Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Thursday Dec 28, 2017 $LIVE, $WATT, $SPY ($SPXL), $VRX, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today (or recently important).

All charting and reporting for swing and algorithm models will be updated and sent between now and Jan 1. If you have any questions about the reporting or suggestions please send us a note.

Thanks for the support in our start-up year y’all! Our 2018 plans are in this post.

Christmas at Compound Trading. We’re emailing select complimentary issues of our algorithm chart models to folks on our mailing list between now and Christmas FYI. $SPY $VIX $WTI #GOLD #SILVER $BTC $DXY and even our swing trading reports. #premarket

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. We are currently planning 2018 master class sessions and will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. Many of the late year videos have not been posted yet, however, we will post them this evening.

Dec 13 Swing Trade Set-Ups; $OSTK, Gold, $NUGT, $WTI, OIL, EIA, $VRX, $CELG, $AAOI, $RIOT, $MCIG

If you’re a trader learning, need set-ups, have interest in our 2018 plans, what we see in markets fwd, want to see live trades / on the fly analysis or learn a bit about how we model charts and more…. this video is for you. #premarket #tradingstrategy #trading #video

Fri Dec 8 Trade Set-ups $BTC, Crypto Scenarios, Gold, $WTI, OIL, Algorithms, $VRX, $SQ, $MYL …

Dec 7 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $OSIS, $SQ, $DPW, $FSLR, $FB, $TVIX, $XIV …

Dec 6 Swing Trading chart set-ups $ETSY, $FSLR, $VTGN, $APTN, $LMFA, $VRA …

Dec 4 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $WTI, $CCJ, $PDLI, $MOMO, $NFLX, $XOMA, $NVO, $AAOI, $BLPH and more …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Holding – $SPY ($SPXL), $AAOI, $SPPI

Did not trade yesterday.

Per recent:

Crypto related still on watch. $MGIT, $OSTK, $ROKU, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch: $WATT, $LIVE

$WATT premarket continues bullish trade on FDA clearance – trading 23.75

$WATT, premarket, trading, plan

$WATT premarket continues bullish trade on FDA clearance – trading 23.75

Recent IPO’s : $LFIN

Also watching: 

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY off and under pressure trading 92.89, Oil $USOIL $WTI bullish but hit considerable model resistance and backed off again trading 59.61, Gold / Silver up – Gold intra day trading 1291.70 – nearing important resistance in model, $SPY moderate / up in premarket trading 267.76, Bitcoin $BTC $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD trading intra under pressure on daily 14272.00 holding a mid pivot on daily model and $VIX trading 10.4 moderate and slightly up from yesterday.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: 

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

Long 5/10 size $SPXL. Holding in some accounts $AAOI $SPPI long.

$SPY has skip in its step again premarket – lets see some follow-thru! $SPXL $SPXS

$SPY buy trigger set up and live alert. $SPXL

Per previous;

$SPY 1 Min model with current trading range buy sell triggers, fibs, quads, moving averages Dec 27 551 AM AM $SPXL $SPXS

$SPY, chart, premarket, trading, plan

$SPY 1 Min model with current trading range buy sell triggers, fibs, quads, moving averages Dec 27 551 AM AM $SPXL $SPXS

Closed $VRX trade – I had scaled in a lot larger than I alerted along the way last Friday – but the alerts were enough to scale and exit and use the signals to bank. Anyway, I followed it all the way down and then back up in the model provided in the room and sold near the recent top. Didn’t get the top though and I knew I was selling prior to the top but that’s how I trade – I take the middle if I can – consistent wins is all I look for. Compound my winnings with consistent low stress model high probability trading.

Opened $VRX trade on Friday that I am partially out and closed $NUGT for a small gain.

Closed $OSTK swing for gain. Holding Gold, $NUGT, $AAOI, $SPPI

Closed rest of $XIV swing trade for a nice win, enter $OSTK 56.50 yesterday trading 62.35 this morning and also entered $MCIG (OTC) yesterday. $NUGT swing up and $AAOI $SPPI still hold. Oh and a flat oil trade overnight and oil trade win yesterday. Looking to enter $BTC at bottom of range.

Overnight trade in oil went really well. Big win.

Small loss on Friday in $SQ and hold small position in $NUGT and previous swings $AAOI and $SPPI. Flat oil trade overnight.

1/10 size Gold and $NUGT still long, yesterday nailed $VIX short at open SS $TVIX and $VIX inverse with $XIV – still hold 50% of $XIV swing position from yesterday and holds over time $AAOI and $SPPI.

In a 1/10 long Gold position under water on, 1/10 $NUGT, hit a morning momo trade yesterday in $FSLR and still holding $AAOI and $SPPI.

Closed my $DWT and CL trades from Friday on Monday when internet got back up for wins.

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Watching set ups in charts listed above.

Those telling folks that charting can’t predict price targets and time…. need to review EPIC’s record predicting time and price. Proof is in the…. and yes we documented it all. $WTI $USOIL #Oil #OOTT

Time/ price cycle on Bitcoin peaks Jan 9, 2018 – there is a massive range in that area MASSIVE – I strongly urge folks to be keenly watching your “ass-ets” for those holding trading $BTC $BTC.X #premarket

Bitcoin Algorithm Model (Daily) 200 day moving avg 5988.24. Trading 14030.00. Algorithm model quad trading range mid pivot 13805.00 (support/resistance). Jan 9 time / price cycle peak: apex resistance 17800.00 support 9814.00. $BTC $BTC.X $BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #IA

Time/ price cycle on Bitcoin peaks Jan 9, 2018 – there is a massive range in that area MASSIVE – I strongly urge folks to be keenly watching your “ass-ets” for those holding trading $BTC $BTC.X #premarket

Gold trade through Dec 27 18:00 price target provided on Sun report. Gold Algorithm Model #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST #premarket

Biggest challenge Gold bulls will face in next six months is quad wall at arrow. #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/z987dk0E-Biggest-challenge-Gold-bulls-will-face-in-next-six-months-is-qua/ …

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/z987dk0E-Biggest-challenge-Gold-bulls-will-face-in-next-six-months-is-qua/

Market Outlook:

Moderate to Bullish, but holiday trade is sloppy in many areas.

