Premarket Commentary: It’s Going to be a Busy Day in the Markets.

Iran, Trump, Oil, #OOTT, $CLF, Swing Trade Positions, Machine Trade Update, EIA

 

Morning traders!

As noted a number of times, we expect an intra-week time cycle inflection here (between last evening and end of Thursday). It seems the bulls in various markets agree in premarket.

Reporting tonight will be focused on swing trades in play and alerts reviews, how to structure the trades going forward and Profit and Loss Statement Reviews for Swing Trading Service.

 

Saber rattling with Iran has begun, oil is on high watch here, also EIA at 10:30 AM today.

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
8:08 AM · Apr 22, 2020

 

EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil machine trade software was launched last night, it was an upgrade to execute short term swing trades short in crash scenarios (basically piling on during a crash).

Notes below from the oil trading room:

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:15 PM
@Jeremy i guess we should consider a blow-up protocol update sooner than later take advantage of the party
JeremyYesterday at 2:15 PM
:thumbsup:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:17 PM
if they hold this it may not blow up considering possible time cycle intra-week
JeremyYesterday at 2:19 PM
i will retrieve exchane data set on negative price protocols
exchange
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:19 PM
k
mind trip the possibilities in negative
JeremyYesterday at 2:20 PM
pending protocols

 

EPIC V3.1.1 oil machine trading software started firing trades this morning alerting them to the oil trading room, which means order flow is turning positive for bulls fyi

 

Google is updating to first page on search results the EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter feed, this is big news and more on this in a separate article.

 

Article I wrote last night on US Dollar strength, very important for swing trading and investing bias, more on this in swing trading articles around theme plays in this time cycle.

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY #swingtrading #FX

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USDCAD $DXY #FX

 

This Thread Shows the Important of Time Cycles in Trading, A Real Time Example of Oil Trade, also article expands on it a bit.

A Real-Time Example of How Time-Cycles Work in Crude Oil Trade 🎯🔥🏹 #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #oiltrading #tradealerts 👇

This thread shows live oil trade alerts from the oil trading room this morning (Discord) and how the algorithmic charting and time cycles provide an edge for oil traders.

A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade 

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles Down pointing backhand index

I will be on mic in trading room for any trading today in live trading room and EIA.

Good luck out there!

Curt

 

Other social posts and news articles of interest:

 

 

 

Article Topics; Premarket, crude oil, Iran, EPIC V3, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles.


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Trading Strategy for US Dollar Trade Alert Issued This Morning in Premarket for the Swing Trade Positioning in to Week of August 5, 2019 Time Cycle.

This a very important trading opportunity not just for the US Dollar, but many other instruments of trade on the equity, commodity and currency markets are affected by the price of the US Dollar. Below is your complete trading strategy for the time cycle peak coming in the Dollar.

On public facing Twitter feeds the alert reads;

“Member Alert: Large US Dollar Index (DXY) time cycle week of Aug 5, 2019 (extends 7 trading days either side). Trade Set Up detail to your email in today’s premarket. #timecycles $DXY $UUP #USD #SwingTrading”

On the private member alert feed the alert reads;

“US Dollar Index (DXY) Long trade likely to turn short other side of Aug 5 week, watch for report with all signals $DXY $UUP #swingtrade #USD”

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1156872463273402369

Below is the chart and link for the US Dollar (DXY) time cycle alert;

US Dollar Index (DXY) Long trade likely to turn short other side of Aug 5 week, watch for report with all signals $DXY $UUP #swingtrade #USD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/2qXxfABT-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Long-trade-likely-to-turn-short-other-side/

US Dollar Index (DXY) Long trade likely to turn short other side of Aug 5 week, watch for report with all signals $DXY $UUP #swingtrade #USD

How to Trade the US Dollar (DXY) Time Cycle Peak.

The trading strategy for the US Dollar Index is simple if you use the model chart provided above.

In early 2018 we had alerted that the US Dollar was divergent to the downside and that a run in the dollar was imminent. The US Dollar traded up since that time from sub 90.00 to currently trading at 99.91.

When the US Dollar traded higher (after our alerts) it then reached the area of the main pivot (shown on chart above with horizontal red dotted line). The Dollar then traded around that pivot for some time. The trading pivot is important in your trading plan.

