7:49 AM EST Friday Crude Oil Started Sharp Intra-Day Sell-Off Dropping 200 Points in 40 minutes. We Went Long Live in Oil Trading Room and Alerting Buys in To Sell-Off and Nailed the Low Price and High Price of Day.

In the article below (one of the most important we have written) we detail the oil day trading strategy, trade positions (mapped on a chart) we executed short and long, screen capture images of oil trade alerts feed, technical charts, strategy comments, and live oil trading room raw video.

The Strategy Set-Up.

Thursday night going in to Friday morning (in CL futures trade) we alerted members by email and oil trade chat room (Discord server) there was a high probability of a significant sell-off coming in the over-night futures trading session (in to regular US market open). It was a channel resistance and symmetry set-up.

Oil did plunge in to the early morning on USA-China Trade War Escalation;

Oil plunged on trade-war escalation https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-plunges-trade-war-escalation-190000557.html?.tsrc=rss.

This set-up strategy we had been alerting to our members for some time as the trading channel resistance on the 30 minute chart time-frame was being challenged by oil bulls.

The key point is that there was also a significant algorithmic chart model symmetrical set-up developing, hence the alerts and trade guidance in the oil trade room (broadcast by voice).

You can see in the chart below the large red arrow and the green lighter arrows pointing down to a support area on the 30 minute chart. The red arrow is the area on the chart model to watch for the possible short selling set-up (as alerted) and the green arrows are the possible trajectory of the short trade.

The symmetry our models identified targeted this area of the chart model and time.

If you review the live oil trading room raw footage you will hear about the short set-up and strategy (which I know is cumbersome because we haven’t had time to splice short time frame snippets for you yet). But if you’re serious about wanting to become an expert oil trader the time is well invested.

Below is one alert to our members (screen shot capture) from the oil trading room. Our software did fire but this set-up is still being tweaked in the code (it was only a small win), but the subsequent long side oil futures buys were exceptional in that we nailed the low of day, each low of day and high of day thereafter.

Thursday night in to Friday (in CL futures trade) alerted members oil trade chat room high probability significant sell-off in over-night futures trade.

oil trading room, alert, oil trade, futures, selloff

Thursday night in to Friday (in CL futures trade) alerted members oil trade chat room high probability significant sell-off in over-night futures trade

As mentioned, we executed a short position prior to the sell-off (see trade locations below) but closed the position shortly before the 200 point tumble in oil price (the v3 EPIC software IDENT program had also alerted us to the order-flow turning down).

The code in our software is slowly being tweaked to move with the sharp intra-day crude oil sell-offs, it won’t be long and we will be hitting most sell-offs (for those that are unaware we now nail near all low of day reversals so we are tweaking the code for the other side of the trade, the sell-offs).

In the article below we highlight how we hit the low of day trade during the sell-off, how we hit the low in each bounce thereafter and how we closed our final oil long position at the high of day.

Our most recent article to this deals with the opposite scenario, selling in to resistance during an intra-day crude oil rally, read it here.

Before reading this article, please read the introductory article (for context) to this series here: How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1.

The articles in this series are emailed direct to our mailing list – click here to register.

Recent Trading Profit/Loss Results v3 EPIC Oil Machine Trade For 100K Sample Account:

For August 23, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily +$862 YTD+$11,463 Projected $89,020 or 89% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

The Power of Compounding Returns With a Systematic Compound Trading Process.

Crude Oil Trading Compound Return Projection Based on Current Results 100K Sample Acct #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #OilTradeAlerts #MachineLearning

Friday Oil Trading Room Session.

Please note:

  • When we alert 1/10 that means (for example) on an account of 100,000.00 that would normally execute a trade size of maximum 10 contracts, 1/10 size then represents 1 contract. We use a 100k account for our sample set for simplicity.
  • Trades and the strategy therein are alerted to a live trade broadcast room by voice (by a leader trader) and published as time allows to an oil trading alert feed on Twitter and in a Discord private member server.

The Trade Strategy Set-Up – Buying Crude Oil in to the Intra-day Sell-Off.

As mentioned above, the real key to this oil trade strategy story (the set-up and trades on the day) wasn’t the short side but how we managed to nail the bottom on a vicious sell-off, then nail each subsequent bottom and high of day while buying oil in to the sell-off plunge. 

Key take-away rules for trading long in to the sell-off:

  • Know the technical support on all chart time-frames (conventional and algorithmic).
  • Know which support areas are most probable areas for an intra-day reversal by way of historical back-tested data.
  • When order flow and price action reverse (bulls are buying and shorts are covering during the sell-off) is a key indicator that the low-of-day in oil trade may be in place.
  • When systematic market wide machine liquidity starts progressive buy programs, this is the low of day near 100% of the time (IDENT program). This is by far our best intra-day crude oil trading signal (proprietary and in development).
  • Manage trade sizing and sequence – releasing size of trade, adds, closing position etc.
  • Manage stops properly and know when to hold some or most of your trade size. 

Below is a screen image capture of some oil chat room guidance alerts as the sell-off progressed in premarket and then the buying started at support (see other screen images below).

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 8:04 AM
Price target hit on that previous alert, we didn’t hold through the whole range as it was later than predicted, JeremyToday at 5:03 AM
Sell 55.37 1/10 on order flow protocol, 1st price target 54.80 6:30 AM. Will advise.

Example of algorithmic modeling (30 min doodle), symmetry alert at red arrow from earlier, follow green arrows down to bottom of channel.
nice move

chart model, oil, trading room, guidance

Example of algorithmic modeling (30 min), symmetry alert red arrow from earlier, green arrows down bottom channel.

What are the Probabilities of Trading The Low of Day, Each Low at Each Bounce and Closing High of Day?

Machine learning (as it applies to trading) is not like human learning and execution in that once the software begins to master a set-up it will rarely lose that similar set-up in future and it will increasingly extract more profit each time.

If you don’t want to use machine learning to enhance your trading (engaging a firm like our partners at Sovoron) then perhaps you can learn from the machine software (via alerts or oil trading room) to enhance your own oil day trading strategy.

Some of our clients do both – they have machine learning automation and mechanical human executed day trading in their over-all strategy. 

Either way, below is a summary time-line with screen image shots of how it was done.

Below is a chart showing the oil trades for the day that were alerted to the feeds and broadcast live in the oil trading room.

Location (plotted on 1 minute chart) of EPIC v3 crude oil trade alerts. Green arrows on the chart are long entries and red are selling executions of trade #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USOIL $USO #machinelearning #oiltradealerts

day trades, crude oil, alerts, trading room

Location of EPIC v3 crude oil trade alerts today #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USOIL $USO #machinelearning #oiltradealerts

Oil Trade Alerts Feed Screen Capture Images for Friday Daytrading Sequence

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 8:39 AM
Sell 1/10 53.66 hold 0

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Sell 1/10 53.65 hold 1

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 8:27 AM
Long 2/10 53.56 tight stops

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Price target hit on that previous alert, we didn’t hold through the whole range as it was later than predicted, “JeremyToday at 5:03 AM
Sell 55.37 1/10 on order flow protocol, 1st price target 54.80 6:30 AM. Will advise.”

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
JeremyToday at 7:50 AM
Cover 55.19 1/10 hold 0

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
JeremyToday at 5:03 AM
Sell 55.37 1/10 on order flow protocol, 1st price target 54.80 6:30 AM. Will advise.

oil trade alerts, buys

Screen capture image of oil trade alerts signalling buys long crude oil as oil plunged.

As day trading oil continued Friday the image below shows a screen shot of the trade alerts sent out to members. Each low of day in trade was bought by our lead trader and software and profit trimmed and sold as price of oil went up.

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Long 2/10 53.53 sold 1/10 53.61

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:04 AM
Long 1/10 54.00

daytrading, alerts, oil

As daytrading oil continued Friday the image shows the trade alerts sent out to members.

Screen shot of oil trade alerts in to the end of the day trading sequence on Friday from oil trading room. The last trade alerted was the high of day which concluded trade for the day in the oil trading room.

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 2:21 PM
Sold 54.11 1/10 hold 0

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:11 PM
Sell 1/10 53.47 holds 1

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:04 PM
Long 53.32 3/10, sell 1/10 .37, sell 1/10 .40 , hold 1 add and 1 hold for 2/10 hold

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
Aug 23
Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:19 AM
Sold 1/10 53.86 hold 1

oil, day trade, alerts, trading, room

Screen shot of oil trade alerts in to the end of the day trading sequence on Friday from oil trading room.

Intra-Day Time Cycles Are Key for Oil Traders.

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 11:45 AM
Sell off cam in perfect at 11:00 mid time cycle inflection

crude oil, daytrading, strategy, time cycles

Screen shot from oil trading room shows 5 min model time cycle inflection for buy and sell in daytrade strategy

So How Did We Nail the Short Oil Prediction in Over Night / Premarket Session, Nail The Low of Day Price Target Trade, Subsequent Low of Day Trades and High of Day Trade?

We have thousands of rules in our algorithmic models to which each rule is weighted against the others, so this is no short answer.

But if you read the article above closely, you look at the alerts and if you are a member look at all the other charting and information sent out prior to and during this trade set-up you will begin learning (or add to your oil day trading strategy too-kit) many excellent additions to help you increase your profits.

The live trading room videos also help, reviewing past articles will help you, having all the conventional and algorithmic charts available to you for immediate reference during intra-day trade, trade coaching helps (I’ve never had a complaint) and being in the live trading room is key if you are really serious about learning our rule-set.

The oil trading rule-set that our v3 EPIC machine learning software uses is one of the best in the world, we know this because we did the hard work in back-testing every trading rule it uses and designing a trading strategy that weighs the rules one against the other.

The win rate, the return rate, the stability and the precision of the oil trading software is evidence of this fact.

You now just have to put in your part of the work – we have already done the heavy lifting for you.

Welcome to the matrix.

Live Oil Trading Room Video.

Please note: The video below is a raw feed only of the oil trading room for the whole day-trading session (we run the live video feed from 7am to 5pm EST). To listen to comments by the lead trader that contain specifics to his/her oil trade strategy / thinking as he/she and/or the software are trading and sending out alerts, look at the time stamp on the oil trade alert, chart, trading room screen capture image etc in this or any other report and correlate that to the video and go to that part of the video.

If you are struggling with your trading and need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Remember also that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Company News:

Important Market and Service Updates: Webinars, Reporting, Time Cycles, Live Room, P&L’s, Promos Etc…

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategy,alerts, trading room, technical support, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL


In One Hour of Crude Oil Trade Wednesday Afternoon (After EIA Reported Inventories) Price Ran Up 134 Ticks, And We Knew The Bottom.

Below Are Tips for Intra-Day Reversal Trading Strategies and How To Determine Price Targets For Locating Bottom of Day Price.

Nail the bottoms in crude oil and you have the single most profitable strategy there is in trading crude oil. The intra-day reversals and subsequent run up in price move fast. Intra-day reversals can be precisely executed with an extremely high win rate (our v3 EPIC win rate is well over 90%) and you can build a profitable trading career with that one set-up.

The reversal trade in crude oil trade in this report and video is a real-world example from our oil trading room.

The intra-day oil futures short selling strategy / sequence from yesterday’s article concludes here also (see below).

We pick up the story in this article with us closing the winning oil short position / sequence from the Tuesday (selling in to the Trump news) and then on Wednesday (after the weekly EIA report) turning our focus toward pin-pointing likely oil trade reversal areas intra-day to possibly catch a bullish run-up trend intra-day after the sell-off.

The strategy worked. We caught the bottom near to the penny and we had the price target for the high of day within pennies also. Execution wasn’t perfect, but we are winning consistently and the v3 software is performing over expectation.

Exactly how we determined the most likely bottom area on the day and high of day price target is in the raw video feed from the live trading room (see below) and in this quick post.

With the limited time I have available to write this article in premarket, I will provide some of the tips you can use to locate bottoms for your daytrading strategies. For more on this subject, refer to the live trading room videos on YouTube and/or other articles we have published on this topic.

If there is one area of crude oil trade we know well, it is how to locate intra-day bottoms (low price of day) in advance to assist with a traders day trade strategy. The v3 EPIC Machine Trade Software has an extremely high success rate in this specific area of oil trade analysis.

Before digging in to this article, please read the introductory article for this series here: How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1.

The articles in this series are sent direct to the mailing list – so be sure to register now,  click here.

Recent Trading Profit/Loss Results v3 EPIC Oil Machine Trading Software Sample 100K Account:

For Aug 9, 2019: v3 Profit & Loss: Daily +$995 YTD +$8,526 Projected $94,306 or 94% Per Annum. Oil Machine Trade 100k Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #MachineTrading #OilTradeAlerts

Wednesday’s Live Oil Trading Room Session.

Please note:

  • When we alert 1/10 that means (for example) on an account of 100,000.00 that would normally execute a trade size of maximum 10 contracts, 1/10 size then represents 1 contract. We use a 100k account for our sample set for simplicity.
  • Trades and the strategy therein are alerted to a live trading room by voice (by a leader trader) and published as time allows to an oil trading alert feed on Twitter and in Discord private member server.

First I will share the guidance from the oil trading room server, alert feeds etc and then I’ll give you some pointers on how to locate bottoms in trade.

The raw video from the oil trading room provides significantly more detailed guidance.

Chart from oil trading room below highlights the alerted close of last short sell position in crude oil for Tuesdays trading session.

short sell, crude oil, trading room

Chart from oil trading room highlights the alerted close of last short sell position in crude oil for Tuesdays trading session.

