Welcome to Compound Trading Swing Trading Report Monday March 26, 2018 Part B; $LITE, $CALA, $XRT, $JUNO, $FSLR, $CELG, $HIIQ, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $AMBA, $SLCA, $AAOI and more …
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Notices:
Important note about this post… back in late February when Part B of this post was sent to members it was deleted unfortunately when we did an update to a plug in (there was a flaw in the code I suppose). Anyway, that B Part of the late Feb post is now gone and there is no back up. So this post is the continuation of these stocks we follow as Part A again but Part B of previous update is forever missing.
Good day!
This swing trading report is one in five in rotation. Below is part B.
The reports are in the process of upgrades to included buy and sell triggers identified on charting of select instruments that are nearing trade set-ups. The triggers (price and / or other indicators) will also be programmed in to our charting for attendees to the live trading room and alerts will flash on screen in the trading room. Additionally, the triggers will be buy / sell points for our traders to use as part of the alerts members may receive.
If you need help with a specific trade and the specific trading plan for your swing trade set-up let me know and as I have time I can help you formulate.
When managing your trades with the reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers.
Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case rely heavily on MACD on daily or weekly (or Stoch RSI and Moving averages) but indicators we are basing our trade entry and exits on are listed with each trade so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade.
Intra-week you can always DM myself on Twitter or email with specific questions regarding trades you are considering for assistance. But it is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter or exit. If nothing else you can always book some coaching time and I’ll assist also (although we are at a point of waiting list for the coaching, at minimum you can get on list or for immediate help as I said please DM or email).
IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with deadlines or are trading.
As live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.
To remove the indicators (MACD, Stochastic RSI, Squeeze Momentum Indicator represented at bottom of chart) double click on chart body – and same to return the indicators.
If you receive a report and you are not subscribed to the specific service it is a complimentary issue..
Our apologies if you receive more than one copy – it means you are on more than one subscription list. We are working to resolve this issue.
Newer updates below in red for ease.
Recent Compound Trading Videos for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts.
#SwingTrading Midday Review – Compound Trading: $LTBR, $ANF, $MOMO, $APTO, $USOIL, $WTI, $BA, $NFLX
No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#SwingTrading Midday Review: $NFLX $BTCUSD $SPY $VCEL $COT $DXY #GOLD $GLD $SLV $USOIL $WTI
#SwingTrading Midday Review: $BZUN $SPY $COT $AMRC
Using the S&P500 to Confirm Momentum Correlates: $SPY/$BZUN Model Structures
How I executed volatility trade with precision. $VIX $XIV #Volatility #Trading $TVIX, $UVXY, $SPY
@EPICtheAlgo #EIA Report, January 24, 2018: Inverse Hedge Between #CL and $SPY
Swing trading setups Jan 18 $FB, $SPY, $CNTF, $CTIC, $RIOT, $AES ….
Swing trade stock setups Jan 19 $SPY, $GSUM, $DXY, $MIND, $XPO, $ICPT…
Swing trade / daytrade set-ups for wk of Jan 22 $SPY, $FB, $ROKU, $DXY, $JUNO, $BTC.X, $FATE …
CRITICAL time cycle decisions SP500 $SPY, Gold $GLD, Oil $WTI, USD $DXY, Bitcoin $BTC.X and more…
Email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
$AMBA – Ambarella Inc.
Mar 21 – $AMBA swing trade technically perfect 54.72 targets 58.66 Mar 30 . Chart Notes.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMBA/rOpynBS5-AMBA-swing-trade-technically-perfect-54-72-targets-58-66-Mar-30/ #swingtrading #pricetargets
Feb 20 – $AMBA over 49.40 is a buy and below a sell – currently testing support resistance area.
Feb 20 – $AMBA Not a great risk reward chart set up here with MACD and SQZMOM up and Stochastic near top. #trading
Jan 7 – $AMBA: path of least resistance here is a pull back to 58.61 but the indecisive target may play out 67.82 per below and I believe the bullish target is a challenge. But trade in direction of target / price trajectory and trend using the triggers on the chart.