Simple Chart Symmetry and Price Targeting (price extensions) for this time cycle says to measure from the recent lows (trading just under 90.00) to the pivot area of 96.64 (about 7.00) and add the 7.00 approximately to 96.64 and you get about 103.50 ish. There are different ways to measure this – you can take the hard and fast support and resistance lines on the chart and measure from there or use exactly what price action said. In other words, the chart says support was 90.00, but the Dollar traded under 90.00 before it turned back up and got bullish. Depending on how you use those numbers this then determines your extension to the top. Lets call it 103.50 and use that for this example for your trading strategy.

The charting says the time cycle peak is the weak of Aug 5, 2019. This is a large time cycle so you have to allow for a week or so either side of the weak of the peak. Coming out of the other side of that peak the trade action (trading trajectory) will be key. You will either see a continuation of the current bullish trend or a turn to the bearish trade side. Probability says the price of the US Dollar will turn down. However, this is not always the case.

The chart says that 102.92 is your peak resistance price, but this can be extended up some for two reasons. One reason is the price extension you may measure from the previous lows, in this instance you would see the Dollar trade in to the 103s or 104s before turning. The other reason for a price higher than 102.92 is a simple over trade extension that happens at large time cycle tops and bottoms in trade – an over exaggerated move.

If the trade trajectory continues bullish then you simply extend the price up one structure above the current area of trade (see chart below). This is an unlikely scenario but it may occur. This bullish run would then peak in to the week of March 30, 2020 (this can change as we come near to the date, watch for charting updates). The price target in this scenario is 109.30 for March 30, 2020.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish trading strategy for 109s in to Mar 30 2020 $DXY $UUP #swingtrade #USD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/FVwXgu9P-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Bullish-trading-strategy-for-109s-in-to-Ma/

US Dollar, Swing trade, Strategy

US Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish trading strategy for 109s in to Mar 30 2020 $DXY $UUP #swingtrade #USD

The Bear scenario to short the US Dollar is more likely, below is your trading strategy.

As noted above, simply wait for the week of August 5, 2019 and watch trade the week on the other side. Watch the key resistance areas on the chart. Early on in to the time cycle start to size your trade and continue sizing the trade (in my case it will be short $UUP likely) and then start to take profit at each support on the way back down as the US Dollar trades lower in to March 30 of 2020.

It is important to get your full size in early enough but not too early so you get caught on the wrong side.

If you need help with the trade let me know.

Watch the chart resistance close as we trade the markets over the coming few weeks, watch the apex of the quad the US Dollar is trading in currently on the chart. Watch for the inflection points. You can also bring your time down to a daily or 4 hour chart to get a better feel for what trade is doing.

Also, be sure to watch our trade alerts on our alert feeds and in live trading room. If you need some coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks,

Curt

Other Reading:

US Dollar Index on Market Watch https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy

Dollar hits two-year high after Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point as expected https://cnb.cx/2MsfQn1

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Protected: Volatility (VIX) Trading Strategies Report. Premium July 15 $VIX $TVIX $UVXY $VXX #TimeCycles #PriceTargets

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 1 : Premium July 14 | $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies | SP500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY | July 7 Premium #timecycles

Protected: Daytrading Bitcoin (BTC) and Intra-Week Short Term Swing Trades July 7 | Premium $BTC $BTC.X $XBTUSD $XBT_F

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies, Charts, Alerts w/ Video | Premium $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX $FB $PLUG $BTC $LYFT $IOTS $SQ $STNE $TEUM $AU …

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows, what we’re up to with our trading):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Protected: Premarket Watch List July 9 $CHEK, $OGI, $AZRX, $AMRH, $RHT, $ACIA, $SQ, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Watch List July 8 $SGMO, $AMD, $OASM, $AYTU, $CBIO, $SYMC, $ORN, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Article Topics: US Dollar, USD, Trading, Strategy, Charts, Algorithm, Currencies, Alerts, $DXY, Swing Trade, $UUP, time cycles

 


