Wednesday July 10 Trading Profit and Loss Report.

  • Day Trade and Swing Trading.
  • Equities, Commodity and Bitcoin Trading.
  • Personal Trades and Machine Software Trades.
  • Includes Live Trading Room Raw Video Feed Recording.
  • Includes Trade Alert Links / Screen Shots.

Note: I am just getting back in to the routine of posting daily trade profit and loss reports. For now the reports will include basic information and over time we will provide more information for traders that are using this information for their study and /or trading plans. Near future we will include more formal P&L spreadsheets also. 

Section 1: Trading Day Summary.

Good morning, I am writing this in premarket on Thursday, I’m doing July 10 trade results now and if time I will do July 9 (July 9 was only oil trades, all wins), but July 10 was more involved so I’m doing it first to be our traders are up to date.

Caution, there is quite an angry rant below about me not being surprised most people fail trading.

Wednesday was #EIA day for oil traders and Fed testimony day. I took a 1/3 off my $AMD long swing (going great), closed the final 25% of my Bitcoin $BTC short (final execution was not near as good as the first 75% of the trade), nailed a crude oil long trade along with our software machine trade (which is doing great).

Per recent note below in italics, reports are coming we were in it all last night and they will start going out this evening, we want all our new entries to be in place for all swing trades between today and Tuesday for this important time cycle.

Don’t go to sleep, we have a flurry of equity, commodity and indices trades coming very soon. It’s all about time cycles and the current reporting in process getting released.

Per above our machine software nailed an oil trade continuing its march to considerable gains if its trajectory continues since most recent version launched. For more information on the machine trading platform contact Rich at Sovoron direct www.sovoron.com.

Profit & Loss: Daily +$136 YTD+$4,643 Projected $80,694 or 81% Oil Machine Trade 100k Account. #OOTT #Oil #MachineTrading $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO

New version of software 1 red day 0.2% draw down since launched over 2 weeks ago. Current rate of return (annual ROI compound) 82% but we know when #AI gets in to its groove 150% will be the mark. Verifiable P&Ls. #OOTT #machinetrade #oilalerts $CL_F $USO $USOIL $WTI

Top performing funds of 2018:

1. Odey European

Performance in 2018: 53%

Strategy: Macro

Section 2: Specifics on Trades for the Day.

If you cannot see a chart below, a link is not available or not showing to the alert and/or chart or parts of the data is blocked with ******, this is because it is a premium member chart or alert. As time allows I provide in the section below copies of charts, guidance from private member Discord server chat room, live trade room screen shots and screen shots of alerts.

Oil Trades / Alerts.

Below is a screen shot of the trade alert short side snipe technical trade 60.17 to 60.10. The earlier trade in futures is the one below this image.

crude oil, trading, alert, short

Next trade alert was the short oil 60.17 to 60.10 for a snipe. #crudeoil #tradingalert

oil, trading, room, chat, alert

Image capture of oil trade chat room with crude oil chart that shows the short #oiltradingroom #alert

Below, a screen capture from oil trading alert feed on Twitter, the first trade (early futures) both I and machine software traded long for a win. Entries from 58.40s & .50s and we closed the trade 58.72 area and alerted it.

crude, oil, trade, alert, futures

Crude oil trade alert for members, lead trade long in early futures with machine trade software also #oitradealerts

Bitcoin Trades.

Note: We continue to alert Bitcoin on the swing alert feed for now (and by email), this will change soon however when our new Bitcoin trading chat Discord server opens and the new Bitcoin alert feed on Twitter is available to members.

I did get stopped out on the final 25% of this BTC trade when I was out in the evening at meetings Wed night, the first 75% was great and the last not so good. My BTC trading will get very regular in to next week as we’re launching our coding of the BTC algorithm now that we’re done the Oil trading algorithm. We have big plans for this area of trade / machine trading, alerts etc. The returns in our Bitcoin trading will be the largest returns we achieve, easily hands down. More on that very soon.

BTC, trade, alert

BITCOIN (BTC) if it breaks upside 12250 and holds I may have to close last 25% of short, watching close $XBTUSD $XBT_F $BTC #Bitcoin

Swing Trades.

Note: Our swing trade chart models can be used for daytrading (converting them on the fly is easy – bringing the time-frame down to 30, 15, 5 and 1 minute time frames).

As mentioned above, I closed 1/3 of my AMD swing trade. This trade is an excellent example of the power behind algorithm models. We took the entry at the support of the channel (marked with arrow on chart in screen shot below of trade alert). The point is, there was no channel there as conventional charting would see it. That channel support is part of the model. Conventional charting provides a channel on the chart after the fact. If you look at any of the experts that were trading this (and I won’t mention names), they were talking up their AMD trade with entries long after ours, because they couldn’t see what we could see.

This is a critical lesson that 99% will over-look. It not only provide better returns for your swing trades, but more confidence in your trades and precise areas to exit.

Our new swing trade report due out soon has many of these excellent set ups. And our members can access many models from the 3 years we have been building models in equity markets, it is a significant advantage and the primary reason we post incredible swing trade returns (see our profit and loss master document).

Our swing trade returns (alerted) are top of class, you can’t get better, you just have to stop for more than a minute and look at the P&Ls and the alert feed. It’s quality over quantity, not casino mind trading. If you’re sensing emotion to this there is, check the alerts and try and find better. Those returns beat the best hedge fund returns in the world. Time stamped, alerted live, recorded in live trading room – the evidence is there and couldn’t be more clearly laid out, for near 3 years! The only thing I could do more is serve it McDonalds style with a nice cover image, drive thru style 2 min videos so that most would eat the sh*t that the market serves out, oh and put two lines on the chart. World class swing trading, best you can get. We know how many people open the charts, watch the videos, do their homework, its no wonder the majority fail. Totally disappointing. 

And now we’re developing machine trade for oil that will (if I get my way) beat the best funds in the world with-out trying (in fact we’re targeting 3 x their best results and currently on track for 2 x) and soon Bitcoin machine trades. I mean really. Jeez. Do your homework and stop telling me everything is against you when I talk to you on DM or whatever. It’s your fault it ain’t the markets fault. VERY FEW do what it takes. All the videos are there, raw trading room feeds yes, that is what you need. You can look at the time stamp on the alerts and go to the raw trading room feed and hear everything I was thinking about the trade set-up and more.

THIS IS WHAT A TRADER NEEDS, YOU DON’T NEED DRIVE THRU CASINO MIND SH*T 2 MIN VIDEOS. THIS IS WHY YOU DON’T WIN.

THIS IS WHY THE MAJORITY OF TRADERS LOSE.

AMD, swing trade, alert

Closing 33% long $AMD 33.55 in to mid quad resistance hold 66% swing trade #tradealerts #swingtrading

Section 3: Trading Room Raw Video Footage for the Day.

#OilTrading #BitcoinTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MachineTrading #TradeAlerts

The video below is a raw feed only, to find live trading and trade alerts voice broadcast when lead trader is trading in the room reference the time of day on the alerts. I make this available for authenticity / documentation and also some learning traders use the raw feeds for study purpose. Also, as time allows I publish separate trade set-up reports with video snippets to our blog and YouTube.

