Good morning traders,

Another quick note and another relatively calm day in terms of trading expected.

We took some new positioning in volatility this morning, trimmed our swing long in crude oil significantly (what an excellent trade, worked well) and are managing current positions in small ways.

This weekend is the huge time cycle inflection, our bias and trade positioning will be right in the center until next week, so please have patience as we wish to stay safe prior to cycle peak and then next week our trade positioning will increase out of and in to new time cycle peak end of August 2020.

Machine trading literally clipped top tick in crude oil yesterday so it was a great day and the black swan EPIC v3 machine trading updates have been performing well. This morning the oil volatility says use caution, lots of news flow on the OPEC++. How do you like the Saudi oil bigs play? Could be genius, yet to be seen.

I will be in live trading room at open but only broadcasting voice as active trade starts, until next week it’s more about $STUDY and prep and our time is being put toward that as possible.

Also, we have some announcements coming early next week about good changes for our trading group but I will leave it until we are past the weekend to begin sharing, for now lets focus on risk management and $STUDY in preparation for the next.

If you need anything at all compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

Links:

Top Gainers in #Premarket Hours $USWS $BIG $APA $BNTX $TRTX $HAL $MUR $CLR $NRZ $AGNC $VNE $OXY $GUSH $GSX marketchameleon.com/Reports/PremarketTrading

We may have told you these #timecycles would be a volatility first, in fact, we are telling you instruments will blow up, people are going to be amazed, $OVX 20s to 300s was a primer, historic opportunity  $VIX Current Stock Volatility Unheard Of https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1248215896793001994

The gold market is showing no signs of going back to normal https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-09/gold-market-isn-t-going-back-to-normal-as-spreads-stay-wide #swingtrading $GLD $GC_F #Gold https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1248225885465051136

EPIC v3 crude oil machine trading / alerts literally traded the top tick of the session, 24 – 26.40 just like that, wow #boomtown #OOTT $CL_F $USO #oiltradealerts

 

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Good morning traders!

RE: Premarket Trading Note

There is a personal journal entry here on my not so private platform, some reflection on where we’ve come and are going;

Thank you for your patience with some of the challenges during this COVID event. 

The live trading room problem we have experienced and our traders / clients have experienced we now know to be one of server capacity at Click Meeting. Because of all the online workers this has been an intermittent issue. If you continue to see the error message simply clear your cache history, reboot and re-enter the room. At times there could be a wait. We have been told they are upgrading server capacity now. An example of what the COVID event has done as an inconvenience.

The swing trading alerts and reporting – I am processing the written report still from Sunday’s webinar, it has taken a few days longer than expected. But you do have the videos from Sunday so this is good. Nevertheless, the markets are still not structurally right on the short or long side so this is / has not been an issue until possibly today.

We may get a few days of bullish activity here so you can expect some active trade. I’ll do what I can to get reporting out before market open today and any other needed will be out to you later tonight.

The written reporting part of the Sunday webinar video delay has been in large part to personal challenges I have had this week as a result of COVID.

For example, mid day Wednesday all of a sudden I was told we were locally going in to lock down. I wasn’t properly prepared so we have a flurry of activity yesterday and completed our required needs such as getting cash, water, basic supplies etc. I still am not sure exactly what stage of lock down my community is in other than only essential services are open as of today. So we’ll see, but we’re ready for the most part, hopefully my time / focus can be laser pointed to the markets going forward – I think we’re good to go.

In my public journal on my Twitter feed I said that this market will turn eventually and the opportunity is big therein. However, this could be a multi year process, nobody knows.

Bias to shorting structural resistance areas of whatever we’re trading is key until the virus has a solution, don’t forget this no matter how happy the markets appear.

All longs should be small with tight stops.

There is also a note in my journal on Twitter about the machine trade, we’re out the other side of yet another stage / shock in development and can’t imagine anything being a bigger shock to handle in future. And we’ve coded breakers anyway, so we’re good to go. Update white paper soon.

Anyway, expect trading to be more active very soon (and yes I know I’ve been saying this for a number of days) but expectation and $STUDY is key because missing the moves isn’t great. Point is, we’ve come through a difficult shock and now I see it highly probable we can see some great returns going forward as the markets move through the next stages of this event.

The big shorts we’ve had we remain in at 10% of the original size (long VIX, long OVX oil volatility, short SPY NIKE WYNN MASTERCARD and miscellaneous others). Timing was fantastic.

So we’ll be looking for rallies we can short and themes for long positions we can garner gains. Gold Silver Bitcoin Natural Gas we’re still looking for structural bottoms and hopefully we can start adding to Natty long swing and BTC long swing and get back in to the Gold and Silver trade soon.

Have to get in to $STUDY now to be sure our swing trading set ups are totally ready for the range at hand and I’ll see you in trading room. If there are intermittent outages we will be alerting either way.

And again, any of the reporting not complete by market open will be completed this evening, I have cleared my schedule. Also of note, the free view period on the swing trade alert feed will end when this new reporting is out / prior to, so if you’re previewing that alert feed it will go dark sometime today. Join us on the swing trade alerts service (click here) feed for the next cycle in the markets, we’d love to have you along for the ride!