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday November 26, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition:  Equities Bounce, SPY, Oil Bounce, WTI, Volatility, USD, Time-Cycles, Trump Xi, Draghi, FOMC, $ABIL, $NVAX, $JKS, $CTK, $ACRX, $ANY, $PLT, $TSRO, $CHS and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • Nov 26 – Lead trader in attendance to live trading room at market open, mid day review and as required through the day and in futures trading.
  • Jen (office)Yesterday at 6:08 PM
    This week: Curtis, Jeremy (Sr. machine tech) and Katie (new machine tech) will be monitoring machine trades in oil on rotation near 24 hours a day (and going fwd). When trades are active the live trading room will be opened for EPIC and trading room members. During low liquidity hours trades will be nominal and more frequent in higher liquidity hours through each week. The first generation of the software is complete. There will be continuous updates. A rules based machine trade protocol will be published soon for members. The next to be coded is Bitcoin then SPY. Member reports are being processed now for the week also. Thank you — Jen.
  • Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!  https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
  • Team Work in Progress:
    • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
    • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
    • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November / December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.

Nov 26 – A lot happening this week. DXY USD still in bullish formation, Draghi testifies at 9:00 MM EST, USA GDP, Fed – FOMC meeting minutes, and Trump / Xi meet on trade later this week.

Should have shorted NatGas last week as I thought DGAZ up 28% premarket.

Per previous;

Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.

If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 8:02 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.944, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.33, Gold $GLD trading 1225.15, Silver $SLV trading 14.31, $SPY 265.89 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3904.00 and $VIX trading 20.5.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $RSLS $EDGE $KOLD $ABIL $JKS $SPEX

21 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12748703 $ABIL $NVAX $JKS $CTK $ACRX $ANY $PLT $TSRO $CHS

News: 

Stocks making the biggest move premarket: AMZN, WMT, M, TGT, GM, CPB & more –

GENERAL MOTORS TO CUT CAR PRODUCTION IN NORTH AMERICA, WILL STOP BUILDING SOME CAR MODELS — SOURCE
$GM

$RSLS ReShape Lifesciences Presents New Data on Proprietary Technology for Type 2 Diabetes

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$CRM $WB $SPLK $NTNX $DLTR $DKS $TIF $BURL $PANW $BOX $DSX $ZUO $BNS $JKS $SINA $GWPH $VEEV $ANF $CBRL $HIBB $KSHB $VMW $AMBA $HMLP $WDAY $DAVA $RY $SJM $GME $JILL $VJET $AMWD $ITRN $TD $PAGS $KNOP $TLYS $BKE $GSM $HPQ $TECD

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

There have been a few paper cuts executed on machine trading side in oil trade last few days – report will detail when released.

Volatility down in premarket VIX with TVIX off 5.5%. We are short from Wednesday last week TVIX.

TVIX, premarket, short, trade, chart

Volatility down in premarket VIX with TVIX off 5.5%. We are short from Friday TVIX.

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

TVIX, premarket, trade, alert, VIX, short

TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

SP500, daily, chart

SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

crude, oil, trading, alert

The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts

if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

crude, oil, trade, alert

Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.

Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.

crude, oil, trade, alerts, short

Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F $UWTI $DWTI #Oil #Trade #Alerts

Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.

swing, trade, alert, silver

Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above #swingtrading #alerts $SLV

Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.

trading, alerts, SLV

Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops. #swingtrading #tradealerts #Silver

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

“The bear market is mostly complete for EM, has further to go in U.S. credit and is about to begin for the U.S. dollar.”

Goldman Predicts #Commodities Will Soar In 2019: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-26/goldman-predicts-commodities-will-soar-in-19-as-oil-gold-climb … https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/fixed-income

Bitcoin’s tumble worsened over the weekend, in striking distance of the cryptocurrency’s worst bear markets.