Live Trading Room Raw Feed 

The video below at time of posting is still uploading at YouTube so it may not be available yet when you try.

If you have any questions about my trading or need help with yours send me an email anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and I’ll do my best to help.

Thanks

Curt

Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies | SP500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY | July 7 Premium #timecycles

Protected: Daytrading Bitcoin (BTC) and Intra-Week Short Term Swing Trades July 7 | Premium $BTC $BTC.X $XBTUSD $XBT_F

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies, Charts, Alerts w/ Video | Premium $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX $FB $PLUG $BTC $LYFT $IOTS $SQ $STNE $TEUM $AU …

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):

Protected: Premarket Watch List July 9 $CHEK, $OGI, $AZRX, $AMRH, $RHT, $ACIA, $SQ, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Watch List July 8 $SGMO, $AMD, $OASM, $AYTU, $CBIO, $SYMC, $ORN, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics: Profit and Loss, Trade Alerts, Trading, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Oil, Bitcoin, USO, CL_F, BTC, BTC.X, XBT_F, AMD


Monday July 8 Trading Profit and Loss Report.

  • Day Trade and Swing Trading.
  • Equities, Commodity and Bitcoin Trading.
  • Personal Trades and Machine Software Trades.
  • Includes Live Trading Room Raw Video Feed Recording.
  • Includes Trade Alert Links / Screen Shots.

Note: I am just getting back in to the routine of posting daily trade profit and loss reports. For now the reports will include basic information and over time we will provide more information for traders that are using this information for their study and /or trading plans. Near future we will include more formal P&L spreadsheets also. 

Section 1: Trading Day Summary.

Monday was moderately calm trading day.

Don’t go to sleep, we have a flurry of equity, commodity and indices trades coming very soon. It’s all about time cycles and the current reporting in process getting released.

Our machine software nailed an oil trade continuing its march to considerable gains if its trajectory continues since most recent version launched.

New version of software 1 red day 0.2% draw down since launched over 2 weeks ago. Current rate of return (annual ROI compound) 82% but we know when #AI gets in to its groove 150% will be the mark. Verifiable P&Ls. #OOTT #machinetrade #oilalerts $CL_F $USO $USOIL $WTI

On the stock (equity) trading front it was quiet for Day Trades and Swing Trades (as said previous, when new swing trade report is launched this will change, we expect it at latest Wed night this week). I am watching $AMD close as I am in 3/10 size, the other swing trades / updates will be on the report (I have a number of open trades that I will report on).

Still in the Bitcoin short 1/4 of the size of initial short, first 3/4 went well and final 1/4 a tad under water. Over all a decent trade. 

Section 2: Specifics on Trades for the Day.

If you cannot see a chart below, a link is not available or not showing to the alert and/or chart or parts of the data is blocked with ******, this is because it is a premium member chart or alert. As time allows I provide in the section below copies of charts, guidance from private member Discord server chat room, live trade room screen shots and screen shots of alerts.

Oil Machine Trades / Alerts.

Since the new version of software was launched a few weeks ago it has a decent P&L rolling along (as noted above), here’s a quote from the machine P&L report I was reviewing this morning (soon you will get daily copies);

“Profit & Loss: Daily +$389 YTD+$4,500 Projected $82,120 or 82% Oil Machine Trade 100k Account.”

Below are the oil trade alert screen shots of the machine software alerting our members to the opening and closing of the trade.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude Oil Trade Alert $CL_F $USO $WTI #OOTT machine is long 10% size tight stops 57.64 not a big position

oil, trading, alert, trade, closed

Oil trading alert, closed 57.96 likely re enter on buy sequence to 1000 time cycle.

Personal Oil Trades.

  • I traded with the machine software as it traded only.

Machine Bitcoin Trades.

  • N/A in development.

Personal Bitcoin Trades.

  • None, watching current action to either re-short at resistance (see member report) or cover the final 25%. Decent trade so far but would like to see price targets 2 and 3 of 3 hit. Price target 1 hit.

Personal Swing Trades.

  • No new positions, adds or trims (other than Bitcoin). This will get very active as soon as the new swing trade report is released.

Personal Day Trades.

  • None on day. There were a few set-ups per the premarket report I was ready to trigger on but the equity markets slumped so I didn’t trigger a day trade in equities.
  • As above, once the new swing report comes out my day trading will get much more active. Our swing trade chart models can be used for daytrading (converting them on the fly is easy – bringing the time-frame down to 30, 15, 5 and 1 minute time frames).

Section 3: Trading Room Raw Video Footage for the Day.

#OilTrading #BitcoinTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MachineTrading #TradeAlerts

The video below is a raw feed only, to find live trading and trade alerts voice broadcast when lead trader is trading in the room reference the time of day on the alerts. I make this available for authenticity / documentation and also some learning traders use the raw feeds for study purpose. Also, as time allows I publish separate trade set-up reports with video snippets to our blog and YouTube.

Live Trading Room Raw Feed 

If you have any questions about my trading or need help with yours send me an email anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and I’ll do my best to help.

Thanks

Curt

Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies | SP500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY | July 7 Premium #timecycles

Protected: Daytrading Bitcoin (BTC) and Intra-Week Short Term Swing Trades July 7 | Premium $BTC $BTC.X $XBTUSD $XBT_F

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies, Charts, Alerts w/ Video | Premium $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX $FB $PLUG $BTC $LYFT $IOTS $SQ $STNE $TEUM $AU …

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):

July 8 – Premarket Watch List July 8 $SGMO, $AMD, $OASM, $AYTU, $CBIO, $SYMC, $ORN, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

July 2 – Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

June 28 – Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics: Profit and Loss, Trade Alerts, Trading, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Oil, Bitcoin, USO, CL_F, BTC, BTC.X, XBT_F, AMD


Crude Oil Trade Strategies Report June 30, 2019.

Trade Alert Signals for Crude Oil (CL) Day Trading, Trend and Swing Trading. Intra-Day, Daily, Weekly, Monthly Time-Frames.

The strategies that include charts, algorithm models, signals, price targets and guidance included below are suitable for mechanically executed trading and are also the models our coding staff reference for our crude oil machine trade development.

With each chart model we may include trade strategy notes for your consideration.

For perspective, review historical reporting on our blog and the various videos we have published to our YouTube channel.

Much of the structured model discipline used is similar in concept as discussed in this video; Mathematician Who Cracked Wall Street.

Crude oil price moves within structured areas (ranges) of trade / charting on various time frames (different time cycles of trade).

The structure oil price moves within (the range) can be one minute charting timing through to monthly charting.

Time-frame set-ups / strategies are charted as conventional chart set-ups and/ or algorithmic chart set-ups (structures).

Understanding and having each time frame at your immediate access (both conventional and algorithmic) will increase the probability of profitable trading.