$AMBA Just shy Jan 5 bullish target 67.78 trading 63.62. Feb 15 time cycle peak has 77.08 bull, 67.82 indecisive, 58.61 bearish pull back for targets. Buy / sell swing trading triggers between targets at white arrows. Swing in direction of target trajectory #swingtrading
Real time charting link to $AMBA swing trading chart with buy / sell triggers and price targets on time cycles.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMBA/iePm04YG-AMBA-Just-shy-Jan-5-bullish-target-67-78-trading-63-62-Feb-15/
$AMBA Weekly chart provides perspective on clean trade through time price cycle targets at upper lower quads #tradingedge #swingtrading
Dec 6 – $AMBA trading 57.57 after post earning pop – take long at MA bounce or Fib bounce and trim at each extension up. #swingtrading
Buy triggers (wait for a Fib buy trigger support to hold and bounce off one for a long)
49.45
51.70
54.66
57.57 trading at now
58.56 main resistance (you can use this as first sell trigger trim
63.00 sell triggers start (trim longs starting here or at main resistance above)
65.68
67.53
$COTY
Mar 21 – $COTY back to 200 MA test – wait for MACD to turn and trade long – very predictable #swingtrade
The trade velocity (ROE) is one of the best we follow, and the MACD turn up and down does it. Good annual performance on this simple indicator trade with MACD turn on the daily chart.
Feb 20 – $COTY got the rip after earnings but Stochastic RSI on chart is high now. #stock #chart
This isn’t a great risk reward for a swing trade. If anything I am bearish considering the gap near close and the Stochastic RSI is high and the MACD looks like it is turning.
Jan 7 – $COTY per Dec 6 200 MA test chart posted below previously – it was it and it got the jump over the 200 MA. Next test natural historical resistance at 21.80. Congrats to those that caught the 200 MA trigger. I did not. Almost time to ratchet up stops soon imo.
Because it is so close to significant resistance I won’t chart buy / sell triggers here. I will revisit this chart after the resistance test on pull back or a break upside past resistance. Could get interesting. Path of least resistance is a pull back at resistance.
$FSLR – First Solar
Mar 21 – $FSLR other side of earnings great trade here… and the 20 MA and 50 MA with 20 breaching – really bullish.
Mar 21 – $FSLR 78 should see 88 on weekly chart. #swingtrading https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FSLR/Cp3Ga5Nq-FSLR-78-should-see-88-on-weekly-chart-swingtrading/
Feb 20 – $FSLR First Solar stock chart has MACD turned and under 50 MA in to earnings. #stock #chart This could be explosive either direction. Trigger on price action and go with it IMO. #earnings
Jan 7 – $FSLR weekly chart over 75.31 on back test may be a new range trade – on watch close for possible pull back or break to upside.
$FSLR weekly chart over 75.31 on back test may be a new range trade – on watch close for possible pull back or break to upside.
Dec 6 – $FSLR trading 61.21 and needs MACD Stoch RSI and SQZMOM to turn back up – new break-out possible here.
$AAOI – Applied Opto Electronics Inc
Mar 21 – $AAOI Sitting on 200 MA on weekly chart. If it bounces watch for 20 MA upside resistance. #watchlist #swingtrading
This is my nemesis from 2017 and now in to 2018. I am absolutely convinced this will run to at least the mid 45s this year, if not more. Earnings will be the turn imo (at latest) in about 45 days ish.
At least I admit the conviction trade struggles 🙂
Feb 20 – $AAOI did get a bounce. Most bullish scenario target 49.50 Mar 26. #stock #chart #trading
Watch the 50 MA test very closely. If price gets above the 50 MA then watch the Fibs for resistance. Failure targets 27.71 region.
Over 46.52 refer to gap fill charting below in previous reporting Dec 6, 2017.
Feb 13 – Posted to Discord channel – $AAOI trading 29.13 near mid quad support 27.70 about to lead in to Mar 21 time cycle peak. #swingtrading
Trade set-up is a long at / near support for a bounce and add in to time cycle peak Mar 21 if price action confirms.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AAOI/avt6yLu8-AAOI-trading-29-13-near-mid-quad-support-27-70-about-to-lead-in/
Jan 7 – $AAOI 15 min model over 39.15 for a daytrade that could leg in to a swing trade.
Dec 6 –
$AAOI over 46.52 becomes a gap fill play to 56.44 or so on the chart. #swingtrade
$HIIQ – Health Ins Innovations
Mar 21 – $HIIQ What a sweet trade for our swing trading members…. hit first and second targets near perfect boom town. #swingtrading #tradingtowin
Mar 21 – The way to trade this now is wait for the MACD to turn back up and long it to the nearest resistance notes in white arrow on chart above. Really bullish and no reason to fight the trend.
$HIIQ swing trading plan levels to watch – swing high with MACD turn to targets until MACD turns down.
Feb 20 – $HIIQ targets 35.70 or 40.10 May 16 as bullish scenario. #stock #chart #swingtrade
The lower of two target scenarios from last report played out (white directional arrows).
Jan 7 – Watching $HIIQ to resolve out of current quad in to next and possibly target mid quad at 31 or upper apex 35.61 for Feb 16 time cycle peak.
Dec 6 – $HIIQ swing trade buy sell triggers noted on chart. Watching for price over 200 MA.
