The IDENT™ software developed by our team over the last six years was originally designed for crude oil trade. Specifically IDENT is a component of the EPIC Oil Algorithm machine trading software. IDENT™ tracks larger machine trading “entities” in markets and follows the leader.
Monday was the first deployment of IDENT™ on our crypto alert platform, it performed well as expected.
To date, specifically the IDENT™ component of the software, has not lost a trade. We’re deploying the technology in all areas of our trading alerts (swing and day trades – stocks, commodities, crypto and currencies).
Below is an explanation from a recent EPIC software white paper:
“IDENT™ is data-driven order flow intelligence in real-time to achieve best outcomes.The software includes and executes to a proprietary order flow identification system that tracks behavior (specifically isolating other market machine liquidity) and weighs identified entities and historical trade patterns to its trade decisions (instructions). EPIC IDENT™ increases its intelligence as it gathers data intra-day specific to liquidity flow, historical patterns, time of day, volatility, various preferences, latency, rejects and more. The method is similar to back-testing charting, however, the process is real-time. In short the software is looking for “fingerprints” within market liquidity. We cannot back-test 60 months as with charting but back-testing from date of software inception is possible.”
Below is the live (raw unedited) video from our trading room as the software was deployed and the screen shots of the alerts for the ETHEREUM (ETH) trade along with some commentary for clarity.
A basic tutorial for our alert subscribers on how EPIC’s IDENT software tracks entities and trades. Much more will follow in terms of details.
And now a summary of the trades and the alert screen shots from the alert feed:
Trade was leveraged 5x. It was alerted as a pivot trade, short below 4055.13 and pivot long above 4055.13.
8:38 AM Alert: Short $ETH 4055.13
9:41 AM Alert: Cover 10% of the size 4001.90 $ETH with a reminder that the pivot is at 4055.13 (long there).
Pivot hits. Software flips long $ETH 4055.13 (has some high frequency chop at 2 intervals, but it’s a hard pivot so it simply flips long and short around the pivot)
11:01 AM Alert: Trim 10% $ETH profit from 4055.13 long at 4126.00.
12:15 PM Alert: Trim 10% $ETH profit from 4055.13 long at 4198.00.
5:27 PM Alert: Trim 10% $ETH profit from 4055.13 long at 4360.00.
Discord Room Alert Screen Shots:
“Curt Melonopoly — Yesterday at 8:38 AM
ETHEREUM – ETH, Jeremy has negative order flow this morning so he’s flipped us short small size, this will be a trade that we’ll play both sides if necessary because the timing isn’t good considering we’re coming out the other side of the time cycle, should be a long but IDENT has negative order flow. So we’re small short at 4055.13 and we’ll see how it goes. $ETHPERP.”
8:38 AM Alert: Short $ETH 4055.13
“Jeremy — Yesterday at 9:02 AM
Code is done for $ETH trade, software will flip long over 4055.13 and short below on a high frequency protocol 5% size starter and as order flow and price action progresses I will alert the trades. Trading 4036.00 $ETHUSD Coinbase – IDENT driven trade.”
Software will flip long over 4055.13 and short below on a high frequency protocol and as order flow and price action progresses I will alert the trades. Trading 4036.00 $ETHUSD
.Jeremy — Yesterday at 9:41 AM
Cover 10% of short 4001.90 from 4055.13
4055.13 is the high frequency pivot, short / long
Jeremy — Yesterday at 11:01 AM
$ETH Trim 10% size on the long pivot 4055.13
4126.00
ETHEREUM Machine Trade Alerts Continue
“Curt Melonopoly — Yesterday at 12:15 PM
Trim 10% long 4198.00
$ETH”
ETHEREUM (ETH) Trimming profit from long side of the trade alert.
Curt Melonopoly — Yesterday at 5:27 PM
Software trimmed 10 % 4360.00 on $ETH
Software trimmed 10 % 4360.00 on $ETH
The four legs of the ETHEREUM (ETH) trade are represented on this 1 minute chart (see arrows). $ETH #machinetrading
The four legs of the ETHEREUM (ETH) trade are represented on this 1 minute chart (see arrows). $ETH #machinetrading
The crypto alert service is available in the shop on the website.
If you have any questions about this trade or the crypto alert service please email me at [email protected]
RE: Markets, Round 3 Defi Project, Trade Set-Up Reporting, Webinars, Time Cycles 2022, EPIC Oil Machine Trading White Paper, The Financial Reset Plays and more.
Market View and Trade Positioning:
My market note from early Friday premarket I expected a near term bounce generally in the markets was possible as order flows were widely improving (with significant caution – being in the middle of the time cycle).
Friday Premarket… “Looks like a bit of a relief bounce is in play broadly in the markets as expected from the recent lows alert for order flow improvement, HOWEVER, end of day / week today and Sunday night early Monday order flows will be key. So we’re still in there deep watching the order flows (with Jeremy and our IDENT software) and I will advise. I suspect the bulls will have some footing for now, although pensively so. Be ready for cracks.”
What happened? Decent order flow in premarket translated to decent price action until the regular cash session opened and the market sold to a double bottom in the 449.40s and bounced a bit to end the week 454s.
Friday Dec 3 2021 Premarket and Cash Session SP500 trade, bounce in premarket and sell to double bottom during main session $SPY
I’ve been trimming my profits in my short positions in $SPY $NASDAQ $USO $BTC etc and my long dollar has been shaping up well – we’ve definitely had a decent handle on this time cycle turn.