Sizing trades appropriate to your trading account and time frame for each set-up is additionally a positive strategy.

Using the correct chart time-frame specific to your trading strategy is critical. Generally, the lower (smaller) the time frame the less predictable the support and resistance areas (or structure) of the chart will be. However, the larger time-frames (monthly, weekly, daily) may also have significant “slippage” but the primary structure will often remain intact.

Generally, the idea is to enter your positions based on the structure for the specific time frame you are wanting to trade referencing the other time frame support and resistance or range within the trend. The basic method is to understand the range of trade and execute trade long bias when price is near support for the appropriate time frame / structure and the opposite is true for short trades.

Our staff use the thirty minute model structures (range within trends) most often for primary areas of support and resistance trading signals referencing all other time-frames in their trading strategy.

Positioning should be significantly biased to the trending range of trade. For more information about trend identification for trading various time-frames refer to this article on Investopedia; Multiple Time Frames Can Multiply Returns.

If you have questions about the models below please email us at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Not all charts are updated every week and some concept or test charts are added or deleted on occasion. If you are a new client that would like to review historical reports that are still locked on the blog from public view please email the office with your request and we will send you recent reports to review.

Please note, chart links that support the models below are now distributed specific to each user or small group of users. If you are using more than one device to access the charting, to avoid disruption of service, please email us a simple / general description of those devices to assist in controlling dissemination.

EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm Model. 30 Minute Oil Chart Structure.

The EPIC algorithm model chart below is a proprietary structure that has been back tested sixty months on thirteen time-frames. The model represents the most probable areas of support and resistance in oil trade within this specific time-frame.

The levels noted on the EPIC model are to be used as important areas of consideration for support and resistance (trade signals) for your trading strategy when using conventional charting set-ups / structures and/or other algorithmic charting.

Resistance and support areas on the thirty minute oil trade structure chart are at each line on the algorithmic chart. The primary areas of support and resistance are;

  • Outer quadrant walls / also used as channel support and resistance (orange dotted diagonal lines), the half way point between each is often an executable buy or sell trigger in trade (not shown on model below),
  • Mid channel line for uptrend and down trend (white dotted diagonal),
  • Mid quad horizontal (not marked but is at the mid point of the quad),
  • Fibonacci levels (various horizontal colored lines),
  • Historical areas of support and resistance (purple horizontal).
  • The intra-week swing trading range is from thick horizontal gray line to the next (commonly becomes a pivot area of trade).
  • The important historical diagonal trend-lines (conventional trend lines) are represented on the chart as thick white lines.
  • Also of note are the price targets for Tuesday 4:30 PM (API), Wednesday 10:30 AM (EIA) and Friday 1:00 PM (Rig Count). The Tuesday and Wednesday targets hit significantly more often than the Friday target (red circles with red or green vertical dotted lines intersecting).
  • At times other indicators are added to the chart such as important trend lines “in play”, moving averages and more.

The video at this link explains How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, #OIL, #Trading, #Algorithm, #OOTT as does this video Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm Model Chart June 21 #OIL #OOTT and this Webinar 1: EPIC the Oil Algorithm.

When conventional crude oil charting coincides (or agrees) with the EPIC algorithmic model support and resistance this is then considered a significant buy or sell trigger (signal) for crude oil trade.

Be aware (at minimum) of the primary support and resistance areas on the larger time-frames (lower time frames are not as critical) – in this instance (when trading the 30 min time frame) the 1 hour, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly charting should be considered when sizing your trades.

30 Minute Charting.

EPIC 30 Min Crude Oil Trading Algorithm June 30 536 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/EiXqdIA9-EPIC-30-Min-Crude-Oil-Trading-Algorithm-June-30-536-PM-FX-USOIL/

EPIC, Algorithm, Model, Crude Oil

EPIC 30 Min Crude Oil Trading Algorithm June 30 536 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm

One Minute Oil Trading Model. Ideal for Intra-day Crude Oil Trade.

The one minute oil trading model provides for pinpoint trade entry, sizing and exit points for daytrading oil. It is also used for squeeze scenarios in oil day trading. The main range is between the red / blue areas with thicker dotted white lines. The range is considerably more predictable in a squeeze scenario.

Intra-day diagonal trend-lines should be added by the daytrader.

If you need a recent 1 minute model email the office and a link will be sent to you.

Per recent;

One Min Crude Oil Trading Model (day trade) April 20 1120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/nDjB9hSd-One-Min-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-day-trade-April-20-1120-PM-FX/

daytrading, crude, oil, chart

One Min Crude Oil Trading Model (day trade) April 20 1120 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

5 Minute Charting.

The five minute oil trading strategy chart below includes a Elliot impulse 5 wave component for when oil is trading intra-day on this time frame. The horizontal / diagonal / sloping up-trending green lines can be used as support and resistance decision areas.

5 Min Crude Oil Trade Model 717 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/uvYbF4U2-5-Min-Crude-Oil-Trade-Model-717-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL-WTI-USO-CL/

oil, 5 min, chart

15 Minute Charting.

Recent crude oil trade makes a predictable 15 minute model difficult, below are some trend lines to consider until a structured range or channel possibly develops.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/AXAGZH0R-15-Min-Crude-Oil-Charting-Trend-Lines-to-Consider/

15 min, trendlines, crude, oil, chart

15 Min Crude Oil Charting Trend Lines to Consider.

15 minute abstract crude oil model in development, under test.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Wdh3MUpH-15-minute-abstract-crude-oil-model-in-development-under-test/

15 min, test, chart, crude oil

15 minute abstract crude oil model in development, under test.

60 Minute Charting.

Per recent;

60 Min Trend Channel Trade Box Fork (concept chart) May 29 1:10 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zvQ2QZmJ-60-Min-Trend-Channel-Trade-Box-Fork-concept-chart-May-29-1-10/

60 min, crude, oil, trend, fork, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zvQ2QZmJ-60-Min-Trend-Channel-Trade-Box-Fork-concept-chart-May-29-1-10/

2 Hour (120 Min) Charting.

Trend Lines Everywhere – 120 Minute Crude Oil Trend line chart.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/2GApDvIG-Trend-Lines-Everywhere-120-Minute-Crude-Oil-Trend-line-chart/

120 min chart, oil, trend lines

Trend Lines Everywhere – 120 Minute Crude Oil Trend line chart.