$CELG – Celgene
Mar 26 –
$CELG Celgene 2.58% hit our last price target and now $CELG targets 95.90 April 3 peak time cycle on 60 minute chart as most probable with MACD turned up on daily. Trading 87.03 intra. If it fails trade in direction of the possible targets. #swingtrading
Use the chart model to trim and add at horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance and watch the blue diagonal trend-lines for support and resistance also.
$CELG targets 95.90 April 3 as most probable with MACD turned up on daily. Trading 87.03 intra.
Feb 20 – $CELG under 96.00 resistance is bearish to 86.00 support Feb 28 cycle peak. 60 Min stock chart.
Jan 7 – $CELG So far in this washout very indecisive trade – watching for 60 min time cycle peaks for trade lift to bring time frame out for swing trade.
In other words, as soon as trade gets bullish on the 60 minute time-frame then I can chart the daily time frame for a proper swing trade. So I am watching the mid quad time cycle peaks for possible lift for a clue to begin trading it and move to a daily time-frame chart for a swing trade post wash-out.
$LITE – LUMENTUM
March 26 – Doesn’t get much better than this. Great trade set-up for our swing trading platform, hit upper target and more (early), was alerted on report Feb 20 for Apr 9 PT. $LITE #swingtrading
From here $LITE targets 64.95 April 6 with MACD turned down, but IMO doesn’t get the whole way.
Feb 20 – $LITE stock chart. This likes to hit price target locations on model. Watch Apr 9 time cycle peak.
Main targets 65.00, 54.00, 43.00 April 9 – trade in direction of price action using Fibonacci diagonal lines marked on chart as support and resistance.
Feb 6 – Lumentum’s stock surges after profit and sales beat offset downbeat outlook
Jan 7 – Trading 51.10 with indecisive indicators and under 200 MA. Will watch for a trend decision and then chart the trade.
Dec 7 – Trading 46.30 with all indicators trending down. At the point that the MACD starts to turn I will chart the buy sell triggers for the new trading range.
$CALA
Mar 26 – $CALA trending toward lower target and indecisive, but MACD may turn up here. Needs at least 8.30 for upside.
Feb 20 – $CALA Continues under pressure targeting lower targets on price cycle termination. Buy sell triggers on chart.
Jan 7 – $CALA If this historical support area holds 18.63 is in play for Jul 3 time cycle peak on daily for swing trade. But that is a big if and the peak (apex) of quad may not hit – it could just be indecisive bullish bias to mid horizontal line on quad at 10.70 ish. If it does start to play out I will chart lower time frames for legging in on swing trade.
If it fails all together, the downside is in the 3.00 range at bottom of quad.
The symmetry on this chart suggests bullish action however. But yet to be seen.
$XRT – SPDR S&P Retail ETF
March 26 – $XRT short set up at 44.90 area if price gets there. Under significant structural pressure now. #swingtrading
Jan 7 – $XRT Nice clean mid quad price time target hit on this daily swing trading chart model. #swingtrading
$XRT Symmetry suggests 41.36 ish May 2019 but be sure to trade with price action. As trade leaves this target area I will chart lower time frames as the trade gives indication to up or downside. Chart link below FYI (from previous reports).
Dec 7 – Stoch RSI on $XRT daily has turned down so there is a chance that the lower target for Jan 8 2018 hits at 41.00 FYI on watch
Buy Sell Triggers are as follows for the wide time frame $XRT charts below;
51.19
46.11
41.00
36.00
31.00
$XRT Retail ETF trading 44.11 may hit Jan 8, 2018 46.11 time cycle target and most likely 36.00 May 15, 2019 time cycle target. More notes on chart. #swingtrading
$EXP Building Materials
Mar 26 – $EXP 118.00 or 140.00 Oct 30 2018 with MACD turned up and above 200 MA with volume.
Jan 7 – $EXP at resistance perfectly at mid quad test, over 117.92 targets 140 area late Oct and under targets 96.00 area. trading really clean through the decisions.
Dec 7 – $EXP on daily MACD is turned up but Stoch RSI is high. Trading 111.68 with main upside target 118.00 or downside 95.60 and Fib checkpoints in between to pay note to. The 118.00 price target is very probable in my opinion so this is on high watch for me for continuation.
Main Buy Sell Triggers:
140.00
118.00
95.60
73.37
$FIT
Mar 26 – $FIT near its previous lows, may get a bottom bounce soon. Watching Stoch RSI for a trade.
Jan 7 – $FIT trading 5.90 sitting right on 200 MA under 20 50 100 MA’s – decision time.
Dec 7 – $FIT trading 6.78 with 20 MA about to breach 50 MA but Stoch RSI trend down and MACD may turn down. Indecisive again.
