Swing Trade Alert Profit & Loss ROI 111.83% Mar 1-Mar 31, 2020. $200,000.00-$423,658.00 as Alerted to Member Private Feed, Trading Room and/or Reporting. #swingtrading #tradealerts

Tickers Alerted: $SQ, $MA, $APDN, $PD, $BA, $WYNN, $NKE, $BABA, $INTC, $COST, $NET, $VXX, $VIX, $OVX, $INO, $GLD, $GC_F, $SLV, $SI_F, $BTC, $STNE, $JETS, $APO, $HIIQ, $GBTC, $RCUS.

Swing Trading Alert Profit Loss – ROI 111.83% March 1-31, 2020. $200,000.00 – $423,658.00 #swingtrading #tradealerts

Google Drive Document Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EOt1AkEdPchc-h_aijQ7EUzoF_uG186Uhta9Ri-9VPg/edit?usp=sharing

Date Entry (EST) Exit (EST) Long, Short, Close, Trim, Add Symbol Size Buying Price Selling Price Profit/Loss Running P/L Alert Link(s)
3/31/2020 12:19 Long $STNE 400 22.96 0
3/31/2020 11:08 AM Trim to 75% hold 25% $NET 400 17.75 26.2 3380 423658 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1245005074260164609
3/31/2020 10:46 AM Trim $NET 200 17.75 25.7 1600 420278
3/31/2020 8:07 AM Trim 25% $HAS 100 67.69 73.55 586 418678
3/30/2020 2;47 PM Trim 25% $HAS 100 67.69 70 231 418092
3/30/2020 11:04 Long $HAS 400 67.69 0
3/30/2020 9:43 Short $APO 300 34.4 0
3/27/2020 12:51 Long $JETS 800 15.8 0
3/26/2020 10:09 AM Trim 100 of 400 $SQ 100 43.62 59 1530 417861
3/25/2020 12:26 PM Trim 50% $BABA 100 174.05 194.05 2000 416331
3/25/2020 11:35 AM Trim 12.5% hold 12.5% $BA 25 107.7 166.8 1477.5 414331
3/24/2020 6:35 PM Trim 25% hold 25% $BA 50 107.7 139.75 1602.5 412854
3/24/2020 12:26 PM Trim 50% $INTC 150 48.42 53.32 735 411252
3/24/2020 12:25 PM Trim 50% $BA 100 107.7 123.17 1547 410517
3/24/2020 12:15 PM Trim 50% swaps $BTC 150 5900 6557 9855 408970
3/24/2020 12:15 PM Trim 50% (5 x 5000 ounce contracts) SI_V *5 12.7 13.94 31000 399115
3/24/2020 12:15 PM Trim 50% (5 x 100 ounce contracts) GC_F *5 1516.01 1619.27 51600 368115
3/23/2020 10:11 Long $INTC 300 48.42 0
3/23/2020 9:59 Long $BABA 200 174.05 0
3/23/2020 9:23 Long BTC adds swaps $BTC 200 6200 0
3/23/2020 9:23 Long Silver SI_F *10 12.7 0
3/23/2020 9:21 Long Gold $GC_F *10 1516.01 0
3/20/2020 PRE Long $SQ 400 43.62 0
3/20/2020 PRE Long 200 $BA 200 107.7 0
3/19/2020 Trim 200 for 400 held $APDN 100 3.01 9.48 12940 316515
3/15/2020 5:13 PM Adds swaps $BTC 100 5409 0
3/13/2020 PRE Cover 60, hold 40 $NKE 60 86.2 76 612 303575
3/13/2020 PRE Cover 150 hold 50 $WYNN 150 100.52 71.08 4416 302973
3/13/2020 PRE Long 100 $COST 100 277.6 0 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1235724000808112128
3/13/2020 14:30 Add 400 for 600 held $APDN 400 2.3 0 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1229993709732876290
3/12/2020 10:26 Long $PD 600 17.2 0
3/12/2020 9:54 AM Cover 25% $MA 150 322.3 246 11445 298557
3/12/2020 9:51 AM Cover 25% $WYNN 150 100.52 69.78 4611 287112
3/12/2020 8:51 AM Cover 25% 100, hold 100 $NKE 100 86.2 76.9 9700 282501
3/12/2020 10:32 AM Trim 150 of 450 held $VXX 150 18.2 48.2 4500 272801
3/11/2020 11:31 AM Cover 50% 200 of 400 $NKE 200 86.2 82.17 860 268301
3/11/2020 PRE Short 400 $NKE 400 86.2 0 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1237697839129649152
3/10/2020 3:44 PM Trim 150 of 600 held $VXX 150 18.2 34.64 2466 267441
3/9/2020 2:04 PM Long 200 $INO 200 11.03 0 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1237076932057075712
3/9/2020 9:30 AM Trim 150 of 500 $WYNN 150 100.52 84 2478 264975
3/9/2020 10:19 AM Sell 11/12 approx $OVX *11 / 12 35.8 139 55728 262497 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1237018625191673856 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1236994259607265281 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1231427689703231488 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1188897285385703424 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1192794697569320966
3/5/2020 10:45 Short 500 $WYNN 500 100.52 0
3/5/2020 10:31 Long 200 $GBTC 200 10.72 0
3/3/2020 3:51 PM Sell 200 of 200 $HIIQ 200 18.6 31 2480 206769
3/3/2020 PRE Trim 100 of 600 $RCUS 100 15.5 17.59 209 204289 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1234722519187435520 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1230924666665078785 https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1250841232366088192
3/2/2020 PRE Trim 100 of 300 $APDN 100 4.44 8.52 4080 204080
200000
*Line items noted with asterisk in the size column:
*See addendum documentation for; Volatility derivative options trading structures/strategies used for $OVX $VIX $USO. Also $SPY $SPX. Also Commodities Gold, Silver, Crude Oil.
*The goal has been to keep the alert feed simple to allow traders (subs) to structure their own trades, sizing, instruments etc, however, we will be transitioning to a more specific detailed alerting process in 2020.
*Many of our trades in Volatility, Indices and Commodities have been structured as futures, ETF, options variations that takes some time to detail – later in 2020 our trade alerts will include more detail.
*For these P&Ls (until strategy structures are detailed in alerts) we have kept the entries as simple as possible so traders can execute on the actionable set-up.