4 Hour Charting.

240 Min Crude Oil Chart Structure 1007 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ubq9VomQ-240-Min-Crude-Oil-Chart-Structure-1007-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL-WTI/

240 min, crude, oil, chart

240 Min Crude Oil Chart Doodle Pad 1011 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/SGBvb0gC-240-Min-Crude-Oil-Chart-Doodle-Pad-1011-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL-WTI/

240 Min, Chart, Oil

240 Min Crude Oil Chart Doodle Pad 1011 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Per recent;

4 Hour Oil Trending Channel Chart with Trading Boxes Moving Averages 123 PM May 19 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/OryQDlVj-4-Hour-Oil-Trending-Channel-Chart-with-Trading-Boxes-Moving-Aver/

4 hr, crude, oil, chart, trending channel

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/OryQDlVj-4-Hour-Oil-Trending-Channel-Chart-with-Trading-Boxes-Moving-Aver/

Per recent;

4 Hour Symmetry Chart, Needs to be Cleaned Up May 19 134 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/CjULpMlK-4-Hour-Symmetry-Chart-Needs-to-be-Cleaned-Up-May-19-134-PM-FX-U/

4 hr, crude, oil, symmetry , chart

4 Hour Symmetry Chart, Needs to be Cleaned Up May 19 134 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Per recent;

The 4 hour crude oil concept model below has trend-lines, Fibonacci support and resistance horizontal lines (pay close attention to the gray horizontal lines) and diagonal algorithmic Fib trend lines (orange dotted).

4 Hour Concept Crude Oil Trading Model May 19 154 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/NsZhL9MR-4-Hour-Concept-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-May-19-154-PM-FX-USOIL-WT/

4 hr, concept, chart, crude, oil

4 Hour Concept Crude Oil Trading Model May 19 154 PM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies.

Daily Charting.

The daily time frame provides a larger structure to consider. The diagonal Fib lines are important as are the mid quad horizontal lines. The moving averages (especially the 200 MA) should be considered in your trade strategy. The MACD is a common indicator on the daily oil chart for forward positioning and trend bias.

Daily Crude Oil Trend Line, Range Chart 1019 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/AKqikZGf-Daiy-Crude-Oil-Trend-Line-Range-Chart-1019-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL/

daily, crude, oil, trend line , chart

Daily Crude Oil Trend Line, Range Chart 1019 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Daily Crude Oil Chart, Trend Line Considerations 1026 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/G5TBG0dt-Daily-Crude-Oil-Chart-Trend-Line-Considerations-1026-PM-June-30/

Daily, crude, oil, chart, trendlines

Daily Crude Oil Chart, Trend Line Considerations 1026 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Daily Crude Oil Chart Golden Cross 200 PM May 19 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/YQqAuPhh-Daily-Crude-Oil-Chart-Golden-Cross-200-PM-May-19-FX-USOIL-WTI-U/

daily, crude, oil, chart, golden cross

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/YQqAuPhh-Daily-Crude-Oil-Chart-Golden-Cross-200-PM-May-19-FX-USOIL-WTI-U/

Weekly Charting.

Weekly Crude Oil Time Cycle Chart 1016 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/bi8O93Pc-Weekly-Crude-Oil-Time-Cycle-Chart-1016-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL-WTI/

Weekly, crude, oil, trading, time cycle

Weekly Crude Oil Time Cycle Chart 1016 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Weekly Crude Oil Trend Line, Range Chart 1023 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/Sa5MiLG4-Weekly-Crude-Oil-Trend-Line-Range-Chart-1023-PM-June-30-FX-USOI/

weekly, trendline, chart

Weekly Crude Oil Trend Line, Range Chart 1023 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Per recent;

Weekly crude oil chart perspective May 19 1036 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/VvOHyD82-Weekly-crude-oil-chart-perspective-May-19-1036-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

weekly, oil, chart, perspective

Weekly crude oil chart perspective May 19 1036 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

The most important signals on the weekly chart model are the red historical trend lines. Pay very close attention to them. There are other common indicators included on the model also.

Per recent;

Weekly Trendline Crude Oil Trading Model May 6 118 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

May 6 – price nearing an important trend line support (red line on chart below).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/hCwxU92o-Weekly-Trendline-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-May-6-118-AM-FX-USOIL-W/

Weekly, crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Weekly Trendline Crude Oil Trading Model May 6 118 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Monthly Charting.

Monthly Crude Oil Structure 1029 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/7Aq5RZQp-Monthly-Crude-Oil-Structure-1029-PM-June-30-FX-USOIL-WTI-USO-C/

monthly, crude, oil, chart, structure

Monthly Crude Oil Structure 1029 PM June 30 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Per recent;

Monthly Structure Crude Oil Trading Model 209 PM May19 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ih0o30Tj-Monthly-Structure-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-209-PM-May-19-FX-USOIL/

monthly, oil, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ih0o30Tj-Monthly-Structure-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-209-PM-May-19-FX-USOIL/

Per recent;

Monthly Structure Crude Oil Trading Model 126 AM May 6 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Weekly trend line resistance area holding so far.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/19KquYtJ-Monthly-Structure-Crude-Oil-Trading-Model-126-AM-May-6-FX-USOIL/

monthly, crude, oil, chart, structure

Monthly Structure Crude Oil Trading Model 126 AM May 6 FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Per recent;

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/sttZx83M-Monthly-200-MA-Crude-Oil-Trading-Chart-April-8-1247-AM-FX-USOIL/

monthly, oil , chart

Monthly 200 MA Crude Oil Trading Chart April 8 1247 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #Oil #Trading #Strategies

Oil Price Targets

Machines were in control last week. When crude oil sold off Friday it first hit upside price target and then sold off in to lower price target perfect (Price Targets published on weekend prior report) Lower PT shown below. #machinetrading FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

crude, oil, algorithm, price target, alert

When crude oil sold off Friday it first hit upside price target and in to lower price target perfect (PTs published on weekend prior report) FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

crude, oil, price target, alert

When crude oil sold off Friday it first hit upside price target – but not perfectly, and then in to lower perfect (PTs published on weekend prior report) FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Futures, Strategy, Signals, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

Follow:


How to Day Trade Crude Oil – Price Range (Low & Highs), Trends / Channels, Reversals, Sizing (Trims, Adds, Stops) and Timing – Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy (Part 2 Premium).

Introduction:

This article is part 2 of the previous public post, “How to Know & How We Alerted (In Advance) Crude Oil Intra-Day Bottom Price, Day High, Trend (PT 1)“.

I apologize for the detail in these posts, but the reality is that it takes a detailed systematic rules-based process to day trade crude oil.

You want to win in a way that provides the highest probability of win rate and return? It takes skill. Skill requires knowledge and refinement of execution.

We have been developing machine trade software for some time – this has taught us a lot, and I’m not talking about a simple trading bot kind of development.

The process of development had us trading and back testing in every time frame, every structure, every set up, every range, sequence within all, trend, order flow and more.

As we learned we shared much of this information with our clients (yes learning, after 30 years of experience).

You can read a recent client memo that explains the multi-month process we embarked on, where we are at now with development and where we are going in future here, “Crude Oil Machine Trade Software Complete | Rule-Set Strategies, Alerts, Accounts Traded, What’s Next?

The goal now is to simplify the processes (the most probable crude oil trading set-ups) and provide our clients with the most simple, clear, systematic how-to documents, videos, coaching, trading room guidance etc so that traders can duplicate what we are doing to achieve success in day to day trade.

In short, we have coded our machine trade software to trade only that which we know has the highest probability of win rate success and we will endeavor to share this with our community.

We know where we can and where we cannot win, and going forward we will only be trading that which we know with high probability that we will win.