Oh, and remember, Sunday Swing $STUDY sessions continue 7 – 11 PM each Sunday while we $STUDY to prepare all swing trade set ups. We’re 3 sessions in now and likely will do close to 10 session weeks. If you want to join us in the Swing Trade Study Webinars click here:

 

Thanks again.

Curt 

 

 

 


Good morning traders,

Well, we keep hammering down on the bigs NIKE, MasterCard, Wynn and we have more soon, massive swing trade report out later tonight (DO NOT MISS THIS ONE) and we may start some of the new swings as early as today’s session, massive wins here.

In crude oil machine trading chipping small consistent gains, I’ll be in live trading room just after open, we’re just finishing a team conference.

 

What a time to be in it! Wow.

 

Curt

 

Bringing the magic, if we didn’t know better you would think we time traveling to do this – NIKE HAMMEREDDirect hitHammerFire $NKE #premarket #swingtradealerts

 

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1238086324059607040

 

Fly Intel: Pre-market Movers $MNK $TLSA $CODX $DG $PRTY $BA $AAL $DAL $UAL $LUV $JBLU $ALK $SAVE $NCLH $CCL $RCL http://dlvr.it/RRlG0l


Good morning traders,

 

We see a possible inflection (bounce) today or in to early next week.

 

This weekend is the Swing Trading webinar at which time we will look at last 2 quarters (deep dive) and look at the next 2 quarters so we’re ready. https://compoundtrading.com/product/swing-trading-webinar-sun-mar-1-pl-review-how-each-trade-was-identified-and-executed-charting-trades-on-watch/

 

If you can’t attend you can order the video only fyi.

 

Swing and oil trading members will be getting significant reporting this weekend also (in preparation) 

 

Use caution, but there should be a near term relief bounce.

 

Will be live in room as active trade progresses.

 

EPIC v3 by the way is in daytrade only protocol and will remain. If you missed the note it is here: https://compoundtrading.com/epic-v3-software-code-updates/

 

Have a great day.

 

Curt


Morning Note:

Good morning traders,

On the equity side we sent out another report in the series last night for trades we are managing, starting new and those on watch. There is a summary review at the beginning of the report that is important with reference to current trade management.

Today is EIA and that should mark the new cycle in swing trade entries (normally we enter after EIA and as close to Friday late as possible). EIA is normally Wednesday.

Has been a great year for swing trades and oil trade with EPIC v3. Next year we expect to continue positive ROI growth.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1210523956261904384

EPIC v3 software is starting to short and under pressure early in sequence (as usual). Developer talk for those with an interest. #OOTT $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO #EIA today #oiltradealerts #machinetrading

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1210532854226194434

The Federal Reserve has signaled it would keep interest rates on hold through 2020 following three cuts this year. https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/gold-heads-for-best-week-since-august-as-rally-gathers-pace 

New year on deck so there will be many additional set-ups to review over coming days.

Let us know if you have any questions.

Curt


Morning traders:

Quad witching, could see some volatility https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1208016859532054528

Oil software is in a sequence that is likely to increase size through the day, will advise with levels as we get closer to more executions. Oil software hasn’t lost (I believe) since last draw down many weeks ago but range has limited # of executions. It is doing excellent of course but we would like to see trade open up. This should change soon. We are slowly releasing throttle also to accommodate market conditions.

Swing trading entries likely light today, will advise. Significant size reporting starts this weekend to prepare for Q1 2020 run. 2019 P&L report for swing platform due out before Christmas (was another good year). 2020 we start coding the swing models for machine trade alerts.

Stay safe,

Curt

Premarket Note:

Today is #EIA (oil inventories) in advance of the short holiday week.

We are only managing current positions in equities until after EIA. New swing trade positions are very likely to trigger between EIA and Tues premarket. See recent swing reporting for details.

Since the new office set-up (post draw down), EPIC v3 oil trading software has been firing exactly as the white paper prescribes during draw-down periods and is nearing its return to the 150% ROI. As it progresses further in this cycle you will find it to become increasingly more aggressive and fire more frequently as ROI trajectory is returned to 150%.

Next in its code protocol is to build profit base and then challenge the ROI to upside. When it fails, its next protocol is to limit the next draw down % to less than previous and then rinse and repeat.

This is in effect a notice that trade executions will increase in frequency near term.

We have a report near completion also with reference to price symmetrical extensions and also an update to the white paper to be released soon (reflecting executions during draw down and return to ROI).

Read EPIC v3 Oil Trading White Paper here.

The swing platform has been doing excellent (consistently between 100-400% per annum since we started) and you can expect a report soon on its profit and loss in last quarter along with detailed protocol explanations (how to) so you can institute the methods as you wish in your own trading. The swing trade system has become very refined over the last 4 years so I intend to get a how-to published soon.

I wouldn’t expect any live trading in the trading room until after 10:30 AM EST today so I likely won’t be on mic live until then.

