how much your future self will thank you for being in it to win it between now and the global financial reset coming.

Oh and we’re running another trader’s conference (10 in person, 20 online) as soon as the borders open again and everyone can fly – current clients get first pick on the 10 seats in person (see tweet thread and video).

And if there’s anything else I can assist with please do not hesitate to reach out because the next few time cycles will be life changing for traders that are ready for them. I mean that in a very literal way. Our returns could easily spike to 5 digit returns, I’m not exaggerating – these are HUGE time cycle coming. 

Other items of note are that 1. our crude oil machine trading is introducing CFD’s in the next few weeks, so this is huge because then smaller accounts will be able to increase the win rate considerably (more on this in a near term article) and 2. yes I am going to give in and do some mainstream articles, they’ve been asking for years and more recently more (our time cycle work has them wondering haha) and I think some people need to know about the opportunity right in front of them – I do have a sense of obligation to that (see tweet thread).

Peace and best,

Curt 

Reminder to existing clients! If you are on Whatsapp and want to have the fastest direct access to my trading desk send your whatsapp number to [email protected] and I’ll connect to you there also.

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

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Good morning traders,

Another quick note and another relatively calm day in terms of trading expected.

We took some new positioning in volatility this morning, trimmed our swing long in crude oil significantly (what an excellent trade, worked well) and are managing current positions in small ways.

This weekend is the huge time cycle inflection, our bias and trade positioning will be right in the center until next week, so please have patience as we wish to stay safe prior to cycle peak and then next week our trade positioning will increase out of and in to new time cycle peak end of August 2020.

Machine trading literally clipped top tick in crude oil yesterday so it was a great day and the black swan EPIC v3 machine trading updates have been performing well. This morning the oil volatility says use caution, lots of news flow on the OPEC++. How do you like the Saudi oil bigs play? Could be genius, yet to be seen.

I will be in live trading room at open but only broadcasting voice as active trade starts, until next week it’s more about $STUDY and prep and our time is being put toward that as possible.

Also, we have some announcements coming early next week about good changes for our trading group but I will leave it until we are past the weekend to begin sharing, for now lets focus on risk management and $STUDY in preparation for the next.

If you need anything at all [email protected].

Thanks

Curt

Links:

Top Gainers in #Premarket Hours $USWS $BIG $APA $BNTX $TRTX $HAL $MUR $CLR $NRZ $AGNC $VNE $OXY $GUSH $GSX marketchameleon.com/Reports/PremarketTrading

We may have told you these #timecycles would be a volatility first, in fact, we are telling you instruments will blow up, people are going to be amazed, $OVX 20s to 300s was a primer, historic opportunity  $VIX Current Stock Volatility Unheard Of https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1248215896793001994

The gold market is showing no signs of going back to normal https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-09/gold-market-isn-t-going-back-to-normal-as-spreads-stay-wide #swingtrading $GLD $GC_F #Gold https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1248225885465051136

EPIC v3 crude oil machine trading / alerts literally traded the top tick of the session, 24 – 26.40 just like that, wow #boomtown #OOTT $CL_F $USO #oiltradealerts

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

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Free Mailing List(s):

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