Wall Street eyes upbeat session as rising oil prices lead energy stocks higher http://on.mktw.net/2Chu56O #premarket #daytrading #energy $WTI $USOIL $USO $XLE

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: AAPL, AMZN, NTDOY, DIS, JBHT & more http://cnb.cx/2DpudAH

8:30
Initial Jobless Claims
International trade goods

9:45
Consumer Index

10:30
NatGas Inventory

11:00
#EIA report – Petroleum Inventories

$WATT Price tgt raised to $45.80 at Roth Capital

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $LIVE $DRAD $UGAZ $LTBR $BOIL $SMI $HMNY $UNG $AMPE $AEG $EURN $TQQQ $JNUG $AG $FXI $XIV $EEM

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :  

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $PTLA, $SONC, $RHI, $TTI, $SNOA, $WATT

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $LIVE, $WATT, $SPY ($SPXL), $AAOI, $SPPI, Bitcoin, Oil, Gold, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Sunday December 17, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC $ETH $LTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • Basic fib models for $ETHUSD and $LTCUSD as well as a few bitcoin related equities will be featured in the newsletter starting this week.
  • CME’s Bitcoin futures contract, $BTCF2018, began trading at 18:00 EST tonight. Though it is not off to the hot start CBOE’s contract had, there is decent liquidity there already – a good early sign for a new futures product. 
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history.Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: Conventional charting should be weighed in to all trade decisions.

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

New Charting: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/stuvYiJZ-XBTUSD-buy-sell-triggers-at-gray-and-green-arrows/

 

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue dotted lines)
  2. Trading range between buy/sell trigger levels (grey/green arrows and solid lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s 

Observations in the current area of trade:

New $XBTUSD charting has been performing well. Key levels in the current area of trade are as follows:

9882, 13772, 17776, 21736, 25684.

$XBTUSD 17750 area is a key pivot point – We will start long entries there and resume short bias as price approaches the 19500-21000 area and that quad wall:

 

$XBTUSD simple fib extensions provide simplicity to trade. Key levels are as follows:

15900, 17000, 18075, 19150, 20225, 21310.

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/Og6wcoDf-XBTUSD-Simple-levels-17-Dec-2017/

$XBTUSD trend based fib extension provides more key pivots for the next step up:

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/98IANpgh-XBTUSD-Trend-Based-Fib-Extension-17-Dec-2017/

$XBTUSD conventional charting notes:

  • Stoch RSI still sitting near the bottom – watching for it to curl up.
  • MACD has flattened out a bit but still has room before it could cross down.
  • SQZMOM just starting to trend down (Dark green) but has reversed quickly in the past so I’m not too concerned with it yet.

$XBTUSD Conventional trendlines show current area of trade:

$XBTUSD log scale channel wall would be a likely bounce point in the case of a significant pullback:

ETH/LTC Basic Fib Models:

$ETHUSD pulled back to a potential good entry point on the quad wall around 700 area. Key levels:

215, 420, 624, 828.

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/rHyzLbFt-ETHUSD-Basic-model-updated-17-Dec-2017/

$LTCUSD cooling off after a huge run this week. Key levels to watch are 192, 287, 381, 475:

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/LTCUSD/faXlPVC1-LTCUSD-basic-model-updated-17-Dec-2017/

 

Bitcoin Related Equities:

$OSTK – Overstock.com, Inc.

12/17: Sitting at 52-week highs. Stoch RSI going up, MACD crossed up, SQZMOM trending up and about to turn green. 70.20 area is next resistance, 56.30 area nearest support. Over 70 it could see 84 area.

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OSTK/1eaJDU1x-OSTK-12-17-17/

$MGTI – Management Capital Investments, Inc.

12/17: Trading 4.20, near 52-week highs. A bit extended here, stoch RSI near top and beginning to turn down. However, it has the horns set up and could really go if it confirms over 4.60 area resistance.

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MGTI/1zxlYA8V-MGTI-12-17-17/

SQ – Square, Inc.

12/17: Testing support in the model as well as the 50 MA on the daily chart. Stoch RSI near bottom but starting to trend up. Waiting on MACD to cross up and SQZMOM to start trending the right direction before making an entry.

Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SQ/uRigfr4p-SQ-12-17-17/

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Monday December 11, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • CBOE’s Bitcoin Futures launch went well last night – Next up is CME on December 18th, which should have significantly more liquidity than CBOE. I will continue to trade with caution as that date approaches. 
  • Due to the recent volatility across crypto markets, the original model has not been reliable of late. For this reason, this weeks report will focus on new charting Curt has developed as well as my original daily chart model.
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history.Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: Conventional charting should be weighed in to all trade decisions.

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

New Charting: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/stuvYiJZ-XBTUSD-buy-sell-triggers-at-gray-and-green-arrows/

Original Daily Chart Model: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/V5sFWG0M-XBTUSD-Daily-Model-12-11-17/

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue dotted lines)
  2. Trading range between buy/sell trigger levels (grey/green arrows and solid lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s 

Observations in the current area of trade:

New $XBTUSD charting courtesy of Curt provides simplicity and accuracy in this new area of trade. Green and grey arrows act as buy/sell triggers. Key levels are as follows:

9882, 13772, 17776, 21736, 25684.

Blue arrows on this new charting outline the trajectory $XBTUSD trade should follow. Remains bullish inside the green triangle below – Targets highlight likely price points:

01/09/18: 9816 or 17762

02/22/18: 13772 or 21708

$XBTUSD trading in a new range of original daily model following CBOE futures launch. Key levels are as follows:

13377, 15464, 17551, 19638, 21725.

$XBTUSD conventional charting notes:

  • Stoch RSI is just now starting to turn up – This may be an ominous sign if you are short.
  • Worth keeping in mind that the 200 MA still sits all the way down at 4888. Good to have that perspective in case of a significant correction.
  • SQZMOM and MACD continue to give very bullish signals.

$XBTUSD daily model continues to be a reliable tool – Midlines (grey and green) and quad walls are especially significant. Trading session change (7 PM EST on BitMEX) is especially important when using this model:

 

 

 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Dec 11, 2017 $BLUE, $AKTX, $CELG, $ARGX, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Christmas at Compound Trading. We’re emailing select complimentary issues of our algorithm chart models to folks on our mailing list between now and Christmas FYI. $SPY $VIX $WTI #GOLD #SILVER $BTC $DXY and even our swing trading reports. #premarket

Most of the models are complete and out – the few remaining are in process and will be delivered soon. $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, Silver final edits are in process right now. All models including swing trading newsletters will have more refined buy sell triggers implemented between now and Jan 1 and also the $BTC blog post is currently in editing awaiting two important replies from exchange operators (we are giving them a bit of room to respond to us).

