Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday November 21, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • Nov 21 – Lead trader in attendance to live trading room at open, EIA, mid day review and as required through the day.
  • Nov 12 Member Update (click) Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
  • Live Trading Room (as lead trader is available) is a 24 hour trading room (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November / December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.

Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.

Per previous;

If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 6:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.81, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 54.37, Gold $GLD trading 1223.40, Silver $SLV trading 14.41, $SPY 265.53 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4518.00 and $VIX trading 21.7.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

FAANG STOCKS EXTEND GAINS, NOW UP BETWEEN 1.2 PCT AND 3 PCT PREMARKET

Low float on watch $ANY $INPX $GLBS $PXS 

Momos on watch $ICTY $MDIN $NHPI $KRFG $PGUS $LCLP $WWIO $INKW

20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12737960 $FL $ABIL $BZUN $ADSK $BJ $LTM $HTBX $XRF $ANY $DE $CAL $BILI

News: 

Equity contagion spreads to credit, deepening worries on growth. GE woes, rising Fed rates are weighing on bonds. Spreads probably haven’t widened enough, Goldman says. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-21/equity-contagion-spreads-to-credit-deepening-worries-on-growth …

iPhone $AAPL Assembler Foxconn Warns of Difficult and Competitive Year, to Eliminate 10% of Non-Technical Staff – Bloomberg

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

Deere’s stock drops after earnings and revenue rose less than expected

#earnings for the week

$JD $TGT $BBY $LOW $KSS $TJX $BZUN $LB $GWGH $DE $INTU $URBN $$ROST $MDT $SPB $ADSK $CPB $PSTG $JT $A $ADI $LEJU $JEC $SOL $JACK $HRL $BILI $FL $GPS $GHG $BJ $BECN $QD $KEYS $DY $BRKS $NUAN $VBLT $SSI $NM $SFL $NJR $MMS $KLIC

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

There have been a few paper cuts executed on machine trading side in oil trade last few days – report will detail when released.

VIX MACD on close watch today, could cross up and we could see escalation quick $VIX $TVIX $UVXY

VIX, chart, MACD, premarket

VIX MACD on close watch today, could cross up and we could see escalation quick $VIX $TVIX $UVXY

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

SP500, daily, chart

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5Things
-U.S. accuses China of IP theft
-OPEC’s Texas headache
-Markets rise
-Calls for fiscal coordination
-Data due…
https://bloom.bg/2DCiCBP

Morgan Stanley says bear market starting. GS says economy won’t go into a recession, but its research says bear market risks highest in decades. Wells Fargo says if you got cash use it.

“…the only place that people with Rolls Royce get advice from those who take the subway.”

https://twitter.com/TihoBrkan/status/1065229468166434816

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYN $ABIL $FL $QD $UGAZ $BRZU $BZUN $MBT $FIVE $UWT $YINN $UCO $VIPS $DB $NVDA $SNAP $AMD $SQ

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

$FL Raised to $63 at Citi

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Jacobs Engineering $JEC PT Lowered to $90 Credit Suisse

Kohl’s $KSS PT Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse

$TGT Lowered to $79 Credit Suisse

$LOW Lowered to $101 Deutsche Bank

$JACK Lowered to $103 SunTrust Robinson

$CRM Lowered to $160 Piper Jaffray

$TJX Lowered to $58 Citi

$KSS Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo


Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Monday November 19, 2018.

FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).

NOTICES:

New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.

Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.

Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.

Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.

Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).

On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email info@compoundtrading.com or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions. 

Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting

Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm

Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:

Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video

Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.

The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.

In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.

This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.

Forward questions to info@compoundtrading.com, private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.

For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Oil Algorithm Observations:

Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published November 6, 2018.

Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 19 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/t0awWUTr-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Intra-day-crude-oil/

Crude, oil, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 19 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

November 19, 2018

Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals

The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).

The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 58.07 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.45 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).

Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.

More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.

The lower trading range is 50.80 – 54.45 and upper trading range 58.07 – 61.69.

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends.

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Intra-day Trading Bias

Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame. However, after the recent sell-off oil trade has held this range and could be at a near term bottom. Yet to be determined.

Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:

Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Nov 19 4:17 AM EST for the near term is indecisive. 

Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 54.45 – 58.06, 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.

Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).

Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel crude oil trade. Nov 19 503 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Oil, algorithm, up channel

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Up channel crude oil trade. Nov 19 503 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel crude oil trade. Nov 19 502 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude, oil, algorithm, down, trend

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down channel crude oil trade. Nov 19 502 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.

Per recent report example:

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/D0Cr5zPo-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Hidden-pivot-locati/

pivots, oil, chart, crude

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Per recent example;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KZPGrSny-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V2-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, machine, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Per recent example;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zBBnd8C8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V1-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, algorithm, machine, trading

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals

Per recent example:

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/En2yVHMl-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-Nov-6-139-AM/

crude, oil, daytrading, chart, algorithm

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time. Nov 6 1241 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.