I NOW HAVE STOPS on my primary positions (per above) at the original entry (I’m out between 30-90% profit now).
Below is a public facing note on my Bitcoin short (example of profits being taken):
“Covered 90% of my $BTC short from 55800s in 44300s”
The reports later tonight will cover my trading plans for $SPY $GLD $SLV $BTC $NASDAQ $USO $NATGAS $VIX Treasuries US Dollar and various other cryptos and equities.
Some of the laggard swing trade positions from the last cycle I would like to either close as dead money or time for the bounce and out – more on this in reporting also.
The next 3 time cycles we have slotted for 2022 will be big, so preparation will be key.
100 X Options Challenge:
Over the next days I’ll send out a note to everyone that has sent me a message, basically we’ll start with those trades early January and run regular podcasts on how we’re doing. I will also share my profit and loss statements so that traders can see how we’re doing.
Thanks for all the interest traders!!! We'll reach out to you as we get ready for 2022 100x challenge as we get closer to January. 💰 https://t.co/F9ux1yGwNG
Per last market note: The 100 x options challenge will be alerted as we go in 2022 to ALL ALERT feeds so there is nothing for you to do unless you wish to participate in communications specifically toward that and become a part of the challenge (we’ll likely interview each person on podcast etc thru the year). Send me a note if you’re going to be involved at that level.
“For first time (in 2022) I’m going to actively trade options. I’ll publish the trades to all our alert feeds as a bonus feature for our traders. My goal… 100 x over 3 time cycle events in 2022. For this challenge I will regularly publish the P&L updates here (verified).”
For first time (in 2022) I'm going to actively trade options. I'll publish the trades to all our alert feeds as a bonus feature for our traders. My goal… 100 x over 3 time cycle events in 2022. For this challenge I will regularly publish the P&L updates here (verified). 🙏🔥
I have confirmation the Round 3 of the presale offering will re-start Monday morning at 7 cents. Round 1 sold at 3.5 and Round 2 at 4.5 cents. We hope to see an 11 cent open after Round 4 presale has concluded. If you take a stake in the project be sure to use the URL provided directly from my trading desk so that you are included in communications specifically for our trading team and also be sure to send me a note with your address used at time of purchase so that we can be sure the back end is correlated properly to our team.
Per last market note: “The Defi project status is Round 3 pending the completion of some high level meetings with possible institutional investors, we expect that to conclude soon. One of our key stakeholders left for Europe early week and we expect him back to the island soon and we’ll know much more at that juncture. Fantastic interest developed in the project and Rounds 1 and 2 were a blow out success, so naturally I’m excited for Round 3 and 4 to conclude. More on this soon. We also have other projects coming down the pipeline for 2022.”
Trade Scan $STUDY Webinars Restart Monday and Reporting Flows out Tonight:
Friday I did an end of week market scan (see your email for the video that was sent out) and tonight (Sunday) I intended to start the dive in deep of webinar study sessions (progressively as the week moves forward) for a really solid look at the markets for the time cycle inflection, HOWEVER, I WON’T RESTART WEBINARS UNTIL MONDAY as I’m deep in the reporting now. The reports will be flowing out starting with $SPY $VIX, $BTC, $GLD, $SLV, US DOLLAR, CRUDE OIL, Natural Gas, etc… then crypto and equities as the week moves along.
Market Time Cycles:
As I said in my last market note, we were spot on for this time cycle and the 3 time cycles in 2022 will be in focus because it is likely that by the time we hit the 3rd time cycle in 2022 that the markets will be near or well in the “reset” that “they” have been talking about so it is my intent to culminate my trades in grand style and be prepared for the “other side” of a possible reset. It may not occur, but I wouldn’t be surprised, so everything now is in preparation for that.
What an awesome set up. Just add the 3 time cycles we have for 2022 and you got the opportunity of a lifetime🔥🙏🔥 https://t.co/GejkDo7msf
The time cycles have been impeccable and a serious help with our trade sizing, timing and planning. I shared some thoughts on Twitter, but I don’t expect many on the public side understand. If you’re interested in our time cycle work, send me a note and I’ll tell you how to get involved with our trading group.
If you’re in our trading group (or not), and you don’t fully understand time cycles and what I’m trying to explain below, simply sign on to 3 hours of trade coaching and I’ll teach you personally over a 3 hour period of time (2 or 3 sessions). After you sign up Jen will contact you and schedule you – it usually takes a month or so to get a time slot arranged. Or another way to learn cycles (in depth so that you can reproduce my work) is to register for the Trader’s Boot Camp Series (see below).
“concerning win rates – i have found symmetrical expressions of time within structured models of trade to be of significant assistance
although, i must say our concept of time isn’t correct, but that’s a different discussion
— all that was, is and will be has always been”
in other words, anyone can tell the future if you understand that one natural law #timecycles
And, as promised for weeks, reporting will start to flow this weekend and through-out the week and the next cycle now. Anything you want me to look at closely send me the tickers. Many of you have sent requests so I am on those requests and comments.
