2024 Personal Trading Journal / Results

As promised, in 2024 I am trading much more aggressively personally and journaling for our subscribers to follow along.

So far in 2024 my recent oil trade yielded just under 5% in profit (much great because it was leveraged, but for this purpose we’ll leave it at 5%), the $BTC trade yielded 32% upside and the $ETH trade 24%. I’m up on the Dollar trade, and flattish on the $VIX related trade (insurance). Natural Gas long and the SPY / MES short I am positioning with patience (currently very moderately under water but I expect both to be big winners).

My stock swings and day trades along with my crypto trades in various instruments should be significantly more in frequency starting this week.

Compoundtrading.com subscriber trades are alerted live to Swing Trade, Day Trade, Crypto and Oil Trading Servers on Discord and on email. The machine learning trade results are available on their respective websites; https://OilDefi.io , https://SP500defi.io , https://DefiBTC.io , https://ETHDefi.io . The https://Sovoron.com private side machine trading results are not published publicly.

The fraction represented as trade size is the size of the trade entry allowable of the total I will risk in a specific trade (I often swing or position trade ebb and flow and depending on risk and instrument the allowable size will vary). I endeavor to alert all trades and adds and trims but this can be difficult when I am away and many trades are on a 24-hour 7 day clock, so often I will advise subs of the plan in advance and later the trades are executed by myself, staff or automated through buy/sell orders on various platforms.

If I explain a trade set up on video or in Discord or on email please be aware that if I provide a level for executions that we often begin buying in to or selling in to a level (at times with different instruments reflecting the core thesis for a trade on various accounts), it’s almost never an exact price. So, if we are sizing in to a trade and there are many entries – I do not list every micro entry below, I simply average the buy or sells to simplify this journal. I endeavor to explain risk sizing, positioning, stops and adds or trims before and during trades in video scan updates and in alert feeds, every trade is different.

Value is trade value in US Dollars. Leveraged trades (futures, crypto swaps, etc) are not represented in terms of leverage such as with crude oil futures etc. (it is represented as a rounded risk amount in USD dollars, ask privately for more information) to keep the Journal easy and efficient to use and follow (a quick journal guide updated regularly for subscribers to balance personal trades vs risk etc). Oil trade alerts are referenced as FXUSOIL WTI and traded on CL. MCL or USO in rare instances.

As profit or loss is realized in each trade the Position +- $ column is updated to represent (in general terms) each trade performance and at regular intervals I will provide an updated profit / loss for the overall positions.

Audited account statements and or screen shots of trade alerts can be made available as required.

Trade Alert Subscription Links: Swing Trading https://compoundtrading.com/product/swing-trading-alerts/ , Oil Trading https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/ , Crypto Trading https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-bitcoin-trading-alerts/ , Day Trading (stocks) https://compoundtrading.com/product/day-trading-alerts/ . If you prefer a package with two or more trade alerts included, message Jen at [email protected] and she will provide you with a special discounted bundle price.