Monthly Oil Chart:

See recent link post below for current charting:

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade lost 200 MA, MACD turning down, Stoch RSI turn down. Nov 6 1254 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/H4fj10qu-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-lost-200-MA-MACD-turning-down-S/

crude, oil, monthly, chart

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade lost 200 MA, MACD turning down, Stoch RSI turn down. Nov 6 1254 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Weekly Crude Oil Charts:

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, Nov 19 446 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/bpL6IExZ-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trendline-chart-Nov-19-446-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI-C/

crude, oil, weekly, chart, trend, lines

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, Nov 19 446 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Per recent;

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge chart. Nov 6 1252 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ND0zG9yp-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-chart-Nov-6-1252-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

crude, oil, wedge, chart

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge chart. Nov 6 1252 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Daily Oil Charts:

Crude Oil Daily Chart MACD still turned down but possibly a bottom. Nov 19 452 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9kFKTgBF-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-MACD-still-turned-down-but-possibly-a-bott/

Crude, Oil, Daily, Chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart MACD still turned down but possibly a bottom. Nov 19 452 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

Per recent example:

Crude Oil Daily Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/70dWoKan-Crude-Oil-Symmetry-Chart-Nov-6-104-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI-CL-F-USO-C/

crude, oil, symmetry

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

240 Minute Crude Oil Charts:

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds, Nov 19 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/RlFIj3s4-Crude-Oil-240-Min-trading-spigot-concept-chart-for-trims-and-ad/

240 Min, Oil, Chart

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds, Nov 19 459 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Crude Oil 240 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 440 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/xWwWbcgR-Crude-Oil-240-Min-Simple-Algorithmic-Chart-Model-Nov-19-440-AM-F/

Crude, oil, 240 min, chart

Crude Oil 240 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 440 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

30 Minute Crude Oil Chart:

Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/vaEReaNt-Crude-Oil-30-Min-Simple-Algorithmic-Chart-Model-Nov-19-434-AM-FX/

crude, oil, algorithmic, chart

Crude Oil 30 Min Simple Algorithmic Chart Model Nov 19 434 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):

Nov 19 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.

Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:

Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:

Nov 19 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.

Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Subscribe to Service Here:

Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Connect:

Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/

Website: https://compoundtrading.com

Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/

Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n

Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…

Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading

Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…

StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading

Email: https://info@compoundtrading.com

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

 

Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F


Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Gen 2 Tuesday November 6, 2018.

FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).

NOTICES:

New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.

Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.

Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.

Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.

Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).

On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email info@compoundtrading.com or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions. 

Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting

Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm

Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:

Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video

Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.

The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.

In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.

This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.

Forward questions to info@compoundtrading.com, private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.

For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Oil Algorithm Observations:

Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published November 6, 2018.

Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 6 1212 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/59ndTtW8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Intra-day-crude-oil/

crude, oil, algorithm, intraday

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Nov 6 1212 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

November 6, 2018

Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals

The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).

The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.31 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 61.69 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).

Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.

More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.

The lower trading range is 58.07 – 61.69 and upper trading range 65.31 – 68.93.

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends. In recent time, trade could be described as being in a retrace / moderately range bound.

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Intra-day Trading Bias

Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.

Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:

Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Nov 6 131 AM EST for the near term is bearish. 

Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.07 to 61.69, 61.70 to 65.31, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.

Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).

Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel. Nov 6 1215 AM

Crude, oil, algorithm downtrend

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel. Nov 6 1215 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel. Nov 6 1213 AM

crude, oil, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel. Nov 6 1213 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.

Per recent report (as an example):

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/D0Cr5zPo-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Hidden-pivot-locati/

pivots, oil, chart, crude

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil. 240 Min trade spigot concept chart for trims adds Nov 6 1244 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/PVabWESI-Crude-Oil-240-Min-trade-spigot-concept-chart-for-trims-adds-Nov/

Crude, oil, add, trim, signal, chart

Crude Oil. 240 Min trade spigot concept chart for trims adds Nov 6 1244 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Per recent;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KZPGrSny-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V2-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, machine, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Per recent;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zBBnd8C8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V1-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, algorithm, machine, trading

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/En2yVHMl-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-Nov-6-139-AM/

crude, oil, daytrading, chart, algorithm

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time. Nov 6 1241 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.