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks,

Curt

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

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Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Profit Loss, Trade, Alerts, Stocks, Commodities, Crypto, $SQ, $MA, $APDN, $PD, $BA, $WYNN, $NKE, $BABA, $INTC, $COST, $NET, $VXX, $VIX, $OVX, $INO, $GLD, $GC_F, $SLV, $SI_F, $BTC, $STNE, $JETS, $APO, $HIIQ, $GBTC, $RCUS.


Why a Trader’s Winning Percentage Matters: Trader Question & Answer (also discussed time cycles, $VIX, market extremes)

A question and answer on WhatsApp this morning between myself and one of our newer swing trading subscribers.

[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Hi curt , for VIX , what instrument do you recommend for buying the insurance ?
[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: we use VXX
[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Ok thanks , and do you treat it like a normal position size ?
[10:20 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: yes, but you have to consider it insurance on shorter time frames, but yes, none are great trading vehicles but for insurance not so bad, but sometimes you get lucky too on top of insurance haha
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Ok thank you 🙏
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: no problem, just be aware the VIX toward end of XXXX could see XXXXs!
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: could
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: nobody knows
[10:23 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I gather time cycle can be big increase or decrease right ?
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: correct, we don’t know which direction, we know where
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but i’m protecting our positions over long weekend, for me, market is too happy, for me thats a potential problem
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: same as when market is selling off crazy
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but like oil selling off haha there is no bottom
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: and there is no top
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but when things are extreme i like caution, and right now i see extreme, in to a long weekend, imo thats risky
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I find these time cycles pretty fascinating
[10:26 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: yes, the deeper in to it you get the better you will get at reading them
[10:26 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: it is where most of our profit comes from
[10:27 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: the new P&L release will show you in great detail, should be out this weekend
[10:28 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I gather the general situation for the group is few recommendations until time cycle direction starts to show itself more
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: exactly, our money comes in to and out of the key areas, we still trade in between, but experience show and as you study time cycles, you’ll see why 80% of your ROI will come from being on top of the cycles
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: limits choppy losses too
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: choppy losses have an effect on your winning mind too
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: avoiding loss is important
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: bottom line, you want your subconscious to only think win
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: because it will lead around your brain on a leash
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: this is why i dont accept a 50% win rate is okay, even if you win big on wins
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: the top goal should be highest percentage of wins
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Love it
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: a trained mind is most important imo, then everything else follows

As always, if you have any questions reach out anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Peace and best.