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Fri Dec 8 Trade Set-ups $BTC, Crypto Scenarios, Gold, $WTI, OIL, Algorithms, $VRX, $SQ, $MYL …

Dec 7 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $OSIS, $SQ, $DPW, $FSLR, $FB, $TVIX, $XIV …

Dec 6 Swing Trading chart set-ups $ETSY, $FSLR, $VTGN, $APTN, $LMFA, $VRA …

Dec 4 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $WTI, $CCJ, $PDLI, $MOMO, $NFLX, $XOMA, $NVO, $AAOI, $BLPH and more …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Definitely $BLUE, $CELG, $ATKX are on watch.

Per recent:

Crypto related still on watch. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

$AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT again (oil short ETN). $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

$BLUE premarket up 24% trading 211.00 on new data.

$BLUE, premarket, watchlist, trading plan

$BLUE premarket up 24% trading 211.00 on new data.

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: $FSLR, $VRX, $OSI

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat at 93.90, Oil $USOIL $WTI 57.50 up in early morning trade, Gold / Silver up a tad – Gold intra day trading 1250.00, $SPY moderate / risk off and $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 16905.00 strong overnight post futures open and $VIX trading 10.00 and flat from Friday.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $CASY $IRET $KMG $PPHM

upcoming #earnings releases with the highest #volatility

$ARWR $PIR $SCHL $PAY $NX $ABM $KMG $NDSN $JBL $CASY $ORCL $ADBE $SAFM $IRET $PPHM $COST

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

Small loss on Friday in $SQ and hold small position in $NUGT and previous swings $AAOI and $SPPI. Flat oil trade overnight.

Per previous;

1/10 size Gold and $NUGT still long, yesterday nailed $VIX short at open SS $TVIX and $VIX inverse with $XIV – still hold 50% of $XIV swing position from yesterday and holds over time $AAOI and $SPPI.

In a 1/10 long Gold position under water on, 1/10 $NUGT, hit a morning momo trade yesterday in $FSLR and still holding $AAOI and $SPPI.

Closed my $DWT and CL trades from Friday on Monday when internet got back up for wins.

Wednesday $CMG trade went well for the win, $DWT (oil short) trade went well for the win, and the crypto exchange(s) crash caused some losses on some accounts but we did manage to get out on most accounts. We had a problem with five (more on this soon).

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

$CELG From Last Week Gap Fill Swing Trading Set-Up Notes on Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CELG/IaPH3DRj-CELG-News-Gap-Fill-SwingTrade-Set-Up-from-last-wk-see-notes/ … Detailed algorithmic chart model for intra-day trade will be emailed to mailing list subs b4 premarket Mon – so get on our mailing list and it will be sent to you! https://compoundtrading.com/contact/[/url

$OSI I find the symmetry in this chart almost unbelievable. Mind boggling. #premarket https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OSIS/HIXKIxE6-OSI-I-find-the-symmetry-in-this-chart-almost-unbelievable-Mind/ …

Market Outlook:

Moderate

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: ADP, FIT, X, LKQ & more

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

10am
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)

11am
4-Week Bill Announcement

11:30am
6-Month Bill Auction

$BLUE premarket +23% bluebird bio Presents New Data from Clinical Studies of LentiGlobin™ Gene Therapy in Transfusion-… https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bluebird-bio-presents-data-clinical-213000666.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance

$AKTX Premarket trading 5.79 up 18.2% Akari Therapeutics Announces Phase II COBALT trial of Coversin™ in Patients with PNH Met the Prim… https://finance.yahoo.com/news/akari-therapeutics-announces-phase-ii-210500724.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance 

$NTLA Intellia Therapeutics Reports Genome Editing Data From Sickle Cell Disease at ASH: ‘Approximately 80-95 percent editing was achieved in CD34+ cells’

$REGN – Regeneron Reports FDA Accepted sBLA Filing For 12-Week Dosing Of EYLEA Injection For Patients With Wet AMD

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $ARGX, $BLUE, $AKTX $CHFS $CBIO $MYSZ $KDMN $SNSS $VSTM $CAPR $OSTK $RIOT $MARA $DPW $CSIQ $XNET $JUNO $CELG $LABU $TRVG $AKS $UGAZ $GILD

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :  

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $X Axiom Capital upgrades United States Steel from Sell to Hold. $GBT, $SNSS upgraded to Outperform, $ADP, $BLUE, $VSTM, $SEND

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $BLUE, $AKTX, $CELG, $ARGX, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Friday Dec 8, 2017 $STDY, $GLBS, $SQ, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Christmas at Compound Trading. We’re emailing select complimentary issues of our algorithm chart models to folks on our mailing list between now and Christmas FYI. $SPY $VIX $WTI #GOLD #SILVER $BTC $DXY and even our swing trading reports. #premarket

Most of the models are complete and out – the few remaining are in process and will be delivered soon. $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, Silver final edits are in process right now. All models including swing trading newsletters will have more refined buy sell triggers implemented between now and Jan 1 and also the $BTC blog post is currently in editing awaiting two important replies from exchange operators (we are giving them a bit of room to respond to us).

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Dec 4 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $WTI, $CCJ, $PDLI, $MOMO, $NFLX, $XOMA, $NVO, $AAOI, $BLPH and more …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Wed Nov 8 Trade Set-Ups Review: $SPI, $BTC, $VRX, $AAOI, $KBSF, $LEU, $ONCS, $DEPO, $SNAP…

Nov 7 Trade Set-Ups Review: $DVN, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $HMNY, $VRX, $AAOI, $MYO, $TOPS, $BTC…

Nov 6 Trade Set-Ups Review: GOLD, $GLD, $HMNY, $RCL, $BTC, $WTI, $USOIL, $FB, $TOPS, $SPPI, $BAS…

Nov 2 Trade Set-Ups Review: $TSLA, $USOIL, $GPRO, $DRNA, $GSIT, $W …

Nov 1 Trade Set-Ups Review: $MDXG, $OSTK, OIL, $WTI, $AMBA, $TRIL, $AAOI, $UAA, $LBIX, $DWT…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Shippers seem to be on the move today ($DCIX on earnings, $GLBS etc), $STDY on news and $SQ on chart set-up from yesterday’s premarket watchlist.