Our machine trading software will now consistently improve its win rate (we are not experimenting going forward, we are done).

Our machine trading software will now consistently improve its return rate and over all success.

We expect this process to take about 90 trading days. After this, we expect to only be doing maintenance to the software.

So how do you duplicate what we learned? See below.

General Requirements of a Successful Oil Day Trader:

Strategy is Mandatory: When you sit down to day trade crude oil futures you need a clear plan.

  • Your trading plan has to be based in reality.
  • Reality is the nature of the instrument you are trading.
  • You can have all the plans you want, but if you do not know the nature of the instrument you are trading, you will lose.

Trading Edge: This article is a study of the nature of crude oil intra-day price action and how to execute trades so that you maintain the highest probability of success – your trading strategy edge.

  • When you acquire a trading edge for a specific instrument of trade then you become profitable. This requires knowing the nature of the instrument better than your competition, refining your process and then executing the process without thinking.
  • This is not unlike a professional tennis, football, hockey or whatever player. Think warrior, think training, think skills.You have to be able to execute – pull the trigger, without thinking. After all, your primary competitors are now machines, more specifically many are AI, and they don’t hesitate to pull the trigger.

Nature of the Instrument of Trade and Associated Returns: Crude oil embodies one of the most complicated (abstract) natures of trade (structure of instrument) – but also possesses one of the most profitable opportunities for a trader.

  • The structures of trade on various time-frames for crude oil are complicated but at the same time they are not, they are logical, mathematical, geometric and follow a natural order. You just need to know what that order / structure is and what the nature of trade is within each time-frame of structure.
  • Oil trading provides significant return potential because it is so structured (yet complicated for the casual observer or trader). Trade set-ups can be repeated over and over again on each time-frame daily, weekly, monthly and so on.
  • Crude oil can be traded with CL futures contracts, ETN’s on the regular equity markets (leveraged instruments of trade such as DWT and UWT) and with various other FX products and instruments. Most of which provide opportunity for leverage.

Welcome to the World Cup: I often say that if you can trade crude oil successfully, you can trade anything.

  • I am instantly bored day trading equities and swing trading equities, commodities etc now that I’ve been schooled by the best of the best AI’s and traders in crude oil futures. I still day and swing trade equities (always will), but it is like going back to grade school.

Success! So You’re an Expert Oil Trader Now.

  • An expert oil trader knows (with weighted probability) when and where to enter and exit trades (when and where to size in to his/her entries), when and where the trade should be trimmed or see adds, what the likely price trend is to be (on various time-frames), when and where price trend is likely to reverse and how to allow for appropriate variance on stops.
  • In short, an expert oil trade understands when structured timing is or is most likely to be in play for the most predictable trades and what each time-frame will look like (the nature of the structure within each time-frame). Various market timing becomes key.

Oh Wait: Fundamentals are Required.

  • Add to all the above requirements… an expert oil trader also needs a keen understanding of fundamental and geopolitical frame-works.

The Competition: Welcome to the Matrix.

  • The majority of crude oil is now traded by machine (and much of that is now sophisticated AI, and I’m not talking simple bots that you see advertised for retail traders in FX markets).
  • In short, the goal is to know what the machines (that control the most liquidity) are doing, how they trade, what decisions they are executing their trades to, etc.
  • If you know what the machines are doing you can then join the ride. You can be (with high probability) on the right side of the trade.

Master the above requirements and you then have some of the primary skills that make for a successful oil trader.

High Priority Signals / Associated Skills Needed For A Successful Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy:

Below I list in point form the signals you will need to know and then need to execute with precision. It is important to note here that the points below intertwine – in other words, the various points relate to each other symbiotically, they affect each other and become the nature of trade.

For simplicity I numbered them to assist with your study, your focus. You can use this like a check-list before entering a trade or before starting your day. Or, if you lost a trade (your discipline is off) you can review the numbered list below before taking another trade.

The information will provide you clues as to how the machine software is now coded, coded specifically to the highest probability win rate and being tweaked over the next 90 days to increase size and return to point of losing and then will be trimmed back and then idle.

The information below will provide a manual human trader the highest opportunity of success if you focus on the study needed and the repetitive training to then execute trades without thinking (with limited emotion).

The conventional and algorithmic charting required to execute the set-ups explained below are included in our client oil trading bundle (newsletters, alerts, trading room).

# 1 – Range of Trade.

Knowing the trading range is really critical for your trading strategy. Having a plan for the most probable high & low area of trade for the time-frame you are going to trade is paramount. This is accomplished with conventional and algorithmic charting.

This is the range on charting time-frames if you draw a simple horizontal line at top and bottom. Approximately where is the range?

Your positioning bias is then to be short at the top of the range and long at the bottom of the range (with many other considerations that make up your position size, where you trickle out, whether you trade the ebb and flow within the range, your stops and more).

If the over all trend is bullish you won’t size in as much on the short side of the upper range of trade on the time frame you are trading and the opposite is true if the over all trend is bearish.

It may be that you 1. enter your trade at the range limits and don’t touch the trade and exit at the opposite range. Or, 2. you may trickle out size as the trade progresses. Or, 3. you may (expert level here) even trade the ebb and flow of the range.

And then boom! you catch the trend reversal and repeat the process… over and over. Some days many times a day. This is the opportunity for an oil trader that equity traders don’t have available to them.

  • Intra-Day Trading Range. Right Now What is the Trading Range? Where is Trade Likely To Trend Next When it Reverses?
    • What is the playing field today? Knowing where the range of trade is right now on the charting, where it has been recently, where it is likely to be near future. What is the current range of trade? What is the likely trend going forward?
  • Wider Trading Range Time-Frames.
    • Knowing where the trading range is intra-day is important but also know where it has been on a wider time frame is also important to know. This is important because if trade leaves the current range you then know where the next range is likely to be.
    • Why is it important to know the trading range on various time-frames and where the trend is likely to reverse?
      • Support and Resistance. The key support and resistance areas on intra-day and wider trading ranges become key for decisions in the trade range itself – areas for entry, exits, adds, trims, sizing and more.
      • Precise Entry and Exit. Knowing the range of trade is important for high probability trade entries and exits and this can significantly increase your return on each trade (if you can enter and exit with precision).
      • Managing Stops and Sizing. Range of trade is also important for sizing your initial trade entry, trimming your trade size and / or adding to your trade. The idea here is to enter trades at the outside edges of the most probable areas / range of trade, weighing your entry size and stops more so when you are trading the most probable trend of trade and it is also important for knowing when to trickle out / trim positions as the range trade progresses.
  • Using Conventional Charting and Algorithmic Models to Determine Range.
    • Check your conventional charting on various time-frames (1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly) and do not ignore the algorithmic models (these are where the machines will bias sizing).
    • Generally an oil day trader is trading the range of the 1 minute through to 4 hour hour. I most often am using the 1, 5, 15 and 30 minute structured algorithmic models.
    • When you have an understanding of the range frame-work on conventional and algorithmic charting you are now prepared with your range trading bias for the day. You are also ready for the most probable areas of trend reversal.