EPIC Crude Oil Machine Trading:
As noted previously, “the white paper for EPIC crude oil machine trading software will be out soon, you will receive an invite to review when it is. Obviously the most recent version of the software did extremely well through Sequence 1 and we expect the next sequence to be considerably better and each to sequence 9 to improve even more. Big big news there, but we’ll wait for the white paper to discuss in detail with stake holders. If you have interest in viewing the private side White Paper (in depth analysis of EPIC’s performance) then simply request such when the paper becomes available.”
A thread for those interested in EPIC here;
EPIC's IDENT system (specifically) is without fail since most recent software version early Sept. EPIC software has 1/ Swing Positioning component, 2/ High Frequency intraday protocol, 3/ IDENT system tracking large machine entities. #OOTT$CL_F$USO$USOIL
59%+- Returns: Real-World EPIC V3.1.1 Oil Trade Performance and Why ROI Is Expected to Grow.
October 17, 2020 EPIC V3.1.1 Oil Trading Software Update.
The EPIC Oil Machine trading software is now much further along in development.
In short, the software is now extremely stable, the average intra-sequence draw-down much lower, the win rate very high, ROI approaching 60% and expected to slowly and steadily increase in a stable environment.
The ROI is much lower than the 150% our team was targeting with early versions but provides an extremely stable environment, which is considerably more important.
The majority of the changes to the code were done during the black swan crude oil negative trading price event of 2020 (COVID 19).
The white paper update below is a near copy of the original Sept 23, 2019 paper with edits reflecting changes to the code architecture.
Historical white paper publications for the EPIC software development can be found here:
Draft white paper outlining key reasons EPIC v3 oil futures machine trading software outperforms conventional trading methods:
In the most recent version of the software, specific to the 7 point list below, the most significant changes were to point 5 and 7. Specific to point 5, the EPIC IDENT™ system gains more intelligence and becomes more significant to win rate as time goes on and specific to point 7, the trajectory game component decision weight was significantly lowered.
The two primary changes noted significantly changed the win rate to the high side and lowered the average draw down size intra sequence.
Lightening Fast Decisions. EPIC crude oil trading software executes trades to over 9300 weighted decisions instantly. The instructions provided within the architecture is growing daily. A human trader cannot make decisions as quickly, cannot process the data required for most intelligent trading probabilities and cannot execute trades as precisely.
Algorithmic Chart Models. The EPIC software includes over thirty proprietary algorithmic chart models and the catalogue is growing. The algorithmic models have been designed, tested and refined in real-world trade for over 4 years by a team of day traders, each with over 20 years of experience. The oil trading models represent all time-frames from 15 second to monthly time-frames of trade. The algorithmic models have been back-tested to sixty months historically.
Conventional Charting. The software includes conventional charting structures on all time-frames, also back-tested sixty months.
Common Trade Set-Ups. Included in the software are common trade set-ups that oil day traders implement. This is dynamic and additions are made regularly to the software code reflecting current structured trade set-ups.
Order Flow. EPIC IDENT™ is data-driven order flow intelligence in real-time to achieve best outcomes. The software includes and executes to a proprietary order flow identification system that tracks behavior (specifically isolating other market machine liquidity) and weighs identified entities and historical trade patterns to its trade decisions (instructions). EPIC IDENT™ increases its intelligence as it gathers data intra-day specific to liquidity flow, historical patterns, time of day, volatility, various preferences, latency, rejects and more. The method is similar to back-testing charting, however, the process is real-time. In short the software is looking for “fingerprints” within market liquidity. We cannot back-test 60 months as with charting but back-testing from date of software inception is possible. The EPIC IDENT™ system is the primary reason for the most recent version 100% win rate (June 1, 2020 to October 17, 2020).
Time Cycles. Time cycles are within all algorithmic and conventional trading model structures, order flow also has identified time cycles and other time cycle events such as weekly reporting in oil markets such as API, EIA and rig counts. Additionally there are time-of day market time cycles around the world. Time-cycles are included in the software architecture.
ROI Trajectory “Game”.IN THE NEWEST SOFTWARE UPDATE this component of the software was significantly lowered in decision weight. From previous paper descriptions: The EPIC software has a “game” element in that it is designed to continue its most recent ROI trajectory (or return to its trajectory of ROI should it have a draw-down period). In other words, if the trajectory of ROI is for example 100% and it draws-down to 80% it then will “weigh” trade decisions more to the most probable trade set-ups until the ROI trajectory is returned. It also will push its decision “weight” to exceed the current ROI trajectory to establish a better ROI to which it is then “obligated” to maintain and correct to, hence the expectation that the ROI will continue to improve over time. This is the “machine learning” component of development. We are finding that the software is discovering increasingly more creative ways to “game” the ROI return trajectory. This Sept 4, 2019 document details an insider look at this topic within development. Edited Sept 5, Draw-Down Oil Daytrading Session: Question and Answer Review | EPIC V3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Software.
Combined, these advantages enable the EPIC v3 Crude Oil Trading software to outperform conventional trading methods.
Introduction.
The world of public market trade is rapidly changing. It is estimated (depending on source) that over 80% of crude oil futures are not traded by humans and are now traded by machine.
Machine trade may be simple bot style software, high-frequency software or more sophisticated architecture as with the EPIC v3 class of algorithm.
Our team commenced the oil trading software development journey five years ago with algorithmic chart model development. From day one we employed computer scientists to work with us on a daily basis to build software emulating our trading methods.