Image of oil trading alert private member feed on Twitter that shows covering the last short sell on crude oil trade.

JeremyToday at 6:11 AM
Buy / cover 1/10 56.18 hold 0 but still in sequence to sell
Software well green.

oil trade alert

Image of oil trading alert private member feed on Twitter that shows covering the last short sell on crude oil trade.

The New Trading Day Starts: Oil trading room day trades alerted with price targets for reversal at intraday bottom and top.

Green arrows on chart are oil contract buys and red arrows sells, white are price targets for low and high alerted prior to trade.

oil trading room, alerts, trades, alerts

Oil trading room day trades alerted with price targets for reversal at intraday bottom and top.

Screen shot image of crude oil trading chat room alerting initial buys at reversal test area, time cycle, price targets for oil intra-day

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 11:33 AM
Software started buying 54.32’s HF tests
It sold in to the 2/10 in to 54.50s, its in a range program now

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 11:56 AM

At this point we’re looking for a 12:45 bottom, time cycle 11:15 – 2:15, trading 54.14
machines are here fyi
Preferred buys 53.93 for 54.93 PT bounce and 55.41 possible. Trading 54.29. Quoted as FX USOIL WTI
Preferred buy price target 12:42:30 EST at 53.93

oil trade room, alerts, trades

Screen shot image of crude oil trading chat room alerting initial buys at reversal test area, time cycle, price targets for oil intraday

Screen image from oil trading room of machine trade software nailing the bottom reversal intraday in crude oil trade and alerts.

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 1:09 PM
Long 54.13 1/10 tight stops

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 1:19 PM
Long 2/10 add 53.96, sell 1/10 54.01, hold 2
Sold in to 54.25 hold 0

Gotta teach it to hold some.

machine trading, crude, oil, alerts

Screen image from oil trading room of machine trade software nailing the bottom reversal intraday in crude oil trade and alerts.

Screen image from oil trading room showing first price target previously alerted being hit.

two ticks away hit 53.95 – “Preferred buy price target 12:42:30 EST at 53.93”
2 ticks off price target in that first burst

“Preferred buys 53.93 for 54.93 PT bounce and 55.41 possible. “

price targets, alert, oil, trading room

Screen image from oil trading room showing first price target previously alerted being hit.

Guidance in oil trading room lead trader alerting members to watch for a possible channel of trade coming.

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 1:50 PM
possible channel

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:25 PM
right in to top of channel beauty

trading room, oil, guidance

Guidance in oil trading room lead trader alerting members to watch for a possible channel of trade coming.

Crude oil price then goes on to near the 2nd price target from previous alert. Image of trading room.

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:36 PM
Hit 55.30 dangerously close now to 2nd price target, nice move today on that snap back reversal trade intraday

I will be on break until 6:00 PM, Jeremy will alert any trades, a tad overloaded with paperwork. Have a good one y’all.

crude oil, price target, alerts, trading room

Crude oil price then goes on to near the 2nd price target from previous alert. Image of trading room.

So, The Question Then Is, How Did We Nail The Bottom Price On The Day? And How Is It That We Nail That Trade Day After Day With Well Over 90% Win Rate? Below Are My Tips:

What I Can’t Tell You (Top Secret):

  1. We are developing proprietary crude oil order flow AI software platform that is getting really accurate (IDENT). This software runs tandem to the EPIC Oil Trade Machine software that executes the trades. Sovoron then uses that data. Our trading service members and clients of SOVORON receive the benefit but I can’t tell you how it works, ever.
  2. We have been developing algorithmic chart models for crude oil trade on all time-frames for nearly three years now, this helps a lot in determining areas (range) of oil trade and turn-around (reversal, nap-back) trades. The oil algorithmic chart models are available to our trade service members in reports that are regularly distributed.
  3. We have taken the algorithmic chart models and coded them to machine trade software. The software then alerts myself (and team), our oil trading room traders, our trading service members and Sovoron to trades setting up and trade executions. I can’t tell you exactly how the software is coded beyond that, but I can say that it has over 4700 rules. The v3 software is executing a win rate well over 90%. You can learn how to trade on the information it uses by signing on to our newsletters, alerts and/or attend the live trading room.

What I Can Tell You:

Below are just a few tips I can provide with the limited time I have, but I can say that if you study our methods you can duplicate our win rate. We’re still learning and we’re teaching our trading service members and the recently launched AI software to trade oil (the software will obviously be much better than us soon enough), but I think you get the point. There is a process here, you just have to put in the work and learn.

  1. Conventional Crude Oil Charts are critical for your trading strategy. Our software uses them, I (our team) use them and you should be using them daily. All time frames are important so that you know the key areas of support and resistance for your day trading plan. Trend-lines on all times frames should be at your immediate access when trading oil.
  2. Algorithmic Crude Oil Chart Models refine  and compliment conventional charting. They help you see what you wouldn’t otherwise be able to see. They also help you know better what the large machine liquidity in the oil markets are likely to do with each support and resistance area. Algorithmic models also provide you with a future forward GPS. For example, you will know where possible channels are before they appear from trade. In summary, algorithmic chart models provide you with the lay of the land – the structure of trade on various time-frames. It is this structure that wide market machine liquidity is programmed to compete within.
  3. When Sizing Your Intra-day Reversal Trade be sure you can release some size almost immediately so that if the trade then goes against you (after the initial spike) then you have some “room” for your stops. In other words, if price spikes 10 ticks after you enter a 3 contract trade then close 1 contract and then if price returns to your buy then decide if you want to release another and then if it goes 10 ticks under your buy release the last. In that scenario you have lost zero. So if you get good at this trade set up then you have a near zero risk trading edge IF YOU DON’T HOLD LOSERS. Where we are working with our software right now is with it holding some as price reversal continues. We have mastered the bottom reversals and now we’re training the software to hold some size and ride some profit. It’s complicated to explain but I’m sure you get the point.
  4. Technically watch for increasing volume at possible lows. Know your support and resistance on every time frame, your trend lines are key as are algorithmic chart model structures. Get to know your important times of day, times of week, time-cycles, events etc. Also, if you can enter after a flash down (a quick spike down in to your intended support) this is best. This allows for some range on the snap-back reversal and if the trade fails you can exit.
  5. And finally, DO NOT HOLD BAGS. Losing trades can be tough to recover. Our v3 software may hold some (very small) but only because it can locate the next bottom and hit it long and have a small loser right side up very quickly. If intra-day trade leaves the intra-day structure our v3 software will close the small position for a loss. This by the way is its edge and the primary reason the v3 EPIC Oil Trading Machine Software very rarely loses a trade.

Bottom Line:

  1. We obviously know how to locate intra-day bottoms in oil price and most often also tops (although top price of day targets are more difficult as is trading oil short from the top – bottom reversals are much easier to trade). The everyday oil trader can learn our methods and find a high win rate with an excellent ROI. Reviewing our videos on YouTube, reviewing our written blog posts and signing on with us will go a long way to you learning this trading edge. This becomes a really easy trading strategy when you have done your study, have the right indicators in front of you when trading, receive some experienced guidance when needed and have our alerts / guidance.
  2. As our software better learns how to hold profits and trail out of the intra-day reversal trades the win rate will remain the same but the ROI of the software graph will likely go parabolic from about 90% per annum (see chart) to a vertical ROI graph – we aren’t far away from this now.
  3. The majority (we estimate now to be close to 90%) of order flow in the oil markets is now machine traded, if you aren’t at least learning how they trade then you’re just not awake to the profitable world it offers.Between 2012 and 2016, almost two-thirds of crude oil contracts traded on CME’s futures exchange were automated, up from 54 per cent, according to a 2017 study by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission. https://www.ft.com/content/8cc7f5d4-59ca-11e8-b8b2-d6ceb45fa9d0
  4. Dig in to the links below at the bottom of this article if you want to investigate how our development process can help you profit in the oil trading markets.

Live Oil Trading Room Video.

Please note: The video below is a raw feed only of the oil trading room for the whole day-trading session (we run the live video feed from 7am to 5pm EST). To listen to comments by the lead trader that contain specifics to his/her thinking as he/she and/or the software are trading and sending out alerts, look at the time stamp on the oil trade alert, chart, trading room screen capture image etc in this or any other report and correlate that to the video and go to that part of the video.

On Wednesday I was fairly active on mic around trading times with trade set ups and execution of trades.

If you are struggling with your trading and need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

Article Topics; crude oil, tips, reversals, bottoms, trading, strategies, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL, how to trade, alerts, trading room


Selling Against An Intra-Day Bullish Break-out In Crude Oil Is Difficult. Here’s How We Day Short-Sold The Trump – China Break-Out News Yesterday.

The trade sequence in this report is a real-world example from our oil trading room. The intra-day oil futures short selling strategy / sequence as of the time of writing this report is not complete so there will be a Part 2 to this post.

Tuesday was a bullish break-out day for crude oil markets. Trump messaged to the world that some tariffs would be delayed and this sent oil soaring in price intra-day.

Oil prices continued to rally on Tuesday, this time on reports that the United States has decided to delay the next round of tariffs that were to be imposed on Chinese goods.

The delay gives hope to a skittish market that the trade war really won’t go on forever.

For WTI, oil prices had climbed 4.30% by 12:36pm EDT to trade at $57.29. Brent Crude was trading up even more at 4.70%, at $61.32—resuming its over $60 per barrel that it had fallen under during the first week of August as the trade war stoked fears of souring oil demand growth.

In addition to the tariff delay, which will now go into force on December 15, the United States will also be taking some of the items on that tariff list off completely, according to its newest policy document published on the Office of the United States Trade Representative website. While the list hasn’t been made public, it will include items that will be removed “based on health, safety, national security, and other factors”.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Oil-Spikes-As-US-Delays-Tariffs-On-Chinese-Goods.html

When the intra-day price in the bullish break-out (on Trump news) was over-extended technically on charts and trade was starting to get in to overhead supply (order-flow), we began a short selling sequence.

Below is the first part of this article because (as I mentioned above) the short selling sequence is still in play and includes a significant number of trade executions.

So for today’s article I will include a chart that shows / maps out each trade execution as I and the v3 EPIC machine trading software executed the trades, the raw footage from the oil trading room and some miscellaneous charting. Then in Part 2 of this article (when the trade sequence is complete) I will explain each trade execution in detail so that it may help you with your crude oil day trading strategies.

Before digging in to this article, please read the introductory article for this series here: How Oil Day Traders Can Learn to Trade Better Using Success & Failure of Our Trading Development Team – Part 1.

The articles in this series are sent direct to the mailing list – so be sure to register now,  click here.

Also, The Most Recent Oil Trade Profit Loss Results For v3 Machine Trading (trade alerts) Sample Set;

For Aug 9, 2019: v3 Profit & Loss: Daily +$995 YTD +$8,526 Projected $94,306 or 94% Per Annum. Oil Machine Trade 100k Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #MachineTrading #OilTradeAlerts

Tuesday’s Live Oil Trading Room Session.

Please note:

  • When we alert 1/10 that means (for example) on an account of 100,000.00 that would normally execute a trade size of maximum 10 contracts, 1/10 size then represents 1 contract. We use a 100k account for our sample set for simplicity.
  • Trades are alerted to a live trading room by voice (by leader trader) and published as time allows to an oil trading alert feed on Twitter and in Discord private member server.

As mentioned above, Tuesday’s daytrading session in crude oil futures was a short selling strategy in to a spike in price that was over extended technically.

Below is a chart that shows / maps each location of trade (red are the short selling trades and green are the buy or cover trades, each arrow is 1/10 size). Part 2 of this article will be published tomorrow when this sequence is complete.

At time of writing we are green (positive, profitable) in the trade sequence and it will be interesting to see how it completes.

The short selling sequence below is a protocol within the v3 EPIC Crude Oil Machine Trading Software code.

First a few screen capture images from the private oil chat server and associated alerts and charts and then the main chart showing location of each trade is below that.

Below is an image screen shot from the private member oil trading server of the first trade alerts on the day.

Oil trading room, alerts, daytrades

Oil day trades started here for the day – screen capture from the oil trading room chat server. First oil trade alerts on day.

And an image of the chat oil room server showing charts of alerted trades etc.

oil trading room, alerts, charts

Oil trading room chat server showing charting guidance and alerting where each trade execution is located on chart.

short selling, crude oil, alerts, trading room

The next set of oil trade alerts and charting to show where each short sell trade is and covering of trades as sequence progresses.

oil trading room, alerts, guidance

More guidance and charting showing oil trade alert locations on charting and the daytrade session is completing.

oil, trading, futures, trade room, alerts

As the evening futures session starts more short selling of oil in this time frame starts, alerts on screen.

Below is a one minute chart from oil trading room that shows all the crude oil futures buy and selling of contracts in the short bias sequence.

Red arrows are short selling and green arrows are buys / cover trades. My apologies for the noisy chart but this is my personal work chart I use for working with the developers for the machine trade side of our work.

The bottom right arrow (green) is the most recent cover buy from the oil trade alerts while I write this article in premarket.

cude, oil, trade, alerts, chart, trading room

Chart from oil trading room trade alerts that shows each buy and sell alert in crude oil in short selling sequence.

And below is a screen shot of most recent oil trade alert from Jeremy stating that the software covered the last of the short selling contracts but is still in a short bias sequence.