# 2 Trend of Trade and Channels.

Where are the general trends of trade on various time-frames? Is price trending up or down? This can be difficult to assess when you consider the nature of crude oil – this is why the static range (as above in #1) is so important. Also, are there channels of trade in play on various time-frames?

  • Price Trends. Know What the Current Trend Is.
    • Is there a channel of trade or a range to work with? Are there channel set-ups within various time-frames of charting and times of day or week that tend to repeat?
  • Reversals. Where and when is the trend likely to end / reverse.
    • Key support and resistance areas on various time frames. Here again, range of trade, trend and trading channels.
    • Algorithmic structured time cycles. There are time cycles on each algorithmic model. You need to know these well. The machines are coded to bias trades at these time cycles. This is critical.
    • Time of day or week considerations for various markets in play or events such as EIA and daily settlement for example) and what the likely trend will be next for the continuation of your trading plan.

# 3 – Time of Day.

Time of day is critical. You need to bias your trade size, your expectation of key support and resistance being respected, your expectation of trends finding continuation etc.

  • Early futures trade. Early futures trade is usually sloppy unless there is a geopolitical event. It usually has near zero range. It usually does not respect any of the conventional or algorithmic structures on charting. Use extreme caution.
  • As Global Markets Open. As markets in Asia and Europe etc open then trade starts to get more and more structured. Usually around 3 am Eastern trade become more structured. This can start earlier at around 11:00 PM the night prior but I like to avoid trade until at least 3:00 AM Eastern.
  • The session between 3:00 AM to 7:30 AM (all approximate ranges of time) typically is a session in of itself and a reversal is very possible around 7:30. Quite often if trade has been trending up during this session then the air is slowly let out of the balloon for the hand off that occurs around 8:00 AM for the US day traders.
  • Then around 8:00 AM you will start to see volume increase significantly, especially on the half hour marks leading in to the regular US Market open.
  • At 8:30 AM, 9:00 and 9:30 this is where the trend for the morning session for the regular US market is usually determined.
  • Around 11:00 AM the trend is then consolidated for a further move up in the afternoon session, or sideways range bound trade or a reversal. The opposite of course is true.
  • Prepare for some volatility around settlement at 2:30 PM and around API Tuesday 4:30 and EIA Wednesday at 10:30 AM.
  • Friday afternoons can trend price in a way that is not possible on most days.
  • Many days you will find that late afternoon is a slow melt up, melt down or sideways. Shorting the melt up is foolish.
  • Above are just some examples.

# 4 – Intra Day Time Cycles.

Time cycles have been discussed some above. The basic consideration here is that each algorithmic model (on various time-frames) includes time cycles that are foolish to ignore. The larger the time-frame the more important the time cycle.

  • For example, there is a large time cycle on the weekly model that expired (or peaked) last week. On such a large time cycle a week either way is considered and then trend thereafter becomes weighted heavily in bias of trade.
  • Another example is the 5 minute algorithmic charting model, there are time cycle peaks every 3 hours within a specific structure. These are key to understand for a day trader. Not just where the time cycle peaks are, but the nature of trade around each peak.

The algorithmic reports and the discord member chat room are key for learning how to take advantage of the time cycles.

# 5 – Cut Losses Fast. Using Stop Losses. Sizing.

Crude oil trade is vicious. It can ruin a trader’s confidence fast. It can also destroy a trader’s account.

If you have the rules in place, you know the structure of trade, you are sizing in accordance to your threshold appropriate to your account size then you will be fine. Capital protection is by far one of the most important skills you can acquire.

For my personal account this is critical. This changes somewhat when you know that you can make up the bad trade(s) – you have the skill-set and just have to reset. But until you have the proven experience it is important to protect your capital. This discipline can also be different if you are developing software as in our case (we achieved 63% returns and then lost up to 30% in a month developing the software). But this again is different because (as in our case) when you stop developing and simply deploy software to execute to only trade what is most probable you know it will make up the losses.

But for a human trade executing mechanically (manual trades) the cut losses fast is a critical skill-set. You need to know what trade structure is in play, you need to execute to the outside ranges of that structure and you need to size appropriately. If the structure, the plan goes against you, you then need to close your position fast.

  • Stops should be set in accordance to the time-frame structure in play.
  • Understanding that the machines will hunt stops is critical. This then highlights the necessity to place stops outside that range and consider trading a range of trade with increased sizing as the trade proves itself or size in at inflections of time cycles and increased volume and immediately close if it goes against you.
  • If trading range it is better to consider giving the range room to work itself out. Add to the position as it proves out at the outside of the range and then trickle out / trim your position as it moves through the range.
  • If trading a channel on a day trading time-frame then you should be more static about your entries and exits. More rigid. The channel on lower time frames will typically work or not work. A trading range has much more “give” to the range. The edges of the range are more blurred as the time-frame gets larger and larger.

Real World Trading Examples:

Below are excerpts from Part 1 of this article (in italics) to highlight the points discussed above.

I then also include charting and explanation about how we knew where price would likely bottom on the day and reverse (to provide one example).

Future posts will focus us down on real world examples from the live trading room and we’ll refine each trade set up and trading discipline skill one at a time, over and over again until you are winning at least 80% of your trades and over time you can then increase your trading size and returns.

I will include chart / screen shot (captures) but won’t provide charting links for proprietary algorithmic models in this post, members receive these regularly on email.

Low of Day Price & Reversal Trade Signal / Set Up .

Knowing with high probability where the low or high of day price will likely be is a great skill to have as an oil day trader. It will provide confidence in trade, allow for sizing considerations and so much more. Below is an example from our private oil trading chat discord server, trading room and oil alert feed.

Our traders learn how to set up their strategy, watch for the signals on the charting etc from the newsletter reports, charting updates continually sent out, guidance in the discord chat room, voice broadcast in oil trading room and alerts on the Twitter private feed.

At 10:54 AM I alert the oil trading room (with voice broadcast and charting), the oil chat room (see screen capture image below) and alert to the member Twitter feed (screen shot below) that we are looking at the 50.84 area of FX USOIL WTI for possible long trade (trend reversal) for a possible bottom price area on the day. We trade CL futures but alert on USOIL WTI for consistency between instruments of trade for crude oil.

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

oil, trade, alert Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.[/caption]

How Did We Know Where Oil Trade Was Likely to Bottom on The Day?

We have structured models on all time frames. In this instance the EPIC Algorithmic Model on the 30 Minute provided the primary structure. Oil trade was trading down after the EIA numbers were released and we simply looked to the bottom of the current trading quad structure. We then cross reference the structure of support with trading models for larger time-frames and lower time-frames and as price nears the target area we look at time frames on smaller and smaller models.

When price action confirms on the 1 minute model, increasing volume is apparent, the order flow is confirmed (machine liquidity is entering from the markets in to the trade) then we start our trade and/or our machine software begins to trade.