Monthly Oil Chart:

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade lost 200 MA, MACD turning down, Stoch RSI turn down. Nov 6 1254 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/H4fj10qu-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-lost-200-MA-MACD-turning-down-S/

crude, oil, monthly, chart

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade lost 200 MA, MACD turning down, Stoch RSI turn down. Nov 6 1254 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Weekly Crude Oil Chart:

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge chart. Nov 6 1252 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ND0zG9yp-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-chart-Nov-6-1252-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

crude, oil, wedge, chart

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge chart. Nov 6 1252 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

 

Daily Oil Charts:

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MACD still turned down. Nov 6 1258 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/d2k0DicB-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-200-MACD-still-turned-down-Nov-6-1258-AM/

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MACD still turned down. Nov 6 1258 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/70dWoKan-Crude-Oil-Symmetry-Chart-Nov-6-104-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI-CL-F-USO-C/

crude, oil, symmetry

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart. Nov 6 104 AM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, support taken out.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/uA89HSTd-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trendline-chart-support-taken-out-FX-USOIL-W/

Trendliine, chart, crude, oil

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, support taken out. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Per recent;

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/SbXd2ONi-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trendline-chart-trade-at-50-MA-and-near-suppo/

crude, oil, trendline, chart

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):

Nov 6 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.

Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:

Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:

Nov 6 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.

Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Subscribe to Service Here:

Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Connect:

Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/

Website: https://compoundtrading.com

Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/

Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n

Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…

Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading

Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…

StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading

Email: https://info@compoundtrading.com

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

 

Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F


Yes, You Read That Right, This Crude Oil Signal Sees 153 Tick Day Trade Win in Crude Oil.

And the best part – it is a winning alert signal approximately 90% of the time. Back-tested and proven.

You can investigate the validity of my claim by studying our oil newsletter (algorithm model posts) – we make them public – they are unlocked historically).

On my last crude oil trading strategy report two days ago (October 28) I wrote;

“I wouldn’t be surprised at this point to see a bounce in price, however, the weekly wedge support now becomes resistance. If price breaches the previous support (now resistance) then trades should be ready for a retest of previous support before possible higher”.

Today there was an intra-day 153 tick move in trade of crude oil for a fantastic day trading set-up. The signals on the algorithm model were very clear.

Unfortunately for us I was in a business conference meeting and our tech (Jeremy) was on a conference with a broker programming one of the last Python API’s for the machine trading platform – we didn’t execute on the signal for a trade.

But that doesn’t mean we didn’t know the set-up was in play.

The oil trading algorithm report explains this very set-up in detail (members receive the report weekly) and the set-up was signaled to members in the oil trading room.

Rich (a long time member at Compound Trading) at 9:39 AM alerted the crude oil trade signal for the day-trade long in the oil trading room on Discord.

Below is a snap-shot (screen shot) of the chat in the oil chat room.

crude, oil, trade, alert, signal, trading room

Rich (a long time member at Compound Trading) at 939 AM alerted crude oil trade signal day-trade in oil trading room.

Here’s how the trade set-up was in play:

Crude oil sold off heavy in to open. It then sells off through the quadrant support on the oil algorithm but in to the main swing trading support range on the algorithm. Oil trade bottomed at 65.31 of FX USOIL WTI at 9:15 AM (white arrow on chart below).

On the 1 minute chart below at 10:46 AM trade pops (green arrow on chart) out of tight consolidation (after popping at support on the model) and runs to a high of day at 12:07 PM to 66.84.

Rich’s signal alert above in the oil chat room was for trade to hit 67.10 by Wednesday morning (at time of writing it is late Tuesday night and that target hasn’t hit yet but is very possible at the time he quoted possible for tomorrow morning).

crude, oil, sell-off, open

Crude oil sells off in to open, bottoms 65.31 915 AM, 1046 AM pops out of consolidation, high of day 1207 PM 66.84 #crudeoil #trading

Crude oil trade high of day was 66.84 at 12:07 PM near trend-line resistance on 1 minute oil chart for a 153 tick gain – what a daytrade!

crude, oil, chart, HOD

Crude oil high of day 66.84 1207 PM near trendline on 1 minute oil chart. #crude #oil #trading

Above were two conventional one minute oil charts to show you what happened on the day. Below are screen shots of the oil algorithm and how clear the signals were for the trade.

Crude oil trade touches main swing trading support on EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and bounces (gray thick horizontal line on the chart and yellow arrow).

crude, oil, algorithm, support, trade

Crude oil trade touches main swing trading support on EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and bounces #crude #oil #algorithm #trading

The next day-trading signal and further confirmation for a long position on the day was the 10:30 AM 30 minute candle when trade bounced perfect off the machine trading support line (yellow diagonal line on chart and green arrow).

intraday, oil, trade, support

The next daytrading signal was the 1030 AM 30 minute candle bounced perfect off machine trading support line.

Then the signal to close the long crude oil day-trade was much clearer and precise – it was when the price of crude oil hit the key intra-day resistance on the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm charting highlighted with a red arrow on the chart below.

daytrade, crude, oil, signal, close

The signal to close the long crude oil daytrade was when price hit the key intraday resistance on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm. #daytrading #crude #oil

As in the previous report I continue in this bias, “until there is a bounce, retrace and confirmed reversal the bias is short at resistance. The opposite will be true when a reversal is confirmed”. 