Also Jeremy notes that the machine trade software (and myself with manual trade execution) are now on profitable side of the trade sequence, which isn’t bad performance for the v3 software that is less than 6 weeks old and just ran its first larger short selling sequence in to over extended intra-day trading range on the Trump news. So I’m very satisfied because I would have assumed this would be a red or loss day on first go round in this specific new sequence.

Each time the software encounters a similar set-up it will execute for a better ROI, this is the power of machine trading.

The software (v3 EPIC Oil Machine Trade Software) has had 1 red day for 0.2% draw down since it was launched – it has been running for about 5 weeks. It has had a few trade sequences that it was in the red during the sequence (such as this) but has always come up profitable on the day it completes a sequence (with the one exception).

The key with the v3 vs v4 is that the v3 software only holds at most 1/10 size in to an intra-day range (it will hold more on a high frequency very short term basis) and v4 would hold easily 3/10 or more on a much wider range of trade – this allowed for significant volatility in profit and loss.

The smaller holds in to pressure with v3 allows for a projected loss day of 1 in 10 estimated to be equal to the average win day – excellent, balance risk-reward threshold, especially if it can do 80% or more annual returns (which appears to be the case). The smaller holds also allows for v3 to maneuver easier when off-side intra-day because it always has ample “dry powder” to work with.

JeremyToday at 6:11 AM
Buy / cover 1/10 56.18 hold 0 but still in sequence to sell
Software well green.
If the software ends the sequence and/or flips to a buy sequence will advise, but at this point it is still short sequence.

oil trade alert, daytrading

Oil trade alert to cover short while I am writing this article about the day trade sequence.

I will explain each trade execution you see in the chart above in a future post when this trade sequence is complete, which I expect will occur today prior to the EIA report at 10:30.

Live Oil Trading Room Video.

Please note: The video below is a raw feed only of the oil trading room for the whole daytrading session. To listen to comments by the lead trader that contain specifics to his thinking as he and/or the software are trading and sending out alerts, look at the time of the oil trade alert and correlate that to the video and go to that part of the video.

On Tuesday, in the video below, I wasn’t providing real in depth trade guidance verbally to the room like I normally attempt to do, I was alerting the trades however. I was busy with our developers because this set-up was new to the v3 machine trade code (each new set-up in oil trade requires “teaching” of the software).

 

If you are struggling with your trading and need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

Article Topics; crude oil, short selling, trading, strategies, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL, how to trade, alerts, trading room


The First In A New Article Series Intended to Simplify What We Have Learned For The Oil Trader To Use as Actionable Strategies to Increase Win Rate and ROI When Manually Executing Crude Oil Trades.

For Near 3 Years Now We Have Transparently Shared Our Successes and Failures in the Development of Oil Machine Trading Software.

First, For The Benefit of a Wider Than Normal Audience That This Article Is Being Transmitted To, Allow Me To Share Some of Our History.

Understanding a. Where We Have Come From, b. Where We Are Now and c. Where We Are Going Next is Important. Then We’ll Get In To The First Oil Trading Strategy Article.

A. A Brief History of Where We Come From.

As Stated, For Near 3 Years Now We Shared Our Trading and Software Development Journey Real-Time With Our Crude Oil Trading Community (in a Live Trading Room). We Recorded Live Every Minute Of Our Trading and We Also Endeavored to Share Our Findings Via Various Blog Articles, Alerts, Webinars, Coaching and Videos.

Sharing The Details of Our Journey Was Not Easy. It Was Difficult To Find Time to Reconcile Findings In Such a Way That Would Would Be Easily Transferable to Our Community. The Day-to-Day Trading Live in The Room, Alerting Trades, Coding Software, Writing Articles, Coaching etc all Real-Time While in Our Own Discovery Process Was… Lets Just Say A Tad Crazy.

It Also Wasn’t Easy To Share What We Were Learning in a Way That Would Be Easily Understood and Actionable For Our Clients, Not To Mention Knowing When The Next Phase in Development Would Be Successful or Challenging (Having Us Profitable Or Not).

We Set Out In The Beginning To Be Transparent and We Have Held to That Mandate All the Way Through The Process.

And Now, We Know What Works and Does Not Work And We Begin a Real Journey to Share Our Findings. The Goal is to Share This in the Most Succinct and Simple Way Possible – to Make our Findings “Actionable” For The Average Trader. 

Our Story Reveals Secrets Not Commonly Available That Can Help Day Traders Form Proper, Simple, Structured Oil Trading Strategies That Will Increase Your Win Rate, Returns and Lower Risk.

We are Acutely Aware There Are Hundreds of Oil Trading Strategies That Succeed or Fail. The Strategies We Will Share Are Structural in Nature. In Other Words, The Lessons We Learned About The Structure Of Oil Trade and Order Flow Will Help With Any Other Oil Trading Strategies You Are Employing.

Here in The First Article of Its Kind and With a Series of Near Future Planned Informational Articles, Webinars and Select Media Broadcasts, We Endeavor to Summarize and Simplify The Most Important Takeaways for You, The Oil Trader.

B. Where We Are Now.

Recently, we launched real-world testing of version 4 EPIC oil trading software (after running versions 1, 2 and 3 successfully) only to have it (v4) exemplify (once again) the volatility that new version machine trade software deployment encounters.

Prior to the launch of v4 our version 3 oil trade software had proven in real-world testing that it would perform at a rate of return of about 83% per year (which would get better over time as the machine “learned” – the most recent results are closer to 94% per annum).

So needless to say, we were excited about the “next”.

But as we’ve learned over and over again… the “next” can challenge comfort zones in many ways – you could refer to this as our trading risk management threshold – software development and deployment style.

Deployment of version 4 brought volatility that once again exceeded our “risk threshold”. In short, “real world testing” is more about testing our human “risk threshold” or comfort level than it is about whether the software would eventually perform as planned, after all, it does have to be “birthed” and then “learn” and then fly.

But we just weren’t “comfortable” with having to endure the process of the machine software known as version 4 to “learn” and become profitable. Version 4 was a much more aggressive architecture than version 3. So anyway, in short, we abandoned version 4 and returned to the proven version 3. We won’t be returning to v4.

So on Monday August 5, 2019 at 11:00 PM EST we announced the return to v3 and it was “re-born”. It took a day for it to run its start up systems and then started firing trades and has been again profitable since.

“For Aug 9, 2019: v3 Profit & Loss: Daily +$995 YTD +$8,526 Projected $94,306 or 94% Per Annum. Oil Machine Trade 100k Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #MachineTrading #OilTradeAlerts.”

C. Where We Are Going Next (Near Term).

The first day was a quiet day for the v3 software reboot – the action started to come online in day two.

Below, and in near-future articles is where we pick up the story and we will use real-world trading in the live oil trading room to explain as clearly and simply as possible strategies oil day traders can employ to compete with the best of the best.

Each day I will take the oil trading action from the day in the oil trading room and oil trading alerts and post an article specific to the rules the software used to execute the trades with simplicity top of mind when writing the articles.

Traders that study these articles will have the benefit of video recordings of our traders in the oil trading room describing the trades we are manually executing to assist the software developers in “tweaking” the version 3 EPIC software.

The articles will also include various charting (conventional and algorithmic), oil trade chat room trade set up guidance notes from our traders, various articles, informational webinars, select media broadcasts and much more. Some of which will be made available to the general public and some behind our pay wall (subscriber premium material).

When we complete this informational series of articles we will have completed our oil trading development mandates and then go on to the next and the next (in terms of our wider development goals)… 

For now, our goal here is to publish approximately one oil trading article per day with video, host one public informational webinar per week (email us at compoundtradingofficial.com to register for the next webinar), post continued v3 daily P&Ls to our social feeds, and have documented all actionable trade strategies within 60 days.

As stated above, much of this will be public facing and yet other information (the more proprietary) will be made available only to our premium subscribers .

The articles in this series will be sent to the mailing list – so get on it now click here.

Now, Lets Get to The First Lesson in Oil Trade Strategies – Trading With Version 3 With The Lead Trader in The Live Oil Trading Room.

Each article will include at least one lesson (or at least one rule that is included in the software trading rule set).

This first article will be from the oil trading room last Friday, and I will try to catch up the other days from last week at some point soon and as of Monday I’ll be posting each trading day’s action daily.

Here’s how our trading day on Friday went down;

Trading Crude Oil Break Outs.

Trading break-outs (break-ups & break-downs) outside of the most recent trading range is not easy. The reason is simple, you don’t know where the new range of trade will be and you don’t know if it is a true beak-out that will hold.

Our rule set has much more predictable trading set-ups to trade than what we seen on Friday, but lets start here because this was the most recent trading day and future posts will highlight the more predictable set-ups.

All our trades on Friday were winners, I think the v3 software has won every trade since it was rebooted last week and thus far I think it has only had one red day (for 0.02% draw-down).

Trade Sizing, Range Of Trade, Holds & Stops.

Under our v3 protocol, breaks in the price of oil to the current range are traded lightly in terms of sizing and any trade positions are held with tight stops.

In other words, until the new trading range develops, size of trade is to remain small and stop orders need to be considerably rigid because if the break up or down in price does not hold and form a new trading range you do not want to be left holding the bag (a losing position).

If you are caught holding a bag it is important for it to be a small size bag. Our v3 protocol mitigates this also with the ability to determine intra-day bottoms and size in to the next trade to relieve the small losing position when needed. But this is always a very small position if held and is only held intra-day.

In our general informational material about our v3 software vs. v4 this is one of the primary differences in architecture. Version 4 rule-set had holds on a much wider range (you could say a swing trading range) and v3 only holds within the intra-day range as verified by recent trade.

Please Note: When I state absolutes like “v3 only holds” as above, be sure to consider that our software has over 4400 rules that are weighed against each other, so absolutes are not reality, but for the simplicity of our goal here I will often explain rules of trade as absolute.

If you focus on trading range you will find it much more predictable than trading break-outs and break-down in price.

Anyway, before the break-out occurred on Friday we were posting guidance to the oil trade chat room server on Discord and the private member twitter alert feed.

We were also in the live oil trading room stating that trade was likely to break out Friday.

We also provided various immediately applicable guidance to our members specific to resistance and support on the most applicable time frames referencing chart models that our members could refer to.

Below is the morning trading guidance we posted to the crude oil chat room server (Discord private server is used for alerts service along with Twitter feed, alerts are available as a stand alone service or within the bundle with reports and oil trading room access).

The most applicable charting in this instance were the 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute and daily algorithmic chart models.

Note: By “most applicable” I am saying that these particular charts were recently being respected most, by oil trade action, of the various models available. We have numerous algorithmic chart models and conventional charts provided in reporting to members to draw on when providing guidance for their daily trading strategy. Our job is to refer to those that which recent oil trade action has most responded to (or price has respected support and resistance areas on the charts).

Also specifically to the information below, the preferred buy triggers are areas of support that provide high probability for bounce trades intra-day should price actually not break-out. A significant part of the v3 trading rules applies to key areas of support intra-day that liquidity in oil markets that are machine traded are most likely to trigger large buy programs to.

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 8:10 AM
Preferred buys on 15 min model; 51.83, 52.02, 52.29, 52.78 trading 53.11 intra day
Preferred buys on EPIC 30 min model; 51.88, 52.49, 52.74. Main resistance 53.65, 54.31, 54.43

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 8:25 AM
Top of range on daily 53.94 (uptrending TL on model) if held, over that is break-out / divergent. Trading 53.21. Order flow says it can happen. Trading 53.24.
Preferred buy trigger on 5 min model. 52.70 9:30 AM at inflection of time cycle running 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM

Oil, trading, chat, room, trader, guidance

Crude Oil Trading Chat Room – Lead Traders Provide Technical Guidance for the Members in Advance of Trading Day

JeremyLast Friday at 8:38 AM
Order flow and volume since Thurs / internals say break to upside probable.

oil, trading, chat room, guidance

Continued guidance provided to members in oil trading room – crude oil resistance on daily chart – range of trade

First Oil Trade of the Day – Break Out Trade, A Quick Bullish Trade to Range of 1 Minute Chart Model

Normally we can alert our trades to the alert feeds on Twitter and Discord, but on Friday we were only alerting live in the main oil trading room because trade action and the break out were developing very quickly and there was no time to type the alerts.

Now I will point out quick I sometimes try and do my part on my public facing Twitter feed, I did warn the shorts the night prior of this action setting up because we knew there was accumulation in order flow that started the day prior.

Curtis Melonopoly
@curtmelonopoly
Careful shorties #OOTT $CL_F

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 9:07 AM
Software got that with 1/10 only now out happened too fast to alert typing, was alerted in live room
cradle of the quad

first, oil, trade, premarket

The first oil trade of the day was in regular US market premarket, 1 min and daily charting shows the trade range.

Curt MelonopolyLast Friday at 9:35 AM
@Jen 54.32 – 54.48 1/10 traded thanks
in trading room yes

Below is the screen capture from the oil chat room showing the Daily Chart Model resistance that trade hit and the cradle of the EPIC Oil Algorithm resistance that trade hit.