Curt

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

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Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

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Article Topics: Q&A, Trader, Trading, Swing Trading, VIX, Time Cycles, Market Timing


Volatility (VIX) Market Time Cycle Update for 2020/21. Part 1 – A Review of Recent Volatility History.

Volatility time cycles affect the financial markets globally. Our time cycle work focuses on Volatility as a foundation and our trading in other key instruments reflects this. Other key instruments are SP500 $SPY $SPX, Crude Oil $CL_F $USO $USOIL, Gold $GC_F $GLD, Silver $SLV, US Dollar $DXY $UUP, Bitcoin $BTC.

We also weigh our stock swing trading (position trading) heavily on our time cycle work in Volatility.

In recent months and years our time cycle work has predicted the primary volatility spikes in markets with uncanny accuracy, this has significantly bolstered our Profit & Loss in Volatility trading, commodities, stocks and crypto.

This series of chart model updates and guidance provides the most recent code break updates for Volatility and the other instruments of trade listed above. First lets look look at Volatility (VIX).

Volatility (VIX) Index last peaked in a primary time cycle trading in the low 80’s between March 7-17 2020. It was trading below 20.00s for sometime prior and then volatility spiked. 

Volatility, time cycles, swing trading

Volatility (VIX) Index last peaked trading low 80’s between March 7 – 17 2020 trading below 20.00s for sometime prior #volatility #swingtrading #timecycles

This presented our trading team and subscribers the opportunity to add to our long positioning in $VXX (short term volatility) and $OVX (oil volatility) in advance of the spike. It also allowed for us to prepare for a significant market sell-off. We closed all long positions in equities four days prior to the SP500 starting it’s COVID sell – off. We had opportunity to the short in size equities such as MasterCard (MA), Nike (NKE), WYNN RESORTS (WYNN) and many more for significant gains.

Last #timecycle we sold off longs 4 days b4 turn down, hammered short Mastercard $MA, WYNN $WYNN, NIKE $NKE etc & long $VIX $OVX at lows when hardly anyone was positioning same, then covered shorts in to turn, long $BA etc recent rally (check dates) #timecycles #swingtrading

$OVX spiked from the 20.00s to 330.00s and even flashed in to the 500.00s. We were adding long positioning in $OVX in the 20.00s and selling as the price spiked in to 330.00s. We didn’t hold to the 500.00s. We also had opportunity to profit from $VXX in the volatility run-up.

There were many other trades around this time cycle that benefited our performance greatly. Look for our Profit and Loss Statements soon to be release (posted to the main page of www.compoundtrading.com).

More recently there was a volatility mid cycle inflection that seen VIX start to rise June 8 from low 20s to mid 40s over a week.

swing trading, VIX, volatility

More recently there was a volatility mid cycle inflection that seen VIX start to rise June 8 from low 20s to mid 40s over a week #swingtrading #VIX

The inflection points between significant cycle peaks are areas of possible spikes. We recently adjusted for this possible inflection and it paid dividends, nothing like the primary March 2020 time cycle spike, but paid us and helped adjust various other swing trade holdings.

I have been reporting to our members for some time that this season of time cycles (2020 – 2025) would see significantly more volatility within volatility, a compression of time cycle duration(s) and viciousness of the cycle peaks. The most recent “inflection” is evidence of the compressed timing of cycles (volatility within volatility cycles and the time between spikes).

Even the most recent Volatility $VIX inflection was a decent trade with $VXX spiking in to 45.00s from high 28.00s and the primary cycle seen 13.00s to 78.00s, not bad.

swing trading, $VXX

Even the most recent Volatility $VIX inflection was a decent trade with $VXX spiking in to 45.00s from high 28.00s and the primary cycle seen 13.00s to 78.00s, not bad.