Below is the EPIC Oil Algorithm 30 Minute Model. Many areas of structured support were hit and then price ran up approximately 150 ticks for a complete move from the bottom of the quadrant to the top of the trading quad. Perfect set-up.

The orange arrow is where price hit the machine execution line (where the larger liquidity players normally have machines coded to begin large entries), then trade confirmed above the swing trading wider range indicator on the model (the thick gray horizontal line) and then further confirmed at a considerable historical support (purple horizontal line).

low of day, price, reversal, crude, oil

Determining low of day crude oil price for reversal. Algorithm area of support, swing support, historical support.

Then at 11:54 the price of oil drops in to the area previously alerts, spikes down with a flash and trade reverses. In the oil chat room screen shot below you can see I alerted our long oil trade (machine trade in this instance) in the 50.70s and then the machine trade closed and fired a few other times. This ended up in fact being the low of day in trade. I had alerted that I was looking at the 50.84 area and price hit 50.70s and reversed.

Software fired in there 50.70 s to closing 50.90 s, I didn’t but we’ll see if it holds the range for a bounce.

oil trading room, alert, bottom price, trend reversal area Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.[/caption]

You can also see in the screen shot that I was sharing various chart set-ups to help our traders with their trading strategies for the day so they knew where the structured areas of support, resistance etc were.

Then at 12:07 PM I alerted to the oil trading room by voice broadcast, chat room with charting and on live alert feed that the structure of trade had improved and that we expected that the low of day for trade had in fact been put in confirming a reversal.

improved structure, likely near term low in

oil, trade, alert, price, reversal

Oil trade alert, trading room alert low of day price crude oil reversal trend in play.

Then shortly after 12:00 I alerted (to live trading room, chat room, alert feed) that there was a time cycle peak coming at 2:15 (in other words if you are long on the reversal from the day lows that 2:15 would be the area of time on the day for a high for your price targeting on the trade).

I also gave the resistance levels between where trade was at near the bottom of the trading quad (near the reversal area at bottom) and where we seen the top price target of trade. In other words, if you are long the trade watch for the 20 MA on the 5 minute chart above and the mid quad (mid channel) resistance on the 30 minute EPIC model chart.

2:15 time cycle should be the top on any retrace up on the day
20 MA on 5 min overhead
2:15 PM time cycle most bullish scenario we have is 51.90 (mid channel on EPIC quad) trading 51.32
body of 30 min candle at machine line

Then after the resistance areas are overcome in uptrend trade on the day at 1:20 PM (in advance of the 2:15 time cycle peak) I alert in more detail the various price target areas that represent various model charts on different time-frames so that our traders know exactly what levels to watch as price nears both time and region of trade for our trending price targets for the day trade.

Resistance we are watching intra 51.86 mid channel EPIC, 52.14 5 min, 52.10 on 1 min, 2:15 time cycle peak, just hit 51.81 intra. Nice reversal intra in the EPIC quad from just below support of area we had marked. Also watching for signals for longer term trend reversal possibilities.

oil trading room, trade alert, reversal, price target

Screen shot oil trading room trade alert high of day price target timing for reversal for oil trading strategy.

Image capture below from oil trade chat room shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted.

oil trade alert, trend, price target, time cycle

Image shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted

Image below from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets. The first image is the 30 minute EPIC algorithm chart model showing a strong bounce off the bottom area of the quadrant (the alerted price reversal area).

Strong signal the trend on wider time frame is in reversal mode with action seen in this quad today really clean

And because the bounce is so strong and structured properly in the quad that traders could start possibly looking at larger time frame charting for a possible trend reversal and possible price targets in that scenario.

maybe one quad more down but that would be it if so imo
60.41 would be trend reversal target, trading 51.91, 850 ticks ish
sorry its 59.22

trading room, oil trade alert, price targets, reversal, trend

Image from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets.

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action. Normally we would explain or alert this as it was happening live, however, in today’s scenario I was doing double duty coding so I was sure to show our traders where / how they could confirm that the intra-day trend (for in future trading strategy) was still in play.

After two hits to the trend then the HFT programs set their confirmation pivot and continue trend. This confirms that a trade can continue looking in to the trend for the day, the price targets for day high and time cycle peak for the day.

this is where the HFTs hammered down today, after two hits to 1 min channel support and hit to 1 min range they hammered down

oil trading room, signals, HFT, confirmation of trend, alert

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action.

Two chart images below of crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in 30 Minute EPIC model. This week the trade is much more structured confirming signals that I will include in Part 2 of this report.

Last weeks quad action

This week quad action

oil charts, models, signal, confirmations

Two chart images for crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in model. Confirming signals.

The final two images below show that price did in fact spike in to the time cycle peak for 2:15 PM and did reverse in this area of oil trade for a short opportunity as we had alerted much earlier in the day.

peaking in to time cycle intra

trend reversal, alert, oil, trading room, charts

The final two trading room images below show that price time cycle reversal oil trade short alerted earlier.

Below is the raw oil trading room video feed, if you are learning to trade oil you can correlate the time stamp you see on the images above to the time stamp on the video so you can scroll through the video to specifically what I was saying in the trading room during each alert period. The video below is only a raw feed and I am not broadcasting on mic all day – only when there are alerts and or trades in play (this is why I mention the time stamps). I only include the video because newer students of trade can utilize the live video (and associated comments and charting) to learn, but it is not packaged in short form so you have to dig a bit.

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Updates Distributed Weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed and Discord Private Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (Weekly Newsletter, Trading Broadcast Room, Chat Room, Real-Time Trade Alerts).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Trading Room, Strategy, Signals, Reversals, Trend, Time of Day, Time Cycles, Channels, Trims, Adds, Stop Orders.

Follow:


A Reliable Method to Determine in Advance Intra-Day Bottom Price, Day High Price, Trading Trend and Timing for Your Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy (Part 1).

The systematic process below that includes actual time stamped oil trade alerts, live video from our oil trading room and charts from our oil trade chat room is easily identifiable when the right signals of trade are in play on any day that you are trading crude oil.

The method below can be learned and reproduced by any trader that studies the trading set-up and strategy explained.

When a trader knows with high probability the likely range of trade for the day then a trading strategy for daytrading can be put in to place.

If you know the likely high of day, low of day, reversal area, trend of trade for the day and the likely timing of the price target areas / reversals this goes a long way to help you with your day trade strategy for executing trades. You can then execute your trades in accordance to those signals until they are no longer relevant or in play.

Hopefully in sharing what happened today in our oil trading room this will help you with your oil daytrading strategy in future.

Part One of this Article will show you how trade transpired today, what we alerted, the charting as it happened, the models we used to determine the high price of day, low price of day, time cycle peak for price targets, the trend on day and more.

Part Two of this Article will explain how you can use this information (the charts, alerts, trading room, chat etc) to develop your own daytrading strategy for crude oil trade.

June 16 Update – Part Two of this Article is Now Complete and can be viewed by clicking here.

How to Day Trade Crude Oil Low/High Price, Trend, Reversal, Size, Timing (Pt 2 Premium) | Trading Strategy.