Stay safe.

Curt


Premarket Notes / New Location Update

Good morning traders,

Sold additional 50% of NIO this morning at 7:53 for 2.45 after 25% yesterday in profit and holding 25% (likely let it run). Nice daytrade/ swing trade.

AGN longs per alert need to consider profit.

Market time cycle was successfully suppressed and we didn’t get the VIX spike per normal but still hold a small hedge in VIX and small short SPY, we’ll decide what to do next in the next few days.

The new location is now up and running. We can expect intermittent small downtime (as you would expect anywhere) but we do not expect any major issues now that we have re-wired the whole location we are at (yes literally re-wired the whole place). Small intermittent downtime can still occur with details such as internet between systems (wifi) connections to servers (our providers and our team in different countries) and sound quality on mic in trading room may take some tweaking. Those type of things could take a few days.

Alerts – Swing, day trade and oil alerts will all continue per normal today, we do not anticipate any further down time.
Daily 2:45 Trade Set Up Reviews – Will recommence tomorrow and run daily forward. If you are not in attendance we send the video to our clients anyway.

Live Trading Room – You can expect sound quality issues for a few days as we work through the internet wifi details (various equipment such as A/C can cause issue), but this is a detail.

I will be in live trading room as normal right before open at 9:20 ish, API, EIA today at 10:30 EST, any time software or myself are trading during the week 24 hours and the 2:45 trade reviews will re-commence tomorrow.

My Trading Room Broadcast on Mic is ONLY WHEN I AM TRADING or DURING THE TIMES LISTED. It isn’t like a radio broadcast 24 hours a day that never stops. The charting is broadcast but I’m only on mic as required.

Software / Oil trading – We got the big move we were expecting that was being alerted prior to our office move, congrats to those that caught it. Software did not because of our office move taking longer than expected. However, now that our power grid is stabilized you can expect the software to start a large sequence of trade today/tonight in to API Tues, it likely won’t fire trades until at least after EIA today and possible it may not until this evening. But you can expect a large sequence.

Reporting – Regular reporting will now recommence. The additional reporting we want to get out is the new sequence of trade our software starts. We will start sharing detailed information with our trading team (clients) about the sequence the software is in so that our traders can learn the trading process of the software.

Swing Trades – It has been an odd time cycle peak but we do expect new entries to escalate between now and Tuesday in to March 2020.

Have a great day. Email me with any questions.

Thanks

Curt


RE: Premarket Notes

Good morning traders,

This morning is the EIA oil report at 10:30. We also have the VIX peak time cycle to consider in to Oct 21 and the Fed with their QE to the moon (that’s not really QE).

Caution, caution, caution.

In advance of October 21 I want to start doing daily (if not daily near so) swing trade set-up reviews in the main trading room. So that our positions and set-ups for on the other side of Oct 21, 2019 in to March of 2020 time cycle are clear and our clients can take full advantage.

We are expecting (if our models are correct) a significant bull run during that period in specific sectors and equities.But it will be volatile, so it will be a key period of time.

I am going to do these as time allows starting today. The time of day will vary that the review in the trading room will occur.  I will send the swing trade reviews done daily to members on email every night they are done so if you cannot be in the trading room it is no problem.

If you missed the report last night (a summary review) it is here;

Protected: Swing Trading | Premium, Oct 8: Part 3d Summary Review $VIX, $OVX, $SPY, $XLE, $OIH, $TREX, $CLX, $USO, $FLWPF, $DVA, $CL_F, $GLD, $SLV, $DXY, Crude Oil

 

https://compoundtrading.com/swing-trading-premium-oct-8-part-3d-summary-review-vix-ovx-spy-xle-oih-trex-clx-uso-flwpf-dva-cl_f-gld-slv-dxy-crude-oil/

 

Password: SUM

 

Our positions have been correct in to this VIX time cycle peak, we have taken our foot off the gas at the right time with equity positioning and volatility bias etc, but soon it will be time to be bullish again in equities, but first we need to deal with Oct 21.

Also, we have had some issue with our mail servers so if you receive reports in duplicate my apologies, this may continue for some time.

If you miss a report you see released (didn’t receive on email) please let me know.

Have a great day,

Curtis


Premarket WatchList $VIX $BTC $SPY $GLD $SLV $DXY $WTI $USO #timecycles #swingtrading

Good morning traders,

All trade set-ups on watch or alerted are starters in to time cycles that may or may not run in trajectory to bias, they can go completely the opposite direction, hence the “starter” positioning until said trades develop. Different trades / instruments have different time cycles, refer to historical swing reporting as needed for various notes and charting models. We have been working on the report all night and will release it when it is ready, until then the alerts are flowing. Lots of caution with the upcoming time cycles because everything cray cray everywhere (not just me), the world is not amenable to the buy and hold conventional thesis in my opinion, going forward. We see range, lots of range coming.

We cover over 200 equities, many of which will be in play, on watch etc that we will alert.

Have a great weekend, hug em tight and buckle up.

Anything I can do shoot me a note.

Best and peace.

Curt