Over time the software started to win more trades than our traders and today we rely almost solely on the software to execute trades. We simply “tweak” the software at each trade sequence to improve performance.
The current EPIC v3 win-rate consistently comes in at +-100% per trade sequence (variable by +-0% as of the date of publication).
The current EPIC return is projected at 59% per year based on real world performance (audited trades available) and is expected to increase slowly over time. The current period of time spans approximately 19 weeks and includes hundreds of trade executions.
Black Swan Update, June 1-October 15 Profit & Loss YTD +$74,940 or $234,184 59% ROI Per Annum. EPIC V3.1.1 Oil Machine Trade 400k Account (time stamped alerts, audited P&L) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO #oiltradealerts #oiltradingroom
Black Swan Update, June 1-October 15 EPIC V3.1.1 Oil Machine Trade #oiltradealerts #oiltradingroom
Account Size – ROI and Draw-Down Volatility.
The smaller the account size traded the more difficult it is for the software to limit risk to down-side and provide optimum returns.
The software is designed to trade within a sequence of trade within structures or set-ups. As the oil market price changes, the software trading logic uses all the different data to update the decision tree utilizing the instruction rule-set.
You can imagine this as a dot plot process similar to the game “go” – not exactly, but the concept helps to visualize how the software plots a sequence plan for trade.
The “ebb and flow” of regular oil market trade allows opportunity for the software to plot a plan of trade within a sequence, the larger the account the more dots can be plotted (trades can be “bite sized” entries within an “ebb and flow”).
The sample account size for the purpose of this document is 400,000.00. A 1,000,000.00 account would expect approximately half the volatility / draw-down exposure and up to 50% more return. A 10,000,000.00 account would be considerably more stable to draw-down risk and potential returns and so on.
Draw-down Protocol.
During any particular 7 day trading period the EPIC v3 software protocol (as of October 17, 2020 updates) expects on average draw-down no more than as follows;
Account size and average drawdown 10,000,000.00 = 1%, 1,000,000.00 = 1.5%, 400,000.00 = 3%, 300,000.00 = 5%, 200,000.00 = 8%.
Hard stop architecture is in place post black swan event of 2020..
Real-World Trader / Investor Use.
In real-world examples the EPIC v3 oil trading software is being used daily by oil traders as an additional indicator and / or as an auto trading mechanism.
Examples include the Compound Trading Group live oil trading room (live broadcast of trades via voice and charts), live alert service via Twitter and Discord private server feeds and regular Oil Trading Reports that include algorithmic and conventional chart structures and guidance.
Additionally, SOVORON™ uses our data flow to integrate to their platform. SOVORON™ ‘Algorithmic machine trading of your personal Crude Oil Futures exchange account’. See www.sovoron.com for information.
Architecture of API Trade.
EPIC v3 software is designed to be deployed remotely – accessing an account and executing trades. This provides the account holder with ultimate control. The account holder grants the software access and the software executes machine trades to the account. The account holder can turn on or off access at any time. Architecture provides opportunity for decentralized platform integration.
Documentation.
Video. Our team traders and engineers have live video recording of the trading sessions with EPIC v3 software within a trading room environment.
Trader and Developer Repository. We provide guidance to our subscriber (paywall) clients in a Discord private server (charts and trade set-up explanations) in a real-time environment. The private server acts as a repository for our developers and our trading service (paywall) clients.
Live Trade Alerts. All trades have been broadcast over mic in a live trading room (recorded as mentioned above) and most have been alerted by way of text instruction to the Discord private server and/or private Twitter feed for time-stamped evidence.
Broker Accounts. The EPIC v3 trades are real-world trades and as such broker profit and loss statements can be made available.
This paper outlines the opportunity that change in machine trade within global finance markets presents.
Competitors within the machine trade industry are becoming more and more refined / successful – the best in class are assumed to be winning a larger portion of proceeds.
The most significant immediate challenge developers face in machine trade within financial markets is building a product that can win within a prescribed threshold of stability limiting down-side and yet over-perform conventional trading methods.
Soon thereafter the challenge becomes competing against “like-kind” machine trade peers and being best in class.
It is our expectation that fewer and fewer competitors will achieve more of the proceeds (as a whole of trade in public markets) at an exponential rate, which does provide urgency to development and deployment.
The EPIC v3 trading software achieves consistent, predictable and very adaptable architecture that provides exceptional ROI potential.
Business Inquiries.
For information about oil trade alerts, oil trading room and oil trade reporting contact Compound Trading Group at [email protected]
For information about automated machine trading platforms contact our agent representative Richard Regan as follows:
RE: Order Flow, Swing Trading Levels to Watch, P&L’s, $RCUS, $TSCO, Crude Oil, Machine Trading, Reporting and more.
After fighting through Sunday night Study download issues with Click Meeting server capacity and WordPress Black Listing me keeping me from updating it looks like we’re good to go to get Swing Set Ups and the new Oil Report out tonight. Wow, technology makes your life easier.
Yesterday seen negative order flow in crude oil and in equities later in the day, it sure looked like de risking, not so much large machine sweeper programs – YET.
As I thought from yesterday we did get the negative side yesterday, we’ll see if they can run up in to EOD Tuesday (API) and then we have EIA Wed 10:30.