But nothing beats this best of class trade signal for crude oil traders (I repeat from my previous post);

“Bottom line, the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm continues to reward those that take long positions at support (channel support and quad support) and short at resistance areas of the algorithmic trading model. This will be my focus and I know the machine trading tech(s) will be focused primarily to those areas of trade also”.

Our oil algorithm is now near two years old and has proven time and time again that it provides the most predictable oil trading signals I have been able to find on the market, and this specific signal (outlined in this article) is the most predictable best crude oil signal of them all.

Where can you find a trading set-up that executes for a win at 150+ ticks intra-day in crude oil trade with a probability of approximately 90%? Test it and tell me I’m wrong.

One trade a month pays 1500.00 per month at 1 oil futures contract size.

Follow this link for a detailed description of my longer term crude oil trading strategy review at this post.

Increase Your Crude Oil Trading With These Tools.

  • There is a link below to our oil trading academy page that has a number of links to articles on our site,.
  • You can book private online trade coaching via Skype.
  • Join our live trading room.
  • Sign on to our oil trading alert feed subscription, (alerts are on a private member Twitter feed).
  • Sign on to our weekly algorithm reporting that provides the algorithm model, conventional charting, guidance for the week etc.
  • Attend a trading boot camp (in person or online).
  • Request via email the videos of our most recent trading boot camp or the master class series videos (both sets are approximately 20 hours each). They are available only by email request at this time by emailing info@compoundtrading.com. Soon they will be posted to our shop on website.

Thanks

Curt

Any questions let me know!

Further Reading to Help You Trade Oil:

Find more posts like this one on our Oil Trading Academy Page – links to numerous oil trade strategy reports.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Our Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Best, Crude, Oil, Day Trading, Signals, Strategy, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Chart Report (EPIC) w/ Machine Trading Gen 2 Thursday October 25, 2018.

FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).

NOTICES:

New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.

Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.

Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches. All bundle members can access the live oil trading room when active also.

Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.

Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 (time-stamped, live alert, recorded).

On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email info@compoundtrading.com or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions. 

Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting

Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm

Recent articles / videos from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:

Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video

Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

For the more articles / videos available visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil page here.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available on our shop page.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on Twitter feed and/or this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithmic model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am presented on (and used on) conventional trade charting as one would normally use.

The goal is to provide oil traders with signals for an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.

In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing.

This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on with oil related financial instruments.

Forward questions to info@compoundtrading.com, private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.

For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Oil Algorithm Observations:

Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX USOIL WTI published October 25, 2018.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/7IdiDp5X-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Intra-day-crude-oil/

Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:

crude, oil, algorithm, trading, intraday

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 25 817 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

October 25, 2018

Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals

The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).

The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).

Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.

More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.

The lower trading range is 61.72 – 65.32 and upper trading range 68.93 – 72.53.

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week up-trends or down-trends. In recent time, trade could be described as being in a retrace / moderately range bound.

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Intra-day Trading Bias

Intra day bias is down side trade as the MACD is turned down on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.

Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:

Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Oct 25, 2018 9:17 PM EST for the near term is bearish. 

Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.

Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).

Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Machine Trading Generation 2 models per below in this report.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

crude, oil, downtrend, channel

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Down trend channel scenario Oct 25 907 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

crude, oil, uptrend, channel

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel scenario Oct 25 906 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Gen 1 and Gen 2 Algorithmic Oil Trading Machine Driven Model Development.

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/D0Cr5zPo-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen1-V5-EPIC-Hidden-pivot-locati/

pivots, oil, chart, crude

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Hidden pivot locations. Oct 25 831 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/NSCXjzxM-Crude-Oil-240-Min-trading-spigot-concept-chart-for-trims-and-ad/

crude, oil, concept, chart,

Crude Oil. 240 Min trading spigot concept chart for trims and adds Oct 25 152 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Per recent;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KZPGrSny-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V2-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, machine, trading, algorithm

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Per previous;

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zBBnd8C8-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-Gen2-V1-EPIC-Machine-trading-int/

Crude, oil, algorithm, machine, trading

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT

Generation 1 Day-Trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/RjS5gats-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-frame-Sept-2/

crude, oil, 1 min, chart, daytrading

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 25 927 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Per recent;

During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days

7:58 AM update Sept 17:

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/dn38QRqh-Crude-Oil-Day-Trading-Chart-Signals-1-minute-time-frame-Sept-1/

Crude, oil, chart, 1 min

Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart

Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.