Elon Musk says Tesla came “within single-digit weeks” of death #swingtrading $TSLA

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:$RSLS $DGAZ $KOLD $ABIL $EDGE $JKS $NVAX $HMI $IDXG $TKC $RIOT $DSX $YINN $NBEV

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

Deutsche Bank upgrades $ANZBY from Hold to Buy

(6) Recent Downgrades:

$AAPL PT LOWERED TO $225 FROM $256.00 AT LOOP CAPITAL

Stifel downgrades $BTGGF from Buy to Hold

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Equities Bounce, SPY, Oil Bounce, WTI, Volatility, USD, Time-Cycles, Trump Xi, Draghi, FOMC, $ABIL, $NVAX, $JKS, $CTK, $ACRX, $ANY


DXY US Dollar Algorithm Model Charting Report Thursday July 12, 2018 $DXY $UUP

Welcome to my report for Compound Trading – $DXY the US Dollar algorithm charting model.

I am an early development model – one of seven in development at Compound Trading Group. This work is very early stage generation 1 work. Generation 2 – 5 is scheduled for 2018 and will eventually be coded to a digital dashboard for our traders to use as an intelligent assistant.

This charting is to be used in conjunction with conventional charting as trader assisted signals. The signals in the model (at this point) are simple that each line on the model chart are considered a support and resistance test.

Notices:

Feature Post with Charting: How to Trade the US Dollar Index Move (Part 1) $DXY $UUP #USD #trading #chart #algorithm

Password: SWINGDXY Protected: Trading US Dollar Index (Part 2 – Member Exclusive) $DXY $UUP #USD #SwingTrading #Daytrading 

US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm. 30 Minute Chart Model $DXY $UUP

US Dollar Index (DXY). Above 200 MA in an upturn on daytrading 30 Min Chart Model. July 12 901 PM $DXY $UUP #algorithm #chart

The mid quad 94.87 area is an important resistance point.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/Y84unyhn-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Above-200-MA-in-an-upturn-on-daytrading-3/

DXY, US Dollar, Algorithm

US Dollar Index (DXY). Above 200 MA in an upturn on daytrading 30 Min Chart Model. July 12 901 PM $DXY $UUP #algorithm #chart

US Dollar Index (DXY). Under pressure from 200 MA on 30 Min Chart Model.June 26 321 AM $DXY $UUP #algorithm #chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/0F1L6Ldp-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Trade-under-pressure-from-200-MA-on-30-Mi/

US Dollar, Algorithm, $DXY

US Dollar Index (DXY). Under pressure from 200 MA on 30 Min Chart Model.June 26 321 AM $DXY $UUP #algorithm #chart

$DXY Geometric Daily Algorithm Chart Model

US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm. Above light blue structure resistance is the orange structure on chart. July 12 949 PM #algorithm $DXY #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/9FzZSp7G-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Algorithm-Above-light-blue-structure-resi/

DXY, Daily, Chart, Algroithm

US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm. Above light blue structure resistance is the orange structure on chart. July 12 949 PM #algorithm $DXY #Chart

US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm. Structure in play. Trade in geometric structure (light blue). #algorithm $DXY #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/NkDFd9dX-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Algorithm-Structure-in-play-Trade-in-geo/

US Dollar, Algorithm, Geometric, structure

US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm. Structure in play. Trade in geometric structure (light blue). #algorithm $DXY #Chart

Per recent;

US Dollar Index (DXY). Geometric algorithm chart model magnified ith test structure. $DXY #Algorithm #Dollar

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/585wSrIf-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Geometric-algorithm-chart-model-magnified/

Dollar, DXY, Chart, Algorithm

US Dollar Index (DXY). Geometric algorithm chart model magnified ith test structure. $DXY #Algorithm #Dollar

US Dollar Index (DXY). Algorithm structure in play on daily chart. Trade inside geometric structure (red). #algorithm $DXY #Chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/Av4IQc37-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Algorithm-structure-in-play-on-daily-char/

DXY, US, Dollar, Chart, Algorithm

US Dollar Index (DXY). Algorithm structure in play on daily chart. Trade inside geometric structure (red). #algorithm $DXY #Chart

Per recent;

Below is the geometric model for the US Dollar. I’ve provided a close up image and a regular image with chart link.

The most important areas of trade structure are the red, orange, blue, yellow triangles.

The chart needs a significant reset, but for now we are watching the structure of the red triangle to see how it concludes.

Close up of Geometric Algorithmic Model for US Dollar Index $DXY.