Date instrument Long/Short Avg Price Size Value % +- Position +- $ Running Profit/Loss Notes
Feb 14 $ETH Sell – Close 2766.00 .5/10 +24.03% +5711.22 Holds 0
Feb 14 $BTC Sell – Close 52000.00 .75/10 +32.36% +8107.90 Holds 0
Feb 14 $DXY Sell 60% 104.88 .625/30 Holds .625/30
Feb 12 $ETH Sell 60% 2381.00 .75/10 Holds .5/10
Feb 12 $BTC Sell 40% 49517.00 .5/10 Holds .75/10
Feb 9 $CL_F Close Long 77.23 2.4/10 +4.09% +4916.00 Avg buy 74.19
Feb 9 $CL_F Trim Long 76.96 -1.6/10 Holds 2.4/10 long
Feb 8 $CL_F Trim Long 75.62 -2/10 Holds 4/10 long
Feb 7 $NATGAS Add long 1.92 +1/10 2550.00 Holds 3.5/10 long
Feb 2 $CL_F Add Long 71.99 +2/10 40000.00 Holds 6/10 long
Feb 2 $MES Add short 4993.00 +3/10 30600.00 Holds 35700.00 short
Feb 1 $CL_F Add long 75.00 +3/10 60000.00 Holds 4/10 long
Jan 31 $MES Trim Short 4920.00 +.31 of 1.25 /20 1700.00 +50.00 Holds 5100 short
Jan 31 $CL_F Long – Reversal 76.18 +1/10 20000.00 +410.00
Jan 31 $BTC Long add 42830.00 +.25/10 5000.00
Jan 31 $ETH Long add 2294.50 +.25/10 5000.00
Jan 31 $NATGAS Long add 2.05 +.5/10 1700.00
Jan 31 $UVXY Long add 7.54 +.25/30 100.00
Jan 31 $DXY Long add 103.10 +.25/30 200.00 Holds 1.25/30
Jan 31 $MES Short add 4923 -.25/20 1700.00
Jan 25 $MES Short 4920 -1/20 5100.00
Jan 25 $CL_F Short 76.57 -1/20 10000.00
Jan 25 $DXY Long 103.25 +1/30 1600.00
Jan 25 $UVXY Long 7.57 +1/30 400.00
Jan 25 $NATGAS Long 2.145 Spot +2/10 5100.00
Jan 23 $ETH Long 2211.80 +1/10 20000.00 This alert did not get out to all feeds. That was my error.
Jan 23 $BTC Long 38700.00 +1/10 20000.00 PT was 38400 and Jen started buying 38900, 38800, 38700, 38600 and it bounced at 38522

 

 


November 13, 2023

RE: EPIC v5.1.0 Protocol Updates –  Hard Stop Pivots & Downside Risk Management

The development team of EPIC Crude Oil $CL_F Machine Learning Software (Oildefi.io), $SPY SP500 $MES Machine Learning Software (SP500defi.io) and soon to be launched $BTC and $ETH Machine learning software have been at it for near 8 years and see the Version 5 series as a significant milestone. In future, we expect only moderate “tweak” updates to the Oil Trading Software. The others should follow in with EPIC’s Oil architecture in months – not years. 

Please refer to previous white papers and updates for historical context.

In this update we provide important information regarding (1) Hard Stop / Reversal Pivot Protocols and (2) Downside Risk Management.

(1) Hard Stop / Reversal Pivot Protocol.

Prior to the Pivot Protocol challenge, the most significant challenge our team had was the “stability” protocol, it took the longest by far to conquer. Next in complexity was the pivot protocol. At issue with pivots specifically – order fills and the age-old “death by a thousand cuts”. The software executes market orders by design per architecture – again, refer to previous white papers and updates.

The most recent downturn in crude challenged the team to find a way to avoid the pivot execution paper cut challenge. In short, we accomplished an 80% win rate at pivot executions. Previous to this period of draw-down we struggled to find a way for the software to execute in size at key pivots without taking paper cuts that added quick to downside risk. This is now mitigated through order flow tech (see IDENT references in previous papers). In short 8 in 10 executions now manifest positive return executions which is far better than 1 in 10 at pivots it was firing at previously.

For the first time reader, in short, EPIC fires at key pivots often against trend and builds a position creating a low dollar cost average on high frequency trades during a sequence of exections. At issue, was primarly our ability to have the software fire in size and not have paper cut draw downs. This is now resolved. A significant milestone.

(2) Draw-Down Mitigation.

Having the pivot / reversal execution protocol firing at 80% upside rate allows the architecture of the draw down risk component of the software to be very, very “tight”. Observers will find over the near term EPIC to remain aggresive and yet very limited in draw-down size. This was previously not possible due to the “paper-cut” issue discussed above. 

The advancements in architecture described above are considerable game changers for our development team and the holders of tokenization projects (representing returns or losses in trade) and the Sovoron.com private side client(s).

We expect ROI consistency and value to increase significantly forward.

Business Inquiries.

For information about our subscription services that include; oil trade alerts, an oil trading room and oil trade newsletter reporting contact Compound Trading Group at [email protected] or www.compoundtrading.com.

For information about the data behind the trade (results) or utilizing our automated crude oil machine trading platform contact our agent representative Richard Regan:

Email [email protected]
Phone 1-849-861-0697

Historical documents can here:


Good morning,

RE: Markets, Defi Project, Reporting, Webinars, Time Cycles 2022, EPIC Oil Machine Trading White Paper, The Reset Plays and more.