Per recent:

Crypto related still on watch. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

$AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT again (oil short ETN). $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up. $VRX I hold a very small position and watching for daytrading set-ups.

$TAN and $CLDX interest me and $TWLO and $VRX are on my watch.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

$STDY premarket up 50% trading 4.60 on news https://finance.yahoo.com/news/steadymed-announces-fda-agreed-pathway-115500117.html?.tsrc=rss

$STDY, premarket, trading, plan

$STDY premarket up 50% trading 4.60 on news

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: $FSLR

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat at 93.87 up slightly, Oil $USOIL $WTI 57.62 up in early morning trade, Gold / Silver under pressure – Gold intra day trading 1246.95, $SPY moderate and $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 14940.00 off overnight and $VIX trading 10.00 down slightly from yesterday.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $DPW, $CUR

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

1/10 size Gold and $NUGT still long, yesterday nailed $VIX short at open SS $TVIX and $VIX inverse with $XIV – still hold 50% of $XIV swing position from yesterday and holds over time $AAOI and $SPPI.

Per previous;

In a 1/10 long Gold position under water on, 1/10 $NUGT, hit a morning momo trade yesterday in $FSLR and still holding $AAOI and $SPPI.

Closed my $DWT and CL trades from Friday on Monday when internet got back up for wins.

Wednesday $CMG trade went well for the win, $DWT (oil short) trade went well for the win, and the crypto exchange(s) crash caused some losses on some accounts but we did manage to get out on most accounts. We had a problem with five (more on this soon).

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Another great run in Bitcoin trading?? $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD #Crypto

That worked out well. At 7pm (arrow) I hit buy every time a tick would flash red . Worked out. $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD 10,000!

Oil trade went well. Just follow the chart. @EPICtheAlgo $WTI $USOIL $USO $UWT $DWT #Oil #OOTT #Premarket

Market open win long $XNET when shorties over stayed their welcome. Beat em with technical know how. Video on deck that explains in detail as it played out live.

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

$SQ premarket up 2.5% trading 39.70 – a chart set-up from yesterday’s watchlist. #daytrading

$SQ, premarket, watchlist

$SQ premarket up 2.5% trading 39.70 – a chart set-up from yesterday’s watchlist. #daytrading

$OSI I find the symmetry in this chart almost unbelievable. Mind boggling. #premarket https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OSIS/HIXKIxE6-OSI-I-find-the-symmetry-in-this-chart-almost-unbelievable-Mind/ …

Set-ups in Monday mid day video below.

Per previous;

New are $FEYE and $AMD.

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

Adding $TAN, $ABX and $CLDX to my chart watchlist for those set-ups.

Market Outlook:

Moderate

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: GM, NKE, ALXN, TRVG & more –

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Non-farm payrolls

10am
-Wholesale Trade
-Consumer Sentiment

1pm
Baker-Hughes Rig Count

 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $GLBS 39%, $TOPS $STDY $SIGM $RLOG $TROV $DCIX $TRVG $SHIP $CBIO $ALXN $CLDR $VNCE $CDXC $GLBR $UWT $MYO $HMY $EVH $DRYS $UCO $FCEL $CS

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $FNSR $TELL $AOBC $VTGN $DPW $PRTY $AQMS $SCO $VECO $OCLR $XNET 

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $STDY, $GLBS, $SQ, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Wednesday Dec 6, 2017 EIA Oil Report, $CLNT, $CLRB, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Christmas at Compound Trading. We’re emailing select complimentary issues of our algorithm chart models to folks on our mailing list between now and Christmas FYI. $SPY $VIX $WTI #GOLD #SILVER $BTC $DXY and even our swing trading reports. #premarket

Most of the models are complete and out – the few remaining are in process and will be delivered soon. All models including swing trading newsletters will have more refined buy sell triggers implemented between now and Jan 1 and also the $BTC blog post is currently in editing awaiting two important replies from exchange operators (we are giving them a bit of room to respond to us).

Rules based trading should never resemble gambling (on balance of probabilities a trader should have an edge w proper sizing etc). What occurred yesterday on many crypto exchanges is opposite of rules based winning discipline. Will write a blog post this weekend. #crypto $BTC

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Dec 4 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $WTI, $CCJ, $PDLI, $MOMO, $NFLX, $XOMA, $NVO, $AAOI, $BLPH and more …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Wed Nov 8 Trade Set-Ups Review: $SPI, $BTC, $VRX, $AAOI, $KBSF, $LEU, $ONCS, $DEPO, $SNAP…

Nov 7 Trade Set-Ups Review: $DVN, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $HMNY, $VRX, $AAOI, $MYO, $TOPS, $BTC…

Nov 6 Trade Set-Ups Review: GOLD, $GLD, $HMNY, $RCL, $BTC, $WTI, $USOIL, $FB, $TOPS, $SPPI, $BAS…

Nov 2 Trade Set-Ups Review: $TSLA, $USOIL, $GPRO, $DRNA, $GSIT, $W …

Nov 1 Trade Set-Ups Review: $MDXG, $OSTK, OIL, $WTI, $AMBA, $TRIL, $AAOI, $UAA, $LBIX, $DWT…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

EIA report is my main watch.

Oil trading just below price target provided on Sunday report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo #EIA

Oil, Algorithm, $WTI, $USOIL

Oil trading just below price target provided on Sunday report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo #EIA

Per recent:

Crypto related still on watch. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

$AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT again (oil short ETN). $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up. $VRX I hold a very small position and watching for daytrading set-ups.

$TAN and $CLDX interest me and $TWLO and $VRX are on my watch.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: From previous $FEYE, $AMD, $MXIM, $DIS, $HIIQ, $CELG, $ROKU

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat at 93.18 up slightly from Tues 93.06. Oil $USOIL $WTI 56.88 under considerable pressure, Gold / Silver moderate – Gold intra day trading 1262.53 from 1273.90 yesterday. $SPY moderate and under some pressure the last three days, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 1270.40 up from 1191.00 yesterday and $VIX trading 11.5 up slightly from 11.3 yesterday at the same time.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $DPW, $CUR

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck:

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

In a 1/10 long Gold position off slightly, 1/10 $NUGT from yesterday off slightly, actually lost an oil trade in overnight (yes odd), and still holding $AAOI and $SPPI.