$VFC
Mar 26 – $VFC on weekly looks like it has some chop left. No trade.
Jan 9 – Trading 77.36 the trend continues at 52 week highs. Watching break-out area for possible long.
$VFC The big test. 52 week highs. Weekly chart. #trading
Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG
Mar 26 – $GOOGL interesting how it hit that quad wall support and bounced back over 200 MA. Price targets on chart. #swingtrading
As long as it holds that 200 MA it should be either 1218.00 or 1319.00 for July 11 time price cycle peak on Google chart.
Jan 9 – $GOOGL Trading 1114.98 Trend continues to bulls side with all indicators nearing maximum overdrive. Watching.
Although it looks like this will continue in uptrend for some time, it is irresponsible for me to suggest long entries here as all indicators on weekly chart are very extended. Will watch for structured entry long.
Amazon $AMZN
Mar 26 – $AMZN Keep it easy on this and assess when Stoch RSI on daily turns. Very easy trade for decent RR.
Jan 9 – $AMZN Trading 1248.76 premarket. Same story as with Google, all indicators are very exteded and waiting for pull back.
Juno $JUNO
Mar 26 – Technical glitch in Trading View.
Jan 9 – $JUNO trading 49.35 under 50 MA – if price gets above 50 MA with 20 MA breach to upside it is a long. #swingtrading
This is a possible sidewinder setting up (price above 50 MA with 20 MA breaching from underside of 50 MA would qualify as a structural long). Time with Stoch RSI curl up from bottom on 60 min or greater if possible.
On watch for set-up to play out.
Dec 7 – $JUNO with 50 MA below and 20 MA resistance Stoch RSI may turn up but MACD is not SQZMOM down. Waiting.
Nov 12 – Trading 57.59 and as I said early in 2017 it has rocketed. Way too far above MA’s right now to consider.
Sept 18 – Trading 44.30 in continued break out up against historical resistance. Watching.
Aug 9 – Trading 28.90 watching indicators for conclusive long thesis but we just cannot form one yet. Watching.
July 25 – Trading 30.20. Indicators are indecisive (likely due to ER in 9 day)
OakTree Capital $OAK
Mar 26 – $OAK Risk reward near long side now, watching for Stoch RSI to turn on weekly. #swingtrading
Jan 9 – $OAK daily chart . I actually really like this setup with price on historical support. Swing trade report will outline setup and buy sell triggers. #swingtrading
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-distressed-debt-funds-circle-091345516.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
Disclosure: Compound Trading and or myself has contractual relations with one or more parties included in the article above. I hold no position at this point and may or may not in the near future.
VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX
March 26 – Trading 22.48 with indicators that are very indecisive.
Jan 9 – $RSX Russia ETF – Really interesting weekly chart IMO. #swingtrading
$RSX over 23.00 targets 27.00 and over 27.00 targets 43.00 as most bullish scenario.
BOFI Holdings $BOFI
Mar 26 – $BOFI Great trading set-up from earlier this year. Indicators extended and long side RR is limited. No new trade. Weekly chart shown.
Jan 9 – $BOFI Very near upside break out in to earnings. On high watch now. I will alert and chart if trade starts.
US Silica Holdings $SLCA
Mar 26 – $SLCA trading 25.08 with indecisive indicators on all time-frames.
Jan 9 – $SLCA Will likely start a long position today on this set up. Will alert and chart the trade if so.
$EOG EOG Resources
Mar 26 – $EOG watching resistance on weekly just under 109 for upside or downside trade. #swingtrading Upside targets 134.00 area and downside 83.00 area.
Jan 9 – $EOG Watching weekly chart – but it seems too far extended – will watch in to earnings.
$GREK Global Greece ETF
Mar 26 – $GREK on weekly is a short when Stoch RSI peaks and turns down if price under 200 MA. Watching.
Jan 9 – $GREK Coming up on 200 MA test on weekly chart with MACD and SQZMOM turned up. Could be a fantastic swing trade setting up here.
$TRCH Torchlight Energy
Mar 26 – Trading 1.36 indecisive.
Jan 9 – Trading 1.26 indecisive but that could change soon.
Dec 7 – Trading 1.12 indecisive.
Nov 12 – Trading 1.24 and indecisive.
$NG Nova Gold
March 26 – Trading 4.68 has some bullside indications for follow-through but I’m not convinced at this point. Watching only.
Jan 9 – Trading 3.79 and indecisive indicators.
Dec 7 – Trading 3.50 with all indicators trending down. Waiting.
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $CALA, $XRT, $JUNO, $CELG, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $LITE, $VFC, $EOG, $FIT and many more.