Looks like a bit of a relief bounce is in play broadly in the markets as expected from the recent lows alert for order flow improvement, HOWEVER, end of day / week today and Sunday night early Monday order flows will be key. So we’re still in there deep watching the order flows (with Jeremy and our IDENT software) and I will advise. I suspect the bulls will have some footing for now, although pensively so. Be ready for cracks.

The 100 x options challenge will be alerted as we go in 2022 to ALL ALERT feeds so there is nothing for you to do unless you wish to participate in communications specifically toward that and become a part of the challenge (we’ll likely interview each person on podcast etc thru the year). Send me a note if you’re going to be involved at that level.

“For first time (in 2022) I’m going to actively trade options. I’ll publish the trades to all our alert feeds as a bonus feature for our traders. My goal… 100 x over 3 time cycle events in 2022. For this challenge I will regularly publish the P&L updates here (verified).”

The Defi project status is Round 3 pending the completion of some high level meetings with possible institutional investors, we expect that to conclude soon. One of our key stakeholders left for Europe early week and we expect him back to the island soon and we’ll know much more at that juncture. Fantastic interest developed in the project and Rounds 1 and 2 were a blow out success, so naturally I’m excited for Round 3 and 4 to conclude. More on this soon. We also have other projects coming down the pipeline for 2022.

Today I will do an end of week webinar at 12:00 EST to scan the broad markets (equity, commodity and crypto) and Sunday night I will dive in deep for a really solid look at the markets for the time cycle inflection. We were spot on for this time cycle and of course the 3 time cycles in 2022 will be in focus. I suspect that by the time we hit the 3rd time cycle in 2022 that the markets may be near ready for the “reset” they have been talking about so it is my intent to culminate my trades in grand style and be prepared for the “other side” of a possible reset. It may not occur, but I wouldn’t be surprised, so everything now is in preparation for that.

In this time cycle we positioned nicely for the US Dollar long trade, short side on Bitcoin (after closing longs) and SP500, Crude Oil and NASDAQ short and various other positioning. Now the goal will be to come out of inflection positioning in the right stock and crypto themes for the first time cycle decision (see webinar videos for date details). I’ll also want to clean up any laggard positions and position for the reset with the chosen few companies going in to the future. Of course many of our plays will be crypto related to the new financial system coming (of which we have a good beat on this – more to follow specifically, watch those video scans closely as released).

And, as promised for weeks, reporting will start to flow this weekend. Anything you want me to look at closely send me the tickers please. Many of you have sent requests so I am on those requests and comments.

The white paper for EPIC crude oil machine trading software will be out soon, you will receive an invite to review when it is. Obviously the most recent version of the software did extremely well through Sequence 1 and we expect the next sequence to be considerably better and each to sequence 9 to improve even more. Big big news there, but we’ll wait for the white paper to discuss in detail with stake holders. If you have interest in viewing the private side White Paper (in depth analysis of EPIC’s performance) then simply request such when the paper becomes available.

Trader’s Boot Camp series webinars will re-start soon also in preparation for the next scheduled January 15, 16 2022. Trader’s Boot Camp Notice – Expansion and Scheduling Changes.

Thanks

Curt


Good morning traders,

 

RE: Premarket Trading Notes, Scheduling

 

Infrastructure bill vote Thursday. Debt ceiling Oct 18 important date (interesting date there).

 

EIA Oil Data Report 10:30 today, will be in attendance to live trading room.

 

11:30 Live Trading Room – Market Scans

 

1:00 Live Trading Room – Crypto Scans

 

Post Boot Camp Study Sessions to resume soon.

 

I keep getting opportunity to trim the trades in our portfolio so that helps in to the next time cycle, lowering risk soon https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1443176300693307396

 

Bit of a coaching rant in that tweet thread lol.

 

Need anything reach out. If you’re not connected with me on Whatsapp send Jen a note with your number [email protected].

 

Trading Boot Camp end of November is a go. We’ll have lots of traders in it considering many will be either living on the island by then or visiting for some time. Register to the Trading Boot Camp here.

 

Curt

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