Per previous;

Closed my $DWT and CL trades from Friday on Monday when internet got back up for wins.

Wednesday $CMG trade went well for the win, $DWT (oil short) trade went well for the win, and the crypto exchange(s) crash caused some losses on some accounts but we did manage to get out on most accounts. We had a problem with five (more on this soon).

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Another great run in Bitcoin trading?? $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD #Crypto

That worked out well. At 7pm (arrow) I hit buy every time a tick would flash red . Worked out. $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD 10,000!

Oil trade went well. Just follow the chart. @EPICtheAlgo $WTI $USOIL $USO $UWT $DWT #Oil #OOTT #Premarket

Market open win long $XNET when shorties over stayed their welcome. Beat em with technical know how. Video on deck that explains in detail as it played out live.

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Lots of set-ups in Monday mid day video below.

Per previous;

New are $FEYE and $AMD.

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

Adding $TAN, $ABX and $CLDX to my chart watchlist for those set-ups.

Market Outlook:

Moderate with some pressure to downside in last three sessions.

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: GOOGL, FB, BABA, AVAV, UNH, HD & more –

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

$BIOC Biocept Announces Pricing of Public Offering of up to 4,925,936 Shares of Common Stock

Aetna $AET PT Raised to $195 at Credit Suisse

$VRA…Vera Bradley CEO says Vision 20/20 plan implemented more quickly than expected

$OMED: SC 13G Filed by Perceptive advisors

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CLNT $CLRB $AVAV $ZX $DPW $VSAR $DVA $PLAY $MARA $XNET $UGAZ $MYO $DWT $RIOT $AEO $UVXY $TVIX $OSTK $AKS

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $CSX $RH $VEEV $PYPL $MU $EIX $CC $HD $ERIC $FRED $SBGL $PXS $STM $TRHC $BBG $TROX $VKTX 

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $TX $LLL $NVO $BXMT $BRO $JKHY $NGG $CCL $BRO $ESRX $LLL

(6) Recent Downgrades: $EIX $SNY $NVS $BLMN $RGC $IRWD $TOL $TMST $AZO $PDCO $HSIC $NAVG $VNTR $CC $AET

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: EIA Oil Report, $CLNT, $CLRB, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Tuesday Dec 5, 2017 $RVNC, $MBRX, $SNAP, $MCD, $AZO, $TOL, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Christmas at Compound Trading. We’re emailing select complimentary issues of our algorithm chart models to folks on our mailing list between now and Christmas FYI. $SPY $VIX $WTI #GOLD #SILVER $BTC $DXY and even our swing trading reports. #premarket

 

Most of the models are complete and out – the few remaining are in process over next 24 hours. All models including swing trading newsletters will have more refined buy sell triggers implemented between now and Jan 1 and also the $BTC blog post is currently in editing awaiting two important replies from exchange operators (we are giving them a bit of room to respond to us).

Rules based trading should never resemble gambling (on balance of probabilities a trader should have an edge w proper sizing etc). What occurred yesterday on many crypto exchanges is opposite of rules based winning discipline. Will write a blog post this weekend. #crypto $BTC

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Dec 4 Swing Trade Chart Set-Ups $WTI, $CCJ, $PDLI, $MOMO, $NFLX, $XOMA, $NVO, $AAOI, $BLPH and more …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Wed Nov 8 Trade Set-Ups Review: $SPI, $BTC, $VRX, $AAOI, $KBSF, $LEU, $ONCS, $DEPO, $SNAP…

Nov 7 Trade Set-Ups Review: $DVN, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $HMNY, $VRX, $AAOI, $MYO, $TOPS, $BTC…

Nov 6 Trade Set-Ups Review: GOLD, $GLD, $HMNY, $RCL, $BTC, $WTI, $USOIL, $FB, $TOPS, $SPPI, $BAS…

Nov 2 Trade Set-Ups Review: $TSLA, $USOIL, $GPRO, $DRNA, $GSIT, $W …

Nov 1 Trade Set-Ups Review: $MDXG, $OSTK, OIL, $WTI, $AMBA, $TRIL, $AAOI, $UAA, $LBIX, $DWT…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

 

$RVNC is high on my watchlist and $SNAP has a 18.00 price target upgrade from Barclay’s.

$SNAP, premarket, upgrade, trading, plan

$SNAP premarket up trading 14.42 on 18.00 price target from Baclay’s. #trading

$RNVC will resume at 08:00 $RVNC RT002 Meets Primary and All Secondary Endpoints, Achieves 6-Month Duration in Pivotal SAKURA Phase 3 Trials for Glabellar Lines #premarket #halt #news

Previous:

Crypto related still on watch. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

$AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT again (oil short ETN). $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up. $VRX I hold a very small position and watching for daytrading set-ups.

$TAN and $CLDX interest me and $TWLO and $VRX are on my watch.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: From previous $FEYE and $AMD  $MXIM, $DIS, $HIIQ, $CELG, $ROKU, $HTZ

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat at 93.06. Oil $USOIL $WTI 57.26 under considerable pressure, Gold / Silver moderate – Gold intra day is trading at 1273.90. $SPY is moderate, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 1191.00 and $VIX trading at 11.3 up slightly over the last few trading days.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $DPW and $PXS

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $AVAV $HQY $LAYN $LQDT $OXM $PLAY $RH $VEEV

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

Closed my $DWT and CL trades from Friday on Monday when internet got back up for wins.

Per previous;

Wednesday $CMG trade went well for the win, $DWT (oil short) trade went well for the win, and the crypto exchange(s) crash caused some losses on some accounts but we did manage to get out on most accounts. We had a problem with five (more on this soon).

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Another great run in Bitcoin trading?? $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD #Crypto

That worked out well. At 7pm (arrow) I hit buy every time a tick would flash red . Worked out. $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD 10,000!

