Premarket Commentary: It’s Going to be a Busy Day in the Markets.

Iran, Trump, Oil, #OOTT, $CLF, Swing Trade Positions, Machine Trade Update, EIA

 

Morning traders!

As noted a number of times, we expect an intra-week time cycle inflection here (between last evening and end of Thursday). It seems the bulls in various markets agree in premarket.

Reporting tonight will be focused on swing trades in play and alerts reviews, how to structure the trades going forward and Profit and Loss Statement Reviews for Swing Trading Service.

 

Saber rattling with Iran has begun, oil is on high watch here, also EIA at 10:30 AM today.

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
8:08 AM · Apr 22, 2020

 

EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil machine trade software was launched last night, it was an upgrade to execute short term swing trades short in crash scenarios (basically piling on during a crash).

Notes below from the oil trading room:

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:15 PM
@Jeremy i guess we should consider a blow-up protocol update sooner than later take advantage of the party
JeremyYesterday at 2:15 PM
:thumbsup:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:17 PM
if they hold this it may not blow up considering possible time cycle intra-week
JeremyYesterday at 2:19 PM
i will retrieve exchane data set on negative price protocols
exchange
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:19 PM
k
mind trip the possibilities in negative
JeremyYesterday at 2:20 PM
pending protocols

 

EPIC V3.1.1 oil machine trading software started firing trades this morning alerting them to the oil trading room, which means order flow is turning positive for bulls fyi

 

Google is updating to first page on search results the EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter feed, this is big news and more on this in a separate article.

 

Article I wrote last night on US Dollar strength, very important for swing trading and investing bias, more on this in swing trading articles around theme plays in this time cycle.

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY #swingtrading #FX

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USDCAD $DXY #FX

 

This Thread Shows the Important of Time Cycles in Trading, A Real Time Example of Oil Trade, also article expands on it a bit.

A Real-Time Example of How Time-Cycles Work in Crude Oil Trade 🎯🔥🏹 #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #oiltrading #tradealerts 👇

This thread shows live oil trade alerts from the oil trading room this morning (Discord) and how the algorithmic charting and time cycles provide an edge for oil traders.

A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade 

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles Down pointing backhand index

I will be on mic in trading room for any trading today in live trading room and EIA.

Good luck out there!

Curt

 

Other social posts and news articles of interest:

 

 

 

Article Topics; Premarket, crude oil, Iran, EPIC V3, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles.


Premarket Note:

 

Morning traders,

Lots of caution today after yesterday’s massive sell off in energy.

June contract then overnight sold off heavy and recovered some.

Equities are in a foul mood. Stay safe and $STUDY for when opportunities present.

We’re pushing out reporting again today in preparation of theme time cycle plays.

If active trade starts I will broadcast live in room.

Let me know if you need anything, email [email protected]

Curt

 

New articles released to website last night:

I am beginning the process of documenting my own personal swing trading system, likely take a few months to complete, the first articles are below.

How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

Protected: How to Swing Trade Volatility Time-Cycles (PREMIUM PT 2): Entering Eye of The Storm – Indices, Commodities, Currencies, Crypto and Stock Theme Trades.

 

Other interesting articles and social media shares:

USO ETF Risk:

20M barrels of crude headed to the US in 10 days …

USO ETF inflows:
https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1252495617638707200

Good thread on oil contracts negative:
https://twitter.com/RogerDiwan/status/1252324705291374592

Good post on perspective:
https://twitter.com/sentimentrader/status/1252549349743173632

Oil Meltdown Spreads Beyond Expiring Contracts as WTI Slumps 42%

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-21/oil-meltdown-spreads-beyond-expiring-contracts-as-wti-slumps-42


Premarket Traders Note

Good morning traders,

Have patience with me on a few things early week here:)

The oil swing reports will be out sometime today (before tomorrow premarket) – there are A LOT of moving parts right now, we’re struggling a bit here to keep pace with admin work flow but for the most part we’re winning in trading (oil swing the most obvious exception)

The trading room is open this morning, however, the new internet line will be going so it will cause downtime during switch over, and I can’t tell you exactly what time that will occur.

And yes we are likely to experience server issues at Click Meeting however we expect that to subside as the week progresses.

The recent memorandums listed below reference our trading team work in progress.

Anything you need let me know.

Curt

Recent Memorandums RE: Trading Team Work in Progress

More Active Intra-Day Trading is Near (Time Cycle Inflection) RE: Live Trading Room, Oil & Swing Trade Alerts. Stocks, $SPY, OIL, $CL_F, $USO, GOLD, $GLD, SILVER, $SLV, $BTC, $VIX, $DXY)

Important Note: Oil Traders, Live Alerts, Trading Room, Machine Trading #OOTT $CL_F $USO #tradealerts

Important Notice: Swing Trade Sunday $STUDY Session Scheduling, Market Time Cycles, P&Ls

EPIC V3.1 Crude Oil Machine Trade Software Update Details | White Paper #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

 

Article Topics;  premarket, traders, note, daytrading, swingtrading

 

 

 


Good morning traders,

Another quick note and another relatively calm day in terms of trading expected.