Most recent $OVX Crude Oil Volatility started to spike in March from 20.00s to 330.00 and then really hit end of April in to 500s. #swingtrading $OVX

During the last time cycle we we buying oil volatility on every dip at near bottoms knowing where the time cycle peak was, $OVX was in the 20’s and rocketed in to the 300s fast, we didn’t hit that by coincidence. Our $VIX model is clear, the cycles are very clear. #timecycles

So this is an example of how the primary volatility indicator $VIX time cycles can be used for other related market instruments and also why it is important to have the time cycle models for the other instruments you trade as well, in this instance crude oil. What a trade that was.

swing trading, OVX, oil volatility

Most recent $OVX Crude Oil Volatility started to spike in March from 20.00s to 330.00 and then really hit end of April in to 500s. #swingtrading $OVX

We also use $TVIX and / or $UVXY on short time frames right in to the time cycles. Instruments you do not want to hold.

$TVIX up 41% today, pays HUGE to know your Time Cycles, also protects your ass ets knowing the time cycles $VIX #volatilitytrading #timecycles

So that is a review of what has happened in volatility so far in 2020 and next we need to look at what’s next in volatility trading and develop our trading strategies for volatility and related instruments.

Part 2 (premium) article for Volatility $VIX time cycles will provide the charting models, time cycle dates for primary volatility time cycles, inflection dates on watch, compressed volatility within volatility dates, support (buy zones) with timing and resistance selling zones with price targets for the dates within the cycles going in Q3 and Q4 2020 and then in to 2021.

The most recent Swing Trading Sunday $STUDY Webinar session on June 14, 2020 had a dedicated segment on volatility time cycles so in part 2 we will start with that video and then start to break open all of the trading strategies for volatility going forward.

There will be historic opportunities in these large time cycle between 2020 – 2025 as I have been saying for a number of years, do not waste it! This is a life changing season of trade for traders.

Part 2 of this article is available here for members:

Protected: Volatility Time Cycle Code Break 2020/21 Update (Part 2 Premium) $VIX $VXX $OVX $ UVXY $TVIX #swingtrading #timecycles

As always, if you have any questions reach out anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Peace and best.

Curt

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Public Chat:

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Article Topics; swing trading, time cycles, volatility, $VIX, $VXX, $OVX, $UVXY,, $TVIX

 


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Premarket Trading Watch List

Good morning Traders,

With stocks to watch and trades in play, on day trade alert side I’d like to see TL (diagonal trendline) on $OSTK break for a run. Also the overhead horizontal resistance on $AKBA for a run. We got the $IQ yesterday and first part of $OSTK and $AKBA. Check your charts sent out.

Congrats to $MARK longs, I didn’t get it but here’s your key resistance.

$MARK, premarket, chart, trading

Your resistance mark on $MARK should be 200 MA on weekly (pink) per beach side video last night #daytrading #premarket

On swing trade alert side resistance over head near on $SPY model and $AAPL chart models. Of course we’re swing trading $AKBA and $OSTK also. Managing many others, nothing specifically yet today for new entries, after oil reports API EIA we expect more swing trade positioning / entries. $VIX and $OVX are on close watch for long starts soon-sh (see Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar video for more). There are countless plays on watch and many in play right now.

Also the $NTRA break out set-up is super interesting here, really strong yesterday – also see the weekend $STUDY videos for this and chart model sent out on Swing Trade Alert feed.

Oil trading alerts Sunday overnight and Monday were super quiet for both myself and EPIC V3.1.1, however, I expect this to change at latest after API could be sooner, for now see hourly for range trade – it’s a range trade because of the time cycle rounding the trajectory per model.

We do have Fauci speak today so go easy.

Will be in live room and will get on mic if active trade starts.

Beach Side Video from yesterday with some comments to above trading.

Any questions let me know!

Curt

Article Topics; premarket, stocks, commodities, watchlist, $MARK, $AKBA, $OSTK, $IQ, $NTRA, $VIX, $OVX, $CL_F, $USO, $SPY


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