Oil algorithmic charting showing the range of trade for the premarket trade – daily and 30 min charts in oil chat room.

oil chat room, trading range, winning trade

Oil algorithmic charting showing the range of trade for the premarket trade – daily and 30 min charts in oil chat room

Lessons From Oil Trade #1 (Break-Out) in Oil Trading Room:

  1. Trade Size – This is a break out trade so trade size was 1/10 size. The v3 protocol is small like this, version 4 would have sized this trade larger.
  2. One Minute Model Structured Range, Upside Resistance Broke – Trade was executed long above the one minute model support / resistance and trade was closed as the next resistance on the one minute model was hit. This was also recent intra-day break of trading range – THIS IS IMPORTANT. Also, if you were confident in the new range holding you could size 2/10 or more and release some at top of one minute trading range and hold some to see if the one minute support held on pull back. Our v3 software will do this if order flow shows a high probability and low risk to such.
  3. Resistance on Chart Models – A key resistance on the EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm chart model was hit as was the trading resistance on the daily chart. This provided further reason to exit or trim the long trade.
  4. Time of Day, Premarket, Momentum – Look at the time of day of the trade. Premarket trade action is critical to watch for a general direction in to regular US market open. Also important are the key times, in premarket the 15 minute and 30 minute candles are critical. This was a 9:00 AM  30 minute candle momentum trade.

Live Oil Trading Room Video

On the live oil trading room video the alert for oil trade #1 on the day starts at 1:22:22 on the video timer and at 8:59 AM EST on the time at bottom right of screen with a notice to live trading room that positive order flow indicates a long trade break out set-up building. Over the next few minutes the trigger is activated (I’m concerned at this point about getting too many traders thinking to bullish because break outs are tough, however, I do announce the long trade at 1/10 size). Price target on the day 53.87 is discussed, trading 53.11 at this point of trade in live oil trading room.

You can see on the trading room video the price of oil come off to the 5 min model support and bounce (typical right before a break our for price to come off and then go).

At about 1:30:00 on the video you will see price pressing the resistance on the next upside trading quadrant on the EPIC Oil Algorithm model.

Lessons From Trade # 2 in Break Out.

At approximately 1:57:30 on the video timer we’re executing long again at 54.32 – 54.48. 

  1. Continuation, Intra-day Trend/Strength – There was continuation in the break out.
  2. Resistance Breaks – Price was up over 1 minute range resistance for the long. Price was up over the 30 minute range resistance, and the horizontal historical resistance (yellow).
  3. Close Trade at Range Resistance, You Can Always Re-Enter if Price Continues Bullish – Trade was closed as price entered resistance on the 30 minute model.
  4. Break Out Trade Size Should Be Small – Trade was small at 1/10 size because this is a break out and there is no guarantee the intra-day range developing would hold. Larger size in more appropriate in predictable range trading intra-day.

Lessons From Trade # 3 in Break Out.

At about 3:40:40 on the video we have triggered a trade in $CL_F long 1/10 at 54.31. Here again with tight stops pending order flow.

This was a high frequency order flow battle area intra-day in the break-out area of oil trade in the markets on the day

The time cycles intra day had us expecting more pressure on price that did not occur so when the HFT’s in the market started to trade it stronger we entered with them. This is not a set up that will help the every day oil trader to a great degree unless you were in the trading room with us and understood every detail of the set up as described, not a trade for the beginner.

It was a winning trade, but not the easiest. Most day trades with oil break outs are not what I would describe as easy. At issue, again, is that you don’t want to get caught holding a bag in a failed break out.

The video does go through various other more advanced signals we use as the trade of oil progresses intra-day.

At 3:35:27 on the video you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

Trading Rule-Set Lessons:

  1. Positive Order Flow – Buy side order flow started strong as price entered the range of the 1 minute model support (the range is marked with blue/red/white horizontal lines clustered). We wanted a buy trigger lower but considering the bullish action on the day this was the reversal point.
  2. Double Bottom Support – Buy side order flow started strong as price entered the double bottom intra-day range.
  3. Progressive Increasing Volume – Progressive volume was obvious.
  4. Close at Resistance – At 4:00:50 approximately on video recorder timer we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance. The timing was perfect for exit also based on intra-day time cycle frequencies (intra-day time cycle frequencies as it relates to trading this day are not what I will explain in this post, in short that specific discipline in our rule-set takes considerable experience). Nevertheless, clear resistance was hit and on the video you will hear me count down to the time cycle completion and a perfect hit to resistance and exit of the long trade.

On the video at 3:35:27 you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

oil trading room, trade alert, crude, CL_F

On the video you can see buys come in to intra-day crude oil trade in the trading room and the reversal starts.

Screen shot below of oil trading room live trade alert – we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance.

oil, trading, room, screen shot, alert

Oil trading room live trade alert – we close the long trade at resistance on the one minute oil model at the trendline resistance.

There were other miscellaneous trades on the day (all winners) but considering the complexity of signals on this day (considering it was a break out early structure) I think I will leave it there. I would rather focus these posts on the most predictable and easily executable trades for our oil traders to learn.

The next post I will do tomorrow (Monday) evening after we’re done trading for the day. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember that I am doing an oil trading information webinar once a week for now on (covering our software status and trading techniques) so email me if you would like to attend this next one – you will need a special link and access code to attend.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Since the end of December when the price of nearby NYMEX crude oil futures fell to a low at $42.36 per barrel, the price recovered to $66.60 in April and fell to a low at $50.52 last week. At $54.50 on the nearby September NYMEX crude oil futures contract on August 9, the price is at the midpoint of the trading range since December 2018. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4284072-crude-oil-monkey-middle

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategies, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL, how to trade, alerts, trading room


The Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Is Complete.

The information below (in advance of the official white paper) provides a summary of the development process to date, the rule-set (strategies) the code executes oil trades to, what the oil trade alerts will look like on your feed, returns expected on accounts traded and what we have planned in future.

June 13, 2019

As noted above, we have now completed the main structure of the coding for our crude oil trading.

We have previously messaged that we were either close or right at being complete only to find ourselves back down another rabbit hole. This time is actually different, we are done the primary architecture coding, we only have updates (tweaks) remaining. We expect the bulk of that to last at most ninety days.

The software includes eighteen structured algorithmic models (representing time frames from 1 minute charting to weekly), specific high probable trade set-ups, trade sequences within set-ups, order flow analysis, trend (channel) structures on each time-frame and range structures on each time-frame.

The trends (channels) and range trade structures are given the most weight within the decision process of the rule-set. The larger the structure (time-frame) the more weight for sizing and stop loss range. The models, set-ups. sequences and order flow have much less weight in the code.

This (the weights) described above will manifest in trade activity in such a way that trade will become more active and in greater size with the larger the structure. For example, the trending channel from late December 2018 to recent would be a considerable structure within the code and as such the code would size in to that channel at the support and resistance widths of range.

The white paper that we will publish soon will detail the rule-set in such a way that our clients will be able to follow along with the machine trade and understand the protocol that it is executing. This is the first stage for the architecture needed for our trader digital dash board we intend to develop soon.

As the days and weeks go on the software will fire more regularly and will begin to size considerably more than right now because it is coded to weigh decisions within trade trends, structures etc. As the trade set-ups develop the code will fire on them. Obviously the largest structures will be at the end of this start up process. The last few days it has been firing on 1 min, 5, 15 and 30 minute structures.

At first we expect the returns to be approximately .5% per day (if averaged over 30 trading days) increasing to well over 1% per day at most 90 trading days in to the launch. We have tested the code in advance and are confident with this. Depending on our success with “tweaks” the returns could escalate to near 3% per day, we are however more conservative and expect 1%-1.5%.

We are significantly more confident with this version of code simply because we have been down the rabbit hole on every time frame, in every structure, every set up, every order flow sequence on all time cycles competing with the best machines in the world.

We have been there, we went to battle in every arena, we know where we can win and where we cannot. The final version of code will only fire in arenas that we expect 80% + win rate. The larger the structure the larger the return as the software fires through the sequence with the structure.

We tested code on every time frame, in every algorithmic model, every order flow structure and so on and so on. We left no stone unturned.

There are areas of trade in the oil markets (smallest time frames) that are so competitive it would dazzle your mind. The AI’s that are firing in the smallest of time frames are doing so in a way that no trader can imagine. Every time we completed a sequence of trade in the most competitive areas (time-frames) we were schooled in the most advanced AI machine trade the world has to offer. It is manifested in a way no trader would ever expect. Here’s a hint, imagine getting beat every time, in a new way every time and every new way you got beat was a structured, logical, mathematically sound way and the ways seem endless.

Our final crude oil trade code is well outside those areas of competition.

The alerts on the Twitter client feed, in the oil trading room and on the private Discord server will continue to have “M” in the alert if it is a machine driven trade and if I (Curt) am trading I will also identify the alert detail as such. As the days go on the protocol (trade set up) detail will get more and more detailed so that our clients can follow along with clarity.

See also:

Press: SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

What’s next?

The next ninety days is for tweaking the code – refining the execution of sequences within structures of trade.

Then near term we will be looking at the trader’s digital platform and API’s etc and then….

AND THEN…. YES, WE HAVE DECIDED to BUILD SOFTWARE FOR BITCOIN MACHINE TRADE. 

This will obviously lead our developers in to other crypto-currencies also.

Any questions send me an email compoundtradigofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

Oil Trading Academy:

If you would like to learn more about how to trade oil, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Updates Distributed Weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed and Discord Private Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (Weekly Newsletter, Trading Broadcast Room, Chat Room, Real-Time Trade Alerts).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: AI, machine trading, trade, software, crude, oil, BTC, Bitcoin, Oil Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Strategy

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A Reliable Method to Determine in Advance Intra-Day Bottom Price, Day High Price, Trading Trend and Timing for Your Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy (Part 1).

The systematic process below that includes actual time stamped oil trade alerts, live video from our oil trading room and charts from our oil trade chat room is easily identifiable when the right signals of trade are in play on any day that you are trading crude oil.

The method below can be learned and reproduced by any trader that studies the trading set-up and strategy explained.

When a trader knows with high probability the likely range of trade for the day then a trading strategy for daytrading can be put in to place.

If you know the likely high of day, low of day, reversal area, trend of trade for the day and the likely timing of the price target areas / reversals this goes a long way to help you with your day trade strategy for executing trades. You can then execute your trades in accordance to those signals until they are no longer relevant or in play.

Hopefully in sharing what happened today in our oil trading room this will help you with your oil daytrading strategy in future.

Part One of this Article will show you how trade transpired today, what we alerted, the charting as it happened, the models we used to determine the high price of day, low price of day, time cycle peak for price targets, the trend on day and more.

Part Two of this Article will explain how you can use this information (the charts, alerts, trading room, chat etc) to develop your own daytrading strategy for crude oil trade.

June 16 Update – Part Two of this Article is Now Complete and can be viewed by clicking here.

How to Day Trade Crude Oil Low/High Price, Trend, Reversal, Size, Timing (Pt 2 Premium) | Trading Strategy.

Today was the weekly EIA Report at 10:30 AM. There was a substantial build reported. Below is a copy of a tweet from ZeroHedge.

Crude oil +6.77MM, Exp. -0.5MM
Gasoline +3.21MM
Distillate +4.57MM
Cushing +1.79MM

Prior to the EIA report coming out I was concerned about it and let the trading room know right before it was announced (the live video is in this article). Even though I expected the oil price to collapse I didn’t trade it down because we were in the last part of our final coding of our machine trade – so I was doing double duty (I wanted to get done).

So the report comes out and oil starts to collapse (you can see all this on the video from the oil trading room for those learning about how oil trades and what to watch for).

At 10:54 AM I alert the oil trading room (with voice broadcast and charting), the oil chat room (see screen capture image below) and alert to the member Twitter feed (screen shot below) that we are looking at the 50.84 area of FX USOIL WTI for possible long trade (trend reversal) for a possible bottom price area on the day. We trade CL futures but alert on USOIL WTI for consistency between instruments of trade for crude oil.

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

oil, trade, alert

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

Then at 11:54 the price of oil drops in to the area previously alerts, spikes down with a flash and trade reverses. In the oil chat room screen shot below you can see I alerted our long oil trade (machine trade in this instance) in the 50.70s and then the machine trade closed and fired a few other times. This ended up in fact being the low of day in trade. I had alerted that I was looking at the 50.84 area and price hit 50.70s and reversed.

Software fired in there 50.70 s to closing 50.90 s, I didn’t but we’ll see if it holds the range for a bounce.

oil trading room, alert, bottom price, trend reversal area

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

You can also see in the screen shot that I was sharing various chart set-ups to help our traders with their trading strategies for the day so they knew where the structured areas of support, resistance etc were.

Then at 12:07 PM I alerted to the oil trading room by voice broadcast, chat room with charting and on live alert feed that the structure of trade had improved and that we expected that the low of day for trade had in fact been put in confirming a reversal.

improved structure, likely near term low in

oil, trade, alert, price, reversal

Oil trade alert, trading room alert low of day price crude oil reversal trend in play.

Then shortly after 12:00 I alerted (to live trading room, chat room, alert feed) that there was a time cycle peak coming at 2:15 (in other words if you are long on the reversal from the day lows that 2:15 would be the area of time on the day for a high for your price targeting on the trade).

I also gave the resistance levels between where trade was at near the bottom of the trading quad (near the reversal area at bottom) and where we seen the top price target of trade. In other words, if you are long the trade watch for the 20 MA on the 5 minute chart above and the mid quad (mid channel) resistance on the 30 minute EPIC model chart.

2:15 time cycle should be the top on any retrace up on the day
20 MA on 5 min overhead
2:15 PM time cycle most bullish scenario we have is 51.90 (mid channel on EPIC quad) trading 51.32
body of 30 min candle at machine line

Then after the resistance areas are overcome in uptrend trade on the day at 1:20 PM (in advance of the 2:15 time cycle peak) I alert in more detail the various price target areas that represent various model charts on different time-frames so that our traders know exactly what levels to watch as price nears both time and region of trade for our trending price targets for the day trade.

Resistance we are watching intra 51.86 mid channel EPIC, 52.14 5 min, 52.10 on 1 min, 2:15 time cycle peak, just hit 51.81 intra. Nice reversal intra in the EPIC quad from just below support of area we had marked. Also watching for signals for longer term trend reversal possibilities.

oil trading room, trade alert, reversal, price target

Screen shot oil trading room trade alert high of day price target timing for reversal for oil trading strategy.

Image capture below from oil trade chat room shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted.

oil trade alert, trend, price target, time cycle

Image shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted

Image below from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets. The first image is the 30 minute EPIC algorithm chart model showing a strong bounce off the bottom area of the quadrant (the alerted price reversal area).

Strong signal the trend on wider time frame is in reversal mode with action seen in this quad today really clean

And because the bounce is so strong and structured properly in the quad that traders could start possibly looking at larger time frame charting for a possible trend reversal and possible price targets in that scenario.

maybe one quad more down but that would be it if so imo
60.41 would be trend reversal target, trading 51.91, 850 ticks ish
sorry its 59.22

trading room, oil trade alert, price targets, reversal, trend

Image from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets.

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action. Normally we would explain or alert this as it was happening live, however, in today’s scenario I was doing double duty coding so I was sure to show our traders where / how they could confirm that the intra-day trend (for in future trading strategy) was still in play.

After two hits to the trend then the HFT programs set their confirmation pivot and continue trend. This confirms that a trade can continue looking in to the trend for the day, the price targets for day high and time cycle peak for the day.

this is where the HFTs hammered down today, after two hits to 1 min channel support and hit to 1 min range they hammered down

oil trading room, signals, HFT, confirmation of trend, alert

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action.

Two chart images below of crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in 30 Minute EPIC model. This week the trade is much more structured confirming signals that I will include in Part 2 of this report.

Last weeks quad action

This week quad action

oil charts, models, signal, confirmations

Two chart images for crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in model. Confirming signals.

The final two images below show that price did in fact spike in to the time cycle peak for 2:15 PM and did reverse in this area of oil trade for a short opportunity as we had alerted much earlier in the day.

peaking in to time cycle intra

trend reversal, alert, oil, trading room, charts

The final two trading room images below show that price time cycle reversal oil trade short alerted earlier.

Next, in Part Two of this article (sent to premium members) I will explain exactly how you can use this information (the charts, alerts, trading room, chat etc) to develop your own day trading strategy for crude oil trade.

I will explain trade signals such as how to know where the time cycles are, what the expected high of day and low of day is most probable and what the trend on the day should be.

Below is the raw oil trading room video feed, if you are learning to trade oil you can correlate the time stamp you see on the images above to the time stamp on the video so you can scroll through the video to specifically what I was saying in the trading room during each alert period. The video below is only a raw feed and I am not broadcasting on mic all day – only when there are alerts and or trades in play (this is why I mention the time stamps). I only include the video because newer students of trade can utilize the live video (and associated comments and charting) to learn, but it is not packaged in short form so you have to dig a bit.

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

At check-out use coupon code “epic30” for 30% off. Either Oil Trade Alerts Only or Oil Trade Bundle (Live Room, Reports, Alerts).

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Updates Distributed Weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed and Discord Private Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (Weekly Newsletter, Trading Broadcast Room, Chat Room, Real-Time Trade Alerts).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Trading Room, Strategy, Signals, Reversals, Trend, Price Targets, Time Cycle

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Below You Will Find Proprietary Oil Trading Signals Not Available Elsewhere. 

When Crude Oil Starts Selling Off Intra-Day Volatility Increases Fast. Knowing Where and Having the Signals for Support and Resistance On The One Minute Chart Will Help Your Trading Strategy.

If you day-trade crude oil futures contracts (or if you are learning how to day trade crude oil) the chart models and signals below will help you understand the structure of trade on intra-day charting (like using a GPS or a map).

The trade signals provided below will increase your trading win rate and ROI on each trade (as you learn to trade the set-ups or strategies).

We can also help you with confirming that the trend is actually bearish (selling in downtrend) and when price is likely to reverse intra-day and oil trade is likely to turn bullish. 

This is part one of a two part post (part one is public and part two is premium member only).

How Oil Sells Off Intra-day on Stairs to Support Floors Down.

The structure of oil sell-offs is not the same as when oil trades up. When crude oil trade is bearish intra-day you will find that it has specific areas of support / floors (this is also true when price is bullish but the structure or steps of trade are different).

When oil is trading down the price will often quickly drop to the next support and will then hang around for sometime and possibly test resistance areas for a possible reversal. When the reversal doesn’t happen or work then price drops quickly to the next floor of support.

The price of oil drops quickly to support and then the bulls will try and trade price back up (along with a certain amount of the shorts covering short positions) for a snap back or price reversal trade. At each support you will find this process occurring.

The more support there is on the charting (on various chart time-frames) the more likely a snap-back trade will occur (price reverses intra-day). This is why we have algorithmic models and conventional charting for all time frames that we use in the oil trading room, in member reporting and coded in to our machine trading software.

The goal is to know where each support and resistance point is on the charting so that you can develop a trading strategy for intra day moves in oil price.  

When you know where the support and resistance is you can then day trade the price of oil with more perspective or clarity.

Before you can learn how to trade a financial instrument (such as crude oil futures contracts) it is important to know the structure of the instrument (as it applies to the charting on various time-frames).

Once you know the structure (the playing field or like I refer to it as a GPS or map) then you need to learn how to trade that specific structure (this is where your personal trading style and strategies come in to play).

Knowing where support and resistance is on the charting allows you to set stops properly, it also helps you with sizing the number of contracts you are trading (trimming and adding to your trade size) and more.

There are two reasons we know the chart structure in the trade of oil (every financial instrument has a structure – like your DNA or the rings on a tree).

One reason is that we construct algorithmic charting models and the other is that we are coding for machine trade of oil. Both reasons require us to back test our charting. It isn’t enough to chart conventional trend-lines (or whatever it is you are charting) and it isn’t enough to design an algorithmic chart model – the assumptions for consideration in trade, such as support and resistances areas, need to be back tested so that you have a quantifiable high probability of success.

You need to know that your assumptions provide highly probable set-ups (trade signals) to provide you a trading edge.

When we chart for the purpose of trading signals we first start with conventional charting (on all time frames) and then move to charting algorithmic models of highly probable areas of support and resistance of trade (visual representation of important structure points of the charting) and then we move to coding what we know to be most probable areas of support and resistance in trade. I should note for completeness that our models provide much more than support and resistance, there are other important trade signals such as time cycles, the structure of trade itself on various time-frames and much more.

We use the charting for crude oil on thirteen different time-frames (1 minute charting through to monthly charting), we chart it on conventional charts, work with algorithmic modelling and back test all the various indicators for up to 60 months (such as moving averages, VWAP, MACD, stochastic RSI and more).

When we back test our assumptions we are calculating the probability of that structure in trade re-occurring. When we find a structure with high probability of repeating then we model that structure and code it to our machine trade software.

In this specific area of day-trading (intra-day sell-offs and reversals) we can help you with what structure is in play on the one minute chart as oil sells off and what to watch for so that you know the sell-off is likely done and the price trend is about to change and turn bullish for price reversal.

Support And Resistance On The One Minute Oil Chart in Sell-Offs.

Specific to crude oil, sell-off support and resistance on the charting is VERY PREDICTABLE. You will find that the areas of support are very precise and price will step down in a very structured way on the chart – this is a near exact science.

Why is the trade of oil so precise on the one minute chart when oil sells off? The answer is very likely because the trade of oil is now mostly done by software programmed / coded for machine trade and this machine trade liquidity has caused very specific structures of trade to manifest.

Lets Look at Some Recent Crude Oil Trade From our Oil Trading Room.

Below is a screen shot from our oil trade chat room on Discord (which is not the same as the live broadcast oil trading room) of a comment and a chart of intra day trade in crude oil (this was posted at 1:03 PM last Thursday).

My comment in the trading room reads “perfect structured sell down out of support in to next buy trigger”. What this means is that crude oil sold off intra day, it lost its area of support (the yellow diagonal trend line on the one minute chart model) and then dropped perfectly to the next support decision line on the chart (yellow line again) and then price bounced to test resistance.

By the way, the crude oil trade alerts are both what you see below (the Discord private server screen images below) and alerted on a private member Twitter feed.

This structure (you see below) occurred over and over again daily this week during sell-offs. This is a very predictable structure for knowing where to short oil intra-day, where to trim (cover) size of your short position and where to possibly find support for a reversal trade in your intra-day trading strategy.

Click here for an article that explains what short selling is.

This is by far one of the most predictable signals available for day-trading crude oil you will find. It has one of the highest probabilities of success in oil trade model charting.

The key to success however is learning what the structure is (having the model at your disposal for when you trade) so that you can size your trades properly and set stop orders properly etc – learning how to use the signals for your strategy and knowing when trade is likely to stop selling off so that you can then begin planning for a trend reversal.

This is a very predictable structure for knowing where to short oil intra-day, where to trim (cover) size of your short position and where to possibly find support for a reversal trade in your intra-day trading strategy.

crude, oil, trading, room, chart

Crude oil trading chat room screen capture of day trade in oil selling off using support. #oil #tradingroom #daytrading

And then in the screen shot below from the oil trading room you will see on the next chart posted to the room that oil started to bounce (or trade up) from the support (or buy trigger signal) on the chart. I then asked our software developer Jeremy to note that the software did not trigger a long trade for our coding updates to be done later that night.

Look close at his answer / comment to my request, he knew why the software did not signal a trigger for a long trade (and also why there was no trade alert as such on our member feed to buy)… it was because the order flow program (our proprietary IDENT software) knew that the machine liquidity in the markets was not buying that support and that they were going to sell it off again.

the order flow program (our proprietary IDENT software) knew that the machine liquidity in the markets was not buying that support and that they were going to sell it off again.

oil, trading, day trading, traders, room

Screen shot of oil trading room, price of oil trying to reverse, day trading signals for our strategy and discussion between traders.

And sure enough, if you look at the next image below you see that they sold oil off again shorting it down to the next step in the sequence to the next support on the chart structure (next yellow line down representing next support in a sell off). Again, it was precise trade action.

they sold oil off again shorting it down to the next step in the sequence to the next support on the chart structure

crude, oil, short selling, daytrade, signal

Oil short sell signal for daytrading strategy on the algorithmic chart model for day traders.

Then you will notice that I alerted the oil trading room (at 1:12 PM Thursday) that the bulls are starting to buy at each support area of the one minute chart (in other words, be aware that a price reversal in intra-day trade could occur soon).

There were buy programs and/or day-traders starting to buy at supports that are not support areas for a continued sell-off, they are areas of support for either indecision (or a decision is needed) or support for trading bullish (or in an uptrend).

This is key – the fact that buys were coming in at bullish support areas or decision areas on the model (this is an early sign or signal of an imminent reversal). These lines are at the white diagonal (signals a decision area of charting) and the blue diagonal (signals bullish support) on the chart model.

Oil was trading at 57.44 on FX USOIL WTI at the time.

This is key – the fact that buys were coming in at bullish support areas or decision areas on the model (this is an early sign or signal of an imminent reversal).

trade signal, alert, reversal, oil trade room

Screen capture of oil trading room alert signalling for daytraders to watch for trend reversal in day trade action.

And then next trade in crude oil reversed with a bounce and was threatening a confirmation signal for trend reversal. I was explaining to our day traders in the room at the time (this screen shot is taken on the weekend so you don’t see who was in the oil trade room at the time in the image) what to watch for in intra-day trade action for a confirmation of trend reversal. In this example I highlighted an area of the chart model where machines are programmed for a price target.

In this example I highlighted an area of the chart model where machines are programmed for a price target.

trend reversal, bounce, trade, crude oil

And then next trade in crude oil reversed with a bounce and was threatening a confirmation signal for trend reversal.

And then in this image (screen shot from oil trading room) you see that trade hit the price target and got through resistance confirming more that the low of day in trade had been put in and that we were now alerting bias to uptrend trading signals going forward for oil trade on the day.

Note the low of day was in fact 57.33 and I has alerted at 57.44 that the bulls were starting to step in (during the extreme sell-off) at key bullish areas of the algorithm chart model – this is machine trade. Knowing what the large liquidity in machine trade is doing is key now when day trading crude oil. This is very important.

Note the low of day was in fact 57.33 and I has alerted at 57.44 that the bulls were starting to step in (during the extreme sell-off) at key bullish areas of the algorithm chart model.

oil, trading, room, reversal, trade, signal, alert

Image (screen shot oil trading room) oil trade hit price target through resistance confirms uptrend trading signals

Looking at the chart below you can see very clearly how precise the day trading signals are on the daytrading algorithmic crude oil model.