Monthly Oil Chart:

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9wGwel6j-Crude-Oil-Monthly-Chart-Trade-between-100-and-200-MA-Stochastic/

crude, oil, monthly, chart

Crude Oil Monthly Chart. Trade between 100 and 200 MA Stochastic RSI turned down. Oct 25 132 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Weekly Crude Oil Chart:

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/aYEzwmwK-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-magnified-chart-with-additional-Fi/

crude, oil, weekly, chart, pivots, magnified

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge magnified chart with additional Fibs. Oct 25 145 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

Crude Oil. Weekly chart wedge perspective chart. Oct 25 135 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/IMu0XYNE-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-wedge-perspective-chart-Oct-25-135-PM-F/

crude, oil, chart, weekly, wedge

Daily Oil Charts:

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/J7a3LZEK-Crude-Oil-Daily-Chart-200-MA-tested-twice-this-week-to-upside-O/

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart 200 MA tested twice this week to upside. Oct 25 120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/TNZvnPPH-Crude-Oil-Symmetry-Chart-in-play-Oct-25-118-PM-FX-USOIL-WTI-CL/

crude, oil, symmetry, chart

Crude Oil Symmetry Chart in play. Oct 25 118 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO Crude oil daily trading chart.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/SbXd2ONi-Crude-Oil-Weekly-trendline-chart-trade-at-50-MA-and-near-suppo/

crude, oil, trendline, chart

Crude Oil. Weekly trendline chart, trade at 50 MA and near support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/KNF3VchK-Crude-Oil-Weekly-chart-magnified-trading-between-20-MA-and-50/

crude, oil, trendline, chart, magnified

Crude Oil. Weekly chart magnified, trading between 20 MA and 50 MA this week.. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #trading

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):

Oct 25 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.

Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:

Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:

Oct 25 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.

Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Subscribe to Service Here:

Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Connect:

Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/

Website: https://compoundtrading.com

Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/

Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n

Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…

Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading

Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…

StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading

Email: https://info@compoundtrading.com

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

 

Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 24, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition:  Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD  and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
    • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.

October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).

Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.

$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.

October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.

I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.95, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.90, Gold $GLD trading 1229.05, Silver $SLV trading 14.69, $SPY 273.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 20.7.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $ESEA $PLAG $VBIV $TRVG 

20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12556095 $PLAG $TRVG $NEO $ALXN $TRPX $STM $IRBT $TXN $SIX $OC $T

News: 

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:

IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCU

What will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading

$MCD, McDonalds, premarket, trading, plan

MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, weekly, chart

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401

premarket, trading, plan, crude, oil

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That’s all I’ll say. They stealin’ from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.

Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support!

Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility

Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA $PLAG $TRVG $TTNP $GLBS $TRPX $SLS $DCIX $TROV $TOPS $BA $DDD $FCX $SIRI $TSLA $P

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 23, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, VIX, $MCD Cat, Harley, Lockheed, 3M and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 23 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
    • https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 23 Trading Plan: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).

Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.

$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.

October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.

I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:06 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.02, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.06, Gold $GLD trading 1238.14, Silver $SLV trading 14.77, $SPY 271.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6379.00 and $VIX trading 23.7.

Crude oil futures overnight session look like… $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #Trading #OOTT.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

21 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12548153 $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $SENS $CDNS $CZR $VTVT $NBEV $TLRY $LOGI

News: 

Biting bears sink world shares to 1-year low https://reut.rs/2z0Xjpk

$PFE and Bain Capital Create New CNS Company, Cerevel Therapeutics
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20181023005648/en/Bain-Capital-Pfizer-Create-Cerevel-Therapeutics-New …
https://www.cerevel.com/.

Bombshell: Khashoggi Remains Discovered In Garden Of Saudi Consul General’s Home: Sky News.

Sky Sources: body parts of journalist Jamal Khashoggi who was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul have been found.

#UPDATE Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan calls for the trial in Istanbul of the Saudi suspects in the murder of journalist Jamal #Khashoggi, a crime that he said was intricately planned days in advance

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

$AXNX Axonics to offer 6.7 million shares in IPO, priced at $14 to $16 each. #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/axonics-to-offer-67-million-shares-in-ipo-priced-at-14-to-16-each-2018-10-22?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary

Analyst IPO quiet periods expiring this week for:
– Survey Money $SVMK
– Capital Bancorp $CBNK
– Arco Platform $ARCE

Earnings:

McDonald’s shares rise after earnings and same-store sales beat. #swingtrading $MCD #McDonalds

Caterpillar tops profit estimates, flags rising materials costs.

Harley’s U.S. sales plunge 13%, steepest quarterly drop in eight years https://bloom.bg/2EHDWYB

Lockheed Martin profit rises 17 percent in third quarter.

3M stock drops 7.5% after Q3 misses, downbeat guidance.