Watch these two crude oil chart levels for directional trading in crude oil and as a signal for the broader market swings:
**** private member link sent to your email
**** private member link sent to your email
EPIC V3.1.1 continues to win, post Black Swan updates:
Black Swan Update, June 1-July 13 Profit & Loss YTD +$19,693 or $221,296 74% ROI Per Annum. EPIC V3.1.1 Oil Machine Trade #oiltradealerts #oiltradingroom
Simple Oil Swing Trading Signals – Part 2 and 3 Schedule for Release Tonight:
Algorithmic Trading Strategies for Crude Oil (CL) Day Trading, Trend and Swing Trading. Intra-Day, Daily, Weekly, Monthly Time-Frames.
This is a supplemental document for CL trade strategies for and as included in our algorithmic client oil reporting.
The various reporting included for our clients includes and is not limited to; live oil trade alerts (on Twitter, Discord, email and live in our Trading Room), conventional charting, algorithmic chart models, various trade signals, price targets, symmetry, time cycles and various other guidance.
We endeavor to assimilate the vast algorithmic data our computer scientists derive for our oil traders to action for a trader’s edge.
The algorithmic material is suitable for actionable mechanically executed trading and are also the models our coding team reference for our crude oil machine learning trade development.
You will find in the array of documentation and reporting we provide a well developed, time-tested proven rules based system for crude oil trading that is one of the best available. Oil traders should use all the models together as a structured system of trade for it to work to your best advantage.
With each chart model (in various reporting) we may include “best-use” trade strategy notes and/or “rules-based trade indications” for your consideration. The oil trading room and study of the Discord oil chat room is your best resource for real-time learning.
Much of the structured model discipline developed in our system is similar in concept as discussed in this video; Mathematician Who Cracked Wall Street.
Our “How to Trade Crude Oil” Recommendations.
Crude oil price moves within structured areas (ranges) of trade represented on charting on various time frames (different time cycles of trade) often in symmetrical price extensions or mirrored fractals, historical price support and resistance, channels and simple price ranges.
The structure oil price moves within (the range of price) can be one minute charting (and more recently some machine trade is as low as 15 second time-frame) timing through to monthly charting.
Time-frame set-ups / strategies included in reporting are charted as conventional chart set-ups and/ or algorithmic chart set-ups (structures).
Understanding and having each chart time-frame at your immediate access (both conventional and algorithmic) will increase the probability of profitable trading.
You will find in reviewing the raw recorded video feed or in attending the live oil trading room that in the morning a lead trader will often review on mic the various levels of support and resistance on various oil trade time-frames on the charting to establish the most probable areas of trade for the strategy of trade.
The lead trader will also check with all the chart time-frames prior to entering a day trade at various times through the day.
When multiple time-frames agree to support or resistance (especially symmetrical) areas on the charting (with trend) this becomes your highest probability area of trade execution, we have found this to be one of the best oil trading strategies.
Sizing trades appropriate to your trading account, probability of support or resistance (multiple oil chart time-frames in agreement) and time frame for each set-up is a positive strategy.
Using the correct chart time-frame specific to your trading strategy is critical. Generally, the lower (smaller) the time frame the less predictable the support and resistance areas (or structure) of the chart will be. However, the larger time-frames (monthly, weekly, daily) may also have significant “slippage” but the primary structure will often remain intact.
Generally, the idea is to enter your positions based on the structure for the specific time frame you are wanting to trade referencing the other time frame support and resistance or range within the trend. The basic method is to understand the range of trade and execute trade long bias when price is near support for the appropriate time frame / structure and the opposite is true for short trades.
Our staff use the thirty minute model structures (range within trends) most often for primary areas of support and resistance trading signals referencing all other time-frames in their trading strategy. More recently the 60 minute and 120 minute time-frames are being used by our staff as it provides a wider view of the current structure of oil trade (post COVID black swan machine code updates).
Trade positions should be significantly biased to the trending range of trade.
Below are recent videos from webinars we recorded in our Oil Trading Room:
“How to Profit With EPIC v3 Crude Oil Machine Trades.”
“How to Use Our Oil Trading Services. Oil Trade Alerts, Oil Trading Room, Oil Reports, Trade Coaching”.
The recently released white paper(s) about EPIC v3 explains also its method of execution of trades and is a great supplemental piece of documentation for live human traders to reference for trading bias, see the report here;
If you have questions about the models below please email us at [email protected] and if you are a client you can send your Whatsapp phone number to that email and connect direct to our lead trader for intra-day question(s).
Not all charts are updated every week and some concept or test charts are added or deleted on occasion.
Be sure to check the time-stamp of each chart in reporting as the preparation of charts and/or models can take days prior to publication and distribution of this report.
If you are a new client that would like to review historical reports that are still locked on the blog from public view please email the office with your request and we will send you recent report credentials for unlocking reports for review.
Please note, chart links that support the models and unlisted videos from live trade, for reporting set-ups and webinars are now distributed specific to each user or small group of users. If you are using more than one device to access these, to avoid disruption of service, please email us a simple / general description of those devices to assist in controlling dissemination.
EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm Model. 30 Minute Oil Chart Structure (see historical client reporting for the model).
The EPIC algorithm model chart is a proprietary structure that has been back tested sixty months on thirteen time-frames. The model represents the most probable areas of support and resistance in oil trade within this specific time-frame. During a black swan event adjust your trade bias to a larger 60 minute or 120 minute algorithmic model time-frame.