Oil trade went well. Just follow the chart. @EPICtheAlgo $WTI $USOIL $USO $UWT $DWT #Oil #OOTT #Premarket

Market open win long $XNET when shorties over stayed their welcome. Beat em with technical know how. Video on deck that explains in detail as it played out live.

Opened 1/10 oil short this morning in premarket – likely hit $DWT hard soon, long Bitcoin yesterday through to bottom and released all but 30% or so on most accounts near recent highs, still in small $VRX, small $SPPI, and $AAOI looking for the run north in to the gap.

Closed $AMBA, $VRX, $LCADF for nice gains. Had a small loss on oil short last week $DWT. Traded Bitcoin all weekend for significant gains in the accounts.

Holding $AMBA 50%, $SPPI, $AAOI

 

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Lots of set-ups on yesterdays video in mid day.

Per previous;

New are $FEYE and $AMD.

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

Adding $TAN, $ABX and $CLDX to my chart watchlist for those set-ups.

As above, starting to look at cyber crime stocks – $VEEV etc – obvious catalyst with Bitcoin and also with $OSTK. Looks like $TSLA may sell off more so looking at it close for a long if it really washes out.

Gold algorithm dialed in tight now and keeps hitting targets. Hit Sunday Nov 19 18:00 target perfect to the second and cent. @ROSIEtheAlgo #Gold $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD $NUGT $DUST #Algorithm

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate

Steel hits a new superlative: prices are highest since late 2008, when Lehman went bankrupt. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-05/steel-rally-s-so-powerful-it-s-now-back-to-lehman-crisis-levels … @markets

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
International Trade

8:55am
Chain Store Sales

9:45am
PMI Services Index

10am
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

 

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: SNAP, MCD, AZO, TOL and more –

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MBRX, $RVNC, $GALT $CUR $DGLY $GLBS $DEPO $MYO $RGC $HDS $BRZU $GIII $SNAP $PXS $DGAZ $KOLD $PBR $ABEV $VALE $LITE $TNA $RAD

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $MYL $WLL $MT $MARA $XNET $WB $USLV $AMD $HRTX $ASTC $HMNY $FRAN $DPW $TOL $BABA $ASNA $CLF $OEC $X $FCX $MGM $AGN $BIDU $SHOP $LOGI $QCOM $BP $QGEN

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $SNAP $VNOM $HCP $UTX $DEPO $LXFT $MCD $TESO $MRO $VALE $SLG $HCP $ESTE $TPR $NSH $NS

(6) Recent Downgrades: $ALGT $SNSS $MSG $RHI $MSG

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $RVNC, $MBRX, $SNAP, $MCD, $AZO, $TOL, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Sunday December 3, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • We are working on solutions to a variety of issues that have come up over the last week including the technical issues we all experienced on BitMEX and other exchanges during the recent downdraft as well as making adjustments to the models for the increased volatility. Curt will provide detailed updates as solutions are hashed out. 
  • CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts have officially been approved to begin trading December 18, 2017. CBOE and Nasdaq have said they will launch their own Bitcoin products in 2018. We are not entirely sure how this will effect crypto markets yet, but it is something to be aware of going forward. Update: This morning CBOE announced their BTC futures will begin trading on December 10, 2017.
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history.Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: Conventional charting should be weighed in to all trade decisions.

New Buy Sell Triggers and Fib Support and Resistance (also Model C from Curtis’) work is coming soon.

The buy and sell triggers have provided accuracy at important ranges and simplicity of trade. 

$XBTUSD Buy/Sell Triggers 00:01 EST 3 Dec. 2017

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/5TUfmKml-XBTUSD-Buy-Sell-Triggers-3-Dec-2017/

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$XBTUSDhttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/gvkz8UuK-Crypto-the-Algo-Updated-Charting-15-30-00-EST-3-Dec-2017/

Daily Chart Model: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/mBeFFCtC-XBTUSD-Daily-Model/

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s 

Observations in the current area of trade:

$XBTUSD appeared to be heading into a new quadrant on the daily model, however the downdraft this afternoon brought it back into the lower quadrant. This situation is fluid, but definitely important for trade moving forward.

$XBTUSD pullbacks have been slightly shrinking in magnitude (~41% then ~31% and most recently ~23%) and significantly shrinking in time. If the pattern follows, the 23% correction intraday on 11/30 should be enough to complete the correction and allow for more upward movement before the next correction:

$XBTUSD daily model has been a great tool during this time of high volatility. Both the quadrant walls and horizontal fibonacci lines are significant support/resistance.

Key levels: 9203, 10246, 11290, 11800. Above the 11,895 ATH’s trade will be less predictable but those levels will act as significant supports.

$XBTUSD upcoming time/price targets. These targets have been accurate recently however I still do not suggest taking trades based on them.

$XBTUSD increased volatility has caused both targets to hit on the same time cycle. $610 range between the two targets:

$XBTUSD BitMEX change in tick size from $0.10 to $0.50 has increased the trading ranges/volatility significantly as the HFT algos have adjusted. I am working on adjusting the model to better fit these new wider ranges of trade:

$XBTUSD conventional charting considerations:

  • Stoch RSI is near the top but showing bullish divergence.
  • Both the MACD and SQZMOM are giving extremely bullish signals, but are a bit extended in terms of traditional equities.
  • MA’s all lined up continuing the bullish trend.

$XBTUSD trade on 11/29-11/30 was clearly divergent from the model – However the conventional trendlines and midline supports continue to act as predictable reversal signals:

A very predictable trade in the model has played out repeatedly over the last couple of weeks. When price enters a new quadrant and establishes support on the downward trending quad wall, there is a very high probability it will chase the next apex:

 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Thursday November 30, 2017 $VKTX, $GILD, $BLUE, $VRX, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

 

Good morning all – I am on conference today re: crypto exchanges – so I will be in live trading room(s) by text but will not be live on mic broadcast at any point. Have a great day TTYL!

And yes, the model updates are rolling out as of now and all will be completely out today. A small delay with crypto exhange crashes.