  • The green arrows show three shorting opportunities from yellow diagonal support / resistance to the next yellow diagonal support / resistance (like stairs stepping trade down in the model).
  • You will notice that the last stair down that trade over shot the yellow line a bit, this is a signal that an intra-day bottom is being put in.
  • You can also notice (from the charts shown above) that as buying came in at the decision support / resistance lines (white diagonal lines on chart model) and at the blue decision diagonal support / resistance lines that I alerted a possible trend reversal in trade.
  • Then you will notice (see chart below) that trade got through the yellow resistance after bouncing (yellow arrow on chart) – this is a bullish intra-day signal that a reversal is likely near.
  • And then next in trade you will see that trade bounced at the blue diagonal trend-line (blue arrow) when it pulled back from resistance, a bounce at a blue line is further confirmation that trade is now bullish intra-day. The blue lines are used as support and resistance in an intra-day uptrend.
  • And then the subsequent blue arrows on the chart show how trade breached in to the next bullish area, then pulled back and used the blue line as support (after confirming up after hitting a decision white line) for a bounce and then so on through the bullish trade reversal in the daytrading sequence.
  • Blue is for trading in uptrend, yellow is trading a sell off, white is a reference point for a decision to go up or down in trend on the model.
  • The trend-lines on this algorithm model are not conventional. The trend-lines are algorithmic calculations and therefore proprietary and not available elsewhere.

How powerful is that for an oil daytrader?

Knowing exactly where the support and resistance is during a sell-off and knowing with high probability where the turn is likely to happen for reversal in trade and then knowing exactly where to trade the uptrend.

daytrading, crude, oil, signals, algorithm

Algorithmic chart model for shorting oil, trading a reversal in oil and decision areas of daytrading signals.

Below is the video explanation that accompanies this post (live oil trading room footage included).

In part two (the premium member post) we will take a deeper look at strategies for trading the one minute model (such as trade sizing and seeing the reversals in advance) and I will provide chart links to the proprietary algorithmic models via email to our members.

Protected: Part 2. Deep Dive Day Trading Signals Crude Oil Sell-Off, Reversals, Trend Trade | 1 Min Strategies (Premium).

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Updates Distributed Weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed and Discord Private Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (Weekly Newsletter, Trading Broadcast Room, Chat Room, Real-Time Trade Alerts).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trade Alerts, Trading, Oil Trading Room, Strategy, Signals, Shorting, Support, Resistance, Reversals, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Large Account Crude Oil Trading Alerts Profit Loss for January 2019.

January Oil Trade Profit / Loss Summary. The profit on our oil trading alerted trades is achieving excellent return for us and our alert clients.

After months of back testing on all time frames and our trading process is now getting locked in for machine trading and manually executed trading for both day trading and swing trading crude oil futures contracts. As such, we will start publishing profit loss reporting for the near term. This will be a series of documents from here forward.

About. We trade many accounts for many different reasons. We are coding software to machine trade on various rule-sets on various time-frames. We are also developing rule-sets (process driven trading) for our traders that have no intention of using our software, that prefer to execute trades manually.

Account Size, Trade Size. Below is the large account profit/loss and the follow up document to this is the small account for the same time period. The large account trades 10 contract size and the small account trades 1 contract size.

It is much more difficult to build a small crude oil futures trading account at 1 contract size than it is to trade and build on a larger 10 contract size account. The returns are significantly different. Studying the two profit/loss statements will help you understand why (small account statement will be released soon). Small accounts have to be traded differently.

Win Rate. Our win side percentage is now consistently well over 90%. Live alerted, recorded in the trading room and permanently logged in our library for members to learn our process of trade and verify, executed live in oil trading room with live voice broadcast and screen sharing with charting, and guidance discussion in the oil trading chat room server on Discord.

Returns. Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

The Goal is to Provide a Winning Oil Trade Process Specific to Your Risk Threshold and Style. Currently, our focus is assisting our client members with an oil day-trading process and a swing trading process that is easy to learn, reproduce, executed manually that provides a high probability of success.

The day-trading method being used currently is on a one minute time frame chart model that also references the primary EPIC Oil Algorithm model that is a 30 minute chart model and also other time-frame models are used (such as 4 hour, daily, weekly, monthly etc) for consideration to trade size as it applies to key resistance and support areas in the trade of crude oil. Refer to our rule-set (to be published soon) and/or client reports for more detail.

The alerts below can be cross-referenced to the time of day in our oil trading discord chart server and much more learning / data gleaned. There is significant charting of models and guidance to the trades in that server. The learning trader has a massive resource to draw on by methodically studying and cross referencing the data from the alert feed, the server, videos and regular reporting circulars (that will now include rule-set modules).

Our Trade Alerts and Development of The Process is Transparent, Recorded, Time Stamped. The development of the rule-set(s), charting and guidance we provide our trading clients is transparently shared by our staff in our client private Discord oil chart server (the oil trading chat server is included in our oil trading bundle).

The trade alerts below are the whole of the alerts for the month. None have been removed. Various guidance is not included to keep the document as short as possible.

The actual trades are executed by our lead trader and/or software development staff live in our live trading room with live voice broadcast and screen share charting etc.

The oil trade alerts are deployed on a private member oil trade alert Twitter feed (the alerts are provided as a stand-alone service or as a part of the trading bundle with oil chat and weekly reporting).

The various oil trading services are detailed here (click).

Simple Risk Threshold Tool. The intent of producing a profit / loss over view (as you see below) is specifically for our clients to easily determine which method of trade (day trading, short term swing trades (intra day), swing trading, trend trading etc) best suits their trading style and goals.

As such, the profit / loss summary below uses rounded figures (derived with simplicity in mind) for each entry for ease of calculation for trading plan development. Our actual accounts include many more trades, below we only represent the trades we have alerted to our member base – we include below only that which affects the profit / loss of our member clients. Our accounts are private.

Our lead trader (our associate traders) will, at any given time, operate a variety of accounts representing compound trading, swing trading, momentum trading and testing for algorithms and more. This may or may not include cash / leverage accounts, commodity accounts, crypto exchange accounts, paper trade accounts and various algorithmic back testing and simulation accounts and shares the P&L and trade entries and exits in a transparent manner to ensure success (or lack therein) of the algorithms or trade accounts is for the purpose of trader and program development initiatives. https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

Instruments of Trade. All quotes on our trade alerts are referencing price on FX USOIL WTI and traded on continuous CL futures contracts unless otherwise noted. This is to provide our clients one charting source to refer to as there are many instruments available to trade crude oil. Our algorithm models are developed on and charted on FX USOIL WTI on Trading View (the working models).

Trade Alert Language. The letter “M” denotes a machine trade, otherwise the trade is by our lead trader manually executed. If HFT is noted in the alert, this type of trade (machine executed) can have many high frequency trades in and out of the position. We note this for clients so they are aware but we do not alert every high frequency trade as this would not help our clients on this type of platform. In the near future we will have a manner in which our clients will be able to view the machine trade high frequency trade on a digital platform live.

Trading Style of Lead Trader / Risk Threshold / Goals and Associated Returns. It is important for viewers to know that the lead trader is executing trades with the highest possible probability of win side trade with the lowest amount of risk. A review of the private oil member server discussion will quickly bring to light for any trader that anyone with a slightly higher risk threshold than our lead trader will see returns much higher. Review our feed and determine for yourself, but it is readily transparent that if a trader can accept a 10% loss for significantly higher return trades that much greater return than what you will review below is not just possible but probable – as long as you cut fast when a trade has broken down.

We are a Data Provider Primarily to Serious Retail traders and Private Trading Firms (Commercial Enterprise). We provide service to retail, commercial enterprise (private trading firms) and institutional members. The institutional and commercial enterprise clients primarily utilize our live trading room for their trade alerts. We also provide a direct alert feed for each member client at the commercial / institutional level that also includes per user licensing, training, modified charting structures, support services and more. Our retail clients use our Twitter feed, some use our Discord chat and some the live trading room. Most are subscribed to the bundle service (weekly reporting, oil trading room, Twitter feed as a bundle).

Our Trading Firm Structure. We sell data and we trade our own accounts, we do not trade a fund account of any type or manner or on behalf of anyone or any firm. We are not investment advisers, we are data providers. Many of our commercial enterprise clients do however trade on behalf of their clients or as a part of a fund arrangement. In short, they use our data (charting, alerts and soon machine learning software) to execute trades. We can refer you to any of these enterprises if you are sourcing this type of service.

Proprietary Data. Below we leave out critical direction, methods and process driven explanation as we are entering a new phase in our development. Soon (prior to end of February) we will be contracting our clients to non disclosure, non compete and other forms of contract relations to protect our membership and stake holders on whole.

Price Increases (non existing clients). Price increases will be announced before the end of February 2019. Existing member / client fees do not escalate as we develop our platform as long as the subscription does not lapse. It is our early adopter promise.

Time Zones. The time stamp on Twitter, in Discord, in Trading Room and / or on various screen shots will either be Eastern New York or one hour later (as our lead trader is currently in the Dominican Republic).

Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days – 60 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

Oil Trade Alert #1. High Frequency Machine Trading Alert.

Context for this trade is also on alert feed (not shown here to keep this document from being the size of a book), in the private discord oil chat room server, documented on the live trading room video (that provides more specific detail to each execution than the alert feed below that is missing execution data) and combined with lead trader alerts in alert # 2 below. The coding team advises the clients that HFT alerts are primarily for guidance because there are many trades that cannot be alerted because of the frequency (however, we are coding a digital platform for our clients to view these HFT machine executions live). So in short, until such a platform is developed and deployed the clients can use the guidance to get their trade entry and resistance / supports but not follow the frequency and exact trades. The guidance on the alert feed has been getting better as the month went on (January) and will get more specific as we move forward in time, but it will never be precise (the Twitter platform isn’t built for HFT alerting, the live trading room does work much better however). SO in short, our clients need to use HFT alerts as a guide for their own strategy. The lead trader alerts are easier for the Twitter feed alert subscriber to follow than the machine trades.

Also important to note below, the executions compiled below I have derived directly from the trade account (Jen), so there will be times that the actual execution will be a few ticks different than the alerted price on various media sources of our platform (Twitter, live trading room coverage, oil chat room server, etc). And finally, you will find in some instance data missing from the alert feed simply because the lead trader is busy, but any missing data can be verified on live video log and/or in discord chat record.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.41 L trim 49.76 30% = 1050.00

49.41 L trim 49.73 30% = 990.00

49.41 L trim 49.71 30% = 900.00

49.41 L stopped 49.42 10 % = 10.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

crude, oil, trade, alert, machine

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42.

oil, trade, alert, machine trading

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42. Oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #2. Lead Trader Alerted Long Trade. Manually Executed Trades.

Lead trader was looking for a break of resistance and a squeeze in intra-day trade as described in alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.40 L trim 49.59 50% = 950.00

49.40 L trim 49.73 40% = 1320.00

49.40 L stop 49.49 10% = 90.00

Profit / Loss = 2,360.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

lead trader, crude, oil, trading, alert, long

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

Trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade.

trim, oil, trade, alert

trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade

The remaining executions were alerted in the Discord chat room and live traded in trading room and recorded and available on YouTube for members.

Oil Trade Alert #3. Lead Trader Alerted Short Trade with Possible Reversal. 

This short side trade alert came with an advisory that if it failed and reversed the lead trader would reverse at a certain price.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.21 Short to 51.27 at reversal = – 600.00

51.27 Long to 51.60 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 2,700.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, crude, oil , trade, alert

Selling 51.21 if it reverses I’m long to 51.64 at 51.27 ish

oil, trade, alert, win, reversal

Trade did in fact reverse and lead trader alerted the closing trade for a win. out of reversal long 51.60

Oil Trade Alert #4. Lead Trader Long Trade With Price Targets. 

Trade # 4 on the month was a long alert with specific price targets at 51.87 then 52.07 from an entry at 51.67.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.67 Long to 51.87 = 1000.00

51.67 Long to 52.06 = 1950.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

lead trade, price target, oil, trade, alert

Long 51.67 to 51.87 price target then 52.07 price target – crude oil trading alert by lead trader.

trim, trade, alert, oil

trim 51.87 50%, alert screen shot to trim the long oil trade

closed, trade, alert, oil, crude

Closed 52.06, successful long trade closed, screen shot capture of oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alert #5. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert.

Trade # 5 was a simple 20 point day trade scalp.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.45 Short to 52.21 = 2400.00

Profit / Loss = 2,400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, oil, trade, alert

selling 52.45 tight, short oil trade alert with tight stops

cover, short, trade, alert

Cover short trade 52.21.

Oil Trade Alert #6. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert with Caution.

Trade # 6 was a day trade two point entry alert with a caution to be careful.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size (five each entry)

51.98 Short to 51.87 = 550.00

52.05 Short to 51.87 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 1,450.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, trade, oil, alert

Screen capture of lead trader oil alert – selling 51.98 & 52.05 tight careful – CURT

crude, oil, short, cover, alert

Trade alert to cover oil trade for a profit – covered 51.87 looking for another entry.

Oil Trade Alert #7. Long trade with poor action, closed small profit.

Trade # 7 was quick, trade action was poor.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.97 Long to 52.01 = 400.00

Profit / Loss = 400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert

Oil trade alert – long 51.97 for tight test

oil, trade, alert, closed, win

out 52.01 taking a break see ya in futures.

Oil Trade Alert #8. Long machine driven trade alert with 50% trim and close.

Trade # 8 was a simple and clean machine traded oil alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.75 Long to 52.04 = 1450.00

51.75 Long to 51.94 = 950.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Machine, trade, alert, crude, oil, long

M – Long 51.75 high frequency program tight stops will advise.

trim, oil, trade, alert

M – trims 50% 52.04

closed, trade, alert, oil

M – closed 51.94. Machine trade alert screen shot of winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #9, 10 and 11 on one screen capture from feed – small quick trades.