This (the EPIC 30 Minute Oil Algorithm Chart Model) is our most proven oil trading structure / strategy.
The levels noted on the EPIC model are to be used as important areas of consideration for support and resistance (trade signals) for your trading strategy when using conventional charting set-ups / structures and/or other algorithmic charting.
Resistance and support areas on the thirty minute oil trade structure chart are at each line on the algorithmic chart. The primary areas of support and resistance are;
Outer quadrant walls / also used as channel support and resistance (orange dotted diagonal lines), the half way point between each is often an executable buy or sell trigger in trade,
Mid channel line for uptrend and down trend (white dotted diagonal),
Mid quad horizontal (not marked but is at the mid point of the quad),
Fibonacci levels (various horizontal colored lines on model),
Historical areas of support and resistance (purple horizontal lines on model).
The intra-week swing trading range is from thick horizontal gray line to the next (commonly becomes a pivot area of trade). You will find on the larger time frame models of the one hour, two hour and four hour that these key horizontal swing range support and resistance levels are marked as green and gray alternating.
The important historical diagonal trend-lines (conventional trend lines) are represented on the chart as thick white lines.
Also of note are the price targets for Tuesday 4:30 PM (API), Wednesday 10:30 AM (EIA) and Friday 1:00 PM (Rig Count). The Tuesday and Wednesday targets hit significantly more often than the Friday target (red circles with red or green vertical dotted lines intersecting).
At times other indicators are added to the chart such as important trend lines “in play”, moving averages and more.
When conventional crude oil charting coincides (or agrees) with the EPIC algorithmic model support and resistance this is then considered a significant buy or sell trigger (signal) for crude oil trade.
Be aware (at minimum) of the primary support and resistance areas on the larger time-frames (lower time frames are not as critical) – in this instance (when trading the 30 min time frame) the 1 hour, 2 hour, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly charting should be considered when sizing your trades.
Also, more recently we have been adding models for the one hour and two hour time-frames (post COVID black swan event), please be sure to review these models as they are sent out.
This document is sent out to clients for the purpose of “supplemental” to the regular reporting to keep the regular reporting as short as possible. Also, ultimately it is the intra-day or intra-week information provided to our clients that also becomes key for trade bias.
I will also update this document extensively in the near future with a number of live trade video clips to show examples of intra-day trade, swing trade and position trading strategies we are using (for study guide purposes).
Thank you.
Curt
Further Learning:
If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.
EPIC V3.1.1 Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Code Upgrade Details | White Paper Update
June 4, 2020
EPIC crude oil machine trading software is a proprietary software development project with an aim to trade crude oil futures. Historical reference can be found at the linked documents below.
Below is a white paper update ispecific to EPIC V3.1.1 software coding update completed for live trade use commencing June 1, 2020.
Purpose of Software Update
EPIC V3.1.1 updates were completed post COVID-19 Black Swan Event for two reasons;
The trading range and crude oil volatility has increased, the software was updated to allow for a wider range of trade on larger time frames and more volatility.
Limit risk via larger account size requirements (CL futures) and / or utilize CFD accounts.
Impact to Software
The software now runs with adjusted trade size weighted to larger time frames such as hourly and two hour charting vs. 30 minute charting.
The coding is structurally identical with the exception that larger time frames are given more weight allowing for price action seen post COVID Black Swan.
The software can also run on a CFD platform (as well as CL futures).
Remedy of Risk
Having software coded to larger time frames and increased volatility allows for the software to considerably limit risk, essentially the arena of play got larger.
For a trader following along with alerts, trading CFD’s allows a trader to engage the trade sizing EPIC is firing trades to with a much smaller account considering the software is firing on a 30 account size protocol (300,000.00 USD).
Projected Returns
The V3.1.1 software trials (private) ran at a return (annualized) of 48.9% over a 60 day period. As of June 1, 2020 the software went live on our live trading alert feeds and the results will be regularly made public. Articles will also regularly be written and released to explain the results and team development initiatives as we progress. .
Business Inquiries.
For information about oil trade alerts, oil trading room and oil trade reporting contact Compound Trading Group at [email protected]
For information about automated machine trading platforms contact our agent representative Richard Regan as follows:
Crude oil topped out yesterday in its run up from lows April 28 – now (at time of writing I see price is spiking in premarket and bulls may take another run at highs). The OPEC pump is on.
OPEC PRESIDENT CALLS ON GROUP TO EXCEED 100% CUTS COMPLIANCE
It is important for all instruments of trade if you’re going to trade the future markets to understand what the machines are doing, they do drive price along with other reasons of course.
Our machine coding to equities, commodities, currencies and crypto are all rooted in the discipline of the analysis you will find in that article I reference (it is a two part article that is thick and difficult to read but if you put aside an hour you will understand the concept and it will help you in any trading of any instrument for daytrading and swingtrading).
Our timing with the recent profit trims in Gold $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD was excellent in the 1720s. Gold is now trading 1678.00 in premarket and we are looking at adds long at bottom of chart structure in your reports.
Natural Gas is up nicely this morning, we’re looking for adds to the long starter we have, however, I’m not sure where we are going to add, watch the alert feed.
Our profit trims in SP500 $SPY long positioning was executed quite well, we knew there was a high probability of time cycle inflections in to end of week (considering the Thursday afternoon oil time cycle peak) as alerted, so this worked out really well. Here also we’re looking for adds to the positioning, watch the alerts.