#earnings for the week

$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI

http://eps.sh/cal

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Silver, weekly, chart

Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV

Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401

premarket, trading, plan, crude, oil

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility

Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $PLAG $TVIX $CREG $UVXY $TTNP $CRMD $YANG $JNUG $NUGT $VXX

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $NXPI $AMD $PBR $TEAM $TCBI $FVCB $ZION $MTB $SNPS $CDNS $VIAB $BWA $DLPH $KALU $VFC $NEWR $CMG $BSRR

(6) Recent Downgrades: $EBAY $ENLK $ANDX $DISH $LBRT $STX $NTAP $MU $STAY $INN $AMAT $LRCX $ASML

Trevali Mining (TV:CN) $TREVF PT Lowered to Cdn$1.10 at TD Securities

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $MCD


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday October 18, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: OIL, $PTI, $ECYT, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 18 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Sept 17 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS

Sept 12 – XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert

Sept 10 – Analyzing Bitcoin Chart Patterns: Bitcoin Trade Alert – What to Expect Near Term #Bitcoin #Trading $BTC $XBT $VIX

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 18 – I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Notes per recent remain:

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Notes per recent remain.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Notes per recent…. this remains.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:

TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.

Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.

Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.

SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.

Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:58 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.65, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.48, Gold $GLD trading 1224.20, Silver $SLV trading 14.53, $SPY 279.56 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 18.2.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

25 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12526683 $PTI $YECO $ECYT $TTS $ACOR $PX $AA $STLD $ACRS $SEE $TXT $GPS $LNN $URI

News: 

Tesla signs $2 billion deal with Shanghai government, will open a plant with an annual capacity of 500,000 cars #swingtrading $TSLA

Saudi Arabia and Russia have opened the oil taps, just as they promised. Here’s a full rundown of OPEC+ output in September https://bloom.bg/2yKj7pa #Oil #OPEC #OOTT

A Turkish newspaper accuses a Saudi security official close to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman over the disappearance of #JamalKhashoggi, as Washington keeps up its cautious stance.

Northrop wins $697M defense contract https://seekingalpha.com/news/3398434-northrop-wins-697m-defense-contract?source=feed_f … #premarket $NOC.

InfraREIT’s stock set to rally after merger deal with Sempra Energy’s majority owned Oncor https://www.marketwatch.com/story/infrareits-stock-set-to-rally-after-merger-deal-with-sempra-energys-majority-owned-oncor-2018-10-18?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary.

Endocyte stock pops 50% on $2.1 bln Novartis acquisition.

$APOP Cellect Biotechnology (APOP) Reports Positive Results of Orthopedic Treatment Using ApoGraft on Enriched Stem Cells Derived from Fat Tissues.

$QURE Announces Development of a Highly Potent, Next-Generation Promoter for Liver-Directed Gene Therapies.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Software company SolarWinds lowers price range for planned IPO to $15 to $16 a share.

Canada’s Aurora Cannabis stock to start trading on the NYSE Oct. 23

Earnings:

Philip Morris shares jump 2.9% premarket after earnings top estimates.

Travelers’ profit, revenue and written premiums all rise, beat expectations.

Blackstone third-quarter profit beats estimates amid market rise –

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

#earnings for the week

$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREE

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401

premarket, trading, plan, crude, oil

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn’t have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla’s stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

NFLX, stock, chart, premarket, trading, plan

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

SQ, Square, trade alerts, chart

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

FIREYE, stock, chart

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

SHOPIFY, stock, chart

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SP500 chart

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

FB, trade, setup, swing, trade, chart

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5things
-Bonds drop on minutes
-China shares, yuan lower
-No Brexit deal
-Markets mixed
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2J7W50s

Peak Blockchain and Stablecoin Drama.

#Gold Prices Flat on Hawkish Fed Minutes –

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $PTI $ECYT $YECO $CCCL $JMU $ATAI $ERIC $PX $AA $DWT $DGAZ $HMY $CDTI $AU

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $NTRS $GIII $PTI $GLNG $UAL $USB $UBSH $NKE $NVDA $NTRS $KEYS $TXN $NXPI

Nike’s stock gains after Oppenheimer turns bullish, citing an aggressive move into digital

(6) Recent Downgrades: $WING $YUM $ENLK $GPS $TOL $PHM $NVR $DAN $SEE $NSC $CNI $UNP $ADI $MXIM $TER

Gap’s stock sinks after J.P. Morgan turns bearish, citing sales weakness and margin pressure

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, OIL, $PTI, $ECYT, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC


Crude Oil Day Trading Strategies From Our Oil Trading Room Video Footage.

If there is one thing we have seen time and time again in our crude oil futures daytrading room (see previous articles) is that our EPIC Oil Algorithm model and day traders can pin-point the buy sell signals for the reversal for intra-day trend to capture a reversal in trade.

The focus of this post is to teach you how to find the intra-day bottom when daytrading crude oil. Step by step the lead trader explains what signals to watch for to simplify the process and ensure your winning strategy.

It is important to learn how to catch the bottom of sell-offs to increase your ROI on trades and capture the next move. You may have to enter a number of trades with tight stops to get a position that is set for the move, but it is worth the time if you learn how.