We took some new positioning in volatility this morning, trimmed our swing long in crude oil significantly (what an excellent trade, worked well) and are managing current positions in small ways.

This weekend is the huge time cycle inflection, our bias and trade positioning will be right in the center until next week, so please have patience as we wish to stay safe prior to cycle peak and then next week our trade positioning will increase out of and in to new time cycle peak end of August 2020.

Machine trading literally clipped top tick in crude oil yesterday so it was a great day and the black swan EPIC v3 machine trading updates have been performing well. This morning the oil volatility says use caution, lots of news flow on the OPEC++. How do you like the Saudi oil bigs play? Could be genius, yet to be seen.

I will be in live trading room at open but only broadcasting voice as active trade starts, until next week it’s more about $STUDY and prep and our time is being put toward that as possible.

Also, we have some announcements coming early next week about good changes for our trading group but I will leave it until we are past the weekend to begin sharing, for now lets focus on risk management and $STUDY in preparation for the next.

If you need anything at all [email protected].

Thanks

Curt

Links:

Top Gainers in #Premarket Hours $USWS $BIG $APA $BNTX $TRTX $HAL $MUR $CLR $NRZ $AGNC $VNE $OXY $GUSH $GSX marketchameleon.com/Reports/PremarketTrading

We may have told you these #timecycles would be a volatility first, in fact, we are telling you instruments will blow up, people are going to be amazed, $OVX 20s to 300s was a primer, historic opportunity  $VIX Current Stock Volatility Unheard Of https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1248215896793001994

The gold market is showing no signs of going back to normal https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-09/gold-market-isn-t-going-back-to-normal-as-spreads-stay-wide #swingtrading $GLD $GC_F #Gold https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct/status/1248225885465051136

EPIC v3 crude oil machine trading / alerts literally traded the top tick of the session, 24 – 26.40 just like that, wow #boomtown #OOTT $CL_F $USO #oiltradealerts

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.


Good morning traders!

RE: Premarket Trading Note

There is a personal journal entry here on my not so private platform, some reflection on where we’ve come and are going;

Thank you for your patience with some of the challenges during this COVID event. 

The live trading room problem we have experienced and our traders / clients have experienced we now know to be one of server capacity at Click Meeting. Because of all the online workers this has been an intermittent issue. If you continue to see the error message simply clear your cache history, reboot and re-enter the room. At times there could be a wait. We have been told they are upgrading server capacity now. An example of what the COVID event has done as an inconvenience.

The swing trading alerts and reporting – I am processing the written report still from Sunday’s webinar, it has taken a few days longer than expected. But you do have the videos from Sunday so this is good. Nevertheless, the markets are still not structurally right on the short or long side so this is / has not been an issue until possibly today.

We may get a few days of bullish activity here so you can expect some active trade. I’ll do what I can to get reporting out before market open today and any other needed will be out to you later tonight.

The written reporting part of the Sunday webinar video delay has been in large part to personal challenges I have had this week as a result of COVID.

For example, mid day Wednesday all of a sudden I was told we were locally going in to lock down. I wasn’t properly prepared so we have a flurry of activity yesterday and completed our required needs such as getting cash, water, basic supplies etc. I still am not sure exactly what stage of lock down my community is in other than only essential services are open as of today. So we’ll see, but we’re ready for the most part, hopefully my time / focus can be laser pointed to the markets going forward – I think we’re good to go.

In my public journal on my Twitter feed I said that this market will turn eventually and the opportunity is big therein. However, this could be a multi year process, nobody knows.

Bias to shorting structural resistance areas of whatever we’re trading is key until the virus has a solution, don’t forget this no matter how happy the markets appear.

All longs should be small with tight stops.

There is also a note in my journal on Twitter about the machine trade, we’re out the other side of yet another stage / shock in development and can’t imagine anything being a bigger shock to handle in future. And we’ve coded breakers anyway, so we’re good to go. Update white paper soon.

Anyway, expect trading to be more active very soon (and yes I know I’ve been saying this for a number of days) but expectation and $STUDY is key because missing the moves isn’t great. Point is, we’ve come through a difficult shock and now I see it highly probable we can see some great returns going forward as the markets move through the next stages of this event.

The big shorts we’ve had we remain in at 10% of the original size (long VIX, long OVX oil volatility, short SPY NIKE WYNN MASTERCARD and miscellaneous others). Timing was fantastic.

So we’ll be looking for rallies we can short and themes for long positions we can garner gains. Gold Silver Bitcoin Natural Gas we’re still looking for structural bottoms and hopefully we can start adding to Natty long swing and BTC long swing and get back in to the Gold and Silver trade soon.

Have to get in to $STUDY now to be sure our swing trading set ups are totally ready for the range at hand and I’ll see you in trading room. If there are intermittent outages we will be alerting either way.

And again, any of the reporting not complete by market open will be completed this evening, I have cleared my schedule. Also of note, the free view period on the swing trade alert feed will end when this new reporting is out / prior to, so if you’re previewing that alert feed it will go dark sometime today. Join us on the swing trade alerts service (click here) feed for the next cycle in the markets, we’d love to have you along for the ride!