The Volatility long trade in to peak last cycle was near perfect with $VIX and $OVX (20s to 330s) and the alert last few days surrounding supports near was also spot on, we haven’t added to our long positioning yet, but it shouldn’t be far out.
The Bitcoin $BTC long positioning and recent trims on resistance are good but it’s still in bull mode this morning at time of writing 8938.00, so it’s an excellent swing trade no doubt, we’re watching for top of structure on model charting you have to see more profit trims.
Silver $SLV as expected is still under pressure and we’re just looking for adds to long positioning at chart model supports (see your reports).
Equities this recent cycle, timing was almost perfect, it was a great start to the cycle. I had called the cycle to start April 10, 2020 and the our models had it about 10 days prior (the models were closer than my call) but it couldn’t have been better. Timing cycles have been fantastic. Market highs we got, the down turn we nailed really hard and now this recent run up has been a good start. And even this week calling an interim rest in the cycle was spot on. Now we’re in $STUDY mode as we took our profits in to last few days.
I’ve received a number of personal notes from our Swing Trading Alerts platform users recently (on email mostly) and I think I’ll be asking you folks if I can post them anonymously to our website as swing trade reviews for other traders looking in to swing trading services. I appreciate hearing from you, it does make the work we do worthwhile when you hear about traders becoming disciplined consistently profitable traders. It will be good to meet as many of our new trading members as can make it out in the near future. Eventually most end up visiting the island.
Don’t miss the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar series restarting this Sunday at 7 pm. If you’re not a registrant there are still 4 spots for this Sunday. If you can’t attend live the videos are sent out thereafter.
I will be in a location this weekend again where high speed stable internet is 100% as we know the area well.
Next week will be very active in the live trading room and we start daytrading the swing trade set-ups on lower time frames also soon (this requires us updating the swing trade charting to lower time-frames for daytrading, coming soon).
EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil trading alerts have been firing very well post Black Swan code updates. Last night taking a short side trade that was almost to the minute perfect. Huge range in that short so it worked out well for our oil traders.
Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 100 AM, chart, alert and article that explains why and how we knew the top price and time explained on this thread $USO $CL_F $UCO $SCO $GUSH $XLE
Themes will be the power of returns in the next time cycles in to the election and beyond, we’re working at these every day and you can expect a lot more swing trade set-ups over the weekend and in to next week.
this is the big risk management, sizing bias Q 💯🎯
imo add some critical thought toward who / which narratives are taking hold in the information war and you can size your themed trades within the cycles for best ROI https://t.co/kYO4pwr0or
Today my advice is to go very easy, put your time in to $STUDY, every hour invested in preparation for markets pays massive dividends.
I wouldn’t expect super active trade in the live room today, but you never know. I would however expect such next week to be extremely active as I’ll have my high speed line to work with and there are a number of videos I need to do, like a $STUDY on how to scan for swing trade set-ups, how to trade the one hour crude oil model we’ve recently locked in for our oil traders and various others.
back to surfer class living this weekend
a month behind the wall all i could muster… security of armed guards, tranquility, conveniences, pool were all nice but…
i love the ocean 🐳🌊🍉🧉⛱️💙🤿🍍🌴🐙
internet already installed and ready, and stable (we know the area)
Oh, and I have the most recent time cycle swing trade profit and loss in my hands, I’ll review and add study notes and send out this weekend. This will also help those looking for a current trade position listing. Blow out performance, it’s getting better as we go, which is good of course!
If you want direct access to me on Whatsapp send your request on email and I’ll connect on there with you. It works well as sometimes I am away from my trading desk and if you need a hand with a trade I’m right there right now.
As always if you need anything be sure to email [email protected] and have a great weekend!
Bear with us with reporting, there’s a lot of moving parts and we’re exhausted to be honest, it will be nice to get a break for a near day from Friday close to Saturday afternoon haha.
We’re still working with new internet line but have solutions so we’re close, unfortunately only way we can do our development in our work is to be in places where infrastructure requires us to be involved, so it is so.
And the server capacity at Click Meeting and with internet wide is still challenged but areas of the world are opening so this will improve.
COVID has tasked our body limits to say the least, work load is heavy.
Nevertheless, we’re getting there one step at a time.
Now, today is Friday, go easy, we see this inflection and bull most likely running next week, but you have to be in the right themes. I promise you we will have continued reporting out this weekend and it will be substantial (after some rest). We’re going to clean up reporting all current positions and profit loss status and be ready for the new.
Thanks very much again for your support and stay safe out there today.
Curt
Oil Trade Alerts
This time cycle was spot on, too bad I miss executed my swing trade trying to chip in to the turn on the intra-week trade I chickened out, that was an error. However, the EPIC V3.1.1 upgrade is firing with precision in the oil trading room and alerts so this is very encouraging, the code updates we a challenge in this Black Swan event to say the least.
This time cycle alerted in crude oil in this article was in fact the low for the week. Understanding time cycles can help traders position bias on various time-frames #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #premarket #oiltrading #timecycles
This is what it looks like when the machines abuse humans. Nice upgrades EPIC V3.1.1 Machine SoftwareDirect hitFireBow and arrowDown pointing backhand index
And on the swing trading alerts side of the biz things are going well, it’s just a matter of working through positioning (dot plotting) your trade thesis within themes, this takes a lot of work.
The last two cycles were super strong and we expect the new to be also, it does take some time however in the inflection (or the turn of the cycle). This weekend we’ll have a lot more of the set-ups out to our swing trading members and the inflection should start to take hold and clarity in to end of August 2020 time cycle should be in full play (themes of trades).
The alerts this morning to the swing trading alert feed are examples of themes that should be strong.
The ZOOM swing trade alert was a double, that is a great example of a theme type play.
There are others developing now for this time cycle, so we expect each time cycle to be bigger as we go.
ZOOM (ZM) trading 175s premarket with outside price target 211s use caution and take profits on the way y’all #swingtrading $ZM
As noted a number of times, we expect an intra-week time cycle inflection here (between last evening and end of Thursday). It seems the bulls in various markets agree in premarket.
Reporting tonight will be focused on swing trades in play and alerts reviews, how to structure the trades going forward and Profit and Loss Statement Reviews for Swing Trading Service.
Saber rattling with Iran has begun, oil is on high watch here, also EIA at 10:30 AM today.
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea. 8:08 AM · Apr 22, 2020
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil machine trade software was launched last night, it was an upgrade to execute short term swing trades short in crash scenarios (basically piling on during a crash).
Notes below from the oil trading room:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:15 PM @Jeremy i guess we should consider a blow-up protocol update sooner than later take advantage of the party JeremyYesterday at 2:15 PM :thumbsup: Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:17 PM if they hold this it may not blow up considering possible time cycle intra-week JeremyYesterday at 2:19 PM i will retrieve exchane data set on negative price protocols exchange Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:19 PM k mind trip the possibilities in negative JeremyYesterday at 2:20 PM pending protocols
EPIC V3.1.1 oil machine trading software started firing trades this morning alerting them to the oil trading room, which means order flow is turning positive for bulls fyi
Article I wrote last night on US Dollar strength, very important for swing trading and investing bias, more on this in swing trading articles around theme plays in this time cycle.
How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY#swingtrading#FX
This thread shows live oil trade alerts from the oil trading room this morning (Discord) and how the algorithmic charting and time cycles provide an edge for oil traders.
A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade
#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles Down pointing backhand index
I will be on mic in trading room for any trading today in live trading room and EIA.
Good luck out there!
Curt
Other social posts and news articles of interest:
Most Volatile Years in Stock Market History:
Just 76 days into 2020 (x-axis), Stocks have already moved >1% for a massive 42 days (y-axis).
Only 15 years ever reached such intense Volatility – ALL of them remained extremely violent to the very end. Stay nimble.$ES_F$SPX$SPYpic.twitter.com/L77xdVfBrH
A big question facing policymakers in #EmergingMarkets, as well as #investors, is how far can countries go in using the advanced world's playbook to mitigate economic damage from #Covid19 (particularly middle income economies).#Turkey and its #fx are important to watch here.@FTpic.twitter.com/FBHor4hHjz
EPIC V3.1 Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Code Upgrade Details | White Paper Update
April 19, 2020
EPIC crude oil machine trading software is a proprietary software development project with an aim to trade crude oil futures. Historical reference can be found at the linked document below.
This white paper update is specific to the EPIC V3.1 software coding update completed for live trade use commencing April 19, 2020.
Purpose of Software Update
In recent crude oil futures trade, specifically since the COVID-19 black swan event, the trading price range and volatility of oil trade (OVX) has been divergent of historical structure.
See chart below: Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.
Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) chart showing oil trade volatility spiking from the 20s to 330s during black swan event.
Impact to Software
The volatility in trade and the range of price negatively impacts the smaller range of accounts our software may trade at any given time. More specifically any account trading CL futures less than 10 contracts or approximately 100,000.00 in size is at significant risk. At 10 contract size to 30 contract size the risk is considerably mitigated but still present and at 30 contract size or greater the risk is almost completely eliminated.
While markets are functioning within historical normal trading ranges this is not the case, a 10 contract size account is at very low risk with EPIC V3 software and micro accounts (anything smaller than 10 contracts) there is moderate to considerable risk (the smaller the account the more risk).
Remedy of Risk
Our coding team has performed an update to the EPIC V3 software to trade a base account size of 30 contracts (300,000.00 USD or greater) to allow for greater range of trading price and volatility.
The software instructions for the most part have not changed, the original EPIC V3 protocols remain per previous white paper linked above – at the start of this document.
What is different is simply the size of account as the base case instructional presumption within the code which allows for the software to trigger in smaller “dot plots” within various trading ranges and structure.
Projected Returns
The projected returns annually are expected to drop to a base case scenario of +-40% in an extremely volatile market as we are witnessing since the on-set of COVID-19, however, in times of less volatility we expect this will significantly advantage the EPIC V3.1 updated software and annual returns are expected to well exceed EPIC V3 software coded for a 10 contract base case scenario.
Put simply, the larger the account the more advantaged (refer to the original white paper for further code instruction detail).
At times when crude oil trading price range and volatility return to “normal” conditions we expect returns to easily exceed 100% per annum, however, all return expectations at this juncture are only predicted results based on in-lab testing and not real-world trade. All return estimations and projections are simply theoretical until proven otherwise.
Our oil trade alert clients can refer to the document below for more detail pertaining to the alerts service;