Today was the weekly EIA Report at 10:30 AM. There was a substantial build reported. Below is a copy of a tweet from ZeroHedge.

Crude oil +6.77MM, Exp. -0.5MM
Gasoline +3.21MM
Distillate +4.57MM
Cushing +1.79MM

Prior to the EIA report coming out I was concerned about it and let the trading room know right before it was announced (the live video is in this article). Even though I expected the oil price to collapse I didn’t trade it down because we were in the last part of our final coding of our machine trade – so I was doing double duty (I wanted to get done).

So the report comes out and oil starts to collapse (you can see all this on the video from the oil trading room for those learning about how oil trades and what to watch for).

At 10:54 AM I alert the oil trading room (with voice broadcast and charting), the oil chat room (see screen capture image below) and alert to the member Twitter feed (screen shot below) that we are looking at the 50.84 area of FX USOIL WTI for possible long trade (trend reversal) for a possible bottom price area on the day. We trade CL futures but alert on USOIL WTI for consistency between instruments of trade for crude oil.

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

oil, trade, alert

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

Then at 11:54 the price of oil drops in to the area previously alerts, spikes down with a flash and trade reverses. In the oil chat room screen shot below you can see I alerted our long oil trade (machine trade in this instance) in the 50.70s and then the machine trade closed and fired a few other times. This ended up in fact being the low of day in trade. I had alerted that I was looking at the 50.84 area and price hit 50.70s and reversed.

Software fired in there 50.70 s to closing 50.90 s, I didn’t but we’ll see if it holds the range for a bounce.

oil trading room, alert, bottom price, trend reversal area

Looking 50.84 area possible longs (bottom of quad) trading 51.26 intra. Shorting all pops thereafter in to quad area resistance.

You can also see in the screen shot that I was sharing various chart set-ups to help our traders with their trading strategies for the day so they knew where the structured areas of support, resistance etc were.

Then at 12:07 PM I alerted to the oil trading room by voice broadcast, chat room with charting and on live alert feed that the structure of trade had improved and that we expected that the low of day for trade had in fact been put in confirming a reversal.

improved structure, likely near term low in

oil, trade, alert, price, reversal

Oil trade alert, trading room alert low of day price crude oil reversal trend in play.

Then shortly after 12:00 I alerted (to live trading room, chat room, alert feed) that there was a time cycle peak coming at 2:15 (in other words if you are long on the reversal from the day lows that 2:15 would be the area of time on the day for a high for your price targeting on the trade).

I also gave the resistance levels between where trade was at near the bottom of the trading quad (near the reversal area at bottom) and where we seen the top price target of trade. In other words, if you are long the trade watch for the 20 MA on the 5 minute chart above and the mid quad (mid channel) resistance on the 30 minute EPIC model chart.

2:15 time cycle should be the top on any retrace up on the day
20 MA on 5 min overhead
2:15 PM time cycle most bullish scenario we have is 51.90 (mid channel on EPIC quad) trading 51.32
body of 30 min candle at machine line

Then after the resistance areas are overcome in uptrend trade on the day at 1:20 PM (in advance of the 2:15 time cycle peak) I alert in more detail the various price target areas that represent various model charts on different time-frames so that our traders know exactly what levels to watch as price nears both time and region of trade for our trending price targets for the day trade.

Resistance we are watching intra 51.86 mid channel EPIC, 52.14 5 min, 52.10 on 1 min, 2:15 time cycle peak, just hit 51.81 intra. Nice reversal intra in the EPIC quad from just below support of area we had marked. Also watching for signals for longer term trend reversal possibilities.

oil trading room, trade alert, reversal, price target

Screen shot oil trading room trade alert high of day price target timing for reversal for oil trading strategy.

Image capture below from oil trade chat room shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted.

oil trade alert, trend, price target, time cycle

Image shows 1 min crude oil model trend and 5 min chart with oil trade trending in to time cycle peak as alerted

Image below from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets. The first image is the 30 minute EPIC algorithm chart model showing a strong bounce off the bottom area of the quadrant (the alerted price reversal area).

Strong signal the trend on wider time frame is in reversal mode with action seen in this quad today really clean

And because the bounce is so strong and structured properly in the quad that traders could start possibly looking at larger time frame charting for a possible trend reversal and possible price targets in that scenario.

maybe one quad more down but that would be it if so imo
60.41 would be trend reversal target, trading 51.91, 850 ticks ish
sorry its 59.22

trading room, oil trade alert, price targets, reversal, trend

Image from oil trading room alerting that price reversal strong structure expect possible trend reversal and possible price targets.

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action. Normally we would explain or alert this as it was happening live, however, in today’s scenario I was doing double duty coding so I was sure to show our traders where / how they could confirm that the intra-day trend (for in future trading strategy) was still in play.

After two hits to the trend then the HFT programs set their confirmation pivot and continue trend. This confirms that a trade can continue looking in to the trend for the day, the price targets for day high and time cycle peak for the day.

this is where the HFTs hammered down today, after two hits to 1 min channel support and hit to 1 min range they hammered down

oil trading room, signals, HFT, confirmation of trend, alert

Image showing oil trade room signals on 1 minute chart for confirmation of intra day trend from HFT trade action.

Two chart images below of crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in 30 Minute EPIC model. This week the trade is much more structured confirming signals that I will include in Part 2 of this report.

Last weeks quad action

This week quad action

oil charts, models, signal, confirmations

Two chart images for crude oil trade from trading room comparing last week trade action and this week in model. Confirming signals.

The final two images below show that price did in fact spike in to the time cycle peak for 2:15 PM and did reverse in this area of oil trade for a short opportunity as we had alerted much earlier in the day.

peaking in to time cycle intra

trend reversal, alert, oil, trading room, charts

The final two trading room images below show that price time cycle reversal oil trade short alerted earlier.

Next, in Part Two of this article (sent to premium members) I will explain exactly how you can use this information (the charts, alerts, trading room, chat etc) to develop your own day trading strategy for crude oil trade.

I will explain trade signals such as how to know where the time cycles are, what the expected high of day and low of day is most probable and what the trend on the day should be.

Below is the raw oil trading room video feed, if you are learning to trade oil you can correlate the time stamp you see on the images above to the time stamp on the video so you can scroll through the video to specifically what I was saying in the trading room during each alert period. The video below is only a raw feed and I am not broadcasting on mic all day – only when there are alerts and or trades in play (this is why I mention the time stamps). I only include the video because newer students of trade can utilize the live video (and associated comments and charting) to learn, but it is not packaged in short form so you have to dig a bit.

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

At check-out use coupon code “epic30” for 30% off. Either Oil Trade Alerts Only or Oil Trade Bundle (Live Room, Reports, Alerts).

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Updates Distributed Weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed and Discord Private Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (Weekly Newsletter, Trading Broadcast Room, Chat Room, Real-Time Trade Alerts).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Trading Room, Strategy, Signals, Reversals, Trend, Price Targets, Time Cycle

Follow:

1 2 3 5