#DaytradingOil #OilTradingStrategy #TradeReversal # FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO 

Main Points of Trade Strategy Covered in this Article:

  • Day trading oil signals covered in the video and post below:
    • EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm Charting.
    • Conventional Oil Charting.
    • Charting Indicators; Moving averages, squeeze momentum, MACD.
    • Time Cycles.
    • Price Targets (intra-day and weekly).
    • Trading Boxes.
    • Charting Time Frames.
    • Order Volume.
  • Short cover rally intra-day.
  • Entries around the edge of range.

Video Date and Description: October 17, 2018 10:25 AM – EIA Petroleum Report Live Trading Session.

Voice broadcast starts at 2:10 minutes on video.

Video Transcript Summary Highlights:

At 2:20 on video FX USOIL WTI trading 70.73 at the beginning of the session, trading on top of support at top of trading box at down side channel support.

The down channel in trade is confirming per the most recent guidance in recent reports and I am expecting that in to end of October and then up in to Christmas.

Resistance points on algorithmic model short side is most probable for winning in down trend (retracement) – areas to short pointed out on charting at 3:05 on video.

Bias was a long intra-day when report was released, but there was a surprise build today.

I usually don’t trade the first 5 mins after the EIA crude inventory numbers are released.

Example of EIA report data as posted on EPIC’s Twitter Feed:

#WeeklyPetroleumStatusReport for week ending 10/12/18 posted https://go.usa.gov/xPRx3 #oil #gasoline #diesel #heatingoil #propane #OOTT

3:40: On the oil algorithm there is a buy trigger signal intra-day at 69.97 at the mid channel support test for a daytrade.

3:50: Symmetry chart has a buy signal at 70.19 at top of oil trading box.

4:08 Trade on monthly chart is still between the 100 MA and 200 MA and I expect a break to upside or downside early November and my bias is to upside.

4:14 On the weekly wedge chart 70.00 watch very close at top of trading box, end of October time-cycle peak to bottom of wedge on chart 68.42 – that is possible.

4:45 On the daily oil chart trade intra-day is right at the pivot. 50 MA is just under price and to the upside the price intra-day was rejected at the pivot.

Don’t miss the last report on oil trade guidance I provided that guides on signals from now in to early 2019 on all charting.

5:10 Charting trend lines reviewed with time cycle peak early December in 76.00 region.

7:20 on video #EIA report comes out.

7:27 the sell-off on oil is apparent in trade with stops in oil getting taken out.

I start reviewing oil charting at this point on video for various supports to possibly take a position long.

8:50 6.5 million barrel build in crude oil inventories is discussed. 69.50 possible low in oil trade is discussed here.

9:40 Trading 73.00. Any long positions be sure to keep your position with tight stops until down to the 69.50 support range.

Top of trading box on the weekly wedge support at 69.99 is considered.

11:15 Watching chart indicators; MACD, Squeeze Momentum and Stochastic RSI on 1 minute time frame here as price is getting in to the first signal for a possible buy zone daytrade at support.

11:40 I explain that I am looking for a short cover rally for the oil daytrade and then shorting the resistance. As shorts cover price goes up, this occurs when the sell-off on the day comes to an end as oil shorts cover positions.

11:50 I explain that trade is down 3% on the day and that this is typically the area of the short covering and reversal intra-day.

12:40 As price bounces I start to look toward the upside 20 MA resistance on the 1 minute chart.

13:35 I provide guidance that we are possibly looking at 69.00 area and even 68.46 on the wedge chart.

14:50 My daytrade plan for support area and resistance areas and the intra day time cycle confirmation of up or down channel for trade is reviewed on the oil algorithm charting.

17:10 Watching the possible buy zone and 1 min chart for squeeze momentum to turn.

20:20 We are watching the pressure in oil trade in to the bottom of the trading box on the 1 minute chart and considering more stops to get ta’ken out if trade goes below the support on the trade box.

22:20 15 minute candle expires (important point of time to watch trade closely). The bottom of the trading box then is lost.

23:50 I discuss the problem created with governments manipulate price in markets (such as Trump with oil) and what will likely happen with the price of oil when the anomaly will cause a sever snap back trade in oil (also referenced earlier in video). Essentially the structure of the natural trading range of a financial instrument is manipulated.

26:00 oil starts to trade up and I’m watching for the 20 MA upside resistance test.

27:00 I explain that many traders would have taken the buy signal at the mid channel line on the chart and that I likely should have.

28:10 After 20 MA resistance has occurred and price is on the way back down to the next support and I explain where that is and that it is my possible buy area on chart.

29:25 The buy side for oil comes in and I explain that I’ve now missed two buy triggers.

42:00 I am long crude oil futures at 69.91.