$DXY Geometric Model Close Up

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/GD3huNnE-DXY-Geometric-Model/

$DXY Geometric Model

Per recent;

May 13 – Big test with the dollar here. Visually intense on the geometric US Dollar model. $UUP $DXY

Use link below from last report to view real time chart.

$DXY, algorithm, geometric, model

Big test with the dollar here. Visually intense on the geometric US Dollar model. $UUP $DXY

Per recent;

US Dollar $DXY touched 200 MA on daily and backed off. Geometric model charting.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/b394Eu1X-US-Dollar-DXY-touched-200-MA-on-daily-and-backed-off-Geometric/

$DXY, daily, geometric, model, chart

April 24 – US Dollar $DXY range bound sideways at support in geometric model charting.

Conventional Charting Considerations:

July 12 – US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Trade continues to pressure 200 MA on weekly chart. #chart $DXY #Dollar

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/KkoF2oCr-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Chart-Trade-continues-to-pressure-200-MA/

DXY, Weekly, Chart, 200MA

US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Trade continues to pressure 200 MA on weekly chart as we expected. #chart $DXY #Dollar

June 25 – No significant structural change to Weekly chart – refer to previous report link below.

Per recent;

US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Trade came under pressure at 200 MA on weekly chart as we expected. #chart $DXY #Dollar

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/3KbxToY4-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Chart-Trade-came-under-pressure-at-200-MA/

Dollar, $DXY, Chart, US

US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Trade came under pressure at 200 MA on weekly chart as we expected. #chart $DXY #Dollar

Per recent;

US Dollar over 50 MA on its way to 200 MA resistance on Weekly Chart. $DXY $UUP

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/bU1zLzfc-US-Dollar-over-50-MA-on-its-way-to-200-MA-resistance-on-Weekly-C/

US Dollar over 50 MA on its way to 200 MA resistance on Weekly Chart. $DXY $UUP

Per recent;

Bull bear fight is on with dollar closing the week at the 50 MA. Watch that close. $DXY $UUP

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/du2DtL3W-Bull-bear-fight-is-on-with-dollar-closing-the-week-at-the-50-MA/

Weekly, dollar, chart

Bull bear fight is on with dollar closing the week at the 50 MA. Watch that close. $DXY $UUP

Per recent;

If $DXY US Dollar Index builds structured base over main pivot (red line) it’s a long all day long. $UUP.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/PKj5eWu2-If-Dollar-builds-structured-base-over-main-pivot-Notes/

If $DXY -0.18% US Dollar Index -0.18% builds structured base over main pivot (red line) it’s a long all day long. $UUP.

WATCH the MACD for a turn down. Has it’s 200 MA (pink), but that’s not considerable relatively speaking right now.

Watch the pivot and watch the MACD on the daily. MACD turns down and it will be a retrace 99 in 100 times.

daily, dollar, chart

If $DXY US Dollar Index builds structured base over main pivot (red line) it’s a long all day long. $UUP.

Per recent;

$DXY There it is, reach up and touch to 200 MA and a back off intra. MACD trending on Daily.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/xM0QQv1p-DXY-There-it-is-reach-up-and-touch-to-200-MA-and-a-back-off-in/

DXY, Daily, Chart, 200 MA, MACD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/xM0QQv1p-DXY-There-it-is-reach-up-and-touch-to-200-MA-and-a-back-off-in/

Dollar bulls keep an eye on 200 MA overhead on daily. $DXY #USD $UUP #chart #resistance

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/DGp06qLl-Dollar-bulls-keep-an-eye-on-200-MA-overhead-on-daily-DXY-USD/

DXY, chart, 200MA, resistance

Dollar bulls keep an eye on 200 MA overhead on daily. $DXY #USD $UUP #chart #resistance

US Dollar News:

Trump’s trade war is undercutting his hopes for the dollar https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trumps-trade-war-undercutting-hopes-dollar-152345957.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw via @YahooFinance

Dollar falls vs yen as trade disputes intensify, yuan at 6-month lows

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-forex/dollar-falls-vs-yen-as-u-s-escalates-global-trade-fight-idUSKBN1JM04W

 

Best with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

$DXY US Dollar Algo

Article Topics: $DXY, Trading, USD, DXY, Dollar, Algorithm, $UUP, Chart