Trades on the month # 9, 10, and 11 were quick scalps intra-day while the lead trader was trying to get a direction of trade going on the day so we have included them in one screen capture below from the live Twitter oil alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.14 Long to 52.25 =

Profit / Loss = 1100.00

51.85 Long to 51.94 =

Profit / Loss = 900.00

52.91 Long to 52.92 =

Profit / Loss = 100.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts

Screen capture of oil trading alert feed of 3 quick trades by lead trader.

Oil Trade Alert #12 was a long side trade by the lead trader.

The open long on the trade, the trim, and the closing for a winning trade is on one screen shot below.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.25 Long to 51.43 = 850.00

51.25 Long to 51.65 = 2000.00

Profit / Loss = 2850.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert, entry, trim, close

This oil trade alert, trim and closing for a win is shown on one screen capture.

Oil Trade Alert #13 Short Trade in Overnight Trading.

Alert # 13 on the month was an overnight futures session trade by our lead trader to the short side. It took some time but it paid off.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.07 Short to 50.74 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 3300.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, trade, alert, crude, oil, futures, overnight

Selling 51.07 will advise – CURT Overnight crude oil futures alert.

covered, short, oil, trade,

Covered 50.74 for a winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #14, 15, 16. Scalp Trades.

Alert # 14, 15, 16 on the month are three trade alerts on one screen image because they were small scalp trades as lad trade was trying to find direction in oil trade intra-day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.15 Short to 51.13 = 200.00

51.18 Short to 51.11 = 700.00

51.90 Long to 51.93 = 300.00

Profit / Loss = 1200.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, scalps

The next three trade alerts are on one screen image because the were small scalp trades to find direction in oil trade.

Oil Trade Alert #17 and 18. Lead Trader and Machine Trading Software Reversal Trade Win.

Alert # 17 and 18 are a flurry of oil trade alerts that include a reversal for a win with lead trader and the machine trading software alerting executions also.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

51.20 Short to 51.03 = 519.00

51.20 Short to 51.30 = – 700.00

51.30 Long to 51.53 = 690.00

51.30 Long to 51.63 = 990.00

51.30 Long to 51.66 = 1800.00

Profit / Loss = 3299.00

Machine Software Trades Executed.

51.36 Long to 51.53 = 510.00

51.36 Long to 51.56 = 600.00

51.36 Long to 51.47 = 440.00

Profit / Loss = 1550.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, win, lead trader, machine, software

The next flury of oil trade alerts includes a reversal for a win with lead trader and machine trading software.

lead trader, machine aoftware, crude, oil, trading, alerts

This screen image of the live alert feed shows the lead trader and software executing trades for members.

screen, shot, capture, oil, trade, alerts

Screen shot captured of closing the winning side oil trade alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #19. Lead Trader Pre-market in to Regular Market Open.

Alert # 19 is a series of trade alerts for crude oil in pre-market in to regular market open.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.67 to 52.93 = 1300.00

Long 52.67 to 53.08 = 1200.00

Long 52.67 to 53.03 = 1080.00

Profit / Loss = 3580.00

premarket, crude, oil, trade, alerts

Series of trade alerts for crude oil in premarket in to regular market open.

Oil Trade Alert #20, 21, 22. Daytrading Crude Oil Alerts.

Alerts # 20, 21, 22 is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil day trading snipes to get trend for day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.02 to 54.07 = 500.00

Long 53.76 to 53.85 = 900.00

Long 53.77 to 53.87 = 1000.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

daytrading, crude, oil, alerts

This is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil daytrading snipes to get trend for day.

Oil Trade Alert #23 and 24. A Small Loss and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 23 and 24 The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.85 to 54.00 = 1500.00

Sold 53.91 to 53.93 = – 200.00

Profit / Loss = 1300.00

Oil, trade, alerts, a loss, a win

The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #25 and 26. Another Small Gain (flat) and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 25 and 26 Next on oil trade alert feed a small gain (basically flat) and a short trade winning day trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.20 to 54.21 = 100.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.66 = 270.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.60 = 600.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.59 = 480.00

Profit / Loss = 1450.00

daytrade, crude, oil, alert

Next on oil trade alert feed a small flat and a short trade winning daytrade.

Oil Trade Alert #27. Clean Win on this Day Trade Oil Alert.

Alert # 27 on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.05 to 52.24 = 950.00

Long 52.05 to 52.27 = 670.00

Long 52.05 to 52.29 = 690.00

Profit / Loss = 2410.00

oil, trade, alert, long, win

Next on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Oil Trade Alert #28. Clean Day Trade Win on this Alert.

# 28 trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.06 to 53.31 = 2500.00

Profit / Loss = 2500.00

Daytrade, oil, crude, alert

Next trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Oil Trade Alert #29. Sniping Long Day Trade.

# 29 is a small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.13 to 53.22 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 900.00

sniping, crude, oil, alert

Small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #30 and 31. Flat trades with a special report coming for the one.

# 30 and 31 – Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency (manually traded high frequency) that a special report is due out on. When the report comes out (it is an intensive video of many trades) I will link that report to this here.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Profit / Loss = 0

two, oil, trades

Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency that a special report is due out on.

Oil Trade Alerts #32, 33, 34. 

# 32, 33, 34 –  Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.96 to 52.70 = 2600.00

Long 52.71 to 52.68 = 300.00

Long 52.77 to 52.77 = 00.00

Profit / Loss = 2900.00

oil, trade, alerts

Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #35. Small loss on a day trade.

# 35 –  This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.24 = – 800.00

Profit / Loss = – 800.00

Oil, trade, alert, loss

This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Oil Trade Alerts #36, 37. One loss one win.

# 36 and #37 –  More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.12 to 52.00 = – 1200.00

Long 52.47 to 52.62 = 1500.00

Profit / Loss = 300.00

One win one lose, daytrades, oil, alerts

More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #38. Two daytrade wins.

# 38 Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.72 to 52.84 = 600.00

Long 52.72 to 52.88 = 900.00

Long 52.88 to 53 = 1200.00

Profit / Loss = 2700.00

long, oil, trade, alerts

Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Oil Trade Alert #39. Nice win.

# 39 This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.41 = 270.00

Long 53.32 to 53.50 = 1260.00

Profit / Loss = 1530.00

day trade, crude, oil, trade, alert, win

This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Oil Trade Alert #40. Clean Day Trade on the Model.

# 40 Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.59 to 53.75 = 800.00

Long 53.59 to 53.91 = 1600.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

trade, alert, oil, daytrade

Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Oil Trade Alert #41. Small win.

# 41 Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.24 to 54.29 = 500.00

Profit / Loss = 500.00

oil, trade, alert, intra day

Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day. Crude oil trading alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #42, 43, 44. $XOM Earnings Win, DWT Short Swing Trade Win, Daytrade Win.

# 42, 43, 44 – The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings that went exceptionally well, DWT close short swing (nearly doubled), long day trade crude oil.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 55.00 to 55.23 = 1150.00

Long 55.00 to 55.22 = 1100.00

Profit / Loss = 2250.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 @ 1000 = 4820.00

Profit / Loss = 4820.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 closed, nice trade and it followed the plan for the price target. #swingtrading #crudeoil #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $UWT $DWT

$XOM long 72.60 Thurs in to earnings, Fri HOD 76.49, Closed Session Fri 75.92. #swingtrading #earnings #OOTT #Oil #Gas #TradeAlerts

XOM, earnings, DWT, short, swing trade, daytrade, crude, oil, alerts

The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings, DWT close short swing, long day trade crude oil.

Remember, for each of these trade there is a process. This process can be learned, reproduced and executed at will. We have a video library on YouTube, private oil chat room on Discord, live trading room, live alert feeds and numerous reports that come out regularly.

There is no fluke in this winning process. It is very systematic and predictable. All you have to do is put the time in to it to study it and practice it and reap the reward. We have done the heavy lifting in advance for you.

Conclusion.

One Month Statistics:

Trade Account Increase = +63.05%

Trade Account Profit = $63,049.00

Wins = 41

Losses = 3

Win rate = 93%

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

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Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trade, Trading, Alerts, Profit, Loss, Futures, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Tools You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate. 90%+- Is Within Reach.

How to Trade Oil Successfully with the Right Strategies: Trade Alerts, Chat Room Signals, Live Trading Room, Conventional Charts, Time Cycle Knowledge and Algorithmic Models.

My position in this post is simple; if you have the technical data needed to make the right trading decisions on all time frames (your oil trading strategy) provided to you (the oil day trader) in the most efficient manner, you can out trade the general market traders and compete with world class machine oil trading firms.

We endeavor to provide such a trading platform for our members. Below I explain how we are doing that.

But first, a trade coaching session for those learning to get on the winning side of their trading… if you are a pro that only needs the technical oil trading strategies included in this post… skip this rant and scroll down. 

Why do I scream from the rooftops that my win oil trading rate is so high?  Why do I scream transparency and documentation of my trading journey and the development of our oil trading systems?

I scream my win rate (that anyone can review our live recorded and time stamped documentation to verify) to drive home that you do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you, “trade price, nobody knows the future and that a 60/40 win rate is acceptable” – this is a flawed process.

You do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you.

Study our oil trading system development and you will find that trading price doesn’t work in oil and that thinking you can’t know the future (future decisions for up, down or sideways trade and the most probable price targets) is foolish thinking.

We know with high probability where price is going to be on any time frame (from a 1 minute chart to a monthly chart and all between) and we know with high probability how to trade the decisions a trader will face on the way to the possible price targets.

We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field. We play the game with the lights on while the majority of our competition is in the dark.

We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field.

A 60/40 win rate is painful, to accept and use that system you have to take a series of significant losing side cuts to only then take advantage of a winning swing trade trend pattern move. In other words, the problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win. I do this myself, but only with 10% of my account.

For example I have been DWT short for a number of weeks in preparation for the reversal in oil trade we are now experiencing. But I do it so that I get the move even when I don’t have time to day trade it.

The problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win.

Another problem with the 60/40 idea (and there are hundreds of problems with this thinking) is that oil can trade sideways for many weeks, in this scenario you get chopped up and this causes your brain to be confused and you begin questioning yourself.

The method we are developing, perfecting and teaching (that we have documented live in every fashion available for proof) has a much higher rate of return and win side rate, it allows you to be in cash daily, it is much less stressful (the draw downs when you do lose can be next to zero) and it is the equivalent of Wayne Gretzky on the ice (for example).

You can simply “out stick handle” your competition.

To be a 90%+ oil trading winner takes real work to learn, but on the other side you will have much less stress, you win more often, your ROI and ROE increase significantly, your lifestyle freedom increases and the most important part is it keeps your brain in the frame work of being a winner.

Worst case scenario – you add what you can or what you prefer to use of what we have learned and passed on to you so that your oil trading win rate increases.

The bottom line.

It is critical for your brain to know it wins. When it knows you are a winner it won’t accept losses. This is critical (you would have to do a serious psychological study to learn why this is so important – maybe someday I will write about what I’ve learned).

The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality. Your subconscious is the leader, and it needs to know when it trades crude oil, that you win.

The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality.

The only way this is possible (your brain knowing that you win so it won’t accept losing which causes your execution to be disciplined) is to be able to “out -trade” your competition.

Sure, you are competing with yourself – but in reality you are competing against the world’s best when you enter the markets everyday.

The only way to out-trade your competition is to have technical market information and tools they simply do not possess and / or do not have “as efficient” access to and they haven’t defined their trading process and skill-set to the same level you have.

This is what causes one to trade win-side at a rate of over 90%. And anyone can do it.

Lets Get on With The Technical Oil Trading Strategies You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate.

Oil Trade Signals: The Strategy / Guidance I Provided to Members at Start of Week.

Crude Oil Time Cycles, Area of Trade, Support, Resistance, Trading Channels.

Note: The time stamps on the Private Member Discord Oil Chat Room Server is showing my time in the Dominican Republic (this time of year it is one hour later here in DR than Eastern Time in New York).

For this post (that focuses on examples from Friday Jan 18, 2019 in our oil trading room) I will start with trade signals I provided to our members at the beginning of the week (and some prior) to provide context for the guidance explained.

Below (3rd image down) you will find a private member server screen shot (to start the week of Jan 14, 2018) I shared with the chat room of a test chart our oil machine trade coding technicians are developing for sizing trades.

In addition to using our main oil charting (the EPIC Oil Algorithm model – a proprietary model based on a 30 minute oil chart) we use many other charts (conventional and algorithmic) on many time-frames to determine back tested and correlated probabilities for oil trade resistance, support, channels, reversals, time cycles and more.

In the instance below (at start of last week) I was signaling the possible channel oil would use for weekly trade – specifically if the scenario played out during weekly trade as it related to the previously provided signals to members (that we seen a time cycle ending in crude oil December 20, 2018).

Prior to this, we had provided members (many weeks in advance of Dec 20) that the time cycle peak / conclusion was for approximately Dec 20 (with allowance for a week either way of Dec 20 because the time cycle was so large as it was based on the weekly time cycle charting).

Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.

Between Dec 20 and Dec 26 there was one last “flash down” in oil trade which is typical at the end or peak of a time cycle on any time frame from the one minute charting to monthly charting (this is typical of the final stops being triggered and shorts covering positions).

Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.

Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.

crude, oil, chart, reversal, trend

Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.

Also of note, we predicted the down turn in oil trade at the time cycle peak – the time cycle turn prior to the Dec 20, 2018 reversal.

See this tweet from EPIC Oil Algorithm Public Twitter feed and the post linked to our blog.

“Dating back to 2002, 13 of 14 major time cycles on weekly crude oil chart structure seen trend reversal to some extent or another #Oil #OOTT #TimeCycles FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/F8Z9UE66-Dating-back-to-2002-13-of-14-major-time-cycles-on-weekly-crude/

Back to Strategic Guidance Provided to Oil Chat Room Last Week:

The oil trade signals I alerted to members to assist in their oil trade strategy focused on the trading range our members could expect for oil the coming week. The alerted signals also gave our traders support and resistance areas on the charting and the most probable channel of trade (this is all in addition to the EPIC Oil Trading Weekly Report).

Curt Melonopoly Last Monday at 8:49 AM (7:49 AM EST)
“It’s a machine coding doodle chart for sizing etc so its a mess, but we are looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal confirmation in crude oil – use proven EPIC model for confirmation for trading”.

oil, chat , room, signals

Oil Chat Room – looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal in crude oil

Below is a screen shot of the live oil alert feed on Twitter providing the following signal to our members for the week:

“Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.”

crude, oil, alert, signal, guidance

Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.

The examples above provide context to the guidance we provided our oil members at recent time cycle turns and at the beginning of the week…

Now lets jump to the specific point of this post that involves trade last Friday December 18, 2019 so we can learn how to day trade the opportunities in crude oil.

At 6:40 AM Friday Jan 19, 2019 I signaled the oil chat room that oil trade looked bullish and that our traders could expect a push toward the 53.40 resistance.

You can see on the chart / screen capture below how trade for the week had maintained the channel and that oil trade was following a trajectory (light blue vertical line) that I had outlined in the chat room earlier in the week as a probable upside strategy.

The strategy for the trajectory of the uptrending blue arrow was based on trajectory of time cycle targets on the short time frame assuming oil was bullish (price targets on our algorithmic charting can be assumed at where important trend lines cross, this is consistent through all time frames on all algorithmic models – this takes some time to learn).

The resistance I was alerting our members was at the top of the trading channel so they were aware of where to be aware of possibly trimming positions or at minimum being on watch for intra-day stall in trade.

“They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze”.

Trade, room, signal, alert, crude, oil

Crude Oil Chat Room Signal – They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze.

On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart. Reconfirming the bullish scenario for day trading oil upward in Friday’s trade.

You will also notice at the bottom of the screen capture – the noted alert at the bottom of the screen, “53.50 is top of quad ton EPIC model resistance today, trading 52.83 intra” that this set-up coincided with our proprietary oil algorithm charting (the core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post).

The core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post.

crude, oil, chat, room, signals, chart

On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart

Earlier that morning Jeremy has posted a link in the chat room to the article and video post covering trade from Thursday’s session and explanation of the one minute trading box set-up. You can study the set-up at the link below;

By far one of the most important crude oil trading articles we have posted since our inception.

Protected: How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video)

Link: https://compoundtrading.com/how-i-day-trade-crude-oil-on-one-minute-chart-trading-signals-alerts-with-video/

Password: ********

At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.

I also re-confirm my expectation that probability for the top of the quad area of the oil algorithm in trade gets hit and that my entry signal price target (preferred entry is 52.40) so that our traders could make their own decisions for execution.

Also mentioned here, the one minute trading model (the trading box area) as the preferred entry price so that our members know where I derived the 52.40 entry preference from.

oil, trade, signals, premarket

At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.

Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts. Long oil at 52.67 with trims at 52.93 and 53.08.

trade, alert, chat, room, long, oil

Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts.

Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade at 53.03 due to internet issues and reiteration of price target 53.50 for day trade.

Then the price target for the day trade was hit. A 90 tick move so far on the day.

oil, daytrade, close, alert, signal

Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade due to internet issues and reiteration of price target for day trade.

Below is screen shot capture of crude oil chat room of posted oil chart images of predictability of 1 minute oil day trading strategy in trading box model (as previously posted above – the Thursday featured blog post the day prior) when crude oil squeezes intra-day.

trading box, day trade, crude oil, strategy

Screen shot of chat room images of predictability of 1 minute oil trade in trading box model when crude oil squeezes intra day.

As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames in crude oil trade range expected for the day.

heavy resistance confirming on all time frames, but in a sqz u never know

daytrading, signals, alerts, chat room, resistance, oil,

As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames n crude oil trade range expect for the day.

Resistance areas of oil trade for guidance for day traders to consider trimming or closing positions.

Resistance had been hit on two 4 hour charts and the EPIC Oil Algorithm 30 Minute Model at this point of trade intra-day. Other charting time frames had resistance also.

daytrader, crude, oil, alerts, resistance,

Resistance areas of oil trade and guidance for daytraders to consider trimming or closing positions.

240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.

signals, daytrade, updated, chat room, crude, oil

240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.

LIVE OIL TRADING ROOM VIDEO | HOW TO DAY TRADE CRUDE OIL – STRATEGIES I USE.

#daytrade #crudeoil

Summary Notes for Video:

Note: Voice broadcast starts at 16:25 on video. When I am trading and on mic is noted below (the location times on video).

At 16:25 on video “I am triggering long 52.67 with tight stops because of test on 240 minute crude oil charting, so I may trigger in and out here, we’ll see. Will probably get in to pressure right in to open here but I didn’t want to miss the move. A little bit of FOMO.”

At 19:50 on video “The one minute candle turn in advance of market open is coming here, get ready for some pressure.”

Keep in mind the strategy guidance provided to members in the oil chat room specific to the preferred by trigger at 52.40 (in other words support on one minute day-trading model).

And Then The Internet Crashes! A Work Crew Down the Street Cut The Line.

At 23:00 mins on video I come on mic to announce the internet problem to the trading room (at which time I didn’t know what the specific problem with the internet was).

At 24:50 on video the pressure in oil trade comes (which made sense to me considering the resistance decision but I decided to hold because oil was so bullish through the time cycle). I could have cut and re-entered which may have yielded a better profit by 10 ticks or so.

And then the internet continues to crash intermittently. Had the internet not been crashing I would have been on mic providing our traders guidance.

At 56:40 I announce we are back up on a cellular network and that I am holding the position.

At 1:10:50 On video I announce I am trimming at 53.08 holding 25% – there was significant resistance on the EPIC Oil Algorithm so I trimmed.

In the trading chat room (not on video due to internet issues) I announce I am closing trade due to internet issues even though price wasn’t to the top of the algorithm quadrant and price target for the day, “closed 53.03 may re enter i had to close due to internet.”

Had the internet been restored timely I would have traded right top of quadrant and price target for the day.

At 1:18:00 on video you can see trade hitting the price target for the day (top of algorithm quadrant).

In a normal scenario I would have been trading the one minute trading chart model in the trading boxes and on mic in the trading room announces my trades. But on this day as fate would have it I couldn’t do it because I couldn’t risk the internet crashing while on the temporary cellular platform we were using.

Important note:

Much of the proprietary charting links, member oil reporting, and proprietary algorithmic charting is not included in this post. In 2019 we have started to limit dissemination of proprietary content due to copy cat trading firms. 

Summary Thoughts for Context.

It is important to note that there were many many more trade alerts, charting updates, chat room trades / signals / guidance and trading room live trade coverage for the week.

Our members have much, much more information available to them for crude oil day trading decisions needed every day of the week on all time frames.

Having advanced technical know-how derived from a systematic scientific process that gets fed in to our various oil trading platform services to trading members allows for our members to “out stick handle” the everyday trading community and compete with world class machine trading firms.

My win rate and the oil machine trading win rate was well over 90% for the week and the reason is the combined tools available – available to myself, to our machine trading techs and thus the developed software and also made available to the members in our oil trading service.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Signals, Strategy, Alerts, Trade Room, Chat, Algorithm, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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This Article Covers a Very Important Trade Signal for Crude Oil Day Traders: How to Day Trade Crude Oil Using One Minute Chart.

Trade Alert Screen Shots and Trading Room Video Included Below.

Voice broadcast starts at 0:20 on video.

This is One of The Most Important Articles We Have Published for Oil Trading Traders Since Starting Our Service.

Thursday was a huge day for our development team for crude oil trading signals required for alerting day trading crude oil.

The patterns in crude oil are very important, especially as it relates to the one minute day trade signals because trading oil can be volatile.

Trade can move very fast in crude oil futures so a trader needs signals on the lower time frame (1 minute charting) that he/she can trigger with confidence. This is a very big development for us at Compound Trading Group.

Be sure to actually listen to the video included in this report because the text version does not explain every important detail required for a day trader to completely understand how the signals work for executing trades with precision. 

Crude Oil Trading Rules Based Process

On the video I discuss the importance of the rules based process for trading crude oil with buy and sell triggers (signals / strategies) are reviewed.

Setting Stop Loss When Trading Crude Oil 

The above relates (determines) to the stop loss you set for each oil charting time frame for triggering orders. Time frames being the different chart time frames for 1 min, 5, 15, 30, 1 hour, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly.

240 Minute (Algorithmic Model Test Chart)

This morning, trade in crude oil held the key support on the 240 min (4 Hr) chart reviewed.

If the chart structure holds the possible move up on the next extension (and the move lower) is also discussed.

Support and resistance is discussed on the chart structure as is price targets and time cycle completions.

The chart is still bullish. The bearish and bullish considerations are discussed.

Crude Oil 4 Hour Chart (we are testing structure) for Buy Sell Signals.

crude, oil, trading, 240 Min, chart

Crude Oil 240 Min Test Chart Jan 18 458 AM FX USOIL WTI CL_F $USO #algorithm #crude #oil

Machine Daytrading Sizing Test Chart Signals for Trade.

4 HR, Oil, Chart, Crude

Crude Oil Trading 240 Min Test Chart for Sizing Machine Trade Software FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading

Day Trading Crude Oil Signals on the 1 Minute Chart (Pattern on Chart for Entering Positions)

The trade signal pattern for triggering the 1 minute oil chart trades is reviewed in detail.

When oil was selling off earlier in the day trade lost the mid channel line, came back and tested it and then dumped.

Rich in the Discord crude oil private member server had asked if the software was turned on and Jeremy had responded that order flow was the likely reason why the machine trade software did not trigger on the short.

Oil price sold off it traded in to the bottom of the quadrant on the EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and over shot the support.

Price bounced off a historical support line on the EPIC model (purple horizontal lines).

The challenge for traders executing trade orders on the oil chart is exactly where to enter your trade and the stops that should be set therein.

The 1 minute day trading chart is reviewed. The technical indicators on the charting discussed are;

  • The trading box area on the chart.
  • The pivot areas on the chart.
  • The pattern of trade that is important for triggering your trade.

The trading channel for oil is reviewed on the video (the chart).

I am convinced we have established the chart pattern in crude oil for the one minute signals on day trading time frame. This is a big deal.

The W Pattern (trade signal) on 1 minute chart for day trading Crude Oil.

crude, oil, daytrading, buy, signal

Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading

Below is the chart for triggering on the buy signal on EPIC model (30 minute crude oil chart) as it relates to 1 min daytrading signal above.

crude, oil, daytrading, buy, signal

Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading

Is Over 5,000.00, 10,000.00 or even 20,000.00 In Profit Weekly Possible Day Trading Crude Oil on The EPIC Model With One Contract Sizing?

Trading one contract at a time with six – twelve times per week based on the signals provided on the charting (and eventually on the trade alerts) has the potential of returning massive weekly returns. Can it be done? We’re getting close all the time.

Trading the outside areas of the oil trading model (quadrants), the mid line of the channels and the mid quad support and resistance areas can do that. We may not get to 20,000.00 – it could be 10,000.00 or 5,000.00, it doesn’t matter whether it is 5K or 20K. The point is that if we can get the signals perfected to the best possible degree with a high win probability then it is possible.

Our current win rate is high, very high. Review our alert feed on Twitter or in the private member Discord Oil Trading Chat Room.

This is why the one minute day trading signals are so important, because a trader has to be confident in the entry of trade so they don’t get chopped up.

Crude Oil Trade Alert Signals

Below are the screen shot captured of alerts from the private member oil trading Twitter feed. You will notice that I am signaling day trades for the members AND the machine technician is signaling trades on the feed also. 

The First Crude Oil Trade Alert Signaled for The Day – Short at 51.20

crude, oil, trade, alert, signals

Crude Oil Trade Alert (screen shot of alert feed) Selling 51.20 – CURT, will advise #crude #oil #alert #signal

Second Alert (screen shot from Oil Trade Alert Feed) Explains Trade Signal is Based on Support at Bottom of Quadrant on Model.

Crude, oil, signal, alert

Trade Signals for Oil Alert by Lead Trader – Tight stops here, test area at bottom of quad. #crude #oil #signals

Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.

crude, oil. trade, signal alert, reversal

Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.

Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03.

signal, cover, short, trade

Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03

Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT

crude, oil, trade, reversal, signal

Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT

Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise.

oil, trade, alert, machine, trading, signals

Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise

Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% of the position.

crude, oil, trade, signal, alert, profit, trim

Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% #crude #oil #trading #signals

Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed. If you look at screen shot below closely (the feed), you will see the other signaled trade guidance. “M – Machine program closed 51.47 for open timing on software and stops triggered. Set at 8 mins either side. Will advise”.

alert, close, oil, trade, signal

Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed.

Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.

day trading, crude, oil, alert, signal

Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.

Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.

close, trade, signal, alert, daytrade

Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.

I reiterate that it is critical for oil day traders reviewing this article to really listen to the video. If you want to learn how to day trade crude oil with the best signals we have available be sure to study the video. There is a lot of data covered in this video post.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our lead traders that include learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Signals, Alerts, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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