44:19 I explain the 5 min candles and a place to trim the position at top of the trading box and alerting that I have trimmed my long position at 70.01 and advise that the 50 MA on the 1 min is coming. Ten minute candle expiry on watch.

45.40 I alert that there is resistance heavy intra day 70.28 range.

46.55 I close the remainder of the daytrade and look for another entry.

Below is the screen shot of my trade alert for the day trade in crude oil on the long side and my closing the position. This reflects what it looks like when you try and catch the reversal on intra-day trading.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

There is more to the video, with various discussion on daytrading crude oil with what signals to watch for and there is another trade on the video also.

See video for more on related discussions.

Below is the guidance in given to the oil trading room with charts at the start of futures trading later that day.

Price targets for 900 AM Oct 18 price cycle completion intraday crude oil trade.

price, targets, signals, day trade, oil

Daytrading Crude Oil – Price targets for 900 AM Oct 18 price cycle completion intraday crude oil trade. #daytrading #crude #oil

Buy sell trade signals at each highlighted trendline (yellow) on chart.

buy, sell, trade, signals, crude, oil

Daytrading Crude Oil – Buy sell trade signals at each highlighted trendline (yellow) on chart #crude #oil #daytrading

Signals for end of week price targets. Upper target bias – lead trader.

daytrading, crude, oil, signals, weekly

Daytrading Crude Oil – Signals for end of week price targets. Upper target bias – lead trader. #Crude #Oil #Daytrading

Thanks

Curt

Any questions let me know!

Further Reading:

5 Steps to Making a Profit in Crude Oil Trading.

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/100515/learn-how-trade-crude-oil-5-steps.asp

What is a ‘Trade Signal’:
A trade signal is a trigger for action, either to buy or sell a security or other asset, generated by analysis. That analysis can be human generated using technical indicators, or it can be generated using mathematical algorithms based on market action, possibly in combination with other market factors such as economic indicators. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trade-signal.asp

Other Crude Oil Trading Reports & Videos:

Learning to Trade Oil Links on our Site and/or YouTube.

Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video).

Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.

Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)

Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.

CRITICAL Oil Trade. Weekly Timing. EPIC Oil Algorithm Channel $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTrading #EIA

Overnight Oil Trade | Trading Plan in Detail | EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL $USO #Alerts

No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm June 21, 2017 (video).

Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades June 29, 2017 (video).

Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/

Subscribe:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Connect:

Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/

Website: https://compoundtrading.com

Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/

Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n

Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…

Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading

Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly

Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…

StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading

Email: https://info@compoundtrading.com

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

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Article Topics: Daytrading, Crude Oil, Strategy,Trading Room, Alerts, Signals, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO 


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 17, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Earnings, Market Guidance in Trading Plan Section, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 17 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 10;30 EIA, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 15 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Protected: Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Protected: Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Protected: Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Protected: Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS

Sept 12 – Protected: XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert

Sept 10 – Protected: Analyzing Bitcoin Chart Patterns: Bitcoin Trade Alert – What to Expect Near Term #Bitcoin #Trading $BTC $XBT $VIX

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Curt

Notes per recent remain.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Notes per recent…. this remains.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:

TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.

Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.

Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.

SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.

Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.48, Gold $GLD trading 1226.09, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 280.02 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6431.00 and $VIX trading 17.9.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $VTVT $PLAG $UPL $SPEX $OGEN $MNGA

31 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12519204 $VTVT $OGEN $NFLX $WGO $LRCX $MCO $UAL $AAL $DAL $CREE $IQ $IBM $FMS $BLNK $YGYI $TACO

World stocks extend rise after blockbuster U.S. earnings #earnings #premarket

News: 

Netflix has parlayed subscriber growth into huge gains for investors. https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/netflix-crushes-estimates-renewing-faith-after-july-letdown … #SwingTrading $NFLX #earnings

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREE

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

NFLX, stock, chart, premarket, trading, plan

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

SQ, Square, trade alerts, chart

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

FIREYE, stock, chart

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

SHOPIFY, stock, chart

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SP500 chart

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

FB, trade, setup, swing, trade, chart

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

De-Dollarisation continues. #China has cut US Treasury Holdings for a third straight month. Beijing reduced ownership by another $6bn to lowest level in >1yr.

This chart suggests that S&P500 has to fall 20% as CenBank liquidity will dry up. (Chart via Standard Chartered)

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VTVT $EARS $NFLX $APHB $NURO $NMM $LRCX $UAL $AAL $ROKU $AKRX $AMAT $DAL $ASML $PLUG

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $PSTG $NTAP $UAL $DAL $ALL $CSTR $WDAY $ANET $AKRX $NMM $LOGI $ANET $DPZ

(6) Recent Downgrades: $LOW $HD $SLCA $CVIA $SND $HCLP $NFLX $WBC $VMC $MLM $CNHI $TACO $SALT $BLK $ACHC $KBH $OC $LLEX $NK $IBP

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC