Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Sept 5, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

For now, all my reporting is conventional charting but my developers are hoping to have a model built this fall (2017) – no guarantees with this one however.

$VIX chart with possible upward channel, MACD, upper bollinger band highlighted.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/o0Ye8gOd-VIX-chart-with-possible-upward-channel-MACD-upper-bollinger-b/

$VIX, Chart, Channel, Bollinger Band, MACD

$VIX chart with possible upward channel, MACD, upper bollinger band highlighted.

$VIX Weekly chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/01csKZT4-VIX-Weekly-chart/

$VIX, Weekly, Chart

$VIX Weekly chart

$VIX 30 Min Chart Model Perspective

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/J3514D0j-VIX-30-Min-Chart-Model-Perspective/

$VIX, 30 Min, Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/J3514D0j-VIX-30-Min-Chart-Model-Perspective/

 

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Aug 21, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

For now, all my reporting is conventional charting but my developers are hoping to have a model built this fall (2017) – no guarantees with this one however.

$VIX MACD on Daily has not crossed back down yet. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

 

$VIX, MACD, Daily

$VIX MACD on Daily has not crossed back down yet. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX MACD on Hourly has crossed down. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX, MACD, Hourly

$VIX MACD on Hourly has crossed down. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX SQZMOM has turned down on hourly. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX, Squeeze, Momentum

$VIX SQZMOM has turned down on hourly. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX Daily outside bollinger bands is almost always a sell. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/m20WarpO-VIX-Daily-outside-bollinger-bands-is-almost-always-a-sell/

$VIX, Bollinger Bands

$VIX Daily outside bollinger bands is almost always a sell. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

$VIX 30 Min quads. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/BKUuIpn7-VIX-30-Min-quads-TVIX-UVXY-XIV-VXX/

$VIX, 30 Min

$VIX 30 Min quads. $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Thursday April 13, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Well, volatility is back! It took a while, but it appears that we may have it for some time now. So we’ll start with conventional charting intra-week here, do a full update this weekend with algorithmic modeling and then going forward update this every few days while the $VIX has life.

$VIX Simple Charting – Resistance (red line) Is coming mid 17’s, SQZMOM is green, MACD crossed up, but Stoch RSI is near top.

So does it mean the resistance at downward trending red line will hold? No, but I would watch it closely and watch the Stoch RSI for a turn down. Very probable soon.

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Simple Charting – Resistance (red line) Is coming mid 17’s, SQZMOM is green, MACD crossed up, but Stoch RSI is near top.

$VIX trading above upper Bollinger band – historically a short.

$VIX, Bollinger, Bands, Short

$VIX trading above upper Bollinger band – historically a short.

$VIX Hourly – when price is lower than the 20 MA and 20 MA crosses down 50 MA it is likely done for a while. Confirmed downtrend.

$VIX, hourly, Chart

$VIX Hourly – when price is lower than the 20 MA and 20 MA crosses down 50 MA it is likely done for a while. Confirmed downtrend.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Feb 7, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Complacency in the market can’t last forever, and if even momentarily we expect some volatility soon. So, to be ready we reviewed the 200 day MA and intra-day trading fib levels TO BE SURE if there is an event that causes the $VIX to spike our traders our ready. Below are those prep charts and when volatility rises we’ll have updates. Also, we left that last chart report in this post at the bottom FYI.

On a volatility break-out watch the 200 day MA. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 7 600 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Live $VIX 200 MA Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/QdIuuAGx-volatility-break-out-watch-the-200-day-MA-Algorithmic-modeling/

$VIX, Chart, 200 MA

On a volatility break-out watch the 200 day MA. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 7 600 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Volatility break intra-day Fibonacci trading levels. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 7 610 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

$VIX Fibonacci Levels Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XXgc24ZI-Volatility-break-intra-day-Fibonacci-trading-levels-Algorithmic/

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Volatility break intra-day Fibonacci trading levels. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 7 610 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Per previous;

Current Volatility $VIX Trade:

$VIX has returned to its neutral trading range and as such below is an update of the trading range our traders will have for trading. When $VIX gets some upside trade again we will distribute a complete update to members.

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 6 727 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/RfoX20Tl-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 6 727 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Feb 6, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Current Volatility $VIX Trade:

$VIX has returned to its neutral trading range and as such below is an update of the trading range our traders will have for trading. When $VIX gets some upside trade again we will distribute a complete update to members.

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 6 727 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/RfoX20Tl-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 6 727 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Thursday Feb 2, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Mid-Week Update

Below is classic charting with some algo modeling, and will be such until Monday. This weekend the completion of $SPY and $VIX will be our focus. When they are done this weekend then all six will be completed.

Current Volatility $VIX Trade:

Wow! $VIX gapped perfect from the one algo quadrant to the next. The diagonal white dotted trend-lines are Fibonacci based algorithmic modeling that our traders use as important resistance and support.

The horizontal lines are all trading ranges our traders will be using to trade – decision points.

The machines are on in an unusual way right now (we know because all of our algorithmic models are showing precise and aggressive price action). If this continues, trading will be aggressive, precise and will offer significant opportunity. If trade gets above the quadrants on this chart we will update it and send the update to members.

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/syexIQ0r-Fibonacci-Levels-and-Algo-Quadrants-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algo/

Fibonacci Levels and Algo Quadrants Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 2 535 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Chart

Fibonacci Levels and Algo Quadrants Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 2 535 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious, $VIX, Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Feb 1, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Quick Mid Week Update

Below is classic charting models / scenarios, and will be such until Monday. To be frank, our US Dollar math finally locked in yesterday (after months of work) so we spent the evening completing the model. So this weekend $SPY and $VIX will be our focus. When they are done this weekend then all six are finished.

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 1 601 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

You know, people can be a little funny. We had this one member cancel his $VIX subscription yesterday because he wasn’t wanting to wait for us to complete algorithmic modeling (he was frustrated). The interesting thing in my thinking is… below is the chart that was provided to our $VIX members yesterday morning and you can see how it played out. If you ask any classic chartist if their charting woud have led them to those diagonal (white dotted) support and resistance lines and the way that those Fibonacci levels are laid out on the chart (notice how there are various and more importantly how they are offset etc). Well.. a traditional chartist would tell you no way would they chart it like that. AND, what happened? Look at the way $VIX traded. It respected those lines is my point. What’s the big deal? Well when the resistance or support of the white dotted lines was breached… there were the money trades long and short. Classic charting would not have them. Those quadrants are critical. They may look random, but they are far from random and the math required to get their locations correct… well, run 60 months backtesting with up to fifty indicators for each of ten timeframes… gives you an idea. Of course this model is one of our newest and a review of our charting models with EPIC will give anyone an idea of how precise it gets, but the $VIX charting as is presented significant opportunity. And the cost of subscription reflects that also. Anyway, just pointing that out because traditional Fib lines are one thing, quadrants are a completely different thing and those represent where the money is. Price action commonly gets volatile when algo quads are breach to up or downside and that’s where your primary trade is.

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/6H8UcOHc-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 1 601 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Updated: Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 1 611 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NnJhP0Oa-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

$VIX, Chart

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Feb 1 611 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 31, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Quick Mid Week Update

$VIX is finally out of the basement and as such below is charting our traders are using for the Fibonacci support and resistance levels to watch for when trading ascending or descending price action. All horizontal lines apply. Do your best to ignore the various colors, diagonal dotted lines and other distractions as this chart is a worksheet of various algorithmic modeling scenarios currently being worked on. All diagonals lines can be extended at any time and apply also.

And don’t forget the Bollinger Band short set up chart from the previous report!

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 31 411 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Live $VIX Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/6H8UcOHc-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

$VIX, Chart, Algo, Fibonacci

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 31 411 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 30, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic modeling charting trade report for Compound Trading.

Notices:

We have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

Current Trade in Volatility

At time of writing the $VIX is up 6.62% and is at 11.3 on the back of the Trump border issues.

Trade Quadrants

Provide our traders a basic view of where their trading sits in relation to algorithmic models we are aware of.

$VIX, Trading, Quadrants

Trading Quadrants. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 624 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/KNWR0jVW-Trading-Quadrants-Algorithmic-modeling-worksheet-Jan-30-624-AM/

Short Swing Considered Above Bollinger Bands. Jan 30 630 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

$VIX, Bollinger, Short

Short Swing Considered Above Bollinger Bands. Jan 30 630 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/PbDX5myb-Short-Swing-Considered-Above-Bollinger-Bands-Jan-30-630-AM-VI/

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Be Using Today. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 637 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Trade. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 637 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/duMspp72-Fibonacci-Levels-Our-Traders-Will-Trade-Algorithmic-modeling-wo/

Other Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Watch (Prospective). Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 642 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

$VIX, Fibonacci, Chart

Other Fibonacci Levels Our Traders Will Watch. Algorithmic modeling worksheet. Jan 30 642 AM $VIX $UVXY $TVIX $XIV $VXX

Per Previous;

$VIX Trading Observations:

The VIX has gotten crushed once again. We expected to be able to publish all levels for trading quadrants today (when we reported last week), however, with-out upward trade this is impossible. The manner in which VIX trades we require an upward trend to publish specific trading quadrants and targets specific to the move because each move comes with its own specific velocity. So that leaves us waiting for another upward trending trade move before we can update the trading targets. So for now the report below includes current charting and recent report excerpts (for the newest members to review).

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday. Down -9.75% and at 11.5.

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Down 9.7% at 11.5

Important consideration should be given to below (even though powers that be have continued to crush the $VIX)

$VIX

$VIX vs. TDC

Also for consideration, $VIX futures net short positioning at all time highs.

$VIX, Short

$VIX Net Short via StockBoardAsset

Previous Report Excerpts:

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Charting in Progress

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX, 200 Day, Chart, MA

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX, Chart, Resistance

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX,, TSI, RSI, Oscillator

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX, $SPX, Bollinger

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV, $VXX


Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 25, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

We have left information from the last few reports at the bottom of this report for reading / review ease for our new members over the last few days.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal info@compoundtrading.com within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

Current Trade in Volatility

$VIX is almost at lowest possible levels so for today and until it starts to trend up we will not be able to provide algorithmic charting. We will however provide all charting details the moment it starts to trend upward.

Until then I have left the recent report data below and offer just a few insights;

1.9% of $VIX readings over the past 27 years have been lower than yesterday.

Second lowest $VIX ever for the 2nd day of the Feb OPEX cycle.

Lowest $VIX print in last 5 years was 10.28 on July 3, 2014. $VIX reached 17+ a month later. Tuesday hit 11.04. At print $VIX trading at 10.7.

Bloomberg Article: There’s Been a Big Spike in the Cost of Protecting Against a Market Crash https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-24/cost-of-tail-risk-hedges-spikes-while-vix-remains-calm-chart

Per Previous;

$VIX Trading Observations:

The VIX has gotten crushed once again. We expected to be able to publish all levels for trading quadrants today (when we reported last week), however, with-out upward trade this is impossible. The manner in which VIX trades we require an upward trend to publish specific trading quadrants and targets specific to the move because each move comes with its own specific velocity. So that leaves us waiting for another upward trending trade move before we can update the trading targets. So for now the report below includes current charting and recent report excerpts (for the newest members to review).

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday. Down -9.75% and at 11.5.

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Down 9.7% at 11.5

Important consideration should be given to below (even though powers that be have continued to crush the $VIX)

$VIX

$VIX vs. TDC

Also for consideration, $VIX futures net short positioning at all time highs.

$VIX, Short

$VIX Net Short via StockBoardAsset

Previous Report Excerpts:

$VIX FIbonacci levels our traders are watching intraday.

Live $VIX chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XScHpt7y-VIX-Charting-in-Progress/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Charting in Progress

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI, 200 Day on 1 Hour

This is interesting. Above the 200 day and the Stoch RSI is turned down! If that Stoch RSI turns up wham!

$VIX, 200 Day, Chart, MA

$VIX TSI, Stoch RSI, AO 200 day on 1 Hour

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

$VIX, Chart, Resistance

$VIX overhead resistance at yellow line

Anyway, we’ll have much for you starting Monday now that the math is locked in.

Below are details from other recent $VIX posts for new members to review.

Excerpts from Jan 17, 2017 Report

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

$VIX,, TSI, RSI, Oscillator

$VIX Awesome oscillator, True Strength Indicator, Stochastic RSI

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GLBS/ikB5w5WZ-VIX-Awesome-oscillator-True-Strength-Indicator-Stochastic-RSI/

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

$VIX, $SPX, Bollinger

$VIX with Bollinger vs $SPX

Excerpts from Jan 10, 2017 $VIX Report:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Currently waiting to trend up to establish.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV