My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
Notices:
A quick rabbit trail… Terms of Use: Be sure to review the rules of the chatroom and our disclosure statement. We take these seriously. If you are following our trades (entering when we do and exiting when we do) then you are NOT in keeping with the spirit of our relationship. For example, I don’t follow Mathew in and out of every trade. I share with and learn from him and other considerable traders in our room. But I never follow in and out of trades. That is not the purpose, spirit, mission, etc… I am not a “stick a quarter in and out pops success bot”. If you are looking for that go to a different trading room. I cannot recommend you buy a stock, I am not a registered investment professional and you need your own trading plan. You are given the opportunity to watch how systematic traders execute a process. That is it. You can learn and share and develop your own trading plan. The algorithmic modeling / charts should be more than enough to assist a trader with a trading plan for that specific instrument. Many trading rooms don’t even share a chart let alone sophisticated modeling and reports. On the first occasion we likely won’t ban misuse, but we will ban misuse very quickly. We choose to do this because we love what we do and would like to share what we know and further democratize algorithmic modeling that would otherwise not be available to the public. This is about developing something of use, supporting each other and sharing in that process. Fall down as often as you like, and I’ll help you up, ask for help and I will help and I will never stop doing that, but you better be ready to get back in there. No diapers changed here – no crying – this isn’t grade school. Fair? Okay, now on to winning.
Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.
Day 2 of two week double account challenge video recap:
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/819339460907270144
Per previous;
Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.
New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.
Current Holds:
$URRE, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
Per previous;
Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.
Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).
Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.
Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.
As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.
Per previous;
All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.
Morning Momo / News Bits:
Momo: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM
Twitter lowered to Hold at Pivotal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234884-twitter-lowered-hold-pivotal?source=feed_f … #premarket $TWTR
Callaway Golf acquires lifestyle brand OGIO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234872-callaway-golf-acquires-lifestyle-brand-ogio?source=feed_f … #premarket $ELY
KB Home turns lower post-earnings; Evercore downgrades http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234871-kb-home-turns-lower-post-earnings-evercore-downgrades?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH
BioLife Solutions sees 2016 top line up 24%; shares ahead 4% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234858-biolife-solutions-sees-2016-top-line-24-percent-shares-ahead-4-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $BLFS
Canaccord cools on V.F. Corp http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234867-canaccord-cools-v-f-corp?source=feed_f … #premarket $VFC
FDA rejects TESARO’s marketing application for rolapitant IV; shares ease 3% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234875-fda-rejects-tesaros-marketing-application-rolapitant-iv-shares-ease-3-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $TSRO
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HSGX 37%, $RNVA 25%, $JNUG 9%, $NUGT 8%, $KGC $NJR $MPEL $AU $URRE $GOLD $GFI $SHIP $HMY $UGAZ $ABX $UWT $GDXJ
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $TYPE $TRGP $ENLK $NGL $ETE $HEP $PII $MRK $GLOB $TEL $FAST $HII $CNI $CCJ $ABC $CAFD $RHT $BKD $FLR $VVC $CHH $KN $HII as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $NMRX $KBH $GATX $NSIT $ESL $NOC $AKS $STLD $X $DIS $TWTR $CRM $IPG $DISCA $ADBE $CBS $KALU $SC $VEEV $THG $ACM $AIV $HOV $WLH $VFC $GATX $MIXT $SWKS $OKE $SWX $ENLC $VLO $OGS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F