Oh, and remember, Sunday Swing $STUDY sessions continue 7 – 11 PM each Sunday while we $STUDY to prepare all swing trade set ups. We’re 3 sessions in now and likely will do close to 10 session weeks. If you want to join us in the Swing Trade Study Webinars click here:

 

Thanks again.

Curt 

 

 

 


Good morning traders,

Well, we keep hammering down on the bigs NIKE, MasterCard, Wynn and we have more soon, massive swing trade report out later tonight (DO NOT MISS THIS ONE) and we may start some of the new swings as early as today’s session, massive wins here.

In crude oil machine trading chipping small consistent gains, I’ll be in live trading room just after open, we’re just finishing a team conference.

 

What a time to be in it! Wow.

 

Curt

 

Bringing the magic, if we didn’t know better you would think we time traveling to do this – NIKE HAMMEREDDirect hitHammerFire $NKE #premarket #swingtradealerts

 

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1238086324059607040

 

Fly Intel: Pre-market Movers $MNK $TLSA $CODX $DG $PRTY $BA $AAL $DAL $UAL $LUV $JBLU $ALK $SAVE $NCLH $CCL $RCL http://dlvr.it/RRlG0l


Good morning traders,

 

We see a possible inflection (bounce) today or in to early next week.

 

This weekend is the Swing Trading webinar at which time we will look at last 2 quarters (deep dive) and look at the next 2 quarters so we’re ready. https://compoundtrading.com/product/swing-trading-webinar-sun-mar-1-pl-review-how-each-trade-was-identified-and-executed-charting-trades-on-watch/

 

If you can’t attend you can order the video only fyi.

 

Swing and oil trading members will be getting significant reporting this weekend also (in preparation) 

 

Use caution, but there should be a near term relief bounce.

 

Will be live in room as active trade progresses.

 

EPIC v3 by the way is in daytrade only protocol and will remain. If you missed the note it is here: https://compoundtrading.com/epic-v3-software-code-updates/

 

Have a great day.

 

Curt


Morning Note:

Good morning traders,

On the equity side we sent out another report in the series last night for trades we are managing, starting new and those on watch. There is a summary review at the beginning of the report that is important with reference to current trade management.

Today is EIA and that should mark the new cycle in swing trade entries (normally we enter after EIA and as close to Friday late as possible). EIA is normally Wednesday.

Has been a great year for swing trades and oil trade with EPIC v3. Next year we expect to continue positive ROI growth.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1210523956261904384

EPIC v3 software is starting to short and under pressure early in sequence (as usual). Developer talk for those with an interest. #OOTT $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO #EIA today #oiltradealerts #machinetrading

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1210532854226194434

The Federal Reserve has signaled it would keep interest rates on hold through 2020 following three cuts this year. https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/gold-heads-for-best-week-since-august-as-rally-gathers-pace 

New year on deck so there will be many additional set-ups to review over coming days.

Let us know if you have any questions.

Curt


Morning traders:

Quad witching, could see some volatility https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1208016859532054528

Oil software is in a sequence that is likely to increase size through the day, will advise with levels as we get closer to more executions. Oil software hasn’t lost (I believe) since last draw down many weeks ago but range has limited # of executions. It is doing excellent of course but we would like to see trade open up. This should change soon. We are slowly releasing throttle also to accommodate market conditions.

Swing trading entries likely light today, will advise. Significant size reporting starts this weekend to prepare for Q1 2020 run. 2019 P&L report for swing platform due out before Christmas (was another good year). 2020 we start coding the swing models for machine trade alerts.

Stay safe,

Curt

Premarket Note:

Today is #EIA (oil inventories) in advance of the short holiday week.

We are only managing current positions in equities until after EIA. New swing trade positions are very likely to trigger between EIA and Tues premarket. See recent swing reporting for details.

Since the new office set-up (post draw down), EPIC v3 oil trading software has been firing exactly as the white paper prescribes during draw-down periods and is nearing its return to the 150% ROI. As it progresses further in this cycle you will find it to become increasingly more aggressive and fire more frequently as ROI trajectory is returned to 150%.

Next in its code protocol is to build profit base and then challenge the ROI to upside. When it fails, its next protocol is to limit the next draw down % to less than previous and then rinse and repeat.

This is in effect a notice that trade executions will increase in frequency near term.

We have a report near completion also with reference to price symmetrical extensions and also an update to the white paper to be released soon (reflecting executions during draw down and return to ROI).

Read EPIC v3 Oil Trading White Paper here.

The swing platform has been doing excellent (consistently between 100-400% per annum since we started) and you can expect a report soon on its profit and loss in last quarter along with detailed protocol explanations (how to) so you can institute the methods as you wish in your own trading. The swing trade system has become very refined over the last 4 years so I intend to get a how-to published soon.

I wouldn’t expect any live trading in the trading room until after 10:30 AM EST today so I likely won’t be on mic live until then.

Stay safe.

Curt