Rules based trading should never resemble gambling (on balance of probabilities a trader should have an edge w proper sizing etc). What occurred yesterday on many crypto exchanges is opposite of rules based winning discipline. Will write a blog post this weekend. #crypto $BTC

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Wed Nov 8 Trade Set-Ups Review: $SPI, $BTC, $VRX, $AAOI, $KBSF, $LEU, $ONCS, $DEPO, $SNAP…

Nov 7 Trade Set-Ups Review: $DVN, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $HMNY, $VRX, $AAOI, $MYO, $TOPS, $BTC…

Nov 6 Trade Set-Ups Review: GOLD, $GLD, $HMNY, $RCL, $BTC, $WTI, $USOIL, $FB, $TOPS, $SPPI, $BAS…

Nov 2 Trade Set-Ups Review: $TSLA, $USOIL, $GPRO, $DRNA, $GSIT, $W …

Nov 1 Trade Set-Ups Review: $MDXG, $OSTK, OIL, $WTI, $AMBA, $TRIL, $AAOI, $UAA, $LBIX, $DWT…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

$VKTX, $GILD, $BLUE all have upgrades that should give reason to a run.

Crypto related still on watch. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

$AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT again (oil short ETN). $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up. $VRX I hold a very small position and watching for daytrading set-ups.

$TAN and $CLDX interest me and $TWLO and $VRX are on my watch.

 

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: From previous $FEYE and $AMD  $MXIM, $DIS, $HIIQ, $CELG, $ROKU, $HTZ

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat at 93.14 from yesterday 93.18. Oil $USOIL $WTI 57.87 and under important support still, Gold / Silver moderate – Gold intra day is trading at 1280.90. $SPY is moderate / risk – off, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 9806.00 after all time highs yesterday and significant wiplash and $VIX trading at 10.5 up slightly from 10.1 yesterday.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $ALTR $AMBA$ FIVE $NTNX $ULTA $UTI $VMW $ZUMZ

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

Wednesday $CMG trade went well for the win, $DWT (oil short) trade went well for the win, and the crypto exchange(s) crash caused some losses on some accounts but we did manage to get out on most accounts. We had a problem with five (more on this soon).

Per previous;

 

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Another great run in Bitcoin trading?? $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD #Crypto

That worked out well. At 7pm (arrow) I hit buy every time a tick would flash red . Worked out. $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD 10,000!

Oil trade went well. Just follow the chart. @EPICtheAlgo $WTI $USOIL $USO $UWT $DWT #Oil #OOTT #Premarket

Market open win long $XNET when shorties over stayed their welcome. Beat em with technical know how. Video on deck that explains in detail as it played out live.

Opened 1/10 oil short this morning in premarket – likely hit $DWT hard soon, long Bitcoin yesterday through to bottom and released all but 30% or so on most accounts near recent highs, still in small $VRX, small $SPPI, and $AAOI looking for the run north in to the gap.

Closed $AMBA, $VRX, $LCADF for nice gains. Had a small loss on oil short last week $DWT. Traded Bitcoin all weekend for significant gains in the accounts.

Holding $AMBA 50%, $SPPI, $AAOI

Copy from above: I closed $HMNY for a profit and will continue to watch  for a run. Bitcoin testing ATH and we’re looking at 87’s possible – bought on dips again last night and releasing bits up here. $AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. $AMBA I closed half yesterday for profit. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT soon (oil short ETN) – old my $UWT for a profit yesterday. . $SPPI had a decent day yesterday and still holding.

Also got killed on a short and long flip in $XNET yesterday.

Some nice swing trades on the go with $BTC Bitcoin deep dip buy entries last night, $HMNY bought last week, $UWT #oil bought at low yesterday $AMBA bought last week. #premarket

 

Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Gold chart has cracks. Premarket trading plan includes Gold on watch. $GLD $GOLD $DUST $NUGT

Gold, trading, plan,

Gold chart has cracks. Premarket trading plan includes Gold on watch. $GLD $GOLD $DUST $NUGT

Per previous;

New are $FEYE and $AMD.

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

Adding $TAN, $ABX and $CLDX to my chart watchlist for those set-ups.

As above, starting to look at cyber crime stocks – $VEEV etc – obvious catalyst with Bitcoin and also with $OSTK. Looks like $TSLA may sell off more so looking at it close for a long if it really washes out.

Gold algorithm dialed in tight now and keeps hitting targets. Hit Sunday Nov 19 18:00 target perfect to the second and cent. @ROSIEtheAlgo #Gold $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD $NUGT $DUST #Algorithm

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

$SPY S&P 500 On Hold Long Signal – risk off.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: SHLD, CMG, MIK, GPS, NOK & more http://cnb.cx/2Ar24vh

8:30am
Initial Jobless Claims

8:30am
Personal Income and Outlays

8:30am
Fed’s Mester speech

9:45am
Chicago PMI

9:45am
Consumer Comfort Index

10:30am
NatGas Inventory

$GILD upgraded to buy at Maxim with $94 P

$BLUE PT raised to $200 from $170 at Maxim

Viking Therapeutics given $6.00 PT by Roth Capital. buy rating. http://ift.tt/2k9liin $VKTX #VKTX

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $DGAZ $CTL $JCP $CS $RYB $QD $ASML $MU $UWT $BT $SQ $TEVA $AMAT $SVXY $STM $NVDA $BCS $XIV $BABA $PYPL $TNA

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $SMTC $JACK $WDAY $MARA $RIOT $XNET $BOX $JNPR $MYO $SGH $DPW $CAPR $LB $PZRX $RYAAY $AZN $GLD

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $WAIR $HCA $TPIC $MDCO $AEM $GG $BSX $CNI $MLNT $GILD $TV

(6) Recent Downgrades: $ABX $GPS $RCL $DSGX $STBZ $CATY $XRAY $NCLH $PFS $FFIC $ISBC

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $VKTX, $GILD, $BLUE, $VRX, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Wednesday November 29, 2017  Crypto, $CMG, EIA, $AAOI, $SPPI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

We worked all night on the chart rebalance isues – we are 90% done – so they will be out today after market.

Holiday Chart Re-Balance Update:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:.

BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your subscription as many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also.

IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email or DM Sartaj!

Per recent; EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent Blog / Video / Social posts: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 20 $TWTR, $KR, $BTC, $WTI, $SRAX, $ACST …

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 17; Oil, $WTI, $JJC, Copper, Bitcoin, $BTC, $OSTK, $AMBA, $HMNY, $AAOI…

Swing Trade Set Ups Nov 15 $XIV, $SPY, $OSTK, $HMNY, GOLD, OIL, $SQ, $SORL, $WPRT….

BEST Trade Set-ups in a while! Nov 10 (starts 4:42): OIL, GOLD, $VIX, $VRX, $ROKU, $AAOI, $HTZ …

Wed Nov 8 Trade Set-Ups Review: $SPI, $BTC, $VRX, $AAOI, $KBSF, $LEU, $ONCS, $DEPO, $SNAP…

Nov 7 Trade Set-Ups Review: $DVN, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $HMNY, $VRX, $AAOI, $MYO, $TOPS, $BTC…

Nov 6 Trade Set-Ups Review: GOLD, $GLD, $HMNY, $RCL, $BTC, $WTI, $USOIL, $FB, $TOPS, $SPPI, $BAS…

Nov 2 Trade Set-Ups Review: $TSLA, $USOIL, $GPRO, $DRNA, $GSIT, $W …

Nov 1 Trade Set-Ups Review: $MDXG, $OSTK, OIL, $WTI, $AMBA, $TRIL, $AAOI, $UAA, $LBIX, $DWT…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q3 results will be published soon.

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

I am long $CMG in premarket $CMG 295.90

Anything related to crypto. $OSTK, $MARA, $MGTI, $RIOT, $XNET, $BTCS and more.

Bitcoin buying dips has worked well – holding about 30 % of my long positions from buys near bottom yesterday, $AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT soon (oil short ETN) – I am in 1/10 oil short in premarket. $SPPI still holding and looking for it to run out of it’s gap and go set-up. 

$TAN and $CLDX interest me and $TWLO and $VRX are on my watch.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO Stocks on Watch:  

Recent IPO’s :

Also watching: New is IBB possible short – chart set ups and from previous $FEYE and $AMD  $MXIM, $DIS, $HIIQ, $CELG, $ROKU, $HTZ

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY popped 93.18. Oil $USOIL $WTI 57.72 off overnight and under important support here too again, Gold / Silver moderate and Gold intra day is trading at 1287.00 from 1296.06 yesterday. $SPY is moderate / risk – off, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD is setting new all time highs trading 910945.00 from 9885.90 yesterday and of course we’re killing it and $VIX trading at 10.1 from 9.7 yesterday – off from recent 13’s.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:

OTC on watch: $BTCS with crypto mania

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades

Closed oil short for nice win after adding 2/10. Close $AMMJ swing for small win. $XNET win yesterday was sweet technically. And Bitcoin we are absolutely killing it.

Another great run in Bitcoin trading?? $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD #Crypto

That worked out well. At 7pm (arrow) I hit buy every time a tick would flash red . Worked out. $BTC #Bitcoin $XBTUSD 10,000!

Oil trade went well. Just follow the chart. @EPICtheAlgo $WTI $USOIL $USO $UWT $DWT #Oil #OOTT #Premarket

Market open win long $XNET when shorties over stayed their welcome. Beat em with technical know how. Video on deck that explains in detail as it played out live. #trading #wewin

Per previous;

Opened 1/10 oil short this morning in premarket – likely hit $DWT hard soon, long Bitcoin yesterday through to bottom and released all but 30% or so on most accounts near recent highs, still in small $VRX, small $SPPI, and $AAOI looking for the run north in to the gap.

Closed $AMBA, $VRX, $LCADF for nice gains. Had a small loss on oil short last week $DWT. Traded Bitcoin all weekend for significant gains in the accounts.

Holding $AMBA 50%, $SPPI, $AAOI

Copy from above: I closed $HMNY for a profit and will continue to watch  for a run. Bitcoin testing ATH and we’re looking at 87’s possible – bought on dips again last night and releasing bits up here. $AAOI still on watch for the follow-through move after wash out in to gap. $AMBA I closed half yesterday for profit. Oil watching for a possible large entry in $DWT soon (oil short ETN) – old my $UWT for a profit yesterday. . $SPPI had a decent day yesterday and still holding.

Also got killed on a short and long flip in $XNET yesterday.

Some nice swing trades on the go with $BTC Bitcoin deep dip buy entries last night, $HMNY bought last week, $UWT #oil bought at low yesterday $AMBA bought last week. #premarket

In $UWT yesterday and in $XBTUSD $BTC from last night and added to $HMNY yesterday.

Holding $HMNY, $AMBA, $AAOI, $SPPI.

55.44 to 56.50 move for our oil trading members. EPIC the oil algo rocking it. #CL $WTI $USOIL $USO $OOTT #OIL

$BTC $XBTUSD win overnight, in oil long premarket and $HMNY premarket. Small win on $XIV yesterday.

$WYNN was previously closed for a win, Gold trade ss went well and a win.

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Per previous;

New are $FEYE and $AMD.

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$FEYE, swing trade, chart

$FEYE watching for over 14.76 over 200 MA with MACD turn up for gap fill and beyond long.

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

$AMD, buy sell triggers, chart, swing trade, setup

$AMD Swing trade buy sell triggers – be sure MACD is turned up with SQZMOM Stoch RSI trending up at entry.

Adding $TAN, $ABX and $CLDX to my chart watchlist for those set-ups.

As above, starting to look at cyber crime stocks – $VEEV etc – obvious catalyst with Bitcoin and also with $OSTK. Looks like $TSLA may sell off more so looking at it close for a long if it really washes out.

Gold algorithm dialed in tight now and keeps hitting targets. Hit Sunday Nov 19 18:00 target perfect to the second and cent. @ROSIEtheAlgo #Gold $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD $NUGT $DUST #Algorithm

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

$SPY S&P 500 On Hold Long Signal – risk off.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: TIF, AAPL, WING, WMT, QCOM & more

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CAPR $MARA $DPW $PETX $NUAN $GROW $TEUM $IDRA $SORL $SSC $XGTI $SRAX $RIOT $UGAZ $VERI

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $ZBRA $THR $BY $NOV $ZTS $CHD $WMT $CNHI $MULE $DPZ $SHOO $ZTS $IGT $AGN

(6) Recent Downgrades: $QCOM $CUDA $PCAR $CL $EPAM $MAA $PCRX $ISBC $UDR $WING $ADSK $FNSR $ITRI $MAA

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: Crypto, $CMG, EIA, $AAOI, $SPPI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY